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X. Appendix 3 shows that 35 % of investment would come from Government grants and subsidies
and this is quite a huge sum. Still, MF is not guaranteed of securing the subsidies and investment
grants as the case study reveals that the Government prefers joint ventures for such projects. If MF
goes for a joint venture simply to gain access to country X together with the facilities offered by the
government, it will have to share profits and might also be affected by culture clash.
25% exchange rate depreciation is a lot against the $. This might be interpreted in two ways. Firstly,
it might be an advantage for MF given that it trades in $. By exporting its maize products to country
X, it might earn higher revenue because the customers in country X will have to spend more of their
local currency against the $. However, on the other side, MF might look unattractive because of the
currency depreciation. Country X would prefer to trade with other countries supplying maize
products and if this is the case, it might affect MF negatively.
35% of the population in country X is under 25 years implies a high supply of labour pushing the
wages down. If MF has to set up in country X it could definitely be an advantage since it will benefit
from lower labour costs which might lead to higher profit margins as profit is the difference between
revenue and costs. MF could set up quickly with the vast pool of labour available. However, if the
decision about expansion in country X is dictated by export instead of FDI, the business might not
necessarily see a high demand for its maize cereals. With the low wage rate stated previously, those
youngsters might not demand cereals for breakfast but instead look for cheaper alternatives.
Therefore, MF would be losing a high amount of customers in terms of the youngsters who would
not be able to afford. As such, there is no guarantee of increasing profits.
Overall, it can be concluded that the decision has to be carefully thought and MF should not rush to
enter country X. The external factors discussed above might act as barriers to a certain extent and
might not lead to success of MF in country X. The biggest advantage would however be that the
new Government is planning to remove the trade barriers and this might act as a driving force for
MFs strategic decision. One main issue about the data provided in the Appendix2 is that it is data
about the economy in general and there is no indication about research on the industry in which MF
deals. Therefore, there might be misinterpretations as the data might be interpreted differently by
businesses from different industries. The case study also lacks information whether MF has
conducted enough market research or not. The finance director had indeed researched data about
the general state of the economy in country X but there is no mention about maize related products
in the data. One should also consider that data in table 3 cannot be ignored. For instance, based
on the decision tree analysis, an annual return of $2m might be acceptable to go forward with the
expansion project in country X. With its actual operations, MF has made a retained profit of $2m in
2014 in its own country. Therefore, earning an additional $2m abroad is worth the decision.
Investment appraisal data might also be acceptable as the project would take 3 years only to recover
the initial outlay. Still, there is no other information to judge this payback against, for instance, what
is the acceptable payback period set by management or what is the payback period of an alternative
strategic decision of MF. Again, interpretation of data has to be made carefully. The data in
Appendix3 is mainly based on forecasts, which might not necessarily occur in reality while data in
Appendix2 is factual and up to date, based on research. Therefore on a personal level, MF could go
forward with the expansion of its maize products in country X.
Gooroochurn Kentish
kentishgooroochurn@yahoo.com