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Interviews with 1,020 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC

International on November 27 December 1, 2015. The margin of sampling


error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage
points.
The sample also includes 930 interviews among registered voters (plus or
minus 3 percentage points).
This sample includes 620 interviews among landline respondents and 400
interviews among cell phone respondents.

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:


Friday, December 4 at 6:00 a.m.

BASED ON 919 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 11 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 930 REGISTERED VOTERS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.
5.

How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next years election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all
enthusiastic?
Extremely
enthusiastic

Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion

Registered Voters
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015

27%

23%

30%

10%

11%

Oct. 14-17, 2015


Sept. 17-19, 2015
Sept. 4-8, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
June 28-July 1, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003

34%
31%
30%
29%
22%
38%
37%
30%
32%
31%
28%
24%
22%
24%
28%
29%
28%
20%
23%
37%
34%
30%
26%
36%
32%
19%

27%
24%
24%
27%
26%
30%
25%
27%
25%
27%
25%
23%
26%
27%
23%
25%
30%
22%
17%
32%
24%
30%
28%
34%
32%
34%

21%
24%
25%
23%
27%
17%
20%
22%
20%
23%
25%
29%
26%
27%
28%
25%
24%
30%
31%
16%
23%
23%
27%
17%
23%
31%

9%
10%
10%
10%
13%
9%
9%
15%
11%
10%
13%
11%
13%
10%
9%
10%
11%
16%
17%
7%
11%
11%
13%
8%
9%
11%

9%
10%
12%
10%
11%
5%
9%
6%
11%
9%
9%
12%
13%
12%
12%
10%
7%
12%
12%
8%
8%
6%
6%
4%
4%
4%

1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%

POLL 12
3

-2-

November 27 December 1, 2015

BASED ON 276 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS DEMOCRATS AND


127 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN DEMOCRATIC, FOR A
TOTAL OF 403 REGISTERED DEMOCRATS-- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 5% PTS.
5.

How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next years election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all
enthusiastic?
Extremely
enthusiastic

Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion

Registered Democrats
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015

20%

26%

32%

11%

11%

1%

Oct. 14-17, 2015


Sept. 17-19, 2015
Sept. 4-8, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
June 28-July 1, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003

32%
30%
28%
33%
18%
37%
39%
30%
32%
29%
27%
25%
20%
21%
21%
26%
26%
13%
16%
45%
45%
36%
28%
38%
31%
19%

26%
21%
24%
22%
28%
33%
25%
29%
24%
29%
32%
21%
29%
28%
22%
29%
30%
21%
14%
34%
23%
30%
32%
27%
26%
29%

22%
26%
26%
23%
28%
17%
21%
23%
23%
24%
26%
33%
27%
31%
34%
29%
27%
35%
36%
13%
20%
21%
27%
19%
23%
31%

10%
13%
9%
11%
15%
6%
8%
13%
9%
11%
9%
10%
11%
10%
10%
9%
12%
18%
19%
4%
7%
6%
9%
8%
10%
16%

11%
10%
13%
11%
11%
5%
7%
6%
12%
6%
6%
10%
12%
9%
12%
6%
5%
12%
15%
3%
5%
6%
4%
7%
10%
5%

*
*
*
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*

POLL 12
3

-3-

November 27 December 1, 2015

BASED ON 278 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


167 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 445 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS-- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS.
5.

How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next years election-extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at all
enthusiastic?
Extremely
enthusiastic

Very
Somewhat
Not too
Not at all
No
enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic enthusiastic opinion

Registered Republicans
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015

37%

26%

26%

6%

6%

Oct. 14-17, 2015


Sept. 17-19, 2015
Sept. 4-8, 2015
August 13-16, 2015
July 22-25, 2015
Nov. 2-4, 2012
Sept. 28-30, 2012
Sept. 7-9, 2012
Aug. 31-Sept. 3, 2012
Aug. 22-23, 2012
June 28-July 1, 2012
Mar. 24-25, 2012
Feb. 10-13, 2012
Jan. 11-12, 2012
Oct. 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
March 11-13, 2011
Oct. 5-7, 2010*
Sept. 21-23, 2010*
Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, 2008
Oct. 17-19, 2008
Sept. 5-7, 2008
June 23-24, 2007
Oct. 14-16 2004
Sept. 3-5 2004
Oct. 24-26 2003

39%
35%
34%
28%
28%
42%
38%
32%
35%
35%
31%
25%
26%
26%
38%
38%
33%
29%
31%
28%
24%
26%
27%
35%
31%
19%

29%
30%
25%
33%
27%
28%
27%
25%
27%
26%
20%
27%
25%
28%
26%
23%
31%
25%
22%
32%
26%
28%
25%
42%
39%
39%

18%
22%
24%
23%
27%
17%
17%
19%
17%
22%
24%
25%
25%
25%
20%
18%
19%
25%
27%
19%
27%
26%
27%
15%
21%
32%

7%
6%
9%
9%
9%
9%
11%
17%
12%
8%
15%
13%
15%
12%
7%
10%
10%
13%
13%
9%
12%
15%
16%
6%
6%
7%

5%
5%
7%
7%
10%
4%
7%
7%
8%
10%
9%
11%
10%
9%
9%
10%
6%
8%
7%
12%
10%
4%
6%
2%
3%
2%

1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
*
*
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%

POLL 12
3

-4-

November 27 December 1, 2015

BASED ON 919 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 11 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 930 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
6.

How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -- will it be
extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM
ORDER)
Extremely
Very
Moderately
Not that
No
important
important
important
important opinion
The economy
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015
43%
45%
11%
1%
*
Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV)
52%
36%
10%
2%
*
June 26-28, 2015
47%
41%
11%
2%
*
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
48%
41%
10%
1%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015
41%
47%
11%
1%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
42%
45%
12%
1%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV)
58%
35%
6%
1%
*
June 28-July 1, 2012
51%
41%
6%
2%
*
October 14-16, 2011
54%
39%
6%
1%
*
June 3-7, 2011
51%
41%
6%
2%
*
October 17-19, 2008
61%
33%
5%
2%
*
June 26-29, 2008
58%
35%
6%
1%
*
Jan. 14-17, 2008
45%
41%
12%
2%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2007
34%
48%
16%
2%
*
May 4-6, 2007
33%
46%
16%
4%
*
Illegal immigration
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015
Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV)
June 26-28, 2015
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
June 28 July 1, 2012
October 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
October 17-19, 2008
June 26-29, 2008
Jan. 14-17, 2008
Nov. 2-4, 2007
May 4-6, 2007

33%
39%
30%
30%
29%
30%
28%
24%
29%
29%
34%
31%
23%
31%

34%
29%
32%
33%
35%
35%
31%
28%
33%
31%
33%
34%
38%
32%

21%
21%
26%
26%
26%
26%
26%
27%
26%
28%
24%
23%
26%
26%

11%
11%
12%
11%
10%
9%
14%
19%
12%
12%
9%
11%
13%
10%

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
1%

(RV) = Registered voter

POLL 12
3

-5-

November 27 December 1, 2015

BASED ON 919 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 11 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 930 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
6.

How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -- will it be
extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM
ORDER)
Extremely
Very
Moderately
Not that
No
important
important
important
important opinion
Foreign policy
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015
37%
39%
20%
4%
*
Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV)
35%
35%
24%
6%
*
June 26-28, 2015
32%
39%
22%
7%
1%
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
33%
40%
22%
5%
1%
Feb. 12-15, 2015
28%
39%
25%
7%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
29%
39%
25%
6%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV)
41%
31%
21%
6%
1%
June 28-July 1, 2012
24%
39%
26%
11%
*
October 14-16, 2011
23%
33%
32%
11%
1%
Terrorism
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
June 26-28, 2015
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
June 28 July 1, 2012
October 14-16, 2011
June 3-7, 2011
October 17-19, 2008
June 26-29, 2008
Jan. 14-17, 2008
Nov. 2-4, 2007
May 4-6, 2007

50%
49%
48%
49%
42%
44%
41%
36%
42%
50%
45%
42%
32%
45%

35%
31%
33%
32%
38%
37%
30%
36%
33%
33%
32%
34%
44%
35%

10%
13%
14%
14%
14%
15%
18%
19%
16%
14%
18%
19%
18%
14%

5%
7%
5%
5%
6%
4%
10%
9%
8%
3%
4%
5%
6%
6%

*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*

(RV) = Registered voter


*Asked of a half sample.

POLL 12
3

-6-

November 27 December 1, 2015

BASED ON 919 REGISTERED VOTERS AND 11 INDIVIDUALS WHO PLAN TO REGISTER TO


VOTE, FOR A TOTAL OF 930 REGISTERED VOTERS -- (SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 3% PTS.)
6.

How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -- will it be
extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? (RANDOM
ORDER)
Extremely
Very
Moderately
Not that
No
important
important
important
important opinion
Health care
Nov. 27 - Dec. 1, 2015
40%
38%
18%
4%
*
Sept. 4-8, 2015 (RV)
47%
36%
13%
3%
*
June 26-28, 2015
44%
39%
13%
4%
*
June 26-28, 2015 (RV)
44%
39%
13%
4%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015
39%
40%
16%
5%
*
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
41%
39%
17%
4%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2012 (RV)
49%
33%
14%
3%
*
June 28-July 1, 2012
47%
40%
10%
3%
*
October 14-16, 2011
42%
38%
16%
3%
*
June 3-7, 2011
45%
41%
10%
3%
*
October 17-19, 2008
44%
38%
13%
4%
*
June 26-29, 2008
47%
36%
14%
3%
*
Jan. 14-17, 2008
41%
36%
19%
4%
*
Nov. 2-4, 2007
35%
41%
19%
5%
*
May 4-6, 2007
43%
35%
18%
4%
*
(RV) = Registered voter

Climate Change
Nov. 27 -Dec. 1, 2015

20%

26%

27%

26%

1%

FOR COMPARISON:
CNN/ORC INTERNATIONAL TRENDS

Global warming
Sept. 4-8, 2015* (RV)
Feb. 12-15, 2015
Feb. 12-15, 2015 (RV)
Nov. 2-4, 2007

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

23%
22%
23%
19%

24%
23%
21%
29%

30%
26%
26%
27%

23%
29%
30%
25%

*
*
*
*

(RV) = Registered voter


*Asked of half sample
QUESTION WORDING: How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for President next year -will it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?

POLL 12
3

-7-

November 27 December 1, 2015

14.

Thinking about the way the U.S. government deals with the issue of illegal immigration, which of the
following policy goals should be the governments top priority: (RANDOM ORDER)
Nov. 27-Dec.1
2015
13%

Sept. 4-8
2015
14%

Developing a plan to stop immigrants from entering the


U.S. illegally

37%

39%

Developing a plan to allow those in the U.S. illegally who


have jobs to become legal residents

49%

46%

No opinion

1%

1%

Deporting immigrants already in the U.S. illegally

15.

14.
15.

And which of those should be the governments next priority in dealing with the issue of illegal
immigration? (RANDOM ORDER)
Nov. 27-Dec.1
Sept. 4-8
2015
2015
Deporting immigrants already in the U.S. illegally
23%
24%
Developing a plan to stop immigrants from entering the
U.S. illegally

52%

50%

Developing a plan to allow those in the U.S. illegally who


have jobs to become legal residents

21%

24%

No opinion

4%

2%

Thinking about the way the U.S. government deals with the issue of illegal immigration, which of the
following policy goals should be the governments top priority:
And which of those should be the governments next priority in dealing with the issue of illegal
immigration?

QUESTIONS 14 AND 15 COMBINED


Nov. 27-Dec. 1
2015
36%

Sept. 4-8
2015
37%

Developing a plan to stop immigrants from entering the


U.S. illegally

88%

88%

Developing a plan to allow those in the U.S. illegally who


have jobs to become legal residents

70%

70%

No opinion

5%

4%

Deporting immigrants already in the U.S. illegally

POLL 12
3

-8-

November 27 December 1, 2015

16.

Do you think the government should attempt to deport all people currently living in the country
illegally or should the government not attempt to do that?
Nov. 27-Dec.1
2015
Should
Should not
No opinion

17.

35%
63%
2%

Do you think it would be possible for the government to deport all people currently living in the
country illegally or would it not be possible for the government to deport all of them?
Nov. 27-Dec.1
2015
Possible
Not possible
No opinion

18.

19%
81%
*

If the government did attempt to deport all people currently living in the country illegally, do you
think that would help the U.S. economy, hurt the U.S. economy or not make any difference to the
countrys economy?
Nov. 27-Dec. 1
2015
Help the economy
Hurt the economy
Not make any difference
No opinion

POLL 12
3

29%
47%
23%
1%

-9-

November 27 December 1, 2015

BASED ON 278 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


167 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 445 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS-- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS.
22.

I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016.
After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to
support for the Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else.
Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, Mike
Huckabee, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Rick Santorum, or Donald Trump.
(RANDOM ORDER)

Trump
Cruz
Carson
Rubio
Christie
Bush
Fiorina
Huckabee
Kasich
Paul
Gilmore
Graham
Pataki
Santorum
Jindal
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one (vol.)
No opinion

POLL 12
3

Nov. 27Dec. 1
2015

Oct.
14-17
2015

Sept
17-19
2015

Sept.
4-8
2015

Aug.
13-16
2015

July
22-25
2015

June
26-28
2015

36%
16%
14%
12%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
NA
NA
NA
1%
4%
2%

27%
4%
22%
8%
4%
8%
4%
5%
3%
5%
*
1%
*
2%
*
NA
NA
1%
2%
4%

24%
6%
14%
11%
3%
9%
15%
6%
2%
4%
*
*
*
1%
*
NA
*
*
1%
3%

32%
7%
19%
3%
2%
9%
3%
5%
2%
3%
*
1%
*
1%
1%
*
5%
3%
2%
2%

24%
5%
9%
8%
3%
13%
5%
4%
5%
6%
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
8%
4%
3%
1%

18%
7%
4%
6%
4%
15%
1%
5%
4%
6%
*
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
10%
4%
4%
3%

12%
3%
8%
7%
3%
17%
1%
5%
3%
8%
NA
1%
*
4%
2%
4%
6%
5%
6%
3%

-10-

November 27 December 1, 2015

BASED ON 278 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


167 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 445 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS.
23.

Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:

The economy

Trump
Cruz
Carson
Rubio
Fiorina
Bush
Christie
Paul
Kasich
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Pataki
Santorum
Jindal
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

Nov. 27-Dec. 1
2015

Sept. 17-19
2015

Aug. 13-16
2015

June 26-28
2015

55%
9%
7%
7%
5%
3%
3%
3%
2%
*
*
*
*
*
NA
NA
NA
1%
3%
2%

44%
3%
5%
10%
11%
8%
3%
2%
2%
*
*
2%
*
1%
*
NA
2%
*
2%
2%

45%
5%
5%
3%
6%
9%
2%
2%
5%
*
1%
2%
*
*
*
1%
6%
2%
1%
3%

20%
2%
3%
6%
2%
16%
3%
7%
2%
NA
*
4%
1%
4%
1%
4%
8%
2%
6%
9%

Nov. 27-Dec. 1
2015

Sept. 17-19
2015

Aug. 13-16
2015

June 26-28
2015

48%
14%
11%
9%
4%
4%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
NA
NA
NA
1%
1%
4%

47%
15%
5%
6%
9%
1%
4%
2%
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
*
NA
1%
1%
3%
5%

44%
7%
7%
4%
13%
3%
3%
2%
*
*
1%
*
2%
1%
*
4%
2%
2%
2%
2%

14%
9%
6%
3%
18%
3%
1%
5%
NA
1%
1%
*
6%
1%
1%
8%
3%
2%
6%
9%

Illegal immigration

Trump
Rubio
Cruz
Carson
Bush
Christie
Fiorina
Huckabee
Gilmore
Graham
Kasich
Pataki
Paul
Santorum
Jindal
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

POLL 12
3

-11-

November 27 December 1, 2015

BASED ON 278 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


167 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 445 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS.
23.

Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:

Foreign policy
Nov. 27-Dec. 1
2015

Sept. 17-19
2015

30%
17%
14%
8%
7%
5%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
*
*
*
NA
NA
1%
3%
4%

22%
7%
17%
7%
11%
3%
8%
5%
2%
4%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
2%
3%
7%

Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Bush
Christie
Fiorina
Paul
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Gilmore
Pataki
Santorum
Jindal
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

ISIS
Nov. 27-Dec. 1 Aug. 13-16
2015
2015
Trump
Cruz
Rubio
Carson
Bush
Christie
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Paul
Gilmore
Pataki
Santorum
Jindal
Perry
Walker
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion
POLL 12
3

46%
15%
8%
7%
6%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
NA
NA
NA
1%
4%
4%

32%
7%
5%
5%
16%
3%
3%
1%
2%
4%
3%
*
*
*
*
1%
4%
3%
3%
9%
-12-

November 27 December 1, 2015

BASED ON 278 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


167 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 445 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS.
23.

Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:

The federal budget


Nov. 27-Dec. 1
2015
Trump
Cruz
Carson
Rubio
Bush
Fiorina
Paul
Christie
Kasich
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Pataki
Santorum
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

POLL 12
3

51%
10%
8%
6%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
*
*
*
*
*
1%
3%
1%

-13-

November 27 December 1, 2015

BASED ON 278 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


167 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 445 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS.
24.

Now Im going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER)
Nov. 27-Dec. 1
2015

Has the best chance of winning in


the general election next November
Trump
Rubio
Cruz
Carson
Bush
Christie
Fiorina
Paul
Gilmore
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Pataki
Santorum
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

52%
15%
11%
10%
3%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
2%
2%

Would be most effective at solving the


countrys problems
Trump
Carson
Cruz
Rubio
Bush
Christie
Fiorina
Graham
Huckabee
Kasich
Paul
Gilmore
Pataki
Santorum
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion
POLL 12
3

42%
14%
12%
10%
4%
4%
3%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
3%
2%
-14-

November 27 December 1, 2015

BASED ON 278 REGISTERED VOTERS WHO DESCRIBE THEMSELVES AS REPUBLICANS AND


167 WHO DESCRIBED THEMSELVES AS INDEPENDENTS WHO LEAN REPUBLICAN, FOR A
TOTAL OF 445 REGISTERED REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5% PTS.
24.

Now Im going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me
which Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting
for. Which Republican candidate do you think: (RANDOM ORDER)
Nov. 27-Dec. 1
2015

Can best handle the responsibilities of


being commander-in-chief
Trump
Cruz
Carson
Rubio
Bush
Christie
Fiorina
Huckabee
Paul
Graham
Kasich
Gilmore
Pataki
Santorum
Someone else (vol.)
None/No one
No opinion

POLL 12
3

37%
16%
11%
10%
8%
4%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
4%

-15-

November 27 December 1, 2015

METHODOLOGY
A total of 1,020 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones.
Among the entire sample, 30% described themselves as Democrats, 26% described themselves as Republicans, and 44% described
themselves as independents or members of another party.
All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national
Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage.
Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of
+/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with
an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error
larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "N/A".

POLL 12
3

-16-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 5
How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting for president in next year's election -extremely enthusiastic, very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not at
all enthusiastic?
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------27%
28%
25%
30%
23%
21%
25%
26%
30%
33%
27%
27%
10%
9%
10%
9%
11%
8%
13%
8%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----27%
23%
30%
10%
11%
*
+/-3.0

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------27%
21%
23%
21%
30%
31%
10%
13%
11%
14%
*
1%
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----27%
23%
30%
10%
11%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----20%
27%
31%
8%
13%
1%
+/-6.0

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----27%
23%
30%
10%
11%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----31%
21%
26%
7%
15%
1%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----21%
21%
37%
9%
11%
1%
+/-7.0

South
----31%
24%
26%
11%
8%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely enthusiastic
Very enthusiastic
Somewhat enthusiastic
Not too enthusiastic
Not at all enthusiastic
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----27%
23%
30%
10%
11%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------49%
22%
20%
2%
7%
*
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------21%
22%
34%
12%
12%
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------28%
26%
26%
10%
10%
*
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----30%
19%
29%
6%
15%
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------21%
16%
36%
12%
15%
*
+/-6.5

5064
----27%
28%
24%
13%
8%
*
+/-5.5

65+
----24%
28%
26%
10%
10%
1%
+/-5.0

No
College
Degree
------24%
22%
31%
11%
12%
1%
+/-4.5

$50K
or more
------32%
24%
30%
7%
7%
*
+/-4.5
Independent
-----22%
18%
34%
14%
12%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----41%
26%
22%
5%
6%
*
+/-6.0

Under
50
----28%
17%
35%
8%
12%
*
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----26%
28%
25%
12%
9%
1%
+/-4.0

College
Degree
-------34%
23%
27%
8%
8%
*
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----20%
26%
32%
11%
11%
1%
+/-5.0

Liberal
----31%
22%
26%
11%
10%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----18%
18%
36%
14%
14%
*
+/-5.5

West
----22%
26%
30%
10%
11%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----23%
24%
32%
9%
13%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----37%
26%
26%
6%
6%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------31%
27%
27%
5%
8%
1%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----31%
22%
31%
10%
7%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----24%
26%
26%
10%
13%
2%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-17-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 6A
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
A. The economy
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------43%
40%
45%
42%
45%
47%
42%
47%
11%
12%
10%
11%
1%
1%
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
45%
11%
1%
*
+/-3.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------43%
40%
45%
46%
11%
11%
1%
3%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
45%
11%
1%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----46%
40%
13%
1%
*
+/-6.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
45%
11%
1%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----44%
43%
12%
2%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----44%
46%
9%
1%
*
+/-7.0

South
----41%
47%
11%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
45%
11%
1%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------61%
36%
3%
*
*
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------43%
46%
10%
2%
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------38%
46%
16%
1%
*
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----54%
36%
11%
*
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------48%
39%
11%
3%
*
+/-6.5

5064
----41%
49%
7%
3%
*
+/-5.5

65+
----38%
51%
9%
2%
*
+/-5.0

No
College
Degree
------43%
45%
10%
2%
*
+/-4.5

$50K
or more
------47%
43%
10%
*
*
+/-4.5
Independent
-----34%
51%
12%
2%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----52%
41%
7%
1%
*
+/-6.0

Under
50
----47%
38%
14%
1%
*
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----40%
50%
8%
2%
*
+/-4.0

College
Degree
-------45%
41%
13%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----41%
44%
14%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----37%
42%
16%
5%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----39%
45%
15%
1%
*
+/-5.5

West
----44%
42%
13%
2%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----44%
42%
11%
4%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----49%
42%
9%
1%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------51%
45%
4%
*
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----44%
45%
10%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----41%
47%
12%
1%
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-18-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 6A
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
A. The economy
Base = Registered Republicans

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------49%
44%
54%
50%
42%
45%
39%
42%
9%
12%
5%
8%
1%
*
2%
*
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
42%
9%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------49%
40%
42%
52%
9%
6%
1%
2%
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
42%
9%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
42%
9%
1%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----49%
42%
9%
1%
*
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----48%
44%
8%
*
*
+/-8.5

65+
----43%
49%
7%
1%
*
+/-7.0

No
College
Degree
------45%
46%
8%
1%
*
+/-6.5

$50K
or more
------56%
35%
9%
*
*
+/-6.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----43%
44%
12%
1%
*
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------64%
32%
4%
*
*
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------42%
46%
10%
2%
*
+/-6.5

Republican
-----52%
41%
7%
1%
*
+/-6.0
South
----44%
48%
9%
*
*
+/-8.0

College
Degree
-------57%
33%
10%
*
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----46%
46%
7%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----43%
39%
17%
1%
*
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----49%
42%
9%
1%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------53%
42%
5%
*
*
+/-5.5

Suburban
----53%
37%
10%
*
*
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-19-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 6B
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
B. Illegal immigration
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------33%
29%
37%
34%
34%
37%
31%
34%
21%
21%
21%
22%
11%
12%
10%
9%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----33%
34%
21%
11%
*
+/-3.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------33%
34%
34%
34%
21%
18%
11%
13%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----33%
34%
21%
11%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----25%
35%
24%
17%
*
+/-6.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----33%
34%
21%
11%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----24%
34%
28%
14%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----35%
35%
19%
11%
*
+/-7.0

South
----36%
37%
19%
8%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----33%
34%
21%
11%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------55%
32%
10%
3%
*
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------36%
36%
17%
10%
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------20%
30%
31%
18%
*
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----31%
32%
24%
12%
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------33%
34%
18%
15%
*
+/-6.5

5064
----37%
35%
18%
11%
*
+/-5.5

65+
----34%
38%
19%
8%
1%
+/-5.0

No
College
Degree
------36%
36%
18%
10%
*
+/-4.5

$50K
or more
------32%
35%
25%
9%
*
+/-4.5
Independent
-----33%
35%
21%
12%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----44%
34%
18%
4%
*
+/-6.0

Under
50
----32%
32%
23%
13%
*
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----35%
36%
19%
10%
*
+/-4.0

College
Degree
-------29%
30%
27%
13%
*
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----24%
33%
27%
17%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----19%
31%
30%
19%
1%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----30%
31%
26%
14%
*
+/-5.5

West
----37%
31%
19%
13%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----28%
33%
22%
16%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----43%
35%
17%
4%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------46%
38%
12%
5%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----34%
34%
22%
10%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----36%
37%
19%
8%
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-20-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 6B
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
B. Illegal immigration
Base = Registered Republicans

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------43%
39%
49%
44%
35%
40%
31%
36%
17%
18%
16%
17%
4%
4%
4%
3%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
35%
17%
4%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------43%
46%
35%
34%
17%
16%
4%
4%
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
35%
17%
4%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
35%
17%
4%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
35%
17%
4%
*
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----51%
33%
14%
2%
*
+/-8.5

65+
----41%
40%
14%
4%
1%
+/-7.0

No
College
Degree
------46%
37%
14%
3%
*
+/-6.5

$50K
or more
------40%
38%
19%
3%
*
+/-6.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----42%
39%
15%
3%
*
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------60%
29%
10%
1%
*
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------38%
37%
21%
4%
*
+/-6.5

Republican
-----44%
34%
18%
4%
*
+/-6.0
South
----46%
38%
15%
1%
*
+/-8.0

College
Degree
-------41%
31%
22%
6%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----46%
36%
14%
3%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----32%
36%
26%
5%
*
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----43%
35%
17%
4%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------51%
34%
13%
2%
*
+/-5.5

Suburban
----47%
32%
17%
4%
*
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-21-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 6C
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
C. Foreign policy
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------37%
34%
40%
35%
39%
39%
39%
41%
20%
22%
19%
21%
4%
5%
2%
3%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----37%
39%
20%
4%
*
+/-3.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------37%
36%
39%
38%
20%
21%
4%
5%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----37%
39%
20%
4%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----35%
37%
24%
4%
*
+/-6.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----37%
39%
20%
4%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----30%
47%
20%
2%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----40%
39%
17%
4%
*
+/-7.0

South
----41%
34%
21%
4%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----37%
39%
20%
4%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------52%
35%
11%
2%
*
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------37%
39%
21%
3%
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------33%
41%
21%
5%
*
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----40%
40%
19%
1%
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------42%
35%
18%
6%
*
+/-6.5

5064
----38%
40%
18%
5%
*
+/-5.5

65+
----36%
45%
15%
3%
*
+/-5.0

No
College
Degree
------37%
38%
20%
5%
*
+/-4.5

$50K
or more
------38%
39%
20%
3%
*
+/-4.5
Independent
-----32%
42%
22%
4%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----47%
37%
15%
2%
*
+/-6.0

Under
50
----37%
36%
23%
3%
*
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----37%
42%
16%
4%
*
+/-4.0

College
Degree
-------38%
42%
19%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----33%
41%
23%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Liberal
----32%
36%
27%
5%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----32%
42%
24%
2%
*
+/-5.5

West
----35%
40%
22%
4%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----32%
43%
19%
6%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----43%
39%
16%
3%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------45%
39%
12%
4%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----39%
39%
20%
3%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----40%
38%
20%
2%
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-22-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 6C
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
C. Foreign policy
Base = Registered Republicans

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------43%
39%
47%
42%
39%
38%
41%
39%
16%
21%
10%
15%
3%
2%
3%
3%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
39%
16%
3%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------43%
38%
39%
41%
16%
16%
3%
5%
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
39%
16%
3%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
39%
16%
3%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----43%
39%
16%
3%
*
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----45%
40%
15%
1%
*
+/-8.5

65+
----41%
47%
11%
1%
*
+/-7.0

No
College
Degree
------42%
38%
16%
3%
*
+/-6.5

$50K
or more
------45%
36%
17%
2%
*
+/-6.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----35%
44%
17%
4%
*
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------57%
36%
7%
*
*
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------37%
41%
19%
3%
*
+/-6.5

Republican
-----47%
37%
15%
2%
*
+/-6.0
South
----47%
39%
13%
1%
*
+/-8.0

College
Degree
-------44%
38%
16%
2%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----43%
43%
13%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----38%
32%
28%
3%
*
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----43%
39%
16%
3%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------46%
41%
10%
2%
*
+/-5.5

Suburban
----45%
37%
16%
2%
*
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-23-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 6D
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
D. Terrorism
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------50%
47%
53%
50%
35%
37%
33%
36%
10%
12%
8%
9%
5%
4%
6%
4%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----50%
35%
10%
5%
*
+/-3.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------50%
51%
35%
31%
10%
9%
5%
9%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----50%
35%
10%
5%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----50%
32%
12%
5%
*
+/-6.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----50%
35%
10%
5%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----45%
36%
11%
8%
*
+/-7.0

Midwest
----56%
34%
5%
4%
1%
+/-7.0

South
----53%
35%
8%
4%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----50%
35%
10%
5%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------63%
29%
6%
2%
*
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------55%
33%
6%
5%
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------39%
36%
19%
7%
*
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----50%
32%
12%
6%
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------54%
28%
11%
8%
*
+/-6.5

5064
----55%
34%
7%
5%
*
+/-5.5

65+
----52%
37%
7%
3%
1%
+/-5.0

No
College
Degree
------55%
33%
7%
5%
*
+/-4.5

$50K
or more
------51%
36%
11%
2%
*
+/-4.5
Independent
-----45%
37%
10%
7%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----58%
35%
6%
2%
*
+/-6.0

Under
50
----49%
32%
13%
7%
*
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----54%
35%
7%
4%
1%
+/-4.0

College
Degree
-------45%
34%
16%
5%
*
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----46%
33%
13%
7%
1%
+/-5.0

Liberal
----36%
35%
18%
12%
*
+/-7.0

Moderate
----46%
35%
13%
6%
*
+/-5.5

West
----46%
33%
16%
4%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----45%
34%
11%
9%
*
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----56%
37%
6%
2%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------65%
31%
3%
1%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----54%
34%
10%
2%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----52%
35%
8%
5%
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-24-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 6D
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
D. Terrorism
Base = Registered Republicans

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------56%
49%
62%
56%
37%
41%
32%
37%
6%
8%
4%
6%
2%
2%
2%
1%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----56%
37%
6%
2%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------56%
57%
37%
35%
6%
4%
2%
4%
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----56%
37%
6%
2%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----56%
37%
6%
2%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----56%
37%
6%
2%
*
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----67%
29%
4%
*
*
+/-8.5

65+
----53%
39%
7%
1%
*
+/-7.0

No
College
Degree
------57%
39%
3%
2%
*
+/-6.5

$50K
or more
------56%
36%
8%
1%
*
+/-6.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----51%
40%
7%
2%
*
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------65%
29%
6%
*
*
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------54%
38%
6%
2%
*
+/-6.5

Republican
-----58%
35%
6%
2%
*
+/-6.0
South
----59%
34%
6%
1%
*
+/-8.0

College
Degree
-------55%
31%
12%
2%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----60%
34%
5%
1%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----49%
37%
10%
3%
*
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----56%
37%
6%
2%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------61%
34%
4%
*
*
+/-5.5

Suburban
----62%
31%
5%
1%
*
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-25-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 6E
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
E. Health care
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------40%
33%
46%
38%
38%
36%
40%
38%
18%
24%
12%
19%
4%
7%
2%
5%
*
*
1%
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----40%
38%
18%
4%
*
+/-3.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------40%
41%
38%
39%
18%
18%
4%
2%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----40%
38%
18%
4%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----50%
37%
10%
2%
1%
+/-6.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----40%
38%
18%
4%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----32%
37%
22%
7%
2%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----43%
41%
13%
3%
*
+/-7.0

South
----41%
38%
17%
3%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----40%
38%
18%
4%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------53%
27%
19%
1%
*
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------37%
37%
21%
5%
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------40%
43%
12%
5%
*
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----42%
31%
21%
6%
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------46%
37%
14%
2%
1%
+/-6.5

5064
----44%
40%
12%
5%
*
+/-5.5

65+
----35%
45%
18%
2%
*
+/-5.0

No
College
Degree
------40%
40%
16%
3%
1%
+/-4.5

$50K
or more
------39%
36%
18%
7%
1%
+/-4.5
Independent
-----33%
41%
22%
5%
*
+/-5.0

Republican
-----39%
35%
21%
5%
*
+/-6.0

Under
50
----41%
33%
21%
5%
1%
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----40%
42%
14%
4%
*
+/-4.0

College
Degree
-------40%
34%
20%
6%
*
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----43%
40%
13%
3%
1%
+/-5.0

Liberal
----45%
42%
8%
3%
2%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----32%
41%
22%
5%
*
+/-5.5

West
----42%
36%
18%
3%
*
+/-7.0

Urban
----44%
42%
12%
2%
1%
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----38%
34%
23%
4%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------44%
33%
19%
4%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----37%
34%
23%
6%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----40%
41%
17%
1%
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-26-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 6E
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
E. Health care
Base = Registered Republicans

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------38%
27%
49%
39%
34%
37%
32%
33%
23%
30%
16%
24%
4%
6%
2%
4%
*
*
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
34%
23%
4%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------38%
38%
34%
35%
23%
25%
4%
1%
*
*
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
34%
23%
4%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
34%
23%
4%
*
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----38%
34%
23%
4%
*
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----41%
36%
17%
6%
*
+/-8.5

65+
----33%
43%
20%
3%
1%
+/-7.0

No
College
Degree
------37%
39%
20%
3%
*
+/-6.5

$50K
or more
------38%
32%
23%
7%
*
+/-6.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----35%
34%
29%
3%
*
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------56%
25%
19%
1%
*
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------29%
39%
27%
5%
*
+/-6.5

Republican
-----39%
35%
21%
5%
*
+/-6.0
South
----38%
37%
22%
2%
*
+/-8.0

College
Degree
-------40%
26%
29%
6%
*
+/-7.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----37%
39%
19%
4%
*
+/-5.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----30%
35%
28%
7%
*
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----38%
34%
23%
4%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------42%
32%
23%
3%
*
+/-5.5

Suburban
----38%
27%
28%
7%
*
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-27-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 6F
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
F. Climate change
Base = Registered Voters

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------20%
17%
22%
16%
26%
20%
33%
25%
27%
29%
25%
28%
26%
34%
19%
30%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----20%
26%
27%
26%
1%
+/-3.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------20%
21%
26%
30%
27%
27%
26%
21%
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----20%
26%
27%
26%
1%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----34%
37%
22%
7%
1%
+/-6.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----20%
26%
27%
26%
1%
+/-3.0

North
east
----16%
21%
36%
25%
2%
+/-7.0

Midwest
----20%
29%
21%
28%
2%
+/-7.0

South
----18%
28%
27%
28%
*
+/-5.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----20%
26%
27%
26%
1%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------17%
17%
19%
46%
*
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------16%
23%
30%
31%
1%
+/-4.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------29%
38%
25%
9%
*
+/-5.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----19%
21%
32%
28%
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------28%
30%
23%
18%
2%
+/-6.5

5064
----23%
25%
23%
29%
*
+/-5.5

65+
----18%
29%
29%
22%
2%
+/-5.0

No
College
Degree
------19%
27%
27%
26%
1%
+/-4.5

$50K
or more
------21%
23%
26%
29%
1%
+/-4.5
Independent
-----17%
23%
30%
29%
1%
+/-5.0

Republican
-----9%
21%
27%
43%
1%
+/-6.0

Under
50
----19%
27%
28%
26%
1%
+/-6.0

50 and
Older
-----21%
26%
25%
26%
1%
+/-4.0

College
Degree
-------22%
24%
25%
27%
1%
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----30%
36%
26%
7%
1%
+/-5.0

Liberal
----29%
33%
28%
9%
2%
+/-7.0

Moderate
----17%
24%
35%
23%
1%
+/-5.5

West
----27%
27%
23%
22%
1%
+/-7.0

Urban
----22%
33%
23%
21%
1%
+/-6.0

Lean
Republican
-----9%
20%
28%
43%
1%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------16%
25%
20%
38%
1%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----18%
23%
30%
29%
*
+/-5.0

Rural
----20%
26%
28%
24%
2%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-28-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 6F
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year -- will
it be extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important?
F. Climate change
Base = Registered Republicans

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------9%
5%
13%
8%
20%
13%
27%
21%
28%
31%
25%
29%
43%
50%
35%
41%
1%
2%
*
1%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
20%
28%
43%
1%
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------9%
8%
20%
26%
28%
28%
43%
36%
1%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
20%
28%
43%
1%
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
20%
28%
43%
1%
+/-4.5

Extremely important
Very important
Moderately important
Not that important
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----9%
20%
28%
43%
1%
+/-4.5

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----10%
17%
25%
47%
1%
+/-8.5

65+
----8%
22%
33%
35%
2%
+/-7.0

No
College
Degree
------9%
25%
28%
38%
1%
+/-6.5

$50K
or more
------11%
16%
29%
43%
*
+/-6.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----9%
18%
29%
43%
1%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------16%
16%
19%
50%
1%
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------6%
21%
31%
41%
1%
+/-6.5

Republican
-----9%
21%
27%
43%
1%
+/-6.0
South
----10%
20%
26%
43%
*
+/-8.0

College
Degree
-------9%
11%
28%
50%
1%
+/-7.0
Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----9%
19%
29%
42%
2%
+/-5.5

Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Moderate
----5%
16%
39%
39%
1%
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Lean
Republican
-----9%
20%
28%
43%
1%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------10%
21%
23%
44%
1%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----8%
14%
34%
44%
1%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-29-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 14
Thinking about the way the U.S. government deals with the issue of illegal immigration, which of
the following policy goals should be the government's top priority:
Base = Total Sample
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
13%
18%
8%
14%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
37%
37%
37%
45%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
49%
45%
53%
41%
No opinion
1%
1%
1%
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Total
----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
13%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
37%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
49%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0

1834
----9%
26%
64%
1%
+/-8.0

Under
Total
$50K
--------Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
13%
16%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
37%
38%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
49%
45%
No opinion
1%
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

3549
----14%
43%
42%
1%
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------11%
23%
65%
1%
+/-6.0

5064
----15%
41%
44%
*
+/-5.5

65+
----15%
42%
42%
1%
+/-5.0

No
College
Degree
------15%
40%
44%
1%
+/-4.0

$50K
or more
------10%
36%
54%
*
+/-4.5

Total
----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
13%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
37%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
49%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0

Democrat
----6%
25%
69%
1%
+/-5.5

Independent
-----13%
38%
47%
1%
+/-4.5

Republican
-----21%
50%
29%
*
+/-5.5

Total
----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
13%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
37%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
49%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0

North
east
----12%
38%
48%
2%
+/-6.5

Midwest
----15%
42%
42%
*
+/-6.5

South
----14%
35%
50%
*
+/-5.5

Total
----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
13%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
37%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
49%
No opinion
1%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------24%
50%
26%
*
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------13%
43%
44%
1%
+/-4.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------7%
20%
73%
*
+/-5.5

Under
50
----11%
34%
54%
1%
+/-5.5

50 and
Older
-----15%
41%
43%
1%
+/-3.5

College
Degree
-------8%
32%
60%
1%
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----7%
24%
68%
1%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----4%
18%
77%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----13%
38%
48%
1%
+/-5.0

West
----10%
35%
54%
1%
+/-6.5

Urban
----8%
29%
62%
1%
+/-5.5

Lean
Republican
-----19%
49%
31%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------19%
50%
30%
1%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----14%
38%
48%
1%
+/-4.5

Rural
----19%
46%
34%
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-30-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 15
And which of those should be the government's next priority in dealing with the issue of illegal
immigration?
Base = Those with a top priority
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
23%
24%
22%
25%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
52%
51%
52%
47%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
21%
22%
21%
24%
No opinion
4%
3%
6%
4%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Total
----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
23%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
52%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
21%
No opinion
4%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0

1834
----21%
61%
16%
3%
+/-8.0

Under
Total
$50K
--------Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
23%
22%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
52%
50%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
21%
24%
No opinion
4%
5%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

3549
----29%
46%
22%
3%
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------18%
60%
16%
5%
+/-6.0

5064
----21%
48%
25%
6%
+/-5.5

65+
----22%
48%
23%
7%
+/-5.0

No
College
Degree
------26%
48%
22%
4%
+/-4.0

$50K
or more
------22%
55%
19%
4%
+/-4.5

Total
----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
23%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
52%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
21%
No opinion
4%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0

Democrat
----18%
63%
14%
5%
+/-5.5

Independent
-----21%
50%
23%
5%
+/-5.0

Republican
-----31%
40%
27%
3%
+/-5.5

Total
----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
23%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
52%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
21%
No opinion
4%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0

North
east
----22%
50%
24%
4%
+/-6.5

Midwest
----28%
50%
18%
3%
+/-6.5

South
----24%
50%
20%
6%
+/-5.5

Total
----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
23%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
52%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
21%
No opinion
4%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------29%
42%
26%
3%
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------27%
47%
24%
2%
+/-4.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------11%
65%
15%
9%
+/-5.5

Under
50
----24%
54%
19%
3%
+/-5.5

50 and
Older
-----21%
48%
24%
6%
+/-3.5

College
Degree
-------15%
60%
20%
5%
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----17%
62%
16%
5%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----16%
65%
10%
9%
+/-6.5

Moderate
----19%
54%
23%
3%
+/-5.5

West
----17%
57%
23%
4%
+/-6.5

Urban
----16%
61%
18%
6%
+/-5.5

Lean
Republican
-----28%
42%
27%
3%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------30%
40%
28%
2%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----24%
50%
22%
4%
+/-4.5

Rural
----27%
43%
25%
5%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-31-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 14/15
Q14. Thinking about the way the U.S. government deals with the issue of illegal immigration, which of
the following policy goals should be the government's top priority:
Q15. And which of those should be the government's next priority in dealing with the issue of illegal
immigration?
Base = Total Sample
Total
Men
Women
White
----------------Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
36%
42%
30%
39%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
88%
88%
89%
91%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
70%
66%
74%
65%
No opinion
5%
4%
6%
5%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5
Total
----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
36%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
88%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
70%
No opinion
5%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0

1834
----30%
86%
79%
4%
+/-8.0

Under
Total
$50K
--------Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
36%
37%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
88%
88%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
70%
69%
No opinion
5%
5%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

3549
----42%
89%
65%
3%
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------29%
83%
81%
6%
+/-6.0

5064
----36%
89%
69%
6%
+/-5.5

65+
----36%
89%
65%
9%
+/-5.0

No
College
Degree
------41%
87%
66%
5%
+/-4.0

$50K
or more
------32%
90%
73%
4%
+/-4.5

Total
----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
36%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
88%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
70%
No opinion
5%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0

Democrat
----23%
87%
83%
6%
+/-5.5

Independent
-----35%
88%
70%
6%
+/-4.5

Republican
-----52%
90%
55%
3%
+/-5.5

Total
----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
36%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
88%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
70%
No opinion
5%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0

North
east
----33%
87%
72%
6%
+/-6.5

Midwest
----43%
92%
61%
4%
+/-6.5

South
----38%
85%
71%
6%
+/-5.5

Total
----Deport U.S. illegal immigrants
36%
Plan to stop ill. immigrants
88%
Allow those w/jobs to be legal
70%
No opinion
5%
Sampling Error
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------52%
92%
52%
3%
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------39%
90%
67%
3%
+/-4.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------19%
84%
87%
9%
+/-5.5

Under
50
----35%
87%
73%
4%
+/-5.5

50 and
Older
-----36%
89%
67%
7%
+/-3.5

College
Degree
-------22%
91%
81%
6%
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----23%
86%
84%
6%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----20%
83%
87%
9%
+/-6.5

Moderate
----32%
91%
71%
4%
+/-5.0

West
----26%
91%
77%
5%
+/-6.5

Urban
----24%
89%
80%
6%
+/-5.5

Lean
Republican
-----47%
91%
58%
3%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------49%
89%
58%
3%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----38%
87%
70%
5%
+/-4.5

Rural
----45%
89%
60%
6%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-32-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 16
Do you think the government should attempt to deport all people currently living in the country
illegally or should the government not attempt to do that?
Base = Total Sample

Should
Should not
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------35%
41%
30%
39%
63%
57%
69%
59%
2%
1%
2%
2%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Should
Should not
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
63%
2%
+/-3.0

Should
Should not
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------35%
37%
63%
61%
2%
2%
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Should
Should not
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
63%
2%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----27%
71%
1%
+/-5.5

Should
Should not
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
63%
2%
+/-3.0

North
east
----37%
61%
3%
+/-6.5

Midwest
----44%
54%
1%
+/-6.5

South
----36%
64%
1%
+/-5.5

Should
Should not
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----35%
63%
2%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------52%
47%
1%
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------41%
57%
2%
+/-4.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------15%
84%
1%
+/-5.5

1834
----23%
76%
1%
+/-8.0

3549
----45%
55%
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------29%
70%
1%
+/-6.0

5064
----40%
59%
2%
+/-5.5

65+
----37%
59%
4%
+/-5.0

No
College
Degree
------40%
58%
2%
+/-4.0

$50K
or more
------34%
65%
1%
+/-4.5
Independent
-----30%
68%
1%
+/-4.5

Republican
-----53%
45%
2%
+/-5.5

Under
50
----33%
67%
1%
+/-5.5

50 and
Older
-----39%
59%
3%
+/-3.5

College
Degree
-------24%
75%
1%
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----23%
75%
1%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----18%
81%
1%
+/-6.5

Moderate
----31%
67%
2%
+/-5.0

West
----25%
73%
2%
+/-6.5

Urban
----27%
72%
1%
+/-5.5

Lean
Republican
-----48%
51%
2%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------51%
47%
2%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----35%
63%
2%
+/-4.5

Rural
----47%
51%
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-33-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 17
Do you think it would be possible for the government to deport all people currently living in the
country illegally or would it not be possible for the government to deport all of them?
Base = Total Sample

Possible
Not possible
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------19%
23%
15%
21%
81%
77%
84%
79%
*
*
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Possible
Not possible
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----19%
81%
*
+/-3.0

Possible
Not possible
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------19%
21%
81%
79%
*
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Possible
Not possible
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----19%
81%
*
+/-3.0

Democrat
----14%
86%
*
+/-5.5

Possible
Not possible
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----19%
81%
*
+/-3.0

North
east
----14%
86%
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----21%
79%
*
+/-6.5

South
----23%
77%
*
+/-5.5

Possible
Not possible
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----19%
81%
*
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------36%
63%
*
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------20%
80%
*
+/-4.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------7%
93%
*
+/-5.5

1834
----9%
91%
*
+/-8.0

3549
----24%
76%
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------13%
87%
*
+/-6.0

5064
----23%
76%
1%
+/-5.5

65+
----18%
81%
*
+/-5.0

No
College
Degree
------20%
79%
*
+/-4.0

$50K
or more
------15%
84%
*
+/-4.5
Independent
-----18%
82%
*
+/-4.5

Republican
-----27%
73%
*
+/-5.5

Under
50
----16%
84%
*
+/-5.5

50 and
Older
-----21%
78%
*
+/-3.5

College
Degree
-------14%
86%
*
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----11%
89%
*
+/-4.5

Liberal
----7%
93%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----15%
85%
*
+/-5.0

West
----15%
84%
*
+/-6.5

Urban
----12%
87%
1%
+/-5.5

Lean
Republican
-----26%
73%
*
+/-4.5
Conservative
------29%
70%
*
+/-5.0

Suburban
----19%
81%
*
+/-4.5

Rural
----28%
72%
*
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-34-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 18
If the government did attempt to deport all people currently living in the country illegally, do
you think that would help the U.S. economy, hurt the U.S. economy or not make any difference to
the country's economy?
Base = Total Sample

Help the economy


Hurt the economy
Not make any difference
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------29%
31%
28%
35%
47%
46%
48%
40%
23%
23%
23%
23%
1%
1%
1%
1%
+/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5

Help the economy


Hurt the economy
Not make any difference
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----29%
47%
23%
1%
+/-3.0

Help the economy


Hurt the economy
Not make any difference
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------29%
32%
47%
44%
23%
24%
1%
*
+/-3.0 +/-5.0

Help the economy


Hurt the economy
Not make any difference
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----29%
47%
23%
1%
+/-3.0

Democrat
----18%
57%
24%
1%
+/-5.5

Help the economy


Hurt the economy
Not make any difference
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----29%
47%
23%
1%
+/-3.0

North
east
----32%
46%
22%
*
+/-6.5

Midwest
----35%
37%
27%
1%
+/-6.5

South
----28%
49%
22%
1%
+/-5.5

Help the economy


Hurt the economy
Not make any difference
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----29%
47%
23%
1%
+/-3.0

Tea Pty
Support
------48%
32%
19%
1%
+/-8.0

Tea Pty
Neutral
------33%
39%
27%
1%
+/-4.5

Tea Pty
Oppose
------10%
70%
19%
1%
+/-5.5

1834
----19%
62%
18%
*
+/-8.0

3549
----31%
46%
23%
*
+/-8.0

Non-White
--------18%
60%
22%
1%
+/-6.0

5064
----35%
42%
22%
1%
+/-5.5

65+
----33%
32%
33%
2%
+/-5.0

No
College
Degree
------32%
44%
23%
1%
+/-4.0

$50K
or more
------26%
52%
21%
1%
+/-4.5
Independent
-----28%
50%
22%
*
+/-4.5

Republican
-----44%
30%
24%
2%
+/-5.5

Under
50
----25%
55%
20%
*
+/-5.5

50 and
Older
-----34%
38%
26%
1%
+/-3.5

College
Degree
-------22%
54%
23%
1%
+/-5.0

Lean
Democrat
-----17%
59%
22%
1%
+/-4.5

Liberal
----13%
71%
15%
*
+/-6.5

Moderate
----24%
44%
31%
1%
+/-5.0

West
----23%
54%
22%
1%
+/-6.5

Urban
----24%
53%
23%
1%
+/-5.5

Lean
Republican
-----42%
31%
26%
1%
+/-4.5
Conservative
------44%
34%
21%
1%
+/-5.0

Suburban
----28%
47%
24%
1%
+/-4.5

Rural
----40%
34%
25%
1%
+/-6.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-35-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 22
I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I
read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else.
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------3%
4%
1%
3%
14%
14%
14%
13%
4%
4%
5%
4%
16%
16%
15%
16%
3%
2%
4%
3%
*
*
*
*
2%
1%
3%
3%
2%
2%
1%
2%
*
*
*
*
1%
2%
1%
1%
12%
13%
11%
12%
*
*
1%
*
36%
38%
33%
37%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
2%
1%
4%
2%
6%
2%
2%
2%
3%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
14%
4%
16%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
1%
12%
*
36%
*
1%
4%
2%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------3%
2%
14%
13%
4%
4%
16%
14%
3%
2%
*
*
2%
2%
2%
2%
*
*
1%
2%
12%
10%
*
*
36%
40%
*
*
1%
*
4%
6%
2%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------3%
15%
4%
18%
3%
*
3%
1%
*
2%
13%
*
33%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-6.5

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----3%
7%
6%
16%
3%
*
2%
3%
*
2%
9%
1%
43%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-8.5
No
College
Degree
------3%
11%
4%
12%
2%
*
4%
2%
*
2%
8%
*
46%
*
1%
4%
1%
+/-6.5

65+
----5%
13%
4%
15%
4%
1%
2%
1%
*
2%
18%
*
28%
*
1%
3%
3%
+/-7.0
College
Degree
-------3%
19%
6%
22%
3%
*
*
2%
*
*
19%
*
18%
*
2%
2%
3%
+/-7.0

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----4%
10%
5%
15%
4%
*
2%
2%
*
2%
13%
1%
36%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-5.5
Lean
Republican
-----3%
14%
4%
16%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
1%
12%
*
36%
*
1%
4%
2%
+/-4.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-36-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 22
I'm going to read a list of people who are running in the Republican primaries for president in 2016. After I
read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the
Republican nomination for president in 2016, or if you would support someone else.
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
14%
4%
16%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
1%
12%
*
36%
*
1%
4%
2%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
14%
4%
16%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
1%
12%
*
36%
*
1%
4%
2%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
14%
4%
16%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
1%
12%
*
36%
*
1%
4%
2%
+/-4.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----6%
8%
2%
18%
4%
1%
1%
3%
*
3%
13%
*
35%
*
3%
2%
2%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------1%
14%
2%
28%
*
*
6%
1%
*
*
9%
*
32%
*
1%
3%
3%
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------3%
15%
5%
13%
3%
*
1%
1%
*
2%
13%
*
39%
*
2%
3%
1%
+/-6.5

Republican
-----1%
17%
6%
14%
2%
*
3%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
36%
*
1%
4%
2%
+/-6.0
South
----1%
12%
4%
17%
2%
*
5%
2%
*
1%
11%
*
41%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-8.0

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----6%
11%
8%
2%
6%
1%
1%
3%
*
3%
14%
1%
33%
*
1%
6%
3%
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------2%
15%
2%
22%
1%
*
3%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
35%
*
2%
2%
2%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----2%
12%
5%
16%
1%
*
2%
2%
*
1%
16%
*
35%
*
3%
2%
2%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-37-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 23A
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:
A. The economy
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------3%
4%
2%
3%
7%
8%
6%
8%
3%
3%
3%
4%
9%
10%
9%
10%
5%
3%
6%
5%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
2%
3%
1%
2%
*
*
*
*
3%
2%
3%
2%
7%
6%
7%
7%
*
*
*
*
55%
56%
54%
54%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
3%
*
5%
2%
2%
1%
3%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
7%
3%
9%
5%
*
*
2%
*
3%
7%
*
55%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------3%
3%
7%
8%
3%
1%
9%
8%
5%
2%
*
*
*
*
2%
1%
*
*
3%
5%
7%
6%
*
*
55%
59%
*
*
1%
*
3%
3%
2%
3%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------3%
8%
4%
10%
7%
*
*
3%
*
1%
7%
*
54%
*
1%
3%
*
+/-6.5

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----4%
3%
3%
8%
5%
*
1%
2%
*
5%
6%
*
56%
1%
2%
2%
3%
+/-8.5
No
College
Degree
------3%
7%
3%
8%
2%
*
1%
1%
*
3%
5%
*
61%
*
1%
4%
2%
+/-6.5

65+
----7%
9%
3%
6%
4%
1%
1%
3%
*
3%
9%
*
47%
*
1%
2%
3%
+/-7.0
College
Degree
-------4%
8%
4%
12%
9%
*
*
3%
*
2%
9%
*
45%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-7.0

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----5%
6%
3%
7%
5%
*
1%
2%
*
4%
7%
*
52%
*
2%
2%
3%
+/-5.5
Lean
Republican
-----3%
7%
3%
9%
5%
*
*
2%
*
3%
7%
*
55%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-4.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-38-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 23A
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:
A. The economy
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
7%
3%
9%
5%
*
*
2%
*
3%
7%
*
55%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
7%
3%
9%
5%
*
*
2%
*
3%
7%
*
55%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
7%
3%
9%
5%
*
*
2%
*
3%
7%
*
55%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-4.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----5%
6%
3%
11%
8%
*
*
1%
*
1%
5%
*
55%
*
2%
*
2%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------1%
4%
1%
16%
4%
*
*
1%
*
4%
4%
*
58%
*
2%
3%
1%
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------4%
9%
4%
7%
4%
*
*
1%
*
2%
7%
*
55%
*
*
3%
2%
+/-6.5

Republican
-----3%
8%
3%
8%
3%
*
1%
2%
*
3%
8%
*
55%
*
*
4%
2%
+/-6.0
South
----4%
6%
3%
9%
3%
*
*
1%
*
4%
5%
*
64%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-8.0

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----5%
5%
4%
1%
7%
1%
1%
3%
*
4%
10%
*
53%
1%
1%
2%
4%
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------3%
8%
2%
13%
4%
*
*
2%
*
2%
5%
*
56%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----3%
7%
3%
7%
4%
*
*
1%
*
1%
9%
*
60%
*
2%
1%
2%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-39-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 23B
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:
B. Illegal immigration
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------4%
5%
3%
5%
9%
10%
9%
9%
4%
2%
6%
4%
11%
12%
10%
12%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
1%
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
14%
14%
14%
15%
*
*
*
*
48%
52%
44%
48%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
*
1%
*
2%
1%
4%
1%
6%
4%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
9%
4%
11%
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
14%
*
48%
*
1%
1%
4%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------4%
2%
9%
11%
4%
4%
11%
8%
1%
2%
*
*
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
14%
13%
*
*
48%
53%
*
*
1%
2%
1%
*
4%
3%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------7%
9%
4%
13%
1%
*
1%
*
*
1%
16%
*
45%
*
*
1%
3%
+/-6.5

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----4%
7%
5%
11%
2%
*
1%
*
*
*
14%
*
50%
*
*
1%
4%
+/-8.5
No
College
Degree
------2%
8%
3%
8%
1%
*
1%
*
*
1%
13%
*
56%
*
1%
*
4%
+/-6.5

65+
----7%
8%
3%
10%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
21%
*
39%
*
1%
2%
4%
+/-7.0
College
Degree
-------9%
12%
5%
16%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
*
17%
*
32%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-7.0

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----5%
8%
4%
11%
2%
*
1%
1%
*
*
17%
*
45%
*
1%
1%
4%
+/-5.5
Lean
Republican
-----4%
9%
4%
11%
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
14%
*
48%
*
1%
1%
4%
+/-4.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-40-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 23B
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:
B. Illegal immigration
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
9%
4%
11%
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
14%
*
48%
*
1%
1%
4%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
9%
4%
11%
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
14%
*
48%
*
1%
1%
4%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
9%
4%
11%
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
14%
*
48%
*
1%
1%
4%
+/-4.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----6%
4%
2%
13%
2%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
18%
*
47%
*
1%
1%
4%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------3%
10%
1%
20%
1%
*
2%
*
*
*
7%
*
52%
*
*
*
3%
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------5%
11%
3%
9%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
16%
*
47%
*
1%
1%
4%
+/-6.5

Republican
-----4%
12%
5%
10%
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
13%
*
49%
*
1%
1%
3%
+/-6.0
South
----1%
8%
3%
10%
1%
*
2%
*
*
*
14%
*
57%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-8.0

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----9%
5%
11%
3%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
*
23%
*
41%
*
1%
1%
4%
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------3%
12%
1%
15%
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
11%
*
49%
*
*
1%
4%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----5%
10%
4%
10%
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
16%
*
48%
*
1%
1%
2%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-41-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 23C
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:
C. Foreign policy
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------7%
10%
4%
7%
8%
10%
7%
9%
5%
4%
5%
5%
17%
19%
15%
17%
3%
2%
5%
3%
2%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
3%
2%
4%
2%
14%
14%
14%
14%
*
*
*
*
30%
32%
28%
30%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
*
3%
1%
6%
3%
4%
4%
5%
5%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----7%
8%
5%
17%
3%
2%
2%
1%
*
3%
14%
*
30%
*
1%
3%
4%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------7%
3%
8%
11%
5%
5%
17%
18%
3%
2%
2%
*
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
3%
2%
14%
8%
*
*
30%
34%
*
*
1%
2%
3%
4%
4%
7%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------10%
7%
4%
17%
4%
2%
1%
*
*
2%
18%
*
30%
*
*
3%
2%
+/-6.5

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----9%
5%
5%
17%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
1%
12%
*
33%
*
*
6%
4%
+/-8.5
No
College
Degree
------6%
7%
6%
14%
2%
1%
2%
1%
*
4%
10%
*
38%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-6.5

65+
----8%
10%
4%
16%
4%
3%
3%
*
*
2%
20%
1%
21%
*
1%
2%
5%
+/-7.0
College
Degree
-------9%
11%
2%
22%
4%
3%
2%
1%
*
1%
22%
*
16%
*
1%
2%
5%
+/-7.0

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----8%
7%
4%
17%
3%
1%
3%
1%
*
2%
15%
*
28%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-5.5
Lean
Republican
-----7%
8%
5%
17%
3%
2%
2%
1%
*
3%
14%
*
30%
*
1%
3%
4%
+/-4.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-42-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 23C
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:
C. Foreign policy
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----7%
8%
5%
17%
3%
2%
2%
1%
*
3%
14%
*
30%
*
1%
3%
4%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----7%
8%
5%
17%
3%
2%
2%
1%
*
3%
14%
*
30%
*
1%
3%
4%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----7%
8%
5%
17%
3%
2%
2%
1%
*
3%
14%
*
30%
*
1%
3%
4%
+/-4.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----9%
5%
1%
18%
3%
4%
2%
1%
*
7%
13%
*
24%
*
*
3%
7%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------2%
7%
1%
29%
2%
*
5%
*
*
1%
13%
*
36%
*
*
3%
1%
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------8%
10%
6%
15%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
3%
14%
*
29%
*
1%
3%
6%
+/-6.5

Republican
-----6%
10%
6%
16%
3%
*
2%
*
*
1%
15%
*
34%
*
1%
4%
3%
+/-6.0
South
----7%
7%
5%
18%
3%
1%
3%
1%
*
5%
12%
*
34%
*
*
1%
4%
+/-8.0

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----11%
6%
10%
8%
4%
2%
*
*
*
9%
18%
*
24%
*
1%
3%
3%
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------5%
9%
3%
22%
3%
1%
3%
1%
*
*
13%
*
33%
*
*
2%
5%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----6%
9%
5%
17%
2%
1%
1%
*
*
4%
20%
*
28%
*
1%
3%
5%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-43-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 23D
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:
D. ISIS
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------6%
7%
5%
6%
7%
8%
6%
7%
4%
3%
5%
4%
15%
17%
13%
16%
1%
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
8%
9%
6%
8%
*
*
*
*
46%
46%
46%
45%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
2%
*
4%
3%
5%
4%
4%
2%
6%
4%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----6%
7%
4%
15%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
8%
*
46%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------6%
2%
7%
10%
4%
4%
15%
14%
1%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
2%
8%
6%
*
*
46%
49%
*
*
1%
2%
4%
3%
4%
4%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------7%
7%
4%
16%
1%
2%
1%
*
*
1%
8%
*
47%
*
*
5%
2%
+/-6.5

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----5%
5%
3%
16%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
8%
*
47%
*
1%
6%
3%
+/-8.5
No
College
Degree
------4%
7%
4%
11%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
2%
6%
*
52%
*
1%
5%
3%
+/-6.5

65+
----4%
4%
4%
12%
3%
2%
1%
2%
*
3%
13%
*
40%
*
1%
3%
6%
+/-7.0
College
Degree
-------9%
8%
6%
22%
*
2%
*
*
*
*
10%
*
36%
*
1%
2%
5%
+/-7.0

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----4%
5%
4%
14%
2%
1%
1%
1%
*
2%
10%
*
44%
*
1%
5%
5%
+/-5.5
Lean
Republican
-----6%
7%
4%
15%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
8%
*
46%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-4.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-44-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 23D
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:
D. ISIS
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----6%
7%
4%
15%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
8%
*
46%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----6%
7%
4%
15%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
8%
*
46%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----6%
7%
4%
15%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
8%
*
46%
*
1%
4%
4%
+/-4.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----8%
6%
1%
20%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
1%
9%
*
41%
*
1%
2%
6%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------2%
5%
1%
29%
*
1%
1%
1%
*
2%
8%
*
47%
*
*
3%
1%
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------7%
9%
4%
11%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
6%
*
47%
*
2%
5%
5%
+/-6.5

Republican
-----4%
8%
6%
13%
*
1%
1%
*
*
1%
7%
*
49%
*
1%
5%
3%
+/-6.0
South
----6%
5%
3%
17%
1%
2%
1%
1%
*
1%
5%
*
52%
*
*
2%
4%
+/-8.0

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----12%
4%
10%
4%
1%
3%
*
1%
*
1%
8%
*
46%
*
1%
6%
2%
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------3%
9%
2%
21%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
1%
8%
*
45%
*
*
3%
5%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----6%
8%
4%
13%
*
2%
*
1%
*
1%
10%
*
48%
*
1%
2%
5%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-45-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 23E
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:
E. The federal budget
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------4%
3%
5%
4%
8%
8%
7%
8%
3%
2%
3%
3%
10%
12%
8%
10%
4%
3%
6%
4%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
3%
4%
1%
2%
*
*
*
*
4%
5%
3%
4%
6%
7%
6%
6%
*
*
1%
1%
51%
52%
51%
51%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
2%
1%
3%
2%
5%
3%
1%
*
3%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
8%
3%
10%
4%
*
*
3%
*
4%
6%
*
51%
*
1%
3%
1%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------4%
2%
8%
10%
3%
2%
10%
10%
4%
2%
*
*
*
*
3%
1%
*
*
4%
6%
6%
5%
*
1%
51%
52%
*
*
1%
2%
3%
3%
1%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------5%
7%
4%
10%
6%
*
*
4%
*
4%
6%
*
49%
*
*
3%
1%
+/-6.5

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----4%
3%
2%
10%
5%
*
1%
3%
*
8%
5%
1%
54%
*
*
2%
1%
+/-8.5
No
College
Degree
------2%
7%
2%
10%
2%
1%
1%
2%
*
5%
5%
*
58%
*
2%
3%
1%
+/-6.5

65+
----6%
6%
3%
11%
4%
1%
1%
4%
*
3%
7%
*
44%
*
2%
4%
3%
+/-7.0
College
Degree
-------8%
8%
4%
11%
9%
*
*
5%
*
2%
9%
1%
38%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-7.0

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----5%
5%
3%
11%
5%
*
1%
3%
*
6%
6%
1%
49%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-5.5
Lean
Republican
-----4%
8%
3%
10%
4%
*
*
3%
*
4%
6%
*
51%
*
1%
3%
1%
+/-4.5

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-46-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 23E
Regardless of who you are voting for, which Republican candidate do you think can best handle:
E. The federal budget
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
8%
3%
10%
4%
*
*
3%
*
4%
6%
*
51%
*
1%
3%
1%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
8%
3%
10%
4%
*
*
3%
*
4%
6%
*
51%
*
1%
3%
1%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
8%
3%
10%
4%
*
*
3%
*
4%
6%
*
51%
*
1%
3%
1%
+/-4.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----4%
4%
2%
12%
6%
1%
*
3%
*
6%
5%
1%
51%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------2%
6%
1%
21%
4%
*
*
2%
*
4%
5%
*
52%
*
*
3%
*
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------5%
10%
3%
6%
4%
*
*
1%
*
4%
6%
1%
51%
*
2%
3%
2%
+/-6.5

Republican
-----4%
10%
3%
9%
3%
*
1%
2%
*
3%
7%
*
51%
*
2%
4%
1%
+/-6.0
South
----4%
6%
3%
8%
4%
1%
*
2%
*
5%
3%
*
61%
*
*
3%
*
+/-8.0

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----7%
7%
5%
2%
6%
1%
1%
4%
1%
6%
8%
*
48%
*
1%
3%
1%
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------3%
8%
2%
14%
4%
*
*
2%
*
3%
6%
1%
51%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----5%
8%
2%
10%
3%
*
*
3%
*
3%
7%
*
54%
*
2%
2%
1%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-47-

November 27 December 1, 2015

CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015


Question 24A
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which
Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which
Republican candidate do you think:
A. Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------3%
5%
2%
3%
10%
11%
9%
11%
1%
2%
*
1%
11%
11%
12%
11%
1%
2%
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
2%
1%
15%
17%
13%
15%
*
*
*
*
52%
50%
54%
51%
*
*
*
*
1%
1%
1%
*
2%
1%
3%
2%
2%
1%
3%
1%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
10%
1%
11%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
15%
*
52%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------3%
*
10%
11%
1%
1%
11%
15%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
1%
3%
15%
8%
*
*
52%
55%
*
*
1%
*
2%
2%
2%
3%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------5%
9%
2%
10%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
20%
*
49%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-6.5

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----3%
6%
3%
13%
1%
*
*
1%
*
3%
12%
*
55%
*
*
3%
1%
+/-8.5
No
College
Degree
------2%
10%
1%
11%
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
12%
*
56%
*
*
3%
2%
+/-6.5

65+
----2%
12%
1%
12%
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
21%
*
42%
*
1%
2%
3%
+/-7.0
College
Degree
-------5%
10%
2%
12%
2%
*
*
*
*
*
20%
*
43%
*
2%
1%
2%
+/-7.0

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----3%
9%
2%
13%
1%
*
*
1%
*
2%
16%
*
50%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-5.5
Lean
Republican
-----3%
10%
1%
11%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
15%
*
52%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

* percentage less than 1%


CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015

POLL 12
3

-48-

November 27 December 1, 2015

Question 24A
Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which
Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which
Republican candidate do you think:
A. Has the best chance of winning in the general election next November
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
10%
1%
11%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
15%
*
52%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
10%
1%
11%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
15%
*
52%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----3%
10%
1%
11%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
15%
*
52%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-4.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----4%
6%
2%
13%
3%
*
*
*
*
*
20%
*
49%
*
1%
*
1%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------3%
8%
*
22%
2%
*
*
*
*
*
12%
*
47%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------3%
12%
1%
8%
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
16%
*
52%
*
*
2%
3%
+/-6.5

Republican
-----3%
12%
1%
10%
*
*
*
*
*
2%
12%
*
54%
*
*
3%
2%
+/-6.0
South
----2%
8%
*
9%
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
14%
*
61%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-8.0

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----7%
8%
2%
4%
*
1%
*
*
*
4%
15%
*
54%
*
1%
2%
2%
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------1%
11%
1%
15%
2%
*
*
*
*
*
16%
*
50%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----3%
9%
*
9%
2%
*
*
1%
*
*
17%
*
57%
*
1%
1%
1%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%


CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015
Question 24B

POLL 12
3

-49-

November 27 December 1, 2015

Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which
Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which
Republican candidate do you think:
B. Would be most effective at solving the country's problems
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------4%
6%
2%
4%
14%
15%
13%
15%
4%
4%
4%
4%
12%
14%
11%
13%
3%
2%
5%
3%
1%
*
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
2%
1%
10%
12%
8%
11%
*
*
*
*
42%
41%
43%
41%
*
*
*
*
1%
*
1%
*
3%
1%
4%
2%
2%
*
4%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
14%
4%
12%
3%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
10%
*
42%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------4%
2%
14%
13%
4%
4%
12%
14%
3%
1%
1%
*
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
1%
1%
10%
8%
*
*
42%
49%
*
*
1%
2%
3%
3%
2%
2%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------4%
15%
4%
12%
4%
*
1%
1%
*
2%
12%
*
40%
*
*
3%
1%
+/-6.5

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----5%
9%
5%
13%
3%
*
2%
1%
*
2%
8%
*
48%
*
*
2%
2%
+/-8.5
No
College
Degree
------5%
12%
5%
11%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
2%
7%
*
50%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-6.5

65+
----7%
14%
3%
14%
4%
2%
*
3%
*
2%
14%
*
30%
*
1%
4%
3%
+/-7.0
College
Degree
-------3%
19%
4%
16%
6%
*
1%
2%
*
*
16%
*
28%
*
1%
2%
1%
+/-7.0

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----6%
11%
4%
14%
3%
1%
1%
2%
*
2%
11%
*
40%
*
*
2%
3%
+/-5.5
Lean
Republican
-----4%
14%
4%
12%
3%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
10%
*
42%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-4.5

* percentage less than 1%


CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015
Question 24B

POLL 12
3

-50-

November 27 December 1, 2015

Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which
Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which
Republican candidate do you think:
B. Would be most effective at solving the country's problems
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
14%
4%
12%
3%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
10%
*
42%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
14%
4%
12%
3%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
10%
*
42%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----4%
14%
4%
12%
3%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
10%
*
42%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-4.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----6%
9%
3%
17%
5%
1%
2%
1%
*
2%
10%
*
40%
*
*
2%
2%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------2%
14%
*
26%
2%
*
3%
1%
*
*
10%
*
39%
*
*
3%
1%
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------5%
16%
5%
8%
3%
*
*
1%
*
1%
10%
*
44%
*
1%
3%
3%
+/-6.5

Republican
-----3%
17%
5%
10%
2%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
11%
*
43%
*
1%
3%
2%
+/-6.0
South
----4%
13%
4%
12%
4%
1%
2%
1%
*
2%
9%
*
47%
*
*
1%
1%
+/-8.0

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----5%
13%
9%
3%
6%
1%
*
2%
*
2%
13%
*
40%
*
1%
4%
1%
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------4%
15%
2%
17%
2%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
9%
*
42%
*
*
2%
2%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----5%
13%
3%
10%
3%
*
*
2%
*
1%
14%
*
46%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%


CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015
Question 24C

POLL 12
3

-51-

November 27 December 1, 2015

Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which
Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which
Republican candidate do you think:
C. Can best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
Men
Women
White
----------------8%
8%
7%
8%
11%
13%
9%
11%
4%
4%
3%
4%
16%
18%
14%
17%
2%
1%
2%
2%
1%
1%
*
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
*
*
*
2%
2%
1%
1%
10%
10%
11%
10%
*
*
*
*
37%
37%
38%
37%
*
*
*
*
*
1%
*
*
2%
1%
4%
2%
4%
2%
7%
4%
+/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----8%
11%
4%
16%
2%
1%
2%
1%
*
2%
10%
*
37%
*
*
2%
4%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Under
Total
$50K
--------8%
4%
11%
13%
4%
3%
16%
16%
2%
1%
1%
*
2%
3%
1%
*
*
*
2%
2%
10%
8%
*
1%
37%
39%
*
*
*
*
2%
2%
4%
9%
+/-4.5 +/-8.0

1834
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

3549
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

$50K
or more
------10%
10%
5%
16%
2%
1%
2%
1%
*
2%
11%
*
36%
*
*
3%
1%
+/-6.5

Non-White
--------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

5064
----9%
6%
4%
16%
3%
*
2%
2%
*
1%
6%
1%
43%
*
*
2%
4%
+/-8.5
No
College
Degree
------6%
10%
4%
13%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
2%
7%
1%
46%
*
*
3%
4%
+/-6.5

65+
----7%
12%
3%
17%
3%
1%
4%
1%
*
2%
16%
1%
26%
*
1%
2%
3%
+/-7.0
College
Degree
-------12%
12%
4%
22%
1%
1%
1%
1%
*
1%
15%
*
22%
*
1%
1%
4%
+/-7.0

Under
50
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Lean
Democrat
-----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

50 and
Older
-----8%
9%
4%
16%
3%
1%
3%
2%
*
1%
11%
1%
36%
*
1%
2%
3%
+/-5.5
Lean
Republican
-----8%
11%
4%
16%
2%
1%
2%
1%
*
2%
10%
*
37%
*
*
2%
4%
+/-4.5

* percentage less than 1%


CNN/ORC International Poll -- November 27 to December 1, 2015
Question 24C

POLL 12
3

-52-

November 27 December 1, 2015

Now I'm going to read you a few phrases which describe the candidates, and for each one, tell me which
Republican candidate you think that phrase best describes, regardless of who you are voting for. Which
Republican candidate do you think:
C. Can best handle the responsibilities of being commander-in-chief
Base = Registered Republicans

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----8%
11%
4%
16%
2%
1%
2%
1%
*
2%
10%
*
37%
*
*
2%
4%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----8%
11%
4%
16%
2%
1%
2%
1%
*
2%
10%
*
37%
*
*
2%
4%
+/-4.5

Jeb Bush
Ben Carson
Chris Christie
Ted Cruz
Carly Fiorina
Lindsey Graham
Mike Huckabee
John Kasich
George Pataki
Rand Paul
Marco Rubio
Rick Santorum
Donald Trump
Jim Gilmore
Someone else
None/No one
No opinion
Sampling Error

Total
----8%
11%
4%
16%
2%
1%
2%
1%
*
2%
10%
*
37%
*
*
2%
4%
+/-4.5

Democrat
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Independent
-----10%
7%
*
21%
3%
1%
2%
1%
*
2%
12%
1%
30%
*
*
1%
7%
+/-7.5

North
east
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Midwest
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Support
------1%
12%
1%
28%
1%
*
2%
1%
*
1%
10%
*
40%
*
*
3%
*
+/-8.5

Tea Pty
Neutral
------10%
11%
4%
13%
2%
*
2%
*
*
1%
10%
1%
39%
*
*
2%
5%
+/-6.5

Republican
-----7%
13%
6%
14%
1%
*
2%
1%
*
1%
9%
*
41%
*
*
3%
2%
+/-6.0
South
----5%
9%
3%
18%
2%
*
2%
1%
*
3%
9%
*
45%
*
*
1%
2%
+/-8.0

Liberal
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

West
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Moderate
----12%
9%
8%
5%
3%
1%
2%
1%
*
3%
10%
1%
38%
*
1%
3%
1%
+/-8.5
Urban
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Conservative
------6%
12%
2%
22%
1%
*
2%
1%
*
1%
10%
*
37%
*
*
2%
4%
+/-5.5

Suburban
----8%
10%
3%
15%
1%
*
1%
1%
*
1%
12%
*
39%
*
*
1%
6%
+/-6.5

Rural
----N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

Tea Pty
Oppose
------N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A

* percentage less than 1%

POLL 12
3

-53-

November 27 December 1, 2015

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