Current Arizona Polling

August 28, 2016

Contact: Doug Kaplan, 407-242-1870

Executive Summary
Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, in conjunction with Breitbart News Network, conducted a
random survey of 1,244 likely voters across the United States, of which 780 are likely Republican
Primary participants. The poll was conducted on August 27th and has a margin of error of 2.8% at the
95% confidence level (3.4% for Republican Primary participants). The total may not round to 100%
because of rounding. The poll was conducted using automated telephone calls and weighted by voting
patterns.
Founded in 2005 by conservative icon Andrew Breitbart, Breitbart News Network is the biggest source of
breaking news and analysis, thought-leading commentary, and original reporting curated and written
specifically for the new generation of independent and conservative thinkers.
Known for hard hitting, no hold-barred journalism along with world-class aggregation, Breitbart news is
growing rapidly. The company recently added bureaus in London, Texas, and California, and is currently
in the process of launching additional bureaus and verticals.
How likely are you to vote in the general election to select a President and a U.S. Senator from
Arizona in November?
Likelihood of Voting
Always Vote
70%
Very Likely
18%
12%
Likely
0%
5%
10%
15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75%
!

Which party are you registered in?

Registered Party
Republican
Democratic
No Party Affiliation

29%
0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

37%

34%

30%

35%

40%

!
We are now going to ask you about the U.S. Senate election.
Only Republican Primary participants in questions 4 through 9.
Q4: Have you already early voted in the Republican primary for the U.S. Senate being held in
Arizona on Tuesday August 30?
Early Voting
No
Yes
0%

61%

39%
5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

!
Q5: Whom did you vote for in the Republican primary for the U.S. Senate?
Only early voters
Q5: Senate
Mccain
Ward
Someone Else
0%

5%

10%

15%

19%
20% 25%

46%

35%
30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

Q6: How likely are you to vote in the Republican primary for the U.S. Senate that will be held on
Tuesday August 30?
Likelihood of Voting, Republican Primary
Definitely Vote
Likely To Vote
Not Going To Vote
Very Likely
12%
7%
Somewhat Likely
0%
5%
10%
15%
!

20%
20%

38%

23%

25%

30%

35%

40%

Q7: If the Republican primary were held today, who would be your choice for the U.S. Senate
nomination?
Q7: Senate
Mccain
Ward
Unsure
Someone Else
0%

5%

7%
10%

33%

23%
15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

37%
40%

Q8: If the general election were held today and John McCain was the Republican candidate and
Ann Kirkpatrick was the Democratic candidate, who would be your choice for U.S. Senator?

Q8: Senate, General

Mccain
63%
Kirkpatrick
20%
17%
Unsure
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65%
!

Q9: If the general election were held today and Kelli Ward was the Republican candidate and Ann
Kirkpatrick was the Democratic candidate, who would be your choice for U.S. Senator?
Q9: Senate, General2
Ward
Kirkpatrick
Unsure
0% 5%
!

53%

19%
10%

15%

20%

25%

29%
30% 35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

QUESTIONS 10-16 WITHHELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE

!
Q17: What is your opinion of US Senate Candidate Kelli Ward?
Q17: Ward
Strongly Unfavorable
Somewhat Unfavorable
Don't know
Somewhat Favorable
Strongly Favorable
0%

29%

13%

5%

10%

20%

15%
15%

20%

23%
25%

30%

Q18: What is your opinion of US Senate Candidate Ann Kirkpatrick?

Q18: Kirkpatrick
Strongly Unfavorable
Somewhat Unfavorable
Don't know
Somewhat Favorable
Strongly Favorable

24%
25%

15%

21%
15%
2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% 26%

Q19: What is your opinion of US Senate Candidate John McCain?

Q19: McCain
Strongly Unfavorable
Somewhat Unfavorable
Don't know
Somewhat Favorable
Strongly Favorable

7%
0%

25%

4%

8%

12%

16%
16%

!
QUESTIONS 20-27 WITHHELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE

!
!
!

27%

26%
20%

24%

28%

The following questions are for demographic purposes:

Regardless of how you are registered, what do you think of yourself as?
Party
Independent
Republican
Democrat

35%
34%
31%
0%

4%

8%

12%

16%

20%

24%

28%

32%

36%

!
What is your political ideology?
Ideology
Moderate
Slightly Conservative
Slightly Liberal
Very Conservative
Very Liberal
0%

10%
10%

5%

15%
15%

19%
20%

31%

25%

25%

30%

Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish speaking
background?
Hispanic
No
Yes

82%
18%
5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85%

What race do you identify yourself as?

Race
White/Caucasian
Hispanic
African-American
Asian

4%
2%
0%
10%

75%

19%
20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

!Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?

Religious affiliation
Protestant/Other
Other/None
Roman Catholic
Evangelical Christian
Muslim
Jewish

4%
4%
0%

5%

16%

10%
10%

15%

43%

23%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

What is the highest level of education have you completed?

Education Category
Bachelors Degree
Some College
Post Graduate
High School Graduate
Some High School
0%

5%
5%

19%
10%

15%

20%

25%

22%

25%

29%

30%

How old are you?

Age group
30-49
50-64
18-29
65-Or-Over
0%

4%

8%

11%
12%

27%
16%

20%

24%

28%

33%

29%
32%

36%

What is your gender?

Gender
Female
Male

48%
0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

52%
55%