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CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES POLL

Race for the Democratic Nomination: Clintons Lead Narrows


September 9-13, 2015
Q1. How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2016 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or
no attention so far?

A lot
Some
Not much
No attention so far
Dont know/No answer

Total
%
36
35
17
12
1

REGISTERED VOTERS
Rep
Dem
Ind
%
%
%
44
30
35
35
35
35
12
22
15
8
12
15
1
1
0

Dem. Primary Voters


%
36
35
17
12
1

Jul15e
%
30
41
20
9
--

Q2. Next year, are you more likely to vote in a (Republican presidential primary) or caucus, or a (Democratic
presidential primary) or caucus or aren't you likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all?
Republican primary
Democratic primary
Not likely to vote
Never vote
Dont know/No answer

36
33
17
*
14

87
1
6
6

4
76
10
10

22
20
32
1
24

Q3a. Which one of these potential candidates would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate for
President in 2016?

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Joe Biden
Lincoln Chafee
Jim Webb
Martin O'Malley
Someone Else (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
Dont know/No answer
(*) % is less than 0.5

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS


%
47
27
15
1
1
*
1
2
7

Jul15e
%
58
17
11
1
2
1
-4
7

Q4a. Is your mind made up or is it still too early to say for sure?
AMONG DEM PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE
Mind made up
43
Too early
56
Dont know/No answer
1
Q5a. Who would be your second choice for the Democratic nomination for president?
AMONG DEM PRIMARY VOTERS WITH A CANDIDATE CHOICE
Joe Biden
36
Hillary Clinton
23
Bernie Sanders
14
Jim Webb
3
Martin O'Malley
2
Lincoln Chafee
Someone Else (vol.)
1
None of them (vol.)
12
Dont know/No answer
8

42
20
15
4
3
1
2
6
7

Q5b. Suppose the race for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination in 2016 comes down to the
following candidates, which one would you like to see the Democratic Party nominate for President in
2016?

Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
Martin O'Malley
Lincoln Chafee
Someone Else (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
Dont know/No answer
(*) % is less than 0.5

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS


%
58
28
3
*
2
2
6

Q6a. What is the main reason you would like to see the Democratic Party nominate Hillary Clinton as its
2016 presidential candidate?
DEM PRIMARY VOTERS WHO PICK CLINTON AS 1ST OR 2ND CHOICE
%
Has the right experience
16
Shes a woman/time for woman pres. 13
Best candidate for the job
10
Married to Bill Clinton
9
Agree on the issues
6
Shes a democrat
6
Can win general election
4
Smart/intelligent
3
Strong leader
2
Like her
2
Successful politician/Sec. of State
2
Country needs change/will bring change
1
Honest/trustworthy
1
Stance on the economy
1
Stance of foreign policy
1
Understands how government works
1
Ran before/her turn
*
Dont like the other candidates
*
Other
16
Dont know/No answer
5
Q7a. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these potential Democratic
presidential candidates would you be most dissatisfied with as the Democratic nominee?

Hillary Clinton
Martin O'Malley
Lincoln Chafee
Joe Biden
Jim Webb
Bernie Sanders
Someone Else (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
Dont know/No answer
(*) % is less than 0.5

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS


%
15
14
11
10
10
9
*
5
26

Jul15e
%
13
13
12
10
11
14
*
3
23

Q8a. Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2016, which one of these potential Democratic
presidential candidates do you think has the best chance of winning the general election in November
2016?

Hillary Clinton
Joe Biden
Bernie Sanders
Jim Webb
Lincoln Chafee
Martin O'Malley
Someone Else (vol.)
None of them (vol.)
Dont know/No answer

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS


%
55
21
10
2
1
*
1
2
7

Jul15e
%
78
11
5
1
0
*
*
1
4

Q9a. If Hillary Clinton became the 2016 Democratic nominee for President, would you enthusiastically
support her, support her but with reservations, support her only because she is the Democratic Party
nominee, or not support her?

Enthusiastically support
Support with reservations
Support only because nominee
No support
Dont know/no answer

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS


48
28
15
6
2

Q10a. Thinking about the Democratic party's nominee for president in 2016, which is more important to
you -- a nominee who (agrees with your position on most issues), or a nominee who (can win the
general election in November)?

Agrees on issues
Can win in November
Dont know/no answer

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS


%
62
35
4

Q11a. Would you like to see Joe Biden run for President of the United States in 2016, or not?
Yes
No
Dont know/no answer

57
34
9

Q12. Do you think Donald Trump is honest and trustworthy, or not?

Honest and trustworthy


Not honest and trustworthy
Dont know/no answer

REGISTERED VOTERS
Total
Rep
Dem
%
%
%

Ind
%

Rep. Primary Voters


%

35
55
11

34
56
10

55
32
12

53
32
15

18
74
7

Q13. Do you think Donald Trump has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
Yes, strong qualities of leadership
No, does not have strong qualities
of leadership
Dont know/no answer

56

80

35

54

81

41
3

16
3

63
2

43
4

17
2

Q14. RELEASE SEPARATELY


Q15. Do you think Ben Carson is honest and trustworthy, or not?
Honest and trustworthy
Not honest and trustworthy
Dont know/no answer

49
16
36

73
5
22

27
26
47

48
16
36

79
4
16

Q16. Do you think Ben Carson has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
Yes, strong qualities of leadership
No, does not have strong qualities
of leadership
Dont know/no answer

38

59

21

35

64

25
37

15
26

31
48

29
36

15
22

43
39
19

72
16
13

Q17. RELEASED SEPARATELY


Q18. Do you think Jeb Bush is honest and trustworthy, or not?
Voters

Honest and trustworthy


Not honest and trustworthy
Dont know/no answer

48
35
17

71
15
14

32
51
17

Q19. Do you think Jeb Bush has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
Yes, strong qualities of leadership
No, does not have strong qualities
of leadership
Dont know/no answer

44

57

37

41

58

42
14

31
11

50
13

43
16

32
10

Q20. RELEASED SEPARATELY


Q21. Do you think Hillary Clinton is honest and trustworthy, or not?

Honest and trustworthy


Not honest and trustworthy
Dont know/no answer

REGISTERED VOTERS
Total Rep
Dem
%
%
%
32
10
62
62
87
30
7
2
9

Inds
%
22
70
8

Dem. Primary
Voters
%
64
30
6

Jul15e
%
40
55
5

Q22. Do you think Hillary Clinton has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
Yes, strong qualities of leadership
No, does not have strong qualities
of leadership
Dont know/no answer

53

24

84

51

88

65

43
4

75
2

12
4

45
5

9
3

31
4

Q23. Do you think Hillary Clintons views on most issues are too liberal for you, not liberal enough, or
just about right?

Too liberal
Not liberal enough
Just about right
Dont know/no answer

DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS


%
10
23
64
3

Q24. Do you think Bernie Sanders is honest and trustworthy, or not?

Honest and trustworthy


Not honest and trustworthy
Dont know/no answer

REGISTERED VOTERS
Total Rep
Dem
%
%
%
43
30
50
20
29
15
38
41
35

Inds
%
47
16
38

Dem. Primary
Voters
%
58
15
27

Q25. Do you think Bernie Sanders has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
Yes, strong qualities of leadership
No, does not have strong qualities
of leadership
Dont know/no answer

37

26

43

40

52

29
35

38
36

23
34

27
33

23
25

Q26. Do you think Bernie Sanderss views on most issues are too liberal for you, not liberal enough, or
just about right?
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS
12
13
49
26

Too liberal
Not liberal enough
Just about right
Dont know/no answer

Q27. Do you think Joe Biden is honest and trustworthy, or not?


REGISTERED VOTERS
Total Rep
Dem
%
%
%
55
37
79
31
47
14
15
16
7

Honest and trustworthy


Not honest and trustworthy
Dont know/no answer

Inds
%
48
32
20

Dem. Primary
Voters
%
81
14
6

Sep12a
%
55
32
14

Q28. Do you think Joe Biden has strong qualities of leadership, or not?

Yes, strong qualities of leadership


No, does not have strong qualities
of leadership
Dont know/no answer

REGISTERED VOTERS
Total Rep
Dem
Inds
%
%
%
%
49
29
73
43

Dem. Primary
Voters
%
78

40
12

14
8

60
12

17
9

43
14

Q29. Do you think Joe Bidens views on most issues are too liberal for you, not liberal enough, or just
about right?
DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY VOTERS
Too liberal
4
Not liberal enough
17
Just about right
69
Dont know/no answer
11
Q34a. How much have you heard or read about Hillary Clintons exclusive use of a personal email
address and server for work-related matters while she was Secretary of State a lot, some, or not
much?

A lot
Some
Not much
Nothing at all
Dont know/No answer

TOTAL RESPONDENTS
Total Rep
Dem
Inds
%
%
%
%
44
54
42
39
30
30
34
27
22
15
23
26
4
1
2
7
1
*
*
1

Reg.
Voters
%
52
29
17
2
*

Dem. Primary
Voters
%
50
32
17
1
*

Mar15c
%
40
29
27
3
1

Q34b. Has Hillary Clintons exclusive use of a personal email address and server for work while she was
Secretary of State made your opinion of her better, made your opinion worse, or has this not affected
your opinion of Hillary Clinton?
TOTAL RESPONDENTS
Total Rep
Dem
%
%
%
Better
2
1
3
Worse
36
62
19
No Effect
59
36
77
Don't know/No answer 3
1
1

Reg.
Inds Voters
%
%
2
2
34
42
59
55
5
2

Dem. Primary
Voters
%
3
18
76
3

Mar15c
%
3
29
65
2

Q34c. Are you mostly satisfied or mostly dissatisfied with Hillary Clintons explanation about why she
used a personal email address and server for work while she was Secretary of State?
Mostly Satisfied
32
Mostly Dissatisfied
50
Don't know/No answer 17

13
81
6

Total Respondents
Total Registered voters
Total Democratic Primary Voters

55
25
19

28
49
23

Unweighted
1,261
1,021
351

35
54
11

66
24
10

Weighted
926
307

42
40
18

Margin of error
3 pts.
4 pts.
6 pts.

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