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M-CRIL Analytics 2009

A Celebration and a Lament

Contents
Introduction A celebration and a lament 1
1 The M-CRIL sample 4
2 Outreach 5
3 Portfolio growth and loan size 7
4 Operating efficiency and staff productivity 8
5 Yield versus operating efficiency 9
6 Portfolio quality 11
7 Return on assets 11

8 Concluding remarks 13
Micro-Credit Ratings International Limited

Introduction to M-CRIL
A pioneer and world leader in microfinance ratings
Micro-Credit Ratings International Limited is one of the pioneers of financial performance ratings and the
worldwide pioneer of social rating for MFIs. It is the world’s leading specialist microfinance rating agency.
By September 2009, M-CRIL had undertaken nearly 650 financial performance and social ratings of over 350
microfinance institutions (MFIs) in 30 countries of Asia, Europe and Africa.

M-CRIL is based in Gurgaon – outside Delhi, capital of India. It has an excellent team of 14 specialist
analysts with knowledge and experience of microfinance led by Dr Alok Misra, Director, Operations.

M-CRIL also provides sector-wide advisory services and undertakes research and policy studies compatible
with its concern to avoid conflicts of interest. Its rating and advisory services have been provided in many
countries of Asia including all countries of South Asia and in Cambodia, East Timor, Indonesia, Myanmar,
Papua New Guinea and the Philippines as well as in Samoa. In the NIS countries of the former Soviet
Union, M-CRIL has been active in Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia and Tajikistan. In
Africa, M-CRIL has worked in Congo, Ethiopia, Kenya, Malawi, Morocco, Nigeria, Rwanda, South Africa,
Tanzania, Uganda.

In keeping with its pioneering tradition,


M-CRIL is now introducing rating services
for

Affordable Private Schools


(for children of low income families)
and

Value Chain Initiatives


(to assess the impact on poverty and the efficiency and effectiveness of such programmes)

Sanjay Sinha
Managing Director

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M-CRIL Microfinance Analytics 2009

Review of Indian Microfinance


A celebration and a lament

India has the fastest growing microfinance sector in the world and is rapidly moving towards having the
largest microfinance sector as well. This is a matter to be celebrated and lamented. The high growth rate
even at levels above 10 million clients – now approaching 20 million – bears testimony to the professionalism
and management capacity of some of the leading MFIs in the country. There has also been a rush to expand
to hitherto under-served areas in the East and North of the country.

The concern is that some of this high growth may have been stimulated by the advent of investment in
Indian microfinance by private equity groups keen to maximize numbers under any conditions in order to
boost firm size and improve share valuations. This stimulus is apparently leading to the cutting of corners in
matters of consumer protection – multiple lending, over-indebtedness and consequently coercive collection
practices – that are likely to trigger interference by political, religious or other community groups in the
practice of microfinance (and may already have done so). Such practices result partly from the geographical
concentration and rapid consumer enrolment that has occurred due to high growth.

These matters are being researched currently but concern needs to be extended to a greater emphasis on the
social performance of Indian MFIs. Social rating (offered by M-CRIL) is an important tool in assessing social
performance and needs to be used to a far greater extent by Indian MFIs than it is at present.

An even more serious concern is that India has around 500 million poor people caught in the web of poverty,
malnutrition and lack of education. It is this large number of poor and low income families that create the
potential for microfinance to grow. This is a dubious distinction.

This document reviews the growth, outreach and financial performance of Indian microfinance over the past
few years until March 2009. It is essentially a summary version of the M-CRIL Microfinance Review 2009,
to be released soon.

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Growth in 2008-09 continued to be strong


M-CRIL India Growth Index
M-Cril15, March 2002=100

The M-CRIL India Growth Index: Composite index of growth of microfinance institutions in India –
uses information on numbers of borrowers and size of loan portfolio of 15 leading MFIs

The Growth Index has reached

7,178
(March 2002=100)

…compared to 4,5351 when last released a year ago.

Growth in 2008-09 continued to be strong – 58.3%


only slightly reduced from the 64.3% average for the previous two years
after adjusting for multiple lending.

1
Actual level of index reported was 5,140. This has been adjusted for multiple lending and changes in data as more reliable information has become available.

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…but while the Largest5 MFIs grew more strongly


the Next10 slowed down significantly
Growth Rates of Indian MFIs

The Largest5 grew at 71.7% in 2008-09 (compared to 59.6% earlier), while the Next10 MFIs slowed down
substantially (down from 71.6% per annum in 2006-08 to just 29.3% growth in 2008-09).

This has resulted from


• competitive pressures and aggressive growth of the largest MFIs
together with a

• slowdown in the availability of funds from commercial banks


to all but the largest MFIs.

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1 The M-CRIL Sample


Regional Distribution
Still heavily concentrated in South India but the share of the East is growing.
MFIs in the North and the West have become less important
but, the larger institutions in the South and East have started to expand
North and West.

2004 2009
Regions
MFIs % MFIs %
South 50 60 34 57
East & NE 18 21 18 30
West 10 12 2 3
North 6 7 6 10
India 84 100 60 100

Microfinance model
MFIs have increasingly shifted towards Grameen-type programmes (G) at the expense of SHG-based
programmes (SHG). IB = Individual banking (mainly cooperatives).

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2. Outreach
The sample – effectively the 60 leading microfinance institutions in India –
covered over 15 million clients (members of MFIs) and 14.6 million borrowers by the end of March 2009.

This compares with about 20 million MFI clients served by the leading MFIs in Bangladesh, the only
other country in the world with a comparable number of microfinance clients. India’s SHG-bank linkage
programme has about 2.5 million groups or 35 million clients but is subject to substantial double counting.
Emerging issues of multiple lending in Indian microfinance mean that the MFI client numbers are subject to
double counting to the extent of around 10%.

Outreach to borrowers by microfinance methodology


MFIs using the Grameen model reach ever larger proportions of borrowers, increasing from 44% in 2002 to
88% by March 2009 – figure below.

Since 9 of the Top10 organisations follow the Grameen model, their share in total outreach
has expanded from 40% in 2002 to 88% in 2009.
Nearly 13 million borrowers are now served by Grameen-type programmes.

MFIs are increasingly converting to the Grameen methodology which enables faster growth than SHG
programmes that entail substantial initial effort at group formation.

borrowers, in millions
2002 2004 2006 2009
No. of MFIs 90 84 58 60
Grameen 0.51 1.09 3.00 12.80
Individual Banking 0.06 0.17 0.77 0.76
SHG 0.58 0.50 1.82 1.02
Total 1.15 1.76 5.59 14.59
Top10 0.52 1.17 3.31 11.54
proportion of total 40% 66% 59% 79%

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Outreach by region
There has been a significant relative shift in regional concentration of MFI clients from the South and North
to the East. The Eastern region’s share has increased to 24% from 11% in 2002 and the South’s share has
fallen from 79% to 71%; the North’s share has declined from 7% to 3.4%. Absolute numbers of MFI clients
have increased substantially everywhere.
borrowers, in millions
2002 2004 2006 2009
No. of MFIs 90 84 58 60
South 0.91 1.41 4.06 11.70
East 0.13 0.24 1.30 2.69
North 0.08 0.06 0.21 0.28
West 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.02
Total 1.15 1.76 5.59 14.69

Outreach by form of registration of MFI


The search for legitimacy and the umbrella of central bank regulation has led increasing numbers of MFIs to
convert to non-bank finance companies (NBFCs). Within the past three years NBFCs have increased their
share of the total number of MFI clients from 73% to 87%. This increase is as much due to the conversion
of MFIs from Societies/Trusts to NBFCs as on account of the faster growth of NBFCs (which largely follow
the Grameen methodology).

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3 Portfolio growth and loan size

Private equity/MIV investment has fuelled dramatic portfolio growth

MFI loan portfolios grew by a factor of nearly 35 between 2002 and March 2009 reaching a figure of
around Rs8,000 crore or over $1.5 billion. The share of the Top10 MFIs increased from 43% in 2002 to
over 72% in 2009. Equity investments by private equity funds at high valuations and by
microfinance investment funds (MIVs) coupled with liberal lending by commercial banks and
SIDBI have made this dramatic growth possible.

Average outstanding loan balances have increased from Rs3,300 ($72) in 2002 to Rs5,300 ($104) with
average disbursements of Rs8,500 ($173) in 2009. Due to the increase in GNI per capita from $650 to $950
during this period, loan balance as a proportion of GNI has remained very low at around
11% (disbursements, 18%).

2002 2004 2006 2009


No. of MFIs 90 84 58 60
Loan portfolio, Rs crore 229.0 747.7 1,452.9 7,788.4
All MFIs US$ million 50.8 167.3 354.4 1,531.3
Top10, US$ million 21.8 112.0 224.3 1,110.0
proportion of total 43.0% 66.9% 63.3% 72.5%
Loan balance, $ 72 76 82 104
Top10, $ 101 95 76 96
Loan disbursed, all MFIs 115 167 163 173*
* Estimated at 60% of disbursement

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4 Operating Efficiency & Staff Productivity


Indian microfinance continues to be the most efficient in the world

The operating efficiency of Indian MFIs measured by the average operating expense ratio declined further,
from 15-16% in the mid-2000s to 11.5% in 2008-09. This compares with a median OER of 15.0% for Asia
and 18.1% globally.

The Top10 MFIs, however, have not improved their efficiency over the past few years. The increase in OER
for the Top10 MFIs from 10.8% in 2004 to 12-13% in recent years is a result of the fast growth of these
organizations. The
• cost of opening new branches in geographically diverse areas,
• training new staff, and
• enrolling new clients
is inevitably higher than that of maintaining steady operations, affecting OER.

Staff productivity is a major determinant of the OER and has improved steadily from 122 in 2002 and
around 220 in the mid-2000s to 274 in 2008-09. While the staff productivity of the Top10 organisations has
improved by 15% in recent years the OER has still declined on account of the factors listed above.

2001-02 2003-04 2005-06 2008-09


Operating Expense Ratio, OER 19.9% 15.6% 15.9% 11.5%
Top10 22.4% 10.8% 13.1% 12.3%
MIX, South Asia (median) 14.3%
Asia 17.2% 15.0%*
Global 20.6% 18.1%*
Staff productivity, clients/staff 122 219 228 274
Top10 225 270 275 315
MIX, South Asia (median)
Asia 142 141
Global 120 120
* Calendar year, 2007

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5 Yield versus Operating Efficiency


…but the yield has increased significantly, widening the margin

High efficiency should lead to the ability to charge relatively low rates of interest and, thus, a lower yield.
Yet, despite the improvement in OER over the past few years, the yield on portfolio of Indian MFIs has
risen significantly. This means that Indian microfinance borrowers are now paying a relatively high cost for
their microfinance loans, higher than the global median – a reversal of the earlier situation when Indian MFI
clients paid the lowest cost in the world – just 25% in 2006. This is caused mainly by the increase in yields
of the largest MFIs; the Top10 average yield has risen to 33.6% by March 2009 - the extent of the widening
margin is apparent from the figures below.

2002 2004 2006 2009


Operating Expense Ratio, OER 19.9% 15.6% 15.9% 11.5%
Top10 22.4% 10.8% 13.1% 12.3%
Yield 18.8% 25.2% 24.8% 31.4%
Top10 33.5% 23.9% 24.4% 33.6%
MIX, South Asia (median)
Asia 26.6% 27.0%
Africa 35.0% 30.2%
Global 30.6% 29.6%
Global, large 26.8% 27.0%

All MFIs

Analysing this issue by MFI organizational form shows that it is the NBFCs, as a group, that are charging the
highest rates. Given the dominance of the Top10 in the Indian microfinance sector, and since all of these are
NBFCs, this is no surprise. The margin between NBFC yield and OER is of the order of 20%.

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Top10

Nevertheless, as the frequency table below shows, it is not just the NBFCs; more than 50% of the largest 60
MFIs now have yields in excess of 25% while over 80% have OERs less than 15%. The implications of this
for return on assets (RoA) are apparent in the discussion that follows.

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6 Portfolio quality
…and portfolio quality has improved

The substantial improvement in portfolio quality since the Andhra delinquency crisis of 2006 is apparent
from the figure below. By March 2009 portfolio at risk 30 days after the due date (PAR30) was down to
around 0.5% for the sample and much less for the Top10. At what cost this highly improved portfolio
quality was achieved is yet to be established; it could be a contributory factor in the higher OER recorded
by the Top10 over the past few years and it may have been achieved through measures for staff (incentives)
and clients (collection practices) – that could generate a backlash for MFIs. The current delinquency crisis in
southern Karnataka bears investigation from this perspective.

7 Return on assets
…boosting the return on assets

Return on assets (RoA) has improved significantly across the sector from an average of (-1.5%) in 2001-02 to
4.3% in 2008-09. This has clearly been helped both by the substantially increased portfolio yield
and the dramatic decline in PAR since 2006.

The two figures below show that the improved RoA is not just a matter of a few MFIs but is broadly spread
across the sector with as many as 29 MFIs earning more than a 3% (9 of these earning more than 5%)
return on assets in 2008-09. This compares with 1.5% median returns for MFIs globally in 2007 and
1.8% for large MFIs.

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The even spread of this high RoA is emphasized by the following figure which shows that all types of MFIs
(other than not-for-profit Section 25 companies) have earned high returns on assets over the past year.

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Concluding Remarks
…and performance has continued to improve
from the lows of 2006-07

Given the increased yield, low operating expense ratio and low PAR, the high return on assets recorded by the
Indian microfinance sector in 2008-09 is not surprising. As a result the M-CRIL India Performance Index
for March 2009 has increased considerably.

M-CRIL India Performance Index


M-Cril15, March 2002=100

The Performance Index – a composite index of the performance of microfinance institutions – uses
information on portfolio at risk and return on assets of 15 MFIs that account for nearly 90% of the overall
portfolio of the 60 leading Indian MFIs in the sample used for this review. The change in the index numbers
since September 2009 is due to a correction in the base year data as more information has become available.
The shape of the graph has not changed.

The Performance Index this year has increased to

1,056
(March 2002=100)
…improvement in 2008-09 was 45%
compared to a negligible net improvement for the previous two years
(including a huge decline in performance in 2006-07 on account of portfolio quality issues
in parts of Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka).

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…but this may not be a matter for celebration;


MFIs need to re-focus on client interests and inclusion rather than
purely on financial gain
While this improvement in the performance index is apparently a matter for celebration, it may regrettably
result in lament. The concern is that the improvement has been achieved due to an emphasis on increasing
yield and minimizing portfolio at risk in order to boost the equity valuations of MFIs. As such it may be a
short term phenomenon achieved at the expense of relationships with clients and, as discussed above, likely to
trigger political intervention with long term adverse consequences for the microfinance sector. An immediate
re-focussing of MFI operations on the double bottom line balancing financial returns and social values –
client protection and social mission – is essential to ensure the future of Indian microfinance as an instrument
of financial and social inclusion and not as another means of exploiting the poor for financial gain.

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