Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Historical background
2.02 For many years thereafter the Bureau had two goals
in the field of public finance, which it pursued
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accounts for use by the provinces. Reporting schedules
Acts.
19701 and this version still serves as the main guide for
municipal respondents.
instituted.
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1940's and the work for the Conference on
programs.
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conference assigned certain tasks to the working party.
seven sessions.
by presenting:
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In order to increase aggregate effective demand and
of Functional Finance.
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Therefore, public finance has not only to augment
resources for development and to achieve optimum
allocation of resources, but also to promote fair
distribution of income and expansion in employment
opportunities. This is the functional view of public
finance in the context of the developing countries.
Demand Side of Capital :The production of the poor country is low. The low
production causes low per capita income and low
purchasing power. The low purchasing power reduces
the demand for products. Due to low demand, market
will be limited. The small size of market discourages the
investment. The low production reduces the productivity
per worker. When the out put per worker is low, the per
capita income is bound to be low. So vicious circle of
poverty is complete on the demand side of capital
formation.
On the demand side vicious circle of poverty operates in
the following manner :
Supply Side of Capital :In the developed countries due to low production, per
capita income is low. The low level of income means the
capacity to save is low. The low level of savings leads to
low investment. The low rate of investment reduces the
productivity per worker. It leads to low per capita
income. The vicious circle is thus complete on
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the supply side of capital formation.
The vicious circle of supply can shown by the following
diagram :
2. Low production
5. Low consumption
6. Limited market
7. Low savings
8. Lack of capital
9. Low investment
10. Low production
11. Poverty
the country.
not used properly, out put remains low and poor country
remains poor because it is poor.
4. Increase in Savings :-
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The less developed countries should adopt the balance
5. Increase in Exports :-
7. Development of Agriculture :-
15. Denationalization :-
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All the poor countries should handed over the sick
industries to the private sector. The present government
items of expenditure.
of production.
17. Political Stability :It is the basic requirement for the development of any
18. Stable Economic Policy :The poor countries should adopt the stable economic
policy. There should be no frequent changes in the
of Governments.
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individual. He always prefers a bird in hand to two in the
certain tomorrow.
kind.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
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ones. The taxes fund programs that help support people
with low incomes.
6.
Equity: Public finance plays a great role in
eliminating or reducing the inequalities of income and
wealth in a capitalist economy. This is achievable by
transferring the purchasing power from the rich to the
poor. When governments impose progressive taxes on
the richer members of the society and provides various
facilities such as subsided food, housing, free medical
aid and education to the less privilege members of the
society, that is what is called equity. Public finance
provides government programs that moderate the
incomes of the wealthy and the poor. These programs
include social security, welfare, and other social
programs. For example, some elderly people or people
with disabilities require financial assistance because
they cannot work.
7.
Subsidies and grants: In modern times,
subsidies and grants are inevitable for producing
essential goods and services meant for the masses. It
has a prominent place in the governmental expenditure
of developing countries. Subsidy on fuel, transportation
could seen in Nigeria.
8.
Optimum utilization of resources: The natural
resources developing countries are underutilized or
overutilised. The proper utilization of natural resources
is imperative not only for the present generation, but
also for the unborn generations. The state can direct the
flow of production, consumption and distribution in the
economy by framing a suitable budget policy.
9.
Economic planning: Government usually have
rolling plans for more than a year, a times the
implementation of say five year plan tends to require a
huge fund. Thus, government need to combine
resources, taxation and public borrowing effectively.
10.
Providing employment opportunities: The
government has to spend huge amount of public
expenditure to provide the purchasing power to the
general masses and reduce the problem of
unemployment in the economy. The SURE-P of the
federal government of the Nigeria is a move in that
direction.
11.
Market Failures: These are the market
inadequacies or private sector of the economy fails to
address and fail to satisfy all the needs of the society.
Often market fails in providing the societys desired set
of goods and services and the distribution of income
and poverty. It also fails in achieving stability in
employment and prices.
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position to vary the expenditure as the situation
demands. During the period of depression, it should be
possible for the government to increase the expenditure
so that economy is lifted from low level of employment.
During boom period, the state should be in a position to
curtail the expenditure without causing any distress to
the people.
6.
No Unhealthy Effect on Production and
Distribution: The public expenditure should be arranged
in such a way that it should not have adverse effect on
production or distribution in the country. Public
expenditure should aim at stimulating production and
reducing inequalities of wealth distribution. If due to
unwise public spending wealth gets concentrated in a
few hands, then its purpose is not served. The money
really goes waste then.
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It now embraces many new ideas such as social
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on the development of military art and practice,
administration.
public expenditure.
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8. The Rural Development Effect:
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Broadly the effects of public expenditure can be
i) Effects on production
ii) Effects on distribution
the society.
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Attaining economic growth and development and
canon
of
economy
suggests
that
as
canons
the
State
of
public
expenditure,
should
be
Conclusion
good
of
the
greatest
number.
Public
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surplus budget just like an ordinary citizen. But in
modern time, balanced budget (no deficit no surplus
budget) is preferred. It implies that the balanced
expenditure must be balanced to public revenue. The
policy of deficit financing is not tenable for long.
Surplus budget also cannot find favor because it implies
that the government is spending much less than what it
should. The tax payers will realize a burden in paying
tax. So, the government should prepare a balanced
budget.
Public Debt
Public debt refers to borrowing by a government from
within the country or from abroad, from private
individuals or association of individuals or from banking
and NBFIs.
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If the government is in need of large funds and
the short-term loans are not enough, then she
takes recourse to long-term borrowing. Longterm loans entail following advantages:
1.
Long-term loan provides an
opportunity to the state in undertaking
large projects like construction of canals,
hydroelectric projects, buildings,
highways, etc. As these loans are not to
be repaid at a short notice, so the
government safely spends them on
productive projects.
2.
Long-term loans are also
unavoidable for strengthening countrys
defence.
3.
Long-term loans provide good
opportunity for commercial banks and
insurance companies to invest their
surplus funds. As the rate of interest on
long-term loans is higher than on the
short-term loans.
4.
Long-term loans can be repaid by
the government by the time which is
favourable or convenient to her. She can
also convert these loans at a lower rate of
interest later on.
5.
If at any time, the rate of interest is
low, the government can contract a longterm loan and with the amount thus raised
some public work programmes at lower
cost.
3.
4.
5.
6.
2.
3.
4.
5.
4.
5.
Inefficiencies of public
organisations and corruption
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mean any burden. Infact, they will confer a benefit. But
if the debt is unproductive it will impose both money
burden and real burden on the economy.
6.
7.
8.
2.
3.
4.
5.
2.
2.
3.
4.
1.
2.
3.
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increase directly through increased
employment or it benefits them in directly
through the enlargement of social services.
4.
2.
3.
Fiscal Policy
What is Fiscal Policy?
Fiscal policy is the process of shaping government
taxation and government spending so as to achieve
certain objectives. According to Prof. Samuelson, by a
positive fiscal policy we mean the process of shaping
public taxation and public expenditure in order to:
(i)
To help dampen down the swings
of a business cycle, and
(ii)
To contribute towards the
maintenance of a growing high
employment economy free from excessive
inflation or deflation.
2.
3.
4.
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balanced budget; flexible resource prices stabilize the
economy at full employment.
2. Keynesian View: John Maynard Keynes formalized a
theory linking fiscal policy and economic performance
in his book General Theory of Employment, Interest,
and Money in 1036. He believed that Classical
economic theory was inconsistent with the Great
Depression that the U.S. and world economies
experienced in the 1930s. Even though the U.S.
unemployment rate reached 25% in 1933, flexible
resource prices failed to restore full employment.
Keynes offered two explanations for the Great
Depression: sticky prices and pessimistic
expectations. Keynes hypothesized that resource and
product prices are sticky rather than flexible,
particularly with respect to price decreases (i.e., a
horizontal AS curve, at least in the short run). Sticky
prices are slow to decrease as unemployment
increases. Furthermore, if producers and consumers
have pessimistic expectations, price decreases might
not stimulate increased production. Lower resource
prices will only increase output if producers expect to
sell the extra output. If consumers are pessimistic
about future economic conditions, they will not
consume more as prices fall; accordingly, business will
not increase output. Thus, falling prices might not
stimulate business investment and production.
Keynes believed that prices were sticky and
expectations pessimistic during the Great
Depression. Under these conditions, the economy can
experience prolonged high unemployment
rates. Keynes advocated counter-cyclical fiscal policy
to supplement private spending and stabilize the
economy. He felt that the potentially prolonged
unemployment during an economic contraction imposes
unacceptable social and personal costs. He supported
counter-cyclical fiscal policy to minimize these short run
costs.
Keynes was among the first to advocate that federal
budget deficits are appropriate in the short run when the
economy is operating below full employment.
The achievement of
(ii)
The achievement of
desirable consumption level,
(iii)
The achievement of
desirable employment level, and
(iv)
The achievement of
desirable income distribution.
The objectives of fiscal policy differ in different
countries according to their economic conditions and
needs. That is why, the fiscal policy is known as the
process of shaping taxation and public spending with a
view to achieve certain specific objectives. In advanced
countries, the objectives of fiscal policy is to increase
aggregate demand by stimulating consumption
function, whereas in underdeveloped countries, the
consumption of luxurious items has to be discouraged
in order to encourage saving for increasing the rate of
economic development. In economically advanced
countries, the goal of fiscal policy may be to reduce the
inequality of income in order to check under
consumption; whereas in a backward economy, unequal
distribution of wealth may be allowed rather encouraged
for promoting capital formation. Though the objectives
are controversial but they are grouped into three:
1. To achieve full employment without much
inflation,
2. To dampen the swings of business cycle
and promote moderate price stability in the
economy,
3. To increase the potential rate of growth
with consistency if possible without interfering
with attainment of other objectives of society.
1. Full-Employment: An economy can attain the
potential rate of growth when the full-employment rate
of capital formation, rate of technological change, the
improvement in levels of skill and education, and
increased availability of other factor units are
achieved. Total spending (C + I + G) must at all times
keep pace with rising national income (Y), or otherwise
the unemployment will develop.
2. Price Level Stability: The maintenance of a reasonably
stable general price level is also regarded as a major
objective of fiscal policy. A decline in the general price
level is incompatible with the maintenance of full
employment and would generate bitter labour strife, as
well as injuring debtors. Inflation a rising price level
does offer the limited advantage of aiding
investment. However, a continued inflation of any
magnitude produces is undesirable.
Stability in the price level does not require stability of
prices of all individual commodities. Commodities
experiencing more than average increases in
productivity will decline in price; and those with little
change in productivity will rise as money wages rise to
reflect the higher productivity in the other fields. If
money wages keep pace with productivity in
manufacturing, the general price level will rise slowly.
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As full employment is approached unions may tend to
push money wages up faster than productivity and
prices will rise. Some trade off between the two
objectives may be necessary, that is, society may have
to accept some unemployment in order to avoid
inflation. One study concludes that 4% unemployment
is necessary if the increase in the general price level is
to be held to 1 percent; with 3 percent unemployment
the price level increase will be 2 percent or more.
3. Sustained Economic Growth: The third goal of fiscal
policy is to increase the potential rate of economic
growth. A higher rate of economic growth requires a
higher rate of capital formation and a higher S/Y ratio at
full employment. But additional saving requires
reduction in consumption. It is a choice between
present and future consumption.
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(i) Persuasion: In a capitalistic society, the
entrepreneurs are not aware of each others investment
plans. They, therefore, in competition with one another
over-invest capital in a particular industry or industries
and thus cause overproduction and unemployment in
the economy. Similarly, in depression period, there is
no agency to guide them. If government publishes the
total investment plans and marginal efficiency of capital
in various industries, much of the investment can
proceed at a moderate speed and there can be stability
to some extent in income, output and employment.
2.
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provision of better facilities to the low paid
workers, etc., and
3.
(iii)
should always be
accompanied by an equal increase in
taxes, so that the budget remains in
balance, i.e., balanced budget
multiplier.
(iv)
is an effective
policy tool when the economy is in
Stagflation.
(v)
is impossible if the
budget is already in deficit and the
economy is in Depression.
paying taxes is
(ii)
the underground
economy avoids paying taxes through tax
loopholes.
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(iii)
income taxes can be
passed on to somebody else.
(iv)
saved.
(v)
politically, it's not as
easy to cut taxes as it is to cut
government spending.
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ADO. Now the new aggregate demand curve
ADO intersects the aggregate supply curve AS at a new
point of equilibrium, i.e., EO. At this new equilibrium
point EO, the national output is less than before and the
economy is operating under full employment level.
(b) Increase taxes: If the economy is operating at a
level above full employment level, the government can
remove this inflationary gap through excessive
taxation. The removal of inflationary gap will depend on
the multiplier effect of increase in tax or tax
multiplier. These fiscal measures will bring the
following changes in the economy:
(i)
2.
3.
4.
5.
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(b) Tax on farm income: Agriculture sector is another
important source of revenue which can be tapped for
capital formation. Agriculture is the largest sector of
under-developed countries and should be subject to
progressive taxation. The government can raise a
substantial amount of tax revenue from agriculture
sector.
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and applying fiscal policy into effective. It is too short
for both monetary and fiscal policy.
(c) Operational lag or effect time lag: the time that
elapses between the onset of the policy and the results
of that policy.
4. Supply side economics: Both traditional fiscal policy
and Supply Side economists suggest tax cuts to
stimulate GDP. Fiscal policy emphasizes the short run
effects of tax cuts on aggregate demand. Supply side
economics emphasizes the long run effects of tax cuts
on economic capacity. In the supply side model,
economic capacity is largely determined by the quantity
of available resources. Reducing marginal tax rates can
increase the supply of resources and expand productive
capacity (e.g., by reducing taxes on personal income,
corporate profits, capital gains, savings and capital
investment).
This introduces an apparent contradiction: the same
policies are recommended to support two different
goals. In actuality, both viewpoints may be
correct. Fiscal policy focuses on fiscal policy's short
run effects. In the short run, lower taxes can increase
household consumption and business investment. This
increases GDP. Supply side economics doesn't address
short run economic fluctuations. It takes time to
translate changes in marginal tax rates into increases in
productive capacity. Supply side economics focuses on
the long run impacts of tax rate changes.
Monetary Policy
Monetary policy changes the nation's money supply to
influence macroeconomics performance, including
unemployment, inflation and economic
growth. Monetary policy is conducted by the nation's
central bank, the Federal Reserve System in the United
States. Changes in the money supply relative to its
demand affect financial markets, including interest and
exchange rates. These changes alter investment,
consumption and net exports, which in turn influence
macroeconomics performance.
Increasing the money supply relative to its demand
creates an excess supply of money. Individuals will
spend some of this money on consumption goods and
save the rest in either savings accounts or by investing
in stocks, bonds and other interest bearing assets. An
increase in savings reduces interest rates. Capital
market competition and arbitrage spreads the lower
interest rates across all short run financial markets. As
interest rates fall, investment demand and consumer
durable purchases increase. Finally, lower interest rates
affect exchange rates. As domestic interest rates fall
relative to international interest rates, domestic
investment shifts to foreign markets; foreign investment
in domestic capital markets also decreases. This
increases the supply of rupees relative to demand in the
international currency markets, lowering the price of a
rupee. Lower exchange rates stimulate exports and
reduce imports. Thus, increasing the money supply
increases aggregate demand for consumption,
investment and net exports.
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Monetary policy, like fiscal policy, is a demand side
macroeconomics policy. In particular, monetary policy
indirectly affects aggregate demand and
macroeconomics performance through the financial
markets. Fiscal policy, which involves changes in
government expenditures and taxes, directly affects
aggregate demand. Government expenditures influence
government demand; tax policy influences both
consumption and investment demand.
Demand side macroeconomics policies are often used
to offset business cycles and stabilize economic
performance, particularly prices and unemployment. If
the economy is operating below full employment,
monetary and fiscal policies can be used to increase
aggregate demand. Presumably, businesses will
increase output to satisfy the increase in aggregate
demand. If there are unemployed resources, including
human, capital and natural resources, output can
increase without significantly increasing prices. As the
economy approaches full employment, and there are
few slack resources, increases in aggregate demand
primarily affect wages and prices. Businesses must
compete against one another for the limited supply of
resources; product prices increase with wages and
input prices. Given these responses, expansionary
monetary and fiscal policy can stimulate employment
during an economic downturn; contractionary monetary
and fiscal policy can alleviate inflationary pressures
when the economy is over heated.
Contents
31 | P a g e
can be achieved by moderating short-run economic
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expenditures by having a surplus budget and raising
employment level.
automatically.
stabilisation.
Its Merits:
The various automatic stabilisers are corporate profits
tax, income tax, excise taxes, old age, survivors and
unemployment insurance and unemployment relief
payments. As instruments of automatic stabilisation,
taxes and expenditures are related to national income.
Given an unchanged structure of tax rates, tax yields
in national income.
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3. There are automatic budgetary changes in this device
avoided.
Its Limitations:
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depend on whom the taxes are cut, to what extent, and
permanent.
1. Accurate forecasting is essential to judge the stage of
If the beneficiaries of tax cut are in the higher middle
lags.
fight depression.
Conclusion:
Its Limitations:
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Despite the higher multiplier effect of government
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amount of government spending (G = E1B). In this
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This is illustrated in Figure 3. is the consumption
national income.
Or Y = 1/1-c G
Y/G = 1/1-c
Y = CT/1-c
Y/T = -c/1-c
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Since G = T, income will change by an amount equal
kb = Y = 1/1-c G + c/1-c T
kb = Y = 3G 2 T
Fiscal Policy
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the essential tools of fiscal policy are taxing and
spending. [1]
Automatic Stabilizers
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implemented that results in better GDP and reduced
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Another inhibiting factor is working with estimations.
When lawmakers put fiscal policies in place, they base
Impact of Expenditure on
Economic Growth in Pakistan
Introduction
42 | P a g e
used Cointegration and Granger Causality test.
Authors have examined the Wagner Law for
four periods in Pakistan. The four periods are
1960-1972, 1981-1991, 1981-2007, and 19912007. According to results Wagner Hypothesis
doesnt hold for the period 1981-1991. The
results of causality shows that among fiscal
deficit and public spending there is
unidirectional causality. Similarly, income and
fiscal deficits also have unidirectional
causality. However, causality does not exist
between income and public spending. Shams
and Murad (2009) test the Wagner Law in
Bangladesh by using Granger Causality test
and Cointegration test. The study period was
1972-73 to 2007-08.The authors have test all
the five versions of Wagner Law for
Bangladesh. According to authors findings
absence of Wagner Law in Bangladesh. Moosa
(2013) results show existence of Wagners
hypothesis in Saudi Arab. For empirical
analysis the author used six different version
of Wagners Law by using Error Correction
Mechanism (ECM) and Cointegration for GDP
(real) and GDP (non-oil). The data for this
research was annual data from 1970-2012.The
studies of Mahjoub (2013) found existence of
International Journal of Academic Research in
Business and Social Sciences February 2015,
Vol. 5, No. 2 ISSN: 2222-6990 233
www.hrmars.com Wagner Hypothesis in
Sudan. Similarly, Sriviasan (2013) results
shows existence of Wagner hypothesis in India
from 1973-2012. Ju Huang (2013) tests the
Wagner Law for Taiwan China. He used Toda
and Yamamoto causality test and Bound test.
For empirical analysis annual data from 1979
to 2012 has been used. The results of both
tests indicates absence of causality among
variables (national income and government
expenditure) for both countries along with in
long run there is no relationship among
national income and government expenditure
in China and Taiwan. Methodology For
empirical investigation of long run relationship
among Expenditure (LnEXP) and economic
growth (lnGDP) I have used Johansen
Cointegration and Causality Test. The reason
for choosing these tests is to find out the
causal relationship between variables and to
know the long run relation. The period of study
is 1972-2013. For this study the variables are
Gross national expenditure and Gross
domestic product of Pakistan. Johansen test
has been used for knowing the long run
relationship while granger causality test is
used to check the causal relation among
variables of the study. The data sources are
World Development indicators and Pakistan
Bureau of Statistics. Augmented Dicky Fuller
Test is used to check the stationary and non
stationary in the data. Granger Causality Test
Following model is proposed for Granger
Causality test LNGDPt = o + 1 n i
1LNGDPt-1 + 1 n j 2 LNEXPt-1 +t
LNEXPt = o + 1 n j 1LNGDPt-1 + 1 n j
2 LNEXPt-1 +vt Where LNEXPt = Natural
logarithm of Expenditure LNGDPt = Natural
logarithm of Gross Domestic Product t & vt =
Error Term DATA ANALYSIS AND RESULTS:
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Indeed, the benefits conferred by the use of money,
credit structure and the changes in the value of money,
all have profound influence on the economic behaviour
of mankind today.
Every branch of economic activity in a money economy
is basically different from what it would have been in a
barter economy.
As Robertson states, "The existence of a monetary
economy helps society to discover what people want
and how much they want it and so to decide what shall
be produced and in what quantities, and to make the
best use of its limited productive power.
And it helps each member of society to ensure that the
means of enjoyment to which he has access yield him
the greatest amount of actual enjoyment which is within
his reach."
Money has created a far reaching effect on all facets of
economic activities: consumption, production,
exchange and distribution, as also on public finance and
economic welfare.
Money and Consumption:
Money enables a consumer to generalise his purchasing
power. It gives him command over a wide variety of
goods. It enables him to canalise his purchasing power
and get what he wants. In fact, it is money through its
immense purchasing power that makes a consumer
sovereign in a capitalist economy.
The consumer's sovereignty can be expressed through
money spending. Money provides freedom of choice of
consumption. Money and the price mechanism help a
consumer to allocate his income over goods in such a
way so that he derives maximum satisfaction from their
consumption.
Money and Production:
"In the modern world, industry is closely enfolded in the
garment of money," says Pigou. The institution of
money has made present-day mass production
possible. Without money, production on a large scale
would be impossible. For:
(i) Money has made extreme division of labour possible.
Intensive specialisation is necessary for large scale
production.
(ii) Money is the sine qua non for modern enterprise.
Entrepreneurs are concerned, while planning their
production activities, with the cost of production and
selling prices together with the resulting profit, all
calculated in terms of money.
(iii) The use of money enables a producer to concentrate
on the organisation of the production process. Money
provides a basis for supporting more complex methods
of organising production.
(iv) Money has facilitated borrowing and lending and
these are essential in present day production. Credit is
the main pillar of modern business.
44 | P a g e
Great Depression in the thirties reminds us of its
importance.
Money occupies a strategic position in the culture of a
modern society. The smooth functioning of the money
economy enables society to raise its standard of living
by increasing production and equitable distribution
through the medium of exchange.
Thus, money helps in widening the materialistic base of
culture and civilisation. Marshall, therefore, maintained
that the history of money is synonymous with the
history of civilisation.
To quote Horace: "All things human and divine,
renowned Honour and worth, at money's shrine go
down."
Above all, money is the measuring rod of economic
welfare. Macro-economic goals of a welfare state are
expressed and their realisation is tested in terms of
money.
Money serves as an index of economic growth. National
income and per capita income are measured in terms of
money. Again, physical planning for economic
development has its counterpart of financial planning
expressed in terms of money.
Money also influences international economy.
International economic relations and foreign trade
transactions are carried out through internationally
accepted money key currency.
In the final analysis, we cannot think of a well- organised
social, economic and political life in the present day
without money.
MONEY
45 | P a g e
A second difficulty is that many different readings were
given the Treatise (not unlike the later General Theory),
each reading stressing different combinations of
variations within a general quantity theory framework.
This meant, on the one hand, that a variety of oral
traditions likely co-existed throughout the discipline
and, on the other hand, that some or many of them
included significant attention to the demand for money.
Leeson stresses the latter: Friedmans initial assertion
about Chicago uniqueness in this context must now
appear unreliable. It is therefore improbable that
the Treatise with its emphasis on money demand
informed macroeconomic discussions in Chicago only.
Indeed, Friedman in the preface to these volumes has
retreated from his initial assertion about Chicago
uniqueness (vol. 2, pp. 488, 489). In his preface,
Friedman begins his defense saying that he early was
baffled at what all the fuss was about. very little
was at stake. He then takes, correctly but irrelevantly,
the position that if he has been confused about the
origin of the ideas it would not affect by an iota the
validity or usefulness of those ideas. He concludes that
he remains persuaded that I was the beneficiary of a
Chicago oral tradition, but this evidence convinces me
that I gave Chicago more credit for uniqueness than was
justified. The issue, he repeats, is entirely about the
origin of ideas, not about the validity of content (vol. 1,
p. x). Friedman seems to have taken too much for
granted; Chicago was no more homogeneous than was
the discipline as a whole on the quantity theory.
Leeson is claiming, therefore, only that Friedmans
assertion had some validity in the sense that much
macroeconomic discussion at Chicago and elsewhere
in the early 1930s resembled his 1956 restatement, that
tradition is too strong, and the uniqueness claim is
wrong and must be dropped.
II. Historiographical Considerations
The collection bears on several historiographical
considerations.
1. The historical record is uneven. Political history
leaves many documents. Social and economic history,
until relatively recently, left few lasting markers, but
often sufficient indirect evidence to enable imaginative
scholars to intuit larger patterns. With only sparse
materials bearing on an interpretive problem, historians
of thought and others may well find it easy to leap to
conclusions. But where one has a vast body of
evidence, such leaps seem presumptuous. With
sparseness, the world may seem simpler than it actually
was; with plentitude, the big, bloomin confusion is
amply evident. So it is with the problem of the Chicago
oral tradition.
The existence and content of an oral tradition plus our
ability to discern them are highly problematical. Until
very recently, as historical time goes, the technology to
record oral communication did not exist. Even now,
absent mechanical recording, the oral, once uttered, no
longer endures (vide Adam Smith on unproductive
labor). One result is false and/or biased memory.
Clarence E. Ayres, a long-time friend of Frank Knight,
was like Knight an imposing and convincing lecturer. It
turns out that institutionalists trained by Ayres had
different views of institutionalist doctrine (such as the
so-called Veblen-Ayres dichotomy) depending on when
they sat in Ayress classes. There was an oral tradition
at Texas centering on Ayres, but for that reason it
46 | P a g e
Some authors treated the quantity theory as a matter of
causal relation and explanation, often differing as to the
content and direction of explanation, whereas others
saw it as a truism, identity or tautology.
The epistemological nature of much discussion of the
quantity theory was mixed. Some of it was theory as
hypothesis. Some was comprised of declarative
statements without supporting evidence or with
carefully constructed evidence. Who is to say which
version of the quantity theory is correct? Is there one
correct version? What are the criteria of correctness
and the meta-criteria by which to chose from among the
criteria, et seq.?
These questions are difficult to answer, for two reasons.
First, consider W. H. Hutts distinctions between
rational-thought, custom-thought, and powerthought. Rational-thought is disinterested objective
inquiry leading to the accumulation of undisputed
social-science knowledge (once class-driven ideology
has been removed). Custom-thought is modes of
thinking infused with implicit premises derived from
tradition and customary ways of doing and looking at
things. Power-thought is modes of thought and
expression that are constructed to influence power,
politics, and policy, through their service in psychopolitical mobilization (Hutt 1990, p. 3 and passim). All
three types of thought, especially the latter two, are
found in the literature collected by Leeson. Second,
inasmuch as no theory, or no version of a theory, can
cover all pertinent variables and answer all our
questions, correctness by any definition is elusive
especially when various versions of the quantity theory
have been adopted to weaken if not destroy the targeted
opponent, Keynesian economics. Here, power and
persuasion rank well above scientificity (amply
developed in Leeson 2000a and 2003).
Economic arguments are used to manipulate political
psychology and political psychology is used to
manipulate economic policy. Ideology and wishful
thinking have relatively easy entry, especially for
economists and politicians who favor creation of a
certain felicitous picture in the publics mind as part of
the process of creating/manipulating public opinion.
Monetary theory and policy (like many other fields in
economics) were characterized by overintellectualization and economic politics, treated as if
conducted cognitively and in sterile environments,
whereas they existed in a real world of power play,
selective perception, psychology, uncertainty, the quest
for wealth and prestige, and efforts to influence the
economic role of government. Monetary policy is a
function of power, ideology, tradeoffs, power play over
the distributions of opportunity, income and wealth.
Each model of monetary theory was more or less
attractive to particular ideologies and invoked as a
weapon in support of policies based on ideology,
practical politics, etc.
III. How Different Versions of the Quantity Theory Could
Exist
The question of the existence of a Chicago oral tradition
and its possible content must confront the variety of
forms given the quantity theory. Many individual
quantity theorists had their own positions to advance;
they had different perspectives, and monetary theory
comprised many different considerations on which their
different, and changing, perspectives could be brought
47 | P a g e
commercial banks do, the nature and role of a central
bank; fractional reserves and the money multiplier; the
Cambridge cash-balance approach, Wicksells monetary
theory, and so on.
Some work postulated the economy to be fundamentally
stable (e.g., through great weight given to Says Law);
others postulated particular combinations of quantitytheory and business-cycle models. Changes in M could
be deemed to affect only changes in P and nominal Y
(i.e., T). Changes in Y (or T) could be seen as leading to
changes in M and thence in P; or changes in Y (or T)
could be seen as leading to changes in P and thence in
M. Different supplementary assumptions might lead to
changes in the direction of flows of causation or
influence. Especially critical was whether an increase in
Y (or T) was possible: whereas an increase in M and
thence P could lead to an increase in Y (or T) at less
than full employment, at full employment an engineered
increase in M could not lead to an increase in real Y (or
real T).
Much work seemed directly or indirectly influenced by
monetary and banking arrangements existing within
some form of gold standard. A monetary system
predicated upon gold meant that changes in either gold
or money meant a change in the other and in the price
level. Currency and credit could be treated differently
(as was done by Fisher, for example), influenced by
differences in view of specie, paper and bank balances.
The relation of reserves to M could vary, as could the
money multiplier, reasons for holding money or
spending on consumer and/or capital goods, the
respective roles of commercial banks and central banks
(including targets), the relation of interest rates to the
quantity theory variables, neutral versus non-neutral
money, and so on.
Friedmanian monetarism to the extent it can be
meaningfully generalized proposed that the private
sector is stable, or would be stable in the absence of
monetary and fiscal policy; that changes in the supply
of money, vis-a-vis a stable demand for money
(expectable in a stable economy) lead to changes in the
interest rate and, especially, the price level; that
changes in the supply of money generate changes in
spending; that prices are generally flexible; and that visa-vis all other factors only money matters or money
matters most (hard versus soft monetarism). The
Keynesian fiscalist alternative to the extent it too can
be meaningfully generalized proposes that the private
sector is unstable, and that government can reinforce
this instability, introduce its own instability, or counter
instability; that changes in spending are governed by
more than changes in the supply of money; that
changes in the supply of money are the consequence,
not the cause, of changes in spending in part, the
supply of money is a function of the demand for money;
prices are generally inflexible; inflation is largely or
typically a function of aggregate demand increasing
beyond the full employment level; that increases in the
supply of money can generate inflation but changes in
the supply of money are not the critical factor governing
changes in spending; that price-level instability is not
the only monetary/macroeconomic problem, because
full employment is not guaranteed and the supply of
money is key to neither the price level nor the level of
real income.
In addition, the two schools monetarism and
fiscalism identify different transmission processes
48 | P a g e
the 1960s, each invoked aggregate demand and the
supply of money; but Samuelson had changes in
aggregate spending drive changes in the supply of
money, whereas Friedman had changes in the supply of
money drive changes in aggregate spending. More is at
stake than a conflict about direction of causal flow, just
as when advocates of both under-consumption and
over-investment theories of the business cycle pointed
to the same data to prove their case: unsold goods.
49 | P a g e
50 | P a g e
Keynes and Robertson, with arrow pointing to next line.]
Both, at this early date, had tendencies more to the
anti-quantitative than to quantitative approach. Mill
could approach the transfer problem from an entirely
different point of view from his approach to bank credit
foolish.
Writing about the Banking School, * Money a matter of
quantity which can be regulated by control of its
quantity by issue. By affecting demand for money by:
Discount rate Open market operations Public
works (governments).
PT=MV+ M V
51 | P a g e
This equation equates the demand for money (PT) to
Fisher points out the price level (P) (M+M) provided the
52 | P a g e
by four-fold to M4, the value of money is reduced by 1/P4.
53 | P a g e
volume of business transactions also rises or falls.
constant, has not been borne out by facts. Not only this,
trade cycle.
54 | P a g e
between M and P in the long run. Thus it neglects the
of the real balance effect, that is, the real value of cash
8. V not Constant:
etc. It is, therefore, not applicable to a modern dynamic
Further, Keynes pointed out that when there is
economy.
introduction
and independent of M.
55 | P a g e
money multiplier fable found in economic textbooks.
imagined as a counterfactual.
Monetary Systems
this way for a long time. This did not start in 1971. The
56 | P a g e
theoretical reference point for understanding how banks
sheets.
Money Markets
deposits.
and that the deposit issuing bank will lend funds into
the lending bank has lost reserves and the deposit bank
57 | P a g e
a basic function of commercial bank reserve
by those who take the time to learn the facts about it.
the individual bank that has issued the deposit. The new
for funding that will draw new reserve balances into its
58 | P a g e
a lag between two system growth impulses loans
59 | P a g e
respond to both growth dynamics and steady state
60 | P a g e
assessment and capital allocation. Banks require capital
61 | P a g e
banks. Between discrete loans create deposits events,
on a recurring basis.
Conclusion
but they can change in form within any bank. They can
62 | P a g e
portion of what constitutes ongoing balance sheet
management in competitive banking.
63 | P a g e
2. Open Market Operations:
credit.
For example:
contraction of credit.
With this activity the cash will now move from the
Similarly, a fall in bank rate mil lowers the lending rates
64 | P a g e
3. Variable Cash Reserve Ratio:
Central Bank.
Which is Superior?
industries or businesses.
1. Rationing of Credit.
65 | P a g e
2. Direct Action.
3. Moral Persuasion.
4. Method of Publicity.
1. Rationing of Credit:
3. Moral Persuasion:
2. Direct Action:
4. Method of Publicity:
Under this method if the Commercial Banks do not
follow the policy of the Central Bank, then the Central
Bank has the only recourse to direct action. This
method can be used to enforce both quantitatively and
qualitatively credit controls by the Central Banks. This
method is not used in isolation; it is used as a
supplement to other methods of credit control.
66 | P a g e
Banks being lured by regional gains. Even the Reserve
Banks?)
Loans:
The quantity of money circulating in an economy affects
This system is mostly followed in U.S.A. Under this
orhome mortgages.
Act, 1934.
67 | P a g e
Merely printing more money doesnt affect the output or
banks get to borrow from the central bank (in the United
requirement.
68 | P a g e
instrument as they are flexible, easy to use, and
effective.
external debt.
borrowings:
Objectives:
69 | P a g e
its current budgetary deficit. But, in India, the term is
situations and
domestic consumption.
70 | P a g e
the consumption possibilities of a nation. It causes an
curve.
Three Problems:
to the rich.
decline.
71 | P a g e
a growth-retarding factor. Thus an economy grows
Conclusion:
resources.
72 | P a g e
Limit to Public Debt:
Also, some portion of the debt is external, or foreignowned. While, under normal conditions, this is not a
serious concern, in a period of accelerated repayment it
would mean a sizable outflow of rupees from the India.
Finally, in order to pay off the public debt, a series of
surplus budgets would be needed.
foreigners
institutions.
or
foreign
governments
or
73 | P a g e
No.
Particulars
Burden of debt
Burden of
individual debt
directly impose
individual
Borrow money
Government can
borrow from the
citizens forcefully
Individual can
borrow if the len
wishes to lend
him/her
Benefit
Issue of note
If necessary,
Government can
issue notes to pay
debt
There is no sco
to issue note in
case of individu
Payment of debt
Generally.
Government imposes
tax on public to pay
debt
Individual has to
pay debt from
his/her income
Types of debt
Government can
borrow from both
internal and external
sources
Individual can o
borrow from
external source
Irredeemable debt
Government can
borrow money on
irredeemable basis
Individual has to
borrow money o
redeemable bas
Interest rate on
debt is more in
case of individu
debt
from the
public
forcefully, it
is
called
national
defense
certificate,
certificate etc.
savings
Private Deb
Public Debt
Public Revenue
The public revenue can be broadly classified into two:
(a) Tax Revenue: It is the most important and major
source of public revenue. Government may require the
members of the community to contribute to the support
of governmental functions through the payment of
taxes. An individual has no right to directly demand
social services in return to his payment of tax nor has
he any other choice except to pay the tax when it is
levied on him.
74 | P a g e
Taxes, in general, serve both functions of a revenue
system:
(i)
(ii)
investment.
75 | P a g e
intelligible to the common understanding. This canon is
essential if corruption or oppression is to be avoided.
5. Canon of Diversity: Another important principle of
taxation diversity. A single tax or only a few taxes will
not do. There should be a variety of taxes so that all the
citizens, who can afford to contribute to the State
revenue, should be made to do so. They should be
approached in a variety of ways. There should be a wise
admixture of direct and indirect taxes. But too great
multiplicity will be bad and uneconomical.
6. Social and Economic Objectives: In modern times,
economists emphasised that the tax system should be
based on the principle that the effects of taxation should
be compatible with the economic and social objectives
and preferences of the community. The social and
economic objectives of a standard tax system are:
(i)
Reduction of inequalities in the
distribution of income and wealth: For this purpose,
progressive taxes must be levied instead of proportional
taxes.
(ii)
Accelerating economic growth: For this
purpose, the tax system must be so designed as to raise
the rates of saving and investment. This is a very
important objective for less developed countries (LDCs),
where there is a deficiency of savings and investments.
(iii)
Price stability: to ensure stable
economic growth. When LDCs launch economic
development programme they have to face inflation or
soaring prices. An integrated tax policy would solve
this problem.
Objectives of Taxation in
Developing Economies
(a) Ability to contribute to economic
development: Each person should be made to
contribute to economic development, according to his
ability to do so. All his unused capacity must be
utilised, through appropriate tax measures, for purposes
of economic development. Suppose a person is making
a large saving but he lets it lie idle. Such saving must
be mobilised and channelised into investment.
(b) Mobilisation of economic surplus: In all
backward countries, a significant portion of national
output goes to the big landlords and other idle rich
people. A large portion of their income is spent on
conspicuous consumption, e.g., building of palaces,
etc. This is unproductive expenditure and a waste from
the point of national development. Economic growth
can be accelerated if an appreciable portion of this
surplus income is mobilised and made available for
productive investment.
76 | P a g e
collection of isolated taxes. Every tax should fit in
properly in the system as a whole so that it is a part of a
connected system. Each tax should occupy a definite
and due place in the financial structure.
(e) Ensuring the reduction of economic
inequalities: A good tax is that it should be an
instrument for the reduction of economic
inequalities. The purpose of public finance is not
merely to raise revenues for the State but to raise the
revenue in such a manner as to reduce the economic
inequalities. In this manner, the State may also be able
to divert idle resources in bank balances or lockers to
more productive areas.
(f) Ensuring economic stability: From the point of
view of ensuring economic stability, it is necessary that
the tax system must be progressive in relation to
changes in the national income. This means that when
national income rises, an increasing part of rise in
income should automatically accrue to the tax
authorities and when national income falls, as in a
depression, the tax revenue should fall faster than the
fall in national income.
(g) Ensuring that national income is
increasing: The tax system should ensure that the
national income is increasing during boom
periods. Similarly, in depression, tax revenues should
fall faster than income so that the purchasing power of
people does not fall as fast as their pre-tax
income. Thus, an overall progressive tax system is an
important factor in ensuring stability.
(h) An instrument of economic growth: For
developing economies, the tax system has to serve as
an instrument of economic growth. Economic
development rather than economic stability is the
objective of under-developed countries. Their tax
system must be so shaped as to accelerate economic
development. For this purpose, it must mobilise the
required resources and channelise them into
investment. It must, in short step up savings and
investment and raise the level of income and
employment in the economy.
(i) Socially advantageous: The tax system should
be socially advantageous and promote general
economic welfare. From this point of view, taxes on
goods of mass consumption should be avoided. The
burden of tax on basic items should not be excessive.
(j) Optimum allocation of resources: The tax
system should be so framed as to ensure that the
productive resources of the economy are optimally
allocated and utilised. For this purpose, it is essential
that the tax system should be economically neutral. In
other words, it should interfere as little as possible with
the consumers choices for consumption goods and the
producers choices regarding the use of factors.
Classification of Tax
Some classifications of taxes are as follows:
1. Proportional & Progressive Tax: A proportional tax is
one in which, whatever the size of income, same rate or
percentage is charged.
On the contrary, progressive tax refers to the tax system
in which the rate of tax increases with the increase in
table income. It is based on the principle higher the
income, higher the tax.
2. Regressive & Digressive Tax: A tax is said to be
regressive when its burden falls more heavily on lowincome earners / poor than the high-income earners /
rich. It is opposite of progressive tax.
A tax is called digressive when the higher income does
not make a due sacrifice, or when the burden imposed
on them is relatively less. This tax may be progressive
up to a certain limit beyond which a uniform rate is
charged.
3. Specific & Advolarem Tax: A specific tax is according
to the weight of the commodity. An advolarem tax is
according to the value of a commodity.
4. Direct & Indirect Tax: Direct tax is one which is paid
by the person on which it is charged. The examples of
direct taxes are income tax, wealth tax, etc.
On the contrary, the indirect taxs is paid by one person
and its burden is fall on other, generally the
consumer. The examples of indirect taxes are sales tax,
central excise duty, custom duty, recreational tax, etc.
77 | P a g e
(d) The tax structure should be designed in such a
fashion as to facilitate compliance and in enforcement,
consistent with the attainment of the other objectives.
specific, and
(ii)
advolarem.
78 | P a g e
There are two main types of taxes (1) direct tax and
(2) indirect tax.
(ii)
Receipts from civil
administration and other functions
(iii)
Miscellaneous sources,
which includes passport, CNIC
(Computerised National Identity
Card), copyright fees and other
receipts.
79 | P a g e
Indirect Taxes:
Indirect taxes are those taxes which are paid in the first
instance by one person and then are shifted on to some
other persons. The impact is one person but the
incidence is on the other.
80 | P a g e
"Direct and Indirect taxes are like two equally fair sisters
to whom as Chancellor of Exchequer, he had to pay
equal addresses".
Types of Taxes:
(1) Tax:
Definition and Explanation of Fee:
81 | P a g e
(3) Price:
by Smriti Chand
82 | P a g e
(ii) Metallic Money:
Types of money
recorded history.
1. Cash:
(iii) Paper Money:
Physical money, or cash, is created under the authority
It was found inconvenient as well as dangerous to carry
bank.
money.
due to the fact that they are only used by banks to make
payments between themselves.
83 | P a g e
Electronic Money includes some decentralized systems.
3. Commercial bank money
They are:
Bitcoin, and
i) Bitcoin:
currency.
cash.
system.
Soft Electronic Currency allows payment
reversals. The payment is reversed only in case of
dispute or fraud. The payment reversible time will be
72 hrs or even more. Some examples of this type
Centralized Systems,
84 | P a g e
The economic system which functions without the use
of money is given the name of barter system. In other
words the economy which lacks any monetary media
and the goods are exchanged with goods directly is a
representative of barter system. Accordingly, we find
that barter system is furnished with the followings:
Guidelines and
Recommendations for Barter
Exchange Deficits
I. Preamble
85 | P a g e
The key question is; What is the proper and prudent
supply members will not sell and the system will freeze-
for the prior fiscal year, your company will owe the
1) Exchange Deficits
2) System Deficits
deficit.
86 | P a g e
A portion of trade dollars earned by an exchange from
V. Conclusion
Functions of Money
87 | P a g e
difficult. Money effectively eliminates the double
coincidence of wants problem by serving as a medium
of exchange that is accepted in all transactions, by all
parties, regardless of whether they desire each others'
goods and services.
Monetary policy
policy:
1. Full Employment:
88 | P a g e
only because unemployment leads to wastage of
2. Price Stability:
controlling specific types of credit. They include
One of the policy objectives of monetary policy is to
4. Balance of Payments:
The commercial banks, in turn, raise their lending rates
Another objective of monetary policy since the 1950s
to the business community and borrowers borrow less
has been to maintain equilibrium in the balance of
from the commercial banks. There is contraction of
payments.
credit and prices are checked from rising further. On the
Instruments of Monetary Policy:
89 | P a g e
and demand start rising and the downward movement of
prices is checked.
Conclusion:
90 | P a g e
inflation. The monetarists contend that as against fiscal
policy, monetary policy possesses greater flexibility and
Central bank
Monetary policy[edit]
may include:
91 | P a g e
interest-free currency notes and selling them to the
foreign currencies.
Goals[edit]
High employment[edit]
Economic growth[edit]
92 | P a g e
Further goals of monetary policy are stability
Interest rates[edit]
Policy instruments[edit]
[18]
mechanisms.
93 | P a g e
bank rate". In practice, they will have other
influence markets.
[19]
Liu
loans.
94 | P a g e
Reserve requirements[edit]
Capital requirements[edit]
a non-convertible currency.
of two forms:
95 | P a g e
Meaning:
otherwise limited.
interventions.
public expenditure programmes in the developed
countries.
96 | P a g e
The public expenditure can be used as a lever to raise
Classification of Public
Expenditure:
97 | P a g e
goods or services. It is therefore called expenditure on
as developmental expenditure.
about the use of resources, in the case of nontransferable type of expenditure, the Government itself
decides about the use of real resources, especially
whether they are to be used for consumption or
investment purposes.
developmental expenditure.
98 | P a g e
objective or fool-proof criteria and is therefore
somewhat arbitrary.
Wiseman-Peacock Hypothesis:
expenditure.
1. Defence:
99 | P a g e
state of military preparedness demanding large defence
expenditure.
varying rates.
100 | P a g e
measures such as old age pensions, unemployment
felt.
development.
income multiplier.
Not only public utility services such as water supply,
This helps to push the economy out of depression and
101 | P a g e
Several steel plants, multipurpose irrigation projects,
Government.
farmers.
8. Anti-Poverty Schemes:
102 | P a g e
anti- poverty schemes. It has now been realised that
economy.
in recent years.
Conclusion:
103 | P a g e
This equilibrium level may not be established at fullemployment level. Suppose full employment of labour
and other resources corresponds to OY2 level of
national product.
104 | P a g e
expenditure is directed to scientific research and
development (R & D), it will ensure progress in
technology and raise productivity or power to produce
of workers.
the future security, people will work less and save less.
105 | P a g e
social security makes the working people contented and
expenditure.
security system.
2. Expenditure on Subsidies:
In the modern times the Government modifies the free
working of market mechanism in respect of income
106 | P a g e
Expenditure on various types of subsidies has also a
the poor.
107 | P a g e
Negative Income Tax to Achieve More Equal Distribution
of Income:
INCIDENCE OF GENERAL
SALES TAX IN PAKISTAN:
I. Introduction
108 | P a g e
The tax system of Pakistan can be analyzed from
different perspectives and in various dimensions. It may
be evaluated in terms of economic or administrative
efficiency or with respect to quest for revenue to finance
government expenditures. Nonetheless, equity
implication and redistribution aspect of a tax system
remains an important and integral part for designing tax
policies, especially, in countries where a high
percentage of population lives below the poverty line.
Therefore, the study of tax incidence and the resulting
distribution of tax burden is an important policy issue in
Pakistan. General Sales Tax (GST) dominates the tax
structure1 of Pakistan with a 40 per cent share in the
total tax collected by the Federal Board of Revenue. The
revenue collected from GST is roughly 4 per cent of the
Pakistans GDP and is imposed2 on goods sold
(imported or manufactured) in Pakistan. During the last
decade two studies have been conducted to assess GST
incidence in Pakistan. These studies used the detail
Household Income and Expenditure Survey (HIES) data
for the years 2000-01 and 2004-05 and analyzed the
trends in distribution of GST burden across the tiers of
income distribution. In the methodological perspective,
results of these studies (in terms of tax progressivity)
are based on an average rate of progression by
comparing effective tax rate (ETR) for each income
group. Recently, the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics has
released HIES data for the year 2010-11. Thus, the main
purpose of this research is to update GST incidence by
applying the latest household consumption data.3 The
study also furnishes additional information by
disaggregating results for regions, provinces and
commodity groups. Besides providing graphical
presentation of tax incidence through ETR, Kakwani
Summary Indices are also estimated to observe the
intensity of GST progressivity. Moreover, a sensitivity
analysis is also attempted to observe the impact of
diverse GST rate for expenditure groups on tax burden
or distribution of the tax incidence. The paper is
organized as follows. Data and methodological issues
are briefly discussed in Section II, while relevant
evidence from the earlier studies is provided in Section
III. Next, Section IV furnishes the empirical findings in
terms of overall incidence, distributional impact, intertemporal comparison and Kakwani Summary Indices.
Findings from the simulation exercise are also
discussed in this section. Finally, Section V provides
some concluding remarks. II. Data and Methodology The
tax incident analyses are concerned with the share of
tax paid by different economic groups of the society.
Therefore, the only data necessary is a variable which
defines the economic groups and an estimate of tax
paid on different commodities by each group. The most
common source of data is a nationally representative
household income and the expenditure survey. 74
PAKISTAN JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMICS 2 GST
in its present form was introduced in Pakistan at the
standard rate of 12.5 per cent in 1992. However, for
reducing budget deficit, the rate of GST was raised to 18
per cent in 1995 with a reduced rate of 2 per cent,
introduced to bring small businessmen into the tax net.
The said rate was, however, subsequently reduced to 15
109 | P a g e
capital (interest, dividends). 3. Inheritances, transfers,
and family remittances are often poorly captured in
survey-based measures of household income. More
importantly, in an economy where most of the
economically active population is not in a salaried
remuneration class but is either self-employed or work
in farms or other family business; the assessment of
income in a single survey visit to household, like HIES is
not appropriate. Further, in countries where the rate of
tax evasion is very high, people in general have
tendency to understate their income in fear of tax
authorities.4 JAMAL AND JAVED, INCIDENCE OF
GENERAL SALES TAX IN PAKISTAN 75 4 Authors are
grateful to the anonymous referee for pointing out this
reasoning against the use of income as a proxy of
household welfare. Due to these constraints, in using
income as a proxy of household welfare, consumption is
used by number of studies on tax incidence analysis.
Consumption is less volatile than the current income
and might be taken as a reasonable proxy for permanent
income.5 It is also less likely to be under-reported then
income.6 Thus, per capita household expenditure is
preferred in this research as an indicator of the
household welfare. Economic incidence model of tax
studies analyzes the distributional effect of tax system
to evaluate who ultimately bears the burden of tax.
Various measures are suggested in the theoretical and
empirical literature to evaluate distributional impact of
tax. Most of these measures are derived from the social
welfare functions and assumptions about the societys
preference for income equity.7 This paper, however,
focus on the following two widely used measures. One
basic measure of economic incidence of tax is to
evaluate average rate of progression (ARP) which is the
most common measure used to determine tax
progressivity. ARP compares effective tax rate (ETR)
across deciles or quintiles of welfare indicators. A tax
structure is said to be progressive when effective tax
rises and moves up to the scale of welfare. It is
regressive when effective tax falls against rise in the
scale of welfare indicators; and it is proportional when
effective tax rate remain constant across the welfare
levels. The effective tax rate for this study is the GST
paid by a particular decile as a percentage of its total
household expenditure. According to the ability-to-pay
principle, a taxation scheme or tax structure is equitable
if taxpayers are charged according to their ability to pay.
Therefore, based on the principle of ability-to-pay, a
progressive tax would be regarded as being equitable
because those with a greater ability to pay would pay a
higher proportion of their income in the form of
taxation.8 A proportional tax may be regarded as
equitable to the extent that all taxpayers would pay the
same proportion of their income as tax. Thus, higher
income taxpayers would be paying a higher absolute
amount of tax than the lower income taxpayers. 76
PAKISTAN JOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMICS 5
Cubero and Hollar (2010) also noted that because
consumption tends to be more evenly distributed than
income in most countries, studies that use consumption
as a welfare measure tend to find that overall taxation,
and consumption-based taxes in particular, are more
110 | P a g e
basic food items, GST incidence for 2000- 01 appears to
be at best proportional over majority of the population.
Moreover, magnitudes of GST incidence differed at large
as compared to the year 1990-91 which was mainly due
to the limited scope of GST in this year, and also due to
the pattern of exemptions that clearly favored the poor.
JAMAL AND JAVED, INCIDENCE OF GENERAL SALES
TAX IN PAKISTAN 77 9 The Gini coefficient for a tax
concentration curve is called quasi-Gini coefficient.
Conceptually, a concentration curve and a Lorenz curve
differ in a way that the former plots cumulative shares of
X (e.g., tax payments) with respect to the
deciles/quintiles distribution of Y (e.g., pre-tax
income/expenditure), whereas, the latter represents the
cumulative share of Y with respect to the deciles or
quintiles distribution of Y. 10 Refaqat submitted this as a
thesis for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy, University
of Bath. The study inferred that the rural and urban GST
incidence trend lie very close to each other. The regional
incidence for the year 2000-01 averaged around 4.62 per
cent for the rural areas when compared with 4.80 per
cent for the urban areas. Thus, it appears that the tax
burden or the level of average GST incidence faced in
both regions was quite similar. On an average,
approximately 5 per cent of the households total
expenditure was paid as GST, whereas, in rural areas
only one per cent (4.62/4.8) less than their urban
counterparts was paid. In addition, it was also found
that an overall incidence trend for regional population
appeared to be progressive, i.e., effective tax rose with
level of welfare for both the urban (at least over the
bottom six deciles) and the rural areas. Regarding
disaggregated incidence at commodity level for the year
2000-01, it was concluded that GST on food items,
clothes, fuel and utilities appeared to be regressive. The
author argues that this should not be a surprise; given
their underlying expenditure patterns which show these
to be necessities. On the other hand, GST incidence for
durable items, and POL products, appeared to be
progressive (as these are luxuries). Furthermore, the
incidence trend for tobacco and personal care items
appeared to be proportional for a large segment of
population. From the detailed disaggregated analysis at
commodity and regional levels, the author suggested
that separate analysis provides a very good opportunity
to the policymakers to fine-tune GST exemptions to
safeguard the poor without too much cost to the
exchequer. Based on this work on social incidence of
indirect taxation in Pakistan, Refaqat (2003) used data
from the HIES and derived two IMF working papers and
provided a comprehensive incidence and distributional
analysis of GST in Pakistan. The author imputed
effective tax rates for a detailed list of consumption
items by expenditure deciles and deduced that GST is
somewhat progressive with average effective rate
around 3.49 to 4.19 per cent. Detail categories of
consumption goods were analyzed and it was found that
tax burden on some specific items including cigarettes,
cooking oil, gas, kerosene and electricity is regressive.
Similarly, Refaqat (2005) assessed the welfare impact of
GST reforms on Pakistani households using the two
HIES data sets of 1991 and 2001. The author stated
111 | P a g e
contribution to the national income. The expenditure
and tax burden however was distributed across the
population in an arbitrary way. Thus, the findings were
dubious, especially for the poorest income group. Malik
and Saqib (1989) used the input-output table of 1975-76
and the Household Income and Expenditure Survey
1979 to estimate the tax burden across income groups.
For summarizing the nature of redistribution of income
due to tax, they developed Suite Index which is similar
to the Gini Index of income inequality. They concluded
that over all, the tax system turns out to be slightly
progressive for the country. However, for rural areas, the
system is slightly regressive. Moreover, they concluded
that indirect tax which is a major source of Government
revenue is generally, slightly regressive. JAMAL AND
JAVED, INCIDENCE OF GENERAL SALES TAX IN
PAKISTAN 79 Kazi `(1984) analyzed the inter-sectoral tax
burden for Pakistan. On the basis of sectoral
expenditure and sectoral population, tax burden and tax
allocation were estimated. The results showed the overtaxation of agriculture when compared to the relative
capacity of taxation in each sector. It was also found
that in agriculture sector rich farmers were under-taxed.
One of the study on tax incidence for Pakistan was
conducted byJeetun (1978), wherein the total tax
incidence and total indirect tax burden exhibited either
the slight progressivity or a U-curve pattern (i.e.,
implying redistribution by taking place from the very
poor and the rich towards the middle income class). He
also found that the urban class was burdened with
higher proportion of tax incidence than the rural class.
The study provides detailed disaggregated results
based on incidence of components of the tax system. To
conclude, most studies cited above indicate that
irrespective of the methodology, tax structure and
governance, consumption tax in Pakistan was not
regressive, i.e., effective tax rate did not fall against the
rise in income. The tax rate remained more or less
proportional, that is, constant across the welfare level.
Some progressivity in the tax burden, however, is
reported, especially in the disaggregated analysis in
terms of regions or commodity. Another important
observation highlighted by Refaqat (2008) and Wahid
and Wallace (2008) is that most of the research in
Pakistan remained preoccupied with the tax progression
issues. As a result, issues such as tax evasion,
distributional role of tax exemption of specific
commodity, uniform versus non-uniform GST rate, etc.,
are not addressed at large in the context of Pakistan.
According to Culbertson,
112 | P a g e
the central bank. Some of the Indian public sector banks
are State Bank of India (SBI), Corporation Bank, Bank of
Baroda, Dena Bank, and Punjab National Bank.
public deposits.
follows:
bank.
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Refers to one of the important functions of commercial
exchange.
as follows:
exchange.
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payment in cash. Thus, without printing additional
loans
delay in payment
Cash Credit:
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The rate of interest charged by the bank on cash credit
overdraft amount
account limit
organization
The disadvantages of the bank overdraft are as follows:
d. Charges interest only on the amount withdrawn by
a. Incurs high cost for the clients, if they fail to pay the
limitations.
Discounting of Bill:
Bank Overdraft:
Bank overdraft is the quickest means of the short-term
116 | P a g e
Conditions laid down by the bank for discounting of bill
are as follows:
a. Must be intended to specific purpose
WHY IT MATTERS:
Clearinghouses, acting as middlemen between buyers
and sellers, provide both efficiency and stability to
the financial markets they serve. However, they take on
a high amount of risk because they act as both buyer
Clearinghouse
117 | P a g e
Category # I. Quantitative or General Methods:
securities.
Bank.
For example:
With this activity the cash will now move from the
Central Bank to the Commercial Banks. With this
increased cash reserves the Commercial Banks will be
in a position to create more credit with the result that
the volume of bank credit will expand in the economy.
118 | P a g e
This activity of the Central Bank will force the
Which is Superior?
1. Rationing of Credit.
2. Direct Action.
4. Method of Publicity.
Loans.
119 | P a g e
1. Rationing of Credit:
3. Moral Persuasion:
2. Direct Action:
4. Method of Publicity:
Under this method if the Commercial Banks do not
follow the policy of the Central Bank, then the Central
measures.
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protective and defensive measure, there after it has
market
comprise
of
negotiable
securities
federal
funds,
U.S.
Treasury
bills,
securities,
commodities,
currencies
and
the foundations:
Capital Market
Credit Instruments:
acceptances.
Time period:
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In
money
market
credit
instruments
are
less
Institutions:
The essential part of money market is that of making
adjustment of liquidity.
are
commercial
banks,
central
banks
acceptance
and so forth.
Reason of loan:
Market Regulation:
market.
in
market.
business;
it
gives
working
cash-flow
to
the
industrialists.
Conclusion
Risk:
From the above article we come to know that the
and lending is there for long term but it is for short term
in money market. The institutions of the capital market
Essential role:
122 | P a g e
while the part of money market is that of making
adjustment of liquidity.
investment.
3. Credit Union.
Definition of financial intermediaries
community.
1.
2.
1. Insurance Companies
3.
you had to sought out your own saving, you might have
123 | P a g e
have 1,000 people depositing 10 each. Therefore, the
bank can lend you the aggregate deposits from the bank
and save you finding someone with the exact right sum.
Potential Problems of Financial Intermediaries
1. Reallocation of Resources:
Important Objectives of
Government Budget
Some of the important objectives of government budget
are as follows: 1. Reallocation of Resources 2. Reducing
inequalities in income and wealth 3. Economic Stability
124 | P a g e
policy. Government aims to influence distribution of
5. Economic Growth:
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Table of Contents
Public Finance: Meaning and Concept of Public Finance
Meaning:.............................................1
Historical background.........................1
The Concept of Functional Finance:....4
Vicious Circle of Poverty.....................6
Differences between Public and Private Finance
11
12
17
20
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Hicks Classification of Public Debts....20
Hansons Classification of Public Debt. 20
Fiscal Policy...................................21
Objectives of Fiscal Policy..............21
Tools of Fiscal Policy / Types of Fiscal Policy 22
Role of Fiscal Policy (Demand Side Effects) 24
Fiscal Policy with Reference to Under-Developed Countries
26
31
33
Fiscal Policy........................................37
Types of Fiscal Policies...................38
Effects of Fiscal Policy....................38
Limits of Fiscal Policy.....................39
Impact of Expenditure on Economic Growth in Pakistan 40
What is the Significance of Money in Modern Economic Life?
41
MONEY..............................................42
Quantity theory of money.............42
Keynes, Chicago and Friedman..........42
Problem of the Value of Money......47
The Fishers Quantity Theory of Money (Assumptions and Criticisms) 49
Assumptions of the Theory:.............50
Criticisms of the Theory:.................51
Loans Create Deposits.............53
Monetary Systems.........................53
What is a 'Central Bank'................60
BREAKING DOWN 'Central Bank'.......60
27
127 | P a g e
Functions of Central Banks............60
Methods of Credit Control used by Central Bank
61
66
Meaning:......................................66
Objectives:...................................66
The Burden of Public Debt:.............67
Three Problems:............................67
Limit to Public Debt:.......................69
Assessing the Debt (Optional):........70
Public and Private Debt.................70
Public Revenue...................................71
Adam Smiths Canon of Taxation...72
Other Canons of Taxation..................72
Objectives of Taxation in Developing Economies
Characteristics of A Good Tax System
73
73
Classification of Tax.......................74
Sources of Tax Revenue / Major Types of Tax
Sources from Non-Tax Revenues....75
Direct Tax and Indirect Tax:..............76
Definition and Explanation of Direct Tax:76
Merits of Direct Tax:.......................76
Demerits of Direct Tax:...................76
Indirect Taxes:..................................76
Merits of Indirect Tax:.....................76
Demerits of Indirect Tax:.................76
Types of Taxes:..............................76
(1) Tax:............................................76
Definition and Explanation of Tax:....76
(2) Fee:...........................................77
Definition and Explanation of Fee:....77
74
62
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(3) Price:.........................................77
Definition and Explanation of Price:. .77
(4) Special Assessment:....................77
Definition and Explanation of Special Assessment:
77
80
81
82
V. Conclusion.................................82
Functions of Money.......................82
Monetary policy.............................82
Monetary Policy: Meaning, Objectives and Instruments of Monetary Policy
Meaning of Monetary Policy:...........83
Objectives or Goals of Monetary Policy:83
Instruments of Monetary Policy:.......83
Central bank..................................85
Activities and responsibilities..............85
Functions of a central bank...........85
Monetary policy[edit].........................85
Currency issuance[edit]..................85
Goals[edit]....................................86
Policy instruments[edit]......................87
Interest rates[edit]..........................87
Open market operations[edit]..........88
Capital requirements[edit]...............89
Reserve requirements[edit].............89
83
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Exchange requirements[edit]...........90
Public Expenditure: Meaning, Importance, Classification and Other Details
90
97
99
105
Cash Credit:.................................109
Clearinghouse.............................110
A clearinghouse is an intermediary between buyers and sellers of financial instruments.
....................................................110
HOW IT WORKS (EXAMPLE):.........110
WHY IT MATTERS:.........................110
Methods of Credit Control used by Central Bank
111
117
116
112