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ISSN: 2454-5031
www.ijlret.com Volume 2 Issue 1 January 2016 PP 56-65
Abstract:Wind energy is renewable andenvironment friendly, which can be connected for various uses. A
precise knowledge of wind energy regime is a pre-requisite for the efficient planning and implementation of any
wind energy project. The main purpose of this paper is to perform an investigation on the wind energy potential
inNinava Governorate in the northern area of Iraq. Therefore, in this study, wind data collected over a period
ofnearly three decades at five different locations in order to figure out the wind energy potential in this region.
The data from selected stations were analyzed using the two-parameters of Weibull probability distribution.
Theory
The Weibull probability density function is given by Eq. 1.
. )1(
Wheref(v)is the probability of the measured wind speedv,k is the Weibull shape parameter (dimensionless), andc
is the Weibull scale parameter (m/s).
The cumulative frequency distribution is the integral of the Weibull probability density function, and is given by
.Eq. 2
( 2)
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1
2
WPD = V
(4)
.( 5 )
The measured surface wind speed must be modified from the normalized height (10 m) using Eq. 6
Vh / Va) = (Zh/Za)
.( 6 )
Where:
V is the wind speed in (m/s) at normalized height Zh (10m).
h
Site& Measurement
Mean monthly values of wind speedare obtainedfrom Iraqi meteorological organization for the period (1980 2010) for(Mosul, Rabea,Sinjar , Talafar) stations and for the period (1992 - 2010) inBaaj station according to
the date of operation of this station .Thegeographical coordinate of these stations listed in table (1). Fig ( 1 )
show Locations of the five meteorological stations in Ninava Governorate .Coefficient of Determination (R2),
Correlation coefficient (R) was used as the main criteria .The goodness of fit was judged by the size of
coefficient of determination.
Table ( 1) : Geographicalcoordinate of the five meteorological stations In NinavaGovernorate
Stations
Latitude
o
Longitude
o
Altitude ( m)
Mosul
36 19'
43 09'
223
Telafr
36o 22'
42o 28'
273
Sinjar
36o 19'
41o 50'
465
Rabea
36 48'
42 06'
382
Baaj
36 o02'
41o 48'
321
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Results &Discussion
1- Meanmonthly,seasonally and annually wind speed variations
Table (2) show the increasing values of wind speed at height (50)m in comparison with that at height(10)m in all
stations .From the table we can classify the stations in to three groups:
First group: with high wind speed represent by Talafarstation, where the mean values of wind speed at (10)m
was ranged between(3.8- 5.4)m/s.
At height (50)m the mean wind speed was ranged between (5.7 7.7)m/s.
Second group: with middle wind speed represent by Sinjar and Baag stations, where the mean values of wind
speed at (10)m was ranged between( 1.7 4.4 )m/s.At height (50)m the mean wind speed was ranged between (
3.1 6.5 )m/s .
Third group: with low wind speed represent by Rabea and Mosul stations, where the mean values of wind
speed at (10) m was ranged between (0.8 -2.1) m/s.At height (50)m the mean wind speed was ranged between
(1.5- 3.5) m/s.
Table (2): Mean Monthly, Seasonally, Annually Values of Wind Speed in (m/s) in all stations at height
(10, 50) m
Mosul
Rabea
Baaj
Sin jar
Talafar
10m
50m
10m
50m
10m
50m
10m
50m
10m
50m
Jan
1.0
1.8
1.6
2.7
2.0
3.3
1.9
3.1
3.8
5.7
Fab
1.3
2.3
1.7
2.8
2.3
3.5
2.3
3.7
4.1
6.0
Mar
1.4
2.4
1.8
3.0
2.7
4.3
2.8
4.5
4.3
6.3
Apr
1.5
2.6
1.8
3.0
3.1
4.8
3.2
4.9
4.5
6.5
Months
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1.8
3.0
2.1
3.4
3.5
5.2
4.0
6.0
5.1
7.2
Jun
1.8
3.0
2.1
3.4
3.9
5.8
4.4
6.5
5.1
7.2
Jul
1.7
2.8
2.1
3.4
4.0
6.0
4.4
6.5
5.4
7.7
Aug
1.5
2.6
2.0
3.3
3.7
5.5
4.0
6.0
5.3
7.5
Sep
1.1
2.0
1.8
3.0
3.2
4.9
3.3
5.0
4.9
7.1
Oct
0.9
1.7
1.6
2.6
2.6
4.1
2.2
3.6
4.3
6.3
Nov
0.8
1.5
1.4
2.4
2.1
3.2
1.7
2.8
4.0
5.9
Dec
1.0
1.8
1.4
2.4
2.0
3.3
1.7
2.8
3.9
5.8
Winter
1.1
2.0
1.5
2.6
2.1
3.2
2.0
3.2
3.9
5.8
Spring
1.6
2.7
1.9
3.1
3.1
4.8
3.3
5.1
4.6
6.7
Summer
1.7
2.8
2.1
3.4
3.9
5.8
4.1
6.3
5.3
7.5
Autumn
0.9
1.7
1.6
2.7
2.6
4.0
2.4
3.8
4.4
6.4
Annual
1.3
2.3
1.8
3.0
2.9
4.5
3.0
4.6
4.5
6.6
Mosul
Rabea
Baaj
Sin jar
Talafar
C(m/s)
C(m/s)
C(m/s)
C(m/s)
Jan
1.8
1.1
2.5
1.9
4.02
2.17
3.4
2.08
9.0
C(m/
s)
4.0
Fab
2.6
1.4
2.8
1.7
3.6
2.3
3.8
2.5
10.5
4.3
Mar
2.4
1.6
2.4
1.9
3.9
2.9
5.0
3.2
15.4
4.4
Apr
3.0
1.7
3.6
2.0
4.3
3.3
5.7
3.5
16.8
4.6
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3.0
1.9
4.2
2.3
5.1
3.7
6.2
4.2
9.4
5.4
Jun
4.0
1.9
5.1
2.3
6.0
4.1
5.7
4.7
12
5.3
Jul
4.4
1.8
4.1
2.4
7.5
4.2
5.0
4.7
12
5.5
Aug
3.6
1.7
3.1
2.2
5.4
4.0
4.1
4.3
9.0
5.5
Sep
2.8
1.2
3.3
1.9
4.8
3.4
4.3
3.6
11.1
5.0
Oct
3.0
1.1
3.7
1.7
4.3
2.8
3.1
2.4
9.0
4.5
Nov
2.4
1.1
3.8
1.5
3.3
2.2
3.6
1.8
7.1
4.2
Dec
1.8
1.1
2.7
1.6
3.9
2.0
3.0
1.9
6.0
4.0
Mosul
Rabea
Baaj
Sin jar
Talafar
10m
50m
10m
50m
10m
50m
10m
50m
10m
50m
Jan
0.6
3.5
2.5
12
4.8
21.7
4.2
18
33.2
112
Fab
1.3
7.4
3.0
13.3
7.4
26
7.4
24.1
41.7
130.7
Mar
1.7
8.3
3.5
16.3
12
48.1
18.3
55.1
48.1
151.2
Apr
2.0
10.6
3.5
16.3
18
67
19.8
71.1
55.1
166.1
May
3.5
16.3
5.6
23.8
26
85
38.7
130.7
80.3
225.8
Jun
3.5
16.3
5.6
23.8
36
118
51.5
166
80.3
225.8
Jul
3.0
13.3
5.6
23.8
41.7
130.7
51.5
166
95.3
276.2
Aug
2.0
10.6
4.8
21.7
30.6
100.6
38.7
130.7
90.1
255.2
Sep
0.8
4.8
3.5
16.3
19.8
71.2
21.7
75.6
71.2
216.5
Oct
0.4
3.0
2.5
10.6
10.6
41.7
6.4
28.2
48.1
151.3
Nov
0.3
2.0
1.7
8.3
5.6
19.8
3.0
13.3
38.7
124.2
Dec
0.6
3.5
1.7
8.3
4.8
21.7
3.0
13.3
36
118
Winter
0.8
4.8
2.0
10.6
5.6
19.8
4.8
19.8
36
118
Spring
2.5
12
4.1
18
18
67
21.7
80.2
59
182
Summe
r
Autumn
3.0
13.2
5.6
24
36
118
41.7
151.3
90
255.2
0.4
3.0
2.5
12
10.6
38.7
8.4
33.2
51.5
158.6
Annual
1.3
7.4
3.5
16.3
14.8
55.1
16.3
59
55.1
174
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Rabea
Baaj
Sin jar
Talafar
Months
Weibull
Actual
Weibull
Actual
Weibull
Actual
Weibull
Actual
Weibull
Actual
Jan
0.67
0.6
3.7
2.5
5.5
4.8
5.0
4.2
34.5
33.2
Fab
1.48
1.3
2.95
3.0
7.0
7.4
8.7
7.4
43.2
41.7
Mar
2.0
1.7
3.6
3.5
13.5
12
17.4
18.3
47.3
48.1
Apr
2.4
2.0
4.3
3.5
19.6
18
22.8
19.8
54.4
55.1
May
4.1
3.5
6.5
5.6
27.2
26
39.5
38.7
85.7
80.3
Jun
3.7
3.5
6.3
5.6
36.8
36
55.6
51.5
81.5
80.3
Jul
3.1
3.0
7.5
5.6
40.0
41.7
55.9
51.5
91.3
95.3
Aug
2.7
2.0
6.2
4.8
34.3
30.6
43.9
38.7
90.0
90.1
Sep
1.0
0.8
3.9
3.5
21.0
19.8
25.4
21.7
68.3
71.2
Oct
0.65
0.4
2.5
2.5
11.9
10.6
8.0
6.4
49.2
48.1
Nov
0.36
0.3
1.8
1.7
5.8
5.6
3.2
3.0
39.6
38.7
Dec
0.67
0.6
2.2
1.7
4.5
4.8
4.0
3.0
34.3
36
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61 | Page
WPD(w/m2)
Weibull
3
2
1
0
Jan Fab Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
WPD(w/m2)
Rabea
Actual
6
Weibull
4
2
0
WPD(w/m2)
60
50
Sinjar
Actual
40
Weibull
30
20
10
0
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WPD(w/m2)
100
Actual
Talafar
80
Weibull
60
40
20
0
WPD(w/m2)
50
Baaj
40
Actual
Weibull
30
20
10
0
Comparisons between the Actual and Weibull WPD in all stations . fig (2) :
WPDest .(w/m2)
11
Rabea
6
y = 1.2524x - 0.2523
R = 0.9335
WPD mea.(w/m2)
WPDest .(w/m2)
The values of WPDestimated by the Weibull Parameters were compared with the corresponding measured
values in all stations. The results are illustrated in fig (3 ). From the figure the deviation between the measured
and estimatedvalues are very small during the months and this mean that the weibull parameter model are
suitable to be used in calculating wind speed. Fig ( 3) also shows the correlation between the measured and
estimated WPD for the five stations in Ninava Governorate. The values of (R2) for these correlations are
ranged between (0.933 - 0.995 ). This means that the WeibullParameter model give very good results in
estimate the mean monthly values of wind speed in all
Stations
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6
4
2
0
Mosul
y = 1.0826x + 0.1253
R = 0.9795
WPD mea.(w/m )
63 | Page
WPDest .(w/m2)
WPDest
.(w/m2)
63
Sinjar
43
23
y = 1.0696x + 0.5686
R = 0.995
3
3
13
23
33
43
53
63
WPD mea.(w/m2)
60
40
Baaj
20
y = 1.0051x + 0.7241
R = 0.9896
0
0
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
WPD mea.(w/m2)
WPDest.(w/m2)
110
Talafar
90
70
50
y = 0.9848x + 1.008
R = 0.9882
30
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
WPD mea.(w/m2)
Fig ( 3) : correlations between the measured and estimated WPD for the five stations in
NinavaGovernorate
Conclusion
1- The Max. values of wind speed at (10 ,50) m height in Ninava Governorate was obtained in Talafar station
while the min . value was obtained in Mosul station.
2- The Min. valuesof WPD was obtained in December in all stations , while the Max. values was obtained in
July.
3- A high correlations were obtained between the measured and calculated WPD in all stations where the( R2)
of these correlations was ranged between ( 0.93 -0.99 ) .
4- The mean monthly values of the shape parameter ( k )was ranged between ( 16.8 -1.8 ) and the scale
parameter ( c )was ranged between
( 5.5 -1.1 ) m/s .
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