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commodities. That can lead to overvalued exchange rates if their prices rise.
That hurts firms competitiveness, curbs their growth and thus discourages
hiring. (Africas big inflows of aid also contribute to higher real exchange
rates because they result in upward pressure on prices for goods and
services that are not traded internationally.)
Changing labour-market dynamics could exacerbate the job problem. Some
250m people are expected to join the African workforce between 2010 and
2050. In the short term many will go into farming, which employs 65% of the
African labour force. The agricultural sector struggles to create enough jobs.
In the 1990s donors lost interest in using their aid dollars for agricultural
investment. Shame: better farming techniques could bring unproductive
land into use and help Africa shift into higher-value-added crops. According
to a report by McKinsey, a consulting firm, that could create 6m extra jobs
by 2020.
But agricultural improvement can also free up labour to work in more
productive sectorsif the jobs are available. Africa is embracing structural
reform: a recent report from the World Bank shows that of the 20 economies
worldwide making the most progress in improving business regulation, nine
are in Sub-Saharan Africa. Without further improvement, employment
growth in Africas formal sector will remain depressingly stunted.
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