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Hypothesis For The Study:

The increasing amount of Canadian international trade has positive effects on Canadian economy growth as well
living. And the decreasing amount of Canadian international trade has negative effects on our economy and stand

Original Attempt:
Originally, my plan was to compare the amount of Canadian total export value and total import value from 1999
indicators such as Canadian unemployment rate, real GDP, poverty line, consumer price index and inflation rates
see whether there is a relationship between the amount of trade and our economy and standard of living.

Problems Encountered / Future Possible Problems and Viable Solutions:


1. A five year-period comparison is not able to clearly indicate the trend of the relationship between the amount o
The results will be misleading.

Viable solution: In order to provide a complete analysis, I decided to extend the time period to at least 10 years. S
the trade stats from 1999 to 2003, I have to look for stats elsewhere. Fortunately, I have found a website that prov
stats, which goes all the way back to 1992 (http://strategis.ic.gc.ca). Now I am able to compare the changes in the
past 12 years with the changes in other indicators in the same time period, which will enable me to present a bigg
of the whole trend.

2. By only comparing the total amount of Canadian trade to the Canadian real GDP will end up with a biased rela
variables.

Viable solution: First of all, I will randomly selecte 4 provinces from all the provinces excluding those with popu
Since there are 8 provinces in total with population greater than 700,000, thus by selecting 4 out of 8 will be able
then collect the trade stats in those 4 provinces from 1992 2003 and compare them to their provincial real GDP
doing this I will be able to look at the impact of trade on each province individually. In addition, I will make a sca
amount of trade in 4 provinces against the mean of the real GDP in those 4 provinces, and compare this scatter pl
trade against Canadian real GDP and to see which scatter plot best represented the relationship between trade and
3. Becuase of the way my data is set up, it will be extremly difficult to use other programs such as fathom.

Viable solution: Since it is very inefficient to retype all data into fathom in order to generate scatter plots, it'll be w
that requires fathom and perform most of the tasks in the software that are more appropriate for my data, like mic

an economy growth as well as Canadian standard of


s on our economy and standard of living.

tal import value from 1999 - 2003 with many economic


ice index and inflation rates in the same period, and to
standard of living.

nship between the amount of trade and our economy.

period to at least 10 years. Since Stat-Can only provide


ve found a website that provides all Canadian trade
o compare the changes in the amount of trade from the
enable me to present a bigger and less-biased picture

will end up with a biased relationship between those two

s excluding those with population of 500,000 or less.


cting 4 out of 8 will be able to minimize the bias. Ill
to their provincial real GDP in the same time period. By
In addition, I will make a scatter plot of the mean of the
, and compare this scatter plot to the one of Canadian
ationship between trade and real GDP.

rams such as fathom.

enerate scatter plots, it'll be wise to minimize the work


opriate for my data, like microsoft excel in this case.

1997 $

Canada Real GDP


per Worker per Hour
Worked By Industry

Canadian $
Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of Community
of Residence (Rural)

Canadian $
Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of Community
of Residence (Less than
30,000, not Rural)

Canadian $

Year
Total Canaidan Exports Value (million $)
Total Canadian Imports Value (million $)
Canadian Trade Balance (million $)
Canadian Unemployment Rate (%)
Canadian Inflation Rate (%)
Canadian CPI (1992 = 100)
Canadian Polulation
Canadian Federal Debt (million $)
All Industries
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting
Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Trasportation and Warehousing
Information and cultural industries
Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Reting
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support, Waste Management
Health Care and Social Assistance
Accommodation and Food Services
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2

Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of Community
of Residence
(30,000-99,999)

Canadian $
Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of Community
of Residence
(100,000-499,999)

Canadian $
Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of Community
of Residence
(500,000 +)

1997 $

Quebec Real GDP


per Worker per Hour
Worked By Industry

Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Quebec Total Exports (million $)
Quebec Total Imports (million $)
Quebec Trade Balance (million $)
All Industries
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting
Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Trasportation and Warehousing
Information and cultural industries
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support, Waste Management
Health Care and Social Assistance
Ontario Total Exports (million $)
Ontario Total Imports (million $)
Ontario Trade Balance (million $)

1997 $

Ontario Real GDP


per Worker per Hour
Worked By Industry

1997 $

BC Real GDP
per Worker per Hour
Worked By Industry

Accommodation and Food Services


All Industries
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting
Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Trasportation and Warehousing
Information and cultural industries
Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Reting
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support, Waste Management
Health Care and Social Assistance
Accommodation and Food Services
BC Total Exports (million $)
BC Total Imports (million $)
BC Trade Balance (million $)
All Industries
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting
Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Trasportation and Warehousing
Information and cultural industries
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support, Waste Management
Health Care and Social Assistance
Accommodation and Food Services
Alberta Total Exports (million $)
Alberta Total Imports (million $)
Alberta Trade Balance (million $)
All Industries
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting

1997 $

Alberta Real GDP


per Worker per Hour
Worked By Industry

Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction


Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Trasportation and Warehousing
Information and cultural industries
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support, Waste Management
Health Care and Social Assistance
Accommodation and Food Services

1992
162,828.00
148,018.00
14,810.00
10.80
1.52
100.00
28,470,057
NA
31.80
15.46
85.76
92.04
31.59
32.39
43.38
12.97
28.37
49.56
90.94
19.43
23.36
25.45
14.45
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

1993
187,515.00
169,953.00
17,562.00
10.40
1.80
101.80
28,783,938
NA
31.91
16.39
16.39
97.68
30.47
33.76
43.04
13.32
28.07
48.07
93.12
19.44
22.70
24.65
14.41
11,390
14,238
17,703
21,435
23,961
26,487
29,014
13,063
16,329
20,308
24,583
27,479
30,375
33,271
14,039
17,549

1994
225,679
202,736
22,943
10.34
0.20
102.00
29,095,125
NA
32.29
16.52
90.10
106.78
28.87
35.28
44.69
13.86
28.28
45.79
97.88
19.59
21.81
24.56
14.37
11,410
14,263
17,739
21,472
24,003
26,533
29,064
13,086
16,357
20,343
24,626
27,527
30,428
33,329
14,063
17,579

1995
262,267
225,553
36,714
9.44
2.16
104.20
29,396,463
524,156
32.76
17.38
91.02
115.45
28.48
35.70
45.57
14.19
28.96
44.33
99.42
20.00
21.46
24.16
14.94
11,661
14,576
18,129
21,944
24,530
27,116
29,702
13,372
16,716
20,790
25,167
28,132
31,096
34,061
14,372
17,965

1996
275,819
232,566
43,253
9.63
1.63
105.90
29,708,936
554,162
32.76
17.64
86.92
116.18
29.66
35.40
45.74
14.54
29.23
45.12
98.69
19.39
21.64
23.70
14.25
11,839
14,799
18,406
22,279
24,905
27,530
30,156
13,577
16,971
21,107
25,551
28,562
31,571
34,581
14,591
18,239

1997
298,072
272,946
25,126
9.09
1.61
107.60
29,996,204
562,850
33.35
17.65
84.44
124.32
30.14
35.92
48.21
15.34
29.56
44.45
102.64
20.56
20.96
23.72
14.48
12,030
15,038
18,703
22,639
25,307
27,975
30,643
13,796
17,245
21,448
25,964
29,023
32,081
35,140
14,827
18,534

NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

21,825
26,419
29,532
32,645
35,758
14,137
17,671
21,978
26,604
29,739
32,874
36,009
16,482
20,603
25,623
31,017
34,671
38,326
41,981

21,863
26,465
29,583
32,702
35,820
14,162
17,702
22,016
26,650
29,791
32,931
36,072
16,511
20,639
25,668
31,071
34,731
38,393
42,054

22,343
27,046
30,233
33,420
36,607
14,473
18,091
22,500
27,235
30,445
33,654
36,864
16,874
21,092
26,232
31,753
35,494
39,236
42,978

22,684
27,459
30,695
33,930
37,166
14,694
18,367
22,844
27,651
30,910
34,168
37,427
17,132
21,414
26,633
32,238
36,036
39,835
43,634

23,050
27,903
31,191
34,478
37,766
14,931
18,664
23,213
28,098
31,409
34,720
38,032
17,409
21,760
27,063
32,759
36,618
40,479
44,339

27,747
26,372
1,375
30.64
16.60
31.89
115.98
37.68
31.06
40.36
11.55
NA
NA
20.14
27.14
25.93

34,143
28,027
6,116
30.87
15.23
36.86
119.07
37.40
32.64
37.64
12.66
NA
NA
20.21
25.67
24.82

41,081
32,455
8,626
30.69
13.74
34.02
118.23
33.72
33.71
40.47
13.00
NA
NA
19.78
22.73
24.89

48,422
36,300
12,122
30.84
14.88
31.75
134.32
31.68
33.16
42.50
12.85
NA
NA
19.75
21.20
24.75

49,365
37,055
12,309
31.13
15.78
43.53
129.66
33.92
33.88
38.36
14.05
NA
NA
19.05
21.89
25.09

52,635
40,144
12,492
31.57
17.04
44.09
146.86
35.54
34.04
43.55
14.68
27.75
49.19
19.41
22.70
24.87

82,266
89,697
-7,431

95,076
106,727
-11,651

115,158
130,135
-14,977

131,047
143,921
-12,873

139,681
149,726
-10,046

153,239
176,389
-23,150

13.62
33.25
13.14
45.74
80.70
33.53
33.87
50.85
13.92
NA
NA
90.14
19.46
24.05
26.10
15.10

12.49
32.89
13.07
53.15
92.18
29.49
36.01
52.29
13.77
NA
NA
90.18
19.21
23.07
25.41
14.79

12.75
33.64
13.99
48.43
107.86
27.55
38.30
49.12
15.08
NA
NA
97.11
19.53
22.60
25.49
14.47

13.52
34.58
15.82
44.90
113.56
27.51
39.43
54.80
15.63
NA
NA
99.34
19.59
23.09
24.94
15.16

13.48
34.26
15.36
45.26
107.12
29.18
38.04
56.54
15.33
NA
NA
98.99
19.61
23.15
24.34
13.88

12.75
34.80
16.09
46.81
109.47
27.88
38.17
57.75
16.26
28.90
42.77
na
20.74
21.94
25.11
14.63

16,931
16,026
905
31.57
32.47
62.07
125.12
28.35
34.23
37.39
14.11
NA
NA
18.63
22.20
25.96
14.80

19,821
16,582
3,238
31.79
36.64
86.85
103.29
27.88
31.51
36.05
14.47
NA
NA
17.96
22.98
26.70
16.45

24,041
18,216
5,825
31.86
36.47
91.71
100.28
27.20
30.34
37.96
14.05
NA
NA
18.09
22.56
26.67
16.17

28,304
19,601
8,703
32.13
37.11
86.02
120.92
27.73
30.17
35.31
14.45
NA
NA
18.63
22.26
26.29
16.63

26,598
19,399
7,199
32.28
35.88
69.05
141.80
28.30
29.36
36.01
15.50
NA
NA
17.55
21.10
26.06
16.19

27,445
23,347
4,098
32.64
34.08
82.39
128.96
28.56
30.94
36.52
15.71
32.10
42.61
19.43
20.80
25.02
16.14

18,237
4,287
13,949
34.00
9.24

20,168
5,469
14,699
35.64
12.27

23,507
6,645
16,863
36.42
12.69

27,780
7,068
20,711
36.58
13.83

32,081
7,504
24,577
36.06
13.37

33,686
9,247
24,440
37.54
14.11

124.89
89.22
27.42
35.59
40.60
13.27
NA
NA
19.00
20.99
24.88
15.26

116.31
81.83
29.89
37.49
42.33
13.96
NA
NA
20.42
22.26
24.54
16.33

116.91
97.77
30.36
40.50
50.84
13.64
NA
NA
21.04
23.21
23.41
16.44

126.93
105.25
29.28
40.48
39.69
14.26
NA
NA
24.03
21.40
23.12
16.55

112.62
107.64
28.69
42.87
44.36
13.88
NA
NA
21.86
21.45
20.84
15.54

105.04
143.77
34.25
44.40
47.31
15.77
33.57
42.74
24.34
20.40
19.59
15.81

1998
318,444
298,386
20,058
8.28
0.93
108.60
30,233,741
560,718
34.07
18.31
94.26
119.90
30.91
36.49
52.42
16.41
29.09
44.95
109.01
21.55
20.80
23.64
14.17
12,142
15,178
18,877
22,849
25,542
28,235
30,928
13,924
17,405
21,647
26,205
29,293
32,379
35,467
14,965
18,706

1999
355,420
320,409
35,012
7.56
1.75
110.50
30,494,888
557,871
34.71
20.53
107.18
125.91
30.59
37.01
47.89
17.21
29.56
51.47
113.48
21.80
21.87
23.21
14.91
12,361
15,450
19,216
23,260
26,002
28,743
31,485
14,176
17,720
22,037
26,677
29,820
32,962
36,105
15,235
19,044

2000
413,215
356,992
56,223
6.81
2.71
113.50
30,787,468
544,726
35.42
21.59
98.91
120.88
29.96
39.86
49.08
17.47
29.52
53.42
116.67
22.42
21.53
22.46
15.01
12,696
15,870
19,738
23,892
26,708
29,524
32,340
14,561
18,201
22,635
27,401
30,629
33,857
37,085
15,648
19,561

2001
404,085
343,127
60,958
7.22
2.56
116.40
31,135,823
524,564
36.33
22.37
86.45
114.54
31.43
39.35
50.90
17.97
29.99
54.68
124.38
22.96
22.46
23.13
15.38
13,021
16,275
20,242
24,502
27,390
30,278
33,166
14,933
18,666
23,214
28,101
31,412
34,722
38,033
16,048
20,060

2002
396,379
348,718
47,661
7.65
2.23
119.00
31,463,241
517,545
37.04
21.70
95.76
107.87
30.88
39.47
55.52
18.68
31.06
64.58
127.33
23.76
22.27
23.26
15.40
13,311
16,639
20,694
25,050
28,002
30,954
33,907
15,267
19,083
23,732
28,729
32,113
35,498
38,882
16,407
20,508

2003
380,815
335,533
45,282
7.64
2.77
122.30
31,747,670
510,576
37.67
24.11
92.37
107.06
31.06
40.74
57.89
19.30
31.19
68.28
126.00
25.22
22.32
23.41
14.62
13,680
17,100
21,268
25,744
28,778
31,813
34,847
15,690
19,612
24,390
29,526
33,004
36,482
39,960
16,862
21,077

23,264
28,162
31,481
34,798
38,117
15,070
18,837
23,429
28,359
31,701
35,043
38,385
17,571
21,962
27,315
33,063
36,958
40,855
44,751

23,683
28,669
32,047
35,425
38,803
15,341
19,176
23,849
28,869
32,272
35,674
39,076
17,886
22,357
27,805
33,658
37,624
41,590
45,556

24,326
29,448
32,917
36,387
39,857
15,757
19,697
24,497
29,653
33,148
36,642
40,137
18,371
22,964
28,560
34,572
39
42,719
46,793

24,948
30,200
33,758
37,317
40,875
16,160
20,200
25,123
30,411
33,995
37,579
41,163
18,841
23,551
29,290
35,455
39,633
43,811
47,988

25,505
30,875
34,512
38,150
41,788
16,521
20,651
25,684
31,090
34,754
38,418
42,080
19,261
24,077
29,944
36,247
40,518
44,789
49,060

26,213
31,731
35,469
39,208
42,947
16,979
21,224
26,396
31,952
35,718
39,483
43,249
19,795
24,745
30,774
37,253
41,642
46,031
50,421

57,572
43,484
14,088
32.10
16.49
38.08
135.52
39.38
34.51
45.61
15.70
26.58
46.36
19.45
21.09
25.09

62,067
48,579
13,488
32.50
20.45
65.08
171.15
34.07
35.10
39.08
16.89
26.73
49.08
19.84
24.69
22.87

74,200
57,561
16,639
33.52
19.27
52.55
162.36
34.27
39.60
39.30
16.74
26.85
55.42
20.82
24.53
22.04

71,113
54,049
17,064
34.98
20.47
64.34
157.36
39.31
40.16
45.90
17.19
27.39
56.94
21.45
26.89
22.26

68,454
51,421
17,033
35.33
19.55
62.50
146.60
37.44
39.85
49.44
17.25
32.53
65.67
21.36
25.84
22.31

64,186
52,367
11,819
36.17
23.46
53.37
158.12
37.09
40.58
49.34
18.01
30.78
69.34
23.73
29.02
22.15

171,859
194,466
-22,607

195,567
211,612
-16,045

207,079
227,158
-20,079

201,720
215,394
-13,674

206,542
224,661
-18,119

189,142
209,961
-20,820

13.06
35.29
16.74
52.46
101.80
27.60
39.12
62.53
17.42
27.36
45.34
107.22
22.20
22.21
24.56
14.22

13.31
36.51
17.73
53.58
106.74
29.81
39.56
63.34
18.15
29.73
53.92
na
23.54
22.87
24.84
15.94

13.42
37.38
20.87
61.93
111.87
28.32
41.53
61.19
18.59
29.31
54.27
na
24.24
22.50
24.02
16.42

13.58
37.87
21.11
57.53
104.38
30.02
40.10
59.17
18.60
29.48
55.21
na
24.91
23.00
24.57
17.39

14.32
38.85
24.16
61.74
103.15
29.70
40.33
64.17
19.82
28.46
69.29
126.97
26.19
23.70
25.34
16.55

13.88
39.33
24.53
63.76
93.77
29.11
42.53
69.70
19.98
29.52
73.48
119.88
27.76
23.78
24.74
15.06

26,891
25,732
1,158
33.55
35.61
78.16
123.93
27.80
30.83
45.49
17.05
33.89
41.18
20.14
20.11
25.05
14.81

30,156
27,170
2,986
33.91
36.17
96.64
130.45
27.94
35.07
36.34
17.83
32.14
46.05
17.68
21.19
24.32
15.01

35,484
30,804
4,679
33.87
32.97
98.31
118.82
26.70
37.88
42.49
18.04
33.09
41.71
18.13
17.98
23.95
14.44

32,923
31,637
1,286
35.58
38.67
127.88
111.07
26.53
37.21
43.96
19.28
36.28
43.42
19.02
18.89
25.64
14.30

30,264
31,527
-1,264
36.06
38.31
130.47
109.02
24.40
37.73
44.73
20.02
36.29
51.67
19.39
20.52
24.58
14.71

29,586
31,262
-1,676
36.30
33.87
100.64
100.39
26.49
37.60
47.82
20.79
33.74
56.99
19.09
17.70
27.22
14.98

31,216
10,804
20,412
38.99
14.83

34,966
10,334
24,632
38.73
18.09

55,880
12,083
43,797
39.40
19.44

57,536
13,633
43,903
39.54
20.04

49,312
12,855
36,457
40.19
15.20

57,207
13,242
43,966
40.59
18.95

120.84
167.65
36.13
43.73
51.66
16.65
35.72
40.42
26.70
21.02
19.62
15.63

132.10
143.13
32.65
40.59
41.43
16.96
33.88
56.38
24.42
20.18
19.71
17.01

112.46
114.32
35.04
43.85
46.22
16.74
33.19
61.50
25.81
23.58
20.47
16.02

85.94
105.54
34.34
44.89
46.18
19.25
32.53
63.48
25.62
26.06
20.97
16.60

96.01
80.90
34.11
43.52
54.44
19.84
34.55
61.18
27.09
23.78
21.00
17.09

87.93
100.37
34.49
44.49
53.87
20.65
35.96
61.44
28.92
22.00
21.34
16.20

In this set of analysis, Canadian Export Value, Canadian Import Value, and Canadian Trade Balance
are the independent variables and will be compared with other key indicators such as
unemployment rate, inflation rate and so on. Each dependent variable (key indicators) will be
compared with all three independent variables respectively by using scatter plots. This will enable
me to answer the following questions: Does the amount of export have a impact on this key
indicator? What about the amount of import? What about the trade balance? and is the relationship
between the two variables reasonable?
Year
Total Canaidan Exports Value (million $)
Total Canadian Imports Value (million $)
Canadian Trade Balance (million $)
Canadian Unemployment Rate (%)
Canadian Inflation Rate (%)
Canadian CPI (1992 = 100)
Canadian Polulation
Canadian Federal Debt (million $)

Canadian Trade stats

Canadian Key
Economic
Indicators

1992
162,828
148,018
14,810
10.80
1.52
100.00
28,470,057
NA

Sample Analysis:
How does Trade effect
Canadian Unemployment
rate?

12.00
Unemployment

10.00

Does the amount of export ha


unemployment rate?
Yes, as the amount of export in
decrease. The relationship betw
strong because the coefficient

Export vs.Unemployment
R = 0.9608800397

8.00

Is the relationship between th


Yes, it is reasonable because as
manufacturers will need to hire
reasonable that unemployment

6.00
4.00
2.00
100,000

200,000

300,000
Export

400,000

Import vs.Unemployment
12.00
loyment

10.00
8.00
6.00

R = 0.9639800449

500,000

Does the amount of import h


rate?
Yes, as the amount of import i
decrease. The relationship betw
strong because the coefficient

Is the relationship between th


No, this relationship is unreaso

Does the amount of import h


rate?
Yes, as the amount of import i
decrease. The relationship betw
strong because the coefficient

Import vs.Unemployment
12.00
Unemployment

10.00

R = 0.9639800449

8.00

Is the relationship between th


No, this relationship is unreaso
domestic market will become
will close down and cause une
misleading and should not be u

6.00
4.00
2.00
100,000

12.00
Unemployment

10.00

200,000

Import

300,000

400,000

Trade Balance vs. Unemployment


R = 0.607460382

8.00
6.00
4.00
2.00
10,000 20,000 30,000Trade
40,000
50,000 60,000 70,000
Balance

Does the amount of trade ba


unemployment rate?
Yes, as the amount of surplus i
rate decrease. The relationship
relatively strong because the c
above 0.5.

Is the relationship between th


Yes, it is reasonable because h
exceeds import, which will cre
unemployment rate to drop. An
scatter plots, this one is the mo
account of effects of both expo

dian Trade Balance


h as
tors) will be
This will enable
on this key
s the relationship

1993
187,515
169,953
17,562
10.40
1.80
101.80
28,783,938
NA

1994
225,679
202,736
22,943
10.34
0.20
102.00
29,095,125
NA

1995
262,267
225,553
36,714
9.44
2.16
104.20
29,396,463
524,156

1996
275,819
232,566
43,253
9.63
1.63
105.90
29,708,936
554,162

oes the amount of export have a impact on the


nemployment rate?
es, as the amount of export increase, the unemployment rate
crease. The relationship between these two variables is very
ong because the coefficient of determination is very close to 1.

the relationship between the two variables reasonable?


es, it is reasonable because as export increase, those
anufacturers will need to hire more people to work and it is
asonable that unemployment has decreased.

oes the amount of import have a impact on the unemployment


ate?
es, as the amount of import increase, the unemployment rate
ecrease. The relationship between these two variables is very
rong because the coefficient of determination is very close to 1.

the relationship between the two variables reasonable?


o, this relationship is unreasonable becuase as import increase, the

1997
298,072
272,946
25,126
9.09
1.61
107.60
29,996,204
562,850

1998
318,444
298,386
20,058
8.28
0.93
108.60
30,233,741
560,718

oes the amount of import have a impact on the unemployment


ate?
es, as the amount of import increase, the unemployment rate
ecrease. The relationship between these two variables is very
rong because the coefficient of determination is very close to 1.

the relationship between the two variables reasonable?


o, this relationship is unreasonable becuase as import increase, the
omestic market will become harder to compete and many business
ill close down and cause unemployment.Thus this relationship is
isleading and should not be used.

oes the amount of trade balance have a impact on the


nemployment rate?
es, as the amount of surplus in trade increase, the unemployment
te decrease. The relationship between these two variables is
latively strong because the coefficient of determination is still
bove 0.5.

the relationship between the two variables reasonable?


es, it is reasonable because having a trade surplus means export
xceeds import, which will create more jobs than losses and cause
nemployment rate to drop. And by comparing to the previous two
atter plots, this one is the most reasonable one because it took in
count of effects of both export and import.

1999
355,420
320,409
35,012
7.56
1.75
110.50
30,494,888
557,871

2000
413,215
356,992
56,223
6.81
2.71
113.50
30,787,468
544,726

2001
404,085
343,127
60,958
7.22
2.56
116.40
31,135,823
524,564

2002
396,379
348,718
47,661
7.65
2.23
119.00
31,463,241
517,545

2003
380,815
335,533
45,282
7.64
2.77
122.30
31,747,670
510,576

In this set of analysis, Canadian Export Value, Canadian Import Value, and Canadian Trade
Balance are the independent variables and will be compared with Canadian real GDP per
Worker per hour worked by all industries. Again, each dependent variable will be compared
with all three independent variables respectively by using scatter plots. This will enable me to
determine the impact of the amount of trade in different industries.

Year
Total Canaidan Exports Value (million $)
Total Canadian Imports Value (million $)
Canadian Trade Balance (million $)
All Industries
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting
Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Trasportation and Warehousing
Information and cultural industries
Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Reting
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support, Waste Management
Health Care and Social Assistance
Accommodation and Food Services

Canadian Trade stats

Canada Real GDP


per Worker per
Hour Worked By
Industry (in 1997 $
value)

1992
162,828
148,018
14,810
31.80
15.46
85.76
92.04
31.59
32.39
43.38
12.97
28.37
49.56
90.94
19.43
23.36
25.45
14.45

Sample Analysis:
How does Trade effect
GDP in Manufacturing?

What does this scatter plot t


As the amount of export incre
manufacturing are getting mo
more Productive because each
produce more than before in h

GDP in Manufacturing

Export vs. GDP in Manufacturing


50.00
40.00
30.00

R = 0.9082859827

There is a very strong correla


amount of export and the prod
manufacturing industry becau
determination has a value clos

20.00
10.00
0.00
100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

manufacturing are getting mo


more Productive because each
produce more than before in h

GDP in Manufacturi

50.00
40.00

R = 0.9082859827

30.00

There is a very strong correla


amount of export and the prod
manufacturing industry becau
determination has a value clos

20.00
10.00
0.00
100,000

200,000

300,000
Export

400,000

500,000

What does this scatter plot


As the amount of import incr
manufacturing are getting mo
Productive because each wor
more than before in hourly b

50.00
40.00

R = 0.8824262439

30.00

There is a very strong correla


amount of import and the pro
manufacturing industry becau
determination has a value clo

20.00
10.00
0.00
100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

Import

Trade Balance vs. GDP in Manufacturing

GDP in Manufacturing

GDP in Manufacturing

Import vs. GDP in Manufacturing

What does this scatter pl


As the amount of trade sur
manufacturing are getting
Productive

50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00

There is a relatively strong


the amount of import and t
manufacturing industry be
determination has a value

R = 0.6888932434

20,000

40,000
60,000
Trade Balance

80,000

1993
187,515
169,953
17,562
31.91
16.39
16.39
97.68
30.47
33.76
43.04
13.32
28.07
48.07
93.12
19.44
22.70
24.65
14.41

1994
225,679
202,736
22,943
32.29
16.52
90.10
106.78
28.87
35.28
44.69
13.86
28.28
45.79
97.88
19.59
21.81
24.56
14.37

1995
262,267
225,553
36,714
32.76
17.38
91.02
115.45
28.48
35.70
45.57
14.19
28.96
44.33
99.42
20.00
21.46
24.16
14.94

hat does this scatter plot tell us?


the amount of export increase, Canadian
nufacturing are getting more efficient and
re Productive because each worker now
duce more than before in hourly basis.

ere is a very strong correlation between the


ount of export and the productivity in the
nufacturing industry because the coefficient of
ermination has a value close to 1.

1996
275,819
232,566
43,253
32.76
17.64
86.92
116.18
29.66
35.40
45.74
14.54
29.23
45.12
98.69
19.39
21.64
23.70
14.25

1997
298,072
272,946
25,126
33.35
17.65
84.44
124.32
30.14
35.92
48.21
15.34
29.56
44.45
102.64
20.56
20.96
23.72
14.48

1998
318,444
298,386
20,058
34.07
18.31
94.26
119.90
30.91
36.49
52.42
16.41
29.09
44.95
109.01
21.55
20.80
23.64
14.17

1999
355,420
320,409
35,012
34.71
20.53
107.18
125.91
30.59
37.01
47.89
17.21
29.56
51.47
113.48
21.80
21.87
23.21
14.91

2000
413,215
356,992
56,223
35.42
21.59
98.91
120.88
29.96
39.86
49.08
17.47
29.52
53.42
116.67
22.42
21.53
22.46
15.01

nufacturing are getting more efficient and


re Productive because each worker now
duce more than before in hourly basis.

ere is a very strong correlation between the


ount of export and the productivity in the
nufacturing industry because the coefficient of
ermination has a value close to 1.

hat does this scatter plot tell us?


the amount of import increase, Canadian
anufacturing are getting more efficient and more
oductive because each worker now produce
ore than before in hourly basis.

ere is a very strong correlation between the


mount of import and the productivity in the
anufacturing industry because the coefficient of
termination has a value close to 1.

What does this scatter plot tell us?


As the amount of trade surplus increase, Canadian
manufacturing are getting more efficient and more
Productive

There is a relatively strong correlation between


the amount of import and the productivity in the
manufacturing industry because the coefficient of
determination has a value of 0.69.

2001
404,085
343,127
60,958
36.33
22.37
86.45
114.54
31.43
39.35
50.90
17.97
29.99
54.68
124.38
22.96
22.46
23.13
15.38

2002
396,379
348,718
47,661
37.04
21.70
95.76
107.87
30.88
39.47
55.52
18.68
31.06
64.58
127.33
23.76
22.27
23.26
15.40

2003
380,815
335,533
45,282
37.67
24.11
92.37
107.06
31.06
40.74
57.89
19.30
31.19
68.28
126.00
25.22
22.32
23.41
14.62

In these sets of analysis, Provincial Export Values, Provincial Import Values, and Provincial
Trade Balances are the independent variables and will be compared with their real GDP per
Worker per hour worked by all industries. Again, each dependent variable will be compared
with all three independent variables respectively by using scatter plots. This will enable me
to determine the impact of the amount of provincial trade in different provincial industries.

Quebec Trade stats

Quebec Real GDP


per Worker per
Hour Worked By
Industry (in 1997 $
value)

Ontario Trade stats

Ontario Real GDP


per Worker per
Hour Worked By
Industry (in 1997 $
value)

Quebec Total Exports (million $)


Quebec Total Imports (million $)
Quebec Trade Balance (million $)
All Industries
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting
Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Trasportation and Warehousing
Information and cultural industries
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support, Waste Management
Health Care and Social Assistance

27,747
26,372
1,375
30.64
16.60
31.89
115.98
37.68
31.06
40.36
11.55
NA
NA
20.14
27.14
25.93

Ontario Total Exports (million $)


Ontario Total Imports (million $)
Ontario Trade Balance (million $)
Accommodation and Food Services
All Industries
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting
Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Trasportation and Warehousing

82,266
89,697
-7,431
13.62
33.25
13.14
45.74
80.70
33.53
33.87
50.85
13.92
NA

per Worker per


Hour Worked By
Industry (in 1997 $
value)

BC Trade stats

BC Real GDP per


Worker per Hour
Worked By Industry
(in 1997 $ value)

Alberta Trade stats

Alberta Real GDP


per Worker per
Hour Worked By
Industry (in 1997 $
value)

Information and cultural industries


Finance, Insurance, Real Estate and Reting
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support, Waste Management
Health Care and Social Assistance
Accommodation and Food Services

NA
90.14
19.46
24.05
26.10
15.10

BC Total Exports (million $)


BC Total Imports (million $)
BC Trade Balance (million $)
All Industries
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting
Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Trasportation and Warehousing
Information and cultural industries
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support, Waste Management
Health Care and Social Assistance
Accommodation and Food Services

16,931
16,026
905
31.57
32.47
62.07
125.12
28.35
34.23
37.39
14.11
NA
NA
18.63
22.20
25.96
14.80

Alberta Total Exports (million $)


Alberta Total Imports (million $)
Alberta Trade Balance (million $)
All Industries
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting
Mining and Oil and Gas Extraction
Utilities
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade

18,237
4,287
13,949
34.00
9.24
124.89
89.22
27.42
35.59
40.60

Alberta Real GDP


per Worker per
Hour Worked By
Industry (in 1997 $
value)

Retail Trade
Trasportation and Warehousing
Information and cultural industries
Professional, Scientific and Technical Services
Administrative and Support, Waste Management
Health Care and Social Assistance
Accommodation and Food Services

13.27
NA
NA
19.00
20.99
24.88
15.26

Sample Analysis:
How does Ontario
export effect GDP in
its Manufacturing?

ON. Export vs. ON. GDP in Manufacturing

What does this scatter plot tel


As the amount of Ontario expor
Ontario manufacturing are getti
efficient and more Productive b
worker now produce more than
hourly basis.

ON. GDP in Manufacturing

50.00
40.00

R = 0.745175633

30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
50,000

100,000

150,000
ON. Export

200,000

250,000

There is a relatively strong corr


between the amount of export a
productivity in the manufacturin
because the coefficient of determ
value of 0.75.

Sample Analysis:
How does BC import
effect GDP in its Retail
Trade?

Chart Title

P in Retail Trade

25.00
20.00
R = 0.4636630095
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00

What does this scatter plot t


As the amount of BC trade ba
its Retail trade industry is get
and less Productive because e
produce less than before in ho

There is a relatively weak cor


the amount of export and the
the manufacturing industry be
coefficient of determination h
0.46.

Chart Title

What does this scatter plot t


As the amount of BC trade ba
its Retail trade industry is get
and less Productive because e
produce less than before in ho

BC GDP in Retail Trade

25.00
20.00
R = 0.4636630095
15.00
10.00
5.00
0.00
-4000 -2000
0

2000 4000 6000


BC Trade Balance

8000

10000

There is a relatively weak cor


the amount of export and the
the manufacturing industry be
coefficient of determination h
0.46.

34,143
28,027
6,116
30.87
15.23
36.86
119.07
37.40
32.64
37.64
12.66
NA
NA
20.21
25.67
24.82

41,081
32,455
8,626
30.69
13.74
34.02
118.23
33.72
33.71
40.47
13.00
NA
NA
19.78
22.73
24.89

48,422
36,300
12,122
30.84
14.88
31.75
134.32
31.68
33.16
42.50
12.85
NA
NA
19.75
21.20
24.75

49,365
37,055
12,309
31.13
15.78
43.53
129.66
33.92
33.88
38.36
14.05
NA
NA
19.05
21.89
25.09

52,635
40,144
12,492
31.57
17.04
44.09
146.86
35.54
34.04
43.55
14.68
27.75
49.19
19.41
22.70
24.87

57,572
43,484
14,088
32.10
16.49
38.08
135.52
39.38
34.51
45.61
15.70
26.58
46.36
19.45
21.09
25.09

62,067
48,579
13,488
32.50
20.45
65.08
171.15
34.07
35.10
39.08
16.89
26.73
49.08
19.84
24.69
22.87

74,200
57,561
16,639
33.52
19.27
52.55
162.36
34.27
39.60
39.30
16.74
26.85
55.42
20.82
24.53
22.04

71,113
54,049
17,064
34.98
20.47
64.34
157.36
39.31
40.16
45.90
17.19
27.39
56.94
21.45
26.89
22.26

95,076
106,727
-11,651
12.49
32.89
13.07
53.15
92.18
29.49
36.01
52.29
13.77
NA

115,158
130,135
-14,977
12.75
33.64
13.99
48.43
107.86
27.55
38.30
49.12
15.08
NA

131,047
143,921
-12,873
13.52
34.58
15.82
44.90
113.56
27.51
39.43
54.80
15.63
NA

139,681
149,726
-10,046
13.48
34.26
15.36
45.26
107.12
29.18
38.04
56.54
15.33
NA

153,239
176,389
-23,150
12.75
34.80
16.09
46.81
109.47
27.88
38.17
57.75
16.26
28.90

171,859
194,466
-22,607
13.06
35.29
16.74
52.46
101.80
27.60
39.12
62.53
17.42
27.36

195,567
211,612
-16,045
13.31
36.51
17.73
53.58
106.74
29.81
39.56
63.34
18.15
29.73

207,079
227,158
-20,079
13.42
37.38
20.87
61.93
111.87
28.32
41.53
61.19
18.59
29.31

201,720
215,394
-13,674
13.58
37.87
21.11
57.53
104.38
30.02
40.10
59.17
18.60
29.48

NA
90.18
19.21
23.07
25.41
14.79

NA
97.11
19.53
22.60
25.49
14.47

NA
99.34
19.59
23.09
24.94
15.16

NA
98.99
19.61
23.15
24.34
13.88

42.77
NA
20.74
21.94
25.11
14.63

45.34
107.22
22.20
22.21
24.56
14.22

53.92
NA
23.54
22.87
24.84
15.94

54.27
NA
24.24
22.50
24.02
16.42

55.21
NA
24.91
23.00
24.57
17.39

19,821
16,582
3,238
31.79
36.64
86.85
103.29
27.88
31.51
36.05
14.47
NA
NA
17.96
22.98
26.70
16.45

24,041
18,216
5,825
31.86
36.47
91.71
100.28
27.20
30.34
37.96
14.05
NA
NA
18.09
22.56
26.67
16.17

28,304
19,601
8,703
32.13
37.11
86.02
120.92
27.73
30.17
35.31
14.45
NA
NA
18.63
22.26
26.29
16.63

26,598
19,399
7,199
32.28
35.88
69.05
141.80
28.30
29.36
36.01
15.50
NA
NA
17.55
21.10
26.06
16.19

27,445
23,347
4,098
32.64
34.08
82.39
128.96
28.56
30.94
36.52
15.71
32.10
42.61
19.43
20.80
25.02
16.14

26,891
25,732
1,158
33.55
35.61
78.16
123.93
27.80
30.83
45.49
17.05
33.89
41.18
20.14
20.11
25.05
14.81

30,156
27,170
2,986
33.91
36.17
96.64
130.45
27.94
35.07
36.34
17.83
32.14
46.05
17.68
21.19
24.32
15.01

35,484
30,804
4,679
33.87
32.97
98.31
118.82
26.70
37.88
42.49
18.04
33.09
41.71
18.13
17.98
23.95
14.44

32,923
31,637
1,286
35.58
38.67
127.88
111.07
26.53
37.21
43.96
19.28
36.28
43.42
19.02
18.89
25.64
14.30

20,168
5,469
14,699
35.64
12.27
116.31
81.83
29.89
37.49
42.33

23,507
6,645
16,863
36.42
12.69
116.91
97.77
30.36
40.50
50.84

27,780
7,068
20,711
36.58
13.83
126.93
105.25
29.28
40.48
39.69

32,081
7,504
24,577
36.06
13.37
112.62
107.64
28.69
42.87
44.36

33,686
9,247
24,440
37.54
14.11
105.04
143.77
34.25
44.40
47.31

31,216
10,804
20,412
38.99
14.83
120.84
167.65
36.13
43.73
51.66

34,966
10,334
24,632
38.73
18.09
132.10
143.13
32.65
40.59
41.43

55,880
12,083
43,797
39.40
19.44
112.46
114.32
35.04
43.85
46.22

57,536
13,633
43,903
39.54
20.04
85.94
105.54
34.34
44.89
46.18

13.96
NA
NA
20.42
22.26
24.54
16.33

13.64
NA
NA
21.04
23.21
23.41
16.44

14.26
NA
NA
24.03
21.40
23.12
16.55

hat does this scatter plot tell us?


the amount of Ontario export increase,
tario manufacturing are getting more
icient and more Productive because each
rker now produce more than before in
urly basis.

ere is a relatively strong correlation


ween the amount of export and the
oductivity in the manufacturing industry
cause the coefficient of determination has a
ue of 0.75.

What does this scatter plot tell us?


As the amount of BC trade balance increase,
ts Retail trade industry is getting less efficient
nd less Productive because each worker now
produce less than before in hourly basis.

There is a relatively weak correlation between


he amount of export and the productivity in
he manufacturing industry because the
oefficient of determination has a value of
0.46.

13.88
NA
NA
21.86
21.45
20.84
15.54

15.77
33.57
42.74
24.34
20.40
19.59
15.81

16.65
35.72
40.42
26.70
21.02
19.62
15.63

16.96
33.88
56.38
24.42
20.18
19.71
17.01

16.74
33.19
61.50
25.81
23.58
20.47
16.02

19.25
32.53
63.48
25.62
26.06
20.97
16.60

What does this scatter plot tell us?


As the amount of BC trade balance increase,
ts Retail trade industry is getting less efficient
nd less Productive because each worker now
produce less than before in hourly basis.

There is a relatively weak correlation between


he amount of export and the productivity in
he manufacturing industry because the
oefficient of determination has a value of
0.46.

68,454
51,421
17,033
35.33
19.55
62.50
146.60
37.44
39.85
49.44
17.25
32.53
65.67
21.36
25.84
22.31

64,186
52,367
11,819
36.17
23.46
53.37
158.12
37.09
40.58
49.34
18.01
30.78
69.34
23.73
29.02
22.15

206,542
224,661
-18,119
14.32
38.85
24.16
61.74
103.15
29.70
40.33
64.17
19.82
28.46

189,142
209,961
-20,820
13.88
39.33
24.53
63.76
93.77
29.11
42.53
69.70
19.98
29.52

69.29
126.97
26.19
23.70
25.34
16.55

73.48
119.88
27.76
23.78
24.74
15.06

30,264
31,527
-1,264
36.06
38.31
130.47
109.02
24.40
37.73
44.73
20.02
36.29
51.67
19.39
20.52
24.58
14.71

29,586
31,262
-1,676
36.30
33.87
100.64
100.39
26.49
37.60
47.82
20.79
33.74
56.99
19.09
17.70
27.22
14.98

49,312
12,855
36,457
40.19
15.20
96.01
80.90
34.11
43.52
54.44

57,207
13,242
43,966
40.59
18.95
87.93
100.37
34.49
44.49
53.87

19.84
34.55
61.18
27.09
23.78
21.00
17.09

20.65
35.96
61.44
28.92
22.00
21.34
16.20

In this set of analysis, only the Canadian Trade Balance is the independent variable and will be
compared with the poverty line of different family sizes within communities with different
population because it is pointless to compare the amount of trade and the poverty lines without
including the effects of both export and import. The comparisons will enable me to determine
the impact of Canadian trade balance has on families with different sizes in cities with different
population.

Canadian Trade stats

Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of
Community of
Residence (Rural)

Low-Income Cut-Offs For


Population of Community
of Residence (Less than
30,000, not Rural)

Low-Income Cut-Offs For


Population of Community
of Residence (30,00099,999)

Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of
Community of
Residence (100,000499,999)

Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of
Community of
Residence (500,000 +)

Year
Canadian Trade Balance (million $)
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3
Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+
Family Size Of 1
Family Size Of 2
Family Size Of 3

1992
14,810
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA

Low-Income Cut-Offs
For Population of
Community of
Residence (500,000 +)

Family Size Of 4
Family Size Of 5
Family Size Of 6
Family Size Of 7+

NA
NA
NA
NA

Sample Analysis:
How does Trade effect the poverty
line of a 3- member family in
London*?
* London has population of 445,000

Po verty Lin e, P(100,000 - 499,999), FS(3)

Trade Balance vs. Poverty Line, P(100,000 - 499,999), FS(3)


30,000
25,000

f(x)
R == 0.0713110911x
0.4993592365 + 21112.270389011

20,000

What does this scatter plot t


As the amount of trade surplu
standard of living of a 3-mem
London is being improved

There is a moderate correlatio


amount of trade balance and th
living of a 3-member family in
since the coefficient of determ
value close to 0.5.

15,000
10,000
5,000
-

Balance 60,000
20,000 Trade
40,000

80,000

Sample Analysis:
How does Trade effect the poverty
line of a 6- member family in
Toronto*?
* Toronto has population of 4,746,100

Trade Balance vs. Poverty Line, P(500,000+), FS(6)

overty Line, P(500,000+), FS(6)

50,000
f(x)
R = 0.124373142x
0.4993846611 + 36815.682568322

40,000
30,000

What does this scatter plot t


As the amount of trade surplu
standard of living of a 6-mem
Toronto is being improved

There is a moderate correlatio


amount of trade balance and t
living of a 6-member family i
since the coefficient of determ
value close to 0.5.

20,000
10,000
-

20,000

Trade Balance
40,000

60,000

80,000

Poverty Line, P(500,000+), FS(6)

f(x)
R = 0.124373142x
0.4993846611 + 36815.682568322

40,000
30,000

standard of living of a 6-mem


Toronto is being improved

There is a moderate correlatio


amount of trade balance and t
living of a 6-member family i
since the coefficient of determ
value close to 0.5.

20,000
10,000
-

20,000

Trade Balance
40,000

60,000

80,000

1993
17,562
11,390
14,238
17,703
21,435
23,961
26,487
29,014
13,063
16,329
20,308
24,583
27,479
30,375
33,271
14,039
17,549
21,825
26,419
29,532
32,645
35,758
14,137
17,671
21,978
26,604
29,739
32,874
36,009
16,482
20,603
25,623

1994
22,943
11,410
14,263
17,739
21,472
24,003
26,533
29,064
13,086
16,357
20,343
24,626
27,527
30,428
33,329
14,063
17,579
21,863
26,465
29,583
32,702
35,820
14,162
17,702
22,016
26,650
29,791
32,931
36,072
16,511
20,639
25,668

1995
36,714
11,661
14,576
18,129
21,944
24,530
27,116
29,702
13,372
16,716
20,790
25,167
28,132
31,096
34,061
14,372
17,965
22,343
27,046
30,233
33,420
36,607
14,473
18,091
22,500
27,235
30,445
33,654
36,864
16,874
21,092
26,232

1996
43,253
11,839
14,799
18,406
22,279
24,905
27,530
30,156
13,577
16,971
21,107
25,551
28,562
31,571
34,581
14,591
18,239
22,684
27,459
30,695
33,930
37,166
14,694
18,367
22,844
27,651
30,910
34,168
37,427
17,132
21,414
26,633

1997
25,126
12,030
15,038
18,703
22,639
25,307
27,975
30,643
13,796
17,245
21,448
25,964
29,023
32,081
35,140
14,827
18,534
23,050
27,903
31,191
34,478
37,766
14,931
18,664
23,213
28,098
31,409
34,720
38,032
17,409
21,760
27,063

1998
20,058
12,142
15,178
18,877
22,849
25,542
28,235
30,928
13,924
17,405
21,647
26,205
29,293
32,379
35,467
14,965
18,706
23,264
28,162
31,481
34,798
38,117
15,070
18,837
23,429
28,359
31,701
35,043
38,385
17,571
21,962
27,315

1999
35,012
12,361
15,450
19,216
23,260
26,002
28,743
31,485
14,176
17,720
22,037
26,677
29,820
32,962
36,105
15,235
19,044
23,683
28,669
32,047
35,425
38,803
15,341
19,176
23,849
28,869
32,272
35,674
39,076
17,886
22,357
27,805

31,017
34,671
38,326
41,981

31,071
34,731
38,393
42,054

t does this scatter plot tell us?


e amount of trade surplus increase, the
ard of living of a 3-member family in
on is being improved

e is a moderate correlation between the


unt of trade balance and the standard of
g of a 3-member family in London
the coefficient of determination has a
close to 0.5.

at does this scatter plot tell us?


he amount of trade surplus increase, the
dard of living of a 6-member family in
nto is being improved

e is a moderate correlation between the


unt of trade balance and the standard of
g of a 6-member family in Toronto
e the coefficient of determination has a
e close to 0.5.

31,753
35,494
39,236
42,978

32,238
36,036
39,835
43,634

32,759
36,618
40,479
44,339

33,063
36,958
40,855
44,751

33,658
37,624
41,590
45,556

dard of living of a 6-member family in


nto is being improved

e is a moderate correlation between the


unt of trade balance and the standard of
g of a 6-member family in Toronto
e the coefficient of determination has a
e close to 0.5.

2000
56,223
12,696
15,870
19,738
23,892
26,708
29,524
32,340
14,561
18,201
22,635
27,401
30,629
33,857
37,085
15,648
19,561
24,326
29,448
32,917
36,387
39,857
15,757
19,697
24,497
29,653
33,148
36,642
40,137
18,371
22,964
28,560

2001
60,958
13,021
16,275
20,242
24,502
27,390
30,278
33,166
14,933
18,666
23,214
28,101
31,412
34,722
38,033
16,048
20,060
24,948
30,200
33,758
37,317
40,875
16,160
20,200
25,123
30,411
33,995
37,579
41,163
18,841
23,551
29,290

2002
47,661
13,311
16,639
20,694
25,050
28,002
30,954
33,907
15,267
19,083
23,732
28,729
32,113
35,498
38,882
16,407
20,508
25,505
30,875
34,512
38,150
41,788
16,521
20,651
25,684
31,090
34,754
38,418
42,080
19,261
24,077
29,944

2003
45,282
13,680
17,100
21,268
25,744
28,778
31,813
34,847
15,690
19,612
24,390
29,526
33,004
36,482
39,960
16,862
21,077
26,213
31,731
35,469
39,208
42,947
16,979
21,224
26,396
31,952
35,718
39,483
43,249
19,795
24,745
30,774

34,572
39
42,719
46,793

35,455
39,633
43,811
47,988

36,247
40,518
44,789
49,060

37,253
41,642
46,031
50,421

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