Professional Documents
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Gheorghe Grigora
I.
II.
INTRODUCTION
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6TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MODERN POWER SYSTEMS MPS2015, 18-21 MAY 2015, CLUJ-NAPOCA, ROMANIA
III.
Data selection
Data transformation
Data mining
power forecasting;
consumption monitoring;
power networks planning etc.
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6TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MODERN POWER SYSTEMS MPS2015, 18-21 MAY 2015, CLUJ-NAPOCA, ROMANIA
IV.
d duration repported
reprresent the relaative value of the peak load
to whole
w
analysis period.
STUDY
T
CASE
In
I [15], for urban
u
MV/LV
V substation, the
t average filling
f
facto
ors are 0.644. In analyzeed case, onlly the resideential
custtomers can validate
v
this value, becau
use in the terrtiary
conssumption casee they have diffferent values,, Fig. 4.
Fig. 4.
4 Four substatioon filing factor off active daily load
d curve
For
F
energy losses determ
mination in radial
r
distribbution
netw
works the lossees duration meethod is used. The loss factoor for
threee substations (bakery, supeermarket and hospital) from
m our
dataabase was anaalyzed. From Fig. 5 can bee observed thaat the
loss factor values estimated witth proposed data mining toool are
supeerior to those from our coountry literaturre [15]. It folllows
that the energy loosses values inn the low volltage networkks can
be overrated
o
or unnderestimated..
Fig. 3.
3 Typical load profile
p
determinattion using propossed data mining toools
T
Table
1 showss the characterristic parameteer (minimum load,
peakk load, averagge load, load duration
d
- Tmaxx, load factor T*
T max,
coeffficient of varriation - kV, nonuniformityy coefficient - )
regaarding the actiive daily loadd curve for a hospital
h
consuumer
(worrking and weeekend day), extracted
e
direcctly from the data
miniing tools.
Table 1. Dailyy load curve charracteristic values extracted
e
from
d mining softw
data
ware for a hospitaal
Pmin [kkW]
Pmax [kkW]
Pmed [kkW]
Tmax [h]
[
T*maax
kV
Workking Day
18.476
53.759
31.871
144.240
0
0.593
0
0.366
0
0.344
Weeekend Day
17.952
34.962
23.202
15.987
0.666
0.187
0.515
Fig. 5.
5 Loss factor comparative analyysis of active daiily load curve forr three
substtation
Taking
T
into account the aforementioned, in ordeer to
estim
mate the pow
wer losses, neeed to have acccess to the onn-line
dataa about the substation
s
loaads in the peeriod under study.
s
How
wever, as it is not practical to measure so
s many substtation
load
ds, and we foound it better to estimate power
p
loss inn real
timee using the datta mining andd clustering tecchniques.
I the follow
In
wing, taking into account the consumpption
grow
wth, a comparrative analysiss between reaal (estimated using
u
the proposed datta mining toools) indicatorrs and those ones
propposed by otherr authors [15] at substation level
l
are madee.
CONCLLUSIONS
Taking
T
into account
a
that tthe data miniing techniquees are
wideely used todaay for the anaalysis of large datasets storred in
dataabases and daata archives, tthe proposed tools can be used
both
h by distributioon system opeerators and con
nsumers.
IIn Fig. 4 the filling factor of the active daily load cuurves
onlyy for four subsstations that suupply hospital, hotel, bakeryy and
residdential custom
mers are presennted. This facttor as known in
i the
literaature as smooothing coeffi
ficient of the load curve, and
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6TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MODERN POWER SYSTEMS MPS2015, 18-21 MAY 2015, CLUJ-NAPOCA, ROMANIA
[7]
[8]
[9]
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[3]
[4]
[5]
[6]
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Tchokonte N., Narcisse Y., Real-time Identification and Monitoring of
the Voltage Stability Margin in Electric Power Transmission Systems
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2009.
Vale Z.A., Ramos C., Pinto T., Ramos S., Data Mining Applications in
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