Professional Documents
Culture Documents
MID-MARCH, 2010
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-AN OPEN INVITATION FOR YOU, OR MISTER CUMMING, TO BUY ME A LAHJ ITALIAN
It’s been about three months since my last confession, and plenty has happened in the world of
Finova, delisting, and NOL’s, so let’s get right to it. Much of this discussion will relate directly to Finova,
but I have also included a ton of anecdotal stuff that is more for illustrative purposes. As always, I have
airtight, unassailable references, and I encourage you to click all the links, and read everything. I want
you to follow all of my sources, so you can clearly distinguish between my silly made-up theories and the
cold, hard, verifiable facts.
Fair warning; I’ve started getting carried away with the italics, (as if my points need any more
emphasis). Italics are the equivalent of me yelling at everyone. When you see the italics, picture me
pacing up and down the room, lecturing, wearing a hole into the carpet. You are all seasoned pros by now
anyway, but I feel like I must lead off with my typical disclaimer. If you feel so inclined I can be reached,
or attacked mercilessly, at grdmilton@gmail.com.
Finova's Form 15
This step is commonly referred to as ‘going dark’, (which sounds pretty scary, right?), and I’ve
got a whole slew of details on that subject down below.
Second, Berkadia has completed is purchase of the former Capmark commercial real estate
servicing business:
We now think it is perfectly logical to believe that Berkadia, which already owns 50% of Finova,
will soon be generating revenue/profit/income from Berkadia Commercial Mortgage (“BCM”) if it isn’t
already doing so. Thus, we want to believe that Berkadia could use Finova’s $1.7 Billion in NOL’s to
offset the tax on BCM’s income. And thus, we want to believe that Berkadia will purchase the remainder
of Finova that it does not already own, so that it may derive the full benefit of Finova’s NOL’s. We used
to think that Finova was going to be ‘merged’ with something, like NetJets, but now it looks like BCM
and Finova would make a pretty pair under the Berkadia umbrella…in my opinion, of course.
Next up is something to encourage us that we are on the right track; a quote from Berkshire
Hathaway’s most recent annual letter:
“At the end of 2009, we became a 50% owner of Berkadia Commercial Mortgage
(formerly known as Capmark)…long-term opportunities for Berkadia are significant. Our partner in this
operation is Leucadia, run by Joe Steinberg and Ian Cumming, with whom we had a terrific experience
some years back when Berkshire joined with them to purchase Finova, a troubled finance business. In
resolving that situation, Joe and Ian did far more than their share of the work, an arrangement I always
encourage. Naturally, I was delighted when they called me to partner again in the Capmark purchase.”
Let’s run Finova’s NOL through a very simple calculation: $1.7 Billion times a typical corporate
income tax rate. Let’s run this at both 28% and 35%:
I’m going to call this number “actual dollar-for-dollar cash tax savings”, or “ACTS”. This
number represents the actual dollars that would not be outlaid to the tax man as a result of utilizing
Finova’s NOL.
Now I’ll divide my ACTS into the number of Finova common shares currently outstanding, or
about 122,000,000:
476,000,000/122,000,000 = 3.9016
595,000,000/122,000,000 = 4.8770
So my crazy opinion is that Finova, right now, today (March 11 2010), in its present condition, is
‘worth’ somewhere between $3.90 and $4.88 per share. Now naturally, that’s not what Mister
Cumming would ever pay for it. But we could encourage him to start the bidding, post haste.
We’d certainly appreciate his input.
Trouble is, we have a slight problem in that there is only one party that could actually benefit
from Finova’s NOL, and that party is Berkadia itself. It is Berkadia that already owns 50% of
Finova’s common stock, and Finova cannot be ‘sold’ to anyone else without tripping the Section
382 Change-of-Control rule:
This means that there will be a very limited, narrow, tiny market for Finova common stock in the
future, if any, because such stock essentially must stay within the hands of its ‘original’ owners. So
Berkadia, in my crazy opinion, is the only logical buyer of the remainder of Finova common, because
Berkadia would much rather use all of the NOL than just half of it. Am I right, or just crazy? What’s your
opinion?
In our last lesson a few months ago, we learned not to be immediately spooked by such
scary-sounding words as “delist” and “dissolution”. Hopefully we also learned not to reach hasty
conclusions about anything, as our Moms keep reminding us, because haste makes waste. Finova filed its
own Form 15 on January 25th, 2010. Since then, I’ve compiled a bunch of great articles on Form 15,
a.k.a. ‘going dark’. To be honest, I can count as many positives about Form 15 as I can about potential
negatives. For example, here’s a tiny little bank in Michigan that summarizes all the good reasons to file
Form 15:
This one is from 2004, but the concept is exactly the same today. (You may have to do a quick, free
registration to get this article):
Here is a FABULOUS presentation that really clarifies the whole subject of ‘Going Dark’:
FABULOUS Presentation
Then there’s General Growth Properties, which delisted almost a year ago, on the very scary-sounding
Form 25:
And look how well that has turned out for GGP stockholders over the last year:
Now this has to be one of the most convenient summaries I’ve found yet, from the most recent
Freddie Mac 10-K, which can be found here :
“During the twelve months ended December 31, 2009, our top three multifamily lenders, CBRE
Melody & Company, Deutsche Bank Berkshire Mortgage and Berkadia Commercial Mortgage LLC
(which acquired Capmark Finance Inc. in December 2009), …represented approximately 40% of our
multifamily purchase volume. These top lenders are among the largest mortgage loan originators in the
U.S. in the multifamily markets. …Capmark Finance Inc., which serviced 17.1% of the multifamily loans
on our consolidated balance sheet, filed for bankruptcy on October 25, 2009. On November 24, 2009, the
U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware gave Capmark Financial Group Inc. (“Capmark”)
approval to complete the sale of its North American servicing and mortgage banking businesses to
Berkadia Commercial Mortgage LLC (Berkadia). The sale to Berkadia, a newly formed entity owned by
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. and Leucadia National Corporation, was completed in December 2009. As of
December 31, 2009, affiliates of Centerline Holding Company serviced 5.0% of the multifamily loans on
our consolidated balance sheet. Centerline Holding Company announced that it was pursuing a
restructuring plan with its debt holders due to adverse financial conditions.”
Here are the relevant excerpts from the Centerline Press Release:
PPA; CHAPTER 11, DELISTING, AND PROTECTING NOL’S AT THE SAME TIME:
In our quest to understand Finova’s delisting and NOL’s, we have often had to search and scour
many filings and a multitude of disparate pieces of information. Then we find ourselves spooked by
scary words like “delist” and “dissolution”. It sounds like the end-of-the-road, and can get very
confusing.
But in the case of Protective Products of America (“PPA”), however, we have all of the following
statements contained in the same press release:
So here we have an illustration of a company’s shares being suspended, which sounds terminal and
tragic, while the company simultaneously makes a plan for the future of the NOL’s and the “estate”,
which sounds quite encouraging. So in this case, is the company done, or not?!?!?! Naturally, I have
no idea, but it sure makes for interesting cannon fodder, no?
CONCLUSION
Well, folks, that’s about it for now, and I hope you have fun perusing these examples. As always, I
still have absolutely no idea whatsoever ‘what is going to happen with Finova’. Maybe we’ll get
skunked, and I’ll have to regroup. Maybe I’ll move to Edgartown buy a plawt of land, and raise
llamas. Maybe Mister Cumming will invite me to Amagansett for the weekend, and have his butler
Cheeves serve me a Large Italian Cold cut (hold the oil). The sandwich will be a symbolic peace
offering, so I will know that Mister Cumming welcomes me, and my inquiries, with open arms.
Now, once he’s got me all lubed up with Capicola, Sopressata, and Cold Calamari Salad, as well
as some of his Fine Pinot Noir, I just might be amenable to an (minimum) offer of Two Dollars and
Fifty Cents per share for my Finova common. How about you? I’m sure he has plenty of open seats
at his table...
-GD Hawaya
grdmilton@gmail.com