July 2016 AP GFK Poll

Public Affairs & Corporate Communications
THE AP-GfK POLL

July, 2016
Conducted by GfK Public Affairs & Corporate Communications
A survey of the American general population (ages 18+)
Interview dates: July 7 July 11, 2016

Number of interviews, adults: 1,009
Margin of error for the total sample: +/- 3.3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level
NOTE: All results show percentages among all respondents, unless otherwise labeled.
Please refer to the exact sample number at the bottom of each table.
*Beginning in October, 2013, AP-GfK polls were conducted online using GfKs nationally representative
KnowledgePanel. All prior trend conducted by telephone.
For more information, see http://www.ap-gfkpoll.com.
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/15-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/15-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS 9/2529/14
7/24-28/14
5/16-19/14
3/20-24/13
1/17-21/14
Generally speaking, would you say things in this country are heading in the
7/7-11/16
CUR1.
Right direction
Wrong direction
Dont know [VOL]
Refused/Not
answered
19
79
na
29
71
na
32
68
na
26
74
na
36
63
na
35
64
na
38
62
na
39
60
na
33
66
na
31
68
na
31
69
na
31
69
na
34
66
na
33
67
na
32
68
na
28
72
na
37
62
na
37
62
na
35
64
na
Based on:
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
N=1,354
N=1,012
N=1,060
CUR2./
CUR3/
CUR3A/3AA
CUR3B.
Overall, do you approve, disapprove, or neither approve nor disapprove of the way Barack
Obama is handling his job as president.
[IF APPROVE] Would you say you approve of the way Obama is handling his job as
president strongly or do you approve just somewhat?
[IF DISAPPROVE] Would you say you disapprove of the way Obama is handling his job as
president strongly or do you disapprove just somewhat?
7/7-11/16
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
7/24-28/14
5/16-19/14
3/20-24/14
1/17-21/14
12/5-9/13
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
[IF NEITHER, OR REFUSED/NOT ANSWERED] If you had to choose, do you lean more
toward approving or disapproving of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as
president? [NOTE: BEGINNING IN DECEMBER, 2013, RESPONDENTS WHO DECLINE TO
LEAN ARE SHOWN THIS QUESTION AGAIN INCLUDING A DO NOT LEAN EITHER WAY
RESPONSE OPTION]
47
50
44
44
46
43
45
47
41
42
42
41
43
44
42
40
43
41
45
42
Strongly approve
20
24
20
18
17
18
18
20
13
14
16
17
15
15
17
12
15
14
15
14
Somewhat approve
12
12
12
10
12
11
12
11
12
11
12
12
11
12
11
10
13
10
13
12
Lean approve
16
14
13
17
17
14
15
16
16
16
14
11
17
16
14
18
16
16
17
16
Total disapprove
52
50
55
54
54
55
55
52
58
58
58
60
56
56
58
59
56
59
53
58
Lean disapprove
11
11
11
13
12
10
13
10
13
13
11
13
10
12
13
11
10
11
Somewhat disapprove
10
13
12
12
11
11
11
10
12
12
10
12
11
12
12
15
Strongly disapprove
32
30
34
34
29
33
30
31
33
34
38
44
31
35
41
35
31
36
32
32
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
Total approve
Neitherdont lean
Dont know [VOL]

Refused/Not Answered
Based on:
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
N=1,354
N=1,012
N=1,060
N=1,367
AA4./
AA4A/
AA4B/
AA5/
AA5A.
Overall, do you approve, disapprove, or neither approve nor disapprove of the way
Congress is handling its job.
[IF APPROVE] Would you say you approve of the way Congress is handling its job
strongly or do you approve just somewhat?
[IF DISAPPROVE] Would you say you disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job
strongly or do you disapprove just somewhat?
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
17
19
15
15
Strongly approve
Somewhat approve
Lean approve
10
11
12
12
12
Total disapprove
86
86
84
86
83
82
80
83
Lean disapprove
20
18
21
23
19
19
22
21
Somewhat disapprove
18
18
18
18
19
20
18
Strongly disapprove
49
50
45
45
45
43
na
na
na
na
na
na
Neitherdont lean
Dont know [VOL]

Based on:
12/5-9/13
7/9-13/15
16
1/14-21/14
10/15-19/15
12
3/20-24/14
12/3-7/15
15
5/16-19/14
2/11-15/16
13
7/24-28/14
3/31-4/4/16
12
Total approve
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/7-11/16
[IF NEITHER OR REFUSED/NOT ANSWERED] If you had to choose, do you lean more
toward approving or disapproving of the way Congress is handling its job? [NOTE:
BEGINNING IN DECEMBER, 2013, RESPONDENTS WHO DECLINE TO LEAN ARE SHOWN
THIS QUESTION AGAIN INCLUDING A DO NOT LEAN EITHER WAY RESPONSE OPTION]
13
12
12
12
10
13
14
16
14
13
11
12
10
10
84
86
88
88
87
89
93
86
85
82
84
86
19
19
18
12
22
19
15
16
20
15
14
13
19
20
20
20
20
18
18
18
20
19
19
21
17
40
43
45
47
51
57
46
52
60
49
47
49
49
57
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
N=1,354
N=1,012
N=1,060
N=1,367
4/23-27/15
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
5/16-19/14
3/20-24/14
1/17-21/14
12/5-9/13
100
-
78
22
*
-
100
-
100
-
78
15
4
3
74
19
5
3
77
16
5
2
73
20
4
3
79
16
2
2
N=1,023
N=1,002
N=1,077
N=1,607
N=1,384
N=967
N=1,840
N=1,536
N=955
N=1,042
N=1,352
N=1,009
N=1,058
N=1,365
10/15-19/15
100
-
12-3-7/15
79
20
*
-
2/11-15/16
80
19
*
3/31-4/4/16
82
18
1
80
20
1
78
76
21
23
82
18
1
N=1,008
N=1,075
N=1,030
N=1,006
Yes
No
Not sure
Refused/Not answered
81
18
Based on: (Excludes those living in ND)
HR_1.
7/9-13/15
Are you currently registered to vote at your address, or not?
7/7-11/16
S1.
If the 2016 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote?
7/7-11/16
[LIST RANDOMIZED]
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat

Donald Trump, the Republican
Gary Johnson, the Libertarian
Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate
Another candidate
Undecided
Would not vote in this race
Base: Registered Voters and those living in ND
34
30
4
1
4
21
6
*
N=837
[IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED] As of today, do you lean more toward [SAME ROTATION AS
HR_1: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat; Donald Trump, the Republican], or another
candidate?
7/7-11/16
HR_2.

Another candidate
who are Undecided/Refused as to who would
vote for
N=172
If the 2016 presidential election were held today, for whom would you vote? [IF
UNDECIDED OR REFUSED] As of today, do you lean more toward [SAME ROTATION AS
HR_1: Hillary Clinton, the Democrat; Donald Trump, the Republican], or another
candidate?
7/7-11/16
HR_1/HR_2.
29
28
11
5
23
5

Another candidate
Would not vote in this race
40
36
6
2
9
1
6
N=837
Is your mind completely made up about which candidate you will support, or could you imagine
supporting another candidate?
7/7-11/16
HR4.
Mind is completely made up

Could change mind
70
30
*
Based on: Will vote Clinton, Trump, Stein, Johnson or Other in

HR_1
HR5.
N=623
Would you say that each of the following is a major reason, a minor reason, or not a reason at all
in deciding which candidate you plan to support this year?
My candidate has the best

positions on the issues
My candidate is the strongest
leader
My candidate is most qualified to
be president
I oppose the other candidate
Voting for my candidate sends a
message to the political
establishment
Major
reason
Minor
reason
Not a
reason
at all
63
23
13
55
25
17
58
24
17
75
16
43
23
32
Refused
Based on: Will vote or lean towards voting for Clinton, Trump, Stein, Johnson
or Other in HR_1 or HR_2 N=787
12/5-9/13
42
45
13
*
1/17-21/14
43
38
19
*
3/20-24/14
40
34
25
*
5/16-19/14
41
36
23
*
7/24-28/14
The Democratic Party

The Republican Party
Doesnt matter
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
Which party would you rather see win control of Congress?
7/7-11/16
A5.
33
33
33
*
37
31
31
1
36
37
26
1
39
32
29
1
39
33
27
1
Based on: Will vote or lean towards voting for Clinton, Trump, Stein, Johnson
or Other in HR_1 or HR_2 N=787
Based on:
N=837
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
N=1,354
N=1,012
N=1,060
N=1,367
CURX1.
How important are each of the following issues to you personally?
7/7-11/16
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
[ITEMS RANDOMIZED]
85
53
32
10
3
2
1
3
81
42
39
12
5
3
2
2
84
45
39
10
4
3
1
2
83
50
33
13
3
2
1
2
83
49
34
11
4
2
2
2
87
53
34
9
3
1
1
2
87
53
34
9
3
2
1
1
88
53
35
9
1
1
*
2
83
50
32
10
4
2
2
3
87
54
33
9
3
2
1
2
90
56
33
7
2
1
1
1
91
60
31
7
1
1
*
1
86
54
32
9
3
2
1
2
89
57
33
8
2
1
*
1
92
62
30
6
1
1
*
1
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
Based on:
3/31-4/4/16
Extremely/Very important
Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Slightly/Not at all important
Slightly important
Not at all important
7/7-11/16
The economy
58
32
26
25
14
10
4
3
54
24
30
27
17
11
6
2
54
27
27
28
16
11
5
2
61
34
26
21
16
10
6
2
57
27
30
24
17
11
6
2
55
28
27
27
17
13
4
2
57
28
29
26
16
10
6
1
52
27
26
25
20
15
5
2
50
22
28
26
21
14
7
3
57
28
29
24
17
12
5
1
59
29
30
25
16
13
4
1
65
33
32
23
12
9
3
1
58
31
27
25
15
10
5
2
59
31
29
24
15
11
4
2
66
35
31
21
12
9
3
2
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
Immigration
Extremely important
Very important
Slightly important
Based on:
(Continued)
CURX1.
7/7-11/16
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
[ITEMS RANDOMIZED]
56
27
29
28
13
10
4
2
55
22
34
29
14
10
4
2
58
23
35
28
12
8
4
2
62
27
35
25
11
9
3
2
57
23
34
29
12
9
4
2
59
26
33
27
12
9
4
2
60
27
34
25
14
10
4
1
52
22
30
28
18
12
6
3
56
23
33
28
13
9
4
2
61
26
35
27
10
8
3
2
66
29
38
24
9
6
2
1
59
27
32
24
15
9
5
2
62
30
32
25
11
8
3
2
69
35
34
22
8
5
2
1
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
10
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
Based on:
10/15-19/15
Extremely important
Very important
Slightly important
12-3-7/15
The threat posed by the

Islamic State group
2/11-15/16
Based on:
3/31-4/4/16
Extremely important
Very important
Slightly important
7/7-11/16
The U.S. role in world affairs
68
43
25
19
10
7
3
3
69
40
29
15
15
10
5
1
69
41
28
18
11
8
3
2
73
48
25
16
9
6
3
2
65
35
30
20
14
10
4
1
65
36
29
21
13
8
4
1
68
38
30
20
11
8
3
1
73
42
31
18
8
6
2
1
68
39
29
17
13
7
5
2
74
44
30
16
8
6
3
2
79
50
29
13
7
5
2
1
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=943
N=787
N=480
(Continued)
CURX1.
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
Extremely important
Very important
Slightly important
74
38
36
17
7
6
2
2
74
40
34
17
7
5
1
2
74
45
29
17
6
5
1
2
79
44
34
14
6
4
2
1
78
46
32
15
6
4
2
1
73
40
33
18
6
4
3
3
76
43
34
14
7
4
3
3
75
40
35
17
7
5
2
1
78
43
35
15
6
4
1
1
78
43
35
15
6
4
1
1
76
43
33
16
7
4
3
2
78
44
34
15
6
4
2
1
80
46
34
14
5
4
2
1
77
45
33
16
6
5
1
2
Based on:
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
Supreme Court nominations
Extremely important
Very important
Slightly important
Based on:
11
3/31-4/4/16
3/31-4/4/16
74
44
31
19
5
4
1
2
Health care
7/7-11/16
7/7-11/16
[ITEMS RANDOMIZED]
55
31
24
26
17
10
6
2
50
27
24
29
20
12
8
2
N=1,009
N=1,076
(Continued)
CURX1.

[ITEMS RANDOMIZED]
10/15-19/15
Based on:
12-3-7/15
Extremely important
Very important
Slightly important
7/7-11/16
Gun laws
61
40
21
22
15
9
6
3
62
38
24
19
17
10
7
2
59
33
25
22
17
11
6
3
N=1,009
N=1,007
N=1,027
7/7-11/16
The threat of domestic terrorism
Extremely important
Very important
Slightly important
Based on:
12
73
47
26
17
8
6
2
2
N=1,009
CURY2/3/3a. Overall, do you approve, disapprove, or neither approve nor disapprove of the way Barack
Obama is handling...
[RESPONDENTS SHOWN EACH ITEM ON A SEPARATE SCREEN]
7/7-11/16
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
[ITEMS RANDOMIZED]
46
33
13
1
51
13
39
1
49
36
13
1
49
11
38
1
44
29
15
1
53
12
42
2
45
31
14
1
52
14
39
1
46
32
14
1
52
12
40
1
42
28
13
1
56
12
44
1
46
33
13
1
53
10
43
1
45
35
10
1
52
11
41
1
41
31
10
*
57
9
48
1
40
27
14
1
58
11
47
*
41
29
12
*
58
10
48
*
42
31
11
*
58
7
51
-
40
27
13
1
58
10
48
1
41
30
12
*
58
8
50
*
42
31
10
*
58
7
51
*
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
Based on:
3/31-4/4/16
Total approve
Approve
Lean towards approving
Dont lean either way
Total disapprove
Lean towards disapproving
Disapprove
7/7-11/16
The economy
45
30
14
1
53
12
41
2
46
32
14
1
53
12
40
1
40
26
14
1
58
14
44
1
41
27
14
1
56
14
43
1
40
26
15
1
58
16
42
1
39
22
17
1
59
14
45
1
42
24
18
1
57
13
43
1
38
25
13
*
61
14
47
1
40
27
13
1
59
12
47
1
39
29
11
1
60
10
50
*
39
30
10
*
60
9
52
*
41
28
12
1
57
14
43
1
43
31
12
1
56
11
45
1
42
32
10
*
58
9
49
*
39
26
14
1
59
13
46
*
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
The U.S. role in world affairs
Total approve
Approve
Total disapprove
Disapprove
Based on:
13
(Continued)
7/7-11/16
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
1/29-2/2/15
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
[ITEMS RANDOMIZED
40
25
15
1
58
12
46
1
43
27
16
1
56
13
43
1
38
23
15
1
60
12
48
1
40
25
15
1
58
12
47
1
38
21
17
1
61
15
46
1
44
29
15
2
53
13
40
2
43
28
15
1
55
13
43
1
42
29
13
1
57
12
45
*
42
30
12
*
58
10
48
*
48
34
14
2
48
12
37
2
51
37
14
1
48
10
37
1
47
36
11
1
51
8
43
*
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,045
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=943
N=787
N=480
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
5/16-19/14
Based on:
3/31-4/4/16
Total approve
Approve
Total disapprove
Disapprove
7/7-11/16
The threat posed by the

Islamic State group
40
27
14
1
58
9
49
1
42
27
15
1
57
13
44
1
36
23
13
1
61
12
49
1
38
24
14
2
60
12
48
1
42
24
18
1
57
11
46
1
42
29
13
1
56
10
46
1
41
32
9
*
57
8
49
1
35
20
15
1
63
13
51
1
37
21
15
1
62
11
52
*
34
21
13
1
65
7
58
-
34
21
14
1
64
12
51
1
35
22
14
1
64
11
53
*
35
22
13
1
64
9
55
*
31
18
12
1
68
11
57
1
38
22
17
1
60
13
46
1
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
N=1,354
Immigration
Total approve
Approve
Total disapprove
Disapprove
Based on:
14
(Continued)
7/7-11/16
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
5/16-19/14
[ITEMS RANDOMIZED]
43
32
11
*
56
9
47
1
45
34
10
1
54
8
46
1
40
30
11
1
58
8
50
1
44
34
10
1
55
6
48
1
44
33
11
1
55
8
46
1
43
33
10
1
55
9
46
1
41
33
8
*
58
6
51
1
41
32
9
*
58
7
51
1
42
34
8
*
58
5
53
*
42
35
7
58
3
55
*
41
31
10
1
58
8
50
1
42
33
9
*
58
5
52
*
42
34
8
*
58
5
53
*
38
30
9
1
60
7
53
*
42
32
10
1
57
7
50
1
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
N=1,354
Health care
Total approve
Approve
Total disapprove
Disapprove
Based on:
Based on:
15
3/31-4/4/16
Total approve
Approve
Total disapprove
Disapprove
7/7-11/16
Supreme Court nominations
50
32
18
2
47
17
30
2
57
40
17
1
41
17
25
1
N=1,009
N=1,076
(Continued)
Gun laws
7/7-11/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
12/5-9/13
[ITEMS RANDOMIZED]
Total approve
Approve
Total disapprove
Disapprove
39
24
15
1
59
12
47
1
36
22
15
1
61
17
44
1
37
23
14
1
61
14
47
1
40
29
12
1
58
14
44
1
N=1,009
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=666
Based on:
7/7-11/16
The threat of domestic terrorism
Total approve
Approve
Total disapprove
Disapprove
Based on:
16
43
30
14
1
55
13
41
2
N=1,009
FAV1.
Barack Obama
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Bill Clinton
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
17
For each of the following individuals, please select if you have a favorable or unfavorable
impression of that person. If you dont know enough about the person to have an opinion,
you can say that too. (Summary table)
Total
favorable
49
37
31
44
10
6
Very
favorable
30
15
13
17
3
2
Somewhat
favorable
19
22
18
27
7
4
Total
unfavorable
46
57
63
49
12
10
Somewhat
unfavorable
14
14
13
21
7
4
Very
unfavorable
32
44
50
28
5
6
Dont
know
enough
to say
3
4
4
5
76
82
Refused
2
2
2
2
2
2
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
7/24-28/14
3/20-24/14
12/5-9/13
Total favorable
49
53
45
48
47
46
46
46
41
43
44
44
44
42
46
Very favorable
30
31
24
25
24
24
27
26
21
20
23
26
20
22
23
Somewhat favorable
19
22
21
24
23
22
20
20
20
23
21
18
24
20
23
Total unfavorable
46
44
47
44
45
47
46
45
46
46
50
54
51
51
49
Somewhat unfavorable
Very unfavorable
Dont know enough to say
14
32
3
2
11
32
2
1
11
36
6
2
11
34
6
2
14
31
6
2
13
34
5
2
15
31
7
1
13
32
6
3
13
33
11
2
15
32
9
2
15
35
5
1
13
41
2
1
13
38
4
1
14
37
6
1
15
34
4
2
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,044
N=1,012
N=1,367
Hillary Clinton
7/7-11/16
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
7/24-28/14
3/20-24/14
Based on:
1/29-2/2/15
Barack Obama
7/7-11/16
FAV1. For each of the following individuals, please select if you have a favorable or unfavorable
impression of that person. If you dont know enough about the person to have an opinion,
you can say that too.
Total favorable
37
40
38
44
41
39
46
48
46
Very favorable
15
17
17
18
17
18
22
21
21
Somewhat favorable
22
23
22
25
24
21
24
27
26
Total unfavorable
57
55
51
46
48
49
41
42
39
Very unfavorable
14
44
4
2
17
38
4
1
13
38
8
2
10
36
8
2
13
35
8
2
16
33
9
2
12
30
12
2
14
29
8
2
14
25
12
2
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,044
N=1,012
Based on:
18
Donald Trump
7/7-11/16
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
FAV1.
(Continued) For each of the following individuals, please select if you have a
favorable or unfavorable impression of that person. If you dont know enough about the
person to have an opinion, you can say that too.
Total favorable
31
26
32
30
31
28
Very favorable
13
11
13
12
10
10
Somewhat favorable
18
15
19
19
21
18
Total unfavorable
63
69
58
58
57
58
Very unfavorable
13
50
4
2
13
56
4
1
15
43
7
3
12
45
10
2
15
43
8
3
15
43
12
2
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
Bill Clinton
7/7-11/16
Based on:
Total favorable
44
Very favorable
17
Somewhat favorable
49
Very unfavorable
21
28
5
2
Based on:
19
27
Total unfavorable
N=1,009
(Continued) For each of the following individuals, please select if you have a favorable or
unfavorable impression of that person. If you dont know enough about the person to
have an opinion, you can say that too.
Gary Johnson
7/7-11/16
FAV1.
Total favorable
10
Very favorable
Somewhat favorable
Total unfavorable
12
Very unfavorable
7
5
76
2
Jill Stein
Total favorable
Very favorable
Somewhat favorable
Total unfavorable
10
Very unfavorable
4
6
82
2
Based on:
20
N=1,009
7/7-11/16
Based on:
N=1,009
ROTATE ASKING ORDER OF FEEL1A/FEEL1B:

FEEL1a. For each of the following, please say if each of the following words describes or does not
describe how you would feel if Donald Trump is elected president.
[ITEMS RANDOMIZED]
Excited
Angry
Proud
Hopeful
Regretful
Afraid
Does
describe
26
48
22
37
48
56
Does not
describe
70
48
74
60
49
41
Refused
4
4
4
3
4
3
Based on: N=1,009
FEEL1b. For each of the following, please say if each of the following words describes or does not
describe how you would feel if Hillary Clinton is elected president.
[ITEMS RANDOMIZED]
Excited
Angry
Proud
Hopeful
Regretful
Afraid
Based on: N=1,009
21
Does
describe
26
42
27
38
46
48
Does not
describe
70
54
69
58
50
49
Refused
4
4
5
4
4
4
HR6.
Regardless of which candidate you personally want to win, which candidate do you think is
more likely to win the presidential race in November?
7/7-11/16
Responses were rotated
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Based on:
22
63
34
3
N=1,009
IMG1. Please tell me how well each word describes [INSERT ITEM]
[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ]
Civil
7/7-11/16
3/31-4/4/16
Hillary Clinton
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly/not at all well
Slightly well
Not at all well
46
22
24
51
22
29
3
48
21
27
49
21
28
3
N=1,009
N=1,076
Honest
7/7-11/16
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
Based on:
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
24
9
15
73
18
55
3
29
12
17
69
18
50
3
29
13
17
65
17
48
5
31
12
19
63
18
45
6
33
12
21
63
19
44
5
31
12
20
66
19
48
2
37
15
22
61
20
41
2
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
Based on:
23
IMG1. (Continued) Please tell me how well each word describes [INSERT ITEM]
Decisive
7/7-11/16
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
46
20
25
52
22
30
3
48
24
24
49
23
27
3
50
24
26
44
16
28
6
49
25
24
45
18
27
6
50
25
25
45
18
27
5
47
22
25
50
19
31
3
56
29
27
42
18
24
3
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
Likeable
7/7-11/16
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
Based on:
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
32
13
18
65
23
42
3
36
16
20
62
22
40
2
37
16
20
58
19
39
6
40
18
22
54
19
35
6
39
18
21
57
21
35
5
41
17
24
58
22
36
2
44
20
24
54
19
34
2
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
Based on:
24
Racist
7/7-11/16
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
20
8
12
77
17
60
3
Qualified
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
49
28
22
48
17
31
3
Based on:
25
N=1,009
7/7-11/16
Based on:
N=1,009
Civil
7/7-11/16
3/31-4/4/16
Donald Trump
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
20
7
13
77
19
57
3
15
4
11
83
17
66
3
N=1,009
N=1,076
Honest
7/7-11/16
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
Based on:
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
30
14
17
67
18
48
3
25
10
15
72
16
56
3
34
15
19
60
17
43
6
33
14
18
62
19
44
5
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
Based on:
26
Decisive
7/7-11/16
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
49
26
23
48
17
31
3
42
21
22
55
16
39
3
55
33
23
39
12
27
6
55
34
21
40
12
28
5
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
Likeable
7/7-11/16
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12-3-7/15
Based on:
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
25
10
15
72
20
52
3
21
8
14
76
16
60
3
26
8
17
68
21
48
6
24
9
15
71
21
50
5
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
Based on:
27
Racist
7/7-11/16
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
50
35
15
48
15
32
3
Qualified
Very/somewhat well
Very well
Somewhat well
Slightly well
Not at all well
27
10
17
70
17
53
3
Based on:
28
N=1,009
7/7-11/16
Based on:
N=1,009
CUR_CvT.
If Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the nominees for president in November,
regardless of whom you might support, which candidate would you trust to do a better job of:
[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS, RANDOMIZE CLINTON AND TRUMP]
Handling the economy

Handling immigration
Protecting the country (half sample)
Handling health care
Handling the U.S. image abroad (half sample)
Filling Supreme Court vacancies
Handling international trade
Handling the threat posed by the Islamic State group
(half sample)
Creating jobs
Working with Congress
Making America great
Handling gun laws
Handling the threat of domestic terrorism (half sample)
Improving race relations
Hillary
Clinton
33
38
34
40
42
36
35
Donald
Trump
37
35
36
28
23
26
31
Both
9
5
9
7
9
15
10
Neither
18
20
19
22
23
20
20
Refused
2
2
2
3
3
3
4
32
30
41
28
35
33
45
36
34
21
31
33
38
17
10
12
11
5
7
8
8
21
21
24
34
23
19
27
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
Based on:
29
3/31-4/4/16
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both equally
Neither
7/7-11/16
Handling the economy
33
37
9
18
2
38
35
9
16
2
N=1,009
N=1,076
CUR_CvT. (Continued) If Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are the nominees for president in November,
Based on:
3/31-4/4/16
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both equally
Neither
7/7-11/16
Handling immigration
38
35
5
20
2
42
33
5
18
2
N=1,009
Based on:
30
3/31-4/4/16
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both equally
Neither
7/7-11/16
Protecting the country
N=1,076
34
36
9
19
2
37
31
10
19
2
N=512
N=1,076
Based on:
3/31-4/4/16
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both equally
Neither
7/7-11/16
Handling health care
40
28
7
22
3
43
27
8
21
2
N=1,009
Based on:
31
3/31-4/4/16
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both equally
Neither
7/7-11/16
Handling the U.S. Image abroad
N=1,076
42
23
9
23
3
48
21
7
22
2
N=497
N=1,076
Based on:
3/31-4/4/16
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both equally
Neither
7/7-11/16
Filling Supreme Court vacancies
36
26
15
20
3
42
23
15
18
3
N=1,009
Based on:
32
3/31-4/4/16
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both equally
Neither
7/7-11/16
Handling international trade
N=1,076
35
31
10
20
4
41
32
9
16
3
N=1,009
N=1,076
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both equally
Neither
Based on:
3/31-4/4/16
Handling the threat posed by the Islamic State

group
7/7-11/16
32
36
10
21
2
36
32
8
22
2
N=512
Based on:
33
3/31-4/4/16
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both equally
Neither
7/7-11/16
Creating jobs
N=1,076
30
34
12
21
3
36
35
10
17
2
N=1,009
N=1,076
Based on:
3/31-4/4/16
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both equally
Neither
7/7-11/16
Working with Congress
41
21
11
24
3
44
20
10
23
2
N=1,009
Based on:
34
3/31-4/4/16
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both equally
Neither
7/7-11/16
Making America great
N=1,076
28
31
5
34
3
33
28
7
30
2
N=1,009
N=1,076
7/7-11/16
Handling gun laws
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both equally
Neither
Based on:
35
33
7
23
3
N=1,009
7/7-11/16
Handling the threat of domestic terrorism
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both equally
Neither
Based on:
35
33
38
8
19
3
N=497
7/7-11/16
Handling race relations
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Both equally
Neither
Based on:
36
45
17
8
27
3
N=1,009
MEDIA_CvT. Generally speaking, how much trust do you have that each of the following are
usually accurate?
[RANDOMIZE STATEMENTS]
Things Donald Trump

says about Hillary
Clinton
Things Hillary Clinton
says about Donald
Trump
Things the media
reports about Hillary
Clinton
Things the media
reports about Donald
Trump
Base: N=1,009
37
A great
deal/fair
amount
A great
deal
A fair
amount
Just some
Not too
much/Not
at all
Not too
much
Not at
all
Refused
26
11
15
17
54
20
33
33
11
22
20
44
18
26
28
22
28
40
19
22
34
11
22
25
38
18
20
REP_CvT.
Do you think each of the following groups of people would be better off if Donald Trump
became president or if Hillary Clinton became president?
[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS, RANDOMIZE CLINTON AND TRUMP]
Women
People who are gay, lesbian, bisexual or transgender
Men
Hispanics and Latinos
African-Americans
White people
Muslims
People without a college degree
People who are unemployed
People like you
Base: N=1,009
38
Hillary
Clinton
53
52
20
51
46
20
55
32
36
36
Donald
Trump
16
10
41
13
15
39
9
21
24
29
Both
13
16
19
14
17
24
9
19
15
11
Neither
16
19
18
20
20
15
24
26
23
23
Refused
3
3
2
2
2
2
3
3
2
2
7/7-11/16
10/15-19/15
4/23-27/15
HCEMAIL1. How closely have you been following news about Hillary Clinton using a private email address
on a personal server instead of a government email address while she was Secretary of
State?
Extremely/very closely
Extremely closely
Very closely
32
13
19
21
8
13
20
8
12
Somewhat closely
36
33
34
Not too/Not closely at all

Not too closely
Not closely at all
30
18
12
2
43
25
18
3
44
22
22
1
N=1,009
N=1,027
N=1,077
Based on:
39
4/23-27/15
Based on:
10/15-19/15
A major problem
A minor problem
Not a problem at all
7/7-11/16
HCEMAIL2. Do you think Hillary Clinton using a private email address on a personal server while she was
Secretary of State is a major problem, a minor problem, or not a problem at all?
50
31
17
2
33
37
26
4
32
36
31
2
N=1,009
N=1,027
N=1,077
7/7-11/16
HCEMAIL5. Which comes closer to your opinion on Hillary Clintons use of a private email address and
personal server while she was secretary of state?
She
She
She
She
did nothing wrong

showed poor judgment, but didnt do anything illegal
broke the law, but it wasnt intentional
intentionally broke the law
6
36
17
39
3
Based on:
N=1,009
Some questions held for future release.

B1a/b/ba.
How would you describe the nations economy these days.
NeitherDont lean
Total poor
Lean toward poor
Somewhat poor
Very poor
Based on:
40
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
Total good
Very good
Somewhat good
Lean toward good
7/7-11/16
[IF NEITHER OR REFUSED/NOT ANSWERED] If you had to choose, do you lean more
towards the nations economy being good or the nations economy being poor? [NOTE:
BEGINNING IN DECEMBER, 2013, RESPONDENTS WHO DECLINE TO LEAN ARE SHOWN
THIS QUESTION AGAIN INCLUDING A DO NOT LEAN EITHER WAY RESPONSE OPTION]
40
2
24
13
45
4
26
15
41
3
24
15
47
3
29
15
45
3
29
13
41
4
26
11
45
4
28
13
47
3
32
12
41
2
29
10
38
2
22
14
39
2
24
14
41
3
26
12
36
1
21
13
37
1
23
13
38
2
25
12
35
2
20
13
59
14
28
17
54
13
27
15
57
10
33
14
51
14
25
13
54
13
27
14
57
12
28
17
54
14
27
14
51
12
26
13
57
12
30
15
61
13
32
17
60
12
32
17
59
10
31
18
63
15
32
16
62
13
32
17
62
12
32
18
65
15
29
21
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
B2.
And would you describe the financial situation in your own household these days as
good, poor, or neither good nor poor?
3/31-4/4/16
12/4-8/14
2/16-20/12*
12/8-12/11
10/13-17/11
8/18-22/11
6/16-20/11
5/5-9/11
3/24-28/11
1/5-10/11
11/3-8/10
TOTAL 10/13-18/10
LIKELY VOTERS 10/13-18/10
9/8-13/10
8/11-16/10
6/9-14/10
Total good
Very good
Somewhat good
Neither lean good
7/7-11/16
[IF GOOD, ASK:] Is that very good or somewhat good?

[IF POOR, ASK:] Is that very poor or somewhat poor?
[IF NEITHER, ASK:] If you had to choose, do you lean more toward good or poor?
63
65
60
63
60
54
60
63
61
62
57
62
65
71
61
61
64
11
11
10
17
15
13
12
15
15
14
15
14
15
18
15
14
14
33
36
36
29
31
26
31
30
31
32
28
31
35
38
30
30
32
20
18
15
17
13
15
17
19
16
16
15
17
15
15
16
17
18
Neither Dont lean
10
Total poor
Neither lean poor
Somewhat poor
Very poor
35
33
38
33
35
36
33
32
34
34
37
33
30
24
33
36
30
11
11
11
11
10
12
12
10
15
16
15
20
14
15
17
14
15
17
13
15
13
12
13
12
14
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
Dont know
Refused
na
na
na
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,010
N=1,000
N=1,000
N=1,000
N=1,000
N=1,001
N=1,001
N=1,001
N=1,001
N=1,000
N=1,501
N=846
N=1,000
N=1,007
N=1,044
Based on:
41
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
7/24-28/14
5/16-19/14
3/20-24/14
1/17-21/14
12/5-9/13
10/3-7/13*
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
In the past month, do you think the economy has
7/7-11/16
ECO41.
Gotten better
11
16
17
20
17
17
19
29
24
20
21
21
19
20
19
19
20
18
21
22
12
Gotten worse
24
17
31
20
21
24
16
15
14
24
25
24
20
20
22
22
23
21
20
23
45
Stayed about the same
64
65
50
58
60
58
64
55
60
55
54
54
60
59
59
58
55
60
58
53
41
Dont know [VOL]
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
N=,XXX
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
N=1,354
N=1,012
N=1,060
N=1,367
N=1,227
Based on:
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
How do you expect the financial situation of your household will change over the next 12
months? Will it?
7/7-11/16
CCON1.
Total Better
A lot better
A little better
32
6
25
37
6
31
32
7
25
31
6
25
29
5
24
29
6
23
35
7
28
37
7
30
34
7
27
27
5
23
27
5
22
25
4
21
27
5
22
27
6
21
26
6
21
27
5
22
Stay about the same
48
45
43
47
44
45
49
45
48
46
46
47
45
46
45
44
Total Worse
A little worse
A lot worse
18
14
4
2
17
13
4
2
23
19
4
2
20
15
5
2
25
19
6
2
24
19
6
2
15
11
3
2
15
11
4
3
16
13
4
2
25
19
6
1
26
21
6
1
27
21
5
1
27
20
7
1
27
20
7
1
29
22
7
1
28
21
7
1
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
Based on:
42
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
How do you expect the general economic situation in this country will change over the next
12 months? Will it
7/7-11/16
CCON2.
Get better
A lot better
A little better
29
3
26
26
3
24
29
3
25
29
3
26
31
3
28
29
3
26
34
4
30
38
4
35
38
4
34
31
3
28
31
3
28
32
4
28
32
3
29
33
3
30
34
4
30
29
2
27
Stay about the same
36
41
34
40
34
36
37
40
42
33
32
29
33
32
31
33
Get worse
A little worse
A lot worse
32
23
8
30
24
6
34
26
9
30
22
8
32
23
10
33
23
10
26
19
7
19
14
5
19
13
6
34
25
10
36
26
9
39
28
11
33
24
9
34
24
10
35
24
11
36
24
12
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
43
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
Based on:
12/3-7/15
Increase more rapidly

Increase at the same rate
Increase at a slower rate
Stay about the same
Fall
Compared with the past 12 months, how do you think consumer prices will change in the
next 12 months? Will they
2/11-15/16
CCON3.
3/31-4/4/16
Based on:
7/7-11/16
12
42
19
22
3
3
11
42
22
21
2
3
9
34
24
25
6
2
15
39
20
20
3
3
16
38
21
20
3
2
17
41
21
16
3
2
17
43
22
15
2
2
17
39
22
18
2
3
15
40
23
17
3
2
16
38
23
18
4
1
16
40
23
17
3
1
16
42
22
16
3
1
19
44
21
12
2
2
20
45
20
12
2
2
22
46
18
11
1
2
23
43
18
13
2
1
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
A good time to buy
Thinking about making major purchases such as furniture or electronic devices, do you
think now is a?
7/7-11/16
CCON4.
17
18
17
21
16
16
16
20
26
14
15
16
14
15
16
15
65
17
1
65
15
2
66
16
2
62
15
2
67
15
2
65
18
1
66
17
2
63
15
2
56
16
2
64
20
2
65
19
1
65
19
1
65
65
63
61
20
20
20
23
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
Neither a good nor bad time

to buy
A bad time to buy
Based on:
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
Thinking of the general economic situation, do you think that now is a
7/7-11/16
CCON5.
Total Good Time to Save

Very good time to save
Fairly good time to save
75
33
41
76
32
43
76
33
43
77
31
46
77
30
47
72
31
41
76
30
46
71
26
45
72
25
47
69
27
42
71
28
43
72
30
43
73
30
43
74
31
43
78
34
44
70
31
39
Total Bad Time to Save

Fairly bad time to save
Very bad time to save
23
17
6
2
23
17
5
2
22
17
5
3
21
15
5
3
21
16
5
2
26
19
7
2
23
17
6
1
26
20
6
3
26
20
6
2
29
23
6
2
28
22
6
1
27
22
5
1
25
19
7
2
24
19
6
1
21
15
6
2
28
20
7
3
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
Based on:
44
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
How do you expect the number of people who are unemployed in this country to change
over the next 12 months? Will it.
7/7-11/16
CCON6.
Total Increase
Sharply increase
Slightly increase
33
7
26
30
4
26
34
6
28
32
6
26
33
7
25
32
5
27
33
6
27
26
4
22
25
4
21
33
7
26
33
7
26
35
7
28
34
8
26
35
9
27
37
10
27
36
9
27
Remain the same
41
43
38
40
38
37
37
39
39
35
34
30
35
34
31
33
Total Decrease
Slightly decrease
Sharply decrease
23
21
2
3
24
22
2
2
26
23
2
3
25
24
2
3
27
24
3
2
29
26
3
2
28
26
2
2
33
30
2
2
33
31
2
3
31
29
2
2
32
30
2
1
34
32
2
*
29
27
2
2
30
28
2
1
31
29
2
1
29
27
2
3
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
Based on:
45
Some questions held for future release.
7/7-11/16
WORLD1. Do you think the United States should take a more or less active role solving the worlds
problems, or is its current role about right?
A more active role

Its current role is about right
A less active role
19
36
41
4
N=1,009
Based on:
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
12/3-7/15
4/23-27/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
5/16-19/14
3/20-24/14
1/17-21/14
Do you favor or oppose providing a legal way for illegal immigrants already in the United States
to become U.S. citizens?
7/7-11/16
NCC8.
Total Favor
Strongly favor
Somewhat favor
60
25
35
60
22
38
55
20
35
54
21
33
53
20
33
58
19
38
54
19
34
53
18
34
53
19
34
53
20
33
52
18
35
53
17
36
51
18
34
55
20
35
55
20
36
56
17
39
Total Oppose
Somewhat oppose
Strongly oppose
38
22
16
38
19
19
42
20
22
44
21
23
44
21
23
40
16
24
44
22
22
46
23
23
47
21
25
45
23
22
47
24
23
47
23
24
46
21
25
42
23
19
42
21
21
41
20
21
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=519
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
N=1,354
N=1,012
N=1,060
Based on:
46
Should the United States build a wall along the Mexican border to help stop illegal immigration?
7/7-11/16
IM26.
Yes
No
40
58
3
N=1,009
Based on:
3/31-4/4/16
2/11-15/16
Do you favor or oppose temporarily banning all Muslims who are not U.S. citizens from entering
the United States?
7/7-11/16
IM25c.
Total Favor
Strongly favor
Somewhat favor
45
21
24
45
20
25
45
23
22
Total Oppose
Somewhat oppose
Strongly oppose
52
23
29
52
25
26
52
26
25
N=496
N=1,076
N=1,033
Based on:
47
7/7-11/16
IM25c_1. Do you favor or oppose temporarily banning immigrants from areas in the world where there is
a history of terrorism against the United States or its allies from entering the United States?
Total Favor
Strongly favor
Somewhat favor
63
35
28
Total Oppose
Somewhat oppose
Strongly oppose
34
22
12
Based on:
3/31-4/4/16
12/3-7/15
1/29-2/2/15
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
How would you rate the current risk of a terrorist attack happening inside the United States?
7/7-11/16
TERR1.
N=513
Extremely/somewhat high
risk
Extremely high risk
Somewhat high risk
62
32
30
55
26
30
70
44
26
50
22
29
47
18
29
49
18
31
55
20
35
53
20
33
56
23
33
61
26
35
Moderate risk
26
31
21
33
36
35
31
32
31
29
9
7
2
3
11
8
4
2
6
5
2
2
14
11
3
3
16
12
4
2
15
12
3
1
14
11
3
*
12
10
3
2
12
10
2
1
10
7
2
*
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,007
N=1,045
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
Extremely/somewhat low
risk
Somewhat low risk
Extremely low risk
Based on:
48
7/7-11/16
ISIS10b. The United States is currently permitting about 10,000 refugees from Syria to enter the United
States after a security screening process. Do you think the U.S. should allow more or fewer
refugees to enter the country, or is the current number about right?
Should allow more refugees

Current level is about right
Should allow fewer refugees
Based on:
11
33
53
3
N=1,009
7/7-11/16
ISIS11. How would you rate the risk that Syrian refugees in the United States might commit acts of
religious or political violence in the United States?
Extremely/Somewhat high risk

Extremely high risk
Somewhat high risk
39
21
18
Moderate risk
34
Extremely/Somewhat low risk

Somewhat low risk
Extremely low risk
24
18
6
Refused/No answer
Based on:
49
3
N=1,009
7/7-11/16
ISIS12. Do you think its important for politicians to use the phrase radical Islamic terrorism to
describe groups such as the Islamic State, or is it not important that they use that phrase?
It is important
Its not important
52
44
4
N=1,009
Based on:
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
5/16-19/14
3/20-24/14
18
79
20
74
19
76
18
77
22
74
21
75
20
76
19
78
22
75
27
71
17
79
20
77
26
72
23
74
22
77
73
Dont know [VOL]
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
N=1,354
N=1,012
7/24-28/14
2/11-15/16
18
76
20
Not a supporter
Supporter
4/23-27/15
3/31-4/4/16
Do you consider yourself a supporter of the Tea Party movement, or are you not a supporter of
the Tea Party movement?
7/7-11/16
TP4.
Refused/Not
Answered
Based on:
50
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
5/16-19/14
Strongly
Somewhat
31
69
28
71
29
70
25
75
27
73
28
71
35
65
36
63
36
64
35
65
38
62
31
68
31
67
34
65
35
64
28
71
N=181
N=195
N=208
N=186
N=183
N=213
N=227
N=225
N=332
N=318
N=261
N=361
N=331
N=255
N=259
N=263
7/7-11/16
2/11-15/16
[IF TP4=1] Do you support the tea party movement strongly or somewhat
3/31-4/4/16
TP4a.
Based on: Tea Party Supporter
51
7/9-13/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
5/16-19/14
34
31
29
30
29
32
31
31
30
34
34
31
36
35
29
32
Independent
23
25
25
26
26
26
27
27
24
23
23
23
24
25
25
24
21
Republican
25
26
26
23
23
25
21
23
24
26
29
35
24
27
32
28
26
None of these
18
12
14
19
18
17
19
17
18
19
12
19
11
17
19
Dont know [VOL]
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
na
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
N=1,044
N=1,354
Based on:
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
42
47
43
42
41
42
44
42
41
41
44
42
43
47
45
Democrat
32
34
31
29
30
29
32
31
31
30
34
34
31
36
35
Independent lean Democratic
10
10
None lean Democratic
7/7-11/16
2/11-15/16
Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or none of these?

[IF INDEPENDENT OR NONE, OR REFUSAL, ASK:] Do you lean more toward the Democrats
or the Republicans?
3/31-4/4/16
PID1/i.
4/23-27/15
10/15-19/15
32
12/3-7/15
Democrat
7/7-11/16
2/11-15/16
Do you consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, an independent or none of these?
3/31-4/4/16
PID1.
Total Democrat
Total Republican
36
36
37
35
37
37
34
35
38
37
41
47
34
38
45
Republican
25
26
26
23
23
25
21
23
24
26
29
35
24
27
32
Independent lean Republican
10
10
10
10
10
10
None lean Republican
Independent dont lean
10
None dont lean
14
10
12
15
14
14
14
14
14
14
15
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,845
N=1,541
N=958
Based on:
52
2/11-15/16
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
7/9-13/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
TOTAL
10/16-20/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
10/16-20/14
LIKELY VOTERS
10/16-20/14
TOTAL
9/25-29/14
REGISTERED VOTERS
9/25-29/14
LIKELY VOTERS
9/25-29/14
7/24-28/14
Liberal
Conservative
Moderate
19
33
44
4
22
30
44
4
21
32
42
4
19
33
43
5
18
35
44
3
20
34
43
3
21
33
43
3
19
33
45
3
20
35
40
5
21
33
42
3
21
36
42
2
20
41
39
1
20
31
45
4
20
35
43
2
19
40
40
1
16
34
45
4
Based on:
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,385
N=968
N=1,224
N=1,016
N=643
N=1,044
DM5.
4/23-27/15
3/31-4/4/16
Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a?
7/7-11/16
G11b.
Which one of the following best describes where you live?

Urban area
Suburban area
Rural area
24
50
24
2
N=1,009
Based on:
INS1.
The next questions are about your personal health insurance. Please include health insurance
obtained through employment or purchased directly as well as government programs like
Medicare and Medicaid that provide medical care or help pay medical bills.
12/3-7/15
7/9-13/15
4/23-27/15
1/29-2/2/15
12/4-8/14
5/16-19/14
3/20-24/14
1/17-21/14
Based on:
53
10/16-20/14
2/11-15/16
89
9
2
89
9
3
87
10
2
88
10
2
88
10
2
88
9
2
87
10
3
86
11
3
86
12
2
82
15
3
85
12
3
83
16
2
N=1,009
N=1,076
N=1,033
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,004
N=1,077
N=1,045
N=1,010
N=1,608
N=1,354
N=1,012
N=1,060
TOTAL
3/31-4/4/16
88
10
2
7/7-11/16
Yes
No
10/15-19/15
Are you currently covered by any kind of health insurance or some other kind of health care
plan or not?
DM12.
Do you consider yourself a born-again or evangelical Christian, or not?

Yes, born-again/evangelical
No
28
69
3
N=1,009
Based on:
DM13.
What is your religious preference?

Protestant
Catholic
Mormon
Jewish
Muslim
Other religion
Dont belong to religious denomination
24
26
2
1
*
15
29
3
N=1,009
Based on:
DM14.
[IF OTHER RELIGION IN DM13] Do you consider yourself a Christian, or not?

Yes, a Christian
No, not a Christian
88
12
-
N=138
Based on:
12/3-7/15
10/15-19/15
12/5-9/13
Does anyone in your household own a gun, or not?
7/7-11/16
GUNS4.
Yes
35
36
37
35
No
61
61
59
61
N=1,009
N=1,007
N=1,027
N=1,367
Based on:
54
Are you or is anyone in your household a member of a labor union?
7/7-11/16
D7a.
Yes, I am
Yes, someone else in the household is
No one in the household is a union member
82
Based on:
2
N=1,009
DMCELL. How many different landline telephone numbers, if any, are there in your home? This includes
listed or unlisted numbers. Please dont count cell phones or landlines used ONLY for faxes or
modems.
0
1
2
3
4
5 or more
Based on:
55
48
44
3
1
1
*
3
N=1,009
PPEDUCAT. (4 category)
Less than high school
High school
Some college
Bachelors degree or higher
Based on:
8
34
28
30
N=1,009
PPETHM
White, Non-Hispanic
Black, Non-Hispanic
Other, Non-Hispanic
Hispanic
2+ Races, Non-Hispanic
Based on:
67
12
4
16
3
N=1,009
PPGENDER
Male
56
48
Female
52
Based on:
N=1,009
PPWORK
Working as a paid employee
Working self-employed
Not working on temporary layoff from a job
Not working looking for work
Not working retired
Not working disabled
Not working - other
Based on:
53
6
1
5
19
7
11
N=1,009
PPAGE
Age group:
18-29
30-49
50-64
65+
Based on:
DM20.
21
34
26
19
N=1,009
And in which group does your total household [IF SINGLE: PERSONAL] income fall?
[READ LIST]
Under $10,000
$10,000 to under $20,000
$20,000 to under $30,000
$30,000 to under $40,000
10
$40,000 to under $50,000
$50,000 to under $75,000
18
$75,000 to under $100,000
12
$100,000 to under $150,000
20
$150,000 or more
Based on:
10
N=1,009
CENSUS REGION:
Northeast
18
Midwest
22
South
37
West
23
Based on:
57
N=1,009
AP-GfK Poll Methodology

The Associated Press-GfK Poll was conducted July 7 to 11, 2016 by GfK Public Affairs & Corporate
Communications a division of GfK Custom Research North America. This poll is based on a nationallyrepresentative probability sample of 1,009 general population adults age 18 or older.
The survey was conducted using the web-enabled KnowledgePanel, a probability-based panel designed
to be representative of the U.S. population. At inception participants were chosen scientifically by a
random selection of telephone numbers and since 2009 through Address-based sampling using the post
offices delivery sequence file. Persons in these households are then invited to join and participate in the
web-enabled KnowledgePanel. For those who agree to participate, but do not already have Internet
access, GfK provides at no cost a laptop and ISP connection. People who already have computers and
Internet services are permitted to participate using their own equipment. Panelists then receive unique
log-in information for accessing surveys online, and then are sent emails throughout each month inviting
them to participate in research.
The data were weighted to account for probabilities of selection, as well as age within sex, education,
race, and phone type. The phone type targets came from the fall, 2012 MRI Consumer Survey. The
other targets came from the March, 2012 Supplement of the Current Population Survey.
The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3.3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, for
results based on the entire sample of adults. The margin of sampling error is higher and varies for results
based on sub-samples. In our reporting of the findings, percentage points are rounded off to the nearest
whole number. As a result, percentages in a given table column may total slightly higher or lower than
100%. In questions that permit multiple responses, columns may total significantly more than 100%,
depending on the number of different responses offered by each respondent. The cooperation rate for
this poll was 46%.
Trend data are displayed for selected questions from previous AP-GfK Polls that were conducted using
telephone interviews with nationally-representative probability samples of adults age 18 or older. Details
about all AP-GfK Polls are available at http://www.ap-gfkpoll.com.
58

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July 2016 AP GFK Poll

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Public Affairs & Corporate Communications

THE AP-GfK POLL

A survey of the American general population (ages 18+)

Interview dates: July 7 July 11, 2016

LIKELY VOTERS 9/2529/14

Dont know [VOL]

Dont know [VOL]

Based on: (Excludes those living in ND)

Are you currently registered to vote at your address, or not?

Hillary Clinton, the Democrat

Hillary Clinton, the Democrat

Hillary Clinton, the Democrat

Mind is completely made up

Based on: Will vote Clinton, Trump, Stein, Johnson or Other in

My candidate has the best

The Democratic Party

Which party would you rather see win control of Congress?

How important are each of the following issues to you personally?

How important are each of the following issues to you personally?

The threat posed by the

The U.S. role in world affairs

How important are each of the following issues to you personally?

Supreme Court nominations

How important are each of the following issues to you personally?

The threat of domestic terrorism

The U.S. role in world affairs

The threat posed by the

Supreme Court nominations

The threat of domestic terrorism

ROTATE ASKING ORDER OF FEEL1A/FEEL1B:

Based on: N=1,009

Responses were rotated

[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ]

[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ]

[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ]

[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS ]

Handling the economy

Handling the economy

Protecting the country

Handling health care

Handling the U.S. Image abroad

Filling Supreme Court vacancies

Handling international trade

Handling the threat posed by the Islamic State

Working with Congress

Making America great

Handling gun laws

Handling the threat of domestic terrorism

Handling race relations

Things Donald Trump

[GRID, RANDOMIZE ITEMS, RANDOMIZE CLINTON AND TRUMP]

Not too/Not closely at all

did nothing wrong

Some questions held for future release.

How would you describe the nations economy these days.

LIKELY VOTERS 10/13-18/10

[IF GOOD, ASK:] Is that very good or somewhat good?

Neither Dont lean

In the past month, do you think the economy has

Stayed about the same

Dont know [VOL]

Stay about the same

Stay about the same