Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Taso Anastasiou
Director: Technical Strategy
UBS Investment Bank
Phone : +41-44-239 91 04
E-Mail : taso.anastasiou@ubs.com
Brief History
SECTION 1
Interpretation
Timing trades with candlestick patterns
Money management identifying risk levels
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Candlestick History
By the early 15th century the Shogun Tokugawa had created a
unified country by pacifying the 60 Daimyo feudal lords. This
facilitated more freedom to trade between the provinces as well
as towns such as Edo and Osaka. (Osaka became the centre of this
trading activity). Even today, the traditional greeting in Osaka is
Mokarimakka, which translated means, are you making a
profit?
Early records show charts were first used in Japan in the early 16th
Century to record price fluctuations on feudal Japans rice
exchanges
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Anchor line
Bar chart
Close
Open
Close
Open
Open
Close
Close
o
o
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Candlestick Components
Close
Open
Open
Close
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Candlestick Composition
Uwakage
Upper shadow
Real body
Jittai
Shitakage
L
C Lower shadow
Upper Shadow
Real Body
Lower Shadow
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Most technical indicators use the closing prices as the basis for
their calculations
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Close
Open
Close
Open
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Normalcontinuation
Neutralcorrection
Dangerreversal
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UwakageShitakage Shadows
Critical support
TAKURI
Testing the Water
Short
covering
and buying
pressure
off this level
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Fair
value
area
Sellers
Close
Fair price
Point of control
Buyers
Extremes
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RBbecoming smaller
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The smaller the real body, the weaker the line. Typically this
reflects consolidation when uncertainty exists and traders square
positions looking for a potential reversal or correction
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The classification
The original eight
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A new perspective
Any market can only make one of eight moves
Interpretations may vary in different markets but the basis
remains the same
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(+)
()
20
Standard lines
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(+/)
(+/)
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Koma
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24
Hoshi
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3. The Dojireversal
Juji
Tohba
Tonba
The Doji represents the area where Bulls and the Bears meet.
Opening / closing prices are equal. Doji means same as, in
Japanese
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Juji
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Tohba
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DojiNIKKEI
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Takuri -
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Ku
Hoshi
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Doji Star
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4. The UmbrellaKarakasa
Hanging Man
Takuri
Hammer
Takuri
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4. KarakasaUmbrella reversal
There are two distinctive variations of the umbrella pattern
The Hanging Man which appears at a market top and the
Hammer which appears at a market bottom
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Support
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LIFFE Lg-Gilt
Hanging Man
Shooting Star
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Support
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Hammer
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Karakasa
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Hammer
Hammer
Piercing Line
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5. Inverted Hammerreversal
Shooting Star
Inverted Hammer
42
Shooting Star
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Shooting Star
Shooting Star
Shooting Star
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Shooting Star
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Opening
Marubozu
Opening
Marubozu
Closing
Marubozu
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8. The Marubozu
50% level
critical
47
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The classification
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53
54
55
56
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Sandome no shojiki
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Gyakushushen
Counter attack lines
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Close
Trend
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Open
Gap
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Open
into consideration at
this stage
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additional understanding
to the analyst and
suggests that this pattern
does not require
confirmation
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66
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Bearish Deaisen
Major support
Gap
2/D,C
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Examples
USDJPY
Bearish Engulfing
Pattern
Bearish Deaisen
Two Crows
Hammer
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72
Kabuse line
b
a
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Kabuse
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Major support
Gap
2/D,C
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Kirikomi line
50%
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Kirikomi
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2/D,C
Tonkachi
2/D,C
2/D,C
Bozu
Standard
line
50%
Positive
Neutral
Continuation
78
Harami Cross
Support
Support
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Support
Shooting
Star
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Confirmation is required ( a
Trading strategy
Resistance
Tonkachi
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Also known as
the Doji cross
Because the last line is a Doji this pattern is much more significant
than the standard Harami line
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2/D,C
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Doji Star
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8a. Tasuki
Support
Resistance
This pattern is closely related to the Tasuki Gap which is a three line
reversal pattern
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Tasuki
Bullish Tasuki
Bullish Tasuki
Bullish Tasuki
Piercing Line
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Support
Resistance
The Tasuki Gap is a form of star, but rather than a spinning top or
Doji the gap is part of a Standard line. The Ambush line is the
third Confirmation line which closes the window and forces the
change in the trend and sentiment
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Tasuki
Aggressive Sellers
below 0.8389
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Reversal patterns
Top reversal
Bottom reversal
Doji***
Doji***
Shooting Star**
Hammer***
Hanging Man*
Inverted Hammer*
Star**
Star **
Tasuki Gap**
Tasuki Gap**
Piercing line**
Harami line*
Harami line*
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Morning Star
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3
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2
3
1
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1
3
98
No confirmation is required
Aka Sanpei
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Advance Block
Saki zumari
Confirmation is required
Saki zumari
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1
2
No confirmation is required
3
Aka Sanpei
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Support
Resistance
3
1
Harami sage
Harami age
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Resistance
3
1
Tsutsumi sage
Tsutsumi age
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Tweezer tops or bottoms are more effective when they form part
of a reversal pattern.
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3
2
Trend
Support
8
This usually occurs after a strong rally, the high wave is made up
of a series of spinning tops, dojis and umbrellas
There are lots of clues to the direction of the breakout, but seek
a confirmation line
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Trend
Support
This pattern would equate to a double top and the break below
the support following the second tower and bearish engulfing
pattern gives ample warning of the trend reversal
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The combination of a
negative momentum
crossover reinforces the
significance of such a
reversal
If momentum is
overbought or oversold,
the signal is deemed to be
more significant
Momentum is overbought
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1 Pattern is identified
as a Piercing Pattern.
Momentum though is
declining and suggests a
higher probability the
bullish pattern will fail.
2 Price action
completely reverses
pattern 1 and suggests a
resumption of the trend.
momentum is defined by
the crossover of the black
line (RSI) above or below
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the red line (MA)
Example 1 - GBPCHF
Bearish Engulfing
Bearish Engulfing
Momentum confirms a
Subsequent breach of
117
Summary
Bearish pattern deemed
valid given the fact that
momentum was declining
within a positive
momentum environment
suggests the market is not
in vogue
Momentum helps to
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Target 6.2013
Entry 6.0207
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Information
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Information
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Information
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Information
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