Professional Documents
Culture Documents
The increasing amount of Canadian international trade has positive effects on Canadian economy growth as well
living. And the decreasing amount of Canadian international trade has negative effects on our economy and stand
Original Attempt:
Originally, my plan was to compare the amount of Canadian total export value and total import value from 1999
indicators such as Canadian unemployment rate, real GDP, poverty line, consumer price index and inflation rates
see whether there is a relationship between the amount of trade and our economy and standard of living.
Viable solution: In order to provide a complete analysis, I decided to extend the time period to at least 10 years. S
the trade stats from 1999 to 2003, I have to look for stats elsewhere. Fortunately, I have found a website that prov
stats, which goes all the way back to 1992 (http://strategis.ic.gc.ca). Now I am able to compare the changes in the
past 12 years with the changes in other indicators in the same time period, which will enable me to present a bigg
of the whole trend.
2. By only comparing the total amount of Canadian trade to the Canadian real GDP will end up with a biased rela
variables.
Viable solution: First of all, I will randomly selecte 4 provinces from all the provinces excluding those with popu
Since there are 8 provinces in total with population greater than 700,000, thus by selecting 4 out of 8 will be able
then collect the trade stats in those 4 provinces from 1992 2003 and compare them to their provincial real GDP
doing this I will be able to look at the impact of trade on each province individually. In addition, I will make a sca
amount of trade in 4 provinces against the mean of the real GDP in those 4 provinces, and compare this scatter pl
trade against Canadian real GDP and to see which scatter plot best represented the relationship between trade and
3. Becuase of the way my data is set up, it will be extremly difficult to use other programs such as fathom.
Viable solution: Since it is very inefficient to retype all data into fathom in order to generate scatter plots, it'll be w
that requires fathom and perform most of the tasks in the software that are more appropriate for my data, like mic
1997 $
Canadian $
Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of Community
of Residence (Rural)
Canadian $
Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of Community
of Residence (Less than
30,000, not Rural)
Canadian $
Year
Total Canaidan Exports Value (million $)
Total Canadian Imports Value (million $)
Canadian Trade Balance (million $)
Canadian Unemployment Rate (%)
Canadian Inflation Rate (%)
Canadian CPI (1992 = 100)
Canadian Polulation
Canadian Federal Debt (million $)
All Industries
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting
Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Trasportation and Warehousing
Information and cultural industries
Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Reting
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support, Waste Management
Health Care and Social Assistance
Accommodation and Food Services
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of Community
of Residence
(30,000-99,999)
Canadian $
Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of Community
of Residence
(100,000-499,999)
Canadian $
Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of Community
of Residence
(500,000 +)
1997 $
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Quebec Total Exports (million $)
Quebec Total Imports (million $)
Quebec Trade Balance (million $)
All Industries
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting
Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Trasportation and Warehousing
Information and cultural industries
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support, Waste Management
Health Care and Social Assistance
Ontario Total Exports (million $)
Ontario Total Imports (million $)
Ontario Trade Balance (million $)
1997 $
1997 $
BC Real GDP
per Worker per Hour
Worked By Industry
1997 $
1992
162,828.00
148,018.00
14,810.00
10.80
1.52
100.00
28,470,057
NA
31.80
15.46
85.76
92.04
31.59
32.39
43.38
12.97
28.37
49.56
90.94
19.43
23.36
25.45
14.45
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
1993
187,515.00
169,953.00
17,562.00
10.40
1.80
101.80
28,783,938
NA
31.91
16.39
16.39
97.68
30.47
33.76
43.04
13.32
28.07
48.07
93.12
19.44
22.70
24.65
14.41
11,390
14,238
17,703
21,435
23,961
26,487
29,014
13,063
16,329
20,308
24,583
27,479
30,375
33,271
14,039
17,549
1994
225,679
202,736
22,943
10.34
0.20
102.00
29,095,125
NA
32.29
16.52
90.10
106.78
28.87
35.28
44.69
13.86
28.28
45.79
97.88
19.59
21.81
24.56
14.37
11,410
14,263
17,739
21,472
24,003
26,533
29,064
13,086
16,357
20,343
24,626
27,527
30,428
33,329
14,063
17,579
1995
262,267
225,553
36,714
9.44
2.16
104.20
29,396,463
524,156
32.76
17.38
91.02
115.45
28.48
35.70
45.57
14.19
28.96
44.33
99.42
20.00
21.46
24.16
14.94
11,661
14,576
18,129
21,944
24,530
27,116
29,702
13,372
16,716
20,790
25,167
28,132
31,096
34,061
14,372
17,965
1996
275,819
232,566
43,253
9.63
1.63
105.90
29,708,936
554,162
32.76
17.64
86.92
116.18
29.66
35.40
45.74
14.54
29.23
45.12
98.69
19.39
21.64
23.70
14.25
11,839
14,799
18,406
22,279
24,905
27,530
30,156
13,577
16,971
21,107
25,551
28,562
31,571
34,581
14,591
18,239
1997
298,072
272,946
25,126
9.09
1.61
107.60
29,996,204
562,850
33.35
17.65
84.44
124.32
30.14
35.92
48.21
15.34
29.56
44.45
102.64
20.56
20.96
23.72
14.48
12,030
15,038
18,703
22,639
25,307
27,975
30,643
13,796
17,245
21,448
25,964
29,023
32,081
35,140
14,827
18,534
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
21,825
26,419
29,532
32,645
35,758
14,137
17,671
21,978
26,604
29,739
32,874
36,009
16,482
20,603
25,623
31,017
34,671
38,326
41,981
21,863
26,465
29,583
32,702
35,820
14,162
17,702
22,016
26,650
29,791
32,931
36,072
16,511
20,639
25,668
31,071
34,731
38,393
42,054
22,343
27,046
30,233
33,420
36,607
14,473
18,091
22,500
27,235
30,445
33,654
36,864
16,874
21,092
26,232
31,753
35,494
39,236
42,978
22,684
27,459
30,695
33,930
37,166
14,694
18,367
22,844
27,651
30,910
34,168
37,427
17,132
21,414
26,633
32,238
36,036
39,835
43,634
23,050
27,903
31,191
34,478
37,766
14,931
18,664
23,213
28,098
31,409
34,720
38,032
17,409
21,760
27,063
32,759
36,618
40,479
44,339
27,747
26,372
1,375
30.64
16.60
31.89
115.98
37.68
31.06
40.36
11.55
NA
NA
20.14
27.14
25.93
34,143
28,027
6,116
30.87
15.23
36.86
119.07
37.40
32.64
37.64
12.66
NA
NA
20.21
25.67
24.82
41,081
32,455
8,626
30.69
13.74
34.02
118.23
33.72
33.71
40.47
13.00
NA
NA
19.78
22.73
24.89
48,422
36,300
12,122
30.84
14.88
31.75
134.32
31.68
33.16
42.50
12.85
NA
NA
19.75
21.20
24.75
49,365
37,055
12,309
31.13
15.78
43.53
129.66
33.92
33.88
38.36
14.05
NA
NA
19.05
21.89
25.09
52,635
40,144
12,492
31.57
17.04
44.09
146.86
35.54
34.04
43.55
14.68
27.75
49.19
19.41
22.70
24.87
82,266
89,697
-7,431
95,076
106,727
-11,651
115,158
130,135
-14,977
131,047
143,921
-12,873
139,681
149,726
-10,046
153,239
176,389
-23,150
13.62
33.25
13.14
45.74
80.70
33.53
33.87
50.85
13.92
NA
NA
90.14
19.46
24.05
26.10
15.10
12.49
32.89
13.07
53.15
92.18
29.49
36.01
52.29
13.77
NA
NA
90.18
19.21
23.07
25.41
14.79
12.75
33.64
13.99
48.43
107.86
27.55
38.30
49.12
15.08
NA
NA
97.11
19.53
22.60
25.49
14.47
13.52
34.58
15.82
44.90
113.56
27.51
39.43
54.80
15.63
NA
NA
99.34
19.59
23.09
24.94
15.16
13.48
34.26
15.36
45.26
107.12
29.18
38.04
56.54
15.33
NA
NA
98.99
19.61
23.15
24.34
13.88
12.75
34.80
16.09
46.81
109.47
27.88
38.17
57.75
16.26
28.90
42.77
na
20.74
21.94
25.11
14.63
16,931
16,026
905
31.57
32.47
62.07
125.12
28.35
34.23
37.39
14.11
NA
NA
18.63
22.20
25.96
14.80
19,821
16,582
3,238
31.79
36.64
86.85
103.29
27.88
31.51
36.05
14.47
NA
NA
17.96
22.98
26.70
16.45
24,041
18,216
5,825
31.86
36.47
91.71
100.28
27.20
30.34
37.96
14.05
NA
NA
18.09
22.56
26.67
16.17
28,304
19,601
8,703
32.13
37.11
86.02
120.92
27.73
30.17
35.31
14.45
NA
NA
18.63
22.26
26.29
16.63
26,598
19,399
7,199
32.28
35.88
69.05
141.80
28.30
29.36
36.01
15.50
NA
NA
17.55
21.10
26.06
16.19
27,445
23,347
4,098
32.64
34.08
82.39
128.96
28.56
30.94
36.52
15.71
32.10
42.61
19.43
20.80
25.02
16.14
18,237
4,287
13,949
34.00
9.24
20,168
5,469
14,699
35.64
12.27
23,507
6,645
16,863
36.42
12.69
27,780
7,068
20,711
36.58
13.83
32,081
7,504
24,577
36.06
13.37
33,686
9,247
24,440
37.54
14.11
124.89
89.22
27.42
35.59
40.60
13.27
NA
NA
19.00
20.99
24.88
15.26
116.31
81.83
29.89
37.49
42.33
13.96
NA
NA
20.42
22.26
24.54
16.33
116.91
97.77
30.36
40.50
50.84
13.64
NA
NA
21.04
23.21
23.41
16.44
126.93
105.25
29.28
40.48
39.69
14.26
NA
NA
24.03
21.40
23.12
16.55
112.62
107.64
28.69
42.87
44.36
13.88
NA
NA
21.86
21.45
20.84
15.54
105.04
143.77
34.25
44.40
47.31
15.77
33.57
42.74
24.34
20.40
19.59
15.81
1998
318,444
298,386
20,058
8.28
0.93
108.60
30,233,741
560,718
34.07
18.31
94.26
119.90
30.91
36.49
52.42
16.41
29.09
44.95
109.01
21.55
20.80
23.64
14.17
12,142
15,178
18,877
22,849
25,542
28,235
30,928
13,924
17,405
21,647
26,205
29,293
32,379
35,467
14,965
18,706
1999
355,420
320,409
35,012
7.56
1.75
110.50
30,494,888
557,871
34.71
20.53
107.18
125.91
30.59
37.01
47.89
17.21
29.56
51.47
113.48
21.80
21.87
23.21
14.91
12,361
15,450
19,216
23,260
26,002
28,743
31,485
14,176
17,720
22,037
26,677
29,820
32,962
36,105
15,235
19,044
2000
413,215
356,992
56,223
6.81
2.71
113.50
30,787,468
544,726
35.42
21.59
98.91
120.88
29.96
39.86
49.08
17.47
29.52
53.42
116.67
22.42
21.53
22.46
15.01
12,696
15,870
19,738
23,892
26,708
29,524
32,340
14,561
18,201
22,635
27,401
30,629
33,857
37,085
15,648
19,561
2001
404,085
343,127
60,958
7.22
2.56
116.40
31,135,823
524,564
36.33
22.37
86.45
114.54
31.43
39.35
50.90
17.97
29.99
54.68
124.38
22.96
22.46
23.13
15.38
13,021
16,275
20,242
24,502
27,390
30,278
33,166
14,933
18,666
23,214
28,101
31,412
34,722
38,033
16,048
20,060
2002
396,379
348,718
47,661
7.65
2.23
119.00
31,463,241
517,545
37.04
21.70
95.76
107.87
30.88
39.47
55.52
18.68
31.06
64.58
127.33
23.76
22.27
23.26
15.40
13,311
16,639
20,694
25,050
28,002
30,954
33,907
15,267
19,083
23,732
28,729
32,113
35,498
38,882
16,407
20,508
2003
380,815
335,533
45,282
7.64
2.77
122.30
31,747,670
510,576
37.67
24.11
92.37
107.06
31.06
40.74
57.89
19.30
31.19
68.28
126.00
25.22
22.32
23.41
14.62
13,680
17,100
21,268
25,744
28,778
31,813
34,847
15,690
19,612
24,390
29,526
33,004
36,482
39,960
16,862
21,077
23,264
28,162
31,481
34,798
38,117
15,070
18,837
23,429
28,359
31,701
35,043
38,385
17,571
21,962
27,315
33,063
36,958
40,855
44,751
23,683
28,669
32,047
35,425
38,803
15,341
19,176
23,849
28,869
32,272
35,674
39,076
17,886
22,357
27,805
33,658
37,624
41,590
45,556
24,326
29,448
32,917
36,387
39,857
15,757
19,697
24,497
29,653
33,148
36,642
40,137
18,371
22,964
28,560
34,572
39
42,719
46,793
24,948
30,200
33,758
37,317
40,875
16,160
20,200
25,123
30,411
33,995
37,579
41,163
18,841
23,551
29,290
35,455
39,633
43,811
47,988
25,505
30,875
34,512
38,150
41,788
16,521
20,651
25,684
31,090
34,754
38,418
42,080
19,261
24,077
29,944
36,247
40,518
44,789
49,060
26,213
31,731
35,469
39,208
42,947
16,979
21,224
26,396
31,952
35,718
39,483
43,249
19,795
24,745
30,774
37,253
41,642
46,031
50,421
57,572
43,484
14,088
32.10
16.49
38.08
135.52
39.38
34.51
45.61
15.70
26.58
46.36
19.45
21.09
25.09
62,067
48,579
13,488
32.50
20.45
65.08
171.15
34.07
35.10
39.08
16.89
26.73
49.08
19.84
24.69
22.87
74,200
57,561
16,639
33.52
19.27
52.55
162.36
34.27
39.60
39.30
16.74
26.85
55.42
20.82
24.53
22.04
71,113
54,049
17,064
34.98
20.47
64.34
157.36
39.31
40.16
45.90
17.19
27.39
56.94
21.45
26.89
22.26
68,454
51,421
17,033
35.33
19.55
62.50
146.60
37.44
39.85
49.44
17.25
32.53
65.67
21.36
25.84
22.31
64,186
52,367
11,819
36.17
23.46
53.37
158.12
37.09
40.58
49.34
18.01
30.78
69.34
23.73
29.02
22.15
171,859
194,466
-22,607
195,567
211,612
-16,045
207,079
227,158
-20,079
201,720
215,394
-13,674
206,542
224,661
-18,119
189,142
209,961
-20,820
13.06
35.29
16.74
52.46
101.80
27.60
39.12
62.53
17.42
27.36
45.34
107.22
22.20
22.21
24.56
14.22
13.31
36.51
17.73
53.58
106.74
29.81
39.56
63.34
18.15
29.73
53.92
na
23.54
22.87
24.84
15.94
13.42
37.38
20.87
61.93
111.87
28.32
41.53
61.19
18.59
29.31
54.27
na
24.24
22.50
24.02
16.42
13.58
37.87
21.11
57.53
104.38
30.02
40.10
59.17
18.60
29.48
55.21
na
24.91
23.00
24.57
17.39
14.32
38.85
24.16
61.74
103.15
29.70
40.33
64.17
19.82
28.46
69.29
126.97
26.19
23.70
25.34
16.55
13.88
39.33
24.53
63.76
93.77
29.11
42.53
69.70
19.98
29.52
73.48
119.88
27.76
23.78
24.74
15.06
26,891
25,732
1,158
33.55
35.61
78.16
123.93
27.80
30.83
45.49
17.05
33.89
41.18
20.14
20.11
25.05
14.81
30,156
27,170
2,986
33.91
36.17
96.64
130.45
27.94
35.07
36.34
17.83
32.14
46.05
17.68
21.19
24.32
15.01
35,484
30,804
4,679
33.87
32.97
98.31
118.82
26.70
37.88
42.49
18.04
33.09
41.71
18.13
17.98
23.95
14.44
32,923
31,637
1,286
35.58
38.67
127.88
111.07
26.53
37.21
43.96
19.28
36.28
43.42
19.02
18.89
25.64
14.30
30,264
31,527
-1,264
36.06
38.31
130.47
109.02
24.40
37.73
44.73
20.02
36.29
51.67
19.39
20.52
24.58
14.71
29,586
31,262
-1,676
36.30
33.87
100.64
100.39
26.49
37.60
47.82
20.79
33.74
56.99
19.09
17.70
27.22
14.98
31,216
10,804
20,412
38.99
14.83
34,966
10,334
24,632
38.73
18.09
55,880
12,083
43,797
39.40
19.44
57,536
13,633
43,903
39.54
20.04
49,312
12,855
36,457
40.19
15.20
57,207
13,242
43,966
40.59
18.95
120.84
167.65
36.13
43.73
51.66
16.65
35.72
40.42
26.70
21.02
19.62
15.63
132.10
143.13
32.65
40.59
41.43
16.96
33.88
56.38
24.42
20.18
19.71
17.01
112.46
114.32
35.04
43.85
46.22
16.74
33.19
61.50
25.81
23.58
20.47
16.02
85.94
105.54
34.34
44.89
46.18
19.25
32.53
63.48
25.62
26.06
20.97
16.60
96.01
80.90
34.11
43.52
54.44
19.84
34.55
61.18
27.09
23.78
21.00
17.09
87.93
100.37
34.49
44.49
53.87
20.65
35.96
61.44
28.92
22.00
21.34
16.20
In this set of analysis, Canadian Export Value, Canadian Import Value, and Canadian Trade Balance
are the independent variables and will be compared with other key indicators such as
unemployment rate, inflation rate and so on. Each dependent variable (key indicators) will be
compared with all three independent variables respectively by using scatter plots. This will enable
me to answer the following questions: Does the amount of export have a impact on this key
indicator? What about the amount of import? What about the trade balance? and is the relationship
between the two variables reasonable?
Year
Total Canaidan Exports Value (million $)
Total Canadian Imports Value (million $)
Canadian Trade Balance (million $)
Canadian Unemployment Rate (%)
Canadian Inflation Rate (%)
Canadian CPI (1992 = 100)
Canadian Polulation
Canadian Federal Debt (million $)
Canadian Key
Economic
Indicators
1992
162,828
148,018
14,810
10.80
1.52
100.00
28,470,057
NA
Sample Analysis:
How does Trade effect
Canadian Unemployment
rate?
12.00
Unemployment
10.00
Export vs.Unemployment
R = 0.9608800397
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
100,000
200,000
300,000
Export
400,000
Import vs.Unemployment
12.00
loyment
10.00
8.00
6.00
R = 0.9639800449
500,000
Import vs.Unemployment
12.00
Unemployment
10.00
R = 0.9639800449
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
100,000
12.00
Unemployment
10.00
200,000
Import
300,000
400,000
8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
10,000 20,000 30,000Trade
40,000
50,000 60,000 70,000
Balance
1993
187,515
169,953
17,562
10.40
1.80
101.80
28,783,938
NA
1994
225,679
202,736
22,943
10.34
0.20
102.00
29,095,125
NA
1995
262,267
225,553
36,714
9.44
2.16
104.20
29,396,463
524,156
1996
275,819
232,566
43,253
9.63
1.63
105.90
29,708,936
554,162
1997
298,072
272,946
25,126
9.09
1.61
107.60
29,996,204
562,850
1998
318,444
298,386
20,058
8.28
0.93
108.60
30,233,741
560,718
1999
355,420
320,409
35,012
7.56
1.75
110.50
30,494,888
557,871
2000
413,215
356,992
56,223
6.81
2.71
113.50
30,787,468
544,726
2001
404,085
343,127
60,958
7.22
2.56
116.40
31,135,823
524,564
2002
396,379
348,718
47,661
7.65
2.23
119.00
31,463,241
517,545
2003
380,815
335,533
45,282
7.64
2.77
122.30
31,747,670
510,576
In this set of analysis, Canadian Export Value, Canadian Import Value, and Canadian Trade
Balance are the independent variables and will be compared with Canadian real GDP per
Worker per hour worked by all industries. Again, each dependent variable will be compared
with all three independent variables respectively by using scatter plots. This will enable me to
determine the impact of the amount of trade in different industries.
Year
Total Canaidan Exports Value (million $)
Total Canadian Imports Value (million $)
Canadian Trade Balance (million $)
All Industries
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting
Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Trasportation and Warehousing
Information and cultural industries
Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Reting
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support, Waste Management
Health Care and Social Assistance
Accommodation and Food Services
1992
162,828
148,018
14,810
31.80
15.46
85.76
92.04
31.59
32.39
43.38
12.97
28.37
49.56
90.94
19.43
23.36
25.45
14.45
Sample Analysis:
How does Trade effect
GDP in Manufacturing?
GDP in Manufacturing
R = 0.9082859827
20.00
10.00
0.00
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
GDP in Manufacturi
50.00
40.00
R = 0.9082859827
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
100,000
200,000
300,000
Export
400,000
500,000
50.00
40.00
R = 0.8824262439
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
Import
GDP in Manufacturing
GDP in Manufacturing
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
R = 0.6888932434
20,000
40,000
60,000
Trade Balance
80,000
1993
187,515
169,953
17,562
31.91
16.39
16.39
97.68
30.47
33.76
43.04
13.32
28.07
48.07
93.12
19.44
22.70
24.65
14.41
1994
225,679
202,736
22,943
32.29
16.52
90.10
106.78
28.87
35.28
44.69
13.86
28.28
45.79
97.88
19.59
21.81
24.56
14.37
1995
262,267
225,553
36,714
32.76
17.38
91.02
115.45
28.48
35.70
45.57
14.19
28.96
44.33
99.42
20.00
21.46
24.16
14.94
1996
275,819
232,566
43,253
32.76
17.64
86.92
116.18
29.66
35.40
45.74
14.54
29.23
45.12
98.69
19.39
21.64
23.70
14.25
1997
298,072
272,946
25,126
33.35
17.65
84.44
124.32
30.14
35.92
48.21
15.34
29.56
44.45
102.64
20.56
20.96
23.72
14.48
1998
318,444
298,386
20,058
34.07
18.31
94.26
119.90
30.91
36.49
52.42
16.41
29.09
44.95
109.01
21.55
20.80
23.64
14.17
1999
355,420
320,409
35,012
34.71
20.53
107.18
125.91
30.59
37.01
47.89
17.21
29.56
51.47
113.48
21.80
21.87
23.21
14.91
2000
413,215
356,992
56,223
35.42
21.59
98.91
120.88
29.96
39.86
49.08
17.47
29.52
53.42
116.67
22.42
21.53
22.46
15.01
2001
404,085
343,127
60,958
36.33
22.37
86.45
114.54
31.43
39.35
50.90
17.97
29.99
54.68
124.38
22.96
22.46
23.13
15.38
2002
396,379
348,718
47,661
37.04
21.70
95.76
107.87
30.88
39.47
55.52
18.68
31.06
64.58
127.33
23.76
22.27
23.26
15.40
2003
380,815
335,533
45,282
37.67
24.11
92.37
107.06
31.06
40.74
57.89
19.30
31.19
68.28
126.00
25.22
22.32
23.41
14.62
In these sets of analysis, Provincial Export Values, Provincial Import Values, and Provincial
Trade Balances are the independent variables and will be compared with their real GDP per
Worker per hour worked by all industries. Again, each dependent variable will be compared
with all three independent variables respectively by using scatter plots. This will enable me
to determine the impact of the amount of provincial trade in different provincial industries.
27,747
26,372
1,375
30.64
16.60
31.89
115.98
37.68
31.06
40.36
11.55
NA
NA
20.14
27.14
25.93
82,266
89,697
-7,431
13.62
33.25
13.14
45.74
80.70
33.53
33.87
50.85
13.92
NA
BC Trade stats
NA
90.14
19.46
24.05
26.10
15.10
16,931
16,026
905
31.57
32.47
62.07
125.12
28.35
34.23
37.39
14.11
NA
NA
18.63
22.20
25.96
14.80
18,237
4,287
13,949
34.00
9.24
124.89
89.22
27.42
35.59
40.60
Retail Trade
Trasportation and Warehousing
Information and cultural industries
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support, Waste Management
Health Care and Social Assistance
Accommodation and Food Services
13.27
NA
NA
19.00
20.99
24.88
15.26
Sample Analysis:
How does Ontario
export effect GDP in
its Manufacturing?
50.00
40.00
R = 0.745175633
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
50,000
100,000
150,000
ON. Export
200,000
250,000
Sample Analysis:
How does BC import
effect GDP in its Retail
Trade?
Chart Title
P in Retail Trade
25.00
20.00
R = 0.4636630095
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
Chart Title
25.00
20.00
R = 0.4636630095
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
-4000 -2000
0
8000
10000
34,143
28,027
6,116
30.87
15.23
36.86
119.07
37.40
32.64
37.64
12.66
NA
NA
20.21
25.67
24.82
41,081
32,455
8,626
30.69
13.74
34.02
118.23
33.72
33.71
40.47
13.00
NA
NA
19.78
22.73
24.89
48,422
36,300
12,122
30.84
14.88
31.75
134.32
31.68
33.16
42.50
12.85
NA
NA
19.75
21.20
24.75
49,365
37,055
12,309
31.13
15.78
43.53
129.66
33.92
33.88
38.36
14.05
NA
NA
19.05
21.89
25.09
52,635
40,144
12,492
31.57
17.04
44.09
146.86
35.54
34.04
43.55
14.68
27.75
49.19
19.41
22.70
24.87
57,572
43,484
14,088
32.10
16.49
38.08
135.52
39.38
34.51
45.61
15.70
26.58
46.36
19.45
21.09
25.09
62,067
48,579
13,488
32.50
20.45
65.08
171.15
34.07
35.10
39.08
16.89
26.73
49.08
19.84
24.69
22.87
74,200
57,561
16,639
33.52
19.27
52.55
162.36
34.27
39.60
39.30
16.74
26.85
55.42
20.82
24.53
22.04
71,113
54,049
17,064
34.98
20.47
64.34
157.36
39.31
40.16
45.90
17.19
27.39
56.94
21.45
26.89
22.26
95,076
106,727
-11,651
12.49
32.89
13.07
53.15
92.18
29.49
36.01
52.29
13.77
NA
115,158
130,135
-14,977
12.75
33.64
13.99
48.43
107.86
27.55
38.30
49.12
15.08
NA
131,047
143,921
-12,873
13.52
34.58
15.82
44.90
113.56
27.51
39.43
54.80
15.63
NA
139,681
149,726
-10,046
13.48
34.26
15.36
45.26
107.12
29.18
38.04
56.54
15.33
NA
153,239
176,389
-23,150
12.75
34.80
16.09
46.81
109.47
27.88
38.17
57.75
16.26
28.90
171,859
194,466
-22,607
13.06
35.29
16.74
52.46
101.80
27.60
39.12
62.53
17.42
27.36
195,567
211,612
-16,045
13.31
36.51
17.73
53.58
106.74
29.81
39.56
63.34
18.15
29.73
207,079
227,158
-20,079
13.42
37.38
20.87
61.93
111.87
28.32
41.53
61.19
18.59
29.31
201,720
215,394
-13,674
13.58
37.87
21.11
57.53
104.38
30.02
40.10
59.17
18.60
29.48
NA
90.18
19.21
23.07
25.41
14.79
NA
97.11
19.53
22.60
25.49
14.47
NA
99.34
19.59
23.09
24.94
15.16
NA
98.99
19.61
23.15
24.34
13.88
42.77
NA
20.74
21.94
25.11
14.63
45.34
107.22
22.20
22.21
24.56
14.22
53.92
NA
23.54
22.87
24.84
15.94
54.27
NA
24.24
22.50
24.02
16.42
55.21
NA
24.91
23.00
24.57
17.39
19,821
16,582
3,238
31.79
36.64
86.85
103.29
27.88
31.51
36.05
14.47
NA
NA
17.96
22.98
26.70
16.45
24,041
18,216
5,825
31.86
36.47
91.71
100.28
27.20
30.34
37.96
14.05
NA
NA
18.09
22.56
26.67
16.17
28,304
19,601
8,703
32.13
37.11
86.02
120.92
27.73
30.17
35.31
14.45
NA
NA
18.63
22.26
26.29
16.63
26,598
19,399
7,199
32.28
35.88
69.05
141.80
28.30
29.36
36.01
15.50
NA
NA
17.55
21.10
26.06
16.19
27,445
23,347
4,098
32.64
34.08
82.39
128.96
28.56
30.94
36.52
15.71
32.10
42.61
19.43
20.80
25.02
16.14
26,891
25,732
1,158
33.55
35.61
78.16
123.93
27.80
30.83
45.49
17.05
33.89
41.18
20.14
20.11
25.05
14.81
30,156
27,170
2,986
33.91
36.17
96.64
130.45
27.94
35.07
36.34
17.83
32.14
46.05
17.68
21.19
24.32
15.01
35,484
30,804
4,679
33.87
32.97
98.31
118.82
26.70
37.88
42.49
18.04
33.09
41.71
18.13
17.98
23.95
14.44
32,923
31,637
1,286
35.58
38.67
127.88
111.07
26.53
37.21
43.96
19.28
36.28
43.42
19.02
18.89
25.64
14.30
20,168
5,469
14,699
35.64
12.27
116.31
81.83
29.89
37.49
42.33
23,507
6,645
16,863
36.42
12.69
116.91
97.77
30.36
40.50
50.84
27,780
7,068
20,711
36.58
13.83
126.93
105.25
29.28
40.48
39.69
32,081
7,504
24,577
36.06
13.37
112.62
107.64
28.69
42.87
44.36
33,686
9,247
24,440
37.54
14.11
105.04
143.77
34.25
44.40
47.31
31,216
10,804
20,412
38.99
14.83
120.84
167.65
36.13
43.73
51.66
34,966
10,334
24,632
38.73
18.09
132.10
143.13
32.65
40.59
41.43
55,880
12,083
43,797
39.40
19.44
112.46
114.32
35.04
43.85
46.22
57,536
13,633
43,903
39.54
20.04
85.94
105.54
34.34
44.89
46.18
13.96
NA
NA
20.42
22.26
24.54
16.33
13.64
NA
NA
21.04
23.21
23.41
16.44
14.26
NA
NA
24.03
21.40
23.12
16.55
13.88
NA
NA
21.86
21.45
20.84
15.54
15.77
33.57
42.74
24.34
20.40
19.59
15.81
16.65
35.72
40.42
26.70
21.02
19.62
15.63
16.96
33.88
56.38
24.42
20.18
19.71
17.01
16.74
33.19
61.50
25.81
23.58
20.47
16.02
19.25
32.53
63.48
25.62
26.06
20.97
16.60
68,454
51,421
17,033
35.33
19.55
62.50
146.60
37.44
39.85
49.44
17.25
32.53
65.67
21.36
25.84
22.31
64,186
52,367
11,819
36.17
23.46
53.37
158.12
37.09
40.58
49.34
18.01
30.78
69.34
23.73
29.02
22.15
206,542
224,661
-18,119
14.32
38.85
24.16
61.74
103.15
29.70
40.33
64.17
19.82
28.46
189,142
209,961
-20,820
13.88
39.33
24.53
63.76
93.77
29.11
42.53
69.70
19.98
29.52
69.29
126.97
26.19
23.70
25.34
16.55
73.48
119.88
27.76
23.78
24.74
15.06
30,264
31,527
-1,264
36.06
38.31
130.47
109.02
24.40
37.73
44.73
20.02
36.29
51.67
19.39
20.52
24.58
14.71
29,586
31,262
-1,676
36.30
33.87
100.64
100.39
26.49
37.60
47.82
20.79
33.74
56.99
19.09
17.70
27.22
14.98
49,312
12,855
36,457
40.19
15.20
96.01
80.90
34.11
43.52
54.44
57,207
13,242
43,966
40.59
18.95
87.93
100.37
34.49
44.49
53.87
19.84
34.55
61.18
27.09
23.78
21.00
17.09
20.65
35.96
61.44
28.92
22.00
21.34
16.20
In this set of analysis, only the Canadian Trade Balance is the independent variable and will be
compared with the poverty line of different family sizes within communities with different
population because it is pointless to compare the amount of trade and the poverty lines without
including the effects of both export and import. The comparisons will enable me to determine
the impact of Canadian trade balance has on families with different sizes in cities with different
population.
Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of
Community of
Residence (Rural)
Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of
Community of
Residence (100,000499,999)
Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of
Community of
Residence (500,000 +)
Year
Canadian Trade Balance (million $)
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
1992
14,810
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of
Community of
Residence (500,000 +)
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
NA
NA
NA
NA
Sample Analysis:
How does Trade effect the poverty
line of a 3- member family in
London*?
* London has population of 445,000
f(x)
R == 0.0713110911x
0.4993592365 + 21112.270389011
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
-
Balance 60,000
20,000 Trade
40,000
80,000
Sample Analysis:
How does Trade effect the poverty
line of a 6- member family in
Toronto*?
* Toronto has population of 4,746,100
50,000
f(x)
R = 0.124373142x
0.4993846611 + 36815.682568322
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
-
20,000
Trade Balance
40,000
60,000
80,000
f(x)
R = 0.124373142x
0.4993846611 + 36815.682568322
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
-
20,000
Trade Balance
40,000
60,000
80,000
1993
17,562
11,390
14,238
17,703
21,435
23,961
26,487
29,014
13,063
16,329
20,308
24,583
27,479
30,375
33,271
14,039
17,549
21,825
26,419
29,532
32,645
35,758
14,137
17,671
21,978
26,604
29,739
32,874
36,009
16,482
20,603
25,623
1994
22,943
11,410
14,263
17,739
21,472
24,003
26,533
29,064
13,086
16,357
20,343
24,626
27,527
30,428
33,329
14,063
17,579
21,863
26,465
29,583
32,702
35,820
14,162
17,702
22,016
26,650
29,791
32,931
36,072
16,511
20,639
25,668
1995
36,714
11,661
14,576
18,129
21,944
24,530
27,116
29,702
13,372
16,716
20,790
25,167
28,132
31,096
34,061
14,372
17,965
22,343
27,046
30,233
33,420
36,607
14,473
18,091
22,500
27,235
30,445
33,654
36,864
16,874
21,092
26,232
1996
43,253
11,839
14,799
18,406
22,279
24,905
27,530
30,156
13,577
16,971
21,107
25,551
28,562
31,571
34,581
14,591
18,239
22,684
27,459
30,695
33,930
37,166
14,694
18,367
22,844
27,651
30,910
34,168
37,427
17,132
21,414
26,633
1997
25,126
12,030
15,038
18,703
22,639
25,307
27,975
30,643
13,796
17,245
21,448
25,964
29,023
32,081
35,140
14,827
18,534
23,050
27,903
31,191
34,478
37,766
14,931
18,664
23,213
28,098
31,409
34,720
38,032
17,409
21,760
27,063
1998
20,058
12,142
15,178
18,877
22,849
25,542
28,235
30,928
13,924
17,405
21,647
26,205
29,293
32,379
35,467
14,965
18,706
23,264
28,162
31,481
34,798
38,117
15,070
18,837
23,429
28,359
31,701
35,043
38,385
17,571
21,962
27,315
1999
35,012
12,361
15,450
19,216
23,260
26,002
28,743
31,485
14,176
17,720
22,037
26,677
29,820
32,962
36,105
15,235
19,044
23,683
28,669
32,047
35,425
38,803
15,341
19,176
23,849
28,869
32,272
35,674
39,076
17,886
22,357
27,805
31,017
34,671
38,326
41,981
31,071
34,731
38,393
42,054
31,753
35,494
39,236
42,978
32,238
36,036
39,835
43,634
32,759
36,618
40,479
44,339
33,063
36,958
40,855
44,751
33,658
37,624
41,590
45,556
2000
56,223
12,696
15,870
19,738
23,892
26,708
29,524
32,340
14,561
18,201
22,635
27,401
30,629
33,857
37,085
15,648
19,561
24,326
29,448
32,917
36,387
39,857
15,757
19,697
24,497
29,653
33,148
36,642
40,137
18,371
22,964
28,560
2001
60,958
13,021
16,275
20,242
24,502
27,390
30,278
33,166
14,933
18,666
23,214
28,101
31,412
34,722
38,033
16,048
20,060
24,948
30,200
33,758
37,317
40,875
16,160
20,200
25,123
30,411
33,995
37,579
41,163
18,841
23,551
29,290
2002
47,661
13,311
16,639
20,694
25,050
28,002
30,954
33,907
15,267
19,083
23,732
28,729
32,113
35,498
38,882
16,407
20,508
25,505
30,875
34,512
38,150
41,788
16,521
20,651
25,684
31,090
34,754
38,418
42,080
19,261
24,077
29,944
2003
45,282
13,680
17,100
21,268
25,744
28,778
31,813
34,847
15,690
19,612
24,390
29,526
33,004
36,482
39,960
16,862
21,077
26,213
31,731
35,469
39,208
42,947
16,979
21,224
26,396
31,952
35,718
39,483
43,249
19,795
24,745
30,774
34,572
39
42,719
46,793
35,455
39,633
43,811
47,988
36,247
40,518
44,789
49,060
37,253
41,642
46,031
50,421