Statistical Methods for Reliability Engineering

Orlando J. Rivera-Anglero
Exercise 1
a.

b.

c.

Starting
Cycle
0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140

Ending
Cycle

Starting
Cycle
0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140

Ending
Cycle

Starting
Cycle
0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140

Ending
Cycle

Starting
Cycle
0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140

Ending
Cycle

0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160

#
Survivors
22
21
19
11
8
5
3
1
0
R

0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160

1
0.954545
0.863636
0.5
0.363636
0.227273
0.136364
0.045455
0
F

0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160

0
0.045455
0.136364
0.5
0.636364
0.772727
0.863636
0.954545
1

d.
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160

0.002273
0.004545
0.018182
0.006818
0.006818
0.004545
0.004545
0.002273

0.002381
0.005263
0.036364
0.01875
0.03
0.033333
0.1

Homework #1

Statistical Methods for Reliability Engineering

Orlando J. Rivera-Anglero

Homework #1

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Exercise 2
Probability Plot for St Cycle
LSXY Estimates-Arbitrary Censoring
Weibull

C orrelation C oefficient
Weibull
0.991
Lognormal
0.983
Exponential
*
Loglogistic
0.983

Lognormal
99

90
P er cent

P er cent

90
50

10

50
10

10

1
10

100

100

St C y cle

St Cy cle

E xponential

Loglogistic
99
90

50

P er cent

P er cent

90

10

50
10

10
St C y cle

1
10

100

100
St Cy cle

Based on the chart above and the correlation coefficient, it is determined that a Weibull
distribution provides the best fit for the data.
Distribution Overview Plot for St Cycle
LSXY Estimates-Arbitrary Censoring
T able of S tatistics
S hape
2.22947
S cale
82.6234
M ean
73.1777
S tDev
34.6962
M edian
70.0983
IQ R
48.4096
A D*
0.703
C orrelation
0.991

Weibull

P robability Density F unction

0.012
90

P DF

P er cent

0.008

0.004

0.000
0

50

100
St C ycle

50

10

150

10

S urv iv al F unction

Hazard F unction

100

0.06

Rate

P er cent

100
St C y cle

50

0.04

0.02
0

0.00
0

50

100
St C ycle

150

50

100
St C y cle

150

Statistical Methods for Reliability Engineering

Orlando J. Rivera-Anglero

Homework #1

Then a Distribution Overview Plot is created to find the missing parameters of the
Weibull distribution equation. It is found the scale = 82.6234 and the shape = 2.22947.
Now we can go into Maple and substitute these values into the equation.

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Statistical Methods for Reliability Engineering

Orlando J. Rivera-Anglero

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Homework #1

Statistical Methods for Reliability Engineering

Orlando J. Rivera-Anglero

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Homework #1

Statistical Methods for Reliability Engineering

Orlando J. Rivera-Anglero

Homework #1

Exercise 3
Refer to Excel file HW1_E3.xls for Monte Carlo simulation results.
Distribution Overview Plot for t
LSXY Estimates-Complete Data
Table of Statistics
S hape
2.21863
S cale
81.0299
M ean
71.7645
S tD ev
34.1753
M edian
68.6911
IQ R
47.6695
F ailure
1000
C ensor
0
A D*
0.456
C orrelation
0.999

Weibull

P robability Density F unction

99.99

0.012

90
50

P DF

P er cent

0.008

0.004

0.000

10
1

0.01

50

100

150

10

t
S urv iv al F unction

H azard F unction

100

0.06

Rate

P er cent

100
t

50

0.04

0.02
0

0.00
0

50

100
t

150

50

100
t

150

Statistical Methods for Reliability Engineering

Orlando J. Rivera-Anglero

Homework #1

When we compare the results obtained from the Excel spread sheet versus the results
obtained from Minitab, it can be seen that the MEAN value is very similar.
Exercise 4
See Maple file HW1_E4.mw for results.
Exercise 5
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Statistical Methods for Reliability Engineering

Orlando J. Rivera-Anglero
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Homework #1