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1435 Navahoe Drive

Pittsburgh, PA 15228

February 14, 2010

Dr. Timothy J. Steinhauer


Superintendent
Mt. Lebanon School District
7 Horsman Drive
Pittsburgh, PA 15228

Re: RET and EIT – A 15 Year Look


Dr. Steinhauer:
Disappointingly, the District FAQs skirt the issue of how tax increases may develop over the
next few years. As to the “cost of our education program” being a contributing factor to future
tax increases, the District answered:
Being fiscally frugal, the Board has limited tax increases to 1% in each of the past two
years and 0% the year before while maintaining the high quality of our educational
programs.
In that the question is forward looking, this three year track record is not anything to write home
about (let alone 14,000 homes). Based on the District’s 02-03-10 forecast, total Real Estate
Tax (RET) revenues may increase 41.4% from the current year estimate through 2015-2016,
about 1/3 for the high school, 1/3 for PSERS and 1/3 for our educational program.
Taking RET over a longer period1 including both actual and forecasted revenues, I calculate
RET growing by 102.8% over the 15 years, at a compounded annual rate of 4.8%.
More importantly, how does this increase compare to our collective purchasing power? Using
Earned Income Tax (EIT) revenues as a proxy, I charted EIT over the same period. Actual and
forecasted EIT indicates 45.5% growth, or about 2.5% per year.
These differences are striking. RET is growing at almost double the rate of our Community’s
earned income. Does this divergent trend help explain some of the Community’s concern? Can
you understand how folks feel the FAQs are not fully responsive?
Respectfully,

William R. Matthews III


cc: MTLSD School Board
MTL

Attachment

1
Beginning with 2000-2001 actuals, through 2015-2016 forecasted estimates
Mt. Lebanon Schools
Revenues Over Time - Indexed
2000-2001 = 1

2.5

2.0

1.5

1.0

0.5

0.0
2000- 2001- 2002- 2003- 2004- 2005- 2006- 2007- 2008- 2009- 2010- 2011- 1012- 2013- 2014- 2015-
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Real Estate Tax Earned Income Tax Linear (Real Estate Tax) Linear (Earned Income Tax)

Total Growth 2000 – 2016


Real Estate Tax Revenue: 102.8%
Earned Income Tax Revenue: 45.5%

Compounded Annual Rate


Real Estate Tax Revenue: 4.8%
Earned Income Tax Revenue: 2.5%

Source
2000-2009, MTLSD Budget Books
2009-2010, MTLSD Year End Financial Analysis
2010-2016, MTLSD Forecast, dated 02-03-10

Note
2010-2016, Real Estate Tax includes a $1,700,000 annual reduction from forecast as an allowance for State Gaming
Funds

WRM
February 14, 2010

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