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The growing inability of Metro Vancouver families to move out of starter homes
Highlights
The bulk of affordable housing in the region is unsuitable for growing families, and where suitable units do exist,
they are rarely available for purchase at a price that will facilitate long-term financial health.
In August 2015, of all Metro Vancouver sales:
38% were detached properties with a benchmark price of $1,159,600, requiring a minimum down payment of
$231,920 (20% down payment required on properties over $1 million) and annual household income of more
than $159,150 to be affordable.
17% were attached properties primarily townhomes with a benchmark price of $511,500, requiring a
minimum down payment of $25,575 (5%) and annual household income of more than $86,364.
45% were apartments with a benchmark price of $405,400, requiring a minimum down payment of $20,045
(5%) and annual household income of more than $68,438.
In 2014, median total income for Millennials in Metro Vancouver was about $32,746, translating to an annual
household income of $65,492 for dual-income families.
National Occupancy Standards indicate three bedrooms is optimal for most families, with two children; 78% of
Millennial families are planning on two or more children.
Most apartments and condominiums the most affordable option are not suitable for families:
In 2014, of the 212,668 apartment units in the total Metro Vancouver housing stock, 91% were two bedrooms
or less.
In 2014, of the 688,000+ housing units in Metro Vancouver, only 11,377 (1.7%) were three-bedroom condos; of
these, only 961 came on the market last year 0.14% of overall inventory.
Of the entire inventory in Metro Vancouver, three-bedroom attached properties (a townhouse or row house that
provide access to a yard) are only 9% of housing stock.
Three-bedroom attached properties had a turnover rate of 9.5%, meaning that only 0.86% of all the housing stock
in the region is both suitable and available for purchase by these families.
Millennials who already own a one-bedroom apartment or condo and want to upgrade to three bedrooms with
access to a yard would need to take on an additional 95% of debt.
As of July 2015, of the 27,044 units under construction in Metro Vancouver, only 9% (2,503) were attached units.
This report offers recommendations to address the imbalance of housing stock, enabling families to free
themselves from their house trap and take the next step on the housing ladder.
Governments should focus on encouraging supply through incentives for developers, inclusionary zoning and
partnerships to support shared-equity co-ops.
Real estate developers and businesses should participate in public policy discussions, lead industry-level
assessments and introduce reciprocity programs.
Families should consider alternative locations, living styles and flexible ownership options.
Make Good Money (TM) is a trademark of Vancouver City Savings Credit Union.
$65,492
Monthly payment
$1,733
Interest rate
2.690%
Amortization period
25 years
$19,200
Mortgage amount
$378,844
$14,044
$364,800
Purchase price
$384,000
Note: calculation does not include heat, property taxes and strata fees.
Percentage increase in property cost (value) required to increase number of bedrooms by city, 2014
164%
158%
139%
135%
117%
101%
89%
89%
46%
83%
86%
83%
74%
68%
60%
59%
58% 55%
91%
67%
37%
34%
38%
38%
22%
29%
65%
58%
53%
52%
38%
78%
37%
42%
6%
5%
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3 bedroom
attached, as % of
all housing stock
3 bedroom
attached, as % of
all inventory sold
Burnaby, City of
9.1%
7.4%
Coquitlam, City of
9.8%
8.9%
Delta, Corporation of
5.3%
10.5%
Langley, City of
6.6%
9.0%
Langley, Township of
11.3%
10.8%
9.6%
11.1%
3.3%
14.3%
10.0%
7.3%
7.2%
6.3%
10.7%
7.8%
13.4%
8.5%
20.2%
7.8%
Richmond, City of
16.6%
8.3%
Surrey, City of
13.3%
11.7%
4.9%
8.5%
2.6%
8.5%
2.9%
8.4%
1.6%
17.2%
Metro Vancouver
9.0%
9.5%
Equity co-ops
Equity co-ops are similar to strata condominiums and
townhouses. The main difference is, instead of owning the
home you live in outright, you own a share in the overall
co-op corporation that owns the housing, and the
ownership of that share entitles you to occupy your home.
One type of equity co-op is called a shared-equity co-op.
One of the benefits of the shared-equity model is that
capitalization of the building can be split between the
corporations balance sheet and the buyers. More
specifically, the purchase price of a unit is likely to be lower
since the co-op corporation itself can carry some of the
capital, therefore splitting the capitalization of a unit
between an individual mortgage and the debt or equity that
is on the corporations books. Even more interesting given
the intense upward pressure of the current market, equity
co-ops may incorporate mechanisms that restrict the sale
price to help maintain a balance between long-term
affordability and individual equity.
However, equity co-ops face challenges. Though common in
New York and other North American markets, they are not as
common here and markets are resistant to unfamiliar structures.
Recommendations
As Vancitys previous reports note, there are a number of
steps that various institutional players can take to bring
back balance to the local housing market. These can be
found in the recommendations section of Help Wanted:
Salaries, affordability and the exodus of labour from
Metro Vancouver.
Governments
Families
While the government and business recommendations
focus on longer-term solutions, here are some short-term
strategies for young families who want to pursue home
ownership:
Purchasing a semi-detached structure: Rather than
setting their sights immediately at a single-detached
home, consider buying a townhouse or row house, which
can offer individual outdoor space similar to a detached
home, but at a more affordable price.
Consider a more affordable neighbourhood: If
purchasing a home with outdoor access in your
community is still out of reach, it may mean moving to
a less populated area of Metro Vancouver with public
transit access, where both attached and detached homes
are more affordable.
References
1. Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver, Competition continues to drive Metro Vancouvers housing market, September 1, 2015.
www.rebgv.org/news-statistics/competition-continues-drive-metro-vancouvers-housing-market
2. British Columbia Real Estate Association, Market Implications of Foreign Buyers, June 2015.
www.bcrea.bc.ca/docs/economics-publications-archive/2015-06-foreign-buyers-research-report.pdf
3. Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver, Competition continues to drive Metro Vancouvers housing market, September 1, 2015.
www.rebgv.org/news-statistics/competition-continues-drive-metro-vancouvers-housing-market
Calculations based on a 32% gross debt service ratio, 5-year fixed rate of 2.690%, 25-year amortization period.
4. Micro-condos promoted as affordable luxury real estate in Surrey, CBC News, January 26, 2015.
www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/micro-condos-promoted-as-affordable-luxury-real-estate-in-surrey-1.2932464
5. Vancity, Downsizing the Canadian Dream: Homeownership Realities for Millennials and Beyond, March 2015, p. 3-4.
www.vancity.com/SharedContent/documents/News/Downsizing_Canadian_Dream_March2015.pdf
6. Barbara Yaffe, Single-family detached homes now on endangered list, Vancouver Sun, June 1, 2015.
www.vancouversun.com/business/Barbara+Yaffe+Single+family+detached+homes+endangered+list/11100051/story.html
7. Vancity, Downsizing the Canadian Dream: Homeownership Realities for Millennials and Beyond, March 2015, p. 1.
www.vancity.com/SharedContent/documents/News/Downsizing_Canadian_Dream_March2015.pdf
8. Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation, New Housing Construction Activity Vancouver, July 2015.
www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/en/hoficlincl/homain/stda/stda_006.cfm
9. Vancity, Downsizing the Canadian Dream: Homeownership Realities for Millennials and Beyond, March 2015, p. 4.
www.vancity.com/SharedContent/documents/News/Downsizing_Canadian_Dream_March2015.pdf
10. Calculated from 2014 BC Assessment data from Landcor Data Corporation
11. Metro Vancouver, 2011 Census Bulletin #5: Household & Family Structure in Metro Vancouver, Table 5.
www.metrovancouver.org/services/regional-planning/PlanningPublications/Census2011-Families.pdf
12. Genworth Canada, 2015 Genworth Canada First-Time Homeownership Study, 2015.
homeownership.ca/dreaming-of-homeownership/benefits-for-first-time-home-buyers/our-very-first-home/
13. BabyCenter, BabyCenter 21st Century Mom Insights Series, 2014 Canada Millennial Mom Report, April 2014, p. 7.
www.babycentersolutions.com/docs/BabyCenter_2014_CA_Millennial_Mom_Report.pdf
14. Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation, Definitions.
cmhc.beyond2020.com/HiCODefinitions_EN.html#_Suitable_dwellings.
15. Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver, Competition continues to drive Metro Vancouvers housing market, September 1, 2015.
www.rebgv.org/news-statistics/competition-continues-drive-metro-vancouvers-housing-market
16. Calculation based on a 32% gross debt service ratio, 5-year fixed rate of 2.690%, 25-year amortization period.
17. Calculated from 2014 BC Assessment data from Landcor Data Corporation
18. Statistics Canada, 2011 National Household Survey, Statistics Canada Catalogue no. 99-014-X2011032. National Household Survey
data shows that 2010 median total income for 25-36 year olds in Metro Vancouver was $31,097. 2014 numbers assume an annual salary
increase of 1.3%. See Vancity, Help Wanted, p. 3 for annual salary increases.
19. Calculated from 2014 BC Assessment data from Landcor Data Corporation
20. 454 Semi-detached and 2,049 Row housing. Canadian Mortgage and Housing Corporation, New Housing Construction Activity
Vancouver, July 2015. www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/en/hoficlincl/homain/stda/stda_006.cfm