Professional Documents
Culture Documents
OCTOBER 2016
Interviews: 900 Registered Voters, including 405 respondents with a cell phone only and
37 respondents reached on a cell phone but who also have a landline.
47 Male
53 Female
Study #161027
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey
Please note: all results are shown as percentages unless otherwise stated.
The margin of error for 900 interviews conducted Saturday, October 8-Monday, October 10
among Registered Voters is 3.27%
The margin of error for 500 interviews conducted Saturday, October 8-Sunday, October 9
among Registered Voters is 4.38%
The margin of error for 806 interviews conducted Saturday, October 8-Monday, October 10
among Likely Voters is 3.45%
Likely Voters defined as voted in either 2012 or 2014 or 18-24 year olds with
self-reported interest in the election of 5 to 10 on a 1-10 scale.
Unless otherwise noted by a +, ^, or ^^ all previous data shown reflects responses among all adults.
Q2a
For statistical purposes only, would you please tell me how old you are?
(IF REFUSED, ASK:) Well, would you tell me which age group you belong to? (READ LIST) +
18-24................................................................
8
25-29................................................................
9
30-34................................................................
11
35-39................................................................
9
40-44................................................................
8
45-49................................................................
8
50-54................................................................
10
55-59................................................................
9
60-64................................................................
10
65-69................................................................
6
70-74................................................................
5
75 and over ................................
7
Not sure/refused ................................
+ Results shown reflect responses among
registered voters.
Q2b
To ensure that we have a representative sample, would you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic
or Spanish-speaking background? +
Yes, Hispanic ................................
10
No, not Hispanic ................................ 89
Not sure/refused ................................ 1
+ Results shown
registered voters.
reflect
responses
among
And again, for statistical purposes only, what is your race--white, black, Asian, or something else? +
White...............................................................
75
Black ...............................................................
12
Asian ...............................................................
2
Other ...............................................................
4
Hispanic (VOL) .............................................
5
Not sure/refused ...........................................
2
White, Non-Hispanic ................................ 71
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered
voters.
Q3
Are you currently registered to vote [LANDLINE: at this address; CELL: in (STATE)]? +
Registered.........................................
100
Not registered ................................ Not sure ..........................................+ Results shown reflect responses among
registered voters.
QF4
25
9
10
12
10
8
19
5
2
Please tell me how interested you are in November's elections, using a scale from one to ten, on which a
"ten" means that you are very interested in November's elections and a "one" means that you are not at all
interested. You may choose any number from one to ten. (RECORD NUMBER 1-10. IF "NOT SURE,"
RECORD AS "DK.")
10/810/16+
10, very interested .......................
62
9 ..................................................
8
8 ..................................................
10
7 ..................................................
5
6 ..................................................
2
5 ..................................................
6
4 ..................................................
3 ..................................................
2
2 ..................................................
1
1, not at all interested ..................
4
Cannot rate................................
-
10/89/16+
63
5
10
5
2
7
2
1
4
1
9/16+
60
8
11
7
3
4
1
2
1
3
-
5/16+
60
9
11
6
3
6
1
2
2
-
2/16+
61
9
13
6
3
4
1
1
2
-
9/15+
56
8
13
9
3
5
1
1
1
2
1
4/15+
53
7
15
8
4
7
1
1
2
2
-
10/12+
69
8
9
4
2
5
1
2
-
9/2630/12+
65
8
10
5
3
5
1
1
2
-
9/1216/12+
64
8
12
6
2
4
1
1
1
1
-
8/12+
62
6
13
6
3
5
1
1
1
2
-
7/12+
62
6
11
7
4
5
1
1
3
-
6/12+
60
8
12
7
3
5
2
1
1
1
-
5/12+
62
7
12
6
4
5
1
1
1
1
-
4/12+
61
6
12
7
3
5
2
2
1
2
-
3/12+
48
11
14
9
5
6
2
1
1
2
1
1/12+
57
10
11
7
3
6
2
2
1
1
-
10/45/08+
72
7
10
4
1
3
1
2
-
9/1922/08+
70
8
9
5
2
3
1
1
1
-
9/68/08+
69
10
10
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
-
8/08+
65
8
11
5
2
3
1
1
1
3
-
7/08+
64
8
12
5
3
4
1
1
2
-
6/08+
67
7
11
5
2
4
1
1
2
-
4/08+
65
9
11
4
3
3
1
2
2
-
3/08+
67
8
10
5
2
3
1
1
2
1
1/08+
66
10
10
4
3
4
1
1
1
-
12/07+
65
8
12
5
2
4
1
1
2
-
10/04+
74
8
9
3
2
2
1
1
-
9/04+
71
7
9
5
2
4
1
1
-
8/04+
63
10
12
6
2
4
1
1
1
-
11/07+
62
9
11
6
3
5
1
1
2
-
Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, groups and organizations, and I'd like you to
rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very
negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so. (ALWAYS ASK BARACK OBAMA FIRST, THEN
RANDOMIZE CLINTON-TRUMP-PENCE-KAINE, RANDOMIZE REST)
Hillary Clinton
October 8-10, 2016+ ......................
October 8-9, 2016+ ........................
September 2016+...........................
August 2016+ .................................
July 2016+ ......................................
June 2016+ ....................................
May 2016+ .....................................
April 2016+ .....................................
March 2016+ ..................................
February 2016+ ..............................
January 2016+ ...............................
December 2015 ..............................
October 25-29, 2015 ......................
October 15-18, 2015 ......................
September 2015 .............................
July 2015 ........................................
June 2015 ......................................
March 2015 ....................................
January 2015 .................................
November 2014 ..............................
September 2014+...........................
June 2014 ......................................
March 2014 ....................................
September 2013 .............................
May 30-June 2, 2013......................
April 2013 .......................................
January 2013 .................................
November 2011 ..............................
May 2011 .......................................
December 2010 ..............................
January 10-14, 2010 .....................
July 2009 ........................................
February 2009 ................................
January 2009 .................................
December 2008 ..............................
September 2008+...........................
June 2008+ ....................................
April 2008+ .....................................
March 24-25, 2008+ .......................
March 7-10, 2008+ .........................
January 2008 .................................
March 2007 ....................................
December 2006 ..............................
April 2006 .......................................
December 2004 ..............................
July 2003 ........................................
March 2001 ....................................
January 2001 .................................
High
February 2009 ................................
Low
April 2016+ .....................................
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
17
18
19
20
16
18
18
19
20
20
24
21
23
20
25
22
23
23
25
19
22
21
21
25
20
24
22
22
29
28
27
27
27
29
26
24
28
22
20
23
23
23
22
19
21
21
19
22
10
10
11
10
10
12
12
12
11
13
11
15
12
12
13
14
15
19
17
16
16
18
20
17
18
14
19
22
23
18
22
15
18
14
20
15
14
14
15
11
11
17
17
19
14
20
15
13
11
13
13
11
13
12
13
14
12
11
12
13
12
13
13
15
11
13
14
15
15
14
12
12
13
14
12
12
12
11
13
15
11
15
14
17
17
19
21
14
11
15
12
13
11
13
18
12
40
37
39
42
43
43
41
42
39
39
37
35
35
35
34
33
29
23
23
25
26
23
22
19
18
15
13
10
9
16
12
16
11
14
12
20
22
25
27
29
30
28
26
28
29
27
31
24
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
1
3
1
2
32
27
18
11
11
13
19
12
14
42
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
21
22
18
17
18
15
16
13
18
17
16
16
17
19
14
15
21
21
20
24
21
23
23
26
29
32
34
33
26
26
25
26
32
27
27
23
18
20
17
22
24
16
21
19
24
16
16
27
Q5 (cont'd)
Donald Trump
October 8-10, 2016+ ......................
October 8-9, 2016+ ........................
September 2016+...........................
August 2016+ .................................
July 2016+ ......................................
June 2016+ ....................................
May 2016+ .....................................
April 2016+ .....................................
March 2016+ ..................................
February 2016+ ..............................
January 2016+ ...............................
December 2015 ..............................
October 25-29, 2015 ......................
October 15-18, 2015 ......................
September 2015 .............................
July 2015 ........................................
February 2011 ................................
May 2004+ .....................................
December 1999 ..............................
October 1999 .................................
July 1990 ........................................
Very
Positive
Somewhat
Positive
17
16
15
13
10
12
13
11
12
11
14
12
10
13
8
10
9
9
4
3
3
13
13
13
15
17
17
16
13
13
17
15
15
17
17
17
16
17
17
12
11
11
Neutral
Somewhat
Negative
Very
Negative
Don't Know
Name/
Not Sure
7
8
11
11
13
11
12
10
11
12
12
13
17
17
16
16
40
38
28
25
28
12
11
12
11
11
12
14
12
10
10
11
12
14
14
14
13
18
14
24
23
25
51
52
49
50
49
48
44
53
54
49
47
47
42
39
44
43
11
15
25
32
24
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
5
7
7
6
9
D/S
-13
-33
-10
-34
I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the presidential election: Are you absolutely certain to
vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or less than that? +
10/810/16+
83
9
5
3
-
10/89/16+
83
8
5
4
-
If the next election for president were held today, with (ROTATE TOP TWO:) Donald Trump as the
Republican candidate, Hillary Clinton as the Democratic candidate, Gary Johnson the Libertarian candidate,
and Jill Stein the Green Party candidate for whom would you vote?
10/8-10/16
10/8-9/16
9/16
8/16 7/16 6/16
RV+ LV++ RV+ LV++ RV+ LV++ RV+ RV+ RV+
Donald Trump................................ 36
37
35
35
37
37
34
35
38
Hillary Clinton ................................ 45
46
45
46
42
43
43
41
39
Gary Johnson ................................ 8
8
9
9
9
9
10
11
10
Jill Stein .................................................
2
2
3
2
3
3
5
6
6
Depends (VOL) ................................
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
4
None/Other (VOL) ..............................
5
4
6
5
3
2
3
Not sure ..............................................
3
2
2
4
2
2
4
4
4
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
++ Results shown reflect responses among likely voters.
1
Jill Stein not asked in states where she does not appear on the ballot (GA, IN, NC, NV, OK & SD).
Q8
And, if the election for president were held today, with only (ROTATE) Donald Trump and Mike Pence as
the Republican candidates, and Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic candidates, for whom would
you vote?
10/8-10/16
RV+
LV++
40
40
50
50
6
6
1
1
3
3
10/8-9/16
RV+
LV++
38
38
51
52
6
6
1
1
4
3
RV+
41
48
3
1
4
3
9/16
LV++
41
48
3
1
4
3
8/16+
RV+
38
47
8
3
4
10/810/16+
49
46
4
1
Clinton-Kaine Voters
10/89/16+
9/16+
49
50
44
44
5
5
2
1
5/16+
44
52
4
-
Reg Voters
Obama/
Romney
6/12+
72
22
4
2
Likely Voters
Obama/
McCain
Kerry/
Bush
11/12/08+
10/04+
81
37
11
47
7
14
1
2
10/810/16+
39
53
8
-
Trump-Pence Voters
10/89/16+
9/16+
37
41
52
51
9
7
2
1
5/16+1
42
54
3
1
Reg Voters
Romney/
Obama
6/12+
35
58
5
2
Likely Voters
McCain/
Obama
Bush/
Kerry
11/12/08+
10/04+
61
76
29
14
9
10
1
-
What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections -- (ROTATE:) a Congress
controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?
10/810/16+
Republican-controlled Congress ...........42
Democrat-controlled Congress .............48
Not sure ................................................10
10/89/16+
42
49
9
9/16+
45
48
7
8/16+
43
47
10
6/16+
46
46
8
5/16+
44
48
8
4/16+
45
47
8
10/2529/15+
45
45
10
9/14+
45
43
12
8/14+
44
43
13
6/14+
43
45
12
4/14+
45
45
10
3/14+
44
43
13
1/14+
43
45
12
12/13+
44
42
14
10/2528/13+
41
45
14
10/79/13+
39
47
14
9/13+
43
46
11
7/13+
44
44
12
6/13+
42
45
13
10/12+
43
45
12
9/2630/12+
43
47
10
8/12+
42
47
11
7/12+
45
46
9
6/12+
44
45
11
5/12+
43
44
13
4/12+
44
46
10
3/12+
41
46
13
1/12+
41
47
12
12/11+
43
45
12
11/11+
43
46
11
10/11+
41
45
14
8/11+
47
41
12
6/11+
44
44
12
10/2830/10+
46
44
10
10/1418/10+
44
46
10
9/10+
44
44
12
8/2630/10+
43
43
14
8/59/10+
42
43
15
6/10+
45
43
12
5/2023/10+
44
43
13
5/611/10+
44
44
12
3/10+
42
45
13
1/2325/10+
42
44
14
1/1014/10+
41
41
18
12/09+
41
43
16
10/09+
38
46
16
9/09+
40
43
17
7/09+
39
46
15
4/09+
39
48
13
11/08+
36
48
16
10/08+
36
49
15
9/08+
37
50
13
8/08+
36
47
17
7/08+
36
49
15
6/08+
33
52
15
4/08+
34
49
17
3/08+
35
49
16
11/07+
37
46
17
9/07+
35
47
18
10/06+
37
52
11
9/06+
39
48
13
7/06+
38
48
14
6/06+
38
49
13
4/06+
39
45
16
3/06+
37
50
13
1/06+
38
47
15
12/05+
38
46
16
11/05+
37
48
15
10/05+
39
48
13
7/05+
40
45
15
5/05+
40
47
13
10/04+
43
44
13
9/04+
42
46
12
6/04+
42
44
14
5/04+
41
44
15
3/04+
42
45
13
1/04
42
43
15
12/13/03
42
42
16
10/02+
43
42
15
9/02
42
42
16
7/02
43
41
16
6/02
42
41
17
1/02
44
40
16
12/01
42
40
18
12/99
40
44
16
10/99
39
41
20
7/99
39
43
18
6/99
42
41
17
4/99
41
40
19
3/99
37
43
20
10/98+
41
43
16
9/98
40
39
21
7/98
41
40
19
6/98
39
40
21
2/98
41
37
22
1/98
40
42
18
12/97
41
37
22
9/97
41
39
20
7/97
45
39
16
4/97
44
38
18
10/3010/811/1/14+ 12/14+
42
42
46
46
12
12
And, moving on, in the last few days, a video tape of Donald Trump talking about women in vulgar and crude
terms was released
Q11
From what you know, do you believe this disqualifies Donald Trump from being considered as president and
that he should withdraw from the race because of what he said in the video tape or not? If you have no
opinion, please just say so. (IF YES/NO) And, do you feel that way strongly or not?
10/810/16+
36
33
3
47
11
36
16
1
10/89/16+
38
35
3
42
10
32
18
2
Q12
In terms of what you have seen, read, or heard about what Donald Trump said on the video tape, does it
seem to you this is better described as ...(ROTATE TOP TWO)
10/810/16+
Inappropriate, but typical of how some men talk in private with other men .....................
34
Completely unacceptable because it crosses a boundary into describing
kissing and touching women in a sexual way without their consent ............................
41
Do neither of these describe what you think....................................................................
7
Have you not heard enough about the contents of the video tape
to have an opinion ........................................................................................................
17
Not sure.........................................................................................................................
1
10/89/16+
31
41
8
18
2
Q13
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: This tape is from ten years ago, long before Donald
Trump was running for president, he has apologized for its content, and this should not be an issue in this
campaign. (IF AGREE/DISAGREE) And, do you feel that way strongly or not?
10/810/16+
44
35
9
51
7
44
3
2
10/89/16+
42
32
10
52
8
44
4
2
What do you think Republican candidates for Congress should do on this issue: (ROTATE TOP TO
BOTTOM/BOTTOM TO TOP)
RV+
42
26
24
8
10/8-10/16+
GOP+ DEM+
74
15
8
41
10
37
8
7
RV+
39
26
25
10
10/8-9/16+
GOP+ DEM+
67
15
9
43
14
36
10
6
Now I am going to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only.
QF1b/c A lot of people are unable to get out and vote for many reasons. Did you happen to vote in the November
2012 election for president? (IF YES, ASK:) For whom did you voteBarack Obama, Mitt Romney, or
someone else? +
Voted for Barack Obama ...............................
Voted for Mitt Romney ...................................
Voted for someone else .................................
Not sure .........................................................
No, Did Not Vote ............................................
Not sure .......................................................
46
32
5
1
14
2
QF1d
And did you happen to vote in the 2014 election for U.S. Congress? +
Yes, voted................................................................ 62
No, did not vote ....................................................... 32
Not sure ................................................................ 6
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
QF2
What is the last grade that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ CHOICES.) +
Grade school ...........................................................
Some high school ....................................................
High school graduate ..............................................
Some college, no degree ........................................
Vocational training/School ......................................
2-year college degree .............................................
4-year college/bachelor's degree ............................
Some postgraduate work, no degree ......................
2-3 years postgraduate work/master's degree ........
Doctoral/law degree ................................................
Not sure/refused....................................................
3
25
17
1
14
22
2
12
4
-
QF3
Thinking about your general approach to issues, do you consider yourself to be liberal, moderate, or
conservative? (IF "LIBERAL" OR "CONSERVATIVE," ASK:) Do you consider yourself to be very
(liberal/conservative) or somewhat (liberal/conservative)? +
Very liberal .........................................................
Somewhat liberal ...............................................
Moderate ............................................................
Somewhat conservative .....................................
Very conservative ..............................................
Not sure ...........................................................
13
14
35
18
16
4
QF5
Would you describe yourself as either a fundamentalist or an evangelical Christian, or would you not
describe yourself that way?
Fundamentalist/evangelical ................................
28
Neither fundamentalist nor evangelical ..........................
67
Not sure ................................................................
5
+ Results shown reflect responses among registered
voters.