NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll

March 2016
Michigan Questionnaire

Residents: n=2570, MOE +/-1.9%

Registered Voters: n=2229, MOE +/-2.1%

Potential Republican Electorate: n=877, MOE +/-3.3%

Likely Republican Primary Voters: n=482, MOE +/-4.5%
Potential Democratic Electorate: n=1030, MOE +/-3.1%
Likely Democratic Primary Voters: n=546, MOE +/-4.2%
Screener
<Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older?
Do you consider your permanent home address to be in Michigan?
HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY
GENDER GUESS
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as
president?
REGISTERED VOTERS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total
RESIDENTS
Approve
Disapprove
Unsure
Total
If the 2016 Republican presidential primary in Michigan were held today,
whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who are
undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee):
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
Uncommitted
Other
Undecided
Total

POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
Uncommitted
Other
Undecided
Total

March 2016
50
42
8
100
March 2016
50
41
9
100

March 2016
41
22
17
13
2
2
5
100

March 2016
39
21
17
12
3
1
6
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Michigan March 2016; Page 1

If the 2016 Republican presidential primary in Michigan were held today,

whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who are
undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee with Ben
Carson):
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
Ben Carson
Uncommitted
Other
Undecided
Total

March 2016

POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE

Donald Trump
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
Ben Carson
Uncommitted
Other
Undecided
Total

March 2016
38
19
15
11
10
2
1
5
100

40
19
15
11
9
2
1
3
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Michigan March 2016; Page 2

Who is your second choice for the 2016 Republican presidential primary in
Michigan (including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a
candidate):
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE
PREFERENCE
Ted Cruz
Marco Rubio
John Kasich
Ben Carson
Donald Trump
Uncommitted
Other
Undecided
Total
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE

Marco Rubio
Ted Cruz
John Kasich
Ben Carson
Donald Trump
Uncommitted
Other
Undecided
Total

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support

<candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently on Primary Day?
(including those who voted absentee)
LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE
PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
POTENTIAL REPUBLICAN ELECTORATE
WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total

March 2016
22
22
18
15
13
4
0
6
100
March 2016
23
21
17
15
13
4
0
7
100

March 2016
61
26
12
1
100
March 2016
56
29
14
1
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Michigan March 2016; Page 3

If the 2016 Democratic presidential primary in Michigan were held today,

whom would you support if the candidates are (including those who are
undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee):
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS
Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Uncommitted
Undecided
Total

March 2016
57
40
0
3
100

POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Uncommitted
Undecided
Total

March 2016
52
44
0
4
100

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support

<candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently on Primary Day?
(including those who voted absentee)
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE
PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total
POTENTIAL DEMOCRATIC ELECTORATE
WITH A CANDIDATE PREFERENCE
Strongly support
Somewhat support
Might vote differently
Unsure
Total

March 2016
72
22
5
1
100
March 2016
65
27
7
1
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Michigan March 2016; Page 4

If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
Donald Trump, the Republican
Undecided
Total

March 2016
52
36
13
100

If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
REGISTERED VOTERS
Hillary Clinton, the Democrat
Ted Cruz, the Republican
Undecided
Total

March 2016
48
41
11
100

If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
REGISTERED VOTERS
Bernie Sanders, the Democrat

March 2016
56
34
10
100

Donald Trump, the Republican

Undecided
Total

If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:
REGISTERED VOTERS
Bernie Sanders, the Democrat
Ted Cruz, the Republican
Undecided
Total
Are you male or female?
Male
Female
Total
Male
Female
Total
Male
Female
Total
Male
Female
Total

March 2016
54
36
10
100

RESIDENTS

March 2016
48
52
100

REGISTERED VOTERS

March 2016
47
53
100

LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS

March 2016
52
48
100

LIKELY DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS

March 2016
40
60
100

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll: Michigan March 2016; Page 5