Professional Documents
Culture Documents
a new Middle East where the US and Iran share a sphere of influence in the
region.
This has made Saudi Arabia uninterested in ending the Yemen crisis; instead
it continues to bombard the Houthi militias without consequence. The
primary Saudi aim now is to stop Iran from controlling Yemen and to send
them a powerful message to cease interfering in the Arab countries and
threatening Saudi Arabia. For Iran, the war is useful and low cost. It keeps
the Saudis under pressure and distracted from their regional struggle. With
fronts in Syria and Iraq and increasing political roles for Iran-backed allies
and militias there, in addition to its influence in Lebanon and its relations
with other gulf countries like Qatar and Oman, the war in Yemen significantly
increases its regional power.
Fifth, the Saudi campaign has suffered from the moment it was established.
It has no UN cover; some countries refused to join like Oman and Pakistan;
others decided to join but are not active at all, like Turkey and Morocco. Even
Egypt refused to send ground troops to Yemen, instead sending the troops to
defend the Saudi land from any attacks and some naval ships to prevent
the Houthis from threatening the maritime rotes and Yemeni islands in the
Red Sea. Riyadh is disappointed that it has not received support even from
countries it has helped financially and diplomatically in the past.
As in Syria, it seems no actor in the Middle East is interested in stopping the
military campaign in Yemen. To make matters worse, drone strikes and air
power campaigns never bring victory in war: lessons from Afghanistan,
Pakistan and Iraq tell us that troops can achieve the victory on the ground.
ISIS, for example, expanded its control over land, seized cities in Iraq and
Syria and gained land and weapons in spite of US campaigns and drone
strikes. Saudi Arabia has now spent over two billion dollars on the war and
there is no end in sight. If those with influence in the Middle East do not stop
it now or try to reach an agreement, Yemen could be another Syria.
PS21 is a non-ideological, non-governmental, non-partisan organization. All
views expressed are the authors own.