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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker

AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error

3260 Likely Voters


October 12-14, 2016

2.5%

1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
A lot . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73%
Some . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Not much . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
No attention so far . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

2. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential election in November?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .91%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Already voted early or by mail . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Dont know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

3. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary
Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you vote for?
Voters selecting someone else in the initial question were given a choice of a selection of third party candidates

Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .46%


Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Gary Johnson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Jill Stein . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Someone else . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Probably wont vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%

3300 registered voters total were interviewed in thirteen battleground states: Arizona, Colorado, Florida,
Georgia, Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and Wisconsin.
3260 likely voters are included.

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

4. Do you feel like that choice of [Candidate Choice] is:


Asked of respondents voting for a 3rd party candidate

Mainly because you like [Candidate Choice] . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%


Mainly to send a message against the major party candidates . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
A mix of both . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%

5. What is the main reason behind your vote for Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton in
November?
Asked of respondents voting for Trump

Mainly because I like Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%


Mainly because Donald Trump is the Republican nominee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Mainly to oppose Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%

6. What is the main reason behind your vote for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump in
November?
Asked of respondents voting for Clinton

Mainly because I like Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%


Mainly because Hillary Clinton is the Democratic nominee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22%
Mainly to oppose Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%

7. Would you ever consider voting for Donald Trump in November?


Asked of respondents not voting for Trump

Yes, I would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Maybe, theres still time left . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
No, I never would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87%

8. Would you ever consider voting for Hillary Clinton in November?


Asked of respondents not voting for Clinton

Yes, I would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Maybe, theres still time left . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
No, I never would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

9. Even though you arent supporting him/her now, do you feel like [Other Candidate Name] is
at least speaking to you and trying to earn your vote, or not?
Asked of respondents voting for Clinton or Trump

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93%

10. Whether or not youre supporting him, which of these describe your feeling toward Donald
Trump?

As a person
His economic
policies
His defense policies
His immigration
policies

Like a lot
14%

Like a little
22%

Dont like
63%

34%
31%

18%
19%

48%
50%

36%

14%

50%

11. Whether or not youre supporting her, which of these describe your feeling toward Hillary
Clinton?

As a person
Her economic
policies
Her defense policies
Her immigration
policies

Like a lot
25%

Like a little
22%

Dont like
53%

29%
25%

21%
25%

49%
49%

28%

22%

50%

12. If Donald Trump does not support your states Republican Senate candidate or a
Republican Congressional candidate, would that make you...
Asked of respondents voting for Trump

More likely to vote for that candidate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .4%


Less likely to vote for that candidate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
It wouldnt make a difference . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

13. After the last Presidential debate, did you come away feeling...

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump

More positive
28%
27%

Unchanged
38%
29%

More negative
33%
43%

14. Is there anything in the final upcoming Presidential debate that could change your mind
now?
Asked of respondents who have not already voted

Yes, theres still time left . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%


Maybe, but it would have to be big . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
No, Im just watching to root for my candidate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73%

15. Do you think each candidate is running for President mainly because they would use
Presidential power to:

Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump

Help
themselves
and their
friends
48%
45%

Help the
country
30%
33%

Both
18%
13%

Neither
4%
9%

16. Whether or not you like Hillary Clinton, how would you feel about a woman President,
generally?
That would be a good thing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
I dont think the nation is ready for that . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
It doesnt matter either way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

17. How much do the endorsements of each of these matter to you in your 2016 Presidential
vote?

Democratic Party
Leadership
Republican Party
Leadership

A lot

Some

Not much

Not at all

16%

16%

18%

50%

8%

14%

21%

57%

18. Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?

Is prepared to be
Commander in Chief
Will look out for
people like you
Respects men
Respects women
Has the character
required of a
President
Would bring change
to Washington
Tells the truth
Is a risky choice
Respects people of
all faiths

Describes

Does not describe

36%

64%

41%
65%
30%

59%
35%
70%

33%

67%

68%
39%
68%

32%
61%
32%

36%

64%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

19. Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?

Is prepared to be
Commander in Chief
Will look out for
people like you
Respects men
Respects women
Has the character
required of a
President
Would bring change
to Washington
Tells the truth
Is a risky choice
Respects people of
all faiths

Describes

Does not describe

54%

46%

43%
57%
62%

57%
43%
38%

49%

51%

34%
33%
53%

66%
67%
47%

56%

44%

20. Do the contents of Hillary Clintons leaked emails, containing past remarks and messages
between her staff, make you feel:
Her motives in private are different than she says in public . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55%
Her motives in private are the same as she says in public . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .8%
Neither, its just emails . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Havent heard enough about them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%

21. Which best describes how you feel about the videotapes in which Donald Trump talks
about making advances toward women?
People are making too much out of it . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
They are offensive, and they didnt change my vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .49%
They are offensive, so I cant support Trump now . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Havent heard enough about them . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

22. Do you think former President Bill Clinton and issues from the Bill Clinton Presidency are
relevant in this years campaign, or not?
Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%

23. Which comes closer to your view?


A President should be a role model, who also gets things done . . . . . . . . . . 66%
I dont need the President to be a role model, I just need them to get things done
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%

24. What should the Republican party do right now?


Get behind Donald Trump and help him win the Presidency . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Nothing, its Donald Trumps campaign . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Try to get Donald Trump to leave the race . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%

25. Why do you think some members of the Republican party are now opposing Donald
Trump?
Its their principles, they dont like what he stands for . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Its just political, theyre afraid to lose voters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
Both . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%

26. Do you think it is appropriate or inappropriate for Donald Trump to suggest that his justice
department might try to send Hillary Clinton to jail if he wins?
Appropriate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46%
Inappropriate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

27. Have you been personally contacted by a campaign, either to try to help you vote or to try
to persuade you to vote for them?

By the Clinton
campaign
By the Trump
campaign
By a Senate or
Congressional
campaign

Yes

No

Cant recall

28%

67%

5%

27%

68%

5%

32%

59%

9%

28. Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are living in the US?
They should be allowed to stay in the US and eventually apply for citizenship.
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50%
They should be allowed to stay in the US legally, but not be allowed to apply for
citizenship. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
They should be required to leave the US. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%

29. Do you think the U.S. should temporarily ban Muslims from other countries from entering
the United States, or not?
Should ban . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
Should not ban . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%

30. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .21%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

31. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a...?


Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .10%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1%

32. Do you feel the national Republican party represents people like you...
Asked of Republicans

Very well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12%


Somewhat well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
Not too well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Not at all . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

33. Do you feel the national Democratic party represents people like you...
Asked of Democrats

Very well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .36%


Somewhat well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%
Not too well . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
Not at all . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

34. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?


Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

35. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?


Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%

36. Has your pastor, bishop, or other church leader spoken to you about the 2016 Presidential
election?
Asked of respondents who attend church

Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85%

37. Are you male or female?


Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%

38. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19%

39. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?


White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

40. What is the highest level of education you have completed?


HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI
1. Attention to Campaign
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign so far?
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

73%
23%
4%
0%

81%
16%
2%
0%

65%
30%
5%
0%

68%
27%
4%
1%

67%
27%
7%
0%

74%
23%
2%
0%

82%
16%
2%
0%

76%
21%
3%
0%

58%
36%
5%
0%

70%
21%
9%
0%

67%
28%
3%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,999)

(961)

(1,038)

(337)

(482)

(792)

(388)

(1,545)

(245)

(124)

(85)

Party ID
A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

73%
23%
4%
0%

70%
25%
4%
0%

77%
20%
3%
0%

74%
23%
3%
0%

79%
20%
1%
0%

63%
30%
6%
0%

79%
18%
2%
0%

71%
25%
4%
0%

73%
23%
3%
0%

85%
14%
2%
0%

70%
26%
4%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,999)

(743)

(615)

(607)

(500)

(786)

(714)

(356)

(1,644)

(440)

(1,548)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

2. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential election in November?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Already voted early or by mail
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

91%
4%
1%
0%
0%
4%
0%

92%
3%
1%
0%
0%
4%
0%

90%
5%
1%
0%
0%
4%
0%

86%
7%
2%
0%
0%
4%
0%

91%
5%
1%
0%
0%
3%
0%

93%
4%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%

92%
1%
0%
0%
0%
7%
0%

92%
4%
1%
0%
0%
4%
0%

90%
5%
1%
0%
0%
4%
0%

91%
5%
1%
1%
0%
3%
0%

86%
3%
3%
0%
0%
8%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(2,000)

(961)

(1,039)

(337)

(483)

(792)

(388)

(1,545)

(245)

(124)

(85)

Party ID
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Already voted early or by mail
Dont know
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

91%
4%
1%
0%
0%
4%
0%

91%
3%
1%
0%
0%
5%
0%

91%
4%
1%
0%
0%
4%
0%

93%
4%
1%
0%
0%
3%
0%

90%
3%
0%
0%
0%
6%
0%

88%
6%
1%
0%
0%
4%
0%

95%
2%
0%
0%
0%
2%
0%

92%
5%
1%
0%
0%
2%
0%

91%
4%
1%
0%
0%
4%
0%

94%
3%
0%
0%
0%
3%
0%

90%
4%
1%
0%
0%
4%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(2,000)

(743)

(616)

(607)

(500)

(786)

(715)

(356)

(1,644)

(440)

(1,549)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

3. Presidential Vote 2016


If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you
vote for?
Voters selecting someone else in the initial question were given a choice of a selection of third party candidates

Gender
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Someone else
Not sure
Probably wont vote
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

46%
40%
6%
2%
2%
4%
0%

40%
44%
7%
1%
2%
4%
0%

51%
36%
4%
2%
3%
5%
0%

52%
22%
14%
3%
3%
5%
0%

45%
36%
7%
2%
4%
6%
0%

44%
45%
4%
1%
2%
4%
0%

45%
50%
1%
1%
1%
3%
0%

37%
47%
6%
1%
3%
5%
0%

90%
5%
1%
1%
1%
2%
0%

58%
30%
5%
3%
0%
3%
0%

50%
33%
7%
3%
2%
5%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,997)

(961)

(1,036)

(337)

(483)

(792)

(385)

(1,543)

(245)

(124)

(85)

Party ID
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Someone else
Not sure
Probably wont vote
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

46%
40%
6%
2%
2%
4%
0%

91%
4%
1%
1%
1%
2%
0%

32%
45%
11%
3%
3%
6%
0%

6%
78%
6%
1%
4%
5%
0%

87%
3%
3%
4%
1%
2%
0%

53%
31%
7%
1%
2%
6%
0%

8%
75%
6%
0%
4%
5%
0%

16%
67%
4%
1%
6%
6%
0%

52%
34%
6%
2%
2%
4%
0%

6%
81%
7%
1%
3%
3%
0%

57%
28%
5%
2%
2%
5%
0%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,997)

(742)

(615)

(606)

(498)

(784)

(715)

(356)

(1,641)

(440)

(1,546)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

4. Why Voting for 3rd Party


Do you feel like that choice of [Candidate Choice] is:
Asked of respondents voting for a 3rd party candidate

Gender
Mainly because you like [Candidate
Choice]
Mainly to send a message against the
major party candidates
A mix of both
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

17%

20%

12%

24%

16%

31%
52%

29%
51%

33%
55%

27%
49%

28%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(82)

(61)

(58)

100%

(143)

(43)

(35)

Party ID
Mainly because you like [Candidate
Choice]
Mainly to send a message against the
major party candidates
A mix of both
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

(7)

(119)

Ideology

(4)

(11)

(9)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

17%

22%

16%

18%

17%

31%
52%

26%
52%

29%
55%

30%
52%

33%
50%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%
(143)

(14)

(86)

(42)

(33)

(61)

(49)

(16)

(127)

(32)

(111)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

5. Why Voting for Trump


What is the main reason behind your vote for Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton in November?
Asked of respondents voting for Trump

Gender
Mainly because I like Donald Trump
Mainly because Donald Trump is the
Republican nominee
Mainly to oppose Hillary Clinton
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

37%

36%

37%

35%

36%

41%

31%

36%

9%
54%

8%
56%

10%
53%

10%
54%

11%
54%

9%
51%

8%
61%

9%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(793)

(424)

(369)

(75)

(175)

(355)

(188)

(716)

Party ID
Mainly because I like Donald Trump
Mainly because Donald Trump is the
Republican nominee
Mainly to oppose Hillary Clinton
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(12)

(38)

White Evangelical

(28)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

37%

36%

37%

39%

36%

40%

35%

40%

34%

9%
54%

4%
60%

13%
50%

7%
54%

10%
54%

10%
50%

9%
56%

7%
53%

11%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(470)

100%

(278)

(242)

(535)

(238)

(554)

(353)

(437)

100%
(793)

(33)

(15)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

6. Why Voting for Clinton


What is the main reason behind your vote for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump in November?
Asked of respondents voting for Clinton

Gender
Mainly because I like Hillary Clinton
Mainly because Hillary Clinton is the
Democratic nominee
Mainly to oppose Donald Trump
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

47%

46%

48%

41%

42%

50%

53%

49%

45%

50%

22%
31%

18%
36%

24%
28%

21%
38%

22%
35%

22%
27%

19%
28%

17%
34%

34%
21%

19%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(908)

(387)

(520)

(173)

(216)

(347)

(173)

(576)

(220)

(69)

Party ID
Mainly because I like Hillary Clinton
Mainly because Hillary Clinton is the
Democratic nominee
Mainly to oppose Donald Trump
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(43)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

47%

51%

37%

50%

45%

40%

45%

47%

47%

22%
31%

26%
23%

8%
55%

23%
26%

19%
36%

22%
37%

16%
39%

22%
31%

21%
31%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(194)

(435)

(412)

(61)

(57)

(850)

100%

(671)

100%

(908)

(32)

(25)

(878)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

7. Consider Trump
Would you ever consider voting for Donald Trump in November?
Asked of respondents not voting for Trump

Gender
Yes, I would
Maybe, theres still time left
No, I never would
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

2%
11%
87%

3%
13%
84%

1%
9%
90%

4%
10%
86%

1%
14%
85%

2%
11%
87%

0%
7%
93%

2%
13%
85%

1%
4%
95%

0%
10%
89%

1%
5%
94%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,203)

(535)

(667)

(262)

(307)

(437)

(197)

(827)

(233)

(86)

(57)

Party ID
Yes, I would
Maybe, theres still time left
No, I never would
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

2%
11%
87%

1%
4%
95%

3%
15%
83%

4%
36%
60%

0%
4%
96%

1%
11%
88%

8%
31%
62%

6%
28%
66%

1%
9%
90%

14%
30%
56%

1%
9%
90%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,203)

(710)

(336)

(134)

(484)

(543)

(176)

(118)

(1,085)

(86)

(1,108)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

8. Consider Clinton
Would you ever consider voting for Hillary Clinton in November?
Asked of respondents not voting for Clinton

Gender
Yes, I would
Maybe, theres still time left
No, I never would
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

2%
8%
90%

2%
8%
91%

3%
9%
88%

7%
15%
77%

2%
11%
86%

1%
5%
94%

1%
5%
94%

2%
7%
91%

1%
7%
92%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(573)

(511)

(162)

(267)

(444)

(212)

(964)

100%

(1,084)

Party ID
Yes, I would
Maybe, theres still time left
No, I never would
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Ideology

(25)

(52)

White Evangelical

(43)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

2%
8%
90%

8%
30%
62%

3%
7%
90%

1%
6%
94%

10%
24%
66%

3%
13%
84%

1%
4%
95%

3%
5%
92%

2%
9%
89%

1%
4%
95%

3%
11%
86%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,084)

(71)

(420)

(570)

(65)

(367)

(653)

(298)

(787)

(414)

(664)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

9. Candidates Speaking to You


Even though you arent supporting him/her now, do you feel like [Other Candidate Name] is at least speaking to you and trying to earn your vote, or not?
Asked of respondents voting for Clinton or Trump

Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

7%
93%

8%
92%

6%
94%

15%
85%

7%
93%

4%
96%

7%
93%

7%
93%

5%
95%

13%
87%

5%
95%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,706)

(811)

(895)

(251)

(390)

(702)

(363)

(1,296)

(231)

(109)

(70)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

7%
93%

7%
93%

5%
95%

9%
91%

6%
94%

9%
91%

6%
94%

9%
91%

7%
93%

7%
93%

7%
93%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,706)

(703)

(473)

(508)

(450)

(657)

(598)

(296)

(1,410)

(379)

(1,320)

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

10. Like Donald Trump As a person


Whether or not youre supporting him, which of these describe your feeling toward Donald Trump?
Gender
Like a lot
Like a little
Dont like
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

14%
22%
63%

15%
27%
59%

13%
19%
68%

8%
14%
78%

13%
20%
67%

15%
26%
59%

18%
26%
56%

16%
25%
59%

3%
9%
88%

12%
19%
69%

15%
16%
70%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,977)

(951)

(1,026)

(333)

(477)

(784)

(384)

(1,530)

(240)

(124)

(84)

Party ID
Like a lot
Like a little
Dont like
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

14%
22%
63%

2%
7%
91%

14%
27%
58%

28%
37%
34%

2%
5%
93%

10%
21%
69%

27%
36%
37%

25%
34%
40%

12%
20%
69%

29%
41%
30%

10%
17%
73%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,977)

(739)

(607)

(599)

(498)

(773)

(706)

(353)

(1,624)

(434)

(1,534)

10

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

11. Like Donald Trump His economic policies


Whether or not youre supporting him, which of these describe your feeling toward Donald Trump?
Gender
Like a lot
Like a little
Dont like
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

34%
18%
48%

38%
20%
43%

31%
17%
52%

21%
17%
62%

29%
27%
44%

38%
16%
45%

42%
13%
45%

39%
20%
40%

5%
7%
88%

30%
16%
55%

29%
18%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,976)

(952)

(1,024)

(332)

(478)

(782)

(384)

(1,527)

(241)

(123)

(84)

Party ID
Like a lot
Like a little
Dont like
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

34%
18%
48%

5%
10%
85%

39%
23%
39%

66%
24%
10%

3%
7%
89%

27%
20%
54%

64%
25%
11%

56%
28%
16%

29%
16%
54%

71%
19%
11%

24%
18%
58%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,976)

(737)

(607)

(598)

(498)

(773)

(705)

(352)

(1,624)

(439)

(1,532)

11

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

12. Like Donald Trump His defense policies


Whether or not youre supporting him, which of these describe your feeling toward Donald Trump?
Gender
Like a lot
Like a little
Dont like
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

31%
19%
50%

33%
22%
44%

28%
17%
55%

19%
20%
62%

26%
24%
50%

35%
19%
47%

39%
15%
46%

35%
21%
43%

5%
7%
88%

25%
19%
56%

25%
22%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,977)

(953)

(1,024)

(332)

(478)

(784)

(383)

(1,528)

(242)

(123)

(84)

Party ID
Like a lot
Like a little
Dont like
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

31%
19%
50%

5%
7%
88%

35%
24%
41%

59%
30%
12%

3%
7%
90%

23%
20%
57%

58%
27%
14%

55%
25%
20%

25%
18%
56%

63%
27%
10%

21%
17%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,977)

(738)

(606)

(599)

(497)

(774)

(706)

(352)

(1,624)

(436)

(1,533)

12

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

13. Like Donald Trump His immigration policies


Whether or not youre supporting him, which of these describe your feeling toward Donald Trump?
Gender
Like a lot
Like a little
Dont like
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

36%
14%
50%

40%
14%
46%

32%
13%
55%

23%
12%
65%

30%
19%
52%

41%
13%
47%

45%
10%
45%

41%
15%
43%

6%
5%
88%

30%
9%
60%

30%
10%
59%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,978)

(951)

(1,027)

(332)

(480)

(784)

(382)

(1,528)

(242)

(123)

(84)

Party ID
Like a lot
Like a little
Dont like
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

36%
14%
50%

7%
6%
88%

42%
16%
42%

67%
21%
13%

5%
3%
92%

28%
15%
58%

66%
19%
14%

58%
20%
22%

31%
12%
57%

73%
15%
12%

25%
13%
62%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,978)

(737)

(608)

(599)

(496)

(776)

(706)

(352)

(1,626)

(437)

(1,533)

13

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

14. Like Hillary Clinton As a person


Whether or not youre supporting her, which of these describe your feeling toward Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Like a lot
Like a little
Dont like
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

25%
22%
53%

20%
22%
58%

29%
23%
48%

24%
29%
47%

22%
25%
53%

24%
21%
55%

28%
17%
55%

18%
21%
61%

64%
25%
11%

32%
25%
43%

20%
27%
53%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,978)

(952)

(1,026)

(332)

(480)

(784)

(383)

(1,526)

(244)

(124)

(84)

Party ID
Like a lot
Like a little
Dont like
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

25%
22%
53%

55%
33%
12%

10%
23%
67%

2%
8%
90%

49%
35%
16%

27%
28%
45%

5%
7%
89%

10%
12%
78%

28%
25%
48%

4%
7%
90%

31%
27%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,978)

(740)

(609)

(597)

(498)

(777)

(703)

(351)

(1,627)

(432)

(1,536)

14

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

15. Like Hillary Clinton Her economic policies


Whether or not youre supporting her, which of these describe your feeling toward Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Like a lot
Like a little
Dont like
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

29%
21%
49%

25%
19%
55%

33%
23%
43%

31%
30%
39%

27%
23%
50%

28%
20%
52%

34%
16%
51%

23%
20%
57%

66%
25%
9%

35%
25%
40%

24%
35%
42%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,972)

(953)

(1,020)

(331)

(478)

(779)

(384)

(1,524)

(242)

(123)

(84)

Party ID
Like a lot
Like a little
Dont like
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

29%
21%
49%

63%
30%
7%

17%
23%
60%

2%
8%
90%

56%
33%
10%

34%
26%
39%

5%
7%
88%

12%
12%
75%

33%
23%
44%

4%
7%
89%

37%
25%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,972)

(738)

(607)

(593)

(497)

(775)

(701)

(351)

(1,621)

(433)

(1,534)

15

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

16. Like Hillary Clinton Her defense policies


Whether or not youre supporting her, which of these describe your feeling toward Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Like a lot
Like a little
Dont like
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

25%
25%
49%

20%
26%
54%

30%
24%
45%

27%
32%
42%

23%
28%
50%

25%
23%
52%

30%
20%
50%

19%
25%
56%

61%
26%
13%

34%
25%
40%

19%
35%
46%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,978)

(956)

(1,022)

(332)

(479)

(784)

(384)

(1,528)

(243)

(123)

(83)

Party ID
Like a lot
Like a little
Dont like
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

25%
25%
49%

55%
34%
11%

13%
25%
62%

3%
14%
83%

46%
37%
16%

31%
29%
40%

5%
12%
82%

11%
12%
76%

29%
28%
43%

5%
12%
83%

31%
29%
40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,978)

(738)

(609)

(597)

(497)

(778)

(703)

(351)

(1,627)

(435)

(1,537)

16

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

17. Like Hillary Clinton Her immigration policies


Whether or not youre supporting her, which of these describe your feeling toward Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Like a lot
Like a little
Dont like
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

28%
22%
50%

25%
21%
54%

32%
23%
46%

34%
31%
35%

25%
26%
49%

27%
20%
54%

31%
14%
55%

23%
20%
57%

59%
30%
11%

39%
23%
38%

26%
30%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,977)

(955)

(1,022)

(332)

(479)

(783)

(384)

(1,527)

(243)

(123)

(83)

Party ID
Like a lot
Like a little
Dont like
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

28%
22%
50%

60%
30%
10%

15%
25%
60%

4%
8%
88%

60%
30%
10%

29%
30%
40%

5%
7%
88%

10%
13%
78%

33%
24%
43%

4%
6%
90%

35%
26%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,977)

(739)

(609)

(594)

(498)

(778)

(701)

(351)

(1,626)

(433)

(1,539)

17

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

18. Impact of Trump Support Down Ballot


If Donald Trump does not support your states Republican Senate candidate or a Republican Congressional candidate, would that make you...
Asked of respondents voting for Trump

Gender
More likely to vote for that candidate
Less likely to vote for that candidate
It wouldnt make a difference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

4%
10%
86%

5%
12%
83%

3%
8%
88%

8%
11%
81%

3%
9%
87%

4%
11%
84%

3%
8%
89%

4%
10%
86%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(795)

(424)

(371)

(75)

(175)

(354)

(190)

(717)

Party ID
More likely to vote for that candidate
Less likely to vote for that candidate
It wouldnt make a difference
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(12)

(38)

White Evangelical

(28)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

4%
10%
86%

2%
12%
86%

5%
9%
86%

4%
11%
85%

4%
10%
86%

7%
10%
83%

3%
10%
87%

4%
12%
84%

4%
9%
87%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(472)

100%

(278)

(242)

(537)

(238)

(557)

(354)

(439)

100%
(795)

(33)

(15)

18

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

19. Feeling After Debate Hillary Clinton


After the last Presidential debate, did you come away feeling...
Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

More positive
Unchanged
More negative

28%
38%
33%

24%
38%
37%

32%
39%
30%

32%
43%
24%

27%
43%
30%

28%
35%
37%

27%
35%
38%

22%
39%
38%

60%
35%
4%

39%
31%
30%

31%
41%
28%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,974)

(947)

(1,028)

(333)

(480)

(778)

(383)

(1,521)

(245)

(123)

(85)

Party ID

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

More positive
Unchanged
More negative

28%
38%
33%

58%
36%
5%

15%
43%
42%

4%
36%
59%

52%
42%
7%

32%
41%
27%

7%
33%
59%

11%
37%
52%

32%
39%
29%

5%
30%
64%

35%
41%
25%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,974)

(741)

(610)

(590)

(498)

(777)

(700)

(348)

(1,626)

(432)

(1,534)

19

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

20. Feeling After Debate Donald Trump


After the last Presidential debate, did you come away feeling...
Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

More positive
Unchanged
More negative

27%
29%
43%

32%
29%
39%

23%
29%
48%

16%
28%
56%

23%
36%
41%

33%
25%
41%

30%
31%
39%

31%
31%
38%

4%
26%
70%

23%
21%
56%

26%
24%
50%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,979)

(952)

(1,027)

(332)

(482)

(783)

(381)

(1,531)

(241)

(122)

(83)

Party ID

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

More positive
Unchanged
More negative

27%
29%
43%

4%
22%
74%

33%
31%
36%

51%
36%
14%

4%
21%
74%

20%
30%
50%

51%
34%
15%

46%
34%
21%

23%
28%
48%

60%
29%
11%

18%
29%
53%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,979)

(732)

(612)

(602)

(492)

(777)

(709)

(353)

(1,625)

(440)

(1,531)

20

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

21. Potential of Debate to Change Mind


Is there anything in the final upcoming Presidential debate that could change your mind now?
Asked of respondents who have not already voted

Gender
Yes, theres still time left
Maybe, but it would have to be big
No, Im just watching to root for my
candidate
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

4%
23%

4%
25%

4%
21%

5%
31%

6%
26%

3%
21%

2%
17%

3%
24%

6%
14%

5%
20%

8%
28%

73%

71%

75%

64%

68%

76%

81%

72%

80%

75%

64%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,990)

(958)

(1,032)

(335)

(481)

(788)

(386)

(1,535)

(245)

(124)

(85)

Party ID
Yes, theres still time left
Maybe, but it would have to be big
No, Im just watching to root for my
candidate
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

4%
23%

4%
14%

4%
30%

4%
25%

2%
17%

5%
25%

4%
25%

5%
27%

4%
22%

6%
24%

3%
23%

73%

82%

65%

71%

81%

70%

71%

68%

74%

70%

74%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,990)

(741)

(613)

(602)

(500)

(782)

(708)

(354)

(1,636)

(440)

(1,542)

21

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

22. Candidate Motivation for Running Hillary Clinton


Do you think each candidate is running for President mainly because they would use Presidential power to:
Gender
Help themselves and their friends
Help the country
Both
Neither
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

48%
30%
18%
4%

53%
26%
17%
3%

43%
34%
18%
5%

34%
28%
30%
8%

49%
26%
20%
5%

52%
32%
14%
2%

50%
35%
11%
4%

54%
25%
17%
4%

8%
63%
25%
4%

42%
38%
16%
4%

48%
27%
22%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,990)

(958)

(1,032)

(334)

(481)

(789)

(386)

(1,537)

(245)

(123)

(85)

Party ID
Help themselves and their friends
Help the country
Both
Neither
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

48%
30%
18%
4%

10%
62%
25%
3%

60%
18%
18%
4%

82%
4%
9%
5%

11%
58%
28%
3%

39%
35%
21%
5%

83%
6%
7%
4%

76%
10%
10%
4%

42%
35%
19%
4%

88%
3%
5%
4%

36%
38%
21%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,990)

(741)

(615)

(600)

(498)

(783)

(708)

(353)

(1,637)

(437)

(1,545)

22

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

23. Candidate Motivation for Running Donald Trump


Do you think each candidate is running for President mainly because they would use Presidential power to:
Gender
Help themselves and their friends
Help the country
Both
Neither
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

45%
33%
13%
9%

42%
36%
15%
7%

48%
29%
13%
10%

60%
13%
15%
13%

44%
27%
17%
12%

42%
39%
12%
7%

39%
44%
11%
6%

40%
38%
15%
7%

70%
6%
5%
19%

50%
27%
8%
15%

48%
23%
17%
13%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,987)

(958)

(1,029)

(334)

(480)

(788)

(384)

(1,535)

(244)

(124)

(85)

Party ID
Help themselves and their friends
Help the country
Both
Neither
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

45%
33%
13%
9%

75%
4%
8%
14%

39%
40%
15%
7%

14%
62%
19%
5%

78%
3%
7%
12%

51%
25%
15%
10%

15%
62%
17%
5%

23%
53%
19%
5%

50%
28%
12%
10%

10%
67%
18%
5%

55%
23%
12%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,987)

(739)

(614)

(600)

(497)

(779)

(710)

(353)

(1,634)

(439)

(1,539)

23

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

24. Woman President


Whether or not you like Hillary Clinton, how would you feel about a woman President, generally?
Gender
That would be a good thing
I dont think the nation is ready for that
It doesnt matter either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

50%
9%
41%

43%
8%
49%

57%
10%
33%

57%
10%
33%

53%
9%
37%

48%
8%
44%

45%
11%
44%

46%
10%
44%

71%
4%
26%

61%
13%
26%

53%
9%
38%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,996)

(960)

(1,036)

(335)

(483)

(791)

(387)

(1,542)

(245)

(124)

(85)

Party ID
That would be a good thing
I dont think the nation is ready for that
It doesnt matter either way
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

50%
9%
41%

79%
3%
18%

44%
7%
49%

22%
18%
60%

82%
3%
14%

54%
9%
37%

24%
13%
63%

27%
18%
55%

55%
7%
38%

22%
12%
66%

58%
8%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,996)

(742)

(615)

(604)

(499)

(785)

(711)

(353)

(1,642)

(440)

(1,547)

24

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

25. Impact of Endorsements of State Political Leaders Democratic Party Leadership


How much do the endorsements of each of these matter to you in your 2016 Presidential vote?
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

16%
16%
18%
50%

13%
13%
17%
56%

18%
18%
18%
45%

18%
22%
20%
41%

13%
16%
17%
54%

15%
13%
17%
54%

18%
16%
18%
48%

9%
15%
18%
57%

50%
18%
16%
16%

23%
17%
21%
39%

27%
18%
9%
46%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,982)

(955)

(1,027)

(332)

(480)

(789)

(380)

(1,532)

(245)

(121)

(83)

Party ID
A lot
Some
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

16%
16%
18%
50%

36%
27%
17%
20%

5%
11%
16%
68%

3%
7%
20%
71%

26%
30%
19%
26%

19%
16%
19%
46%

6%
6%
16%
73%

7%
10%
17%
66%

18%
17%
18%
47%

4%
5%
14%
77%

19%
19%
19%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,982)

(739)

(615)

(595)

(497)

(780)

(704)

(350)

(1,632)

(438)

(1,537)

25

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

26. Impact of Endorsements of State Political Leaders Republican Party Leadership


How much do the endorsements of each of these matter to you in your 2016 Presidential vote?
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

8%
14%
21%
57%

7%
13%
21%
59%

8%
15%
21%
56%

6%
16%
24%
53%

8%
13%
20%
59%

7%
12%
20%
61%

10%
16%
22%
52%

8%
14%
22%
56%

6%
10%
18%
67%

9%
20%
18%
53%

9%
15%
20%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,977)

(954)

(1,023)

(328)

(481)

(784)

(384)

(1,533)

(236)

(122)

(85)

Party ID
A lot
Some
Not much
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

8%
14%
21%
57%

5%
9%
20%
66%

4%
11%
20%
65%

14%
23%
24%
39%

5%
8%
20%
67%

7%
13%
19%
61%

10%
19%
25%
47%

13%
20%
21%
46%

6%
13%
21%
60%

7%
18%
24%
51%

8%
13%
20%
59%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,977)

(731)

(613)

(599)

(491)

(781)

(704)

(351)

(1,626)

(437)

(1,533)

26

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

27. Trump Traits Is prepared to be Commander in Chief


Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

36%
64%

40%
60%

32%
68%

21%
79%

33%
67%

41%
59%

44%
56%

41%
59%

7%
93%

31%
69%

34%
66%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,970)

(950)

(1,020)

(332)

(473)

(781)

(384)

(1,530)

(234)

(122)

(84)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

36%
64%

7%
93%

41%
59%

67%
33%

4%
96%

29%
71%

67%
33%

61%
39%

31%
69%

71%
29%

26%
74%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,970)

(733)

(608)

(596)

(495)

(772)

(703)

(355)

(1,615)

(436)

(1,523)

27

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

28. Trump Traits Will look out for people like you
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

41%
59%

46%
54%

37%
63%

26%
74%

38%
62%

46%
54%

49%
51%

48%
52%

8%
92%

33%
67%

36%
64%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,974)

(955)

(1,019)

(332)

(474)

(783)

(384)

(1,531)

(237)

(121)

(84)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

41%
59%

7%
93%

48%
52%

78%
22%

6%
94%

32%
68%

77%
23%

68%
32%

36%
64%

81%
19%

30%
70%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,974)

(735)

(609)

(597)

(498)

(774)

(701)

(353)

(1,621)

(434)

(1,532)

28

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

29. Trump Traits Respects men


Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

65%
35%

67%
33%

63%
37%

61%
39%

67%
33%

65%
35%

66%
34%

70%
30%

40%
60%

59%
41%

57%
43%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,967)

(951)

(1,016)

(329)

(473)

(781)

(383)

(1,531)

(232)

(120)

(83)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

65%
35%

45%
55%

67%
33%

87%
13%

46%
54%

59%
41%

84%
16%

81%
19%

61%
39%

87%
13%

59%
41%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,967)

(732)

(609)

(592)

(496)

(771)

(700)

(355)

(1,611)

(430)

(1,526)

29

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

30. Trump Traits Respects women


Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

30%
70%

34%
66%

27%
73%

18%
82%

26%
74%

36%
64%

34%
66%

34%
66%

6%
94%

25%
75%

26%
74%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,969)

(950)

(1,019)

(332)

(473)

(782)

(381)

(1,529)

(235)

(123)

(82)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

30%
70%

5%
95%

36%
64%

55%
45%

3%
97%

23%
77%

56%
44%

49%
51%

26%
74%

64%
36%

21%
79%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,969)

(732)

(608)

(595)

(497)

(770)

(702)

(353)

(1,616)

(435)

(1,523)

30

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

31. Trump Traits Has the character required of a President


Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%
67%

37%
63%

30%
70%

23%
77%

28%
72%

38%
62%

38%
62%

37%
63%

8%
92%

28%
72%

28%
72%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,968)

(951)

(1,016)

(332)

(474)

(779)

(383)

(1,531)

(236)

(120)

(82)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

33%
67%

5%
95%

38%
62%

61%
39%

4%
96%

27%
73%

60%
40%

54%
46%

29%
71%

68%
32%

23%
77%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,968)

(733)

(607)

(594)

(496)

(769)

(702)

(355)

(1,613)

(432)

(1,525)

31

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

32. Trump Traits Would bring change to Washington


Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

68%
32%

72%
28%

64%
36%

59%
41%

68%
32%

69%
31%

71%
29%

74%
26%

33%
67%

55%
45%

67%
33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,974)

(953)

(1,022)

(332)

(473)

(784)

(385)

(1,533)

(236)

(121)

(84)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

68%
32%

42%
58%

76%
24%

91%
9%

45%
55%

62%
38%

90%
10%

87%
13%

63%
37%

90%
10%

61%
39%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,974)

(732)

(612)

(597)

(496)

(775)

(704)

(353)

(1,622)

(434)

(1,532)

32

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

33. Trump Traits Tells the truth


Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

39%
61%

42%
58%

36%
64%

28%
72%

37%
63%

43%
57%

42%
58%

44%
56%

8%
92%

36%
64%

31%
69%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,969)

(954)

(1,015)

(332)

(473)

(780)

(384)

(1,528)

(236)

(121)

(83)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

39%
61%

7%
93%

45%
55%

72%
28%

5%
95%

32%
68%

70%
30%

63%
37%

34%
66%

74%
26%

29%
71%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,969)

(733)

(608)

(594)

(497)

(772)

(700)

(353)

(1,616)

(433)

(1,527)

33

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

34. Trump Traits Is a risky choice


Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

68%
32%

68%
32%

68%
32%

85%
15%

75%
25%

63%
37%

56%
44%

67%
33%

72%
28%

73%
27%

73%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,969)

(949)

(1,020)

(330)

(472)

(783)

(384)

(1,534)

(231)

(121)

(84)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

68%
32%

81%
19%

66%
34%

55%
45%

86%
14%

73%
27%

51%
49%

57%
43%

71%
29%

45%
55%

75%
25%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,969)

(733)

(609)

(593)

(497)

(772)

(700)

(353)

(1,616)

(430)

(1,528)

34

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

35. Trump Traits Respects people of all faiths


Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

36%
64%

40%
60%

32%
68%

19%
81%

30%
70%

41%
59%

46%
54%

41%
59%

9%
91%

30%
70%

28%
72%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,969)

(953)

(1,016)

(330)

(473)

(781)

(385)

(1,529)

(235)

(121)

(83)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

36%
64%

5%
95%

42%
58%

68%
32%

4%
96%

27%
73%

67%
33%

59%
41%

31%
69%

75%
25%

25%
75%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,969)

(731)

(610)

(594)

(495)

(772)

(702)

(353)

(1,616)

(433)

(1,527)

35

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

36. Clinton Traits Is prepared to be Commander in Chief


Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

54%
46%

51%
49%

57%
43%

64%
36%

56%
44%

50%
50%

50%
50%

47%
53%

92%
8%

63%
37%

56%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,978)

(952)

(1,026)

(331)

(477)

(786)

(384)

(1,536)

(238)

(120)

(84)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

54%
46%

92%
8%

44%
56%

18%
82%

92%
8%

62%
38%

19%
81%

27%
73%

60%
40%

15%
85%

65%
35%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,978)

(735)

(610)

(601)

(496)

(776)

(706)

(356)

(1,622)

(434)

(1,535)

36

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

37. Clinton Traits Will look out for people like you
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

43%
57%

37%
63%

49%
51%

48%
52%

41%
59%

42%
58%

44%
56%

36%
64%

86%
14%

53%
47%

45%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,972)

(949)

(1,023)

(329)

(479)

(783)

(381)

(1,531)

(238)

(120)

(82)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

43%
57%

85%
15%

29%
71%

6%
94%

80%
20%

51%
49%

9%
91%

18%
82%

49%
51%

8%
92%

53%
47%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,972)

(734)

(607)

(598)

(496)

(774)

(703)

(353)

(1,619)

(431)

(1,533)

37

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

38. Clinton Traits Respects men


Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

57%
43%

51%
49%

63%
37%

68%
32%

63%
37%

51%
49%

54%
46%

52%
48%

91%
9%

67%
33%

53%
47%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,971)

(950)

(1,021)

(329)

(477)

(783)

(382)

(1,531)

(237)

(120)

(84)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

57%
43%

93%
7%

46%
54%

25%
75%

92%
8%

66%
34%

24%
76%

33%
67%

63%
37%

19%
81%

68%
32%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,971)

(731)

(607)

(601)

(494)

(773)

(704)

(355)

(1,616)

(433)

(1,529)

38

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

39. Clinton Traits Respects women


Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

62%
38%

57%
43%

67%
33%

76%
24%

64%
36%

57%
43%

58%
42%

57%
43%

92%
8%

67%
33%

63%
37%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,972)

(948)

(1,024)

(327)

(477)

(786)

(382)

(1,531)

(238)

(119)

(84)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

62%
38%

95%
5%

49%
51%

34%
66%

94%
6%

71%
29%

29%
71%

40%
60%

67%
33%

22%
78%

73%
27%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,972)

(735)

(607)

(597)

(496)

(776)

(699)

(351)

(1,620)

(432)

(1,533)

39

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

40. Clinton Traits Has the character required of a President


Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

49%
51%

44%
56%

54%
46%

58%
42%

50%
50%

45%
55%

47%
53%

42%
58%

91%
9%

57%
43%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,972)

(950)

(1,022)

(331)

(477)

(780)

(383)

(1,531)

(237)

(120)

(84)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

49%
51%

90%
10%

36%
64%

11%
89%

88%
12%

56%
44%

13%
87%

21%
79%

55%
45%

11%
89%

60%
40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,972)

(734)

(607)

(599)

(495)

(773)

(704)

(355)

(1,617)

(432)

(1,531)

40

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

41. Clinton Traits Would bring change to Washington


Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

34%
66%

25%
75%

42%
58%

39%
61%

31%
69%

32%
68%

35%
65%

26%
74%

75%
25%

42%
58%

38%
62%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,975)

(951)

(1,023)

(328)

(478)

(788)

(381)

(1,530)

(237)

(123)

(85)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

34%
66%

65%
35%

20%
80%

10%
90%

55%
45%

39%
61%

13%
87%

20%
80%

37%
63%

13%
87%

40%
60%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,975)

(733)

(609)

(600)

(494)

(776)

(704)

(353)

(1,622)

(436)

(1,532)

41

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

42. Clinton Traits Tells the truth


Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

33%
67%

28%
72%

37%
63%

34%
66%

30%
70%

33%
67%

33%
67%

26%
74%

72%
28%

43%
57%

31%
69%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,972)

(949)

(1,023)

(329)

(477)

(786)

(381)

(1,531)

(236)

(120)

(84)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

33%
67%

68%
32%

19%
81%

4%
96%

63%
37%

36%
64%

7%
93%

12%
88%

37%
63%

6%
94%

40%
60%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,972)

(731)

(610)

(598)

(493)

(776)

(703)

(355)

(1,617)

(431)

(1,532)

42

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

43. Clinton Traits Is a risky choice


Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

53%
47%

56%
44%

50%
50%

51%
49%

55%
45%

54%
46%

48%
52%

56%
44%

29%
71%

52%
48%

51%
49%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,977)

(950)

(1,027)

(331)

(478)

(786)

(383)

(1,535)

(238)

(119)

(85)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

53%
47%

23%
77%

60%
40%

81%
19%

20%
80%

48%
52%

81%
19%

75%
25%

48%
52%

85%
15%

43%
57%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,977)

(733)

(610)

(602)

(495)

(777)

(706)

(356)

(1,621)

(433)

(1,534)

43

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

44. Clinton Traits Respects people of all faiths


Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

56%
44%

51%
49%

61%
39%

69%
31%

58%
42%

52%
48%

52%
48%

50%
50%

92%
8%

62%
38%

55%
45%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,976)

(951)

(1,024)

(328)

(476)

(788)

(383)

(1,530)

(238)

(123)

(84)

Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

56%
44%

94%
6%

44%
56%

23%
77%

93%
7%

66%
34%

20%
80%

27%
73%

62%
38%

15%
85%

68%
32%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,976)

(734)

(610)

(601)

(497)

(774)

(705)

(353)

(1,622)

(433)

(1,534)

44

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

45. Clintons Emails


Do the contents of Hillary Clintons leaked emails, containing past remarks and messages between her staff, make you feel:
Gender
Her motives in private are different
than she says in public
Her motives in private are the same
as she says in public
Neither, its just emails
Havent heard enough about them
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

55%

60%

50%

52%

55%

56%

56%

62%

16%

49%

55%

8%
29%
8%

9%
27%
4%

8%
31%
11%

11%
27%
11%

9%
28%
9%

7%
29%
7%

6%
33%
6%

7%
25%
6%

13%
52%
19%

12%
29%
10%

6%
35%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,993)

(960)

(1,033)

(334)

(482)

(790)

(387)

(1,542)

(245)

(121)

(85)

Party ID
Her motives in private are different
than she says in public
Her motives in private are the same
as she says in public
Neither, its just emails
Havent heard enough about them
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

55%

19%

66%

88%

21%

49%

85%

77%

50%

89%

45%

8%
29%
8%

14%
56%
11%

6%
21%
7%

3%
5%
4%

13%
57%
9%

8%
32%
11%

5%
6%
4%

6%
10%
6%

8%
33%
8%

5%
4%
2%

9%
37%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,993)

(743)

(615)

(601)

(499)

(785)

(709)

(353)

(1,641)

(438)

(1,548)

45

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

46. Trump Tapes


Which best describes how you feel about the videotapes in which Donald Trump talks about making advances toward women?
Gender
People are making too much out of it
They are offensive, and they didnt
change my vote
They are offensive, so I cant support
Trump now
Havent heard enough about them
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

30%

35%

26%

18%

30%

35%

33%

35%

49%

46%

51%

63%

50%

45%

43%

18%
3%

17%
2%

19%
4%

15%
4%

17%
4%

17%
2%

22%
2%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,995)

(958)

(1,037)

(336)

(482)

(791)

Party ID
Total
People are making too much out of it
They are offensive, and they didnt
change my vote
They are offensive, so I cant support
Trump now
Havent heard enough about them
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Democrat

Hispanic

Other

7%

24%

26%

49%

44%

49%

53%

14%
2%

41%
8%

21%
5%

20%
1%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(386)

(1,541)

(245)

(124)

(85)

Ideology

Independent

Republican

Liberal

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

30%

8%

37%

52%

6%

28%

51%

45%

27%

57%

23%

49%

56%

48%

40%

63%

48%

40%

42%

50%

36%

52%

18%
3%

33%
4%

12%
3%

5%
3%

30%
2%

20%
5%

8%
2%

10%
3%

19%
3%

4%
2%

22%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,995)

(740)

(615)

(606)

(498)

(784)

(713)

(354)

(1,640)

(440)

(1,545)

46

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

47. Bill Clinton Relevance This Year


Do you think former President Bill Clinton and issues from the Bill Clinton Presidency are relevant in this years campaign, or not?
Gender
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

46%
54%

52%
48%

40%
60%

36%
64%

44%
56%

50%
50%

46%
54%

51%
49%

12%
88%

40%
60%

45%
55%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,994)

(961)

(1,033)

(335)

(482)

(790)

(387)

(1,541)

(245)

(124)

(85)

Party ID
Yes
No
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

46%
54%

12%
88%

57%
43%

76%
24%

12%
88%

36%
64%

79%
21%

69%
31%

41%
59%

86%
14%

34%
66%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,994)

(742)

(615)

(602)

(500)

(784)

(711)

(354)

(1,640)

(440)

(1,546)

47

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

48. President as a Role Model


Which comes closer to your view?
Gender
A President should be a role model,
who also gets things done
I dont need the President to be a role
model, I just need them to get things
done
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

66%

61%

71%

73%

64%

65%

67%

63%

85%

69%

68%

34%

39%

29%

27%

36%

35%

33%

37%

15%

31%

32%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,995)

(960)

(1,035)

(337)

(482)

(791)

(385)

(1,542)

(245)

(123)

(85)

Party ID
A President should be a role model,
who also gets things done
I dont need the President to be a role
model, I just need them to get things
done
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

66%

83%

61%

51%

86%

66%

53%

61%

67%

51%

71%

34%

17%

39%

49%

14%

34%

47%

39%

33%

49%

29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,995)

(742)

(614)

(605)

(499)

(783)

(713)

(356)

(1,639)

(440)

(1,544)

48

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

49. Should Republican Party Support Trump


What should the Republican party do right now?
Gender
Get behind Donald Trump and help
him win the Presidency
Nothing, its Donald Trumps campaign
Try to get Donald Trump to leave the
race
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

40%
31%

45%
33%

36%
30%

23%
34%

36%
33%

46%
29%

48%
31%

46%
30%

7%
37%

33%
35%

35%
32%

28%

23%

34%

43%

31%

25%

20%

24%

56%

32%

33%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,988)

(958)

(1,030)

(333)

(481)

(789)

(385)

(1,537)

(242)

(124)

(85)

Party ID
Get behind Donald Trump and help
him win the Presidency
Nothing, its Donald Trumps campaign
Try to get Donald Trump to leave the
race
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

40%
31%

7%
45%

47%
31%

74%
14%

5%
52%

33%
35%

73%
13%

65%
18%

35%
34%

80%
11%

29%
37%

28%

47%

22%

12%

43%

32%

15%

17%

31%

9%

34%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,988)

(741)

(611)

(602)

(499)

(778)

(711)

(353)

(1,635)

(439)

(1,540)

49

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

50. Why Republicans Opposing Trump


Why do you think some members of the Republican party are now opposing Donald Trump?
Gender
Its their principles, they dont like
what he stands for
Its just political, theyre afraid to lose
voters
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

16%

12%

20%

22%

19%

14%

11%

14%

26%

22%

18%

43%
41%

51%
37%

36%
44%

36%
43%

41%
40%

47%
39%

45%
43%

47%
40%

24%
50%

43%
35%

43%
39%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,989)

(958)

(1,031)

(334)

(481)

(790)

(384)

(1,539)

(242)

(124)

(85)

Party ID
Its their principles, they dont like
what he stands for
Its just political, theyre afraid to lose
voters
Both
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

16%

23%

11%

13%

17%

19%

12%

16%

16%

10%

18%

43%
41%

29%
48%

51%
38%

53%
35%

33%
50%

40%
41%

55%
34%

46%
38%

43%
41%

60%
30%

39%
44%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,989)

(740)

(615)

(601)

(497)

(783)

(709)

(352)

(1,637)

(439)

(1,543)

50

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

51. Appropriate for Trump to Threaten to Jail Clinton


Do you think it is appropriate or inappropriate for Donald Trump to suggest that his justice department might try to send Hillary Clinton to jail if he wins?
Gender

Age group

Race/Ethnicity

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

Appropriate
Inappropriate

46%
54%

53%
47%

40%
60%

39%
61%

47%
53%

48%
52%

48%
52%

53%
47%

7%
93%

39%
61%

40%
60%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,990)

(956)

(1,033)

(335)

(479)

(790)

(385)

(1,537)

(244)

(123)

(85)

Party ID

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

Appropriate
Inappropriate

46%
54%

9%
91%

56%
44%

81%
19%

9%
91%

38%
62%

82%
18%

74%
26%

40%
60%

89%
11%

34%
66%

Totals
(Weighted N)

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,990)

(739)

(613)

(604)

(498)

(782)

(710)

(351)

(1,639)

(438)

(1,541)

51

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

52. Campaign Contact By the Clinton campaign


Have you been personally contacted by a campaign, either to try to help you vote or to try to persuade you to vote for them?
Gender
Yes
No
Cant recall
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

28%
67%
5%

28%
67%
5%

27%
67%
6%

25%
67%
8%

24%
71%
4%

28%
67%
5%

33%
62%
5%

25%
70%
5%

37%
57%
7%

34%
56%
10%

35%
59%
6%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,985)

(952)

(1,033)

(331)

(481)

(789)

(383)

(1,535)

(243)

(123)

(85)

Party ID
Yes
No
Cant recall
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

28%
67%
5%

40%
55%
5%

24%
71%
5%

15%
79%
5%

42%
54%
5%

27%
66%
7%

18%
77%
4%

20%
75%
4%

29%
65%
6%

18%
76%
7%

30%
65%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,985)

(737)

(613)

(601)

(496)

(781)

(707)

(353)

(1,632)

(437)

(1,540)

52

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

53. Campaign Contact By the Trump campaign


Have you been personally contacted by a campaign, either to try to help you vote or to try to persuade you to vote for them?
Gender
Yes
No
Cant recall
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

27%
68%
5%

30%
66%
4%

24%
70%
6%

21%
72%
7%

20%
76%
4%

29%
67%
5%

38%
58%
4%

29%
66%
5%

14%
81%
5%

24%
67%
9%

26%
68%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,983)

(952)

(1,031)

(332)

(480)

(791)

(381)

(1,536)

(240)

(122)

(85)

Party ID
Yes
No
Cant recall
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

27%
68%
5%

17%
78%
5%

28%
67%
5%

38%
57%
5%

17%
78%
5%

23%
71%
6%

38%
57%
4%

35%
60%
5%

25%
70%
5%

42%
53%
6%

23%
72%
5%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,983)

(734)

(612)

(604)

(493)

(781)

(710)

(353)

(1,630)

(439)

(1,536)

53

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

54. Campaign Contact By a Senate or Congressional campaign


Have you been personally contacted by a campaign, either to try to help you vote or to try to persuade you to vote for them?
Gender
Yes
No
Cant recall
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

32%
59%
9%

37%
56%
7%

28%
61%
11%

24%
61%
14%

27%
66%
7%

35%
57%
8%

41%
50%
9%

34%
58%
8%

22%
65%
12%

31%
56%
13%

31%
59%
10%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,979)

(952)

(1,027)

(331)

(482)

(786)

(380)

(1,532)

(240)

(123)

(84)

Party ID
Yes
No
Cant recall
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

32%
59%
9%

30%
60%
10%

33%
59%
8%

35%
57%
8%

34%
57%
8%

28%
61%
11%

36%
57%
7%

31%
61%
9%

33%
58%
9%

40%
53%
7%

31%
60%
9%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,979)

(732)

(614)

(599)

(495)

(777)

(707)

(350)

(1,628)

(438)

(1,533)

54

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

55. Immigration
Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are living in the US?
Gender
They should be allowed to stay in the
US and eventually apply for
citizenship.
They should be allowed to stay in the
US legally, but not be allowed to apply
for citizenship.
They should be required to leave the
US.
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

50%

46%

55%

63%

52%

44%

50%

46%

76%

54%

45%

12%

14%

10%

13%

11%

12%

12%

11%

10%

18%

15%

38%

40%

36%

24%

37%

44%

38%

42%

14%

27%

40%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,980)

(951)

(1,029)

(332)

(481)

(784)

(383)

(1,532)

(241)

(123)

(85)

Party ID
They should be allowed to stay in the
US and eventually apply for
citizenship.
They should be allowed to stay in the
US legally, but not be allowed to apply
for citizenship.
They should be required to leave the
US.
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

50%

79%

42%

24%

85%

54%

22%

32%

54%

15%

60%

12%

9%

14%

13%

6%

13%

14%

13%

12%

15%

11%

38%

12%

44%

63%

9%

32%

64%

56%

34%

70%

29%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,980)

(738)

(608)

(601)

(496)

(778)

(706)

(352)

(1,628)

(435)

(1,536)

55

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

56. Ban Muslims from Entering U.S.


Do you think the U.S. should temporarily ban Muslims from other countries from entering the United States, or not?
Gender
Should ban
Should not ban
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

47%
53%

47%
53%

46%
54%

28%
72%

42%
58%

54%
46%

54%
46%

52%
48%

20%
80%

42%
58%

39%
61%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,980)

(955)

(1,025)

(330)

(481)

(783)

(386)

(1,531)

(242)

(123)

(84)

Party ID
Should ban
Should not ban
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

47%
53%

18%
82%

52%
48%

76%
24%

10%
90%

43%
57%

77%
23%

74%
26%

41%
59%

82%
18%

37%
63%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(1,980)

(737)

(612)

(599)

(497)

(777)

(706)

(351)

(1,629)

(437)

(1,537)

56

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

57. GOP Represents People Like You


Do you feel the national Republican party represents people like you...
Asked of Republicans

Gender
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

12%
48%
36%
4%

9%
45%
40%
6%

14%
50%
33%
4%

21%
52%
25%
3%

16%
48%
31%
4%

7%
47%
41%
5%

9%
45%
40%
6%

12%
48%
36%
4%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(604)

(290)

(315)

(79)

(153)

(242)

(130)

(540)

Party ID
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(15)

(33)

White Evangelical

(16)
Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

12%
48%
36%
4%

12%
48%
36%
5%

10%
47%
35%
8%

12%
48%
36%
4%

14%
43%
38%
5%

11%
50%
35%
4%

11%
44%
38%
6%

12%
50%
35%
3%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(140)

(456)

(190)

(414)

(241)

(359)

100%
(604)

(0)

(0)

(604)

(9)

57

CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker


AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI

58. Democratic Party Represents People Like You


Do you feel the national Democratic party represents people like you...
Asked of Democrats

Gender
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Age group

Total

Male

Female

18-29

30-44

45-64

65+

White

Black

Hispanic

Other

36%
49%
11%
4%

36%
47%
12%
5%

36%
51%
10%
3%

39%
45%
14%
2%

30%
53%
10%
7%

37%
50%
10%
2%

39%
47%
11%
4%

30%
53%
13%
4%

45%
44%
8%
2%

52%
31%
9%
8%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

100%

(738)

(293)

(445)

(146)

(185)

(259)

(148)

(460)

(189)

(55)

Party ID
Very well
Somewhat well
Not too well
Not at all
Totals
(Weighted N)

Race/Ethnicity

Ideology

(34)

White Evangelical

Tea Party

Total

Democrat

Independent

Republican

Liberal

Moderate

Conservative

Yes

No

Yes

No

36%
49%
11%
4%

36%
49%
11%
4%

37%
53%
8%
3%

33%
48%
15%
4%

36%
50%
10%
4%

36%
50%
10%
4%

100%

100%

100%
(295)

100%

(400)

100%

(738)

100%

(738)

(0)

(0)

(43)

(47)

(691)

(22)

(713)

58

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