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Presidential elections
40%
Avg. annual return
1928-2012: 7.4%
30%
20%
10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
1928
1936
1944
1952
1960
1968
1976
1984
Source: Bloomberg.
20%
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
<5%
510%
1020%
>20%
Source: Bloomberg.
Year
1928
14.9%
Won
1932
-2.6%
Lost
1936
7.9%
Won
1940
8.6%
Won
1944
2.3%
Won
1948
5.4%
Won
1952
-3.3%
Lost
1956
-2.6%
Won
1960
-0.7%
Lost
1964
2.6%
Won
1968
6.5%
Lost
1972
6.9%
Won
1976
-0.1%
Lost
1980
6.7%
Lost
1984
4.8%
Won
70%
1988
1.9%
Won
60%
1992
-1.2%
Lost
1996
8.2%
Won
2000
-3.2%
Lost
20%
2004
2.2%
Won
10%
2008
-19.5%
Lost
2012
2.5%
Won
Expansions
Recessions
80%
50%
40%
30%
0%
First third
Middle third
Final third
% Democrat
% Independent
% Republican
45%
42%
40%
35%
29%
30%
26%
25%
20%
'88
'90
'92
'94
'96
'98
'00
'02
'04
'06
'08
'10
'12
'14
Source: Gallup.
Key takeaways
For all of the uncertainty around the upcoming presidential election, remember that market performance
for election years has been generally on par with historical calendar year returns.
Be prepared for a potential increase in market volatility as the election nears and stay disciplined
with your investment plan.
Tune out the noise from the media around the election and keep your investment focus on your
long-term objectives.
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Company. 2016 Nationwide
MFM-2312AO (04/16)