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The8ProxyWarsGoingOninSyriaRightNow
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AsadAbuKhalil
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TheSyrianwarisnotonlyaproxywar.Thereisastronginternaldimensionto
thewarinSyriabutithasbeenobscuredbyvariouslayersanddimensionsof
outsideinterventionandagendas.TheSyrianregimewantstostayinpower
atanycostwhiletherewascertainlyacivilpopularoppositioninSyriawhen
Violence Erupts In
Gabon Following
Disputed Election
Results
theuprisingfirstbegan.TherearethousandsofreasonsfortheSyrianpeople
toprotestagainstafamilydictatorshipthathascontrolledmuchoftheirlives
since1970butthecivilprotestmovementdidnoteruptbyitself,theWestern
ago
medianarrativenotwithstanding.Concurrentwiththeprotestmovementthat
PawelAdamowicz MayorofGdansk,Poland
eruptedin2011,TurkeyandGulfregimeshadalreadysetuparmedrebel
groupstohelpbringdownaregime.
TheinternaldimensionofthewarinSyria,however,isnowprobablymarginal
totheglobalandregionalwarraginginthecountrytoday.Thereareseveral
proxywarsinSyriatodayandtheycanbesummarizedasfollows:
1.TheinternalWahhabiwar:ThereisnowarwithinIslaminSyria,as
ThomasFriedmanandhisilkkeepasserting.Therehasbeenamoderateand
progressivestrandofIslaminSyriaandmanyofitselementshavealigned
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The8ProxyWarsGoingOninSyriaRightNow
themselveswiththeregime.Andcontrarytoearlyclaimsmadebythehired
externaloppositionanditsadvocatesintheWest,therewasnevera
moderateandprogressiveversionofIslamamongtherebelgroups.How
couldthatbethecasewhenthesponsorsofSyrianrebelIslamareTurkey,
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Qatar,andSaudiArabia?MuftiHassun(althoughheisanallyandperhapsa
tooloftheregime,andeventheslainSheikhalButi)isfarmoreprogressive
AddusonSnapchat
thananyofhisadversariesontheotherside,includingMu`adhalKhatibwho
hasrailedinthepastabouttheillsofsocialmedia,masturbationandJews,
andwhopraisedalNusrahFrontearlyonhistenureasleaderoftheSyrian
NationalCouncil.TheinternalWahhabiwarispittingthevariousWahhabi
partiesintheregionagainsteachother.TheSaudiregime,Qatariregime,al
Qa`idah(NusrahFront)andISIS:allfourareWahhabiandeachistryingto
dominatethefieldoftheWahhabimovement.
2.TheIranianSaudiwar:Thetwosidesareengagedinstrugglesindifferent
partsoftheregion,fromYementoLebanonandSyria.Theconflictover
politicaldominanceandhegemony.
3.TheSunniShiawar:Thisisarathercontrivedwarthatwasinstigatedby
theSaudiregimeatthebehestofUSandIsraeltounderminethebasis
ofArabsupportforHizbullahandIranintheregion.
4.TheRussianAmericanwar:ThiswarisreminiscentoftheColdWar.The
conflictbetweentheRussiangovernmentandtheAmericangovernmenthas
neverreachedthislevelsincethedemiseoftheSovietUnion.Theconflict
overUkraineandSyria,amongotherplaces,haspushedbothsidestoresort
tothetricksandmethodsoftheColdWar,includingproxywars.
5.QatariandSaudiconflict:ThetwoWahhabiregimesarefightingover
manyissuesbuttheybothwishtospeakonbehalfofpoliticalIslam.Qatar
banksontheMuslimBrotherhoodandsomeelementsofJihadiIslam,while
theSaudiregimebanksontheSalafisandsomeelementsofJihadiIslam.
ThisconflictmayexplaintheconflictbetweentheNusrahFrontandISIS.
6.TheHezbollahversustheFutureMovement:BothofthoseLebanese
movementshavebeenfightinginSyria.TheFutureMovementisabroadand
loosemovementwhichcomprisesvariousstands,includingSalafis.
7.ClashofIslamicidentities:SaudiArabia,Turkey,andIranareallhoping
toleavetheirnationalimprintonthepoliticalIslamistmovementintheregion.
8.TheregionalconflictbetweentheglobalorganizationoftheMuslim
BrotherhoodononehandandtheregionalSalafisontheother.
TheseproxyconflictsnowdeterminethecourseofeventsinSyriaandthe
Syrianpeoplethemselves,oneithersidesoftheconflict,haveverylittle
controloverthem.Theslogansthatarebeingraisedbybothsidesofthe
conflictmerelyservetorationalizethepoliciesanddecisionsofexternal
patrons.
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Dr.AsadAbuKhalilisaProfessorofPoliticalScienceattheUniversityof
California,alecturer,authorofseveralbooks,andcreatoroftheblogThe
AngryArabNewsService.ThispostfirstappearedonAlAlkhbarEnglish.
FollowAsadAbuKhalilonTwitter:www.twitter.com/asadabukhalil
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