year

y
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

x
6.7
7.9
4.2
5.8
5.7
5.7
5.4
5.9
7.5
3.4
3.7
2.6
1.4
1.1
2
2.6

x2
10.1
10.6
9.9
10.6
10.7
11.4
10.9
11.2

12.1

38.1
24.6
4.5
18
2.7
4.9
13
5.5
5.2
1.5
-6.9
6.5
-7.9
2.8
-16.9
11.3

year

x2

2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

6.7
7.9
4.2
5.8
5.7
5.7
5.4
5.9
7.5
3.4
3.7
2.6
1.4
1.1
2
2.6

38.1
24.6
4.5
18
2.7
4.9
13
5.5
5.2
1.5
-6.9
6.5
-7.9
2.8
-16.9
11.3

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.6306640165
R Square
0.3977371017
Adjusted R Square
0.3547183232
Standard Error
1.7267401468
Observations
16
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
x2

1
14
15

SS
MS
27.5671585173 27.567158517
41.7428414827 2.9816315345
69.31

Coefficients
3.7762052553
0.1045904202

Standard Error
t Stat
0.4890474933 7.7215511923
0.0343971842 3.0406680816

RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
1
2
3
4

Predicted y
7.7611002634
6.3491295912
4.246862146
5.6588328182

Residuals
-1.0611002634
1.5508704088
-0.046862146
0.1411671818

5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16

4.0585993897
4.2886983141
5.1358807174
4.3514525662
4.3200754401
3.9330908856
3.0545313562
4.4560429863
2.9499409361
4.0690584318
2.0086271546
4.9580770031

1.6414006103
1.4113016859
0.2641192826
1.5485474338
3.1799245599
-0.5330908856
0.6454686438
-1.8560429863
-1.5499409361
-2.9690584318
-0.0086271546
-2.3580770031

F
Significance F
9.2456623827
0.008811453

P-value
2.06336E-006
0.008811453

Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
2.7273027018 4.8251078088 2.7273027018 4.8251078088
0.0308157973 0.178365043 0.0308157973 0.178365043