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Economy is the study of the ways in which society manages scarce resources.
Scarcity means that the society has limited resources hence cannot produce all the goods
people wish to have.
What determines the allocation of resources?
Positive question: It asks for the description of how something is.
Most goods are allocated through markets. Therefore study of markets is at the core of
economics. A market is a place where buyers and sellers freely exchange goods.
Is the allocation of resources optimal?
Normative question: implies a value judgement (how should something be?).
Economists are typically concerned with efficiency. Most commonly employed concept
of efficiency is Pareto efficiency.
A situation is Pareto efficient if its impossible to make anyone better off without
making someone worst off.
Pareto efficiency is a very weak concept of what is desirable. No regard for equity,
justice, or liberty. (I have everything, you have nothing and I dont care).
Example 1: The marriage market.
Until recently, couples met mostly by chance. Now advantages in technology have
given us dating websites.
- How do economist answer questions?
Economics is a social science that studies decision-making in a world with scarce
resources. The scientific approach in economics consist of:
- Formulation of theories.
- Empirical analysis of data to test these theories.
METHODOLOGY IN ECONOMICS. The development of economic theory.
- The departure point is a set of assumptions (a model)
- The assumptions are combined (usually using maths or logic)
This delivers predictions, which can lead to:
+ New Theories
+ Empirical analysis
- Every model needs to be a simplification of reality.
Mathematics in economics.
- Advantages: Transparency (at least for insiders), logical consistency, and unexpected
conclusions.
- Disadvantages: Lack of transparency (for outsiders), can become end in itself, and
illusion of exactness.
THE PURE EXHANGE MODEL
A simple model can show how the free exchange can improve the welfare of
participants.
- Assumptions of the model:
Two people: Nerea and Carlos // Two goods: Oranges and onions
- Initial distribution: Nerea has got oranges and Carlos got onions.
- Preferences:
Nerea likes onions and shes willing to give up to 5 oranges for each onion.
Carlos likes oranges and hes willing to give up to 4 onions for each orange.
Questions:
Can they improve their situation by trading oranges for onions?
Would they be willing to exchange one onion for one orange?
Whats the interval of relative prices at which they would be willing to trade?
THE COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE MODEL (CAM): To enrich the previous model
we will add some more assumptions.
The objective is to be able to understand who produces what. We relax the assumption
of the initial distribution and now we assume that both oranges and onions are available
in nature. Nerea needs an hour to pick either 10 oranges or 2 onions and Carlos needs an
hour to pick either 1 orange or 4 onions.
OPORTUNITY COST. The opportunity cost of an item includes everything you have to
give up in order to get that item. E.g.: Examples: going to university or being with your
current boyfriend/girlfriend.
So we can answer the following questions
Whats the opportunity cost of Nerea (in terms of oranges) of producing 1 onion?
Whats the opportunity cost of Carlos (in terms of onions) of producing 1 orange?
How many oranges would Nerea be willing to produce and trade for 1 onion?
How many onions would Carlos be willing to produce and trade for 1 orange?
- Specialization will be good for both! Nerea will pick only oranges and Carlos onions.
What if Carlos is so productive that he produces either 100 oranges or 400 onions per
hour? Still, it is better for Carlos to trade onions for oranges!
If an agent has a lower opportunity cost of one good in terms of the other good than
the other agent, the first agent has a comparative advantage in the production of the
first good.
In our example, Nerea has a comparative advantage in the production of
oranges and Carlos in the production of onions.
The main lessons of the CAM are:
Trade can improve the welfare of all the participants
Even in the case in which one very productive person (country)
exchanges with a considerably less productive one
What matters for the PATTERNS OF TRADE are the opportunity costs.
They determine the comparative advantages (vs. absolute advantages)
Questions related to the CAM:
Do you think Einstein should do his own tax declaration?
Is it good for the USA to trade with Ethiopia?
And for Ethiopia to trade with USA?
Summary:
1) Economics tries to understand how people choose and deal with scarcity
2) Study of markets central to economics
3) Positive vs. normative analysis
4) Pareto efficiency
5) Opportunity cost is the relevant way to measure the cost of something
6) Trade can make everyone better off
7) Comparative advantages are important in determining who produces what
8) Micro and macroeconomics
The market. A market refers to an institution in which buyers and sellers freely
exchange a good. Its got two sides:
- Buyers determine the demand for the good.
- Sellers determine the supply of the good.
Perfect competition.
The perfect competition model assumes that buyers as well as seller are price takers:
A buyer (or a seller, but specially buyers) is a price taker if s/he cannot influence the
price of the good that is bought/sold.
- When can we expect buyers and sellers to be price takers?
When there are many buyers and sellers interested in the same good (an homogenous
good).
We call this type of
market a competitive
Price
Quantity
market.
Other market structures:
Monopoly: single
Oligopoly:
few
Monopolistic
sellers but with
products.
100
90
80
70
seller.
sellers.
Competition: many
slightly
different
60
4
The demand. The demand
curve.
The
quantity
demanded is the
50
5
quantity of a good
that buyers are willing
(and able) to buy in
each
possible
40
8
circumstance
determined by various
factors such as
prices, availability of
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
N of delivers
10
11
12
13
14
Ceteris Paribus
The demand curve is constructed under the assumption of ceteris paribus, which comes
from Latin, other things
being equal.
Price
Quanti
This means that the
demand curve is constructed only
ty
by looking at the effects
of changes in price. We keep all
other factors such as
prices of other goods, tastes
100
1
constant.
demand
90
80
70
60
50
40
to
particular
N of delivers
Marginal utility.
The increase in the welfare of an individual resulting from an additional unit of a good
is called the marginal utility of the good.
We will measure this welfare increase in monetary units, i.e. euros.
E.g.: What is the marginal utility for an oyster?
CLUE: What do you prefer right now, X euros or an oyster?
Decreasing
marginal Number of MgU
For most of the goods, oysters
resulting
from
the
1
10
decreases as we consume
- Your first oyster 2
7
have already eaten 10
6
going to add less to your 3
That is, the marginal 4
3
decreasing in the number
already. This property
5
3
Number
MgU
utility) holds for the
of6 oyster
1
1
10
utility.
the
welfare
increase
consumption of a good
more of that good.
is very tempting. If you
oysters, an additional one is
welfare.
utility of an oyster is
of oysters you have eaten
(decreasing
marginal
majority of goods.
We can express the marginal utility
as a decreasing function of the
quantity of oysters.
MgU (in s)
N of
Delivers
For each price, an individual would compare the price with the marginal utility
generated by that unit.
Price and MgU
(in s)
Number of oysters
The MgU curve is the demand curve of a price taker individual.
Price and MgU
(In s)
Number of
oysters
MgU
10
Number of oysters
(Review graphics,
not completed)
CONCLUSION
If the Marginal Utility is decreasing, the individual demand will be decreasing.
The law of demand will hold.
Price and MgU (in
s)
Number of MgU
oysters
1
10
Number of oysters
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132333435363738394041424344454647484950
Market demand.
Does the law of demand hold in the case of market demand?
In general, the market demand is a decreasing function of its own price for two reasons:
Individual demands are decreasing functions of price.
At a lower price, there are more individuals demanding the good.
Factors that affect the demand: market price, consumers income, prices of other
goods
Quantity demanded and demand function.
If theres a change in demand due to the change in the price of a good, ceteris paribus
there will be a movement along the demand curve!
D1
0
12
20
Shifts in demand.
If there is a change in a factor that affects the demand other than the price of the good.
There is a shift in demand. Graphically, it looks like a shift in the demand curve (left or
right).
Shifts in demand
Price of
cameras
I ncrease in
demand
Decrease in
demand
D3
D1
D2
Quantity of cameras
Inferior good:
- When a decrease in the price of a good increases the quantity demanded of another
good, these two goods are called complements.
Complements or substitutes?
Determine if the following items are complements or substitutes.
Movies and theatre plays.
Movies and popcorn.
Cigarettes and cigars.
Computers and printers
Restaurant food and wine.
Goalkeepers and strikers.
Summary:
1) Introduction:
The market: Supply and demand
Competitive markets: price-taking.
2) Individual demand:
Marginal utility
From marginal utility to individual demand
3) From individual to aggregate demand
4) Movements and shifts:
Normal versus inferior goods.
Complements versus substitutes
The quantity supplied: its the quantity of a good that sellers are willing (and able) to
sell in every possible circumstance (price of the good, price of factors of production).
Supply curve: function (or graph) that gives the supply for each price.
Price
Quantity
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
10
Number of deliveries
The law of supply states that there is a positive relationship between the price and the
quantity supplied,
E.g.: the supply curve has a positive slope.
Ceteris paribus:
The supply curve is drawn under the assumption ceteris paribus (remember,
from latin, other things equal).
It means that the supply curve is drawn keeping constant all the other things that
can influence the quantity supplied.
- Derivation of a supply curve:
In what follows we will study in detail the derivation of a supply curve. The first step is
to study the supply of an individual firm. Then, we will analyse the relationship between
the individual supply and the aggregate supply (or market supply).
- Firm as profit-maximizers:
Economists typically assume that firms seek to maximize profits. This assumption is not
always satisfied, especially in the short run (Maximization of market share,
Maximization of revenue, or Maximization of CEO ego).
Example:
For years, investors have complained that Amazon is chronically unprofitable.
As long as the company can grow its revenues, it can spend any profit it makes on new
lines of business that throw off more revenues.
- Economic vs. Accounting profit
Total costs
- Total costs:
7000
6000
Total Cost
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
0
10
12
14
16
18
Units Produced
Costs
800
600
400
200
0
0
8
10
12
UnitsProduced
Average Cost
Marginal cost
14
16
18
The curve of marginal cost is usually increasing because of the law of decreasing
marginal returns. If production is expanded by increasing the use of some resources
while others are kept constant, the LDMR is reasonable. There is a point at which the
fixed resources are overexploited and marginal costs start to increase. In reality
marginal cost curves often U-shaped.
- Aside: sunk costs
Sunk costs are costs that are irretrievable and therefore should not influence any future
decisions, whether in business of private life.
Example:
You have booked two trips for one weekend by accident, one for 50 and one for 100.
The trip for 50 would be slightly more fun.
Which one would you pick? How much each trip costs does not matter as you already
paid the price!
MgC,
Price
10
10
40
60
70
70
90
Number of
deliveries
- Aggregate supply:
Market
The aggregate
supply is the total quantity that all the firms or individuals want
supply
to sell at a given price.
S. Firm 2
Market supply
2+3=5
Market supply
The market supplycurve is the horizontal sumof the
individual supplies
S. Firm 1
S. Firm 2
Market supply
2+3=5
What
does this
step
mean?
- Determinants of supply:
Market price
Input Prices
Technology
Expectations
Number of producers
- Changes in the quantity supplied or movements along the supply:
Changes in the quantity supplied or movements along the supply curve arise when there
is a change in the market price of the product, other things equal.
Price
300
Anincreaseinthe
priceproducesa
movementalong
thesupplycurve
100
Quantity
S1
S2
Supply
reduction
Supply
increase
Quantity
- Shifts in the supply curve: Discuss how the following changes affect the supply curve
of deliveries:
The government puts a new tax on petrol.
Ikea limits the number of vans allowed in its parking lot.
There is a rise in the salary of van drivers.
A new bio fuel is invented which increases the efficiency of engines.
- Price elasticity of supply (and demand):
The price elasticity of supply is the percentage change in the quantity supplied when
the price changes by 1 %. It measures the response of the quantity supplied of a good to
a change in its own price. Everything we say about the price elasticity of supply can be
applied to the price elasticity of demand.
Price elasticity
The price elasticity of supply is computed as the percentage change in the quantity
supplied divided by the percentage change in the price.
P ric e e la s tic ity o f s u p p ly =
P e rc e n ta g e c h a n g e in q u a n tity s u p p lie d
P e rc e n ta g e c h a n g e in p ric e
Supply
1. A 25%
increase in
the price...
5
4
100
200 Quantity
1. Atanypriceabove4,
quantity suppliedis infinite.
Supply
4
2. Atexactly 4, producers
will supply anyquantity
3. Atany pricebelow
4,
thequantitysuppliedis
zero.
Quantity
Supply schedule
Quantity
Price
Quantity
100
100
13
90
90
13
80
80
12
70
70
10
60
60
50
50
40
30
40
30
10
Supply
9
8
7
6
Equilibrium
5
4
3
2
Demand
1
1
10
11
12
13
Transport quantity
- Market equilibrium:
Is the market equilibrium a reasonable prediction? Excess supply puts downward
pressure on prices.
Market equilibrium
Price (x10)
Supply
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Demand
Excess demand
1
10
11
12
13
Number of deliveries
Is the market equilibrium efficient in the sense that we cannot increase the total
welfare of buyers and sellers? (Even if this would require making some buyers/sellers
worse off):
- Consumer surplus is a measure of the gains of buyers thanks to the existence of the
market.
- Producers surplus is a measure of the gains of sellers thanks to the existence of the
market.
- Consumer surplus:
We return to the market for deliveries and assume a price of 50. The number of
deliveries is three. But each delivery is worth more than the price. The difference
between the value of the good and what is paid for it is the consumer surplus.
If we are interested in the surplus of all consumers, we can make a similar computation,
but summing the surplus of all consumers:
Price (x10)
N of deliveries
The areaunder
the cost curve
(MgC) givesus
the costs.
N of deliveries
The area between the price and the marginal cost (MgC) curve is the producer surplus.
If the supply
is the
market supply, this area is the total producer surplus.
The
area
Price (x10)
between the
price and the
marginal cost
(MgC) curve is
the producer
surplus
If the supplyis
the market
supply, this area
is the total
producer
Producers
surplus (or profit)
surplus
N of deliveries
N of deliveries
- TOTAL SURPLUS:
Consumer surplus = value for the buyers amount paid by the buyers
Producer surplus = amount received by the sellers cost for the sellers
Total surplus = consumer surplus + producer surplus
Total surplus = value for the buyers cost for the sellers
9
8
Supply
7
6 Consume
r
Equilibriu
surplus
m price 5 Producer
4 surplus
3
Demand
2
1
1
3
4
5
6
7
8
Equilibrium quantity
10
11
12
13
Quantity
If the quantity produced decreases some units that before generated surplus cease to be
produced theres a reduction in total surplus:
Price
9
8
Supply
Consume
r
surplus
Equilibriu 6
m price
5
Producer
4 surplus
Thereisa
reduc onintotal
surplus!
Demand
3
2
1
10
11
12
Reduction of quantity
13
Quantity
If the quantity produced increases additional units are not valued highly enough to
relative cost. Theres a reduction in total surplus:
Price
9
8
7
Equilibriu 6
m price
5
Supply
Consume
r
surplus
Producer
4 surplus
Demand
3
2
1
Reduction of quantity
10
11
12
13
Quantity
- Market outcomes:
From previous points we can conclude that free competitive markets
1) Assign the goods supplied to the buyers that value the most, which is measured by
their willingness to pay.
2) Assign the demand for the goods to the sellers that can produce at the lowest cost.
3) Induce a quantity of goods that maximizes the total sum of consumer and producer
surplus.
- Criticism of maximisation of total surplus:
Willingness to pay and marginal utility are not the same.
Does a rich person get more joy out of a something just because they are willing to pay
more for it?
Consumers may not understand what they are buying. (Use of medication often decided
by doctor, who may have other interests apart from patient welfare.)
Its possible to sell more units without any buyer paying more than they want to and
without any seller selling below costs. (See exercise on problem set 1)
- Comparative statics:
How does a change in the exogenous conditions in the model affect the equilibrium
variables? For example, changes in consumer income, changes in technology, changes
in the prices of substitute goods
What happens to price and quantity if the supply and demand shift?
- Summary:
1) What outcomes does the market produce?
Market equilibrium
Excess supply or demand and the price mechanism
2) Are market outcomes good?
Pareto efficiency
Consumer surplus and producer surplus
3) Changes in equilibrium