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ProceedingsofofOMAE01
OMAE'01:
th
20
International
Conference
on
Offshore
Mechanics
Engineering
20 th International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and
and Artic
Arctic
Engineering
Rio
de Janeiro,
June
3-8, 2001
June
3-8, 2001,Brazil,
Rio de
Janeiro,
Brazil
OMAE2001/S&R-2178
OMAE'01-S&R-2178
PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS OF WAVE HEIGHTS AND PERIODS
IN MEASURED TwO-PEAKED SPECTRA FROM
THE PORTUGUESE COAST
C. Guedes Soares, A. N. Carvalho
ABSTRACT
An analysis is made of measured two-peaked sea spectra
from a deep-water location at the Portuguese Coast. The
spectra are organised in different groups according to the
relative nature of their two component wave systems. The
probability distributions of wave height and period are
determined and compared with several theoretical models.
INTRODUCTION
Most work on developing probabilistic models of short-term
sea state characteristics has concentrated on wind waves in
single wave systems, which are appropriately described by
single peaked spectra. However, the importance of combined
sea states of sea and swell (Guedes Soares, 1984) is becoming
generally recognized and thus the interest of verifying whether
the available probabilistic models are applicable in these
situations.
E X P E R I M E N T A L DATA
The experimental data used in this study has been collected
by a Datawell waverider buoy located off the port of Sines in
Portugal. The buoy is located at a water depth of 97 m.
0<Hs<1
1<Hs<2
2<Hs<3
3<Hs<4
4<Hs<5
5<Hs<6
6<Hs<7
7<Hs<8
TOTAL
Table
All spectra
96
1121
812
129
54
47
7
6
2272
2 peaks
31
70
3l
5
5
7
0
0
149
a)
b)
c)
(2)
0.202 0.473
0.319 0.575
17
III
0.518 0.573
Wind-sea
0.192 5.033
Dominated
II
III
0.321 6.434
0.485 5.745
8
2
state
Mixed wind-sea
0.165 1.852
II
0.328 1.595
Comparable energy
Ill
0.514 1.552
I
II
IO=
spectra
" n = 0, 1, 2,...
Nr. o f
m,, = I f " S O C ) d f
SSER
Swell
sea state
11)
Dominated
sea
Sea
state
group
Initially only the spectra with H s >__2m were chosen for the
present study. This led to a total o f 48 spectra but classes IIIb
and IIIc did not have any spectra. Therefore, in order to have
all classes represented, 5 additional spectra were chosen with
H s < 2m leading to a total o f 53 spectra distributed as
indicated in Table 2.
(3)
[-
1
1
olI
I 0.
laIa
0. 8
0. 6
Lo.6 i
00 .. 6 6
~08
iIo.4
0. 4
II a
Ila
0. 8
'0.8
0. 6
i0.6
0. 4
i
I
--
3
3
2
2
fOi
0
4
4
5
5
00
Ib
0. 8
0. 8
Ib
o A
0. 6
0. 4
0. 4
0.4
0. 2
0. 2
i0"20
0
0
0
3
3
I 0
0
0
2
2
Ic
Ic
3
3
4
4
i o
5
0
0
1,
0. 4
0.4
0. 4
i6.4
0. 2
0. 2
0.2
4
4
3
3
,
4
51
0. 6
0. 2
o.~
i
0
0
0
1
IIIc
0. 4
io.8
!06 i
0. 8
0. 6
0.6
!i
55
II c
0. 8
0.8
0. 6
4 4
0. 2
0.2
1
1
1
0. 8
33
IIIb
0. 6
0.6
0. 4
22
0. 8
IIII bb
06
0. 6
08
I
I
0. 2
16.2
----..._._.,
1o.4
ii
0.2
IIIa
Ilia
0. 4
0. 2
0. 2
1 1
2
2
3
3
4
4
5 5
o0
2 2
33
44
5 5
=~
(5)
WAVE H E I G H T D I S T R I B U T I O N M O D E L S
VariousHEIGHT
theoretical
and empirical models
have been proposed
WAVE
DISTRIBUTION
MODELS
to characterize the wave height probability distribution. The
Various
theoretical
empirical
have been
more
relevant
modelsand
dealing
with models
zero-crossing
waveproposed
heights
were
discussed in
et.al.,
1999) anddistribution.
their usefulness
to
characterize
the(Rodriguez
wave height
probability
The
to
predict
the
wave
height
distribution
in
mixed
sea
states
was
more relevant models dealing with zero-crossing wave heights
examined. Only the most relevant ones will be considered here.
(4)
=(non2
_ 111/2
~, m2
(6)
(7)
734v 2
- 4(1_ p ~(~9})
(9)
(8)
R(O)
This distribution improves the predictions given by equation
(8).
Ila
la
Ilia
~4 f
e.
ft.
"""
"",,, ~ ,,x,
",
iI
,g
", "",'x.
lo ~
lib
Ib
~1~
2
IIIb
'%i
-\
i>1
I
10",
ff
10'
lie
IIIc
"-.
Ic
. - Nt~s
" >x
lO'
11
3
~10'
o
X\N'"
~
'~
I~
tO
~10,
]!
1
Figure 2: Empirical and Theoretical Distribution of Wave Height in Different Spectral Groups.
Copyright @2001 by A S M E
Sea state
group
Swell
[1
0.869
0.620
-0.627
1.849
5.714
II
0.848
0.815
-0.405
1.960
6.877
sea state
III
0.823
0.701
-0.492
2.043
7.328
Wind-sea
0.787
0.453
-0.856
2.032
7.519
Dominated
Dominated
seastate
Mixedwind-sea
And swell systems with C
Comparable energy
II
0.780
0.490
-0.489
2.007
7.449
III
0.700
0.450
-0.439
2.149
8.899
0.823
0.559
-0.608
2.058
7.581
I1
0.785
0.540
-0.397
2.181
8.886
III
0.730
0.580
-0.438
2.272
8.714
V 2
It can be observed that the case (Ia) is the only one in which
the three distributions produce an adequate fit to the main range
of wave heights, but not for the highest value which are
overpredicted. It can also be observed that in this case the
Rayleigh distribution gives the best fit to the empirical
probability while the Weibull distribution shows a small
deviation which increases with wave height. With the increase
of ID, the best and worse fittings are the Naess model, for the
highest heights values (~>6) and the rest of the range,
respectively. In contrast, the Rayleigh and Weibull distribution
gives the opposite behaviour. In all cases it is possible to see an
overprediction of the observed probabilities of the Naess model,
especially for intermediate and large values of ID, where this
deviation is significant. Another observation, in these cases, is
the similar behaviour of the Rayleigh and Weibull distributions.
(11)
Tm~
(12)
m o
p(x ) =
2 _(/2
(13)
.~_Ot 4 [~ 2
where
oc=l/~2II+ 1-x/~-S-e2);
13=/~l_eZ
(14)
and
(15)
mom4 J
Tin,
(16)
mo
P(x)=t.
,) ,,=j
(17)
le
14 r
~L
! ",\
"\
'l
?'
o6~
/:'
O4
~i
~2
{Y
s
,
o~
lib
Ila
IIc
~~
14.
... L~..,.J l
12
/,,\
I
/,<~
o5
':\,I
!i
1-7
~ /
i,
i tx-
-o
2S
05
is
25
IIIb
Ilia
IIIc
f,
-!!
I,
,r
o~
,1
- :: .....
ms
o~
Is
i
2s
1~
22
....
3
mixed sea states IIc, IIIc and Illb. However, in the last two
cases the models give rise to a systematic overestimation
around the mean period. The largest deviations are when the
observed probabilities tend to bimodal, like in the cases Ia,
Ilia and Ib, where none of the models can be fit.
The general trend of the results of of the same nature as the
obtained earlier with numerically simulated data.
Acknowledgements
REFERENCES
CONCLUSIONS
In relation to the relative usefulness of the different models
to predict the observed exceedance probability, the Rayleigh
distribution gives rise to a systematic overprediction of the
observed wave heights. This model is able to reproduce the
observed probability only in the case of swell dominated sea
states with low intermodal distance.
In the cases of wind-sea dominated sea states with large
intermodal distance and bimodal sea state with similar energy
and intermodal distance not too large, the best overall fits
between observed and predicted probabilities is given by
Weibull distribution.
The Naess model only gives good results for higher waves
heights in swell dominated sea states with intermediate and
large intermodal distance.
The theoretical models, when compared with the observed
probabilities seem to be useful to predict the obtained wave
period distribution, at least approximately, only in the cases of