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Article history:
Received 2 October 2012
Received in revised form 20 February 2013
Accepted 27 February 2013
Available online 11 April 2013
Keywords:
Lawn fertilization
Nitrogen application rate
Neighborhood governance
Homeowners associations
Social cohesion
Non-point source pollution
a b s t r a c t
Lawn fertilization is increasingly recognized as an important contributor to non-point source pollution
in watersheds, but relatively little is known about how and why homeowners fertilize. Lawns are a social
expression of citizenship and belonging in many American cities, for a well-maintained yard reects a
homeowners work ethic as well as the pride in his home. There are also neighborhood inuences, as
homeowners conform to the dominant neighborhood standard of lawn esthetics. Homeowners associations (HOAs) are one way in which neighborhood lawn standards are maintained, as they use written
rules and unwritten expectations backed by legal means of enforcement to ensure compliance with
neighborhood guidelines. This paper examines household nitrogen fertilizer application rates in Baltimore, Maryland. We nd that households which place a high importance on lawn care and occupy more
valuable homes fertilize at higher rates compared with neighbors who place lower importance on lawn
care, and live in less expensive homes. We also examine the effects of different neighborhood governance
regimes, specically homeowners associations and neighborhood associations. Households who belong
to an HOA apply more fertilizer than those who do not, but households belonging to a neighborhood
association do not fertilize more than their counterparts who are not so afliated. HOA membership also
mediates the effect of lawn care importance and home value and moderates the effect of social cohesion
on fertilization application rates. HOAs shape household lawn behaviors: by obliging people to maintain
a high esthetic standard, they encourage higher usage of chemicals to attain those standards.
2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction
This paper, stemming from the National Science Foundations
(NSF) Long Term Ecological Research (LTER) program in Baltimore,
reports on a study of households in and around the Gwynn Falls
This research was supported by the Human and Social Dynamics Program of the
National Science Foundation, grant number 0729387.
Corresponding author. Tel.: +1 615 343 7638.
E-mail addresses: james.c.fraser@vanderbilt.edu (J.C. Fraser),
joshua.t.bazuin@vanderbilt.edu (J.T. Bazuin), lband@email.unc.edu (L.E. Band),
mgrove@fs.fed.us (J.M. Grove).
0169-2046/$ see front matter 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2013.02.013
J.C. Fraser et al. / Landscape and Urban Planning 115 (2013) 3038
31
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J.C. Fraser et al. / Landscape and Urban Planning 115 (2013) 3038
2.5. Hypotheses
We frame our hypotheses relating to household participation
in lawn production based on the rate of fertilizer application at
the household level, and household to neighborhood level factors.
Many of the neighborhoods within which we interviewed people
had a lawn dominant landscape. Drawing on this discussion, we
hypothesize that:
J.C. Fraser et al. / Landscape and Urban Planning 115 (2013) 3038
In this paper, we use surveys administered in thirty neighborhoods to test these hypotheses using a probit regression analysis.
3. Methods
3.1. Study site: Baltimore, Maryland
The Chesapeake Bay has received considerable scientic, political, and social attention as water pollution and the Bays declining
water quality have emerged as signicant concerns. Maryland, the
state perhaps most associated with the Chesapeake Bay (though the
Bays watershed extends into ve other states), illustrates well the
challenge of fertilizer use, as the demand for food and the social
desire for a green lawn conicts with the need for better water
quality in the highly visible and valued Bay. While agriculture is
the largest single use of fertilizer in Maryland and is therefore an
important part of the nitrogen load in the Chesapeake, it is not the
only source.
Residential fertilization of turfgrass is another important source.
The population of Maryland has steadily increased from 1.3 million
in 1910 to 5.7 million in 2010 (US Census Bureau, 2011). As household sizes have decreased, the population increase has necessitated
a very large increase in the number of housing units in the state. In
the last twenty years, as the population has increased by just under
one million people, the number of housing units in the state has
increased from 1.9 million to 2.4 million (US Census Bureau, 2011).
As population increases and towns and cities grow, they expand
onto agricultural land, resulting in less farmland but more residential lawn. Recent studies found that in two small urban watersheds
in Baltimore County, lawns accounted for between 25% and 75%
of the total area of residential parcels (Law, Band, & Grove, 2004;
Zhou, Troy, & Grove, 2008). With regard to fertilization, increasing residential development is problematic regardless of the lot
size, especially in the face of increasing home sizes. If homes are
0.16
0.14
0.12
Farm Ferlizer Use
(per acre)
0.1
0.08
Non-farm ferlizer
use (per housing unit)
0.06
0.04
Non-farm ferlizer
use (per person)
0.02
2010
2008
2006
2004
2002
1998
2000
1996
1994
Year
0
1992
33
34
J.C. Fraser et al. / Landscape and Urban Planning 115 (2013) 3038
Table 1
Variables in the analysis.
Variable
Description
Fertilization rate
(dependent variable)
Neighborhood cohesion
HOA membership
NA membership
Home value
Lot size
Yard area
Soil testing
participate, one team member conducted a tape-recorded interview that contained both closed-ended (survey-type) and openended questions, one team member measured and photographed
the yard, and one team member observed the interview and took
eld notes. Interview questions included items around lawn care
practices, membership and participation in homeowners or neighborhood associations or other forms of neighborhood governance,
and neighborhood cohesion. A full description of variables from
the survey we used in the following analysis is included in Table 1.
Interviews lasted anywhere from 20 min to more than an hour in
duration. In this manner, our team collected 498 interviews in 30
neighborhoods with a response rate of 54%. Nine neighborhoods
had HOAs, fourteen neighborhoods had NAs, and seven had no
neighborhood governing organization. All recruitment and data
collection procedures were reviewed and approved by an Institutional Review Board.
The data generated by the surveys were coded and entered into
spreadsheets according to standard practice. To calculate a nitrogen application rate for each yard, we asked homeowners whether
their lawns were fertilized, and, if so, whether they did it themselves or if they contracted with a company, the product used,
how many times per year it was applied, and the size and number of packages used. We also measured peoples yards so that
we could calculate which portion of their lot is covered by lawn.
We then used these data, combined with the nitrogen content of
specic products, to estimate a rate of nitrogen application (kilograms of nitrogen per hectare per year kg N/ha/yr). Unfortunately,
there was a fairly signicant number of missing pieces of data,
usually when respondents could not remember which products
they had used on their yards and no longer had the package to
show us. Of the 160 households who self-fertilized in our sample, we could not calculate nitrogen application rates for 26%. To
solve this problem, we employed multiple imputation methods
(Allison, 2001; Horton & Lipsitz, 2001; Rubin, 2004) to calculate
the missing values. Multiple imputation involves using the known
data for the case to estimate missing data using patterns from
complete cases in the same dataset; the process is repeated multiple times to introduce variance, and the values calculated at each
pass are nally pooled. In this case, we used Rs mice (Multiple
Imputation through Chained Equations) package and its progressive mean matching function to impute missing nitrogen values
(Van Buuren, 2010; Van Buuren & Groothuis-Oudahoorn, 2011).
We had limited data on the fertilizer applied by commercial services: we had general patterns of use reported by several providers,
which were highly similar to each other and generally followed
Maryland turfgrass management guidelines (Turner, 2003), but
we did not have reliable application quantities for every provider.
For those missing, we estimated using the global provider mean.
Because of the inherent uncertainty involved in imputation and
the provider estimation, instead of treating the dependent variable as a continuous measurement of the fertilizer application
rate, we instead grouped each household into four categories: no,
low (.190 kg N/ha/yr), medium (90.1139 kg N/ha/yr), and high
(139.1400 kg N/ha/yr) fertilization. The categories were dened
to roughly produce equal numbers of households in each, though
specic cut-off values were adjusted slightly to correspond with
natural breaks in the distribution of the data so as to not separate responses which were very close in value into different
categories.
We used ordinal probit regression employing this categorical
variable to explore the determinants of fertilizer application rates.
Ordinal probit regressions are useful when the dependent variable
is ordinal with three or more categories; the output includes a series
of thresholds, which are similar to an intercept for each category.
Because we were interested in mediating and moderating variables,
we present the results of four regression analyses in the next section. Three are used to establish mediation, which requires that (1)
the independent variables regress onto the dependent variables,
(2) the independent variables regress on the mediator, and (3) the
independent and mediator variables regress onto the dependent
variable (Baron & Kenny, 1986). Models 1 and 2 satisfy the rst
and third requirements respectively with fertilization rate as the
dependent variable. We also present briey the results of a logistic
regression (used because the mediator, presence of a homeowners
association, is dichotomous) of our suite of independent variables
on the mediator to satisfy the second requirement. Model 3 also
uses fertilization rate as the dependent variable, employing two
interaction terms created by multiplying the respective variables
together, to explore the moderating inuences of different neighborhood governance models.
J.C. Fraser et al. / Landscape and Urban Planning 115 (2013) 3038
35
Table 2
Descriptive Statistics.
Variable
Median
Mean (SD)
Range
28.50
1
418.06
768.90
271,030
1966
3
3.80
67.05 (87.70)
1.68 (2.93)
740.56 (1495.49)
1699.68 (5503.73)
354,157 (231,565)
1964 (28.9)
2.88 (.85)
3.74 (.79)
0679.39
024
9.2924201.23
149.3780,856.26
106,3802,210,650
18652007
14
1.005.00
Table 3
Correlations.
1. Fertilization rate
2. Fertilization frequency
3. Yard area
4. Lot size
5. Home value
6. Year home built
7. Lawn care importance
8. Neighborhood cohesion
9. Soil testing
10. HOA membership
11. NA membership
*
**
10
11
1.00
.43**
1.00
.09*
.04
1.00
.04
.04
.74**
1.00
.01
.02
.63**
.56**
1.00
.16**
.18**
.17**
.04
.14**
1.00
.23**
.19**
.01
.02
.01
.05
1.00
.05
.05
.10*
.07
.05
.23**
.03
1.00
.08
.15**
.14**
.07
.12**
.03
.01
.00
1.00
.14**
.10*
.02
.05
.17**
.34**
.08
.00
.01
1.00
.08
.11*
.08
.04
.12*
.51**
.08
.17**
.04
.57**
1.00
4. Results
4.1. Descriptive summary
Table 2 summarizes the descriptive statistics for the continuous variables we measured in the sample. Of the 498 respondents,
45.4% of our sample reporting using no fertilizer, 33.5% fertilized
their own lawns, and 21.1% contracted with a commercial service.
In terms of other chemicals, 49.0% used herbicides of various sorts
and 27.1% reported using pesticides. Twenty percent of the sample
had their soil tested to see which additives would be appropriate.
Regarding neighborhood governance, 27.5% of the households surveyed said they were governed by a homeowners association and
46.0% reported having a neighborhood association.
Table 3 lists the bivariate correlations between variables
included in this analysis. Yard area and lot size are signicantly correlated with each other, as are home value and lot size; these are all
associations which are standard in the real estate market (Anderson
& West, 2006; Cho, Clark, Park, & Kim, 2009). There are also small
positive correlations between a residents perceived importance
of lawn care, their ratings of their yards, and the quantity of fertilizer they use. There is a small positive relationship between
living in an HOA and fertilization rate. In addition, newer homes
are more likely to have HOAs. Perhaps the only surprising correlation is a small negative association between the year the home
was built and neighborhood cohesion; in other words, the older
the home is, the higher neighborhood cohesion the home occupant
reported, though older neighborhoods may have more established
social relationships which lead to increased levels of cohesion.
4.2. Predicting fertilization rates
The environmental impact of fertilization is dependent in part
on how much people fertilize. Just under half of our sample did
not fertilize at all; of the 55% of the sample that did, we estimate
that they applied an average of 136 kg of nitrogen per hectare per
year, or 2.78 pounds per thousand square feet annually. Nearly half
of all people who fertilize (46.6%) and almost one quarter of all
36
J.C. Fraser et al. / Landscape and Urban Planning 115 (2013) 3038
Table 4
Ordinal regression results predicting lawn fertilization rates.
Model 1
1
2
3
Threshold
Neighborhood Cohesion
Lawn care importance
Home value
Lot size
Soil tested
HOA membership
NA membership
Interaction: NA Cohesion
Interaction: HOA Cohesion
Model 2
Model 3
SE
Wald CI
SE
Wald CI
SE
Wald CI
7.39**
7.93**
8.53**
.11
.40**
.54**
.39*
.42**
1.92
1.92
1.92
.07
.06
.15
.16
.13
[3.62, 11.16]
[4.15, 11.70]
[4.74, 12.30]
[.25, .03]
[.26, .53]
[.23, .841]
[.70, .07]
[.15, .69]
5.54*
6.08**
6.70**
.11
.34**
.40*
.35*
.39**
.38*
.01
2.04
2.04
2.04
.07
.07
.16
.16
.14
.16
.14
[1.53, 9.54]
[2.07, 1.09]
[2.68, 1.72]
[.26, .04]
[.19, .47]
[.07, .72]
[.68, .02]
[.11, .66]
[.06, .69]
[.31, .28]
5.29*
5.83**
6.47**
.32*
.35*
.44*
.30
.40**
1.42
.59
.17
.49*
2.10
2.11
2.11
.14
.07
.16
.16
.14
.75
.69
.18
.22
[1.16, 9.42]
[1.70, 9.97]
[2.32, 1.61]
[.62, .04]
[.20, .48]
[.11, .76]
[.72, .06]
[.12, .67]
[2.91, .06]
[1.96, .78]
[.20, .53]
[.10, .89]
Model t statistics
Value
df
Value/df
Value
df
Value/df
Value
df
Value/df
Deviance
Pearson Chi-square
Log likelihood
Akaikes information crit
Bayesian information crit
1009.98
1243.71
504.99
1025.98
1058.21
1237
1237
.82
1.01
932.81
1131.25
466.40
952.81
992.08
1115
1115
.82
1.02
926.60
1128.83
463.30
951.60
997.73
1113
1113
.83
1.01
Omnibus test
*
**
LR 2
df
LR 2
df
LR 2
df
54.28
<.01
47.90
<.01
54.11
<.01
home value, lawn care, and fertilization decreases with the inclusion of HOA membership, HOA partially mediates the relationship
between home value, lawn care importance, and fertilization rate
(Baron & Kenny, 1986). In the presence of an HOA, wealth and the
importance a person places on lawn care inuence fertilization less.
To some degree, we can say that HOAs homogenize fertilization
decisions: everyone living in an HOA fertilizes more, and individual
circumstances and preferences affect the relationship less.
The third model includes interaction terms between the two
types of associations and neighborhood cohesion. The effects for
lawn care importance, home value, lot size, and soil testing are
nearly identical to the model without the interactions. The main
effect for the presence of a neighborhood association is still not
signicant, nor is its interaction with neighborhood cohesion. The
main effect for cohesion is signicant, but the main effect for homeowners associations is no longer signicant.
However, because the interaction between cohesion and homeowners association is signicant, we can say that the presence of an
HOA moderates the effect of neighborhood cohesion on fertilization
behavior. Fig. 2 graphically illustrates the relationships. Neighborhood cohesion has a negative effect on fertilization where there is
no HOA.
N Quanty
(Change in Probits)
1
0.5
0
-0.5
Presence of NA or no
associaon
-1
Presence of HOA
-1.5
-2
1
Neighborhood Cohesion
Fig. 2. Moderation effect on the relationship between neighborhood cohesion and
fertilization quantity by homeowners associations.
J.C. Fraser et al. / Landscape and Urban Planning 115 (2013) 3038
37
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