Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Project Done At
PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK, CIRCLE OFFICE
MUMBAI
Preface
Credit risk is defined as the potential that a bank borrower or counterparty will fail to
meet its obligations in accordance with agreed terms, or in other words it is defined
as the risk that a firms customer and the parties to which it has lent money will fail to
make promised payments is known as credit risk
The exposure to the credit risks large in case of financial institutions, such
commercial banks when firms borrow money they in turn expose lenders to credit
risk, the risk that the firm will default on its promised payments. As a consequence,
borrowing exposes the firm owners to the risk that firm will be unable to pay its debt
and thus be forced to bankruptcy.
The project helps in understanding the clear meaning of credit Risk Management at
Punjab National Bank. It explains about the credit risk scoring method and
corresponding rating of the borrower and different lending rate. It helps to understand
the fair credit policy of the Bank and Credit Recovery management of the same.
MUMBAI
11th June, 2010
ACKNOWLEDGMENT
It is indeed a matter of great pleasure and privilege to work on the project titled
Improvements needed in Risk Rating, credit appraisal and monitoring Methods of the
bank. I would like to express special thanks to Mr. B.G Pinto and Mr. Rushikesh Dhimar for
providing me an excellent opportunity to complete my summer internship at PUNJAB
NATIONAL BANK, CIRCLE OFFICE-MUMBAI.
I would like to express my Indebtedness to them for their excellent guidance and valuable
suggestions for the successful completion of the project.
I would also like to thank the entire staff of PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK, CIRCLE OFFICEMUMBAI for providing their excellent support.
I am bound to the Honorable Prof. C. D. Sreedharan for his stimulating support and
guidance.
Without the support of everyone mentioned above, this project wouldnt have been possible.
Executive Summary
Table of contents
Title
Page No
Preface
Acknowledgements
Executive Summary
1.1 Title
1.2 Objectives
1.3 Methodology
2.1 History
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10
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13
15
4.1 Credit
15
4.2 Risk
15
15
15
16
16
16
18
5.1 Definition
18
5.2 Use
18
18
18
18
5.4.2. TOL/TNW
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19
19
20
20
21
21
22
22
22
24
24
25
26
26
6
26
26
26
26
27
28
29
29
29
30
30
30
31
31
32
32
32
33
33
34
Chapter 9 Conclusion
35
Bibliography
36
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With its presence virtually in all the important centres of the country, Punjab National
Bank offers a wide variety of banking services which include corporate and personal
banking, industrial finance, agricultural finance, financing of trade and international
banking. Among the clients of the Bank are Indian conglomerates, medium and small
industrial units, exporters, non-resident Indians and multinational companies. The
large presence and vast resource base have helped the Bank to build strong links
with trade and industry.
Punjab National Bank is serving over 3.5 crore customers through 4525 Offices
including 432 extension counters - largest amongst Nationalized Banks. The Bank
was recently ranked 21st amongst top 500 companies by the leading financial daily,
Economic Times. PNB's attempts at providing best customer service has earned it
9th place among Indias Most Trusted top 50 service brands in Economic Times- A.C
Nielson Survey. PNB is also ranked 248th amongst the top 1000 banks in the world
according to "The Banker" London.
At the same time, the bank has been conscious of its social responsibilities by
financing agriculture and allied activities and small scale industries (SSI). Considering
the importance of small scale industries bank has established 31 specialised
branches to finance exclusively such industries.
Strong correspondent banking relationship which Punjab National Bank maintains
with over 200 leading international banks all over the world enhances its capabilities
to handle transactions world-wide. Besides, bank has Rupee Drawing Arrangements
with 15 exchange companies in the Gulf and one in Singapore. Bank is a member of
the SWIFT and over 150 branches of the bank are connected through its computerbased terminal at Mumbai. With its state-of-art dealing rooms and well-trained
dealers, the bank offers efficient forex dealing operations in India.
The bank has been focussing on expanding its operations outside India and has
identified some of the emerging economies which offer large business potential. Bank
has set up representative offices at Almaty: Kazakhistan, Shanghai: China and in
London. Besides, Bank has opened a full fledged Branch in Kabul, Afghanistan.
Keeping in tune with changing times and to provide its customers more efficient and
speedy service, the Bank has taken major initiative in the field of computerization. All
the Branches of the Bank have been computerized. The Bank has also launched
aggressively the concept of "Any Time, Any Where Banking" through the introduction
of Centralized Banking Solution (CBS) and over 2409 offices have already been
brought under its ambit.
PNB also offers Internet Banking services in the country for Corporates as well as
individuals. Internet Banking services are available through all Branches of the Bank
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networked under CBS. Providing 24 hours, 365 days banking right from the PC of the
user, Internet Banking offers world class banking facilities like anytime, anywhere
access to account, complete details of transactions, and statement of account, online
information of deposits, loans overdraft account etc. PNB has recently introduced
Online Payment Facility for railway reservation through IRCTC Payment Gateway
Project and Online Utility Bill Payment Services which allows Internet Banking
account holders to pay their telephone, mobile, electricity, insurance and other bills
anytime from anywhere from their desktop.
Another step taken by PNB in meeting the changing aspirations of its clientele is the
launch of its Debit card, which is also an ATM card. It enables the card holder to buy
goods and services at over 99270 merchant establishments across the country.
Besides, the card can be used to withdraw cash at more than 25000 ATMs, where
the 'Maestro' logo is displayed, apart from the PNB's over 898 ATMs and tie up
arrangements with other Banks.
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16
17
5.1 Definition:
Credit rating is the process of assigning a letter rating to borrower indicating that
creditworthiness of the borrower. Rating is assigned based on the ability of the
borrower (company) to repay the debt and his willingness to do so. The higher is
rating of company the lower is the probability of its default.
5.2 Use:
Credit rating helps the bank in making many key decisions regarding credit including
1. Whether to lend to a particular borrower or not; what price to charge?
2. What are the products to be offered to the borrower and for what tenure?
3. At what level should sanctioning be done, it should however be noted that credit
rating is one of inputs used in credit decisions.
5.3 Main Features of the Rating Tool:
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
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ii.
iii.
iv.
5.4.2. TOL/TNW:
Total outside liabilities divided by total net worth. The characteristics are as follows:
i.
ii.
iii.
iv.
v.
vi.
ii.
It is a relationship between the profits made during the year and the finance
employed to make profits i.e. it shows the earning power of the business.
iii.
iv.
It should not only compare favorably with the rate of interest on loanable funds
in the market but also compensable for the risk involved in running the
business.
Higher the figure, the slower is the turnaround of current asset and in general
higher the risk.
ii.
iii.
For assessment of risk, a shorter working capital cycle can be regarded less
risky.
iv.
Specific industry parameters should also be kept in mind while assessing the
risk under this ratio.
v.
In general, it is expected that the working capital should be turned over at least
twice.
20
Weightages (%)
Financial performance
Operating performance
Quality of management
Industry outlook
XXXX
XXXX
XXXX
XXXX
In the above parameters first three parameters used to know the borrower
characteristics. In fourth encapsulates the risk emanating from the environment in
which the borrower operates and depends on the past performance of the industry its
future outlook and macro economic factors.
Score
F1
(a) Audited net sales in last year
(b) Audited net sales in year before last
(c) Audited net sales in 2 year before last
(d) Audited net sales in 3 year before last
(e) Estimated or projected net sales in next year
F2 NET SALES GROWTH RATE (%)
F3 PBDIT growth rate (%)
F4 Net sales (%)
F5 ROCE (%)
F6 TOL/TNW
F7 Current ratio
F8 DSCR
F9 Interest coverage ratio
F10 Foreign exchange risk
F11 Reliability of debtors
F12 Operating cash flow
F13 Trend in cash accruals
Xxxx
Xxxx
Xxxx
Xxxx
Xxxx
Xxxx
Xx
Xx
Xx
Xxx
Xxx
Xxx
Xx
Xx
Xx
Xx
Xx
21
Score
Xx
Xx
Xx
Xx
X
X
X
X
X
Score
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
Score
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
X
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X
X
X
X
are also using credit derivatives to transfer risk efficiently while preserving customer
relationships. The combination of these two developments has precipitated vastly
accelerated progress in managing credit risk in a portfolio context over the past
several years.
5.6.2 Asset by asset approach:
Traditionally, banks have taken an asset by asset approach to credit risk
management. While each banks method varies, in general this approach involves
periodically evaluating the credit quality of loans and other credit exposures. Applying
a accredit risk rating and aggregating the results of this analysis to identify a
portfolios expected losses. The foundation of thee asset-by-asst approach is a sound
loan review and internal credit risk rating system. A loan review and credit risk rating
system enables management to identify changes in individual credits, or portfolio
trends, in a timely manner. Based on the results of its problem loan identification,
loan review and credit risk rating system management can make necessary
modifications to portfolio strategies or increase the supervision of credits in a timely
manner. Banks and financial institutions must determine the appropriate level of the
allowances for loan and losses (ALLL) on a quarterly basis. On large problem credits,
they assess ranges of expected losses based on their evaluation of a number of
factors, such as economic conditions and collateral. On smaller problem credits and
on pass credits, banks commonly assess the default probability from historical
migration analysis. Combining the results of the evaluation of individual large problem
credits and historical. Two important assumptions of portfolio credit risk models are:
1. The holding period of planning horizon over which losses are predicted
2. How credit losses will be reported by the model.
Models generally report either a default or market value distribution. The objective of
credit risk modeling is to identify exposures that create an unacceptable risk/reward
profile. Such as might arise from credit concentration. Credit risk management seeks
to reduce the unsystematic risk of a portfolio by diversifying risks. As banks and
financial institutions gain greater confidence in their portfolio modeling capabilities. It
is likely that credit derivatives will become a more significant vehicle in to manage
portfolio credit risk. While some banks currently use credit derivatives to hedge
undesired exposures much of that actively involves a desire to reduce capital
requirements.
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(i) Sanctioned Limit: Fund :400 Term: 2705 N.F.B. 650 Total : 3500 (Ceiling)
(ii) Proposed Limit: Fund: 900 Term: 2705 N.F.B. 1650 Total: 5255 (Ceiling)
7.1 FINANCIAL EVALUATION
Category
Parameter
Co
Value
LQ-(MLQ)/2
LQ
UQ
Growth
Rate (3yr)
Profitability
Gross Sales
Growth rate(%)
OPBDIT/Sales (%)
Short Term Bank
borrowings/Net
Sales (%)
Operating Cash
flow/Total Debt
(%)
Net operating
Cash flow/Total
Debt (%)
56.09
0
-3.74
1
3.47
2
17.89
27.47
15.35
1.16
14.67
25.21
9.78
12.24
9.23
-3.38
-2.29
Cash Flows
Rate
3
101.44
UQ +
(UQM)/2
4
143.22
73.31
0
88.74
0
96.46
0
1.05
0.00
10.58
13.28
35.84
47.12
1.61
-0.9
1.87
30.7
45.12
0.00
2.46
Co
Value
4.86
TOL/TNW
6.49
Liquidity
Current Ratio
1.30
Debt Coverage
Interest Coverage
1.89
DSCR
1.60
Return On Capital
Employed (%)
23.82
Solvency
Profitability
Parameter
29
Rate
3-4
1.500.50
1.751.00
1.752.00
2.503.50
1.752.50
14-16%
4
<=0.50
0.00
<=1.00,
>0
>=2.00
0.00
>=3.50
2.39
>=2.50
2.70
>=16%
4.00
1.75
Parameter
Impact of contingent liability
Foreign Transaction Risk
Impact of merger/demerger/expansion
on key financials
Cash Flow Adequacy
Future Risk
Comments
Nil as per ABS09
NA
NA
Rate
4.00
NA
NA
2.00
Parameter
Transparency in accounting
Quality of inventory
Realisability of debtors
Quality of
investment/advances made
to group/other companies
Comments
E.A. Patil & Associates audited
books of the company. No
qualifications
Expected variance may be upto
5% of book value
No bifurcation of debtors
available. Expected variance 510% of book value
The co. made investment of Rs.
5cr in & advances Rs.5.91 cr to
Blue Star Buldg. Pvt. Ltd. Which
exceeds TNW
Rate
2.00
3.00
2.00
0.00
Parameters
Net Sales (Rs. Crore)
PBDT Less Non recurring
income/expenditure (Rs.
Crore)
Operating cash flow/Total
debt
Tangible net-worth (Rs.
Crore)
Last
29.78
3.85
Last-1
22.57
3.31
Last-2
18.48
1.32
Last-3
7.83
0.59
RATE
4.00
4.00
0.12
0.14
0.18
0.70
0.00
5.90
3.45
2.51
1.70
4.00
Parameter
Co
Value
LQ-(MLQ)/2
LQ
UQ
1
2
3
Operating leverage
Inventory turnover
Net Sales/Op.
Assets
Raw Material
Consumed/Net
Sales
Credit Period
Allowed
1.32
4.89
1.00
0
2.49
11.70
0.10
1
2.27
13.16
0.15
2
1.84
16.09
0.25
0.51
0.09
0.06
52.70
160.19
129.02
30
Rate
3
1.57
16.48
0.66
UQ +
(UQM)/2
4
1.44
16.68
0.87
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
66.68
20.96
-1.90
2.31
4.00
0.00
4.00
Parameter
Competitive position
Expected sales growth
Comments
Market dominance/Market
share
Rate
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
2.50
3.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
NA
2.00
2.00
NA
2.00
2.00
Others
Threats from environmental
factors
NA
NA
NA
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Achievements
Co value
0
29.78
25.00
RATE
<75%
75%79%
80%89%
90%95%
>95%
4.00
<75%
75%79%
80%89%
90%95%
>95%
4.00
3.05
2.02
Parameter
Management Set up and
Corporate Governance
Commitment and
sincerity
5
6
Comments
Regd. Partnership firm. Experienced
partners.
There are apparently no adverse
features or reasons to doubt the
commitment and sincerity of the
promoters
It is reported that the co. have
implemented the project with small
delay. However most of the projects are
running satisfactorily.
All the debts are repaid in time
Rate
2.00
3.00
2.00
NA
NA
2.00
2.00
Parameter
Preventive monitoring
system rating
Status of account
Operations in account
Submission of financial
data/statements
Comments
Not Applicable
Rate
NA
3.00
2.00
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3.00
PARAMETER
Financial Evaluation
Business& Industry
Evaluation
Management Evaluation
Conduct Evaluation
AGGREGATE SCORE
% score Obtained
38.87%
55.01%
Weight
40%
25%
Weighted Score
15.55%
13.75%
69.32%
66.67%
25%
10%
17.33%
6.67%
53.30%
Score Obtained
Above 80.00
Above 77.50 up to 80.00
Above 72.50 up to 77.50
Above 70.00 up to 72.50
Above 67.50 up to 70.00
Above 62.50 up to 67.50
Above 60.00 up to 62.00
Above 57.50 up to 60.00
Above 52.50 up to 57.50
Above 50.00 up to 52.50
Above 47.50 up to 50.00
Above 42.50 up to 47.50
Above 40.00 up to 42.50
Above 30.00 up to 40.00
30.00 and below
Rating
PNB-AAA
PNB-AA+
PNB-AA
PNB-AAPNB-A+
PNB-A
PNB-APNB-BB+
PNB-BB
PNB-BBPNB-B+
PNB-B
PNB-BPNB-C
PNB-D
Description
Minimum Risk
Marginal Risk
Modest Risk
Average Risk
PNB-BB
Details of any major event, if any, the effect of which are not yet cleared (major damage to
plant/stocks, court judgment on environmental threats, involvement of promoters/company
in excise/FERA/tax-evasion, recovery suit/winding-up petition filed by creditors/FIs/banks,
any civil/criminal proceedings against the promoters/company, change of management etc.)
NA
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Chapter 9 Conclusion
The study at PNB gave a vast learning experience to me and has helped to
enhance my knowledge. During the study I learnt how the theoretical financial
analysis aspects are used in practice during the working capital finance
assessment. I have realized during my project that a credit analyst must own
multi-disciplinary talents like financial, technical as well as legal know-how.
The credit appraisal for working capital finance system has been devised in a
systematic way. There are clear guidelines on how the credit analyst or lending
officer has to analyze a loan proposal. It includes phase-wise analysis which
consists of 5 phases:
Financial statement analysis
Working capital and its assessment techniques
Credit risk assessment
Documentation
Loan administration
Punjab National Bank of Indias adoptions of the Projected Balance Sheet method
of assessment procedures are based on sound principles of lending. This method
of assessment has certain flexibility required to avoid any rigid approach to fixing
quantum of finance. It is superior and more rational compared to the Turnover
Method; Cash Budget Method of assessment .It also facilitates the Bank to carry
on follow up procedures. The PBS method have been rationalized and simplified
to facilitate complete flexibility in decision-making.
To ensure asset quality, proper risk assessment right at the beginning, is
extremely important. That is why Credit Risk Assessment system is an essential
ingredient of the Credit Appraisal exercise. The PNB was the second to formulate
a Credit Risk Assessment model. It considers important parameters like
profitability, repayment capacity, efficiency of the unit, historical / industry
comparisons etc which were not factored in other models. It is equally efficient
as the SIDBIs CART (Credit Assessment and Rating Tool) model.
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Bibliography
Books:
1. Mukherjee D. D.; 2010; Credit Appraisal, Risk Analysis and Decision
Making- 5th edition; Snow White Publications Pvt. Ltd., Mumbai
2. Dr. Chandra Prasanna ; Financial Management Theory and Practice
Websites:
1. http://www.pnbindia.in/
2. http://www.rbi.org.in/home.aspx
Punjab National Bank circulars, manuals and proposals
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