Professional Documents
Culture Documents
This presentation contains forward-looking information within the meaning of Canadian provincial securities laws and other “forward-looking statements,” within the meaning
of certain securities laws including Section 27A of the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, Section 21E of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended,
“safe harbour” provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and in any applicable Canadian securities regulations. The words “strategy,”
“objectives,” “outlook,” “build,” “maintain,” “expand,” “opportunities,” “will,” “stable,” “contracted,” “expect,” “believe” and “should,” derivations thereof and other expressions
that are predictions of or indicate future events, trends or prospects and which do not relate to historical matters identify forward-looking statements. We may make such
statements in this presentation, in other filings with Canadian securities regulators or the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) and in other communications. These
forward-looking statements include, among others, statements with respect to our financial and operating objectives and strategies to achieve those objectives; our ability to
generate going concern values from our assets; our views on the intrinsic value of our business and the shares of the company; acquisition and growth opportunities in the
real estate, renewable power and infrastructure sectors; our future operating performance, earnings and cash flows; the effects of IFRS on our financial statements in the
future; our currency and interest rate views; our outlook for the renewable power market in North America and Brazil; growth targets for our renewable power business; our
outlook for the office, retail and residential real estate sectors; our outlook for the transmission and timber sectors as well as the overall infrastructure sector; and other
statements with respect to our beliefs, outlooks, plans, expectations and intentions.
Although Brookfield believes that the anticipated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements and information are
based upon reasonable assumptions and expectations, investors and potential investors should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements and information
because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from
anticipated future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements and information. Factors that could cause actual results
to differ materially from those contemplated or implied by forward-looking statements include: economic and financial conditions in the countries in which we do business;
the behaviour of financial markets including fluctuations in interest and exchange rates; availability of equity and debt financing for the company and its affiliates; strategic
actions including dispositions; the ability to complete and effectively integrate acquisitions into existing operations and the ability to attain expected benefits; our continued
ability to attract institutional partners to invest in our funds; adverse hydrology conditions; tenant bankruptcies; recovery of timber markets; regulatory and political factors
within the countries in which we operate; acts of God, such as earthquakes and hurricanes; the possible impact of international conflicts and other developments including
terrorist acts; and other risks and factors detailed from time to time in the company’s form 40-F filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission as well as other
documents filed by the company with the securities regulators in Canada and the United States including in the company’s most recent year end Management Discussion
of Financial Results under the heading “Business Environment and Risks.”
We caution that the forgoing list of important factors that may affect future results is not exhaustive. When relying on our forward-looking statements to make decisions with
respect to Brookfield Asset Management and its affiliated, investors and others should carefully consider the forgoing factors and other uncertainties and potential events.
Unless required by law, the company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements or information, whether written or oral, that may
be as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
Currency
All dollar figures are in U.S. dollars, unless otherwise indicated.
Agenda
Reception
1
Overview Bruce Flatt
Brookfield Today
A global asset management company with over $80 billion of AUM
2
A Global Asset Manager
100 years of experience investing, operating and managing high quality assets
globally
Sponsor and manage 20 private equity funds and partnerships since 2001 with
capital commitments of ~ $19 billion
Operating locations
3
Business Strategy – Long Term Objectives are Unchanged
Own high
g quality
q y assets through
g leading
g operating
p g platforms
p that generate
g high
g
levels of sustainable free cash flow
Global markets were highly capital constrained and many businesses faced
significant operating volatility
However, Brookfield was able to finance over $10 billion of debt, continued to
generate ~ $1.5 billion of annual free cash flow and invested over $2.0 billion
opportunistically to increase future cash flow per share growth
4
Moving to 2010 and Beyond
Our franchise, with institutions and financial counterparties, is better than ever
Acquisition Opportunities
We are well positioned to pursue major acquisition opportunities
Over $3 billion of our own liquidity and $7 billion of third-party capital to invest
in potentially higher-yielding opportunities
5
Current Opportunities
Acquiring high quality assets that are being sold into illiquid markets due
to financial distress
We currently have 20 private funds and investment programs with ~ $19 billion
of commitments with 60 institutional investors
6
Recently Announced Initiatives
7
Renewable Power Richard Legault
Agenda
Overview of Portfolio
Priorities
– North America
– Brazil
Future Growth
Conclusion
Q&A
8
Renewable Power Overview
One of the world’s largest privately-held hydro portfolios – $12 billion*
9
Priorities
Priorities
Operations
Deliver power to highest-value markets through secured transmission rights
Continue to optimize portfolio and maximize revenues by generating during
peak demand
– 20% premium to market prices based on prior year’s track record
Maintain operating costs at current level
Manage our capital programs on schedule and budget
10
Market Dynamics and Outlook
11
Market Outlook – Gas Prices and Power Market
New power plants needed in northeast North America
15,000 – 20,000 MW needed annually Forward Prices vs. CCGT(1) All-in Cost
for load growth, post recession $/MWh
120
Shut-down of ageing plants $108
CO2 cap-and-trade likely to be implemented in U.S. and Canada in next few years
Congress estimates carbon price of about $14/t in 2012 and $32/t in 2020
CO2 prices to increase cost of dispatch of oil, gas and coal-fired plants
Power price estimated to rise in northeast by $4/MWh for each $10/t carbon price
12
Market Outlook – Key Drivers in Brazil
80
60
40
20
0
May-05 Oct-06 Feb-08 Jul-09 Nov-10
Auction Date
Source: CCEE (Cámara de Comercialización de Energía Eléctrica - Brazil's Electric Energy Commercialization Clearing House)
13
Operating Profile – Positioned for Growth
Operating Profile
14
Operating Profile – Current Hydroelectric and
Wind Contract Profile
76% of LTA generation is under contract or hedged in 2010 and >45% contracted
long term
Generation not sold under a long-term contract is sold in the wholesale power
markets in northeastern North America
Medium-term
M di h d
hedges typically
i ll protect pricing
i i on majority
j i off un-contracted
d power
In addition to earning energy revenues, our un-contracted assets generate:
Annual Revenues(1)
Maximizing value of storage
Peaking
to generate in highest
Premiums
price hours
~$100 million
per year or
Providing services to grid +/- $14/MWh
Ancillary operators such as voltage
Revenues support, capacity and
spinning reserves
15
Operating Profile – Sensitivity Analysis
Opportunity to capture value with rising energy prices
Growth Platform
16
The Renewable Power Opportunity
Key trends supporting continued growth in renewable power generation
Growth Platform
Expand platform from 4,150 to 6,000 MW in next five years through acquisitions and
development activities
17
Conclusion
Conclusion
Renewable energy is the fastest growing segment in the power business
Brookfield is very well positioned in this sector with large scale operating
platform in North America and Brazil with development, operating and power
marketing capabilities
18
Q&A
19
Property Ric Clark
Agenda
Overview of Portfolio
– Office
– Development
– Retail
– Residential
Conclusion
Q&A
20
Global Reach With Local Insight
One of the largest property investors worldwide
21
Global Office Operating Profile and Market Dynamics
Office Portfolio
120 commercial property assets and 85 million square feet under management
22
Outlook in United States
Challenges
Office fundamentals continue to weaken –
economic slowdown and lack of business
and consumer confidence
Employment figures could continue to
decline into 2010 putting pressure on
vacancy rates and economic fundamentals
Tight credit constricting liquidity, pushing
near-term cap rates up, values down
Opportunities
Although rising, vacancies are still well below
normal in most markets New York
Bid/Ask rental spreads have been covered in
major markets – activity increasing
Distressed deals are expected to hit the market in 2010 and 2011 as maturities
occur and lenders are no longer able to delay action
Outlook in Canada
Challenges
Commercial property markets are reflective
off th
the economy
Vacancy rates have begun to rise
Significant new supply in Calgary and Toronto
will strain these markets
Opportunities
Vacancies are still on landlord’s side of
equilibrium and below peak in 1990s
Canadian financial institutions have held
up better than their U.S. and international peers
Energy/Commodities will rebound first Toronto
23
Outlook in Australia
Challenges
Foreign banks have retreated home, making
l di
lending universe
i smaller
ll
Remaining banks reluctant to lend on new deals even
at higher interest rates
Loan-to-value covenants continue to trigger mortgage
pay-down requirements on otherwise stable assets
Illiquid environment pushing near-term cap rates
up and values down
Opportunities
Economy has not gone into a technical recession, and Sydney
Challenges
Opportunities London
Real estate has re-priced more rapidly and aggressively, than many markets,
attracting greater investor interest
24
Global Office Operating Profile
Well positioned to ride out market downturn
Average
g annual lease rollover over next 3 years:
y 5.7%
8% 8%
8 6% 6%
7 7 5%
2% 2%
Brookfield Market
25
Low Rollover Profile
Limited vacancy and minimal rollover exposure ensures continuity of cash flow,
low capital expenditures and leasing costs
U.S. 94% 2,659 605 1,607 2,623 3,497 7,143 2,975 3,922 17,402 42,433
Canada 98% 281 147 881 1,353 1,327 3,208 490 2,610 6,002 16,299
Australia 98% 180 504 459 434 293 364 715 803 6,322 10,074
Total 95% 3,207 1,263 3,000 4,427 5,174 10,739 4,484 7,335 30,838 70,467
Note: Rents have been converted into US$ on the following basis: US$1 = C$1.10, A$1.20, £0.60
26
High Quality Cash Flows
Focus on high credit quality tenants ensures long duration cash flows
The balance of leasable area includes some of the world’s largest professional
service firms
Government ―%
% 10%
%
Well diversified debt maturity profile with average term of five years
Australia predominantly financed with bank debt on shorter term basis, the
norm in the country
Successfully refinanced $1.2 billion of property level debt in 2009 and $2.9 billion
i 2008
in
27
Frequently Asked Questions
Questions Response
U.S. Office Fund Brookfield’s share of the mezzanine debt is $0.8 billion
refinancing
fi i iin 2011 By 2011, net operating income of the Fund is expected to increase by
37% from acquisition
Brookfield is well capitalized to fund any shortfall of the mezzanine
debt, if needed
Merrill Lynch Merrill Lynch leases 4.9 million square feet in Brookfield Properties’
exposure WFC portfolio
3.1 million square feet is occupied by Merrill Lynch and 1.8 million
square feet is sublet
Lease is due in 2013,
2013 when the debt on the properties will be fully
amortized
Merrill Lynch owns a 49% interest in Tower Four – reducing Brookfield
Properties’ net exposure to 2.5 million square feet and Brookfield’s to
1.25 million square feet
High quality and low cost basis of WFC renders WFC a value
proposition
Questions Response
Persistent decline Current in-place rents are 15% below market averages
i rental
in t l rates
t Minimal exposure due to low vacancy rate and low near term lease
rollover exposure (see below)
28
Development Profile
Market Sq. Ft. % Leased Sq. Ft. % Leased Sq. Ft. % Leased
Total ,
2,692 70% 1,398
, 85% 4,090
, 74%
* No active development in UK except 15% interest in Canary Wharf Developments. Excludes square feet under construction for
third parties
29
Property – Held for Development
Will b
build
ild outt when
h market
k t conditions
diti improve
i
and return expectations of +20% can be achieved
Manhattan West, New York
Questions Response
Increased risks with Began to shut down development 24 months ago
d
development
l t Only commence construction of a development site on a risk-
adjusted basis
1.4 million square feet remaining under construction which is 85%
pre-leased
Significant costs of Low cost basis for the 16 million square feet of development capacity
holding development Add sites selectively and only on an opportunistic basis
Decreased overhead and holding costs to a “bare-bones” basis
Utilize key resources in development group to organically re-work
current assets and density
30
Retail Operating Profile
25 centres
– Brazil – 14
– Other
Oth – 11
31
Retail Outlook
Challenges
Opportunities
32
Residential Portfolio
130,000 residential lot equivalents and 61 million square feet of condominium
density provide the basis for future growth
Residential Outlook
Challenges
In developed countries, the continued lack of
fi
financing
i has
h significantly
i ifi tl reduced
d d investment
i t t
in the housing sector
Most distressed properties coming to market
are residential and land deals
Opportunities
Multi-housing properties continue to outperform
other commercial property types, but are not
immune to current market conditions
Total existing U.S. home sales rose
7.2 percent in July 2009, the biggest gain
Heartland Homes, Calgary
since record keeping began in 1999 for existing
home sales and condos
Brazil sales are over 50% higher than last year – markets are very strong
33
Residential Operating Profile
– Brazil – Leading
g developer
p in Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro with over
61 million square feet of condo development
– Western Canada – leading developer with 23% market share and over
6,000 acres held for development in Alberta
– U.S. – Top five developers with approximately 7,000 acres held for
development
Historical low cost land bank with opportunities in current environment to expand
holdings at significant discounts
Strategy of optioning land and lots to position for growth with reduced risk
Questions Response
34
Accomplishments and Future Growth
2009 Accomplishments
35
Investment Opportunities
As a result of challenging environment for real estate operators globally, there will
be opportunities to buy assets or platforms at attractive returns
Lack of funding, bleak investor sentiment and deteriorating coverage under loan-
to-value covenants have reduced property valuations and pressured debt to
equity ratios
Lenders have virtually ceased funding in an effort to restore capital and improve
regulatory ratios
Many real estate owners and debt holders require substantial portfolio
de-leveraging in an illiquid market
Shortage of experienced global real estate operators with balance sheet capacity
and
d skills
kill tto quickly
i kl complete
l t llarge scale
l restructurings
t t i andd M&A ttransactions
ti
Investors include large pension funds, sovereign wealth funds and other
institutional investors
36
Conclusion
Conclusion
Brookfield is very well positioned to benefit from the current environment
One of the world’s largest real estate operating platforms providing unparalleled
access to opportunities across the real estate spectrum
37
Priorities
Capitalize on market illiquidity and selectively look for value where owners are
overleveraged
Q&A
38
Infrastructure Sam Pollock
Agenda
Overview of Portfolio
Market
M k tD Dynamics
i and
dOOutlook
tl k
Conclusion
Q&A
39
Overview of Portfolio
40
Infrastructure Strategy
Long-life assets
Acquire high quality Minimal sustaining capital requirements
infrastr ct re assets
infrastructure Stable cash flow due to barriers to entry or equivalent
competitive advantage
Investment Thesis
Stable and predictable cash flow governed by
regulated frameworks and long-term contracts
Revenue and margins increase with inflation
Critical link between power production and
consumption
Attractive capital projects to deliver growth
from existing businesses
41
Operating Profile – Timber
Brookfield has built the sixth largest timberland estate in North America
Investment Thesis
42
Market Dynamics and Outlook – Transmission
Anticipate that medium-term pricing will increase and operating results will
g y improve,
significantly p , starting
g late 2010
– Wood remains a critical building material for U.S. residential and commercial
construction
– Year-to-date 2009 U.S. housing starts at 0.5 million(1) are significantly below
normalized levels
– Long-term demographics support a return to normalized U.S. housing starts
in the 1.6 to 1.8 million units per year range
43
Market Dynamics and Outlook – Timber cont’d
44
2009 Accomplishments
Completed sale of Brazilian Transmission investment (TBE) for after tax proceeds
of $275 million
– Gain of $68 million
$25 trillion over next Chronic under- Public private On relative and risk
25 years(1) spending and budget partnerships and adjusted return basis
Driven by population constraints private financial
initiatives Inflation linked
and economic
Aging assets revenues
growth
needing replacement
45
Growth Opportunities – Current Transmission Operations
46
Growth Opportunity – Leveraging our Transmission Platform
Investment Thesis
Low development risk due to regulatory
framework and project cost recovery provisions
Essentially acquiring licensed utility at
1X rate base
Opportunity to grow by participating in future build-out of Texas grid as an
incumbent
47
Current Investment Focus
With lower levels of leverage and higher equity returns, the current environment
offers very attractive risk-adjusted returns for infrastructure investments
48
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P.
Established as Brookfield’s primary vehicle to own and operate certain infrastructure
assets on a global basis
Structure Publicly-traded
Publicly traded partnership Current yield ~ 6.5%
managed by Brookfield
Recently sold investment in Brazilian
transmission for a $68 million gain
Market Symbol NYSE: BIP
TSX: BIP.UN Substantial growth within existing
portfolio
Fully-diluted
~ 38 million*
Units
Portfolio by Asset Class
Quarterly Social
$0.265 per unit
Distribution Infrastructure 3%
Book Value
$23.94*
per unit
Electricity
Timber 57% 40% Transmission
Unit Price
$16.84
(Sept. 14/09)
Conclusion
49
Conclusion
Q&A
50
Financial Review Brian Lawson
Agenda
Operating Performance
Intrinsic
I t i i Values
V l
Capitalization
Liquidity
Q&A
51
Operating Performance
Commercial office
– 95% leased with 8 year average term
– Market rents exceed “in-place” rents by approximately 15%
Renewable power
– 80% of revenues sold forward until 2011; 50% with average term of 12 years
– Low cost producer
Earnings Profile
By way of reference, operating cash flows during 2008 and 2007, excluding major
disposition gains, were $1.2 billion and $1.1 billion, respectively
52
Future Earnings Potential
Underlying Values
As at December 31
31, 2008 (millions,
(millions except per share amounts) Total Per Share
Book value per share under historical accounting at 12/31/08 $ 4,911 $ 8.92
14,151 24.32
Add: Estimated excess value of assets over book value that are not
1,500 2.50
included within the IFRS fair value framework(1)
Add: Increase due to cash flows and currency movements 1,000 1.67
53
Underlying Values – Going Concern Value – Illustrative*
$36.50
$28 50
$28.50
Values Not Recorded Under IFRS
$2.50 $26.00
IFRS Values(2)
$4.00
$22.00
Solid Capitalization
54
Solid Capitalization cont’d
Liabilities
Deconsolidated
Book value $ 10.6 $ 2.3 $ 0.7 $ ― $ 6.3 28%
Our equity values are impacted by changes in currencies and long-term interest
rates
There has been considerable volatility in currencies and rates over the past year
We typically match fund our assets, which results in natural hedges through the
associated financing
From time to time, we will “layer on” additional mitigation through financial
contracts and other means, recognizing that this may result in net income
volatility
All of our currency and interest rate positions are covered by a comprehensive
risk management framework
BAM Equity
U.S. 50%
Canada 20%
Brazil 15%
Australia 10%
UK 5%
100%
Background
The valuation of our long-lived assets are sensitive to long-term interest rates
We generally match fund long-term liabilities against our long-term assets,
where possible
To the extent we have equity in assets, this portion of our investment is
un-hedged and therefore at risk to increases in rates of return
Current View
Our view is that rates are going higher (over next five years) given all of the
recent fiscal stimulus
We will consider taking steps to further lock-in long-term rates over the next
number of years
56
Liquidity and Capital Deployment
Over the past two years, we have completed over $10 billion of financings and
asset monetizations
Our ability to do this is a direct result of the stability of our operating cash flows,
the high quality of our assets, the conservative nature and flexibility of our
financing structure and the strength of our relationships
Proceeds were used largely to refinance short-term debt maturities, invest in our
business and new opportunities, and to increase surplus liquidity
Financial Flexibility
Over the last two years, we generated and invested approximately $2 billion of
capital in our operations to drive higher future cash flow per share growth
$ 2.0
57
Significant Capital to Pursue Growth Opportunities
Looking forward, we have over $10 billion of available capital to take advantage
of the current environment and opportunities
Q&A
58
Conclusion Bruce Flatt
59
Current Environment Improving cont’d
– Labour market recovery still required for sustained recovery to take hold
– Turnaround/restructuring expertise
60
Significant Franchise Value
Our operations are able to leverage corporate expertise and the Brookfield brand to
enhance underlying value over the long term
BROOKFIELD
Strategic direction
Capital allocation
Global relationships
OPERATING PLATFORMS
Access to deal flow
f
Transaction execution
Operational excellence
Focus on profitability
Non-recourse financing
Summary Priorities
61
Final Thoughts
Few companies have the capital, geographic presence, scale and depth of
operations to take advantage of opportunities
The past two years have only strengthened our franchise support from
institutions who view that we were prudent with their capital and our
model aligns well today with them
Q&A
62
Bay Adelaide Centre Tour Bob MacNicol
63
Management Team Presenting Today
64