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// Security Watch
This week, our two Security Watch (SW) series continue to feature 'evergreen' article that are of enduring interest. (We'll
resume providing new materials next week.) The first SW series focuses on economic sanctions and their relationship to
political gain; the problematic use of proxies in wars; the questionable utility of offshore balancing as a foreign policy; the
fundamental attributes of great powers; and how policymakers should conceptualize violent radicalization. Then, in our
second SW series, we look at the diverse nature of today's global protest movements; how the Middle East's secular
revolutions stimulated a religious backlash; the ten lessons openDemocracy learned from its openSecurity Project; how
capital flows to emerging markets are contributing to the decline of the West; and why Pakistan's government has to be
more proactive in controlling the country's Madrassas.
Lee Jones has spent five years researching how the economic pain created by sanctions translates into political gain for
those inflicting them. Among other things, his findings suggest that sanction regimes are most effective against countries
that have powerful and well-organized opposition groups. More
Why do Thomas Carothers and Richard Youngs believe that the global protests we've seen in recent history aren't being
interpreted properly? Well, by characterizing them in overly sweeping ways, we may be overlooking their most striking
feature i.e., their sheer diversity. More
What have the United States' dubious attempts to arm 'reliable' Syrian opposition fighters confirmed? The answer,
according to Yelena Biberman and Orr Genish, is that successful proxy campaigns need to strike a difficult balance
between operational freedom and control. More
While the secular revolutions of the 20th century built up the Middle East's institutions and economies, they also gravely
wounded moderate religious sensibilities. It's no surprise then, argues Paul Salem, that the region is now in the grip of a
ferocious and unhinged religious backlash. More
Should America pursue a minimalist foreign policy known as offshore balancing? Not according to Hal Brands. Wanting to
retrench the US' force posture and alliance commitments is based on questionable less-is-more logic. After all, how does
reduced engagement magically lead to greater security and influence? More
What did our partners at openDemocracy learn from their openSecurity project? Here are Robin Wilson's ten takeaways,
which include the following the true focus of security in a democratic society must be on the individual rather than the
state; mass surveillance doesn't work; and climate justice is the key to a safer world. More
Those who believe the West is experiencing a form of imperial decline cite familiar reasons eroding military budgets, the
growing assertiveness of China and Russia, etc. John Rapley, however, points to another cause. He attributes the West's
decline to capital flows making their way to emerging markets. More
How should policymakers and researchers conceptualize the process of violent radicalization? Today, Daniel Koehler
proposes a model that treats it as a form of intellectual 'de-pluralization' which deliberately occurs outside of mainstream
political culture. More
Humaira Israr thinks that Pakistan must invest more heavily in registering, regulating and reforming its religious
seminaries. The government's inertia thus far has only aggravated the country's already-precarious security situation.
More
// Blog
After Palmyra, What Can the World Do to Protect Cultural Treasures?
4 January 2015
Indeed, what can the international community do to prevent further attacks on important cultural and historical sites?
Agnieszka Jachec-Neale recommends including "monuments men" in military operations, enhancing the training of others
on preservation methods, etc. More
Ecological Security
5 January 2015
When analysts talk about security and the environment, they tend to focus on how environmental problems inevitably
become security ones. This must change, says Matt McDonald. That's because this approach tends to ignore the social
construction of "security" and other concerns. More
Military Leaders: Climate Change, Energy, National Security Are Inextricably Linked
6 January 2015
Why are US military leaders trying to build a consensus on the direct links between climate change, energy and national
security? Schuyler Null's answer points to 1) the impact that fluctuating climate-related costs have on defense budgets; 2)
the growing problems associated with maintaining infrastructure, etc. More
Throughout the world, progressive visions of religion and society are being replaced by illiberal and exclusionary ones.
Today, Scott Hibbard partly blames this development on mainstream political actors and their growing hostility towards the
idea of inclusive societies. More
Are increased levels of surveillance really eroding the democratic principles we take for granted? Not necessarily, says
Manuel Arriaga. He thinks the real challenge to democracy is a compliant and fearful public that has forgotten the true
meaning of freedom. More
// Video
Hot Wars: The Changing Nature of Conflict and the Exercise of Power
In this video, four IISS analysts 1) trace the changes that have occurred in the application and utility of force, and 2)
speculate on the nature of armed conflict in the future.
More
In this video, political iconoclast Noam Chomsky discusses 1) the persistent features that shape US foreign policy,
including the idea of American exceptionalism, 2) the factors that are raising US domestic concerns about the P5+1-Iran
nuclear agreement, etc. More
Order without Law? Gangs and Other Forms of Alternative Social Order in and Beyond the Prison
In this video, three researchers debate 1) the significance of prison gangs and other manifestations of informal social
organization; 2) the conditions under which such groups arise; and 3) their relationship to formal sources of power.
More
// Multimedia Content
Here is a selection of this week's additions to the ISN Digital
Library:
Publications More
// The Future of Peace Operations: Maintaining Momentum More
// Working with a Rising India
More
// Japan's Security Role and Capabilities in the 2020s More
Videos More
// The Challenges for Europe in 2016 More
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Strategy
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for the Twenty-First Century More
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/ 2016 Index of US Military Strength More
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