Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Social Infrastructure:
A look at enabling elements
for growth and development
in North India
Knowledge Partner
Table of contents
2014 KPMG, an Indian Registered Partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (KPMG International), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved.
03
05
11
Appendix
13
15
17
21
23
25
27
Government initiatives 29
Private player initiatives
30
Key recommendations
31
33
Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India | 2
Introduction
India is poised to be the worlds youngest country by 2020 with an average age of 29
years. Currently, a third of the population is under 15, more than half under 24 and every
third person in a city is between 15 and 32. Thus, India is at the peak of its demographic
dividend. This is not only expected to be the largest source of labour in the world, but
also drive demand for products and services, thereby fuelling the overall economic
growth of the country. However, to realise the full potential of its demographic dividend
India will have to focus on social sectors such as education and healthcare.
Promotion of education and skill building initiatives to foster inclusive economic growth
would be critical. While the education sector in India has developed substantially
since independence, the major challenge faced by the government is in bringing
disadvantaged sections of the community into this plan. A few examples of these
challenges include:
As the government alone cannot shoulder the entire responsibility of these challenges,
there is a clear need for more participation from the private sector at all levels of
education and skill building. Realising this, states in Northern Region have taken the
lead in setting up a policy framework to encourage private sector participation in
education sector, under various PPP models. This has opened up several investment
opportunities for private sector.
Along with education and skill development, focus on health is important to ensure
a healthy and productive workforce. As per a study conducted by National Bureau of
Economic Research (NBER) on the effect of non-communicable diseases on economy
based on WHOs EPIC (an excel based interface tool) model of economic growth, the
cost of non-communicable diseases is around USD 6.2 trillion for India for the period
between 2012-2030. Thus, the country has to invest in ensuring that the population is
getting the right education and treatment to support the envisaged growth.
Healthcare delivery to over 1.2 billion people distributed across its wide geography
has always been a challenge for the country. Healthcare expenditure in India is only 5
percent of the countrys GDP as compared to the global average of 10.6 percent. The
highly skewed infrastructure distribution between rural and urban India only adds to
the issues raised by the demand supply gap. The government, along with assistance
from the private sector, has been investing on making healthcare accessible and
affordable. However, the country needs higher investments and intelligent distribution
of resources to bring in focused development in the sector.
Healthcare delivery in northern India has been following a similar trend as the rest of the
country. While cities like Delhi have improved infrastructure, rural areas are yet to have
access to affordable healthcare. The northern states, with a higher than average Net
State Domestic Product (NSDP) of India, have a higher affordability leading to a greater
demand for primary and super specialised care.
Hence, both education & skill development and healthcare sectors offer conducive
climate for investment in the northern states.
01
Education
Overview
India is a nation dominated by youth, with the largest population
in the world in the age group of 0-24 years, and an estimated
63 percent of the total population will constitute the workforce
by 2022. The education and skill development sector is thus of
critical importance in providing support for enhancing the skills
of the rising population and improving the economic efficiency of
the nation.
CAGR (2008-14)
13%
K-12
11%
Higher
Education
22%
Vocational
Education
13%
Overall
Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India | 4
300000
10%
~28,000
21%
~60,000
70%
~204,000
~228,000
250000
Rs. Crore
~19,000
200000
~48,000
150000
100000
~124,000
6%
23%
~7,000
~29,000
~160,000
50000
71%
~88,000
0
2008
K-12
2012
Higher Education
2014P
Vocational Education
Growth drivers
The education and skills sector can attribute its growth to
multiple factors- key among those include a young, growing
population, increasing focus on quality education, policy support
and increased participation of private players
North India
02
Demographic profile
An analysis of the demographic profiling of the North India
reveals the following:
Population
(0-14) (Years)
Population
(15-59) (Years)
Population
(60+) (Years)
Sex Ratio
(Females per
1000 males)
2009
2009
2009
2011
2.0%
31%
65%
7%
877
550
1.4%
26%
67%
8%
893
68,621
201
2.1%
35%
63%
7%
926
Uttar Pradesh
1,99,581
828
2.0%
36%
62%
6%
908
Delhi
16,753
11,297
2.1%
29%
65%
6%
866
Himachal Pradesh
6,857
123
1.3%
27%
70%
8%
974
12,549
56
2.4%
NA
NA
NA
883
Uttarakhand
10,117
189
1.9%
NA
NA
NA
963
Chandigarh
1,055
9,252
1.7%
NA
NA
NA
818
India
12,10,193
382
1.8%
31%
66%
8%
940
Population
(000)
Population
Density
(per sq. km)
2011
2011
Haryana
25,353
573
Punjab
27,704
Rajasthan
State
Yearly growth
(2001-11)
Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India | 6
18
14
46
24
15
89
82
14
15
12
53
49
91
97
18
15
67
107
53
66
Delhi
Haryana
86
HP
53
50
105
86
73
78
J&K
Primary GER
Punjab
Secondary GER
Rajasthan
UP
98
93
Uttarakhand
Chandigarh
Source: Statistics of School Education 2010-11, MHRD; UGC annual report 2011-12
SCHOOL
94
India
7 | Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India
350
296
85%
34
90.56%
52
99.56%
85
100%
164
300
31
248
Millions
250
200
19
39.30%
32
65.00%
42
75
85.50%
62
150
65%
90%
87%
100
148
116%
135
50
0
2012
Primary School
2017(E)
2022(E)
Secondary School
Middle School
Higher Secondary
In millions
13%
9%
12
05-06
13
06-07
14
07-08
16
08-09
17
09-10
19
10-11
20
11-12
20-21
18%
30%
42mn
Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India | 8
Rest 14%
Beautician, Hairdressing
& Related Work 3%
Driving and Motor
Mechanic Work 6%
Mechanical
Engineering 12%
Computer 26%
Civil Engineering
& Building
Construction 3%
Textile 6%
9 | Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India
4.14
20.33
6.17
North
2008-09
India
North
248
83
2008-09
India
Vocational/Professional Education:
The number of polytechnic colleges and technical institutes
are higher in the southern regions of India, with the north
constituting less than one third the total number of polytechnics.
Specialising in engineering and medicine is lagging behind
in polytechnics, with more than 55 percent of the institutes
focused on Management. However, increasing policy focus
and the rise of public-private partnerships have led to a swell in
the number of institutions and enrolments, in the recent years,
particularly technical institutes (for undergraduate studies).
448
422
2011-12
2008-09
1399
1331
In 000
In Millions
India
240
North
2011-12
Key Statistics:
79
10,489
6,121
2011-12
2008-09
35,539
25,951
In Numbers
In Millions
15.76
North
2011-12
India
Key Statistics:
Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India | 10
Polytechnic Colleges
Medical 3%
Management 55%
Engineering 32%
Pharmacy 10%
North India
India
No. of Polytechnic
Institute
981
3139
No. of Total
Enrollments
354,994
2,235,216
The following table summarizes the enrolment gap (in 000s) as of 2021 across the education sector in India Northern Region
State
K12
Engineering
Delhi
444
78
20
15
132
186
Haryana
711
72
18
14
122
171
--
10
17
24
107
28
48
68
Punjab
1,147
54
14
10
91
128
Rajasthan
1,488
226
56
42
381
536
UP
7,114
776
194
146
1,310
1,844
Uttarakhand
50
12
16
Chandigarh
257
--
--
--
--
11,317
1,252
313
235
2,112
2,973
HP
J&K
Total
Medical
Management
Polytechnic
Traditional
03
Private investment
opportunities in North India
Emergence of
cities like Noida,
Gurgoan etc as
an Industrial and
Services hub
Rise in Affluent
population
with cross
cultural
background
Demand for
education
at global
standards
Demand for
high quality
education
Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India | 12
Establishing
formal education
institutes and
expanding existing
ones under PPP
model
Investment
Opportunities
Partnering with
foreign players to
establish local
campuses/
institutes
Developing infrastructure,
executing management contracts
04
Appendix
State-wise Policy/Educational
Initiatives
Apart from implementing various educational and skill
development initiatives taken by the central government, state
governments in northern India have initiated various measures
to improve the education standard of their respective states.
Listed below are a few examples initiated across the northern
states:
Rajasthan
Haryana
Punjab
Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India | 14
Himachal Pradesh
Uttar Pradesh
Uttarakhand
For the year 2012-13, the state government has allocated USD
814.3 million for school education and USD 47.3 million for
higher education.
05
Healthcare
Introduction
Healthcare in India today provides existing and new
players with a unique opportunity to achieve innovation,
differentiation and profits. In the next decade, increasing
consumer awareness and demand for better facilities
will redefine the countrys second largest service sector
employer.
Indias primary competitive advantage over its peers lies in its
large pool of well-trained medical professionals. Also, Indias cost
advantage compared to peers in Asia and Western countries is
significantly lower cost of surgery in India is one-tenth of that
in the US or Western Europe.
The diagnostics sector in India has also been witnessing
immense progress in innovative competencies and credibility.
Technological advancements and higher efficiency systems are
taking the market to new heights.
The private sector has emerged as a vibrant force in Indias
healthcare industry, lending it both national and international
repute. Also, hospital and diagnostic centres attracted foreign
direct investment (FDI) worth Rs. 11,272.32 crore (USD 1.87
billion) between April 2000 and Feb 2014.
However, there is still a significant scope for enhancing
healthcare services considering that healthcare spending as a
percentage of GDP is rising. This presents vast opportunities for
investment in healthcare infrastructure in both urban and rural
India.
In northern India, the health care delivery sector, including
hospitals and diagnostic services, is growing rapidly. The
north has begun seeing proliferation of specialty hospitals and
healthcare centres, with major players such as Fortis, Apollo,
Medanta and Metropolis investing in this space.
Many state governments in the North have been encouraging
hospitals to get accreditations to prove that their healthcare is
good enough for visiting tourists.
179
160
140
CAGR 12%
120
100
81
80
65
60
40
72
54
40
43
44
2007
2008
2009
20
0
2010
2011
2012
2013
2020
Insurance 4-5%
Diagnostics 3-5%
Devices 9-10%
Pharma 13-15%
Delivery 65-70%
Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India | 16
The growth in Indian healthcare is driven by a combination of macro and micro economic factors
Increasing incidence
of lifestyle & noncommunicable disease
Growing
population
and rising
life
expectancies
Changing
diseases
profile
Increased
affordibality
Demographic
transformation
Rising
income,
growing
middle
class and
increased
insurance
Drivers of the
Healthcare Industry
Particularly
for preventive
care and
diagnostics
Increased
penetration of
private players
& government
initiatives
Increased
Awareness
Influx of
medical tourist
Currently serving more
than 8,50,000 foreign
patients every year
Augmented by
government initiative
& evolving healthcare
delivery models
Healthcare
05
Healthcare expenditure
Healthcare expenditure as a % of GDP
20
18
17.9
17.9
18
17.9
18
16
14
12
10
9.6
9.5
9.6
9.4
9.6
9.4
9.7
9.7 9.1
9.6
9.7
9.1
8
6
4
5.1
5.2
5.3
5.4
4.2
4.1
4.1
4.1
5.6
4.2
2
0
2010
2011
UK
USA
2012
Srilanka
China
2013
Japan
2014
Brazil
India
Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India | 18
Global average spend on healthcare is around 10.6 percent of their GDP. India fares the lowest amongst some of the developed
countries in the world and spends less than half of the global average.
70%
India
Japan
18%
54%
Brazil
44%
China
Insurance 14%
Srilanka
52%
USA
17%
UK
0
20%
40%
60%
80%
India
0.7
2.3
Brazil
13.7
Japan
3.8
China
3.6
Srilanka
2.5
USA
UK
0
10
15
India has the lowest number of beds per 1,000 people among
the profiled countries. India has only 0.7 beds per thousand
population as compared to the global average of 2.6.
19 | Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India
1.7
India
1.40
7.6
Brazil
11.5
Japan
China
1.5
Srilanka
1.6
Incremental Demand*
of 0.65mn doctors
0.30
1.30
Gap
Demand 2020
1.20
0.30
1.00
0.80
0.70
9.8
USA
0.60
8.8
UK
0
10
0.40
15
Units
0.20
Supply 2012
0.7
India
2.3
Japan
1.5
China
0.7
Srilanka
2.5
USA
2.8
UK
0
1.9
Brazil
Supply 2012
Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India | 20
Sr.
No.
Parameters
5%
70%
Numbers
86%
14%
0.7
1.7
0.7
0.3
Economic and
demographic profile
06
North India
Population
(0-14)%
composition
Population
(15-59)%
composition
Population
(60+)%
composition
Sex Ratio
(Females per
1000 males)
2011
2011
2011
2011
2.0%
29.7%
61.6%
8.7%
877
550
1.4%
25.6%
64.0%
10.4%
893
68,621
201
2.1%
34.7%
57.7%
7.6%
926
Uttar Pradesh
1,99,581
828
2.0%
35.9%
56.2%
7.9%
908
Delhi
16,753
11,297
2.1%
27.2%
65.9%
6.9%
866
Himachal
Pradesh
6,857
123
1.3%
25.9%
63.8%
10.3%
974
Jammu &
Kashmir
12,549
56
2.4%
33.8%
58.8%
7.4%
883
Uttarakhand
10,117
189
1.9%
31.1%
59.9%
9.0%
963
Chandigarh
1,055
9,252
1.7%
25.3%
68.3%
6.4%
818
India
12,10,193
382
1.8%
30.9%
60.4%
8.7%
940
Population
(000)
Population
Density
(per sq. km)
2011
2011
Haryana
25,353
573
Punjab
27,704
Rajasthan
State
Yearly growth
(2001-11)
Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India | 22
2012
2013
2013-14
2009
Haryana
64,631
68,040
5.27%
280
Punjab
48,572
50,233
3.42%
360
Rajasthan
29,244
30,120
3.0%
287
Uttar Pradesh
18,866
19,512
3.42%
293
Delhi
1,18,960
1,27,667
7.32%
840
Himachal Pradesh
51,730
54,494
5.34%
884
30,335
31,773
4.74%
845
Uttarakhand
56,251
61,106
8.63%
630
Chandigarh
96,206
Not Released
NA
798
India
38,856
39,961
2.84%
503
State
The growth in NSDP of these states over the last year has also
been significantly above the national average of 2.84 percent.
07
Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India | 24
08
Number of hospital beds per 000 people
0.7
India
Rajasthan
Rajasthan
0.5
0.8
Uttarakhand
0.4
Jammu and
0.4
Punjab
0.9
Jammu and
Punjab
1.4
Haryana
0.2
Chandigarh
0.6
2.8
Delhi
0
0.3
UP
0.5
Chandigarh
0.3
0.1
Himachal
0.7
Haryana
0.4
Uttarakhand
1.3
Himachal
UP
0.7
India
0.6
2.8
Delhi
3
No. of Beds
Source: CBHI 2011, Indiastat, KPMG Analysis
2
No. of Doctors
Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India | 26
09
Emerging healthcare
models and opportunities
Growth
services- Under
Penetrated
GPs and Organised chains
Wellness services- Under
Penetrated
Fitness, Alternate therapy
and Rejuvenation
Under Penetrated
Formats- Under
Penetrated
Single Specialty Hospitals
Asset Light outreach
Models
Day care Format
Emergency Medical
Response
Growth
Primary healthcare
Services
Rehabilitation centers
Home care services
Telemedicine
Growth
MEDICAL SUPPORT
HEALTHCARE
DELIVERY
Growth
Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India | 28
Expansion
through hospital
chains to slow
down in urban
India
Non existent
Pre and post
treatment
care
By contrast, many
specialty-driven
care areas are
woefully
unaddressed
pharmacy
~70mn diabetics
~2,000 tertiary hospitals
ESRD patients
60 major cancer centers
Medical Tourism
There are more than 410,000 foreign patients visiting the country
annually to avail treatment at much lower rates as compared
to the western countries. There is an increasing trend towards
getting international accreditations among hospitals in the
north to attract medical tourists in the region. However, other
than Delhi and some parts of Punjab, medical tourism has not
yet picked up in other states of North India. Thus, the Northern
region could be a major driver to the growth of the USD 1.6
billion* medical tourism industry of the country.
*KPMG Analysis
Hence, going forward, opportunities are bound to arise in a bid to taper the
urban rural divide in North India through outpatient clinics, outreach models
and low frills facilities and asset light chains.
10
Government initiatives
--
--
--
--
--
--
State-specific Initiatives
--
--
11
Primary
Care
HCL Avitas
GVK EMRI
Nova
Specialty
Surgery
Secondary
Care
Tertiary
Care
Metropolis
SRL Limited
Dr Lal PathLabs
Diagnostics
Though the private sector has made investments across the value chain,
tertiary care has gained maximum attention from the private players.
12
Key recommendations
Infrastructure
Development
Expand along the value chain - pre and post operative care
leading to holistic patient engagement
Evolve effective low cost secondary care models to penetrate
tier-II cities and below through asset light outreach models
Invest in diagnostics and pharmacies to support the demand
Build specialty care formats where the breakeven is faster
Encouragement
to Private
Players
Enhanced
Healthcare
Education
Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India | 32
Conclusion
The striking feature of the healthcare sector is its potential
to grow at an exponential rate in the foreseeable future and
present new opportunities within related industries, which will
emerge as growth drivers. There is immense potential for each
stakeholder (e.g. government, entrepreneurs, healthcare service
providers, pharmaceutical companies, medical equipment
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Social infrastructure - A look at enabling elements for growth and development in North India | 34
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as well as put in place the strategies for the longer term.
The Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) works to create and sustain an environment conducive to the development
of India, partnering industry, Government, and civil society, through advisory and consultative processes.
CII is a non-government, not-for-profit, industry-led and industry-managed organization, playing a proactive role in
Indias development process. Founded in 1895, Indias premier business association has over 7200 members,
from the private as well as public sectors, including SMEs and MNCs, and an indirect membership of over 100,000
enterprises from around 242 national and regional sectoral industry bodies.
CII charts change by working closely with Government on policy issues, interfacing with thought leaders, and
enhancing efficiency, competitiveness and business opportunities for industry through a range of specialized
services and strategic global linkages. It also provides a platform for consensus-building and networking on key
issues.
Extending its agenda beyond business, CII assists industry to identify and execute corporate citizenship
programmes. Partnerships with civil society organizations carry forward corporate initiatives for integrated and
inclusive development across diverse domains including affirmative action, healthcare, education, livelihood, diversity
management, skill development, empowerment of women, and water, to name a few.
The CII theme of Accelerating Growth, Creating Employment for 2014-15 aims to strengthen a growth process that
meets the aspirations of todays India. During the year, CII will specially focus on economic growth, education, skill
development, manufacturing, investments, ease of doing business, export competitiveness, legal and regulatory
architecture, labour law reforms and entrepreneurship as growth enablers.
With 64 offices, including 9 Centres of Excellence, in India, and 7 overseas offices in Australia, China, Egypt, France,
Singapore, UK, and USA, as well as institutional partnerships with 312 counterpart organizations in 106 countries, CII
serves as a reference point for Indian industry and the international business community.
Confederation of Indian Industry
Northern Region Headquarters
Block No. 3, Dakshin Marg, Sector 31-A, Chandigarh 160030 (India)
Telephone: +91-172-5022522 / 2607228; Fax: +91-172-2606259;
Email: ciinr@cii.in; Website: www.cii.in
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Copyright 2014 by Confederation of Indian Industry (CII), All rights reserved.
No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in, or introduced into a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means
(electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise), without the prior written permission of the copyright owner. CII has made
every effort to ensure the accuracy of information presented in this document. However, neither CII nor any of its office bearers or analysts or
employees can be held responsible for any financial consequences arising out of the use of information provided herein. However, in case of any
discrepancy, error, etc., same may please be brought to the notice of CII for appropriate corrections.
The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity.
Although we endeavour to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date
it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice
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