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AFFLUENCE
by Harry Hanson
AS TRADITIONALLY,
The adaptation of these principles to midtwentieth century conditions can be either of two
kinds: (1) adaptation to the needs of our time;
(2) adaptation to the views, existing or predicted,
of the electorate. These two kinds of adaptation
do not necessarily coincide. In fact, their coincidence is now becoming not more but less close.
Up to quite recently there was at least no glaring
contradiction between vigorous campaigning for
Socialism, as thus defined, and the winning of
electoral victories. Today, as a result of the very
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Political Arithmetic
The revisionists calculate, no doubt, that Old
Guard socialism is a waning force, and that their
victory is therefore guaranteed by the passage of
time. The premise of this calculation is almost
certainly correct; but the conclusion does not
necessarily follow. For side by side with the Old
Leftand, at the present moment, objectively
reinforcing itis a New Left, growing in strength.
Young, vigorous and intelligent, its members
have already completed their initial and basic
task of re-stating socialism in mid-twentiethcentury terms, and are now beginning to organise
themselves. For them, the Gaitskellian and
Croslandian political arithmetic is irrelevant.
The more realistic are thinking far beyond the
next election. It would be wrong to say that they
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12
Day of Judgment?
Rational hope has become so difficult to
sustain that we are strongly tempted to substitute
the irrational variety. In some cases, the result is
a complete break with reality, as in current
Trotskyism. In others, the disease is not so
advanced, but nevertheless its symptoms are
ominously present. Already, among the members
of the New Left, there is a tendency to accept
albeit in a very much modified formone of the
essential elements of Trotskyist (and also orthodox
Communist) thought: the conception of a Day of
Judgment. This idea is attractive because it offers
a semi-automatic, if long-term, solution to
political frustration. It guarantees the defeat of
the right, ensures that the popular support
necessary for making the transition to socialism
will eventually be forthcoming, and has the great
If the analysis on which these harsh predictions are based is well-founded, it is difficult
to see how even Gaitskell and Crosland can
resist the cogency of Crossmans argument. But
is the argument a valid one? Judgment Day
horses ought always to be examined critically.
When the revolution against mid-nineteenth
century capitalism failed to materialise, as Marx
and Engels predicted, the explanation offered
was that a phase of temporary industrial monopoly enabled the capitalists to bribe and
bourgeoisify the working class. When this
ended, there would be socialism again in
England. It did, and there wasbut only of a
decidedly reformist kind. The successors to
Marx and Engels then argued that the revolution
had been postponed by another kind of monopoly
based on profits from colonial exploitation. The
crisis would now come when the colonies revolted
or the imperialist powers reduced the world to
a shambles through their competitive feuds. The
slaves did revolt, and the world was reduced to
shamblestwice. But the socialism which emerged
took place where the countries were least ripe
for it. Even the Great Depression led no further
than The New Deal. In England it temporarily
crushed the Labour Party and in Germany it
was succeeded by national Socialism. Since the
war British capitalism, shorn of most of its
colonial tribute and deprived of all its more
important overseas possessions, has succeeded in
employing, feeding, housing, doctoring, educating
and entertaining its workers better than ever
beforeeven if not nearly well enough by the
standards that we now set.
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Socialism By Competition?
On the issue of straight economic competition
it would be unwise to be dogmatic, for no-one
knows precisely what the intentions of the Soviet
Unionstill less those of Chinaare in this field.
But even if our worst fears materialised, it is
possible that our position as a trading nation
would remain basically unchanged. Is market
competition from a socialist country any different
than from a capitalist one? Perhapsif that
country is intent on forming a closed trading bloc.
If, however, we are faced with ordinary competition for the economic favours of a group of
uncommitted countries, the situation may be
much less dangerous. Of course, a socialist
country has the advantage that it can disregard,
if need be, normal commercial considerations.
But capitalist governments are not incapable of
subsidising exports and of granting credits on
easy terms, if they see advantage in doing so.
When the full blast of Russian competition is
turned on, it will certainly seriously reduce our
share in the world market. But that in itself does
not matter. Our share has been declining ever
since the beginning of the century. If the world
economy continues to expand, then the absolute
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circumstances, we can expect a further strengthening of the relationship between government and
big business, and further advances towards a
managed and managerial economy. We shall
simultaneously become more socialised, in
Lenins sense of the word, and more affluent, but
no less class-divided. We may, indeed, become
considerably more class-divided, as successive
injections of the merit vaccine will give class
a new and more rational justification. Society
will be objectively ripe for socialism but will
lack the subjective prerequisites for the transition. The trade union movement will concentrate
more and more upon ensuring that a fair share
of an increasing national income shall accrue to
its members. The Labour Party will then either
make way for or transform itself into a new type
of party, providing a periodical change from but
no real alternative to Conservatism.
What of socialism in this context? I do not
believe that a distinctively socialist movement
will disappear, but I do think that it will be
reduced, at least for the time being, to a comparatively small group of determined left-wingers.
I also believe that this group, although without
any immediate hope of achieving political power,
will have an immensely important role to play.
Intent on keeping the socialist idea alive, it will
unceasingly expose the negative features of the
new society, use every advantage to popularise its
aims, and perhaps secure, by some process of encroaching control, the partial realisation of some
of them. It will watch, in a positively Fabian
manner, for the objective possibilities of making
new advances, constantly bring all forms of
pressure to bear on the two main parties, and
if possiblemaintain a small but vigorous and
disciplined group of Members in the House. Its
nucleus, obviously, will be the present left in
the Labour Party, which would probably be well
advised, if it feels that the above perspective is
the likely one, to seize the first suitable opportunity to make a clean break and start a separate
and distinct political organisation.
What I should not relish, in these circumstances,
would be the virtual elimination of a normal
parliamentary opposition, which is what would
happen if the exacerbation of factional struggle
within the Labour Party caused its complete
disintegration. An effectively-operating two-party
system is one of the most valuable features of an
advanced capitalist (or socialist) society. The
difference may be that between Tweedledum and
Tweedledee, but the Government is nevertheless
compelled to defend and justify its policies, everconscious that its tenure of office is a conditional
one. I would rather, of course, have a socialist
opposition; but if this is impossible, any sort of
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