Wind Speed Forecasting by Wavelet Neural Networks: A Comparative

Study
Abstract
Duetotheenvironmentaldegradationanddepletionofconventionalenergy,muchattentionhasbeendevotedto
windenergyinmanycountries.Theintermittentnatureofwindpowerhashadagreat impact onpowergrid
security.Accurateforecastingofwindspeedplaysavitalroleinpowersystemstability.Thispaperpresentsa
comparisonofthreewaveletneuralnetworksforshorttermforecastingofwindspeed.Thefirsttwocombined
modelsaretwotypesofbasiccombinationsofwavelettransformandneuralnetwork,namely,compactwavelet
neuralnetwork(CWNN)andloosewaveletneuralnetwork(LWNN)inthisstudy,andthethirdmodelisanew
hybridmethodbasedontheCWNNandLWNNmodels.Theefficiencyofthecombinedmodelshasbeenevaluated
by using actual wind speed from two test stations in North China. The results show that the forecasting
performancesoftheCWNNandLWNNmodelsareunstableandareaffectedbytheteststationsselected;thethird
modelisfarmoreaccuratethantheotherforecastingmodelsinspiteofthedrawbackoflowercomputational
efficiency.

Forecasting models for wind speed using wavelet, wavelet packet, time series
and Artificial Neural Networks
Abstract
Wind speed forecasting is important for the security of wind power integration. Based on the theories of
wavelet, wavelet packet, time series analysis and artificial neural networks, three hybrid models [Wavelet
Packet-BFGS, Wavelet Packet-ARIMA-BFGS and Wavelet-BFGS] are proposed to predict the wind speed. The
presented models are compared with some other classical wind speed forecasting methods including NeuroFuzzy, ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems), Wavelet Packet-RBF (Radial Basis Function) and
PM (Persistent Model). The results of three experimental cases show that: (1) the proposed three hybrid
models have satisfactory performance in the wind speed predictions, and (2) the Wavelet Packet-ANN model is
the best among them.

Graphical abstract

Wind Speed Forecasting by Wavelet Neural Networks: A Comparative

Study
Abstract
Duetotheenvironmentaldegradationanddepletionofconventionalenergy,muchattentionhasbeendevotedto
windenergyinmanycountries.Theintermittentnatureofwindpowerhashadagreat impact onpowergrid
security.Accurateforecastingofwindspeedplaysavitalroleinpowersystemstability.Thispaperpresentsa
comparisonofthreewaveletneuralnetworksforshorttermforecastingofwindspeed.Thefirsttwocombined
modelsaretwotypesofbasiccombinationsofwavelettransformandneuralnetwork,namely,compactwavelet
neuralnetwork(CWNN)andloosewaveletneuralnetwork(LWNN)inthisstudy,andthethirdmodelisanew
hybridmethodbasedontheCWNNandLWNNmodels.Theefficiencyofthecombinedmodelshasbeenevaluated
by using actual wind speed from two test stations in North China. The results show that the forecasting
performancesoftheCWNNandLWNNmodelsareunstableandareaffectedbytheteststationsselected;thethird
modelisfarmoreaccuratethantheotherforecastingmodelsinspiteofthedrawbackoflowercomputational
efficiency.