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H. R. Champion
TRAUMA SCORING
H. R. Champion
Surgery and Military & Emergency Medicine, Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences,
Bethesda, Maryland, U.S.A.
ABSTRACT
Severity scales to characterize the nature and extent of injury are important adjuncts to
trauma care systems, trauma research and many of the elements of a complete public
health approach to injury. This article provides a brief overview of severity scale development over the past 30 years during which the science to support such initiatives has
matured substantially.
Anatomical, physiological, intensive care, composite and complex scales and models
now abound and are being applied to a variety of tasks with increasing precision. Trauma registries enable the meaningful aggregation of data for the development and testing of models. Future challenges are identified as are potentially fruitful avenues of
research.
Key words: Trauma; trauma scores; injury scoring; Injury Severity Score; TRISS
INTRODUCTION
Measurement and tabulation of the severity of injury
is an essential prerequisite both to effective trauma
care and clinical research. Furthermore, programmatic and public policy issues related to injury are
not easily addressed without understandable renditions of the epidemiology and the nature and severity of the problem. Also, both civilian mass casualty
contingency planning and military expeditionary
medical resourcing benefit immensely from knowledge of the number, nature and severity of anticipated casualties. Several trauma severity scales are used
to quantify injury severity and describe patient severity casemix. Once injury is thus characterized, the
results can be applied to triage, resourcing, research,
and quality of care assessment. In many cases, indices facilitate precise communication about often complex problems.
Severity classifications can be nominal, ordinal or
interval in nature. Many injury severity characteriCorrespondence:
Howard. R. Champion, M.D.
954 Melvin Road
Annapolis, Maryland 21403, U.S.A.
Email: HRCHAMPION@aol.com
Trauma scoring
13
TABLE 1
Some measures of discrimination.
Sensitivity
Specificity
False Positive Rate
False Negative Rate
Positive Predictive Power
Misclassification Rate
Area under receiver operating characteristic curve
Concordance
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H. R. Champion
TABLE 2
Measures for each index (Ref. 19).
Discrimination
Calibration
Concordance
(Area Under
ROC Curve)
H-L Statistica
ISS
NISS
mAP
APS
86
86
87
87
384
040
029
070
ICSS (NCTR)
ICISS (PTOS)
87
88
244
370
ICD/ISS
ICD/NISS
ICD/mAP
ICD/APS
82
84
85
85
283
133
097
094
Measures
ISS
NISS
mAP
APS
A2 + B2 + C2 + D2
allowing for decreasing influence of injuries as the
Trauma scoring
15
TABLE 3
Revised Trauma Score variables (Ref. 28).
Glasgow Coma Score
Systolic BP (mmHg)
Coded Value
8> 89
7689
5075
0149
0
1029
8> 29
69
15
0
4
3
2
1
0
1315
0912
068
045
03
(Published with permission from Lippincott Williams & Wilkins, Baltimore, MD, USA)
PHYSIOLOGICAL SCALES
TRAUMA SCORE, REVISED TRAUMA SCORE, CRAMS SCALE
16
H. R. Champion
Fig. 1. Field triage decision scheme (from Resources for optimal care of the injured 1999, with permission from American College of
Surgeons).
Trauma scoring
TRISS
Development of the Trauma Score-Injury Severity
Score (TRISS) in 1981 gave clinicians a way to identify major trauma patients with unexpected outcomes
and to compare patient outcomes among institutions
while controlling for differences in injury severity.
TRISS, a severity index based on the patients Revised Trauma Score at admission to the emergency
department, ISS, patient age and mechanism of injury is the basis of the Major Trauma Outcome Study
methodology. TRISS has been adapted for assessing
the impact of aeromedical emergency and prehospital care, for comparing outcomes in both adult and
pediatric populations, and for documenting improvement of trauma patient outcomes over time or between countries and states.
The key mathematical element of TRISS is the logistic function
[1] Ps = 1/(1 + eb)
where Ps is an estimate of a patients survival probability and
[2] b = bo + b1(RTS) + b2(ISS) + b3(AGE)
and
RTS = the admission Revised Trauma Score,
ISS = the Injury Severity Score
and
AGE = 0 for age less than 55 years,
AGE = 1 for age greater than or equal to 55.
17
TABLE 4
TRISS Calculation.
AIS-98
441450.4
4
440604.3
3
included in lung
injury code
541824.3
541020.2
816002.1
ISS Body
region
3
2
1
ISS (b2)
0.0835
0.0651
Age (b3)
1.7430
1.1360
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H. R. Champion
TABLE 5
TRISS Calculation.
65 year old female in MVA received the following injuries:
AIS-98
ISS
Multiple cerebral contusions
LOC 1 hour
Maxilla fracture
Fractured R ribs #4, 5, 6
R hemothorax
Bilateral femur fractures
ISS = 9 + 9 + 9 = 27
140611.3
3
included in cerebral
contusion code
250800.2
2
450222.3
3
included in rib fracture
code
851800.3
3
on the diagonal line have an estimated survival probability of 0.50. This P50 line is determined by setting
b = 0 in equation [2]. Ls (survivors) above the line
and Ds (no survivors) below it represent patients
with unexpected outcomes worthy of review. Not
all such patients are therapeutic successes or failures.
Because of limitations in its component indices (particularly ISS), such estimates of survival probability
must be reviewed by clinicians. A systematic review
of the unexpected outcomes leads not only to suggestions for improvement in trauma care but also to
potential improvements in severity scores.
Trauma scoring
ical significance of statistically meaningful differences between the actual (A) and expected (E)
number of survivors: W = 100 (A E)/N where A and
E are defined as in z, and N is the number of patients
in the institutions sample. For institutions with significant positive (negative) z scores, W is the average increase (decrease) in the number of survivors
per 100 patients treated compared with norm expectations. Statistics z and W provided a more balanced
description of patient outcomes in the context of an
institutions contemporaries.
TRISS has been the pre-eminent trauma outcome
prediction model for the past 20 years. It is used
throughout the world to compare patient outcomes
in a consistent fashion. Its greatest frailty is related
to the Injury Severity Score (ISS). For that reason, ISS
was replaced in the TRISS formulation by AP to create ASCOT. ASCOT not only replaces the ISS with
Anatomical Profile (AP), but changes age from being a dichotomous to a continuous variable (36).
When comparing ASCOT and TRISS, the ASCOT
performs much better on outcome prediction than
TRISS. However its complexity has deterred many
from implementing it and TRISS still remains the
mainstay of comparative analysis of trauma patients.
A study reporting the replacement of ISS with NISS
in TRISS would be a worthwhile contribution.
OUTCOMES
DISABILITY OUTCOMES
19
well as for its measurement properties, such as standardization, discriminatory power, reliability, and validity. The FIM was found to have face validity and
to be reliable. Three of its assessments (feeding, locomotion, and expression) are included in the Major
Trauma Outcome Study database.
Other non-mortality scales include the widely used
SF 36 scale. This has been modified by adding measures of cognitive function for its application to injury patient populations.
For the past decade a number of attempts to develop a disability scale have been lead by Mackenzie
et al. Efforts to develop the Functional Capacity Index (FCI) are ongoing. In this case, severity of a limitation of function is defined in terms of its impact
and overall functioning in everyday living. Thus, the
FCI looks at eating, excretory and sexual function,
walking, hand and arm movement, bending, lifting,
vision, hearing, speech and cognitive function. Such
a validated scale would be of great value in crafting
comprehensive health care approaches to injury.
20
H. R. Champion
Numerous institutional, local, and statewide registries have been developed to monitor hospital
trauma care, to help make decisions about allocation
of hospital resources, and to provide information to
county and local accrediting agencies. Existing registries vary greatly in the data they contain, the training of the personnel who record and enter data, the
sophistication and versatility of the system, and the
reports and information they can generate. Often the
quality and completeness of the data raise serious
questions regarding their value for anything, let
alone as a research tool.
The Major Trauma Outcome Study (MTOS)
opened the way to interinstitutional collaboration in
trauma indices. Since that time, many states or counties have obligatory or local registries from their trauma centers. In addition, similar registries have developed in the U.K., Germany, Austria, Norway,
Australia and a number of other countries. The
American College of Surgeons has assumed the mantel of pooling data from trauma centers in the United States and has the TRACS and the National Trauma Databases.
Trauma indices and their applications are an essential element of a public health approach to injury
and will continue to evolve in their accuracy and usefulness. Indices of injury severity are central to triage,
to outcome evaluation and quality assurance. With
the growing importance of their applications, severity scales are being more closely scrutinized for their
accuracy and validity. Limitations discovered
through analyses of registry data have motivated the
development of improved measures. However, further improvements are needed. For example, more
streamlined physiologic scores for triage, which
maintain or improve the predictive power of current
indices perhaps by trending data would be of great
value. TRISS requires values for all component variables to derive survival probability estimates. However, it is frequently not possible to obtain best verbal response or respiratory rate from intubated patients, who must then be excluded from an institutions PRE and DEF analyses. Those exclusions can
seriously bias outcome evaluations and reduce the
benefit derived for quality assurance activities.
Alternative means for quantitatively evaluating
such patients are needed. TRISS coefficients based on
NISS should be developed. Continued injury research can lead to the needed refinements in indices
and methods and, thus, in their applications to triage,
outcome evaluation, and quality assurance activities.
The heterogeneity of trauma patient populations severely hampers both retrospective and prospective
studies. Injury severity scores together with tight use
of operational definitions for entry and exclusion criteria to studies can be of significant value in study
design and thus enhance the ability of such studies
to draw valid and generalizable conclusions.
The TRISS methodology in particular has been
used in numerous studies as a means of controlling
Trauma scoring
21
cause of the epidemiological and etiological differences of injury and the challenges of providing care
in a tactical setting, substantial differences are likely
to be encountered. This international collaborative
effort should provide information to many countries.
THE FUTURE
Trauma severity scales albeit imperfect have established themselves in the patina of health care delivery as an essential tool for many research and public
health initiatives. Severity scoring systems are a natural partner, with trauma registries and other databases designed to aggregate information on injured
patients for a variety of applications, and provide the
large numbers from which to develop valid models
and statistically valid analyses. As the accuracy of
injury severity scoring systems improves, they will
have increased applications in risk assessment and
decision support.
It has already been determined that the risk of
multiple organ failure sequelae of major injury increases with increasing injury severity. Combinations
of anatomical and physiological scales, age and preexisting conditions are important in general classification of injury severity against survival probability.
In the future, an identified threshold of injury severity will be used to trigger early assessment of indicators of high risk of serious sequelae of injury.
These indicators may well include a risk model based
on cytokine response and/or shock dose. The latter
would be a measure which takes into account not
only the severity of shock, but the length of time of
hypoperfusion and the residual status after resuscitation as measured by lactate or base deficit. Such a
model would isolate high risk patients allowing for
institution of early prophylaxis against multiple organ failure and other highly lethal consequences of
severe injury. Such models would also enable consistent case definition for studies of subsets of severe
patients and decrease the statistical noise that bedevils much of the research into severely injured patients
at this time.
In conclusion, injury severity scores are an established part of trauma care as are trauma registries.
The two work in conjunction as a basis for probabilistic models for a variety of scientific applications.
Severity scoring systems are a work in process. Future developments will refine them and add scientific precision to their application.
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