Professional Documents
Culture Documents
INTRODUCTION
As Indian securities markets continue to evolve, market participants, investors and regulators
are looking at different ways in which the risk management may be efficiently met through
the introduction of Derivative markets. Through the use of derivative products, it is possible
to partially or fully transfer price risks by locking in asset prices. As instruments of risk
management, these generally do not influence the fluctuations in the underlying asset prices.
Derivatives are risk management instruments, which derive their value form an underlying
asset. The underlying asset can be bullion, index, share, bonds, currency, interest etc. banks,
securities firms, companies and investors to hedge risks, to gain access to cheaper money and
to make profit, uses derivatives. Derivatives are likely to grow even at a faster rate in future.
However, the advent of modern day derivative contracts is attributed to the need for farmers
to protect themselves from any decline in the price of their crops due to delayed monsoon, or
overproduction. The first futures contracts can be traced to the Yodoya rice market in
Osaka,
Japan around 1650. These were evidently standardized contracts, which made them
much like todays futures. The Chicago Board of trade (CBOT), the largest derivative
exchange in theworld, was established in 1848 where forward contracts on various
commodities were standardized around 1865. From then on, futures contracts have remained
more or less in the same form, as we know them today.
DERIVATIVES:
Derivatives are defined as financial instruments whose value derived from the prices of one
or more other assets such as equity securities, fixed-income securities, foreign currencies, or
commodities. Derivative is also a kind of contract between two counter parties to exchange
payments linked to the prices of underlying assets.
DEFINITION:
In the Indian context the Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1956 (SC(R) A)
defines
derivative to include1. A security derived from a debt instrument, share, loan whether secured or unsecured,
risk instrument or contract for differences or any other from of security.
2. A contract which derives its value from the prices, or index or prices, of underlying
securities
The above definition conveys that Derivatives are financial products and derive its value
from the underlying assets. Derivatives are derived from a matter financial contract called the
underlying.
2.
3.
STATISTICAL TOOL
4
The data collected from the above sources have been analysed through Moving Average
Method, which is one of the popular statistical tool in technical analysis is considered for
the study. To examine the underlying trend by smoothing of the data and to provide the Buy
and Sell signals to the selected stocks this method serves the best. Moving averages are used
along with the price of the scrip. The stock price may intersect the moving average at a
particular point. Downward penetration of the rising average indicates the possibility of a
further fall and gives sell signal. Upward penetration of the falling average would indicate
the possibility of the further rise and gives the buy signal.
CHAPTER -II
INDUSTRY PROFILE
COMPANY PROFILE
FINANCIAL MARKET
Financial markets are helpful to provide liquidity in the system and for smooth
functioning of the system. These markets are the centers that provide facilities for buying and
selling of financial claims and services. The financial markets match the demands of investment
with the supply of capital from various sources.
According to functional basis financial markets are classified into two types.
They are:
Money markets (short-term)
Capital markets (long-term)
According to institutional basis again classified in to two types. They are
Organized financial market
Non-organized financial market.
MONEY MARKET:
Money market is a place where we can raise short-term capital.
Again the money market is classified in to
Inter bank call money market
Bill market and
Bank loan market Etc.
E.g.; treasury bills, commercial papers, CD's etc.
CAPITAL MARKET:
Capital market is a place where we can raise long-term capital.
Again the capital market is classified in to two types and they are
Primary market and
Secondary market.
E.g.: Shares, Debentures, and Loans etc.
PRIMARY MARKET:
Primary market is generally referred to the market of new issues or market for mobilization
of resources by the companies and government undertakings, for new projects as also for
expansion, modernization, addition, diversification and up gradation. Primary market is also
referred to as New Issue Market. Primary market operations include new issues of shares by new
and existing companies, further and right issues to existing shareholders, public offers, and issue
of debt instruments such as debentures, bonds, etc.
The primary market is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI a
government regulated authority).
Function:
The main services of the primary market are origination, underwriting, and distribution.
Origination deals with the origin of the new issue. Underwriting contract make the shares
predictable and remove the element of uncertainty in the subscription. Distribution refers to the
sale of securities to the investors.
The following are the market intermediaries associated with the market:
1.Merchant banker/book building lead manager
2.Registrar and transfer agent
3.Underwriter/broker to the issue
4.Adviser to the issue
5.Banker to the issue
6.Depository
7.Depository participant.
9
SECONDARY MARKET
The primary market deals with the new issues of securities. Outstanding securities are traded
in the secondary market, which is commonly known as stock market or stock exchange. The
secondary market is a market where scrips are traded. It is a market place which provides
liquidity to the scrips issued in the primary market. Thus, the growth of secondary market
depends on the primary market. More the number of companies entering the primary market, the
greater are the volume of trade at the secondary market. Trading activities in the secondary
market are done through the recognized stock exchanges which are 23 in number including Over
The Counter Exchange of India (OTCE), National Stock Exchange of India and Interconnected
Stock Exchange of India.
Secondary market operations involve buying and selling of securities on the stock exchange
through its members. The companies hitting the primary market are mandatory to list their shares
on one or more stock exchanges in India. Listing of scrips provides liquidity and offers an
opportunity to the investors to buy or sell the scrips.
The following are the intermediaries in the secondary market:
1. Broker/member of stock exchange buyers broker and sellers broker
2. Portfolio Manager
3. Investment advisor
4. Share transfer agent
5. Depository
6. Depository participants
10
Stock exchanges provide liquidity to the listed companies. By giving quotations to the
listed companies, they help trading and raise funds from the market. Over the hundred and twenty
years during which the stock exchanges have existed in this country and through their medium,
the central and state government have raised crores of rupees by floating public loans. Municipal
corporations, trust and local bodies have obtained from the public their financial requirements,
and industry, trade and commerce- the backbone of the countrys economy-have secured capital
of crores or rupees through the issue of stocks, shares and debentures for financing their day-today activities, organizing new ventures and completing projects of expansion, diversification and
modernization. By obtaining the listing and trading facilities, public investment is increased and
companies
were able to raise more funds. The quoted companies with wide public interest have
enjoyed some benefits and assets valuation has become easier for tax and other purposes.
Ensuring equal access to investors all over the country through an appropriate communication
network.
electronic
trading systems.
Enabling shorter settlement cycles and book entry settlements systems, and
The standards set by NSE in terms of market practices and technology, have become
industry benchmarks and are being emulated by other market participants. NSE is more
than a mere market facilitator. It's that force which is guiding the industry towards new
horizons and greater opportunities.
directors, who are from the broking community (one third of them retire ever year by
rotation), three SEBI nominees, six public representatives and an Executive Director &
Chief Executive Officer and a Chief Operating Officer.
The Executive Director as the Chief Executive Officer is responsible for the day-today administration of the Exchange and the Chief Operating Officer and other Heads of
Department assist him.
The Exchange has inserted new Rule No.126 A in its Rules, Byelaws pertaining to
constitution of the Executive Committee of the Exchange. Accordingly, an Executive
Committee, consisting of three elected directors, three SEBI nominees or public
representatives, Executive Director & CEO and Chief Operating Officer has been
constituted. The Committee considers judicial & quasi matters in which the Governing
Board has powers as an Appellate Authority, matters regarding annulment of transactions,
admission, continuance and suspension of member-brokers, declaration of a memberbroker as defaulter, norms, procedures and other matters relating to arbitration, fees,
deposits, margins and other monies payable by the member-brokers to the Exchange, etc.
The securities contract regulation act 1956 has provided uniform regulation for the
admission of members in the stock exchanges. The qualifications for becoming a member of a
recognized stock exchange are given below:
Regulating the business in stock exchanges and any other securities market.
16
Performing such functions and exercising such powers under the provisions of capital
issues (control) act, 1947and the securities to it by the central government.
SEBI
GUIDELINES
TO
SECONDARY
MARKETS:
(STOCK
EXCHANGES):
Capital adequacy norms have been laid down for the members of various stock exchanges
depending upon their turnover of trade and other factors.
All recognized stock exchanges will have to inform about transactions within 24 hrs.
TYPES OF ORDERS:
Buy and sell orders placed with members of the stock exchange by the investors. The orders
are of different types.
Limit orders:
Orders are limited by a fixed price. E.g. buy Reliance Petroleum at Rs.50.Here, the order
has clearly indicated the price at which it has to be bought and the investor is not willing to give
more than Rs.50.
Discretionary order:
17
The investor gives the range of price for purchase and sale. The broker can use his discretion
to buy within the specified limit. Generally the approximation price is fixed. The order stands as
this buy BRC 100 shares around Rs.40.
Share groups:
The scrips traded on the BSE have been classified into A,B1,B2,C,F and Z groups.
The A group represents those, which are in the carry forward system. The F group represents
the debt market segment (fixed income securities). The Z group scrips are of the blacklisted
companies. The C group covers the odd lot securities in A, B1&B2 groups.
18
19
COMPANY PROFILE
20
ICICI BANK
ICICI Bank is a commercial banking outfit set up by the ICICI Group. The Bank was
registered a banking company on January 5th, 1994 and received its banking license from the
Reserve Bank of India on May 17th, 1994. The Bank has an authorized capital of INR
300crore (USD 75.96 million), of which subscribed and paid-up capital is INR 165 crore
(USD 41.78 million). The first ICICI Bank branch was started in Madras in June 1994. The
branches are fully computerized with state-of-the-art technology and systems. All of them are
fully networked through V-SAT (Satellite) technology. The Bank is connected to the
international SWIFT network since March 1995. ICICI Bank offers a wide spectrum of
domestic and international banking services to facilitate trade, investment, cross-border
business, and treasury and foreign exchange services. This is in addition to a whole range of
deposit services offered to individuals and corporate bodies. ICICI Banks Infinity was the
first Internet banking service in the country, and a prelude to banking in the next millennium.
Currently the Bank has around 150,000 customers.
and TCW can create value for all involved. ICICI Ventures primary investment objective is
capital investment through investments by way of equity or equity-related securities in
unlisted companies with significant growth potential. ICICI Ventures investments span a
broad spectrum of industries and stages of development, the investment focus being on
Information Technology
Retail Services
offering a comprehensive range of products and services to retail customers. In view of this
reorientation of the business, the name of the Company was changed from ICICI Credit
Corporation to ICICI Personal Financial Services Limited (ICICI PFS) effective March 22,
1999.
ICICI CAPITAL SERVICES LIMITED
ICICI Capital Services Ltd. was incorporated in the name of SCICI Securities Ltd. on
September 24, 1994 as a wholly owned subsidiary of erstwhile SCICI Ltd. with the objective
of providing stock broking services to the institutional clients and undertaking activities such
as underwriting, primary market placements & distribution industry & company research etc.
After the amalgamation of SCICI with ICICI effective from April 1, 1996, resulting in the
change of the name. The company is mandated, under review by ICICI, to carry out on its
behalf the retail resource raising activities and to provide front office services related to all
retail and semi retail liability products of ICICI. The company also operates the network of
ICICI Centers being set up by ICICI. As on date the company has set up 91 centers across the
country.
ICICI INFOTECH
ICICI InfoTech is a leading provider of end-to-end IT solutions. We have an in-depth
experience of having worked on varied technologies with leading corporations worldwide.
Our service portfolio includes the following:
IS & IT Consulting
Software Design and Development
Enterprise Application Integration
Value Chain Management Solutions (SCM, CRM etc.)
Application Re-engineering and Management
Knowledge Management Solutions
Embedded System Applications
Technology Incubation, IT-enabled Services & IT Outsourcing
24
RBI Bonds
E-invest (ICICI Direct.com)
Fixed Deposits
Mutual Funds
Bonds
Demat
Equity IPO
25
Opportunities :
1. UFSL has initiated development of products for diesel application. This will provide
tremendous scope for diversification and growth
2. Acquisition of AMTEC to provide opportunities to access global OEMs
26
For us winning awards is a matter of pride and honour. Each new award is a manifestation of
our hard work and commitment to our clients.
Since inception, i-SECs expertise has been time and again widely recognized by both
domestic and international agencies.
Our Fixed Income team for the last two years (CY 2004 and 2005) has been adjudged the
Best Bond House in India by both Asiamoney and Finance Asia. The equities team was
adjudged the Best Indian Brokerage House-2003 by Asiamoney. The Corporate Finance
team, according to Bloomberg topped the M&A league tables in 2003.
28
CHAPTER-III
LITERATURE REVIEW
29
March 1993. In August 1994, the rupee was made fully convertible on current account. These
reforms allowed increased integration between domestic and international markets, and
created a need to manage currency risk. Figure 1 shows how the volatility of the exchange
rate between the Indian Rupee and the U.S. dollar has increased since 1991.7 the easing of
various restrictions on the free movement of interest rates resulted in the need to manage
interest rate risk.
Underlying
Index Futures
Index Options
Instrument
Type
on Options
on
Individual
Securities
Securities
30 securities
30 securities
stipulated by
stipulated by
SEBI
SEBI
European
Maximu
Trading Cycle
Futures
Individual
m
Month
cycle.
American
3
of
At any
time,
- Same as index
trading
futures
i
poinT
Same as index
Same as index
futures
futures
Same as index
Same as index
futures
futures
there will be 3
contracts
:
available
1) near month,
2) mid month &
3) far
duration
Las
Expiry Day
t
the
month
o
Thursday
f Same as index
futures
expiry month
32
s
i
z
Contract Size
Permitted
is
lot
e Same as index
futures
thereof
Price Steps
Re.0.05
Base Price-
previous
As stipulated by As stipulated by
previous day
Same as Index
Re.0.05
closing
First day of
of the options
contract arrived at
underlying
based on Black-
security
Nifty value
trading
Scholes model
Base Price-
Daily settlement
Subsequent
price
Price Bands
Operating
options
Operating
Operating
at + 20 %
kept at 99% of
are
kept at + 10 %
price
33
Quantity
20,000 units or
20,000 units or
Lower of 1% of
Same as
greater
greater
market wide
individual
position limit
futures
Freeze
stipulated for
open positions
or Rs.5 crores
BSE also offers similar products in the derivatives segment.
are only allowed to use derivatives to hedge their existing positions in the spot market, or
to rebalance their existing portfolios. Since banks have little exposure to equity markets
due to banking regulations, they have little incentive to trade equity derivatives. Foreign
investors must register as foreign institutional investors (FII) to trade exchange-traded
derivatives, and be subject to position limits as specified by SEBI. Alternatively, they can
incorporate locally as a broker-dealer. FIIs have a small but increasing presence in the
equity derivatives markets. They have no incentive to trade interest rate derivatives since
they have little investments in the domestic bond markets (Chitale, 2007). It is possible
that unregistered foreign investors and hedge funds trade indirectly, using a local
proprietary trader as a front (Lee, 2008).
35
TYPES OF DERIVATIVES:
1. FORWARDS: A forward contract is a customized contract between two entities,
where settlement takes place on a specific date in the future at todays pre-agreed
price.
date.
4. WARRANTS: Options generally have lives of upto one year, the majority of
options traded on options exchanges having a maximum maturity of nine months.
Longer-dated options are called warrants and are generally traded over-the-counter.
5. LEAPS: The acronym LEAPS means Long-Term Equity Anticipation Securities.
These are options having a maturity of upto three years.
6. BASKETS: Basket options are options on portfolios of underlying assets. The
underlying asset is usually a moving average or a basket of assets. Equity index
options are a form of Basket options.
7. SWAPS: Swaps are private agreements between two parties to exchange cash flows
in the future according to a prearranged formula. They can be regarded as portfolios
of forward contracts. The two commonly used swaps are:
INTEREST RATE SWAPS: These entail swapping only the interest related cash
flows Between the parties in the same currency.
CURRENCY SWAPS: These entail swapping both principal and interest between
the
Parties, with the cash flows in one direction being in a different currency than those
have Calls and puts, the swaptions market has receiver swaptions and payer swaptions. A
receiver swaption is an option to receive fixed and pay floating. A payer swaption is an
Option to pay fixed and receive floating.
Derivatives market helps to transfer risks from those who have them but may not like
them to those who have an appetite for them.
38
Derivatives markets help increase savings and investment in the long run.
RISK MANAGEMENT:
The principal benefit of the Derivative market is that it provides the opportunity for risk
management through Hedging.
1.CREDIT RISK:
This is the risk of a counterpart to perform its obligations as per the contract. Also
known as default or counterpart risk, it differs with different instruments.
39
2.MARKET RISK
Market risk is a risk of financial loss as a result of adverse movements of prices of the
underlying asset.
3.LIQUIDITY RISK:
The inability of a firm to arrange a transaction at prevailing market prices is termed as
liquidity risk.
A).Related to liquidity of separate products.
B).Related to the funding of activities of the firm including derivatives.
4.LEGAL RISK:
Derivatives cut a cross judicial boundaries therefore the legal aspects Associated with
the deal should be looked into carefully.
Risk management/Hedging strategies can be broadly grouped into three categories:
1. Inventory hedging to protect the value of existing portfolio of assets.
2. Anticipatory hedging to sell/buy derivatives especially forwards and futures instead
of the anticipated inflows (assets)/ outflows (liabilities). A classic example is that of
exporters and importers who sells/buys currency futures/options.
3. Return enhancement hedge using derivatives to create synthetic securities, which
minic cash assets.
PRICE DISCOVERY:
The second major function of derivative market is price discovery. This is a process of
providing equilibrium prices that reflect current and prospective demands on current and
prospective supplies, and making these prices visible to all.
TRANSACTIONAL EFFICIENCY:
Derivative markets allow institution to transact more efficiently than otherwise. They reduce
40
the direct cost of transacting in cash/financial markets are also provided, through clearing
houses, an efficient mechanism to deal with counter party risk.
INTRODUCTION TO FUTURES:
A Futures contract is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a certain
time in the future at a certain price. Future markets were designed to solve the problems that
exist in forward markets. But unlike forward contracts, the futures contracts ate standardized
and exchange traded. To facilitate liquidity in the futures contracts, the exchange specifies
certain standard features of the contract. It is a standardized contract with standard
underlying instrument, a standard quantity and quality of the underlying instrument that can
be delivered, (or which can be used for reference purposes in settlement) and a standard
timing of such settlement. The standardized items in a futures contract are:
Location of settlement
41
TYPES OF FUTURES
On the basis of the underlying asset they derive, the futures are divided into following types.
1. STOCK FUTURES:
The stock futures are the futures that have the underlying asset as the individual securities.
The settlement of the stock futures is of cash settlement and the settlement price of the future
is the closing price of the underlying security.
2. INDEX FUTURES
Index futures are the futures, which have the underlying asset as an Index. The Index futures
are also cash settled. The settlement price of the Index futures shall be the closing value of
the underlying index on the expiry date of the contract.
3. COMMODITY FUTURES
In this case, the underlying asset is a commodity. It can be an agricultural commodity like
wheat corn, or even a precious asset like gold, silver etc.
4.FINANCIAL FUTURES
In this case, the underlying assets are financial instruments like money market paper,
Treasury Bills, notes, bonds etc.
5.CURRENCY FUTURES
Currency futures are those in which the underlying assets are major convertible currencies
like the U.S. dollar, the Pound Sterling, the Euro and the Yen etc.
MARGINS:
Margins are the deposits, which reduce counter party risk, arise in a futures contract.
These margins are collected in order to eliminate the counter party risk. There are three types
of margin.
INITIAL MARGINS:
Whenever a futures contract is signed, both buyer and seller are required to post
42
initial margin. Both buyer and seller are required to make security deposits that are intended
to guarantee that they will infact be able to fulfill their obligation. These deposits ate Initial
margins and they are often referred as performance as performance margins. The amount of
margin is roughly 5% to 15% of total purchase price of futures contract.
MARKING OF MARKET MARGIN:
The process of adjusting the equity in an investors account in order to reflect the
change in the settlement price of futures contract is known as MTM Margin.
MAINTENANCE MARGINS:
The investor must keep the futures account equity equal to or grater than certain
percentage of the amount deposited as Initial Margin. If the equity goes less than that
percentage of Initial margin, then the investor receives a call for an additional deposit of cash
known as Maintenance Margin to bring the equity up to the Initial margin.
PRICING THE FUTURES:
The fair value of the futures contract is derived from a model known as the Cost of Carry
model. This model gives the fair value of the futures contract.
COST OF CARRY MODEL:
F=S (1+r-q) t
Where,
F Futures Price
S Spot price of the Underlying
R Cost of Financing
q Expected Dividend Yield
t Holding Period.
THE
ROLE
FOR
DEBT MARKET
DEVELOPMENT:
43
DERIVATIVES
IN
DEBT
MARKET
The traditional focus in debt market development has been to obtain a liquid market for
interest rate products which yields the rate of time preference for various maturities. Often it
is felt that there is an innate sequencing of market development, where countries should
embark upon debt derivatives after core issues of the spot market have been properly
addressed. A liquid spot market for interest rates is clearly valuable in the establishment of
interest rate derivatives. However, interest rate derivatives provide important feedback
mechanisms through which market efficiency can be obtained in the spot interest rate market
itself: Derivatives trading can lead to improvements in the liquidity of the spot market since
interest rate derivatives improve the ability of economic agents to reduce their vulnerability
to interest rate volatility. Many developing countries have started out on financial sector
reforms in an environment with fixed interest rates and a repressed financial sector. Moving
away from this regime towards greater interest rate flexibility imposes costs upon economic
agents who are used to fixed interest rates. From a political economy standpoint, it is useful
to develop institutional mechanisms for derivatives trading on a spot price before undertaking
economic reforms which would increase the volatility of that price. Interest rate derivatives
reduce the political cost of moving away from a repressed interest rate market.
The spot market for interest rates, in numerous countries, is notorious for non-transparency,
barriers to market access, and hence poor liquidity and market efficiency. The entrenched
nature of intermediation and regulation on the spot market often make it difficult for policy
makers to make progress in terms of making improvements on it. In this situation, policy
makers generally have an opportunity to start afresh on interest rate derivatives, in terms of
moving towards much more transparent markets, opening up access to the market to all
economic agents, and obtaining liquidity and market efficiency. It is often possible to obtain
a situation where price discovery is focused upon the derivative market, which would then
drive prices on the spot market. Trading in interest rate derivatives market enhances liquidity
of the interest rate spot market through three channels:
1. Arbitrage between spot and derivative market generates a new order flow for the spot
market.
2. Access to derivatives, which can be used in hedging systematic risk factors, reduces
44
the economic cost of holding undiversified inventories in spot market trading and
hence improves the supply of liquidity on the spot market.
3. Access to leveraged speculation on interest rates on the interest rate derivative markets
increases the supply of research and forecasting about interest rates. This reduces
uncertainty about future interest rates, and helps to narrows spreads on the spot
market.
GROWTH OF DERIVATIVES MARKET IN INDIA:
Equity derivatives market in India has registered an "explosive growth" and is expected to
continue the same in the years to come. Introduced in 2000, financial derivatives market in
India has shown a remarkable growth both in terms of volumes and numbers of traded
contracts. NSE alone accounts for 99 percent of the derivatives trading in Indian markets.
The introduction of derivatives has been well received by stock market players. Trading in
derivatives gained popularity soon after its introduction. In due course, the turnover of the
NSE derivatives market exceeded the turnover of the NSE cash market. For example, in
2012, the value of the NSE derivatives markets was Rs. 130, 90,477.75 Cr. whereas the
value of the NSE cash markets was only Rs. 3,551,038 C. If we compare the trading
figures of NSE and BSE, performance of BSE is not encouraging both in terms of volumes
and numbers of contracts traded in all product categories. Among all the products traded
on NSE in F& O segment, single stock futures also known as equity futures, are most
popular in terms of volumes and number of contract traded, followed by index futures with
turnover shares of 52 percent and 31 percent, respectively. In case of BSE, index futures
outperform stock futures.
45
CHAPTER- IV
DATA ANALYSIS
46
Index future
Stock option
Index option
52
31
13
Index
future
Stock
future
Index
option
Stock
option
Interes
t rate
future
Total
Average
daily
turnover
2015
2014
2583617.9
2
2558863.5
5
2358916.9
0
149498.4
0
7650896.80
46938.0
2
13090477.7
5
2012
3820667.2
7
7548563.2
3
1362110.8
8
359136.5
5
2011
52153.3
0
7356242
2010 2539574
3830967
791906
193795
4824174
29543
2009 1513755
2791697
338469
180253
2546982
19220
2008 772147
1484056
121943
168836
202
2130610
10107
2007 554446
1305939
52816
217207
439862
8388
2006 43952
286533
9246
100131
101926
1752
21483
51515
3765
25163
---
2365
410
2365
---
---
---
cash segment
3,551,038
derivate segment
13090477.75
47
11
2014-12
1,945,285
7356242
2012-11
1,569,556
4824174
2011-10
1,140,071
2546982
2010-09
1,099,535
2130610
2009-08
617,989
439862
2008-07
513,167
101926
2007-06
1,339,510
2365
Derivate segment
Cash segment
2015-09
52153.30
14.148
2014-08
29543
7,812
2012-07
19220
6,253
2011-06
10107
4506
2010-05
8388
4,328
48
2009-04
1752
2,462
2008-03
410
2,078
2003-02
11
5,337
Source: Complied from NSE website and NSE fact book 2015
STATUS
OF
INDIAN
DERIVATIVES
MARKET
VIS-A
VIS
GLOBAL
DERIVATIVES MARKET
The derivatives segment has expanded in the recent years in a substantial way both
globally as well as in the Indian capital market. The figures revealed by Futures Industry
Association (FIA) Annual Volume Survey and reported here under bring out the fact that
more than 15 billion futures and options contracts were traded during 2014 on the 54
important exchanges that report to the FIA, reflecting a remarkable increase of 28% from
the previous year. Looking back at the last four years, it can be worked out that these
figures reflect that the growth rate was 29 % in 2012, 19% in 2012, 12% in 2011, and 9%
in 2010. From the same table it also follows that of the total volume traded globally over
the period 2008-15, the US exchanges alone constituted as much as 35 percent share.
presents the break down of derivatives volume by region and it is clearly evident that after
North America with a share of about 40 percent, Asia-Pacific occupies the second slot with
a share of 28 percent and Europe falls at the third place with its contribution of 24 percent.
If we compare the turnover-wise performance of the derivatives segments over the last five
years, it may be noticed from an inspection of the relevant columns. the Indian segment
has expanded phenomenally as compared to the global segment. The turnover of the NSE
derivatives segment in 2010-08 stood at Rs. 2130610 crores. It grew to an astonishing
level of Rs.13090477 crores during the year 2015-13, displaying a more than six-time
49
US exchange
Non-US exchange
Global
2008
1313.65
1675.80
2989.45
2009
1578.62
2768.70
4347.32
2010
1844.90
4372.38
6217.28
2011
2172.52
5990.22
8162.54
2012
2795.21
6069.50
8864.71
2013
3525.00
6448.67
9973.67
2014
4616.73
7245.48
11862.21
2015
6137.20
9049.47
15186.67
2008-15
23983 (35.48)
43620 (64.52)
67604 (100)
50
86.36%
6.40%
7.24%
0.00%
0.00%
51
Open
92.05
89.90
74.45
75.05
83.35
85.05
91.15
93.00
95.85
119.50
108.75
117.65
Close
89.90
74.45
75.05
83.35
85.05
91.15
93.00
95.85
119.50
108.75
117.65
108.45
52
But for now looking at this indicator is showing downward trend in the prices.
Because as an when price move to 10m in indicator the price tend to fall and
there is one another reason that is prices are going down and indicator is going
up that also shows the negative trend in the prices.
Bollinger Bands:
53
The chart shows that prices are moving within bollinger band and
trading days where this script is very volatile and at some point of time its less
volatile. During the Oct Nov 2015 and May June 2015 the Script seems to
be more trading months.But looking at the current situation the script shows a
selling signal but as the prices reaches below the bollinger band the prices
would again tend to move upside but it all depends on the santiments and
situation which would be prevailing in the market at that point of time.
But for now one shold sell the particular script to gain a profit of about 5 10%
in near future.
The chart shows that the CCI is moving in line with the prices and the as prices
goes up the CCI also goes up and vice versa.
By the chart, if we are looking for the current trend its moving downward for
short run but it still bullish for medium term.
55
Envelope:
Currently stock is showing that prices will go down but as it will touch its lower
envelope band its will move upward
56
MACD:-
Currently looking at the chart the MACD has crossed the EMA 9 from the
upside and this is a kind of negative sign and this negativity is going to be there
until the MACD move above the EMA cutting it from below
57
Momentum:-
Earlier chart has shown some indication about sell and buy and they come true
as it can be seen from the chart itself. Now the chart is showing selling
indication for intraday basis and for short term its good when indicator goes to
the lower level as it has made earlier
58
Moving Average:-
Looking at the chart one can easily interpret that moving average is roaming
around the price but still giving some indication about price movement for near
future. Sometime it shows indication of sale and buy at given point of time
downturn for short term period and if price cross moving from below and goes
above the moving average that would be the best time to buy the stock.
On Balance Volume:-
Currently the indicator is making low high than the previous high and its
indicates the downturn in intraday basis. But as it breaks the cuurent trend
prices tend to move upside with a bang.
60
CHAPTER-V
FINDINGS
SUGGESTIONS
CONCLUSION
BIBLIOGRAPHY
61
Before buying a security, its better to find out everything one can about the company, its
management and competitors, its earning sand possibilities for growth.
Don't try to buy at the bottom and sell at the top. This can't be done-except by liars.
Learn how to take your losses and cleanly. Don't expect to be right all the time. If you have
made a mistake, cut your losses as quickly as possible
Don't buy too many different securities. Better have only a few investments that can be
watched.
Make a periodic reappraisal of all your investments to see whether changing developments
have altered prospects.
Study your tax position to known when you sell to greatest advantages.
Always keep a good part of your capital in a cash reserve. Never invest all your funds.
Purchasing stocks you do not understand if you can't explain it to a ten year old, just don't
invest in it.
Over diversifying: This is the most oversold, overused, logic-defying concept among
stockbrokers and registered investment advisors.
Not recognizing difference between value and price: This goes along with the failure to
compute the intrinsic value of a stock, which are simply the discounted future earnings of the
business enterprise.
Failure to understand Mr. Market: Just because the market has put a price on a business does
not mean it is worth it. Only an individual can determine the value of an investment and then
determine if the market price is rational.
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Failure to understand the impact of taxes: Also known as the sorrows of compounding, just as
compounding works to the investor's long-term advantage, the burden of taxes because pf
excessive trading works against building wealth
Too much focus on the market whether or not an individual investment has merit and value
has nothing to do with that the overall market is doing .
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CONCLUSION
Innovation of derivatives have redefined and revolutionized the landscape of financial
industry across the world and derivatives have earned a well deserved and extremely
significant place among all the financial products. Derivatives are risk management tool
that help in effective management of risk by various stakeholders. Derivatives provide an
opportunity to transfer risk, from the one who wish to avoid it; to one, who wish to accept
it. Indias experience with the launch of equity derivatives market has been extremely
encouraging and successful. The derivatives turnover on the NSE has surpassed the equity
market turnover. Significantly, its growth in the recent years has surpassed the growth of
its counterpart globally.
64
BIBILOGRAPHY
INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
BY V.K. BHALLA.
WWW.icici.com
DALAL STREET MAGNAZINE.
BUSINESS TODAY MAGAZINE.
FINANCIAL EXPRESS.
BUSINESS LINE.
REFERENCES:
1. Chitale, Rajendra P., 2003, Use of Derivatives by Indias Institutional Investors:
Issues and Impediments, in Susan Thomas (ed.), Derivatives Markets in India, Tata
McGraw-Hill Publishing Company Limited, New Delhi, India.
2. FitchRatings, 2004, Fixed Income Derivatives---A Survey of the Indian Market,
www.fitchratings.com www.fitchratings.com
3. Gambhir, Neeraj and Manoj Goel, 2003, Foreign Exchange Derivatives Market in India--Status and Prospects, Susan Thomas (ed.), Derivatives Markets in India, Tata McGrawHill Publishing Company Limited, New Delhi, India.
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