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RPS Energy is part of RPS Group, a FTSE 250 company with a turnover of $700m. RPS Energy is one of the worlds
leading suppliers of independent commercial advisory services, project management support, and transaction support
for the energy sector. Our clients include Governments, National Oil Companies, Integrated Majors, Independents,
and Financial Institutions worldwide. The Downstream practice of RPS Energy has assembled a team of more than
50 sector specialists who have 20+ years extensive practical business experience across all elements of the
Downstream Value Chain. Our clients tell us that this provides a uniquely differentiated consulting service.
This paper deals with the continued evolution of coffee and food offers on retail service station
sites. While coffee and food offers at retail service stations is not a new idea we examine:
The options for retailers looking to introduce new Food & Coffee (F&C) offers using an
established 3rd Party brand, or developing their own brand, direct or 3rd Party operation and
key success factors for great new offers
We identify new ways in which retailers can innovate and improve existing F&C offers to
drive increased consumer preference and sales
We examine how the economic downturn is affecting the F&C market, and propose changes
to existing F&C offers to respond to the current market conditions
Average coffee consumption at a global level grew by 18% from 2006 to 2007 to 1.3 kg per
head p.a. and we see further growth opportunity in countries with low current consumption, as
shown below in Table 1. Growth of coffee consumption in the UK is a good example, with
consumption per head growing by 21% from 2003 to 2007. The UK now has an estimated
11,000 coffee shops (branded and unbranded), with Oil Retailers establishing strong coffee and
food offers, lead by BP who have over 200 Wild Bean Cafs, Esso (Exxon) have over 100 On
the Run Cafs featuring Costa coffee, and Subway have over 20 stores on service station
sites.
In Europe there are 9,300 branded coffee stores (including 3,800 in the UK) with a 2009 report
by Allegra Strategies (a coffee market analyst) forecasting growth to 11,000 stores by 2012.
Figure 1: 2007 Coffee Consumption by Country (Kg per Head per annum)
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In developing and deploying coffee and food offers, Oil Companies need to make two strategic
and operational choices.
Choice 1 is whether to operate the coffee and food offer yourself or allow a 3rd Party to operate
for you. The key criteria on making the right choice is to make an accurate and realistic
assessment on the capability of your site staff (Manager and all Team Members) to operate a
F&C offer, as operating this type of offer entails additional complexity over and above operating
other non fuel site elements (e.g. a shop or convenience store).
Unless you are confident that you can invest in the right people to deliver an F&C offer on a
consistent basis, then you should not consider direct operation and should look at 3rd party
operation.
Choice 2 is to develop and use your own brand or use a well known 3rd Party brand (often
under a Licence or Franchise Agreement). While using a 3rd Party brand may well generate
higher sales, you have to pay an initial Franchise Fee, plus ongoing Royalty and Marketing
Contribution payments to the brand owner, and may also face restrictions on where you
purchase raw materials from or minimum labour levels etc. Your decision should be based on
looking at the economics.
A theoretical example, but based on known metrics from a North West European market is
shown on Table 2 below. The challenge is developing your own brand to a point that while it
may still drive lower sales than a 3rd Party brand, but it drives higher profits. In the example
below, at both sales levels the own brand delivers higher profitability, but in the higher sales
scenario the gap between own brand & 3rd Party brand profitability, increases.
However in developing your own brand, your model has to be based on a belief that you can
build recognition and brand equity without spending significant amounts on advertising, as high
advertising spending can kill profitability. The approach has to be on effectively using the
location strength of your service station sites and cross selling by staff members, plus low cost
web and SMS marketing to build awareness.
Figure 2: Indicative P&L, Own Brand and 3rd Party Brand Operation
Sales $ p.a.
Gross Margin
Gross Profit
Labour Cost
Utilities
Other
Advertising
Franchise Fee
Royalty
Total Costs
Net Profit
Higher Sales
Sales $ p.a.
Gross Margin
Gross Profit
Labour Cost
Utilities
Other
Advertising
Franchise Fee
Royalty
Total Costs
Net Profit
Own Brand
265 000
70%
185 500
39 750
13 250
6 625
25 000
% of Sales
84 625
100 875
88 000
450 000
70%
315 000
63 000
22 500
11 250
31 500
128 250
600 000
65%
390 000
132 000
30 000
15 000
30 000
2 000
30 000
239 000
186 750
151 000
15%
5%
3%
9%
14%
5%
3%
7%
% of Sales
25%
5%
3%
5%
1%
5%
22%
5%
3%
5%
0%
5%
limited and focusing on speed of service and consistency is key. A less complex offer means
that while site staff will need training on how to operate the offer, all site staff can be trained
and at less busy times staff can man the main sales till but also serve food and coffee
Be Bold In the design and colour scheme for a F&C insert in a service station, focus on
drawing customers attention to food/coffee part of the store, otherwise customers are often
blind and miss this part of your site offer
Focus on fresh Customers in most markets increasingly want products that are freshly
prepared on site. This does not mean all products have to be made to order, as this can be
highly labour intensive and reduce profitability, but made today, freshly baked labels on
products can be powerful sales drivers
We offer the following data as evidence of a decline in growth rates, rather than an actual
decline in sales:
UK coffee market Research from analyst Allegra Strategies suggests that in 2009 the
coffee shop sales grew by 6.2% to 1.63 bn. vs. 2008. This growth was lower than in the
previous year (2008 vs. 2007) when the market grew by 15%
Eastern Europe coffee market Coffeeheaven operate 90 coffee shops in Poland, Czech
Republic, Latvia, Bulgaria and Hungary. For the 6 months to 30th September 2009,
Coffeeheavens like for like sales grew by 5% vs. 16% for the same period in 2008
McDonalds Results for the first 9 months of 2009 showed like for like sales growth of 6.4%
for Europe, 2.2% for Middle East, Africa & Asia Pacific and 2.5% in the USA
In the light of this sales slow down, retailers need to adapt their offers and respond to the
changing market conditions. We propose the following as four initiatives to help grow sales:
Bundling Offering a breakfast or meal deal of two or three items, one being a coffee or
other drink at a special price that is cheaper than the combined individual prices of the items,
can help improve value for money perception and increase average spend
Loyalty Introducing a loyalty scheme, however inexpensive can help drive repeat purchase
and customer satisfaction. A credit card sized paper card where you offer one free coffee for
every 10th coffee purchase can be a simple way to reward customers
Entry point pricing Introducing a food or drink product promotional product that is at a new
lower price point then existing items, can help drive sales and improve value for money
perception. The price of an existing core menu item should not be reduced, but a new
product created that still delivers reasonable gross margin, for example a new sandwich or
bakery product with a low cost filling, or a drink with a new smaller cup size
Upselling Getting your staff focused on asking customers if they want a croissant with their
coffee or want a large coffee or other drink rather than a regular one, can help increase sales.
Offering your staff members a bonus scheme for the staff member who sells the highest
number of large coffees in a week, is a simple way to reinforce upselling
For further information, or to arrange an exploratory conversation with our senior specialists, please
contact:
Martin Alford
E martin.alford@rpsgroup.com
W www.rpsgroup.com/downstream