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Derivative Securities

FINA 3203
Introduction to Derivatives

Andrew Chiu, PhD


andrew.chiu@ust.hk

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Course Overview

Forwards &
Futures

Market
Mechanics

Hedging
Strategies

Options

Pricing

Market
Mechanics

Properties

Trading
Strategies

Pricing

Binomial
Tree

Greeks

Black-Scholes

Other Derivatives

Warrants, CBBC

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

Swaps

Convertible
Bonds

Structured
Products

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

History of Derivatives
In Ancient Mesopotamia
(~1750 BC), contracts were
inscribed on clay tablets.
Mr. Farmer will sell to Mr.
Buyer a certain quantity of
grain for a specified price on a
future date. (forward)
Trading took place at the
temples (clearinghouse)

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

History of Derivatives
In Ancient Greece (~600 BC),
Thales predicted an unusually
large olive harvest, and he
paid a small deposit to
reserve the right, but not the
obligation, to rent all olive
presses in the region for a
pre-specified price for the
following autumn.
(call option)
The Hong Kong University of
Science and Technology

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Derivatives
Derivatives are contracts that derive their
value from something else:
commodities (agriculture, meat, metal, energy)
stocks, bonds, indices, currency rates, volatility,
interest rate, debt, real estate, weather.

Basic types: forwards, futures, options, swaps

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Forward & Futures


A forward contract is an agreement to buy or sell a
certain quantity of an asset at a specific maturity
date for a fixed delivery price.
Each party is obligated to buy or sell.
The delivery price is chosen so that the initial value of
the contract is zero
No money is exchanged when the contract is written
Potential infinite return? (Return=Profit/Cost)
The Hong Kong University of
Science and Technology

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Payoff of a Stock
70
60

Payoff

50
40
30

Payoff

20
10
0
0

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10

20
30
40
Stock Price

50

60

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Profit of a Stock

Payoff / Profit

Stock purchased at $25


70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30

Payoff
Profit

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10

20 30 40
Stock Price

50

60

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Payoff of a Long Forward at Expiration


40
30

Payoff

20
10
0

-10
-20

-30
-40
0

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

10

20
30
40
50
Underlying Price at Expiration

60

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Payoff of a Short Forward at Expiration


40
30

Payoff

20
10
0

-10
-20
-30

-40
0

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

10

20
30
40
50
Underlying Price at Expiration

60

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Options
An European call option is the right to buy a certain quantity
of an underlying asset at a specific maturity date (aka.
expiration date) for a fixed strike price (aka. exercise price).
Similarly, an European put option is the right to sell.
The call option holder can choose to exercise its right to buy or
not to buy. But the option writer has to sell if the option is
exercised.
The option holder pays a premium for the option. The option
writer receives the premium.
The Hong Kong University of
Science and Technology

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Payoff of a Long Call at Expiration


35

30
25
Payoff

20
15
10

Payoff

5
0

-5

-10
0

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

10

20
30
40
50
Stock Price at Expiration

60

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Profit of a Long Call at Expiration


35

30
Payoff / Profit

25
20
15
Payoff

10
5

Profit

0
-5

-10
0

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

10

20
30
40
50
Stock Price at Expiration

60

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Profit of a Short Call at Expiration


10

5
Payoff / Profit

-5
-10
-15

Payoff

-20

Profit

-25
-30

-35
0

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

10

20
30
40
50
Stock Price at Expiration

60

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Payoff of a Long Put at Expiration


35

30
25
Payoff

20
15
10

Payoff

5
0

-5

-10
0

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

10

20
30
40
50
Stock Price at Expiration

60

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Profit of a Long Put at Expiration


35

30
Payoff / Profit

25
20
15
10

Payoff

Profit

0
-5

-10
0

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

10

20
30
40
50
Stock Price at Expiration

60

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Profit of a Short Put at Expiration


10

5
Payoff / Profit

-5
-10
-15

Payoff

-20

Profit

-25
-30

-35
0

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

10

20
30
40
50
Stock Price at Expiration

60

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Swaps
A swap is an agreement to exchange cash flows at specified
future dates according to certain specified rules in the
contract. Cash flows can be of different currencies.
Example: Microsoft and Intel enter into a swap to exchange
fixed interest rate with a floating interest rate based on LIBOR.
This is a 3 year contract on a notional principal of $100 million.
Payment occurs every 6 months.
Microsoft: Pay 5% fixed rate, Receives LIBOR rate
Intel: Pay LIBOR rate, Receives 5% fixed rate
The Hong Kong University of
Science and Technology

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Uses of Derivatives
1. Hedging

Transferring risk (ex: commodity producers and buyers)

2. Speculation

Betting on a view

3. Arbitrage

Capturing a risk-free profit

4. Diversification

Gain exposure to non-traditional assets (ex: weather)


Trade non-traditional views (ex: long volatility)

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Hedging Example
You are holding 400 shares of HSBC and are worried it
might fall. S=$60. The 1-month put option (X=$60)
costs $3.
You buy 1 put contract (400 puts) for $1200.
In one month, HSBCs price falls to $50.

Loss from stock = 400 x ($50-$60) = -$4000


Payoff from put option = 400 x $10 = $4000
Cost of put option = -$1200
The Hong Kong University of
Science and Technology

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Profit of each HSBC share with


and without Hedging
40

Profit at Expiration

30
20
10
0

Without Hedging

-10

With Hedging

-20
-30
-40
30

40 50 60 70 80
Stock Price at Expiration

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FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Speculation Example
You are bullish about HSBC and you have $24000 to
invest. Current price S=$60. The 1-month call option
(X=$60) costs $4. Compare 2 strategies:
A) You buy 400 shares of HSBC
B) You buy 15 call contracts (6000 calls since multiplier=400)
In one month, HSBCs price rises to $68
A) Profit = $3200, Return = $3200 / $24000 = 13.3%
B) Profit = 6000 x ($8 - $4), Ret = $24000/$24000 = 100%

Derivatives are highly levered !


Be careful, what if HSBC falls?
The Hong Kong University of
Science and Technology

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Disasters Involving Derivatives


Barings
This 200-year-old British bank was destroyed in 1995 by the
activities of one trader, Nick Leeson, in Singapore, who made big
bets on the future direction of the Nikkei 225 using futures and
options. The total loss was close to $1 billion.
Socit Gnrale
Jrme Kerviel lost over $7 billion speculating on the future direction
of European equity indices using futures in January 2008.
Sumitomo
A single trader working for this Japanese company lost about $2
billion in the copper spot, futures, and options market in the 1990s.
More from Hulls textbook (chapter 35.1)

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Disasters Involving Derivatives


A typical pattern
1) A trader is assigned to do hedging or arbitrage trades. These
are relatively dull, whereas speculation is exciting.
2) As time goes by, the trader thinks he or she can outguess the
market.
3) Slowly the trader becomes a speculator.
4) When a loss is made, the trader doubles up the bets in a
desperate attempt to recover the losses.
(Prospect Theory, Kahneman and Tversky 1979)
5) Losses become bigger and bigger.

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Derivatives: Good or Bad?


Investing in derivatives is a double-edged sword.
It can bring down companies if used irresponsibly.
But the main culprit is greed, not the derivative.
We have been using derivatives for thousands of
years and it has served the needs of its users.

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

Lessons to Learn
There should be strict risk limits, and traders need to be
closely monitored
Are they taking excessive risk? Too much leverage?
Are traders speculating when theyre not supposed to?
Keep risk managers separate from traders
Consider liquidity risk in stress tests
Reduce your position when too many people are following the
same strategy.
Make sure you fully understand the trades you are doing. If
you cant value the instrument, dont trade it!

The Hong Kong University of


Science and Technology

FINA 3203: Derivative Securities


Andrew Chiu

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