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Reviewing Influences
Scenario: You are working through your weekly Forecast Review process and
want to review your existing influences for the next 60 days, your booking
window.
Task: Run an Input Override report for all influences and note the following data:
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Investigate a Notification
Scenario: You are working through your daily revenue management tasks and are
monitoring the Information Manager. You have actioned your Alerts and now are
reviewing your Notifications.
Task: Find the Notification with the highest score and make note of the following:
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Is this in line with your expectations for this date? Seems a little high
What is the Transient Occupancy Forecast this year? 158.9
What was the Transient Occupancy Actuals last year? 134
Is transient forecasted to be ahead or behind last year in occupancy? Ahead
If transient is ahead or behind, which Forecast Group(s) is driving this
change? QUAL LINKED SEMIYLD 1, QUAL YLD 2, UNQUAL BAR
Is this in line with your expectations for this date? QUAL LINKED SEMIYLD 1
is showing growth of 15 rooms CNR_QSL. Although we have a new CNR
account this year that falls into this Forecast Group, we do not anticipate
for them to book this many rooms on Christmas day.
If not, what should you do? We are going to influence the remaining
demand forecast for the QUAL LINKED SEMIYLD 1 Forecast Group down by
15 rooms on this date (see the Adding a Demand Influence System Activity
to practice this).
What is the Group Occupancy Forecast this year? 5.0
What was the Group Occupancy Actuals last year? 0
Is group forecasted to be ahead or behind last year in occupancy? Slightly
Ahead
If group is ahead or behind, which Forecast Group(s) is driving this change?
Group 1 which includes SMRF (not visible on screenshot)
Is this in line with your expectations for this date? Yes
If not, what should you do? Nothing except continue to monitor
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1) Selected month should be the last full month (this will vary)
2) Selected dates should include from 1st through 31st (or 30th)
3) The following data will vary for each hotel but here are the answers for the
example above:
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1) Identified the group that needed a wash influence on the Group Pickup Report
2) Searched for the group on the Individual Groups tab and expanded the group
3) Added a User Wash % of 5.00% (the User Wash room count automatically
populates)
4) Added an Expiration Date of the cutoff date, July 10th, 2014 (the Expiration
Date DTA, Days to Arrival, automatically populates)
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10) Click Cancel. If this was a real scenario, you should run a What If Analysis
and then Save or Cancel the override.
Note that you may also want to consider the pre & post dates of Christmas and
review the forecasts for those days as well.
Adding a Multi-Day Demand Influence
Success Criteria:
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1) Ran the MCAT Mapping report and filtered for the largest producing Local
Negotiated account (in our scenario, T9X)
2) Found the SRP belonged to the QUAL YLD Forecast Group
3) Selected QUAL LINKED YLD Forecast Group
4) Navigated to January 2015 (year will vary)
5) Clicked the Multiday Overrides button
6) Selected the Override Category of Occupancy Date
7) Entered a Start Date of 01/01/2015 and an End Date of 02/28/2015 (typically
GRO will learn the new patterns very quickly so influencing demand for two
months should be enough. You will still need to continue to monitor the demand
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3) Noticed the System Wash % for the Group Forecast Group is 32.17%
4) Noted that there are no Group Blocks so
5) Realized that the Group Wash was on the Remaining Demand of 57.06%
6) Determined that the Demand Forecast is correct, that you do anticipate an
additional 57 rooms of group, but that the Wash Forecast was too high and is
realistically more like 10% for the type of group you anticipate booking over that
date.
7) Added the Expiration Date of 30 DTA (days to arrival) as this is your hotels
typical cutoff and when wed want GRO back in control of forecasting our group
wash
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3) Updated the Cost of Walk to include the increase in rate and the cost of the cab
4) Clicked Cancel (click Apply and then Save if completing a real influence)
5) Selected the next room type, SXBL, and completed the same process
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1) Selected the Start and End dates of the override period (15 to 45 days from
arrival)
2) Clicked the Multiday Overrides button
3) Verified the Start and End dates were correct
4) Selected only Tuesday and Wednesday
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, next
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1) Set the Start and End Dates to encompass the next 60 days, or your hotels
booking window
2) Selected all Override Categories, including Notes
3) Selected the Report Format of Excel so that it could be easily filtered
4) Clicked Apply (you could also schedule the report to be run and emailed to
you automatically)
Note the following data:
How many Demand-Occupancy Date Overrides? Will vary by hotel
How many Demand-Arrival by LOS Overrides? Will vary by hotel
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1) Clicked on the Notification that has the highest score (this will vary by hotel)
2) Made note of the following:
What metric triggered the Notification? Last Room Value (will vary by hotel)
For what Occupancy Date did the Notification trigger? June 3, 2014 (will
vary by hotel)
What was the old Forecast or Decision? 219.74
What was the change? -134.44
What is the defined threshold? < > 30.00
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Congratulations, you have completed the GRO system activities! Please contact
GRO Support or your RMCC representative if you have any questions.
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