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This article examines how globalization, government ideology, and their interaction have shaped income
distribution in 59 developing countries from 1975 to 2005. Using pooled time-series data analysis, the results
show that globalization, measured by trade flows and foreign direct investment, has significantly expanded income
inequality in developing countries. However, countries with leftist government parties and chief executives have
experienced significantly smaller income gaps and even moderated the income inequality from increasing world
market integration. The results in this article suggest that the traditional role of government ideology for income
redistribution, drawn from the experiences of advanced countries, is applicable to the developing world as well.
Rather than being diminished by the integration of international markets, the influence of government ideology
will continue to play a key role in shaping the outcomes of globalization.
The Journal of Politics, Vol. 74, No. 2, April 2012, Pp. 541557
Southern Political Science Association, 2012
doi:10.1017/S0022381611001757
ISSN 0022-3816
541
542
less consistent and coherent part of their platforms
(Mainwaring and Torcal 2006). Indeed, welfare and tax
transfers in LDCs have never been consistently distributed toward the middle or lower classes (Kapstein and
Milanovic 2002; Rudra 2008). Even when genuinely
redistributive policies do exist, their impact might still
be minimal compared to that in developed countries,
because most developing countries have a comparatively small proportion of formal sector employment
and even have regressive social retirement schemes
(Lindert, Skoufias, and Shapiro 2006). Practically speaking, there has been no high-quality data produced on
government ideology usable for comparative empirical
studies on large numbers of developing countries.
Nonetheless, for both theoretical and practical
reasons, I am interested in whether and how government ideology matters for differences in inequality
within developing countries. First, contrary to the
received wisdom outlined in the paragraph above,
policymakers party affiliations and ideological orientations do strongly affect policies in LDCs (Murillo
2001). Researchers also document that citizens in LDCs
consider the left-right dimension, rather than just the
politics of personality, when structuring their political
preferences (Colomer and Escatel 2004). In addition,
although direct social expenditures in LDCs are smaller
than those in advanced economies, governments often
redistribute wealth to the poor or middle classes
through indirect policies such as housing regulations,
basic services provision, and labor market regulations.
For example, leftist parties in Latin America allocate
expenditures to progressive programs such as noncontributory and conditional transfer programs, school
feeding programs, and preventive health care.
Second, the absence of high-quality data is a
tractable problem. In the present article, for example,
the data used originated with the World Banks
recent Database on Political Institutions (DPI) and
covers 59 developing countries from 1975 to 2005.
The DPI lists the ideological positionsleft, center,
or rightof the three largest government parties and
chief executives for LDCs. The shortcomings of this
approach become apparent when considering countries with governing coalitions comprised of four or
more parties. Accordingly, I extended the original
dataset to include all government parties, improved
the information on government formation, and
generated additional measures for the ideological
positions of government parties and chief executives.1
1
Online appendices are available at http://journals.cambridge.org/
jop. The data will be available on my homepage (http://wfs.cgu.edu/
hae/index.html) upon publication.
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The broad goal of this article is to investigate
the impact of government ideological orientation on
income inequality within LDCs. In particular, I hope
to address whether political commitment to redistribution brings countries closer to internal economic
equality. In so doing, income inequality may serve as
a test case with which to judge the overall influence of
government ideology in LDCs. More narrowly, I explore
how useful an explanatory framework built on the
experience of established industrial countriesnamely,
the premise that ideological preferences of political
leadership are an important determinant of income
distributionis for understanding inequality in the
very different historical and structural context of
LDCs. My second broad goal is to place these results
on ideology within the context of the global economy that has emerged over recent decades. In
particular, how have the relationships between government ideology and income distribution interacted
with globalization? Does globalization mute or intensify the effects of government ideology?
Accordingly, this article evaluates how globalization, government ideology, and their interactions
have shaped income inequality in LDCs. My empirical results confirm that, contrary to standard trade
theory, fast-growing trade flows and foreign direct
investmenttwo measures of globalizationare
strongly associated with rising income inequality in
developing countries. My results also confirm that
the ideological preferences of government parties and
chief executives do significantly influence income
distribution in developing countries: governments
with leftist political leadership are strongly associated
with lower inequality than those with rightist leadership. Moreover, the role of government ideology has
not been eroded by globalization, but rather has been
resilient to it: governments with leftist parties and
chief executives have moderated the upward pressure
of market integration toward inequality.
This article is organized into five parts. First, I
review the theoretical and empirical scholarship on
the relationship between globalization and income
inequality in developing countries. Second, I discuss
how government ideology can be an important
determinant of income distribution in developing
countries. I also review how globalization and government ideology may interact with each other to
shape income distribution. In the next two sections, I
describe the data and empirical models employed,
present the findings, and discuss the robustness of
different measurements and empirical models
used. I conclude by discussing the implications of
my results.
543
developing countries. Although intermediate products
are unskilled-labor-intensive from a developed
countrys perspective (thus making their observed
discarding by rich countries consistent with, rather
than contradictory to, Stolper-Samuelson and comparative advantage), they are still relatively skilledlabor-intensive from a developing countrys point of
view (Feenstra and Hanson 1997). The arrival within
LDCs of relatively skilled-labor intensive industries
explains the increase in demand for and hence wages
of the small pool of local skilled workers, and further
widens income inequality vis-a`-vis their unskilled
counterparts.
A second explanation for this paradox, closely
related to the first, is that FDI facilitates technology
diffusion from developed countries to developing
ones. Although developed countries do not necessarily transfer their best technologies to LDCs
(they still retain specialization in production processes that make intensive use of their relatively
abundant factors of production, i.e., technologically
advanced capital, which again is consistent with
Stolper-Samuelson and comparative advantage), the
transferred technologies are relatively skill intensive
from the perspective of the LDCs, and at least more
skill intensive than those previously produced domestically. It is also observed that the sectors actually
grown and developed by FDI tend in practice, as
opposed to in theory (which, as discussed above,
would predict the opposite), to be capital intensive,
and capital-intensive industries also tend to be
skilled-labor intensive (Feenstra and Hanson 1997).
Confirming these observations, several scholars
have found that trade has increased the relative
demand for skilled labor and produced a rise in skill
premia (e.g., Conte and Vivarelli 2007). Similarly,
studies have found that multinational corporations in
LDCs pay higher wages for skilled workers than local
companies (Feenstra and Hanson 1997; Mazumdar
and Mazaheri 2000). A number of other empirical
studies conducted with a broader scope have also
found globalization to be systematically associated
with the expansion of income inequality (Alderson
and Nielson 1999; Dixon and Boswell 1996; Lee 2005;
Lundberg and Squire 2003; Milanovic and Squire
2005; Rudra 2008), while others find mixed results
(e.g., Reuveny and Li 2003).
Still, most analysis on globalization and inequality in LDCs has been too narrow, especially compared
with work done on advanced industrial economies.
For example, most studies have focused only on
economic determinants, such as trade, FDI, and/or
technology. However, it is impossible to assume that
544
middle- or lower-class populations would automatically gain or lose from any purely economic development. The content and effects of government policies
often differs, particularly with respect to the distributive effects of market liberalization, and usually
varies according to domestic political determinants,
even among countries with similar fiscal capacities.
Therefore, a more fruitful research approach would
identify these important domestic political determinants, instead of focusing on trying to find a mechanistic link between globalization and inequality.
Globalization, Government
Ideology, and Income Inequality
In studies of developing countries, the state regime
type, i.e., democratic versus authoritarian, has been
considered to be a major political determinant of
income inequality (e.g., Burkhart 1997; Huber et al.
2006; Lee 2005; Reuveny and Li 2003; Rudra 2008).
According to the literature, a more even distribution
of political power among the citizenryespecially the
enfranchisement of all citizensnecessarily leads to
organized political competition which in turn helps
spread economic power and reduces income inequality. When there is no competition between political
groups (as in authoritarian regimes), the government
is more susceptible to individual pressures or favoritism, benefiting the haves at the expense of the
have-nots. In contrast, when there is competition
between political groups (as in democratic regimes),
political elites are more likely to respond to the
interests of the poor or middle class in the area of
redistribution. The idea that political leaders in
democratic regimes have a natural incentive to
redistribute wealth to appeal to the broad electorate
originates in the median voter theorem. The median
voter is the decisive voter in an electoral democracy
(Downs 1957) and is said to prefer larger redistributive spending when income inequality in a society is
upward-skewed, which places his/her median income
further below the mean (Meltzer and Richard 1981).
Because income inequality is generally upward
skewed in most LDCs, politicians under electoral
competition there would thus be expected to redistribute significantly to satisfy this median voter.
However, increased political equality has not
necessarily lead to more income equality in LDCs.
Several empirical studies find that regime types have
little impact on income inequality (e.g., Bollen and
Grandjean 1981; Jackman 1974; Rubinson and
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Quinlan 1977), and a few even find positive impacts
(Nel 2005). While electoral competition may provide
an opportunity for the introduction of the preferences of the broad public into politics, the mere
existence of electoral competition does not guarantee
greater representation for the poor or middle class. In
LDCs, the decisive voter is often not the median
income earner (or the median quintile) but the
richest quintile, which hence is the one that gains
most from the introduction of competitive elections,
fiscal redistribution, and economic liberalization in
general (Nel 2005).
Even in well-established democracies, leftist parties that represent the poor sometimes have limited
political power or none at all, and the median income
earner is rarely a net beneficiary of taxes and transfers
(Milanovic 2000). Why is this? First, political candidates often set their policy positions not in order to
appeal to the broader electorate but to serve smaller
primary constituencies, which provide them with
resources for campaigns (Fenno 1978). The poor or
underprivileged often lack the connections and funds
to effectively influence political candidates in this
way. Second, collecting information on the policy
positions of multiple political parties and candidates is costly for voters in terms of time and effort.
These costs are greater for citizens with lower levels
of income and education, who thus tend to vote
at lower rates and to be underrepresented in
the political system (Verba, Schlozman, and Brady
1995).
It has been noted already that redistribution does
not flow automatically from the introduction of
democracy, but must be targeted and worked for
specifically. The chronicle of this effort in advanced
countries forms the basis of a literature known as the
power resources theory or political class struggle
approach. It argues that the distribution of organizational power between labor organizations and left
parties on the one hand and center and right-wing
political forces on the other hand determines the
differences in the size and distributive impact of
welfare states across countries and over time (Huber
and Stephens 2001). According to this scholarship,
the upper class occupies a privileged position and has
extensive channels to influence political outcomes
(Lindblom 1977). Thus, to be successful in contests
over redistribution, the working and lower middle
classes need organizations that articulate their class
interests and can effectively mobilize the troops.
Several studies empirically demonstrate that the
strength of leftist parties in government, particularly
social democratic parties aligned with strong labor
545
and higher tax burdens prevent domestic producers
and investors from competing effectively with their
counterparts in the integrated world market. With
international capital mobility, mobile asset holders
can also move their assets to other countries with
lower taxes and a higher rate of return on investment.
To facilitate the price competitiveness of domestic
producers and maintain a business-friendly environment, leftist governments may cut tax burdens and
social programs even if otherwise inclined toward
pursuing their partisan objectives and progressive
redistribution policies. However, several other studies
on advanced economies demonstrate that government partisanship has still remained an important
determinant of social policies in the integrated world
market (Garrett 1998; Korpi and Palme 2003). This
research tests whether the policy impact of distinct
government ideological preferences on LDC income
distribution diminishes as market liberalization
increases.2
546
the high quality filtering of Deininger and Squire
(1996), which allows comparative studies for relatively large numbers of countries and years. (Online
Appendix 1 contains more information on the challenges of using Gini coefficients to compare income
inequality between countries.)
Globalization. To measure the degree of international market integration, I use two key measures
of contemporary globalization: trade flows (the sum
of imports and exports) as a share of GDP, and
foreign direct investment (FDI) as a share of GDP.
According to standard trade theory discussed above,
these globalization indicators are expected to be
negatively related with inequality in LDCs. On the
other hand, according to the technology-centered
globalization-inequality thesis, increased trade flows
and FDI are expected to increase skill premia, and
thus increase inequality.
Ideological orientation. The World Banks Database of Political Institutions (DPI) tallies the ideology of the three largest government parties and the
chief executive. It categorizes parties and chief executives by placing their preferences regarding state
control of the economy on a standard left-right scale,
and then assigning one of three values: Left, Center,
or Right.3 Parties and chief executives are coded
Right when the terms conservative or Christian
democratic appear in their names or the label
right-wing was found in the cross-check sources.
Similarly, parties are classified as Left if their names
show them to be communist, socialist, or social
democratic or if they are labeled as left-wing in
the cross-check sources. Parties are coded as Center when their names assert centrist affiliation or if
their position can be described as centrist, emphasizing the strengthening of private enterprise within a
social-liberal context but also supporting a redistributive role for government. All the cases which do
not fit into the categories above are treated as missing
3
Coding party ideology to three categories may be too coarse a
mesh to accurately capture reality. Unfortunately, alternative
party ideology data are not available for most LDCs. To check the
quality of the government-ideology data, I compared them with
the same measure based on two expert survey data; the left-right
party spectrum for advanced industrial countries (Castles and
Mair 1984) and five party classificationsleft, center-left, center,
center-right, and rightin Latin American countries (Coppedge
1997). I found that both measures are strongly correlated with
government-ideology data (r . 0.90 for Coppedges data and r .
0.60 for Castles and Mairs data). I also compared governmentideology data with the legislative partisan balance and executive partisan balance data of Huber et al.(2006). They are also
strongly correlated (r . 0.60).
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(see Beck et al. 2001 and DPI 2010 for detailed
coding rules).4
The author compiled data on government ideological orientation following the coding rules of DPI,
but improved upon in three ways. First, the number
of government parties was increased from the three
largest parties to all of the parties in government.
Because many countries have more than three government parties that significantly affect government
policies, excluding the fourth or fifth largest government party, which may have only two or three seats
fewer than the third largest party, is likely to produce
significant measurement errors on government ideology scores. Second, I redefined government parties as
those with cabinet portfolios only and excluded any
parties that did not fit these criteria in the dataset.
While most government parties from DPI fit within
these criteria, the DPI sometimes includes indisputably nongovernment parties and contains missing
values in its cataloging of the partisan composition of
governments. For example, the DPI codes the Taiwan
Solidarity Union as a government party from 2002 to
2004 although it does not have any cabinet portfolios.
Last, to rectify the lack of government formation
dates in the DPI, I weighted the ideology data by
the duration of time each government spent in
power. This is a valuable added dimension because
two or three governments with different ideological preferences can coexist in the same year. The
dates of government formation are coded using
cabinet-formation dates or election dates when the
cabinet-formation dates are unavailable. (See online
Appendix 2 for the resources used for the data
expansion.)
Using the revised dataset, two separate measurements were created to capture the ideological orientation of LDC political leadership: government
ideology and chief executive ideology. When calculating
government ideology in coalition democracies, I treated multiple government parties as veto players. The
idea is that participation in a coalition government
547
still be able to employ rightist government policies
rather than center-right ones.5
Controls. To isolate the effects of globalization
and government ideology, I also include several
important control variables that are likely to affect
income inequality. First, the presence of democratic
processes may channel the preferences of mass
publics to more equal distributive policies. Democracy is measured by a dichotomous classification of
the political regime, coding 1 for democracies and 0
for the residual category of authoritarian regimes.
The measure and classification are drawn from
Cheibub (Cheibub, Gandhi, and Vreeland 2010),
who use a minimalist definition of democratic
regimes which defines them as regimes in which
citizens are periodically given the opportunity to
choose their leaders in electoral contests, they are
presented with more than one alternative, and the
winners become the countrys leaders. This minimalist concept of democracy avoids most of the theoretical issues that animate empirical research on political
regimes, particularly those questions about the level
or length of a countrys democratic experience
(Cheibub, Gandhi, and Vreeland 2010).
Second, the relationship between development
and inequality is likely to be curvilinear with an
inverted U-shape: inequality is expected to increase
when development is in an early stage, i.e., when
GDP per capita is low, but then decrease when the
economy is fully developed (Kuznets 1955). Thus,
GDP per capita and (GDP per capita)2 are included
and expected to have positive and negative coefficients, respectively.6 Third, short-term economic
5
Because the ideological positions of nongovernment parties
(except the largest opposition party) are not available in DPI,
the organized power of the left is measured only with the
ideological positions of government parties. Because previous
studies (e.g., Huber, Ragin, and Stephens 1993) have consistently
found that the long-run partisan character of government is a
better predictor of welfare state generosity than left voters, left
seats in parliament, or union organization, government ideology
is a good proxy for the political power of the left. However, this
article measures the current partisan character of government
instead of its long-run counterpart. This is because it seeks to
contribute to the current globalization debate by testing if the
ideological preference of current incumbent government parties/chief executives shapes current income distribution in LDCs,
and if this impact has declined under the constraint of market
liberalization.
6
(GDP per capita)2 is highly correlated with GDP per capita (r .
0.90). Yet, the main results in this article are robust even when
the squared term is excluded from the model.
548
growth, measured by annual percentage in change of
real GDP may reduce income inequality, because
growth is likely to reduce poverty (Ross 2006).
Fourth, population growth is expected to increase
income inequality in LDCs. An increase in the
population leads to an increase in the population of
younger (relatively unskilled) workers, which creates
a surplus of unskilled labor and widens the wage gap
between skilled and unskilled workers in LDCs
(Alderson and Nielsen 1999). Fifth, education, measured by secondary-school enrollment as a share of the
secondary-school age population, is expected to
reduce inequality by increasing the supply of more
skilled (educated) workers and thereby reducing their
received wage premium in response. Finally, if a
society is fractionalized according to language, race,
and religion, it is likely to be more averse to
redistributive politics (Alesina, Baquir, and Easterly
1999). Accordingly, ethnic diversity, the sum of three
indices, racial division, national language division,
and religious division (Vanhanen 1999), is expected
to be negatively associated with income inequality.
Models. In this article, I build a series of regression estimates of income inequality between 1975 and
2005 for 59 developing countries in order to explain
cross-national and longitudinal variation in income
inequality. As in other large-N studies involving
LDCs, annual data are available only for a few
variables, countries, and years, and those missing
are often authoritarian countries with favorable
economic performance (Ross 2006). Therefore, the
observations in my analysis are for five-year country
averages (197579, 198084, 198589, 199094,
199599, and 200005). While a lagged dependent
variable has popularly been used in studies of
inequality (e.g., Reuveny and Li 2003), other authors
such as Achen (2000) and Plumper, Troger, and
Manow (2005) have argued that a lagged dependent
variable biases significant independent variables
downward, and instead they recommend adjusting
for serial autocorrelation using an AR(1) process.
Following Beck and Katzs (1995) recommendation, I
use panel-corrected standard errors to correct panellevel heteroskedasticity and contemporaneous spatial
correlation, and I use an AR(1) process to adjust for
serial correlation. Decadal dummies are included to
control unmeasured period-specific effects such as
global economic fluctuations, like the oil crisis in the
1970s. Country dummies are also included to control
for unmeasured country-specific effects, such as longterm political history and the size of population and
territory. In all, the model to be tested can be written
as follows:
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549
Globalization
Trade flows (% GDP)
FDI (% GDP)
Ideological Orientation
Government ideology
1 (right) to 1 (left)
Chief executive ideology
1 (right) to 1 (left)
Controls
Democracy
GDP per Capita
(GDP per Capita)2
Economic growth
Secondary education
Population growth
Ethnic diversity
No. of observations
R-squared
Prob. . Chi-squared
[3]
0.030*
0.467**
(0.022)
(0.213)
0.026*
0.476**
(0.021)
(0.208)
-1.623**
(0.838)
-1.856**
(0.958)
0.446
0.001***
-7.71e08***
0.126***
165
0.995
0.000
(1.187)
(0.0003)
(1.46e08)
(0.050)
0.388
(1.102)
0.001***
(0.0003)
-8.08e08*** (2.23e08)
0.270**
(0.135)
0.005
(0.041)
-0.600
(0.795)
0.266***
(0.026)
159
0.995
0.000
[4]
0.049**
0.496***
(0.025)
(0.192)
0.047**
0.523***
(0.023)
(0.173)
-1.455***
(0.365)
-1.419***
(0.540)
0.711
0.001***
-7.56e08***
-0.004
(1.264)
(0.0004)
(2.33e08)
(0.037)
0.650
0.001***
-8.31e08***
0.087
-0.005
-0.559
0.236***
148
0.996
0.000
(1.163)
(0.0004)
(3.17e08)
(0.105)
(0.045)
(1.063)
(0.044)
152
0.996
0.000
Note: (1) The dependent variable is the Gini coefficient. The Gini coefficient ranges from 18.64 to 72.02 with a mean 5 42.38 and a
standard deviation 5 12.42. See Appendix 1 for detailed variable descriptions. (2) The estimation is by least squares with standard
errors corrected for panel heteroskedasticity. (3) The parentheses denote a panel-corrected standard error (adjusted for
heteroskedasticity and contemporaneous correlation). Each regression also includes decadal dummies and country dummies
(not shown for space), and the constant variable is suppressed. (4) Statistical significance is based on one-tailed tests. *** p , 0.01;
** p , 0.05; * p , 0.10.
550
T ABLE 2
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The Interactive Impact of Globalization and Government Ideology on Income Inequality in
LDCs, 19752005
Ideological Orientation Measured by
Government Ideology
[5]
Globalization
Trade flows (% GDP)
FDI (% GDP)
Ideological Orientation
Government ideology
1 (right) to 1 (left)
Trade3government ideology
FDI3government ideology
Chief executive ideology
1 (right) to 1 (left)
Trade3chief executive
ideology
FDI3chief executive
ideology
Controls
Democracy
GDP per Capita
(GDP per Capita)2
Economic growth
Secondary education
Population growth
Ethnic diversity
No. of observations
R2
Prob. . Chi-squared
0.034**
0.465**
(0.018)
(0.211)
0.030*
0.479***
[7]
(0.019)
(0.204)
-0.600
(0.900)
-0.646
(0.959)
-0.018***
0.137
(0.006)
(0.256)
-0.020***
0.112
(0.005)
(0.281)
0.162
0.001***
-7.61e08***
0.116**
165
0.995
0.000
(1.141)
(0.0002)
(1.40e08)
(0.058)
0.064
0.001***
-7.69e08***
0.256**
0.004
-0.612
0.273***
159
0.995
0.000
(1.056)
(0.0003)
(2.58e08)
(0.130)
(0.036)
(0.801)
(0.023)
0.050***
0.546**
[8]
(0.019)
(0.267)
0.049***
0.598**
(0.017)
(0.261)
-0.483
(0.997)
-0.272
(0.849)
-0.012
(0.015)
-0.012
(0.014)
-0.081
(0.347)
-0.149
(0.372)
0.492
0.001***
-6.61e08***
-0.014
(1.157)
(0.0004)
(2.27e08)
(0.044)
0.465
(1.063)
0.001***
(0.0004)
-7.11e08 *** (3.07e08)
0.073
(0.092)
-0.012
(0.034)
-0.513
(1.040)
0.261***
(0.028)
148
0.996
0.000
152
0.996
0.000
Note: (1) The dependent variable is the Gini coefficient. The Gini coefficient ranges from 18.64 to 72.02 with a mean 5 42.38 and a
standard deviation 5 12.42. See Appendix 1 for detailed variable descriptions. (2) The estimation is by least squares with standard
errors corrected for panel heteroskedasticity. (3) The parentheses denote a panel-corrected standard error (adjusted for
heteroskedasticity and contemporaneous correlation). Each regression also includes decadal dummies and country dummies
(not shown for space), and the constant variable is suppressed. (4) Statistical significance is based on one-tailed tests. *** p , 0.01;
** p , 0.05; * p , 0.10.
551
Robustness Tests
Left %
Globalization
Trade flows
(% GDP)
FDI (% GDP)
Political Conditions
Government
ideology
1 (right) to 1 (left)
Trade3government
ideology
FDI3government
ideology
Left%
0 to 100
Trade3Left%
[9]
[10]
0.024
(0.020)
0.461**
(0.214)
0.033**
(0.018)
0.659***
(0.245)
Age of Democracy
[11]
[12]
0.026
(0.022)
0.329*
(0.257)
-1.676**
(0.952)
-0.029***
(0.012)
0.402
(1.122)
[14]
[15]
[16]
0.028*
(0.021)
0.344*
(0.266)
0.025
(0.023)
0.481***
(0.198)
0.028*
(0.021)
0.479***
(0.195)
0.045***
(0.015)
0.509***
(0.179)
0.038*
(0.024)
0.831***
(0.168)
-1.043
(1.155)
-1.819**
(1.028)
-0.666
(0.957)
-1.724**
(0.853)
1.018
(1.882)
-0.020***
(0.005)
0.117
(0.309)
0.0001
(0.014)
-0.0003**
(0.0001)
-0.004
(0.005)
0.258
(1.087)
Polity
0.267***
(0.084)
-0.011
(0.024)
159
0.995
0.000
157
0.995
0.000
1.497*
(0.962)
1.519*
(1.043)
0.148*
(0.107)
108
0.994
0.000
0.130
(0.118)
108
0.995
0.000
-0.006
(0.027)
Past inequality
159
0.995
0.000
-0.018
(0.026)
-1.046***
(0.370)
0.233***
(0.096)
Age of democracy
No. of observations
R-squared
Prob. .
Chi-squared
Lagged Dependent
Variable
[13]
-0.012**
(0.007)
0.110
(0.270)
FDI3Left%
Democracy dummy
Polity
157
0.995
0.000
159
0.995
0.000
159
0.995
0.000
Note: See note in Table 1. Control variables, decadal dummies, and country dummies are not shown due to space constraints. The
constant variable is suppressed. Statistical significance is based on one-tailed tests. *** p , 0.01; ** p , 0.05; * p , 0.10.
552
eunyoung ha
553
and rightists alike will continue to be closely interrelated with each other.
Acknowledgments
For help with various aspects of this article, I am
grateful to Acir Almeida, Puspa Amri, Rachelle
Andrus, Richard Baum, Lisa Blaydes, Jose Antonio
Cheibub, Seung-whan Choi, Geoffrey Garrett, Barbara
Geddes, Tasos Kalandrakis, Brett Kocher, Edward
Leamer, Dong-wook Lee, Melissa Rogers, Ronald
Rogowski, Jae Hyeok Shin, George Tsebelis, the
editors, and three anonymous reviewers.
554
To overcome these problems, Deininger and
Squire (1996) compiled master statistics on household income inequality. They first assembled as many
income distribution variables as possible, and then
filtered out the observations that did not satisfy three
minimum standards for high-quality: (1) the data
must be based on household surveys; (2) the population covered must be representative of the entire
country; and (3) the measurement of income/consumption must be comprehensive, including income
from self-employment, nonwage earnings, and nonmonetary income. To adjust for the differences between
income-based and consumption-based measures, they
also systematically increased all consumption-based
measures by 6.6 points, the average difference between
income-based and consumption-based Ginis.
The recent Standardized World Income Inequality Database (SWIID) assembled by Stolt (2009)
covers the largest possible number of countries
(n 5 153) and years (t 5 45). SWIID uses a fiveyear weighted moving average of inequality to generate its data; it is premised on the assumption that
near-time estimates of inequality will vary only
moderately from each other; and it reports counterinstances as errors. By so doing, however, the SWIID
generates overestimates of inequality before major
political transitions and underestimates inequality
after them. For this reason Solt (2009) does not use
this moving average during the transition period of
Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union.
Because the present study tries to capture the
changes of inequality associated with political transitions, this paper measures inequality with WIID,
which does not treat the dramatic yearly differences in
inequality as errors. When SWIID is used, the results
for chief executive ideology still hold (p , 0.01), while
those for government ideology become statistically
insignificant, though with the same negative signs
(p , 0.15).
eunyoung ha
years), Europa World Year Book (various years),
Keesings Contemporary Archives (various years), the
Global Database of Political Institutions and Economic
Performance by Cheibub and Tasos (not publicly
available at present), Party Government in 48 Democracies (19451998) by Woldendorp, Keman and
Budge (2000), the ZPC collection World Political
Leaders 19452011 (available at http://www.terra.es/
personal2/monolith/00index.htm), Regional Surveys
of the World by Europa (various years), and the
Election Results Archive from the Center on Democratic
Performance (available at http://cdp.binghamton.
edu/era/countries). Second, I coded the partisan
composition of European countries using the Political Data Yearbook in the European Journal of
Political Research (various years), the ZPC collection
European Governments (available at http://www.
terra.es/personal2/monolith/00europa.htm), and the
Handbook of Political Change in Eastern Europe by
Berglund, Ekman, and Aarebrot (2004). The partisan
composition of Latin American countries was crosschecked with Latin American coalition government
data by Acir Almeida (not publicly available at
present).
DPI determines whether the orientation of a
party was immediately obvious from its name or its
description in the Political Handbook of the World.
Then, the data was cross-checked with the European
website Agora Telematica, edited by Wilfried
Derksen, as well as with the findings of several other
publications: Political Parties of Africa and the Middle
East by East and Joseph (1993), Political Parties of
Eastern Europe and the Successor States by Szajkowski
(1994), and Expert Interpretations of Party Space
and Party Locations in 42 Societies by Inglehart and
Huber (1995).
To code governing parties not described in the
DPI, I incorporated coverage of Latin American party
ideology using codes from Coppedges (1997) A
Classification of Latin American Political Parties.
For this dataset, 53 country specialists code parties in
11 Latin American countries from the early 1900s to
the mid-1990s. Second, the ideological positions of
parties in central and east European countries were
based on Klingemann et al.s (2006) party manifesto
dataset. Because this dataset covers elections only in
the early 2000s for 24 Central and East European
countries, few changes were introduced by the comparison. Finally, the data was cross-checked and
additionally expanded with Leftist Parties of the World
(available at http://www.broadleft.org), Wikipedia
(available at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_
political_parties), the Hutchinson Encylopaedias
555
Average
Average
Average
Average
Average
Average
Country Name (1975-2005) (1975-1989) (1990-2005) Country Name (1975-2005) (1975-1989) (1990-2005)
Bahamas
Bangladesh
Bolivia
Brazil
Bulgaria
Burkina Faso
Cambodia
C. African Rep.
Chile
China
Colombia
Costa Rica
Czech Rep.
Ecuador
Egypt
Estonia
Gambia
Ghana
Guinea
Guinea-Bissau
Guyana
Honduras
Hungary
India
Indonesia
Jamaica
Jordan
Kenya
Lao PDR
Madagascar
45.33
33.41
54.14
58.72
31.87
69.19
39.78
63.20
56.12
32.92
54.37
47.02
21.90
57.93
42.89
37.55
67.90
42.74
60.56
48.07
53.64
55.45
23.49
31.55
35.79
47.86
39.64
56.66
30.40
46.13
46.51
33.35
n.a.
58.36
23.13
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
53.28
31.28
52.85
46.91
20.70
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
44.06
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
58.13
21.93
31.68
34.88
46.83
38.45
n.a.
n.a.
n.a.
42.99
33.50
54.14
59.08
40.60
69.19
39.78
63.20
57.07
36.20
55.38
47.14
23.70
57.93
42.89
37.55
67.90
42.09
60.56
48.07
53.64
54.11
25.84
31.34
37.16
48.20
42.03
56.66
30.40
46.13
Malaysia
Mali
Mauritania
Mauritius
Mexico
Mongolia
Morocco
Nicaragua
Niger
Pakistan
Panama
Peru
Philippines
Poland
Romania
Russian Fed.
Senegal
Slovak Rep.
Slovenia
South Africa
Sri Lanka
Taiwan
Tanzania
Thailand
Turkey
Uganda
Venezuela
Yemen, Rep.
Zambia
48.71
64.56
63.00
40.67
52.67
33.20
38.00
50.30
42.95
33.64
54.59
46.96
46.94
27.47
26.93
29.75
48.15
20.92
23.65
57.66
43.55
29.93
45.58
50.28
46.58
43.75
44.06
39.50
55.96
49.13
n.a.
72.02
42.67
50.67
n.a.
39.19
n.a.
n.a.
34.05
52.04
46.05
45.24
24.66
23.38
25.72
n.a.
20.26
n.a.
n.a.
40.13
28.95
n.a.
47.29
44.16
33.00
43.45
n.a.
51.00
48.08
64.56
53.99
36.69
54.68
33.20
37.40
50.30
42.95
33.02
56.29
47.87
48.64
31.70
28.71
35.79
48.15
21.86
23.65
57.66
48.97
31.40
45.58
53.28
49.00
49.12
44.67
39.50
58.45
556
eunyoung ha
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