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Forecasting

JEFFERSON RIVERA HORTA

SIGN
SANTIAGO DE CALI, April 2016

Forecasting

JEFFERSON RIVERA HORTA

INSTRUCTOR
GERMAN ALBERTO ANGARITA

TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT LOGISTICS

SIGN
SANTIAGO DE CALI, April 2016
INTRODUCTION

THANKS

Senna thank you for this opportunity it offers us to strengthen more in the field of
logistics to be productive for our company society and family people.

Forecasting

1. Develop a prognostic simulation of demand for the product or service by training


project.
Consider the following:

a. Name of the company


b. Main business area
c. Seven steps to make a forecasting system:
1. Uses
2. Items
3. Time horizon
4. Model
5. Data gathering
6. Making
7. Validation and Implementation

2. Plot the prognosis and type the trends that will have your product or service in
the short, medium and long term.

3. After receiving the assessment of their tutor, publish the relevant evidence in a
blog called window Forecasting.
Marlin s

B. My main business will do in the city of Cali whose department is the Cauca
Valley where we will implement good demand and to ensure that our products have
their tranzabilidad and reach their final destination.
So we generate confidence in our customers and fulfill our vision to
internationalize.

C. Steps
* Create an affinity diagram or brainstorming.
* Establish mechanisms for measurement according to the nature of the problem.
* Establish action plans, and implement improvement.
* identify the causes of the problem, determining which is the most relevant.
* Establish possible solutions and make the right choice, through the analysis of
data.
* control process improvement, making the necessary adjustments, through
constant monitoring
* define a problem according to the objectives.

1. Uses
- Revenue
- Electric power
- Water
- Phones
- Butane gas
- Fuels
- Wages
- Social benefits
- Advertising

2. Items

3. Short, medium and long term.


4. Model
- Moccasin shoe
- Shoe materials
- Shoe Knight
- Footwear for women

5. Data gathering
- Theoretical vs physical inventories
- With web pages
6. Making

7. Validation and Implementation


- This project presents a business plan for the implementation of a small
company dedicated to the production and marketing of industrial footwear in
the city of Cali, revealing the strengths and weaknesses of the product on the
market, considering the various studies needed his statement, are as follows:
MARKET RESEARCH
TECHNICAL STUDY
FINANCIAL REVIEW

2. GENERAL OBJECTIVE
Form a small business in order to produce footwear for men, women and
children, pretending to be profitable in the medium term.
SHORT-TERM GOAL
In a span of six months to a year to introduce our product to market, the
company legally constituting conditioning the premises of the company,
acquiring the necessary to operate machinery and hiring trained personnel to
allow acceptance of the product.
MEDIUM-TERM OBJECTIVE
Expand the market within three years covering districts located in the capital
city, marked by distributing and commercial center
LONG-TERM GOAL
Achieving establish ourselves in the domestic market by opening new sales
point to ensure product availability and profitability of the company.

The advantage will be:


Shoemaking based skin, is a great advantage since most amount of imported
footwear is synthetic, low durability and high prices, that we come to benefit
because our culture is to wear leather shoes and our population need is to last
as much as you can and this alone ensures industrial footwear with quality
standards and raw materials to ensure durability (skin). We intend to
manufacture products are leather from cattle, both are sewn and glued under
pressure, this ensures our shoes use in all types of terrain.

conclusions

We want to be a company recognized in the production of hand-made footwear


guaranteeing quality with an experienced staff being recognized nationally, Central
America, and in the textile world focusing on elegance and good reputation gained
by our high quality products always in touch with the trend and fashion, achieving
confronts the domestic market.

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