Professional Documents
Culture Documents
52-Week High
Trailing PE
Annual Div
ROE
LTG Forecast
1-Mo Return
423.50 (INR)
302,558
469.60
13.6
16.00
12.7%
8.7%
4.9%
Market Cap
52-Week Low
Forward PE
Dividend Yield
Annual Rev
Inst Own
3-Mo Return
89.6B
331.10
12.3
3.8%
58.0B
26.9%
9.3%
AVERAGE SCORE
Score Averages
AUG-2013
AUG-2014
AUG-2015
HIGHLIGHTS
Peers
-6M
-3M
-1M
-1W
MPHASIS
Current
9
VAKRANGEE
MINDTREE
10
HEXAWARE
TECHM
1Y Trend
Hold
24 Analysts
Sell
Reduce
Hold
Buy
Strong
Buy
BUSINESS SUMMARY
Mphasis Limited, formerly known as Mphasis BFL Limited is an India-based Information Technology solutions provider offering Applications, Business
Process Outsourcing (BPO) and Infrastructure services. The Company specializes in providing a suite of application development and maintenance
services, infrastructure outsourcing services and business process outsourcing solutions to clients worldwide. Service categories include Application
Development, Maintenance & Modernization, Specialized Services, Enterprise Architecture, Integration and Business Process Management Services
etc. ?Its segment includes Banking and Capital Market, Insurance, Information Technology, Communication and Entertainment and Emerging
Industries. The Company is a subsidiary of Hewlett-Packard (HP).
Page 1 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
MPHASIS (MPHASIS-IN)
INDICATOR COMPONENTS
The AVERAGE SCORE combines the quantitative analysis of five widely-used investment decision making tools: Earnings,
Fundamental, Relative Valuation, Risk, and Price Momentum. A simple average of the underlying component ratings is normally
distributed to rank stocks on a 1-10 scale (10 being awarded to the most favorable). These factors may be evaluated differently using
alternative methodologies and the importance of individual factors varies across industries, market capitalization and investment styles.
Additional criteria should always by used to evaluate a stock.
Earnings
Fundamental
Relative Valuation
Risk
Price Momentum
PEER ANALYSIS
Currency in INR
PRICE MOMENTUM
Average
Score Ticker
VALUATION
FUNDAMENTAL
ANALYSTS
Price
(08/11/15)
1-Mo
Return
3-Mo
Return
1-Yr
Return
Market
Cap
Trailing
PE
Forward
PE
Dividend
Yield
Net
Margin
LTG I/B/E/S
Forecast Mean
# of
Analysts
INFY
1,109.15
18.3%
11.3%
24.2%
2.5T
20.3
19.1
2.0%
21.1%
10.8% Buy
53
WIPRO
566.15
3.2%
4.6%
4.3%
1.4T
16.0
14.9
2.1%
17.9%
11.6% Hold
49
HCLTECH
940.40
1.6%
-0.2%
24.1%
1.3T
18.3
16.8
1.7%
--
11.5% Buy
52
TECHM
540.65
14.1%
-14.4%
0.1%
514.7B
19.8
17.2
1.1%
10.7%
21.7% Buy
50
MINDTREE
1,378.95
14.7%
8.5%
36.9%
108.8B
21.3
19.4
1.2%
11.9%
14.2% Hold
32
MPHASIS
423.50
4.9%
9.3%
-0.8%
89.6B
13.6
12.3
3.8%
10.4%
8.7% Hold
24
HEXAWARE
279.10
9.6%
9.2%
88.5%
84.1B
23.8
19.5
3.0%
12.8%
-- Hold
23
VAKRANGEE
166.65
14.3%
52.8%
24.5%
84.0B
81.7
--
0.2%
10.9%
-- Strong Buy
CYIENT
549.85
-2.0%
8.2%
39.1%
60.9B
17.2
15.2
1.5%
10.3%
-- Buy
CMC
2,006.45
4.4%
2.5%
8.4%
59.7B
21.9
20.7
0.9%
8.4%
PERSISTENT
713.90
17.0%
2.3%
16.8%
55.6B
19.8
17.6
1.1%
13.4%
46.2% Hold
Average
788.61
9.1%
8.5%
24.2%
570.7B
24.9
17.3
1.7%
12.8%
17.8% Buy
PEER COMPANIES
INFY
WIPRO
HCLTECH
TECHM
MINDTREE
Infosys
Wipro
HCL Technologies
Tech Mahindra
MindTree
Page 2 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
HEXAWARE
VAKRANGEE
CYIENT
CMC
PERSISTENT
Hexaware Technologies
Vakrangee
Cyient
CMC
Persistent Systems
-- Strong Buy
1
16
1
26
29.7
MPHASIS (MPHASIS-IN)
EARNINGS
Currency in INR
Earnings Score Averages
Peers
-6M
-3M
-1M
-1W
NR
NR
HEXAWARE
TECHM
VAKRANGEE
NR
NR
NR
MINDTREE
Positive
MPHASIS
Neutral
Negative
AUG-2012
AUG-2013
AUG-2014
AUG-2015
1Y Trend
NR
EARNINGS INDICATORS
Earnings Surprises
Estimate Revisions
Recommendation Changes
(33.3% weight)
(33.3% weight)
(33.3% weight)
HEXAWAR
MPHASIS
MINDTREE
HEXAWAR
MINDTREE
MPHASIS
MPHASIS
TECHM
TECHM
TECHM
HEXAWAR
MINDTREE
VAKRANG
VAKRANG
VAKRANG
Last 4 Quarters
# Positive Surprises (> 2%)
# Negative Surprises (< -2%)
# In-Line Surprises (within 2%)
Avg Surprise
Last 4 Weeks
2
1
1
-1.0%
# Up Revisions
# Down Revisions
Avg Up Revisions
Avg Down Revisions
HIGHLIGHTS
- MphasiS currently has a relatively neutral Earnings Rating of 6. The
average Earnings Rating for its IT Services & Consulting industry is 5.8
and the CNX 500 index average is 5.5.
- On 07/29/15, the company announced quarterly earnings of 8.27 per
share, relatively in-line with the consensus 8.34. Over the past 4
quarters, the company has reported 2 positive, 1 negative, and 1 inline surprises. The average surprise for this time period has been 1.0%.
- There have been 2 upward and 2 downward broker recommendation
changes for MphasiS over the past 120 days.
Page 3 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
# Broker Upgrades
# Broker Downgrades
2
2
PRICE TARGET
The chart indicates where analysts predict the stock price will be within
the next 12 months, as compared to the current price.
520
480
440
423.50
400
MEAN
360
Mean
400.00
High
520.00
Low
340.00
LOW
320
HIGH
Current Price
Price Target
-5.5%
24
MPHASIS (MPHASIS-IN)
Estimates
HIGH
MEAN
LOW
9.000
8.700
8.450
8.270
8.400
8.100
7.800
7.500
7.850
12-14
03-15
06-15
Actuals
12-15
8.300
9.000
High
8.300
9.000
Low
8.300
9.000
09-15
12-15
Estimates
49.00
HIGH
Annual
42.00
MEAN
LOW
32.20
35.00
2016
2017
Mean
34.530
38.580
High
39.000
47.000
28.00
Low
32.500
34.900
21.00
# of Analysts
23
23
14.00
14.70
2014
2015
2016
Current
30 Days Ago
90 Days Ago
% Change (90 Days)
09-15
Mean
# of Analysts
7.620
09-14
Quarterly
2017
ANALYST RECOMMENDATIONS
Q
09-15
Q
12-15
Y
2016
Y
2017
8.300
8.500
---
9.000
34.530
38.580
411.00
9.000
34.830
38.210
397.00
-34.860
38.510
392.00
--0.9%
0.2%
4.8%
Next Expected Report Date: 11/19/15
Price
Target
Strong Buy
Buy
Hold
Reduce
Sell
EARNINGS SURPRISES
Comparing a company's actual earnings to the mean expectation of
analysts results in a difference referred to as a 'positive' or 'negative'
surprise. Research has shown that when a company reports a
surprise, it is often followed by more of the same surprise type.
Amount
Percent
3
6
3
25.0%
50.0%
25.0%
Surprise
Type
Announce
Date
Period End
Date
Actual
EPS
Mean
EPS
Surprise
(%)
IN-LINE
POSITIVE
POSITIVE
NEGATIVE
NEGATIVE
NEGATIVE
07/29/15
05/23/15
02/13/15
10/29/14
07/30/14
05/14/14
06/30/15
03/31/15
12/31/14
09/30/14
06/30/14
03/31/14
8.270
8.450
7.850
7.620
8.310
5.800
8.340
7.717
7.643
8.995
8.657
6.675
-0.8%
9.5%
2.7%
-15.3%
-4.0%
-13.1%
ANNUAL REVENUE
A pattern of increasing sales in
conjunction with a rising EPS may
influence a buy recommendation, while
flat or falling sales and faltering
earnings may explain a sell
recommendation. A rising EPS with flat
or falling sales may result from
increased cost efficiency and margins,
rather than market expansion. This
chart shows the sales forecast trend of
all analysts and the highest and lowest
projections for the current and next
fiscal year.
Page 4 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
Actuals
Estimates
120B
100B
80B
HIGH
MEAN
LOW
57.9B
60B
40B
20B
25.9B
2014
2016
2017
Mean
59.9B
64.2B
High
64.3B
73.5B
Low
56.3B
57.4B
3.4%
10.8%
23
23
Forecasted Growth
# of Analysts
2015
2016
2017
MPHASIS (MPHASIS-IN)
FUNDAMENTAL
Fundamental Score Averages
Q3
2014
Q4
2014
Q1
2015
Q2
2015
10
10
10
NR
NR
10
10
10
10
MINDTREE
NR
NR
HEXAWARE
Peers
VAKRANGEE
Positive
MPHASIS
Neutral
TECHM
Negative
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2013
2014
3Y Trend
FUNDAMENTAL INDICATORS
Profitability
Debt
Earnings Quality
Dividend
(25% weight)
(25% weight)
(25% weight)
(25% weight)
MINDTR
VAKRA
HEXAW
TECHM
MPHASI
Revenue Growth
For year over year
ending 10/13
Gross Margin
For trailing 4 qtrs
ending 06/15
Return On Equity
For trailing 4 qtrs
ending 03/15
Net Margin
For trailing 4 qtrs
ending 06/15
HEXAW
MINDTR
TECHM
VAKRA
MPHASI
34.2
MPHASI
TECHM
VAKRA
MPHASI
VAKRA
MINDTR
TECHM
HEXAW
MINDTR
HEXAW
128.6%
--
0.9
3.8%
HIGHLIGHTS
- The Fundamental Rating for MphasiS improved significantly over the
last quarter from 5 to 9. The current rating is considerably more
bullish than the Software & IT Services Industry Group average of 4.8.
- The company's gross margin has been higher than its Industry Group
average for each of the past five years.
- The company's current ratio has been higher than its Industry Group
average for each of the past five years.
Page 5 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
- The company's days sales in receivables has been lower than its
Industry Group average for each of the past five years.
- Of the 194 firms within the Software & IT Services Industry Group,
MphasiS is among 60 companies that pay a dividend. The stock's
dividend yield is currently 3.8%.
MPHASIS (MPHASIS-IN)
RELATIVE VALUATION
Relative Valuation Score Averages
AUG-2013
AUG-2014
AUG-2015
Peers
-6M
-3M
-1M
-1W
MPHASIS
NR
NR
Current
7
TECHM
HEXAWARE
MINDTREE
VAKRANGEE
1Y Trend
Trailing PE
Forward PE
(50% weight)
(25% weight)
(25% weight)
MPHASIS
MPHASIS
TECHM
MINDTREE
TECHM
HEXAWAR
HEXAWAR
MINDTREE
VAKRANG
VAKRANG
MPHASIS
MINDTREE
TECHM
HEXAWAR
VAKRANG
Price to Sales
1.5 Trailing PE
13.6
Forward PE
12.3
5-Yr Average
--
5-Yr Average
--
5-Yr Average
--
--
--
--
24.3
19.2
36% Discount
HIGHLIGHTS
- MphasiS currently has a Relative Valuation Rating of 7 which is
significantly above the S&P BSE SENSEX index average rating of 5.0.
- Compared to the Software & IT Services Group, MPHASIS is currently
trading at a significant discount based on both Price to Sales ratio and
Trailing P/E.
- Based on Price to Sales, MPHASIS currently trades at a 43%
Discount to its Software & IT Services Group peers. On average, the
company has traded at a -- over the past five years.
Page 6 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
MPHASIS (MPHASIS-IN)
PRICE TO SALES
TRAILING PE
The most recent week's close price divided by the revenue per share.
Price to Sales:
5-Year Average:
S&P BSE SENSEX Index Average:
Software & IT Services Group Average:
The most recent week's close price divided by the sum of the four most
recently reported quarterly earnings.
1.5
-3.6
2.7
3.2
3.0
2.8
2.6
2.4
2.2
2.0
1.8
1.6
1.4
1.2
Trailing PE:
5-Year Average:
S&P BSE SENSEX Index Average:
Software & IT Services Group Average:
13.6
-24.3
22.2
18
17
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
FORWARD PE
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
FORWARD PEG
The most recent week's close price divided by the sum of the four
upcoming quarterly consensus estimates.
Forward PE:
5-Year Average:
S&P BSE SENSEX Index Average:
Software & IT Services Group Average:
19
18
17
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
Forward PEG:
5-Year Average:
S&P BSE SENSEX Index Average:
Software & IT Services Group Average:
1.4
-1.4
1.0
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.2
1.1
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
2011
2012
Page 7 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
2013
2014
2015
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
MPHASIS (MPHASIS-IN)
RISK
Risk Score Averages
Peers
-6M
-3M
-1M
-1W
10
10
10
10
10
NR
NR
10
10
10
10
10
HEXAWARE
VAKRANGEE
MINDTREE
Positive
MPHASIS
Neutral
TECHM
Negative
AUG-2012
AUG-2013
AUG-2014
AUG-2015
1Y Trend
RISK INDICATORS
Magnitude Of Returns
Volatility
Beta (1-year)
Correlation
(25% weight)
(25% weight)
(25% weight)
(25% weight)
MINDTR
MPHASI
HEXAW
TECHM
MINDTR
MPHASI
TECHM
HEXAW
MPHASI
HEXAW
MINDTR
VAKRA
VAKRA
VAKRA
MINDTR
TECHM
VAKRA
MPHASI
TECHM
HEXAW
Standard Deviation
Last 90 Days
1.53
Last 60 Months
9.80
Intra-Day Swing (Last 90 Days)
Average
2.9%
Largest
12.6%
HIGHLIGHTS
- MphasiS currently has a Risk Rating of 10 while the S&P BSE
SENSEX index has an average rating of 9.7.
- On days when the market is up, MPHASIS shares remain
relatively unchanged. On days when the market is down, the
shares generally decrease less than the S&P BSE SENSEX
index.
- In both short-term and long-term periods, MPHASIS has shown
average correlation (> 0.2 and < 0.4) with the S&P BSE
SENSEX index. Thus, this stock would provide only average
levels of diversification to a portfolio similar to the broader
market.
- Over the last 90 days, MPHASIS shares have been less volatile
than the overall market, as the stock's daily price has fluctuated
less than 96% of S&P BSE SENSEX index firms.
Page 8 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
0.27
27%
32%
27%
41%
RISK ANALYSIS
Peers
Best
Daily
Return
Last 90 Days
Worst
#
# Largest
Daily Days Days Intra-Day
Return
Up Down
Swing
Last 60 Months
Best
Worst
Monthly Monthly
Return
Return
MPHASIS
6.0%
-2.7%
31
35
12.6%
30.8%
-34.8%
HEXAWARE
5.3%
-5.5%
38
28
9.6%
47.1%
-23.0%
MINDTREE
5.4%
-5.1%
32
34
7.9%
21.6%
-32.7%
TECHM
3.5% -14.2%
33
33
10.5%
20.1%
-17.3%
VAKRANGEE
S&P BSE
SENSEX
10.9%
-5.0%
42
23
21.5%
40.9%
-39.9%
1.5%
-2.4%
35
30
2.8%
11.7%
-10.6%
MPHASIS (MPHASIS-IN)
PRICE MOMENTUM
Currency in INR
Price Momentum Score Averages
Peers
-6M
-3M
-1M
-1W
NR
NR
HEXAWARE
MINDTREE
TECHM
VAKRANGEE
Positive
MPHASIS
Neutral
Negative
AUG-2012
AUG-2013
AUG-2014
AUG-2015
1Y Trend
Seasonality
(70% weight)
(30% weight)
VAKRANG
MPHASIS
HEXAWAR
MINDTREE
VAKRANG
MINDTREE
TECHM
TECHM
MPHASIS
HEXAWAR
PRICE PERFORMANCE
Daily close prices are used to calculate the
performance of the stock as compared to a
relevant index over five time periods.
1-Week
CNX 500
-2.7%
-0.5%
4.9%
1-Month
9.3%
3.8%
9.9%
YTD
4.8%
-0.8%
Page 9 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
MPHASIS
CNX 500
423.50
7101
52-Week High
469.60
7202
52-Week Low
331.10
6747
- On 08/11/15, MPHASIS closed at 423.50, 9.8% below its 52week high and 27.9% above its 52-week low.
- MPHASIS shares are currently trading 5.1% above their 50day moving average of 402.89, and 9.3% above their 200-day
moving average of 387.56.
- The CNX 500 index is currently 1.4% below its 52-week high
and 5.3% above its 52-week low.
2.4%
3-Month
1-Year
MPHASIS
16.1%
MPHASIS (MPHASIS-IN)
dividend yield.
- Dividend Growth Rate: (Dividends per Share Previous Dividends per Share)
/ Previous Dividends per Share
- Dividend Funding: Dividends / Operating Cash Flow
- Dividend Coverage: (Pre-Tax Income + Interest Expense) / (Interest Expense
+ Dividends)
- Dividend Yield: Annual Dividends per Share / Current Market Price per Share
Indicator Trend
The fundamental indicator trend displays either quarterly scores over the past three
years or annual scores over the past six years, depending on the reporting periods
for the country. The best and worst scores can be easily determined from the
values shown on the chart for each quarter or year.
Relative Valuation
The Relative Valuation Rating is based on a combination of three component
factors: Price to Sales (50% weight), Trailing P/E (25% weight), and Forward P/E
(25% weight). After the weightings are considered to combine individual factors,
equal deciles are used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10,
with 10 being most favorable. These common valuation metrics are evaluated
against the overall market, the index, and the company's own historic 5-year
averages. A stock needs to have at least one of the three relative valuation factors
in order to receive a score.
Page 10 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.
Outstanding)
Trailing P/E: Close Price / Most Recent 4 Quarters or 1 Year of Earnings
Forward P/E: Close Price / Upcoming 4 Quarters or 1 Year of Earnings
Valuation Averages
Negative values are excluded when calculating the averages. A maximum value of
100 is placed on Trailing P/E and Forward P/E, a maximum value of 5 is placed on
Forward PEG, and a maximum value of 20 is placed on Price to Sales when
calculating the averages. Higher values are rounded down to the maximum for the
averages.
MPHASIS (MPHASIS-IN)
Software & IT Services / Software & IT Services / IT Services & Consulting
Valuation Multiples
The valuation multiples provide the Trailing P/E, Forward P/E, Forward PEG, and
Price to Sales for the company and the S&P 500 index average. In addition, a
comparison of the current companys values to its 5-year average and an industry
average are presented. A discount occurs when the companys ratio is valued more
favorably (lower) than that to which it is compared.
Risk
The Risk Rating displays stocks on a scale of 1 to 10 with 10 being awarded to the
least risky stocks. It is derived by looking at a series of long-term (5-year) and
short-term (90-day) stock performance measures including volatility, magnitude of
returns, beta, and correlation. Each factor is equally weighted. Then, equal deciles
are used to rank each stock across the market. A stock needs to have at least two
of the four risk factors in order to receive a score.
Magnitude of Returns The best / worst daily returns in the past 90 days and the
last 60 months, along with the average and largest intra-day stock swing.
Beta Measures the tendency of a securitys returns to respond to swings in the
market, based on the beta of the company versus the relevant index.
Correlation Determines how closely the returns of the stock and the relevant
index move together, measured over the last 90 days and last 60 months.
Risk Analysis
Price analysis for the company and the relevant index is provided over two time
periods. Daily analysis is provided for the last 90 days, whereas monthly statistics
are used for the last 60 months.
Price Momentum
The Price Momentum Rating is based on a combination of two technical
performance factors: relative strength (70% weight) and seasonality (30% weight).
After the weightings are considered to combine individual factors, equal deciles are
used to rank each stock across the market on a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 being most
favorable. A stock needs to have data for the relative strength factor in order to
receive a score.
Relative Strength The relative strength of the company for the last 1 month, 3
month and next 2 months for the company and industry, over the past 10 years.
A lower industry rank indicates a higher return.
Price Performance
Daily close prices are used to calculate the price performance of the stock. The
performance of the relevant index is also displayed as a means of comparison.
DISCLAIMER
All information in this report is assumed to be accurate to the best of our ability.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. The information contained in
this report is not to be construed as advice and should not be confused as any sort
of advice. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making
their investment decision.
Page 11 of 11
2015 Thomson Reuters. All rights reserved.