Geopolitical Journey translation and personal opinion
I raised two strategic alternatives with
Romanian officials and the media. One was the Intermarium an alliance, perhaps in NATO, perhaps not of Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania and Bulgaria. (To readers who asked why I did not go to Bulgaria on this trip, it was simply a matter of time. I will go there as soon as I can.) Very interestingly, one official pointed out substantial levels of cooperation on military planning between Hungary and Romania and discussions between Romania and Poland. How serious this is and whether it will go beyond the NATO context is unclear to me. Perhaps I can get a better sense in Warsaw.
But military planning is one thing; the
wherewithal to execute military plans is quite another The Romanians are now caught in a crisis over buying fighter planes. There are three choices: the Swedish Gripen, the Eurofighter and used American F-16s. The problem is that the Romanians dont have the money for any of these aircraft, nor does it seem to me that these are the defense measures they really need. The Americans can provide air cover in a number of ways, and while 24 F-16s would have value, they would not solve Romanias most pressing military problem. From where I sit, creating an effective mobile force to secure their eastern frontier is what is needed. The alternative Ive heard was buying naval vessels to block a very real Russian naval buildup in the Black Sea. But if Romania has trouble buying 24 fighters, naval vessels are out of the question.
The Romanians are approaching defense
planning from a NATO perspective one used for planning, not implementation, and one that always leads to sophisticated systems while leaving the basics uncovered.
Am ridicat dou alternative strategice cu
oficialii romni i mass-media. Una a fost Intermarium - o alian, poate n NATO, poate nu - intre Polonia, Slovacia, Ungaria, Romnia i Bulgaria. (Pentru cititorii care au ntrebat de ce nu am mers in Bulgaria n aceast cltorie, a fost pur i simplu o chestiune de timp. Voi merge acolo ct mai curnd ..) Foarte interesant, un oficial a subliniat nivelul substanial de cooperare privind planificarea militar ntre Ungaria i Romnia i discuii ntre Romnia i Polonia Ct de grav este aceast i dac aceasta va merge dincolo de contextul NATO este neclar pentru mine. Poate imivoi face o idee mai bun in Varovia. Dar planificare militar este un lucru, mijloacele necesare pentru a executa planurile militare este altul. Romnii sunt acum prini ntr-o criz de cumparare de avioane de lupt. Exist trei opiuni: Gripen suedez, Eurofighter si F-16 folosite .Problema este c romnii nu au bani pentru oricare dintre aceste avioane, nici nu mi se pare c acestea sunt msurile de aprare de care ntr-adevr nevoie. Americanii pot oferi acoperire aeriana ntr-un numr de moduri, i n timp ce 24 de avioane F-16 ar avea o valoare, nu ar rezolva Romniei problema militara presanta. Dupa mine, crend o for mobile efectiva pentru a asigura frontiera de est a lor este ceea ce este necesar. Din ce am auzit alternative a fost cumpararea de nave pentru a bloca o reala acumulare de nave rusesti la Marea Neagra. Dara daca Romania are problem in a cumpara 24 de avioane, navale militare ies din discutie. Romnii abordeaza planificarea aprrii dintr-o perspectiv NATO - una utilizat pentru planificare, nu, punerea n aplicare, i una care conduce ntotdeauna la sisteme sofisticate,
Geopolitical Journey translation and personal opinion
This may seem like an unnecessary level of
detail for this essay, but the Romanians are deep in this discussion, and questions like this are the critical details of strategies growing out of geopolitics.
lsnd elementele de baz neacoperite.
Asta poate parea un nivel fara inutil pentru discutie, dar romanii sunt bagati adanc in aceste discutii, si intrebari ca acestea constituie detalii esentiale a strategiilor inafara geopoliticului
It is the difference between planning papers
drawn up by think tanks and the ability to defend a nation.
Este o diferena intre documentele de
planificare elaborate de grupuri de reflecie i de capacitatea de a apra o naiune.
The Black Sea is a critical part of Romanias
reality, and the rise of Turkey makes the system of relationships interesting.
Marea Neagr este o parte critic a
realitii din Romnia, i inflorirea Turciei face ca sistemul de relatii sa fie interesant. Turcia este cea de-a patra mare tinta de export a Romaniei, i unul dintre parteneri comerciali importani care importa din Romania mai mult decat exporta. Am atras atenia romnilor c acesta este marele noroc al Turciei, c nu a fost admis n Uniunea European. Economia Turciei a crescut cu o rat anual de 12 la sut n primul trimestru al anului 2010 si a fost in crestere de ani de zile. Turcia devine un motor economic regional i, spre deosebire de Germania, Frana i Italia, ofer compatibiliti i sinergii pentru Romnia.n plus, Turcia este o for militar serioas i, n timp ce nu doreste o confruntare cu Rusia, ea nu este aservit ei. Turcia a adoptat o strategie de"360 de grade" de angajament cu toate rile. Si din moment ce Turcia este membr NATO, cum sunt Ungaria, Slovacia i Polonia, nu exist nici o incompatibilitate cu o dubl strategie de Intermarium i Marea Neagr. Pentru moment, se potrivesc. Iar ironia Romniei de a ajunge ajunge la otomani priveste doar atat si nimic mai mult. Aceasta sunt vecinatatile Romaniei Acestea sunt opiunile pe care le are.
Turkey is Romanias fourth-largest export
target, and one of the few major trading partners that imports more from Romania than it exports. I pointed out to Romanians that it is the great good fortune of Turkey that it was not admitted to the European Union. Turkeys economy grew by an annualized rate of 12 percent in the first quarter of 2010 and has been surging for years. Turkey is becoming a regional economic engine and, unlike Germany, France and Italy, it offers compatibilities and synergies for Romania. In addition, Turkey is a serious military force and, while not seeking confrontation with Russia, it is not subservient to it. Turkey has adopted a 360 degree strategy of engagement with all countries. And since Turkey is a NATO member, as are Hungary, Slovakia and Poland, there is no incompatibility with a dual strategy of the Intermarium and the Black Sea. For now, they fit. And the irony of Romania reaching out to the heir to the Ottomans is simply that and no more. This is the neighborhood that Romania inhabits. These are the options it has.
What doesnt fit for Romania is the NATO/EU
Ceea ce nu se potrivete pentru Romnia
Geopolitical Journey translation and personal opinion
system alone. Perhaps this is part of a rational mix, but it cannot be all of it
For Romania, the problem is to move beyond
the psychological comfort of Europe to a strategic and economic understanding that accepts that the post-Cold War world is over. More important, it would be a move toward accepting that Romania is free, responsible for its future and capable of managing it. It is this last step that is the hardest for Romania and many of the former Soviet satellites which were also bound up with World War I and Hitlers disaster to come to terms with. There is a connection between buying more expensive German cars than you can afford, and more of them than you need, and the novels of Herta Muller. The appointment can be permanently canceled, but the fear of the interrogation is always with you. In this region, the fear of the past dominates and oppresses while the confident, American-style military planning and economic restructuring I suggested is alien and frightening. The Romanians emerged from a world of horror, some of it of their own making.
este sistemul NATO / UE n monoterapie.
Poate c aceasta este parte dintr-un amestec raional, dar nu pot fi toate de el. Pentru Romnia, problema este de a se muta dincolo de confortul psihologic al Europei la o nelegere strategic i economica, care accept c lumea postRzboi Rece sa terminat. Mai important, aceasta ar fi o micare spre a accepta faptul c Romnia este libera, responsabil a pentru viitorul ei i capabilea s se gestioneze. Acest ultimo pas este cel mai greu pentru Romania i muli dintre fotii satelii sovietici -, care au fost, de asemenea, legati de primul rzboi mondial i a dezastrelor lui Hitler pentru ajunge la un consens. Exist o legtur ntre a cumpra mai multe masini germane scumpe scumpe dect iti poti permite, i mai multe dect ai nevoie, i romanele lui Herta Muller. Sedinta poate fi anulata definitiv, dar frica de interogare este ntotdeauna cu tine.In aceast regiune, teama de trecut domin si apas in timp ce, tipul American de strategie militara si de restructurare economic ape care l-am sugerat este deprate si infricosator. Romnii au aprut dintr-o lume de groaz, o parte din ea si-au cladit-o singuri.
Ei se tem de ei, probabil, mai mult dect
se tem de alii. Pentru ei, a deveni european este att o form de terapie i ceva care va restrnge demonii dinauntru si dinafara. When you live with bad memories, you live Cnd traiesti cu amintiri neplacute, with the shadows of reality. trieti cu umbrele realitatii. For the Romanians, illusory solutions to Pentru romni, soluiile iluzorii de a vana haunting memories make a great deal of amintiri capata un adevarat sens. They fear themselves perhaps more than they fear others.. For them, becoming European is both a form of therapy and something that will restrain the demons within and without
sense.
Geopolitical Journey translation and personal opinion
Reading the article by G. Friedman I would like to have solid
arguments that somehow contradicts his statemants against Romania at all, of its historical position over time, especially targeting the world War II and the Cold War, and towards Romania's geopolitical value in comparison with Germany, France, Russia, USA etc.. What I think is the position ,,modellino that Romania has taken at the time of confrontations between,, titans of the world, is no stranger to that today. I could say with regret that Mr. Friedman claims share its solutions but found them too abstract and without contours, I could say that, that's :we all know'' or at least most of us, did not need someone coming from another corner the world to repeat it. Perhaps it is the nature of the Romanian people, after too much practice time as a soldier would never be able to reach general, to obey anyone who can assure your existence and carry on the gene, poorly communist'' and resigned his fate, satisfied with a ration of bread and milk. Referring to U.E. I could hardly say that I found more positive than negative consequences. Its clear! ...we havent much to say about it either. But the danger which always led us to this position ,, negligible material, comes from a sense of resignation, of sufficiency, of humility and lack of patriotism. II Gender War - Feminism hypothesis True feminism seeks not to make women the equals of men within an exploitative system, but to liberate both sexes from
Geopolitical Journey translation and personal opinion
oppression. Women should be paid equally for working the same
hours and doing the same work as men. All job applications should be considered on the grounds of aptitude and merit first, gender and ethnicity second. Men should accept that if women are to be equal to them in the workplace, they need to step up their game outside it and knuckle down with keeping the house and raising the children.
III Future Tense - utility cases
GOING TO The structure BE GOING TO is normally used to indicate the future but with some type of connection to the present. We use it in the following situations: 1. When we have already decided or we intend to do something in the future: They're going to retire to the beach - in fact they have already bought a little beach house. 2. When there are definite signs that something is going to happen: I think it is going to rain - I just felt a drop. 3. When something is about to happen: Get back! The bomb is going to explode. WILL
Geopolitical Journey translation and personal opinion
In other cases, where there is no implicit or explicit connection to
the present, use WILL: 1. For things that we decide to do now. I'll buy one for you too. I think I'll try one of those. (I just decided this right now) 2. When we think or believe something about the future. My team will not win the league this season. I think it will rain later so take an umbrella with you. 3. To make an offer, a promise or a threat. I'll give you a discount if you buy it right now. I promise I will behave next time.
Jarmila Mildorf - Storying Domestic Violence - Constructions and Stereotypes of Abuse in The Discourse of General Practitioners (Frontiers of Narrative) (2007)