Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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656
I. INTRODUCTION
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International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, Volume 6, Issue 5, May 2016
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International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, Volume 6, Issue 5, May 2016
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Financial Institutions
Commercial Banks
Mutual Saving Banks
Saving and loan associations
Pension funds
Life insurance companies
Credit unions
Investment banking houses (or
Brokerage houses)
Mutual funds
Financial service corporation
Financial Markets
Money markets
Capital markets
Individuals
Businesses
Governments
International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, Volume 6, Issue 5, May 2016
ISSN 2250-3153
Non-Performing Loan
A non-performing loan is a loan that is in default or close to
being in default. A loan is said to be in default when it fails to
make the repayments of principal and /or interest specified in its
loan contract and has no intention of repaying in the future
(Pilbeam, 1998). Many loans become non-performing after being
in default for 3 months, but this can depend on the contract
terms. A loan is nonperforming when payments of interest and
principal are past due by 90 days or more, or at least 90 days of
interest payments have been capitalized, refinanced or delayed
by agreement, or payments are less than 90 days overdue, but
there are other good reasons to doubt that payments will be made
in full. According to Vigano (1993), Non-performing loans are
loans, especially mortgages that organizations lend to borrowers
but do not capitalize on. In other words the borrower cannot pay
the loan back in full, or even enough for the bank to make a
profit. When this happens, the bank can either workout a new
payment option, or foreclose on what collateral the borrower has
provided. Either option costs the bank money, so lenders try to
avoid nonperforming loans whenever possible.
According to Timothy (1994), loans are regarded as default
when they are placed on nonaccrual status or when the terms are
significantly altered in a restructuring. Nonaccrual means that
banks deduct all interest on the loans that was recorded but not
actually collected. Banks have traditionally stopped accruing
interest when debt payments were more than 90 days past due.
However, the interpretation of when loans qualified as past due
varied widely. Many banks did not place loans on nonaccrual if
they were brought under 90 days past due by the end of the
reporting period. Moreover, Non-performing loans include loans
and advances (i) that is not earning income; (ii) on which full
payment can no longer be expected and payments are more than
90 days delinquent; (iii) total credits to the accounts are
insufficient to cover interest charges over a three-month period;
or the maturity date has passed and payment has not been made
(Eastern Caribbean Central Bank, 2009).
Similarly, Asari (2011) defined Non-performing loan as
defaulted loan in which banks are unable to profit from them.
Generally, loan falls due if no interest has been paid within 90
days, however, different countries may have different experience
in this regard. The long run relationship clearly revealed that
interest rate has a significant impact on non-performing loans.
Inversely, there exist insignificant relationship between inflation
rate and non-performing loans. However in short run, both
interest & inflation rates will not impact the non-performing
loans, as confirmed by Asari (2011).
2.2.2
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International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, Volume 6, Issue 5, May 2016
ISSN 2250-3153
been supported by Rajiv & Dhal (2003) who found that terms of
credit determines occurrence of non-performing loans.
On the other hand, banks that charge high interest rate
would relatively incur a higher default rate or non-performing
loans. In this regard, a study by Sinkey & Greenwalt (1991) on
large commercial Banks in US revealed that a high interest rate
charged by banks is associated with loan defaults. Rajiv & Dhal
(2003) who used a panel regression analysis indicated that
financial factors like cost of credit have got significant impact on
NPLs. Bloem and Gorter (2001) also indicated that bad loans
may substantially rise due to abrupt changes in interest rates. The
authors discussed various international standards and practices
on recognizing, valuing and subsequent treatment of nonperforming loans to address the issue from view point of
controlling, management and reduction measures. Similarly, a
study by Espinoza and Prasad (2010) focused on macroeconomic
and bank specific factors influencing NPLs and their effects in
GCC Banking System found that higher interest rates increase
non-performing loans but the relationship was not statistically
significant.
Other studies such as Sinkey & Greenwalt (1991) indicated
that loan delinquencies are associated with rapid credit growth.
The authors found that excessive lending explain loan loss rate.
This was confirmed later by Keeton (1999) who used data from
commercial banks in the United States (from 1982 to 1996) using
a vector auto regression model showed that there was association
between default and rapid credit growth. Likewise, Salas and
Saurina (2002) in their study on Spanish banks also revealed that
credit growth is associated with non-performing loans. Also,
study by Bercoff et al. (2002) confirmed that asset growth
explains NPLs.
Skarica (2013) also conducted a study on the determinants
of NPLs in Central and Eastern European countries. By
employing the Fixed Effect Model and seven Central and Eastern
European countries for 2007-2012 periods, the study revealed
that loan growth, real GDP growth rate, market interest rate,
unemployment and inflation rate as determinants of NPLs. The
results show that GDP growth rate and unemployment rate have
statistically significant negative association with NPLs with
justification of rising recession and falling during expansions and
growth has impact on the levels of NPLs. This implies that
economic developments have a strong impact on the financial
stability. The result also discovered that inflation has positive
impact on NPLs with a justification that inflation might affect
borrowers debt servicing capacities. Similarly, Jimenez and
Saurina (2005) provide evidence that non-performing loans are
determined by GDP growth, high real interest rates and lenient
credit terms. Meanwhile, Rajiv & Dhal (2003) utilize panel
regression analysis and reported that favorable macroeconomic
conditions and financial factors such as maturity, cost and terms
of credit, banks size, and credit orientation impact significantly
on the non-performing loans of commercial banks in India.
Likewise, Keeton (1999) revealed evidence of a strong
relationship between credit growth and impaired loans.
Specifically, Keeton (1999) showed that rapid credit growth,
which was associated with lower credit standards, contributed to
higher loan losses in certain states in the US.
Boudriga et al. (2009) studied on the lender specific factors
and the role of the business and the institutional environment on
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International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, Volume 6, Issue 5, May 2016
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Credit assessment
Credit monitoring
Loan diversion
Poor credit
Nonperforming Loans
Credit size
Lenient/lax credit
culture of
customers
Willful
defaulting
International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, Volume 6, Issue 5, May 2016
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Population Size
Sample Size
21
21
35
12
12
20
77
43
21
10
31
16
8
24
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International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, Volume 6, Issue 5, May 2016
ISSN 2250-3153
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Table 2: Factors Indicating Relation between Credit Assessment and Loan Default
Strongly
Agree
Agree
N
10
%
41.7
N
13
14
58.3
16.7
10
Neutral
Disagree
Strongly
Disagree
%
54.2
N
1
%
4.2
37.5
4.2
3
12.
5
41.7
29.2
N
24
%
100.0
24
100.0
24
100.0
Std.
Deviation
.41640
Mean
4.1804
Credit assessment
Total
Strongly
Agree
Agree
Disagree
Strongly
Disagree
N
17
%
70.8
N
7
%
29.2
N
-
%
-
8.3
33.3
25.0
20.8
16.7
11
45.8
16.7
8.3
4.2
12
50.0
29.2
12.5
Neutral
Credit Monitoring
Mean
3.6458
Total
N
24
%
100.0
12.5
24
100.0
12.5
24
100.0
4.2
24
100.0
Std. Deviation
.49408
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International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, Volume 6, Issue 5, May 2016
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Strongly
Agree
N
Borrowers orientation/culture is 5
related to loan performance
There is a relationship between 6
loan default and borrowers
culture
Default in some area is ascribed
to the culture of the borrowers
Societys cultural development 8
leads to good loan performance
Loans with high interest rate 2
tend to turn to NPL
Charging high interest rate leads 1
to loan default
Lenient / lax credit term cause 2
loan default
Borrowers default because they 9
dont understand credit terms
well
Poorly negotiated credit terms 1
lead to loan non perform (NPL)
Source: SPSS Output from Survey Data, 2015
%
20.8
25.0
33.3
8.3
4.2
8.3
Neutral
Disagree
Strongly
Disagree
N
1
Mean
Std.
Deviatio
n
1.83
0.482
1.92
0.717
2.25
0.42
1.83
0.702
2.54
0.884
2.42
0.654
2.13
0.612
2.92
0.881
2.21
0.658
Agree
N
18
%
75.0
%
4.2
15
62.5
8.3
18
75.0
25.0
12
11
13
18
50.0
45.8
54.2
75.0
4
7
9
3
37.5
12.5
4.2
-
4
1
1
16.7
4.2
4.2
37.5
37.5
20.8
4.2
4.2
19
79.2
8.3
8.3
16.7
29.2
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Strongly
Agree
Agree
N
5
%
20.8
N
13
4.2
Strongly
Disagree
Neutral
Disagree
%
54.2
N
4
%
16.7
N
2
%
8.3
33.3
25.0
37.5
Total
4.2
N
24
%
100.0
24
100.0
24
100.0
16.7
11
45.8
16.7
16.7
8.3
10
41.7
12.5
29.2
8.3
24
100.0
20.8
12.5
10
41.7
25.0
24
100.0
Std.
Deviation
.63331
Mean
3.1750
Credit Size
Source: SPSS Output from Survey Data, 2015
(5) Credit Performers Capability, Power and Banks Policy
Regarding credit performers capability, power and bank
policy and its impact on the occurrence of NPL in the region,
62.5% of the respondents with mean of 2.46 agreed that project
appraising and selection officers and managers are qualified and
skilled enough. Furthermore, 45.8% of the respondents with
mean value of 2.46 agreed that credit performers in the bank
Strongly
Agree
Agree
N
-
%
-
N
15
4.2
Neutral
Disagree
%
62.5
N
7
%
29.2
N
2
%
8.3
11
45.8
29.2
20.8
25.0
14
58.3
12.5
4.2
12.5
37.5
20.8
25.0
Strongly
Disagree
N
Credit
Performance
Capability, Power and
Banks Policy
Mean
3.5521
Total
N
24
%
100.0
24
100.0
24
100.0
24
100.0
4.2
Std.
Deviation
.51594
International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, Volume 6, Issue 5, May 2016
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666
the fifth relevant factors causing for NPL. Finally, high interest
rate has been ranked as the sixth influential factor to cause for
loan default (See table 7 below).
Minimum
1
1
1
1
1
1
Maximum
6
6
6
6
6
6
Mean
5.00
3.04
2.75
2.21
2.57
4.67
Std. Deviation
1.180
1.601
1.539
1.641
1.701
2.160
Rank
6
4
3
1
2
5
Table 8: Sufficiency of the Approved Loans for the Requirement of their Projects
Frequency
Strongly agree
1
Agree
8
Neutral
4
Valid
Disagree
25
strongly disagree
4
Total
42
Source: SPSS Output from Survey Data, 2015
Percent
2.4
19.0
9.5
59.5
9.5
100.0
Valid Percent
2.4
19.0
9.5
59.5
9.5
100.0
Cumulative Percent
2.4
21.4
31.0
90.5
100.0
52.4% of the borrowers claimed that the grace period was not
enough; and also 61.9% of the respondents indicated that the
project was not fully implemented within the intended period of
time. Besides, they have indicted the constraints behind on time
project implantation (See tables 9 & 10 below).
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Valid
Inflation
Inabilities to raise own
contribution
Inadequate loan released
Underestimation of the initial
investment cost
Dalliance in Disbursement
Total
System
Missing
Total
Source: SPSS Output from Survey Data, 2015
Frequency
Percent
21.7
25.0
25.0
8.7
10.0
35.0
13.0
15.0
50.0
39.1
45.0
95.0
1
20
3
23
4.3
87.0
13.0
100.0
5.0
100.0
100.0
made by the feasibility study. The reason for the market situation
not at the level of their expectation or projection was that
because they were producing below their capacity as indicated by
50% of the respondents. The other reasons mentioned were
establishment of similar projects and excess supply in the market.
However, 21.4% of the respondents were not willing to give their
response on the market situation. In addition, the respondents
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International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, Volume 6, Issue 5, May 2016
ISSN 2250-3153
listed the following reasons for the market situation not as per
expected or projected on the feasibility study: Implementation of inappropriate marketing strategy
Lack of market for products
Overestimation problem while developing the feasibility
study
Unavailability of raw materials in the local market and
insufficiency of fund allocated for working capital and
inaccessibility of foreign currency.
(5) Loan Repayment
Under this section borrowers were asked how they
evaluated the mode of disbursement of the bank and what
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motivated them to repay the loan and why they fail in repaying
the loan according to the loan repayment schedule stipulated in
the loan contract. In addition, they were asked whether or not the
loan repayment period given by the bank is enough or not.
Hence, 66.7% of the respondents evaluated that the mode of
disbursement focused on controlling rather than the current need
of the project. On the other hand, 64.3% of the respondents were
motivated to repay their loan because paying bank loan is part of
their obligation.
9.5
9.5
9.5
28
66.7
66.7
76.2
9
1
42
21.4
2.4
100.0
21.4
2.4
100.0
97.6
100.0
Valid
Table 13: Reasons for failure in Repaying Loan as per Loan repayment schedule
Frequency
Percent
Valid Percent
Cumulative Percent
Market problem
16
38.1
38.1
38.1
Working capital shortage
24
57.1
57.1
95.2
Willful defaulting
2
4.8
4.8
100.0
Total
42
100.0
100.0
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5.2 Recommendations
Based on the findings of the study the researchers forwarded
the following recommendations:
Loan granting is a very risky business unless the risk
associated with it properly identified and mitigated. In order
to protect the occurrence of loan default, the bank should
adapt pre-and post-credit risk assessments.
The bank should prepare awareness creation forums
regarding credit service of the bank to improve credit culture
of potential investors.
The bank needs to make sure that borrowed funds are being
used for the intended purpose through enhanced timely
credit monitoring after the loan is being disbursed.
Given the adverse effect of NPLs on the banks
sustainability and also in view of the significant contribution
of bank-level factors to NPLs, the bank should prevent a
sharp buildup of NPLs in the future by ensuring that
avoiding excessive lending, maintaining high credit
standards/terms and closely monitor the rate of credit growth
to prevent aggressive lending.
When a loan became non-performing and if there is no any
option to recover the loan, the region has to make a write
off. If non-performing loans remains on the balance sheet, it
reduces the asset quality of the Bank and it will affect
reputation and loose trust of stakeholders like depositors and
investors. Therefore, timely decision should be given by the
concerned body; NPL resolution mechanisms should be
adopted so as to avoid the problems of non-performing
loans.
This study tries to identify both bank and customer specific
factors affecting nonperforming loans of DBE central region
using selected variables. However, there are so many
variables that were not included in this study. Thus, future
researchers may be interested in validating the consistency
of the result and provide supplementary results for this by
including macroeconomic factors affecting nonperforming
loans.
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ISSN 2250-3153
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AUTHORS
First Author Arega Seyoum Asfaw, College of Business and
Economics, Jimma University
Second Author Hanna Nigussie Bogale, Development Bank of
Ethiopia
Third Author Tadele Tesfay Teame, College of Business &
Economics, Jimma University
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