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ByWalden Bello
GLOBALIZATION
IN RETREAT
It is assumed that globalization
as KenichiOhmaeandRobertReichcelebrated
the emergenceof the so-called borderless
autonoworld.Theprocessbywhichrelatively
Andthepeoplewhoopposed
as "irreversible."
dismissedas
globalizationweredisdainfully
policies.
WhenitfirstbecamepartoftheEnglish
was
intheearly1990s,globalization
vocabulary
Fifteen
supposedto be thewaveofthefuture.
such
thinkers
ofglobalist
yearsago,thewritings
becomefunctionally
mousnationaleconomies
wastouted
intooneglobaleconomy
integrated
oftheLudditeswho
moderndayincarnations
RevotheIndustrial
machines
during
destroyed
lution.
Fifteen
shops
yearslater,despiterunaway
whatpassesforan internaand outsourcing,
ofnational
remains
a collection
tionaleconomy
economies.Theseeconomiesareinterdepen-
An extended version of this article, titled "The Capitalist Conjuncture: Overaccumulation, Financial Crises, and
the RetreatfromGlobalization,"appeared in ThirdWorldQuarterly,Vol. 27, No. 8, 2006.
NewLaborForum16(3-4): 109-115,Fall2007
CUNY
Joseph
S. Murphy
Institute,
Copyright
ISSN: 1095-7960/07
print
DOI:10.1080/10957960701636729
dentnodoubt,butdomestic
factors
stilllargely
determine
theirdynamics.
infact,hasreacheditshigh
Globalization,
watermarkandis receding.
BRIGHT PREDICTIONS,
DISMAL OUTCOMES
GLOBALIZATION'SHEYDAY,WE WERETOLD
thatstatepoliciesno longermattered
and
thatcorporations
wouldsoon dwarfstates.In
statesstilldo matter.
TheEuropeanUnion,
fact,
theU.S.government,
andtheChinesestateare
economicactorstodaythantheywere
stronger
a decade ago. In China, for instance,
transnational
(TNCs) marchto
corporations
thetuneofthestaterather
thantheotherway
around.
with
statepoliciesthatinterfere
Moreover,
themarket
inordertobuildupindustrial
structuresor protectemployment
stillmakea difference.
Indeed,overthelasttenyears,inter-
ventionist
policieshavespelledthe
government
difference
between
andunderdedevelopment
velopment,prosperityand poverty.
ofcapitalcontrols
Malaysia's
imposition
the
Asian
financial
crisisin 1997during
98 preventedit fromunravelinglike
ThailandorIndonesia.Strict
capitalcontrolsalso insulatedChinafromtheeconomiccollapseengulfing
itsneighbors.
Fifteenyearsago,we weretoldto
ofa transnational
expecttheemergence
capitalistelitethatwould managethe
worldeconomy.Indeed,globalization
became the "grandstrategy"of the
tionleadingthewayto thenew,benignworld
order.Today,
thisprojectliesinshambles.
DurNew Labor Forum
one another,
seekingto beggarone another's
economies.
The G8 was supposedto becomeone of
inthe
ofglobalgovernance
thekeyinstitutions
Thiswas,in fact,one of
era of globalization.
thekeyobjectives
oftheClinton-Blair
project
theG8 is a
in thelate1990s.Today,however,
than
hollowshell,markedlessbycooperation
capitalist
powamongthedominant
byrivalries
ers.It continuesto meetout ofhabit,butits
original goal of serving as a forumfor
is moreand
elitecoordination
transnational
moredistant.
A decadeago,theWorldTradeOrganization(WTO) wasborn,joiningtheWorldBank
Fund(IMF) as
andtheInternational
Monetary
ecothepillarsofthesystemofinternational
in theeraofglobalization.
nomicgovernance
Witha triumphant
air,officialsof thethree
Statesstillmatter.The
EuropeanUnion,the
U.S.government,
and the
Chinesestatearestronger
economicactorstoday
thantheywerea
decadeago.
Clintonadministration,
which envisionedthe U.S. elitebeingtheprimusinter
pares- firstamongequals- ofa globalcoali-
110*
ingthereignofGeorgeW.Bush,thenationalthetransnational
istfactionhasoverwhelmed
factionoftheeconomicelite.Nationalism-inwith
flectedstatesarenowcompeting
sharply
inSingapore
organizations
meeting
duringthe
firstministerialgatheringof the WTO in
December1996sawtheremaining
taskof"global governance"
as theachievement
of"coher-
W. Bello
oftheneoliberal
ence,"thatis,thecoordination
inordertoenpoliciesofthethreeinstitutions
technocratic
ofthe
surethesmooth,
integration
liberalization
unraveledabruptly
whentalks
the
so-called
of
Six
broke
down
among
Group
globaleconomy.
theinButnowSebastianMallaby,
commentator
fluential
pro-globalization
ofthe Washington
Post,complainsthat
aidisless
hasstalled,
"tradeliberalization
thanitshouldbe,andthenext
coherent
willbe managed
financial
conflagration
In fact,thesituabyan injuredfireman."
TheIMF
he
describes.
tionisworsethan
defunct.
is practically
Knowinghowthe
Fund precipitatedand worsenedthe
Advanceddeveloping
countries
arerefusing
to
borrow
fromtheIMF or
arepayingaheadof
withsome
schedule,
theirintention
declaring
nevertoborrow
again.
Asianfinancial
crisis,moreandmoreof
theadvanceddevelopingcountriesare
toborrowfromitorarepaying
refusing
their
aheadofschedule,withsomedeclaring
intention
nevertoborrowagain.Theseinclude
Thailand,Indonesia,Brazil,and Argentina.
SincetheFundsbudgetgreatly
dependsondebt
thisboyfrom
thesebigborrowers,
repayments
describes
intowhatoneexpert
cottistranslating
as "ahugesqueezeonthebudgetoftheorganization."
TheWorldBankmayseemtobe inbetter
healththantheFund.Buthavingbeencentral
tothedebacleofstructural
policies
adjustment
thatleftmost developingand transitional
themin greater
economiesthatimplemented
and in a state
withgreater
inequality,
poverty,
a crisis
theBankis alsosuffering
ofstagnation,
worsened
be
can
This only
oflegitimacy.
bythe
ofan official
recentfinding
expert
high-level
economist
IMF
chief
former
headed
by
panel
thattheBankhasbeensystemKenneth
Rogoff
itsdatatoadvanceitspromanipulating
atically
globalization position and conceal
adverseeffects.
globalizations
isperhaps
Butthecrisisofmultilateralism
overtheU.S.refusal
to budgeon
in acrimony
The
its enormoussubsidiesforagriculture.
the
WTO
has
roundis practically
dead,and
been badly wounded. The pro-freetrade
oncecomeconomist
FredBergsten
American
and theWTO to a
paredtradeliberalization
when
theyarenotmovbicycle:theycollapse
wasoverofall,thecaseforglobalization
and salesof
sold.The bulkoftheproduction
to takeplacewithinthe
mostTNCs continues
or regionoforigin.Thereareonlya
country
whoseprooftruly
handful
globalcorporations
duction and sales are dispersedrelatively
equallyacrossregions.
Second,ratherthanforgea common,coresponsetotheglobalcrisesofoveroperative
Globalization in Retreat
production,stagnation,and environmental
eliteshavecompeted
ruin,nationalcapitalist
witheach otherto shifttheburdenofadjustment.The Bushadministration,
forinstance,
has pusheda weak-dollar
policyto promote
ministration
seemstobe freetradefortherest
fortheUnited
oftheworldandprotectionism
States.
Fourth,therehas been too muchdissoand
ofglobalization
nancebetween
thepromise
freetrade and the actual resultsof
Thecaseforglobalization
wasoversold.
Thebulk
andsalesof
ofproduction
mostTNCscontinues
to
takeplacewithinthe
orregion
country
oforigin.
U.S.economicrecovery
and growth
attheexpenseofEuropeandJapan.Ithasalso refused
to signtheKyotoProtocolin orderto push
Europeand Japanto absorbmostofthecosts
ofglobalenvironmental
andthus
adjustment,
makeU.S. industry
morecomcomparatively
The G8 mayevincetheimageofcopetitive.
intheirannualmeetings,
butthereoperation
is
that
of
and riality
increasing
competition
valry.Whilecooperationmaybe therational
choicefromthepointofviewofthe
strategic
nationalcapitalist
inglobalcapitalist
system,
terestsare mainlyconcernedwithnotlosing
outto theirrivalsin theshortterm.
A thirdfactorhas been thecorrosive
effectofthedoublestandards
brazenly
displayed
the
the
United
States.
by
hegemonicpower,
Whilethe Clintonadministration
did tryto
movetheUnitedStatestowardfreetrade,the
Bush administrationhas hypocritically
freetradewhilepracticing
preached
protectionism.Indeed,thetradepolicyoftheBushad-
112
neoliberalpolicies,whichhave been
andstagnation.
morepoverty,
inequality,
One oftheveryfewplaceswherepovoverthelastfifteen
years
ertydiminished
is China.Butinterventionist
statepolicies thatmanagedmarketforces,not
wereresponsible
neoliberal
prescriptions,
forlifting120 millionChineseout of
poverty.Moreover,the advocates of
havehadto
capitalcontrols
eliminating
facetheactualcollapseoftheeconomies
thattookthispolicyto heart.The globalizationof financeproceededmuchfaster
thantheglobalizationof production.But it
provedtobe thecutting
edgenotofprosperity
butofchaos.TheAsianfinancial
crisisandthe
which
collapseoftheeconomyofArgentina,
had been amongthemostdoctrinaire
practitionersofcapitalaccountliberalization,
were
twodecisivemoments
inreality's
revolt
against
theory.
Anotherfactorunraveling
theglobalist
projectderivesfromitsobsessionwitheconomicgrowth.
isthe
Indeed,unending
growth
of
themainspring
of
centerpiece globalization,
itslegitimacy.
Whilea recentWorldBankre- amazingly
- to extolrapid
portcontinues
W. Bello
arenolongerthateasyfor
However,
things
thecorporations
and tradingpowersand the
andGenoain2001;themassiveglobalantiwar
marchon February15,2003,whentheantimovement
morphedinto
globalization
thecoltheglobalantiwarmovement;
in
meeting
lapseoftheWTO ministerial
Cancunin 2003and itsnearcollapsein
Doctrinaire
neoliberals
arebeing
corporations.
easedoutofkeypositions,
givingwaytoprag-
Interventionist
state
policiesthatmanaged
market
not
forces,
neoliberal
prescriptions,
wereresponsible
forlifting
120 millionChineseout
ofpoverty.
sandsofanti-neoliberal,
anti-globalizain thousandsof communities
tion struggles
the worldinvolvingmillionsof
throughout
students,
workers,
people,
indigenous
peasants,
ofthemiddleclass.Organized
andmanysectors
NorthandtheSouth,played
in
the
both
labor,
roleinthisglobalresistance.
a notinsignificant
thanthemultilatmanywaysmoredangerous
sincetheyoften
WTO
atthe
eralnegotiations
intermsofmarket
concessions
requiregreater
ofintellectual
enforcement
accessand tighter
rights.
property
neoliberal
whooften
subvert
matictechnocrats
policiesinpracticeowingtopopularpressure.
Whenitcomesto FTAs,theglobalsouth
in
sistedPrimeMinisterThaksinShinawatra
themonthsbeforetherecentcoupinThailand
washisrushtoconcludea freetradeagreement
withtheUnitedStates.Indeed,on January
8,
storm
the
tried
to
some
10,000protesters
2006,
in
building ChiangMai,Thailand,whereU.S.
The govwerenegotiating.
and Thai officials
hasputthe
thatsucceededThaksin's
ernment
seekand
movements
FTA
on
U.S.-Thai
hold,
havebeeninspired
ingtostopFTAselsewhere
bythesuccessoftheThaiefforts.
fromneoliberalglobalization
The retreat
Globalization in Retreat
tinagaveanexampleofhowdeveloping
councanfacedownfinance
trygovernments
when
he
forced
northern
bondcapital
holdersto acceptonly25 centsofevery
dollar Argentinaowed them. Hugo
Chavezhaslaunchedan ambitious
plan
forregionalintegration,
theBolivarianAlternativeforthe Americas(ALBA), based on
insteadoffree
genuineeconomiccooperation
trade,withlittleor no participation
bynorthernTNCs,anddrivenbywhatChavezhimself
describesas a "logicbeyondcapitalism."
ityintheearly1990sbythecollapseoftheceninEastern
socialist
tralized
Europeand
regimes
Russia.
Itusedto be simplyassumedthatglobaland thatthosewho
izationwas "irreversible,"
questioned its inexorablecharacterwere
is a spent
Globalization
force.
GLOBALIZATION IN
PERSPECTIVE
today's vantage point, globalization
romantics.
however,
preToday,
woolly-headed
thathave
ciselybecauseofthecontradictions
been spawnedby itsunderlying
dynamicof
overaccumulation,
capitalist
many,likeNobel
laureateJoseph
aresayingthatglobalStiglitz,
izationis in dangerofbeingreversed.
Thisis,
nota goodthingformanyin liberal
however,
and progressive
circles,whofeelthatthetask
at hand is to "humanize"globalization.
Like
can be
Stiglitz,
theybelievethatglobalization
madeto workforhumanity
and thatit must
be savedfromtheneoliberals
whohavepromotedit.
It is,however,
too late.Globalization
is a
reacspentforcethathas evokedtremendous
tionsthatcontinue
togrowinstrength.
Todays
economic
and
conflicts
multiplying
political
ifanything,
theperiodfollowing
the
resemble,
endofwhathistorians
refer
toas thefirst
eraof
whichextended
from1815tothe
globalization,
of
World
War
I
in
1914.
The urgent
eruption
taskis nottoengagein thefutiletaskofsteerina "social
ingcorporate-driven
globalization
democratic"
direction
theWTO
byreforming
andIMF,andpromoting
socialre"corporate
buttomanageitsretreat
so thatit
sponsibility,"
doesnotbringaboutthesamechaosandrunthatmarkeditsdemisein that
awayconflicts
earlierera.
W. Bello
KarlPolanyitalkedabout
Hungarianthinker
capitalismbeinga processof disembedding
fromitssocialmatrix,
themarket
andeventually makingit the forcethatdrivessociety.
Globalization
has beentheclimacticpointin
thisprocessofdisembedding
themarket.
Our
taskis to re-embedthemarketin society,
to
disciplineand subordinateit to the overarchinggoals of justice,equality,and solidarity.
Globalization in Retreat