SMK SEAFIELD : MATHEMATICS (M)

Section A [45 marks]

TRIAL STPM 2013

Answer all questions in this section.

1.

The following table shows the amount of time spent by a random sample of 95 students
on their mobile phones per day.
Time spent per day, t minutes
0t 5
5 t 10
10 t 20
20 t 30
30 t 50
50 t 60
(a)

Number of students
11
18
32
18
12
4

Calculate estimates of the mean, median and standard deviation of the time spent

per day on mobile phones by these students.

(b)

[7 marks]

Calculate Pearsons coefficient of skewness. Comment on the shape of the

distribution.
2.

[3 marks]

A survey of children in a child care center found that 58% of the children are girls. 5.2%

of the girls and 7.8% of the boys write using left hands. A child is selected at random.
(a)

Find the probability that the child is a girl who writes using left hand.

[2 marks]

(b)

Find the probability that the child writes using left hand.

[2 marks]

(c)

If the child writes using left hand, find the probability that the child is a boy.
[2 marks]

3.

The probability distribution of a discrete random variable X is given in the following

table.
x

P X x

0.15

0.40

2k

(a)

4.

Find the value of the constant k.

[2 marks]

(b) Calculate E ( X ) and Var ( X ) .

[5 marks]

A housing consultant believes that the number of houses sold in a region for a given

year is related to the mortgage rate in that period. He collected the following data.
STPM 950/2

SMK SEAFIELD : MATHEMATICS (M)

Year
Mortgage interest rate, X
1990
12
1991
10
1992
8
1993
6
1994
7
1995
8
1996
10
1997
14
1998
13
1999
11

TRIAL STPM 2013

Housing sales index, Y
80
90
105
115
125
120
115
85
70
80

(a)

Plot a scatter diagram for the above data.

[2 marks]

(b)

State, with a reason, whether the scatter diagram in (a) displays a positive or a

negative correlation.
(c)
5.

[2 marks]

Calculate the coefficient of determination. Interpret your answer.

[4 marks]

The following table shows the average prices and daily sales of fish, prawns and crabs

for January and February 2013.

Item
Fish
Prawn
Crab
(a)

Price (RM / kg)

January
February
5.68
5.99
24.50
28.30
31.80
35.40

Taking January 2013 as the base period, calculate the simple aggregate price

index for February 2013. Comment on your answer.

(b)

Total Sales (RM)

January
February
198.80
209.65
220.50
283.00
333.90
424.80

[3 marks]

Taking January 2013 as the base period and the total sales for February as the

weights, calculate the weighted average of price relatives for February 2013. Comment on
your answer.

[3 marks]

6.
The following time series plot shows the quarterly revenues (RM000,000) for a toy
production company from 1997 to 1999.

STPM 950/2

SMK SEAFIELD : MATHEMATICS (M)

TRIAL STPM 2013

(a)

Comment on the basic trend and the seasonal variations.

[2 marks]

(b)

State, with a reason, whether an additive or a multiplicative model is more

suitable to be used to decompose the time series.

[2 marks]
(c)

The quarterly seasonal variations for the above data are given in the table below.
Quarter
Seasonal variation

1
0.6895

2
k

3
0.6427

4
2.0761

(i)

Determine the seasonal variation for the second quarter, k.

(ii)

Interpret the seasonal variation for the fourth quarter.

Section B [15 marks]

Answer any one question in this section.
STPM 950/2

[2 marks]
[1 mark]

SMK SEAFIELD : MATHEMATICS (M)

7.

TRIAL STPM 2013

A continuous random variable X is defined by

,1

x0
3
P X x k 3 x , 0 x 3
0, x 3

8
.
27

(a)

Show that P X 1

(b)

Find the cumulative distribution function of X, and sketch its graph.

[3 marks]
[3 marks]

Three independent observations of X are taken.

(c)

Find the probability that at least one of the observations is greater than 1.
[4 marks]

729 independent observations of X are taken.

(d)

Using normal distribution as an approximation, find the probability that more

than 229 of the observations are greater than 1.

8.

[5 marks]

The Ace Appliance Store sells a variety of electronic equipment and home appliances.

The following table shows the quarterly sales (RM100,000) for the last four years.
Year

Quarter
I

II

III

IV

2009

5.3

4.1

6.8

6.7

2010

4.8

3.8

5.6

6.8

2011

4.3

3.8

5.7

6.2

2012

5.6

4.6

6.1

5.3

(a)

Calculate the centred four-quarter moving averages.

(b)

Using a multiplicative model, calculate the adjusted seasonal variation for each of

the four quarters.

(c)

[4 marks]

Deseasonalise the data and find the least squares regression equation using the

deseasonalised data.
(d)

[2 marks]

[6 marks]

Forecast the sales of the store for the fourth quarter of year 2013.

STPM 950/2

[3 marks]