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been obscured. This is a SAMPLE ONLY.
Printed 3/25/2010
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
WeMakeItSafer
WeMakeItSafer is a web applications and information services company that builds tools for
consumers, manufacturers and retailers in the area of consumer product safety. To support
applications and services, WeMakeItSafer has created the most comprehensive database of U.S.
product recall statistics available anywhere. We have spent several years studying this data
alongside recall effectiveness reports, financial statements and market trends to identify the
characteristics most relevant to product safety and financial performance.
WeMakeItSafer's reports are based on extensive research and data analysis, summarized by
experts with a deep understanding of consumer product safety issues. When possible,
WeMakeItSafer has contacted the subject companies for comment and validation. The
information included in this report is presented in a format designed to be most useful to companies
and individuals desiring to understand product defect and recall trends. If you require different
segmentation, graphical representation or comparative data, please contact us via email at
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Reports@WeMakeItSafer.com.
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© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 2 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Table of Contents
U.S. Product Recalls – By the Numbers ...........................................................................4
Recall Announcements .............................................................................................................. 4
Chart: Number of Product Recalls Announced by CPSC, 1999 – 2008................................... 4
Product Units .............................................................................................................................. 5
Chart: Recalled Product Units, by Year .................................................................................... 5
Recall Effectiveness & Cost Implications ................................................................................ 6
Chart: Cumulative Unrecovered Recalled Product Units.......................................................... 6
Seasonality .................................................................................................................................. 8
Chart: Cumulative Monthly Product Recalls, by Year............................................................... 8
Types of Products Recalled .............................................................................................10
Product Categories .................................................................................................................. 10
Chart: Product Recalls by Category and Year ........................................................................ 11
Chart: Product Recalls by Category, 2004-2008 .................................................................... 11
Chart: Product Categories as a Percent of All Recalls ........................................................... 12
Chart: Recalled Product Units, by Category ........................................................................... 13
Recalled Products - in Dollars ........................................................................................14
Retail Prices of Recalled Products ......................................................................................... 14
Chart: Retail Prices of Recalled Products, by Quartile ........................................................... 14
Chart: Distribution of Recalled Product Prices ....................................................................... 15
Estimated Total Value of Recalled Products ......................................................................... 17
Chart: Retail Value of Recalled Products ............................................................................... 17
Chart: Product Category Contribution to Est. Total Value of Recalled Products, 2004-2008 18
Cause for Recall ...............................................................................................................19
The Hazards .............................................................................................................................. 19
Chart: Most Common Hazards by Year .................................................................................. 20
Chart: Hazards Cited in Recall Announcements, by Prevalence ........................................... 21
Reported Incidents ................................................................................................................... 22
Chart & Table: Number of Harmful Incidents Reported at Time of Recall .............................. 22
Chart: Percent of Recalls Implemented Before and After Incident of Defect Reported ......... 23
Chart: Number of Recalls Implemented Before and After Incident of Product Defect Reported
................................................................................................................................................ 24
Chart: Number of Recalls Implemented Before and After Incident of Product Defect Reported,
by Category ............................................................................................................................. 25
Recall Timing ...................................................................................................................26
Product Time on Market and Lag Time Before Recall .......................................................... 26
Chart: Recalled Products Time on Market .............................................................................. 27
Chart: Recall Lag Time ........................................................................................................... 27
Chart: Average Time on Market and Lag Time Before Recall of Defective Products ............ 28
Relationship Between Recall Timing and Incidents ............................................................. 29
Chart: Relationship Between Lag Time and Reported Incidents ............................................ 29
Appendix A: Listing of Product Categories, Subcategories and Types .....................30
Appendix B: Categorization of Children’s Products ....................................................34
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 3 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
We saw a marked [-] to over [#] recalls during 2007 due to numerous [-] recalls involving high levels
of [-]. Overall, during the period from 2004 through 2008, the Consumer Product Safety
Commission (CPSC) announced [#]recalls, with an average annual [-]crease of [#]%. If the
historical trend continues, we expect to see an [-]crease of approximately [#] product recalls issued
by the CPSC each year.
Sample
Purchase actual report at
WeMakeItSafer.com/RecallStatistics.html
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1
Annual recall numbers reported by WeMakeItSafer and the CPSC differ. WeMakeItSafer reports product
recalls based on the number of new or expanded recall announcements published by the CPSC within a
calendar year and treats each announcement as one recall. The exception to this treatment is when multiple,
dissimilar products are included in one announcement, in which case the different products are treated as
separate recalls. The CPSC reports annual recall numbers based on a fiscal year that begins in October and
appears to treat each product, regardless of similarity as a separate recall in its counts. Similarly, the CPSC
appears to count re-announcements of the same recall as an additional recall.
When adjusted for the fiscal year, WeMakeItSafer recall counts match the number of unique recalls in the
CPSC recall listings.
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 4 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Product Units
Product recalls typically involve [#] up to [#] individual units. In 2004, we saw the [-] number of
units recalled under a single announcement when [#] million pieces of [-] were recalled due to high
levels of lead.2 After excluding this extreme outlier, product recalls from 2004 through 2008
averaged [#] product units each. Still, the data are highly skewed with the [-] of recalls involving
fewer than [#] units.3 Over the five-year period, [#] recalls ([#]% of all recalls) involved [#] [-]illion or
more units. Overall, since 2004, there have been involved [#] [-]illion product-units recalled under
the CPSC, an average of involved [#] [-]illion per year.4
350
Sample
300
[-]illions
250
200
50
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
2
CPSC Recall Number [#]
3
The median number of units per recall for this time period is [#].
4
WeMakeItSafer’s calculation of units is taken from numbers reported in recall announcements. These
figures do not match numbers reported by the CPSC in annual reports. The CPSC has told WeMakeItSafer
that it does not track the number of recalled units reported in announcements, but has not yet responded to
our request for explanation of how numbers are calculated for reports. We assume that the CPSC uses
rounded estimates for units per recall, as we have been able to recreate CPSC reported figures in this
manner.
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 5 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Low effectiveness rates have long been a concern of the CPSC, manufacturers and consumer
advocates alike. Assuming a recall effectiveness rate of [#]% and average product life of [#] years,
recalls implemented between 2004 and 2008 have resulted in an estimated [#] [-]illion potentially
dangerous, unrecovered products. When including products recalled prior to 2004, that number
climbs to over [#] [-]illion units.6 While many of these products eventually end up in landfills, [-]
remain in circulation for [-] years after the recall has been announced.
1,000,000,000
800,000,000
600,000,000
Sample
400,000,000 Purchase actual report at
WeMakeItSafer.com/RecallStatistics.html
200,000,000
-
© WeMakeItSafer
5
WeMakeItSafer is in the process of studying the differences among remedy options, their effects, if any, on
financial performance and impacts on recall effectiveness. If you would like more information about these
analyses, please email: Reports@WeMakeItSafer.com for more information.
6
Estimate is based on an assumed [#]% product recovery within one year of the recall announcement,
followed by an additional [#]% product recovery the following year.
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 6 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Every unrecovered product represents a potential injury or death to a consumer and exposes the
companies involved to potential lawsuits and negative reputation effects. Costs to society
associated with product related incidents such as lost productivity, health care and legal system
expenses are also great. Using the Revised Injury Cost Model (Public Services Research Institute,
December 2000), the CPSC estimates costs to society from consumer product related injury, death
and property damage to be $[#] [-]illion annually. Using data in the same study, WeMakeItSafer
calculates an average cost of approximately $[#] per harmful incident.
Using incident report rates from recalls announced between 2004 through 2008,7 it is estimated
that defective products recalled during the ten year period from 1999 through 2008 caused
approximately [#] harmful events before being recalled. At an average cost of $[#] per harmful
incident, these products represent an estimated cost to society of $[#] [-]illion, before they were
recalled.8
Applying the Revised Injury Cost Model data to the approximately [#] [-]illion recalled product units
remaining in circulation after their recall is announced yields an aggregate, monetary exposure to
the U.S. of about $[#] [-]illion in potential societal costs from unrecovered recalled products. Of
course, not every unrecovered recalled product will cause a harmful event such as an injury, death
or damaging fire. Again, applying 2004-2008 incident report rates to the ten year period, it is
estimated that unrecovered recalled products from 1999 through 2008 will be the cause of
approximately [#] harmful events post recall, leading to additional societal costs in the range of $[#]
[-]illion to $[#] [-]illion.9
The cost to society of ineffective recalls does not include legal defense costs incurred by
companies for product liability lawsuits arising from harmful incidents, nor does it include any cost
of lost sales due to declining reputation from such events.
7
[#] recalls were used in this analysis. [#] recalls were excluded because the product sales dates were not
available, and [#] recalls were excluded because the number of harmful incidents was underreported or
ambiguous.
8
Incidents where damage was contained to the product itself, including instances of fire that did not damage
the surrounding area, were not counted as harmful incidents. This estimated cost to society is significantly
less than the CPSC’s $[#][-]illion estimate because the CPSC estimate looks at all consumer products and
harmful incidents — not specifically injuries that are associated with recalled products.
9
Estimates assume that only [#] of incidents are reported at the time of recall and that injuries occur at the
same average rate for products remaining in circulation after a recall as was reported at the time of recall.
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 7 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Seasonality
Recalls over the five year period exhibit seasonal trends, resulting in a pronounced spike in all but
[#] of the [#] calendar quarters. The [#] years, 200[#] and 200[#], follow a nearly identical pattern
over the course of the year. Starting off at a moderate pace in [-] , the number of recalls tend to
peak on the last month of each quarter, [-] , [-] and [-]ber. During the [-] quarter of the year, a
similar peak occurs in [-] ber before a sharp decline in [-]ber. For 200[#] and 200[#], this pattern is
replicated with the exception that the [#],[#] and [#]quarter peaks occur [#] month earlier, in [-],[-]ber
and [-]ber, for both years. 200[#] follows the same pattern as 200[#] and 200[#] through [-], then
follows the pattern of 200[#] and 200[#] until the end of the year.
© WeMakeItSafer
2008
Sample
2007
2006
Purchase actual report at
WeMakeItSafer.com/RecallStatistics.html
2005
2004
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Months
The [-] patterns exhibited seem to be inconsistent with CPSC reporting requirements. Companies
are required to report to the CPSC within 24 hours of receiving or identifying information “that
reasonably supports the conclusion that a product fails to meet a consumer product safety rule,
standard, or ban, contains a defect which could create a substantial product hazard or creates an
unreasonable risk of serious injury or death.”10 If companies choose the Fast Track option, recalls
are then implemented within [#] days of the initial report.11 Of those not implemented under Fast
10
CPSC Recall Handbook, 1999
11
The Fast Track system, adopted in 1997, allows companies to bypass CPSC determination, an evaluation
process through which the CPSC makes a determination on the product’s level of defect or risk.
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 8 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Track, recalls of regulated products are implemented within [#] business days ([#] weeks), and
recalls of non-regulated products are implemented within [#] business days ([#] weeks) from
determination.12
While some seasonality in identification of defects may be expected at times of increased sales
such as during the holidays, or with heightened use of particular seasonal products, in general, one
would expect that defects are no more likely to be identified, and therefore reported at the
beginning of a quarter than the end of the quarter and, therefore, recalls should be announced on a
fairly constant or random basis. Hence, it is unlikely that defect discovery rates alone explain the
quarterly patterns exhibited.
WeMakeItSafer has not analyzed potential causes of this seasonality; however, potential
explanations for the [-] patterns could include CPSC workloads and processes such as a drive
toward quarterly goals, manufacturer sales cycles or possible attempts to time reporting of defects
to control a recall’s impact on market events such as quarterly earnings reports.
12
CPSC 2010 Performance Budget Request, 2009
Timeframes are goals set by the CPSC and, according to the agency, are met over [#]% of the time.
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 9 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Nearly every consumer product used on a day-to-day basis falls under the CPSC’s jurisdiction. As
a general guideline, unless an item is intended to be swallowed or driven on public access roads
(or waters), it falls under the CPSC domain. Everything from baby bottles and books to
snowmobiles and yard tractors is monitored by and, when necessary, recalled by the CPSC. The
exceptions are food, drugs and cosmetics, which are controlled by the Food and Drug
Administration (FDA); motor vehicles; vehicle equipment and car seats, which fall under the
National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA); boats, which are controlled by the US
Coast Guard; and environmental products such as pesticides, which are governed by the
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
WeMakeItSafer groups consumer product recalls issued by the CPSC into seven product
categories.13 Appendix A provides a complete list of the product types included in each
subcategory. Appendix B provides additional information regarding classification of children’s
products.
13
WeMakeItSafer publishes category-specific reports that provide more detailed information on each
particular category of recalls, including additional data regarding the subcategories shown. For more
information, please visit: http://WeMakeItSafer.com/RecallStatistics.html.
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 10 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Sample
140
120
100
© WeMakeItSafer
80
60 Purchase actual report at
WeMakeItSafer.com/RecallStatistics.html
40
20
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Category A Category B Category C
Category D Category E Category F
Other
Category E
Category D
Sample Category B
Purchase actual report at
WeMakeItSafer.com/RecallStatistics.html
Category C
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 11 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Year over year, the percentage of recalls by category was fairly consistent. [Category A]’s products
and [Category C] products accounted for the most recalls and, from 200[#] through 200[#], were
similar with each accounting for approximately [#]% of annual recalls. However, in 200[#],
[Category A]’s recalls increased substantially to [#] recalls, representing a [#]% increase from the
previous year, and [#]% of all 200[#] recalls. There were fewer [Category A]’s product recalls in
200[#], totaling [#] recalls, but the overall percentage remained [-] at [#]% as the number of recalls
in other categories also [-]clined. The [-]creases in [Category A]’s product recalls during 200[#] and
200[#] are attributed to recalls related to toys and [Category A]’s [-].
Product Categories
As a Percent of All Recalls
100%
90%
80%
Sample
70% Other
Cateogry F
60%
Category E
50%
Category D
40% Purchase actual report at
WeMakeItSafer.com/RecallStatistics.html Category C
30%
© WeMakeItSafer Category B
20%
Category A
10%
0%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 12 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
As previously noted, the number of recalls and the number of product units recalled are not directly
proportional. Although [Category A]’s products accounted for [#] % of all recalls announced over
the five-year period, they accounted for approximately [#]% of recalled product units. The next
highest category by number of units was, again, [Category C] with [#]% of all units recalled,
although [Category C] products accounted for [#]% of all recalls announced. [Category C] had the
next highest number with [#]% of recalled units, followed closely by [Category D] with [#]% of
recalled units. Of the remaining major product categories, [Category E], which was the [#] common
type of product to be recalled, only accounted for [#]% of actual units recalled. [Category E]
accounted for just [#]% of units recalled.
Category G
Category F
Category A
Category E
Sample
Purchase actual report at
Category D WeMakeItSafer.com/RecallStatistics.html
Category B
© WeMakeItSafer
Category C
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 13 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Given the large variety of products monitored by the CPSC, it is no surprise that recalled products
vary greatly in retail price. In the years 2004 through 2008, prices ranged from $[#] to $[#]. Items
that had been given away for free, such as fast-food toys and promotional items, were recalled in
every year except 200[#]. In total, [#] free items were recalled, which accounted for approximately
[#] product units over the five year period. In [#], the least expensive product to be recalled was a
baby pacifier that sold for $[#].14
The highest average retail price for a recalled product was $[#] for a [-] recalled in 200[#]. The
boiler sold for up to $[#].15 The next highest average price was $[#] for a [-] recalled in 200[#],
which sold for a maximum price of $[#].16
Overall, the average price of recalled products over the five year period was $[#], ranging from an
average price of $[#] in 200[#] to $[#] in 200[#]; however, the data are highly skewed. As shown in
the box plot below, well over [#] of the recalled products are priced [-] $[#] in each year, with the
median falling between $[#] and $[#]. 17, 18
Sample
Purchase actual report at
WeMakeItSafer.com/RecallStatistics.html
14
CPSC Recall Number [#]
15
CPSC Recall Number [#]
16
CPSC Recall Number [#]
17
When a price range rather than a single price point is given for a recalled product, the average price is
used. When multiple products are included in the same recall, and different prices or price ranges are given,
the recall is counted in each price range. [#] ([#]%) recalls, accounting for [#] price points, are represented in
the analysis. Prices were unavailable for [#] ([#]%) recalls.
18
The fourth quartile in the above box plot is not to scale.
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 14 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
900
$USD
800
700
600
500
400
Sample
300
200
100
80
60
Purchase actual report at
40
WeMakeItSafer.com/RecallStatistics.html
20
10
5
1
-
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 15 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
number of recalls [-]creases as the product price [-]. When isolated even further, to products below
$[#], the correlation is strong at [#]. Again, we caution against interpretation of causation. These
data do not support the conclusion that [-]er priced items are [-] likely to be defective or recalled.
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 16 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
While many recalls require the replacement of the entire product, repairs are also common and, in
those cases, the full price of the product is not lost. Still, this analysis of the overall value of
products recalled gives some indication of the potential monetary impact. Other direct costs to be
considered include, but are not limited to, advertisement of the recall, shipping expenses, parts and
labor for repairs, warehousing and destruction of unsalable goods and internal administrative
costs.21
© WeMakeItSafer
Sample
[-]illions $USD
Product Value
The product value of a particular recall is sometimes driven by price and other times by quantity of
units without any strong pattern when looking at all product types combined. For example, in
200[#], the overall estimated value of recalled products was largely driven by several recalls of [-],
each of which accounted for an average of only [#] units but averaged over $[#]. In 2007, however,
the [-]est overall values were attributed to recalls of [-][#]illion dishwashers with average prices
under $[#].
19
The dollar value of products recalled is estimated using the prices and the number of units reported in each
recall announcement. When a price range is given for a recalled product, the average price is used. When
multiple products with different prices or price ranges are given for the same recall, units are attributed
accordingly. If division of units across products is unavailable, an equal distribution is assumed.
20
Average and median are based on individual products. More than one product may be included in a single
recall.
21
WeMakeItSafer is conducting studies regarding direct and indirect costs of product recalls. Please email:
Reports@WeMakeItSafer.com for more information.
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 17 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Overall, the number of product units affected in a given recall has [-] correlation with the price of
products recalled ([#]). There is some [#] correlation between price and overall recall value ([#]),
but [-] correlation between the number of units and value ([#]).
As noted above, for the five year period, the highest priced recalled products were in the [Category
C] category, while the highest number of units recalled was in [Category A]’s products. Over the
same time period, the product category that contributed the most to the estimated total value of
recalled products of $[#] billion was [Category E] with $[#] billion ([#]%) worth of products recalled.
The next highest category was [Category C] with $[#]billion ([#]%) worth of products recalled,
followed by [Category B] at $6.9 billion ([#]%).22 [Category A]’s products, although the most
prevalent type of recall and the highest number of units, only account for $[#] billion ([#]%) worth of
recalled products due to the [-]er price point of many [Category A]’s items such as [-] and [-].
Sample
Category E
Category D
Purchase actual report at
WeMakeItSafer.com/RecallStatistics.html
Category B
© WeMakeItSafer
Category C
Chart: Product Category Contribution to Est. Total Value of Recalled Products, 2004-2008
22
Additional information on pricing, units and value for each type of product can be found in WeMakeItSafer’s
category level reports. Please visit http://WeMakeItSafer.com/RecallStatistics.html for more information.
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 18 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Burn (not fire related) (e.g., burns caused by chemicals or overheating objects)
Choking (e.g., small parts on children’s products)
Crash (e.g., loss of control of or fall from a moving vehicle or bicycle)
Cuts & Amputation (e.g., sharp edges, missing safety guards on power tools)
Drowning & Decompression (e.g., defective pool safety or diving equipment)
Electrocution (e.g., faulty wiring, lack of safety requirements to prevent shock)
Emergency Response (e.g., defective alarms or evacuation equipment)
Entrapment (e.g. small spaces on children’s gear, gaps in crib frame)
Fall (e.g., collapse of furniture or swing)
Fire & Fire-Related Burn (e.g., faulty wiring, high flames on candles)
Impact & Impalement (e.g., flying objects or projections, including from explosion)
Internal Injury (e.g., ingestible magnets, bodily injury not elsewhere classified)
Poisoning (e.g., harmful or irritating chemicals, carbon monoxide fumes, lead paint)
Strangling & Suffocation (e.g., drawstrings on sweatshirts, collapsible play yards)
Over the five year period, [Hazard A] was by far the most common hazard, cited by [#] recall
announcements. The next most frequent hazard classification during this time period was [Hazard
B] with [#] recalls, followed by [Hazard C], each with [#] recalls. The least common hazard was
[Hazard D] with only [#] recalls over the five year period.
The number of recalls citing [Hazard E] hazards [-]creased steadily from 200 [#] through 200 [#],
but [-]ed slightly in 2008. Overall, the total number of recalls citing this hazard [-]creased [#] %
from 2004 to 200[#].
As seen in the chart below, [Hazard D] classifications [-]creased dramatically in 200[#], overtaking
[Hazard A] as the number one hazard type due to a significant number of [-] related recalls. [-]
related recalls remained high in 2008. In 200[#] and 200[#], there were [#] and [#] recalls,
respectively, citing lead poisoning hazards. These numbers lie in stark contrast to the previous
years when there had been no more than [-] such recalls per year.
Interestingly, although Mattel, Inc. [MAT] received extensive media coverage and is often
referenced when discussing the 2007 lead recalls, Mattel accounted for just [#] of the [#] recall
announcements and around [#]illion of the [#]illion product units recalled for excessive levels of
lead.
23
The CPSC also classifies recalls by type of hazard; however, CPSC classifications are inconsistent over
time. WeMakeItSafer has classified each recall based on information presented in the recall announcements.
Recall announcements may cite more than one safety threat and, therefore, may be counted in more than one
hazard type; the [#] recalls analyzed represent [#] hazards.
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 19 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
60
50
Hazard A
40 Hazard B
Hazard C
Sample
Hazard D
30
Hazard E
Hazard F
20 Hazard G
Purchase actual report at
WeMakeItSafer.com/RecallStatistics.html
10
0
© WeMakeItSafer
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Although it is not one of the most common recall hazards, [Hazard F] recalls [-] significantly from
2007 to 2008 to [#] recalls, a [#]% increase over [#] and a [#]% [-]crease [-][#] levels. The [-]crease
is largely due to expanded CPSC efforts to enforce safety standards regarding drawstrings in
children’s apparel. [#] of the [#] [Hazard F] recalls in [#] were for [-] in children’s [-].
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 20 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
© WeMakeItSafer
450
400
350
300
250 2008
2007
2006
200 2005
Sample
2004
150
50
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 21 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Reported Incidents
Product recall announcements nearly always show the number of incidents, meaning the number
of times the product defect in question was reported by consumers to the CPSC or the
manufacturer. The number of incidents may also include observations by the CPSC as identified
during testing or investigation, for example. If there were a harmful event such as an injury, death
or property damage associated with the incident, those numbers are also reported.
The number of incidents shown in recall announcements is often [-]. For example, some recall
announcements list the same number of harmful events as there are incidents; however, for most
products, it is unlikely that every incident of failure results in an injury or property damage. In those
cases, the manufacturer may have tracked only reports of harm. It is also true that most consumers
do not report incidents, even those that involve a harmful event, to the manufacturer or the CPSC.
It is estimated that only [#]% of incidents are reported.
Additionally, some of the recall announcements are unclear about the number of harmful incidents
that were reported, stating numbers like “several” or “some” injuries; at other times minimum
numbers were provided with statements such as “at least [#] reports.” WeMakeItSafer calculates
the number of harmful incidents reported using the smallest number that would make the
statements true. The reported figures should be treated as minimums.24
1400
1200
1000
800
600
Sample
400 Purchase actual report at
WeMakeItSafer.com/RecallStatistics.html
200
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Deaths 2 0 7 6 7
Sample
Injuries 550 820 500 970 620
Fires (with Property
Damage) 110 60 60 120 110
24
Incidents where damage was contained to the product itself were not counted as harmful incidents. About
[#] incidents of fire that did not indicate damage to the surrounding area are not included as harmful events.
Injuries resulting from fires are counted under Injuries.
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 22 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
In 200[#], [#] ([#]%) of the approximately [#] reported incidents of property damage not related to
fire were due to a single recall of Stanley thermoses that broke, releasing chemical powders into
the air. The same recall cited [#] reports of injury and [#] incidents in total.25 Also in 200[#],[#]
recall of a Graco stroller reported [#] injuries, accounting for [#]% of the injuries reported that
year.26
In 200[#],[#] recalls together accounted for [#]% of the approximately [#] reported injuries. [#] recall
of an Evenflo infant carrier that had [#] injuries and [#] total incidents reported by the date of the
recall.27 The other was an Intex ladder with [#] injuries and [#] total incidents reported at the time of
recall.28 In 200[#], [#] incidents, including [#] injuries, were reported with the recall of Topsy-Turvy
tomato planters.29 [#] recall accounts for [#]% of the injuries reported that year.
Overall, of the [#] recall announcements from 200[#] through 2008, [#] ([#]%) indicated that there
were [#] incidents reported as of the date of the recall. For the other [#] ([#]%), approximately [#]
incidents were reported, about [#] of which were harmful. Of the harmful events, [#] involved
injuries, [#] of which resulted in death, and [#] cases of property damage were reported.
Approximately [#] of the incidents of property damage were due to fire. There were about [#]
additional reports of fire that did not result in property damage beyond the product itself.
Chart: Percent of Recalls Implemented Before and After Incident of Defect Reported
25
CPSC Recall Number [#]
26
CPSC Recall Number [#]
27
CPSC Recall Number [#]
28
CPSC Recall Number [#]
29
CPSC Recall Number [#]
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 23 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Companies that implement recalls before having received any reports of product failure, have
typically identified the defect in-house through testing. In the years 200[#] through 200[#], only
about [#] of recalls were implemented prior to either the CPSC or the manufacturer having received
reports of the product’s failure. The sharp increase to [#]% in 200[#] is due to the high number of
recalls related to lead poisoning hazards for which incidents and injuries are almost never reported,
even when they exist.
Unlike injuries caused by a malfunctioning product, lead poisoning does not happen instantly.
Rather, lead accumulates in the body over time with repeated exposure, and the harmful effects
may not be realized until months or even years later. Once lead poisoning is suspected, a blood
test is required to determine whether the individual has been exposed. If the individual does test
positive for high levels of lead, it is usually very difficult to determine exactly from where the lead
derived. It is therefore expected that products recalled due to excessive levels of lead will not have
any reported incidents except in rare instances, for example, when a piece of lead-containing
jewelry is found in a child’s system after swallowing.
90 Recalls Implemented
After Incidents
70 Reported, Before Any
Harm Reported
50
Recalls Implemented
30 After Incidents of
Harmful Events
10 Reported
Chart: Number of Recalls Implemented Before and After Incident of Product Defect Reported
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 24 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
In every product category except [Category A]’s, the majority of recalls occur only after the
manufacturer or the CPSC has received reports of product failure, about half of which include
reports of injury, death or property damage. When we exclude the [#] lead-related [Category A]’s
product recalls, the majority of [Category A]’s product recalls also occur after reports of product
failure, [#]% of the time.
[Category C] product recalls have the [-]est rate of product failure being reported at the time of
recall. [#]% of [Category C] product recalls occur after reports of failure have been received, with
[#]% of [Category C] recalls reporting at least [-] harmful event. The category with the [-]st rate of
incidents reported at the time of recall was [Category A]’s at [#]%,[#]% of the incidents included
reports of harm. Again, when excluding lead-related recalls, [#]% of [Category A]’s product recalls
included reports of product failure.
Chart: Number of Recalls Implemented Before and After Incident of Product Defect Reported, by Category
Sample
600 Recalls Implemented After Incidents
Reported, Before Any Harm Reported
500 Recalls Implemented After Incidents
of Harmful Events Reported
400
100
0
Category A Category B Category C Category D Category E Category F
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 25 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Recall Timing
Product Time on Market and Lag Time Before Recall
Time on Market is the period over which a product is sold new. It begins with the first sale of the
product and ends when the product is no longer sold in retail establishments. Time on Market does
not include after-market sales such as those of secondhand goods. Lag Time is the period of time
a defective product is in circulation before it is recalled. It begins with the first sale of the product
and ends with the date the recall is announced.30
Often, Time on Market and Lag Time are equal because the recall itself is what causes retailers to
stop selling the product. Other times, manufacturers pull a product from market as soon as they
determine a recall is imminent, [-] to [-] month before the recall announcement is released. In this
case, the Lag Times will be greater than Time on Market. Lag Time is also greater than Time on
Market in instances when the product is no longer being sold several months or years before the
potentially harmful defect is discovered.31
For products recalled from 2004 through 2008, the Time on Market ranged from [#] to [#] years,
with an average of about [#] months. At the top of the range was a grocery store, frozen food case
sold from the mid-19[#]0s until June 200[#], when it was recalled for repair after [#] reports that the
[-] used in the cases had been forcefully ejected from their units.32
Of products that were ultimately recalled, [#]had been sold for [#] to [#] years, and [#] were sold for
[#] years or more. The majority of recalled products are at the other end of the spectrum, with [#]%
having been on the market for [#] year or [#] before they were recalled. [#]% were on the market for
[#] months or [-] .
During the same time period, Lag Times ranged from [#] months to [#] months, with an average of
about [#] months. The product with the longest Lag Time was a Berko electric space heater sold
from [#] through February [#] and recalled [#] years later in August 200[#], after having received [#]
reports of fires that caused property damage.33
[#] products had recall Lag Times of [#] to [#]years, and [#] had Lag Times of [#] years or more. At
the opposite end of the range, [#]% of recalls occurred within [#] years of the product having been
first sold, and [#]% had Lag Times of [#]months or less.
30
Recall announcements list sales dates to the month; recall dates are provided to the day. WeMakeItSafer
treats partial months as one month.
31
[#] recalls did not indicate sales dates and were removed from the data. Time on Market and Recall Lag
Time analyses are based on [#] recalls.
32
CPSC Recall Number [#]
33
CPSC Recall Number [#]
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 26 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
5 Yrs 5 Mo
6 Mo
Sample
4 Yrs 4 Mo
7 Mo
3 Yrs
1 Year or Less 8 Mo
3 Mo
53%
© WeMakeItSafer
The Percentage of Recalls With Times Less Than or Equal to the Time Shown
Sample
4 Yrs
6 Mo
9 Mo
The Percentage of Recalls With Times Less Than or Equal to the TimeShown
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 27 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
For [#]% of recalls, Lag Time is greater than Time on Market by one year or less. For [#]% of
recalls, the difference is two months or less. One possible explanation is that companies stop
selling the product on the same day or just prior to notifying the CPSC of the defect, with the intent
of implementing a Fast Track recall. The Fast Track system, adopted in 1997, allows companies to
bypass CPSC determination, an evaluation process through which the CPSC makes a
determination on the product’s level of defect or risk. This evaluation process can take several
weeks, and in the end, the company may not agree with the final conclusion or the wording that is
presented to the public. A company can avoid CPSC determination by implementing a voluntary
recall within 20 days of the company’s initial notification to the CPSC. This process, referred to as
Fast Track, speeds implementation of the recall and decreases the difference between Time on
Market and Lag Time. According to the CPSC, about half of all product recalls are Fast Track
recalls.
Chart: Average Time on Market and Lag Time Before Recall of Defective Products
Sample
25
20
Months
15
Purchase actual report at
10 WeMakeItSafer.com/RecallStatistics.html
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 28 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
The chart below shows regression results for Lag Times on the number of incidents reported for
recalls with Lag Times of five years or less, which includes [#]% of all recalls. All else being equal,
on average, it is expected that [#] additional incident(s) will be reported for every [#] months that
goes by before a defective product is recalled. [#] additional harmful incident is reported for every
[#] months that go by before a defective product is recalled.
Sample
10
8 Harmful
Incidents
6
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Number of Months
Chart: Relationship Between Lag Time and Reported Incidents
As discussed above, due to the nature of lead poisoning, products recalled due to excessive levels
of lead rarely have any incidents reported at the time of recall. Not surprisingly, after excluding
recalls with lead related hazards from the above analysis, the average number of incidents and
harmful incidents reported goes up. On average, not including lead poisoning related recalls, [#]
additional incident of product failure is reported every [#] days that a defective product goes without
being recalled, and [#] additional harmful incident is reported every [#] months.
As previously noted, reports of incidents and harmful events should be considered minimums.
34
Harmful events include reports of injury, death or property damage. Reports of damage that was contained
to the product itself were not counted as harmful events, but were counted as incidents. About [#] incidents of
fire that did not indicate damage to the surrounding area are not included as harmful events. Injuries resulting
from fires are counted under Injuries.
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 29 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 30 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
TV, Audio & Video Electric Water Heaters
Amplifiers Faucets & Related
Audio/Video Systems & Accessories Gas Water Heaters & Accessories
DVD/CD/MP3 Players Hot Water Valves (Residential Heating)
Radios & Music Players Portable Hydration Units
Radios (Weather) Sump Pumps
Remote Controls Water Pumps
Speakers Power & Hand Tools
Televisions, Mounts, Guards & Antennas Drills & Bits
Wireless Headsets Hatchets and Splitters
Farming Equipment & Supplies Jack Lift Tools and Kits
Farming Equipment & Supplies Nailers
Farming Equipment & Supplies Pressure Washers
Food & Supplements Sanders/Grinders & Routers
Grocery Saws & Splitters
Food & Drink Screwdrivers
Vitamins & Supplements Tools Miscellaneous
Vitamins & Supplements Welders & Soldering Guns/Irons
Guns & Accessories Propane & Gas
Guns & Accessories Connectors, Regulators & Hoses
Guns & Accessories Cylinders, Tanks and Fuel
Hardware, Tools & Building Supply Gas Control Valves
Air Compressors & Pumps Roof & Skylight
Air Compressors Roof Glass/Skylights
Air Pumps Sealers
Electrical Sealers
Arc Fault Circuit Interrupters (AFCI) Windows & Doors
Circuit Breakers Door Locks
Circuit Testers Doors & Door Knobs
Electrical Outlets & Accessories Windows
Electrical Testers Health & Beauty
Generators Beauty Supply
Meter Boxes Eyelash Curlers
Portable Generators Manicure / Pedicure
Power Cords Hair Care
Switches Curling/Hair Straightening Irons
Voltage Testers Hair Dryers
Wire & Wire-Related Personal Care
Engines / Motors Massagers
Electric Motors Hobby
Engines Arts & Crafts
Hardware & Paint Arts & Crafts
Paint & Coating Items Glue Guns
Heating & Cooling General Hobby Items
Automatic Gas Vent Dampers Other Hobby Items
Environmental Units Sewing & Fabric
Furnaces Sewing Machines
Heating/Cooling Units
Packaged Terminal Air Conditioner/Heat Pump
(PTAC) Home & Garden
Appliances (See Kitchen & Dining for small
Radiators kitchen appliances and gadgets.)
Vent Pipes Air Cleaners/Purifiers
Ventilators Dehumidifiers
Ladders & Stairs Dishwashers
Ladders & Accessories Dryers
Other Hardware, Tools & Building Fans
Locks (Combination/Key) Freezers
Shop Vacs Humidifiers
Trouble/Work Lights & Flashlights Ovens/Stoves/ Ranges/Microwaves
Plumbing Refrigerators
Baths Space Heaters
Boilers & Accessories Washing Machines
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 31 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Art & Decor Grills, Smokers & Accessories
Artwork Hammocks
Candles & Candle Holders Patio & Lawn Furniture
Decorations & Party Items Torches
Figurines UV Fabric Protector
Frames Wooden Hammock Stands
Holiday Items (except lights) Pest Control
Lights (Seasonal) Bug Killers
Mirrors Insect Traps
Potpourri & Aromatherapy Items Safety & Security
Snow/Water Globes Carbon Monoxide Detectors/Alarms
Vases Fire Extinguishers
Bed & Bath Fire Suppressors
Mattresses & Mattress Covers Fire Warning Systems
Medicine Cabinets Heat Detectors
Pillows, Sheets & Blankets Home Control/Alarm Systems
Shower Items Safes
Vaporizers/Diffusers Safety Relief Plugs
Cleaning & Laundry Safety/Emergency Tool Kits
Air Fresheners Smoke Detectors/Alarms
Cleaners/Cleaning Products Smoke Hoods
Clothing Irons Sprinklers (Fire)
Steam Cleaners Window
Vacuum Cleaners/Sweepers Blinds, Shades & Cords
Fireplaces & Accessories Yard / Property Maintenance
Fireplaces & Accessories Augers
Flooring & Rugs Blowers & Yard Vacs
Carpets and Rugs Brush Cutters
Furniture Decking Materials
Beds and Cots Edgers
Chairs and Stools Flame Weeders
Chests/Trunks Hedge Trimmers
Furniture (Miscellaneous) Lawn Mowers (Not Riding)
Futon Mattresses Planting/Gardening Accessories
Television Carts/Stands/Entertainment Centers Snow Blowers & Throwers
Kitchen & Dining Sprayers
Blenders, Mixers & Juicers Sprinklers (Lawn)
Bottles (Sports/Water/Thermos) Weed Trimmers
Cake Decorations Wheelbarrows/Garden Carts
Carafes/Jars Industrial, Business & Scientific
Coffee/Tea/Espresso Makers & Kettles Amusement Park Related
Cookers & Cookware Amusement Rides
Cooking Torches Building Maintenance & Security
Cooking/Preparation Utensils Building Security
Dishes/Glassware/Eating Utensils Exit and Emergency Lights
Food Dehydrator/Preserver/Processor Hand Dryers
Ice Shavers Service Doors & Access
Sake Warmers Signs
Soda Machines Choral Risers
Timers Choral Risers
Toasters/Toaster Ovens Food Related
Waffle Irons Displays & Freezer Cases
Water/Drink Coolers & Dispensers Food Makers & Machines
Lighters & Matches Playground Equipment
Lighters Swings, Slides & Play Structures
Matches Public Announcement (PA) Systems
Lighting Public Announcement Systems
Lamps Science Supply
Lights & Accessories Laboratory Equipment
Outdoor Cooking, Furniture & Decor Polariscopes
Fire Pits, Heaters & Accessories Thermostats/Thermometers/Sensors
Flagpoles
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 32 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Musical Instruments Personal Transport
Musical Instruments Human Transporters
Musical Instruments Riding Mowers & Yard Tractors
Pet Supplies Riding Mowers & Yard Tractors
Pet Supplies
Aquariums & Accessories
Pet Accessories
Sports, Outdoors & Recreation
Camping, Hiking, Fishing & Hunting
Climbing Equipment
Fishing Items
Hunting Equipment
Other Outdoor Items
Spear/Dart Guns
Tents & Canopies
Fitness & Exercise
Exercise Machines/Equipment
Float Tanks
Outdoor Games & Equipment
Fireworks & Accessories
Paintball Equipment & Accessories
Sporting Goods & Equipment
Baseball/Softball Accessories
Basketball
Bicycles & Accessories
Helmets & Helmet Accessories
Horseback Riding Accessories
Pitchbacks
Scuba Diving/Water Activity Equipment
Skiing/Snowboarding
Sports Equipment & Accessories
Swimming Pool & Spa
Hot Tubs/Spas
Saunas
Swimming Pool Items
Stationery & Office Supply
Desk Accessories
Paperweights
Staplers
Office Machines
Copiers & Printers
Facsimile (FAX) Machines
Laminators
Light Boxes
Paper Shredders
Projectors
Paper Products
Journals & Calendars
Vehicles, Tractors & Motorsports
General Automotive
Automotive Products
Golf Carts & Utility Vehicles
Golf Carts (Riding)
Other Carts & Utility Vehicles
Utility Vehicles
Motorsports & Riding
All Terrain Vehicles (ATVs)
Go-Karts & Accessories
Motorcycles, Dirt Bikes & Accessories
Snowmobiles
Vehicle Accessories
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 33 of 34
CPSC Recalls, 2004 - 2008
Products that could be used by children but are not primarily intended for children are not included
in the Children’s category, even if the product was recalled due to a potential hazard to children.
For example, both a coffee table and a candle containing high levels of lead, which can be
dangerous to children, would be included in [Category C] rather than in Children’s because neither
the coffee table nor the candle is a children’s product .
Similarly, bicycles and sporting equipment may be used by children. However, unless the item was
intended primarily for a child, they will be included in Sports, Outdoors & Recreation. One example
is a professional-height basketball hoop that can be installed in a backyard. While children may
shoot baskets on the hoop, it is not primarily intended for children twelve and under and would be
included in the [Category D] category. On the other hand, a five foot, plastic basketball hoop that
can generally only be used by children, will be in the Children’s category.
Products that have exceptions to the above rule, or for which additional explanation may be helpful,
are discussed below.
Video Game Consoles – While many households without children have game consoles and,
therefore, it can be argued that the consoles are not primarily intended for children, because the
consoles are required to play games that are often primarily intended for children, we have
included video game consoles in the Children’s category.
Youth ATVs – The majority of Youth ATVs are designed for use by teens and are not intended for
children twelve and under. Some ATVs in the 70cc to 90cc range have age recommendations of
twelve and up; rarely are ATVs greater than 50cc recommended for children under twelve. If age
recommendations are not provided, consideration is given to the manufacturer (whether a toy
company or a recreational vehicle company), the speed the vehicle travels, the power source and
the size of the engine. In general, we have included Youth ATVs over 50cc in the Vehicles,
Tractors & Motorsports category. Youth ATVs that are 50cc or less, and ATV-shaped ride-on toys
intended for small children, are included in Children’s.
Motorbikes and Go Karts – The same methodology used in determining ATV classification is used
for classification of motorbikes. Unless the product is a ride-on toy shaped like a motorcycle or Go
Kart, or children are specifically mentioned in the recall, these products are included in Vehicles,
Tractors & Motorsports.
Bicycle Motocross (BMX) Bikes - Bicycle Motocross (BMX) is considered an extreme sport, the
participants of which are most often teens and adults. Because BMX bikes tend to be smaller in
size and have less complicated gearing mechanisms compared to other adult bikes, BMX bikes
may be used by children. However, BMX bikes are not primarily intended for children and are not
included in the Children’s product category unless a recall announcement specifically identifies the
bike as a children’s bike.
© 2010 WeMakeItSafer 34 of 34