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Beta
1.21
?
?
?
?
1.95
0.68
0.62
E[
r]
17.66
13.46
12.29
20.27
22.03
?
?
?
Probability
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.2
rm
-0.15
0.05
0.15
0.2
rj
- 0.30
0.0
0.2
0.5
rf = 6%
He needs to find.
1. E[
rm ]
2
2. m
3. E[
rj ]
4. cov(
rj , rm )
5. The required return for stock j.
Exercise 5. [4]
Assume the CAPM is valid. You are given the following information:
Stock
A
B
C
D
rf
10%
10%
10%
0%
E[
rm ]
20%
20%
E[
r]
10%
20%
30%
1.5
2.0
2/3
P0
100
E[P1 ]
125
200
40
48
Beta
A
B
C
1.1
0.8
1.0
Weight in
portfolio
20%
50%
30%
Firm
A
B
C
D
0
0.05
0.10
Debt
Market value
100
75
50
E
1.0
1.5
1.5
Equity
Market value
200
125
50
(c) 12.5%
(d) 15.0%
(e) I choose not to answer.
Empirical
Solutions
MA 155
PROBLEM SET: CAPM
Exercise 1. [2]
Market risk premium,
(a) is correct
Exercise 2. [3]
1. 15%.
2. 6%
3. Over/Underpriced?
First calculate the stocks expected return next period as
E[r] =
41 + 3 40
4
=
= 0.1 = 10%.
40
40
rf + (E[rm ] rf )
0.015 = 1.5%.
The stock is clearly underpriced, it should have a much lower return according to the CAPM.
Exercise 3. Arnold [4]
1. Use
E[
r] = rf + (E[
rm ] rf )
and
=
E[
r] rf
E[
rm ] rf
E[rm ] = 15.9%
Stock
Digital Eq.
Exxon
General Mills
MCI Comm.
Compaq
Genentech
Mesa Petroleum
Holly Sugar
Beta
1.21
0.71
0.57
1.52
1.73
1.95
0.68
0.62
Stock
Digital Eq.
Exxon
General Mills
MCI Comm.
Compaq
Genentech
Mesa Petroleum
Holly Sugar
E[r]
17.66
13.46
12.29
20.27
22.03
23.88
13.21
12.71
Probability
0.1
0.3
0.4
0.2
E[
rm ]
rm
-0.15
0.05
0.15
0.2
rj
- 0.30
0.0
0.2
0.5
rf = 6%
0.1 (0.15) + 0.3 0.05
+0.4 0.15 + 0.2 0.2
=
2
m
10%
h
i
2
E (rm E[rm ])
0.01
E[
rj ]
15%
= E[(
rj E[
rj )](
rm E[
rm ])]
= 0.1(0.15 0.10)(0.30 0.15)
+0.3(0.05 0.10)(0 0.15)
+0.4(0.15 0.10)(0.2 0.15)
+0.2(0.2 0.10)(0.5 0.15)
= 0.0215
cov(
rj , rm )
0.0215
cov(
rj , rm )
=
= 2.15
var(
rm )
0.01
= rf + (E[rm ] rf )
=
Exercise 5. [4]
7
1.
E[
r]
E[
r]
E[
rm ]
E[P1 ]
P0
rf + (E[rm ] rf )
E[P1 ] P0
P0
E[
r] rf
E[
rm ] rf
E[
r] rf
+ rf
P0 (1 + E[
r])
E[P1 ]
1 + E[
r]
Plug in the numbers in the correct formulas, and you get the table below:
rf
10%
10%
10%
0%
E[
rm ]
20%
20%
15%
30%
E[
r1 ]
10%
25%
20%
20%
0
1.5
2.0
2/3
P0
100
100
200
40
E[P1 ]
110
125
240
48
0.25 0.05
0.2
1
=
=1
0.20 0.05
0.15
3
i =
cov(ri , rm )
1
0.004
=
=
2
var(rm )
0.03
3
1
= 10%
3
0.2
1
0.25 0.05
=
=1
0.20 0.05
0.15
3
0.004
cov(ri , rm )
1
=
=
var(rm )
0.032
3
rf + (E[rm ] rf )p
12.36%
9
1
= 10%
3
= rf + (E[rm ] rf )
=
13.4%
The analyst is pessimistic, since his expectation of 13% is lower than the 13.4% expected return for a
stock with = 0.9.
Exercise 10. Portfolio (RWJ 10.27) [6]
1. Remember that by combining the risk free rate and the market portfolio m, we can write the expected
return and standard deviations in terms of the fraction invested in the risky (market) portfolio:
E[rp ] = (1 )rf + E[rm ]
p = m
We can use this to find the requested information.
We need to find the beta of security of interest. To do this we need the variance of the market portfolio.
Step 1: Find
E[rp ] = (1 )rf + E[rm ]
0.25 = (1 )0.05 + 0.20
=
0.2
1
0.25 0.05
=
=1
0.20 0.05
0.15
3
cov(ri , rm )
0.004
1
=
=
2
var(rm )
0.03
3
10
1
= 10%
3
1. Remember that by combining the risk free rate and the market portfolio m, we can write the expected
return and standard deviations in terms of the fraction invested in the risky (market) portfolio:
E[rp ] = (1 )rf + E[rm ]
p = m
We can use this to find the requested information.
We need to find the beta of security of interest. To do this we need the variance of the market portfolio.
Step 1: Find
E[rp ] = (1 )rf + E[rm ]
0.25 = (1 )0.05 + 0.20
=
0.2
1
0.25 0.05
=
=1
0.20 0.05
0.15
3
cov(ri , rm )
0.004
1
=
=
2
var(rm )
0.03
3
11
1
= 10%
3
D
E
rD + rE = 13.3%
V
V
E[rB ] = 15.6%
E[rC ] = 14.4%
3. Asset beta for the industry
Debt
Market value
100
75
50
225
Firm
A
B
C
Industry
D
0
0.05
0.10
Firm
A
B
C
Industry
E
1.0
1.5
1.5
Firm
A
B
C
Industry
r
13.3%
15.6%
14.4%
Equity
Mkt value
200
125
50
375
rD
8%
8.4%
8.8%
rE
16%
20%
20%
Total
Mkt value
0.67
300
0.96
200
0.8
100
600
=
300
200
100
0.66 +
0.96 +
0.8 = 0.78
600
600
600
4. Depends on whether the asset beta for industry is smaller or larger than one. In this case = 0.78 < 1,
the return is lower than the market.
Exercise 13.
Remember that by combining the risk free rate and the market portfolio m, we can write the expected return
and standard deviations in terms of the fraction invested in the risky (market) portfolio:
E[rp ] = (1 )rf + E[rm ]
p = m
We can use this to find the requested information.
We need to find the beta of security of interest. To do this we need the variance of the market portfolio.
Step 1: Find
E[rp ] = (1 )rf + E[rm ]
0.25 = (1 )0.05 + 0.20
=
0.25 0.05
0.2
1
=
=1
0.20 0.05
0.15
3
1
0.04 = 1 m
3
0.04
m = 1 = 0.03
13
Next find the beta of the security, let us call it i.
cov(ri , rm ) = (ri , rm )i m = 0.5 0.02 0.03 = 0.004
i =
cov(ri , rm )
1
0.004
=
=
2
var(rm )
0.03
3
rf + (E[rm ] rf )i
10%
(b) is correct.
13
1
3