You are on page 1of 427

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.

Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables


May 3-6, 2015
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS IN
COUNTRY ARE GOING/C

RDIRECT

Right
direction

TOTAL

Unsure

TOTAL

Wrong track

26%

10%

65%

1001

Northeast

30%

8%

62%

195

Midwest

23%

12%

66%

181

South

26%

8%

66%

235

South Central

27%

4%

69%

96

Central Plains

26%

17%

57%

83

Mountain States

15%

10%

74%

70

West

28%

12%

61%

141

California

28%

10%

62%

89

Florida

27%

2%

71%

58

Texas

29%

4%

66%

71

New York

31%

5%

64%

56

Rest of country

25%

11%

64%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

25%

11%

64%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

26%

12%

62%

320

No Senate election

26%

7%

67%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

24%

9%

67%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

29%

11%

61%

366

No Gubernatorial election

25%

10%

65%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

24%

7%

69%

241

Other

26%

11%

63%

760

Male

24%

10%

66%

480

Female

27%

10%

63%

521

Male / employed

25%

10%

65%

324

Male / not employed

23%

8%

68%

157

Female / employed

29%

11%

61%

281

Female / not employed

25%

9%

65%

240

Not employed

29%

7%

64%

133

Employed

27%

10%

63%

605

Retired

22%

9%

69%

252

Refused

27%

22%

51%

11

18-34

32%

17%

51%

200

35-44

27%

6%

67%

280

45-64

27%

8%

66%

310

65 or over

17%

11%

72%

200

5%

10%

85%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

Unsure / refused
(cont.)

Page 1

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS IN
COUNTRY ARE GOING/C

RDIRECT

Right
direction

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

Unsure

TOTAL

Wrong track

18-44

29%

10%

60%

480

45-64

27%

8%

66%

310

65+

17%

11%

72%

200

Unsure / refused

5%

10%

85%

10

Male / under 55

29%

9%

62%

302

Male / 55+

17%

10%

73%

179

Female / under 55

32%

9%

59%

315

Female / 55+

20%

11%

70%

205

White

22%

8%

70%

751

Black / African American

48%

10%

42%

120

Hispanic / Latino

31%

19%

50%

90

Other

22%

13%

64%

40

White millenials 18-34

31%

12%

57%

128

White older voters 35+

20%

8%

72%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

47%

26%

27%

24

African American older


voters 35+

48%

6%

46%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

28%

28%

44%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

33%

12%

55%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

33%

15%

52%

Other races older voters


35+

20%

13%

67%

32

White seniors

17%

9%

75%

255

Other

29%

10%

61%

746

White men

22%

7%

71%

368

White women

22%

9%

69%

382

Black men

43%

14%

43%

50

Black women

52%

7%

41%

70

Hispanic men

32%

25%

42%

42

Hispanic women

29%

14%

56%

48

Republican

8%

5%

87%

390

Independent

18%

12%

70%

190

Democrat

46%

13%

41%

420

Male / GOP

9%

5%

86%

214

Female / GOP

6%

6%

88%

176

Male / DEM

48%

15%

37%

161

Female / DEM

44%

12%

44%

259

Male / IND

19%

11%

71%

105

Female / IND

17%

13%

70%

85

(cont.)

Page 2

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS IN
COUNTRY ARE GOING/C

RDIRECT

Right
direction

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

Unsure

TOTAL

Wrong track

Under 55 / GOP

9%

6%

85%

223

55 & over / GOP

6%

5%

90%

168

Under 55 / DEM

52%

11%

37%

269

55 & over / DEM

35%

17%

48%

151

Under 55 / IND

21%

12%

67%

125

55 & over / IND

13%

10%

77%

65

8%

4%

88%

448

Ticket splitter

14%

22%

64%

61

Democrat

43%

13%

43%

492

Hard GOP

7%

4%

88%

360

Soft GOP

7%

7%

86%

92

Ticket splitter

21%

17%

62%

64

Soft DEM

26%

16%

58%

84

Hard DEM

47%

13%

40%

401

Conservative

12%

5%

83%

536

Moderate

16%

20%

64%

76

Liberal

46%

14%

40%

389

Republican

Very conservative

8%

3%

88%

187

Somewhat conservative

14%

7%

79%

348

Moderate / liberal

41%

15%

44%

465

Republican

8%

5%

87%

390

Independent

18%

12%

70%

190

Conservative DEM

35%

5%

60%

103

Mod / lib DEM

49%

16%

35%

318

Liberal DEM

50%

14%

36%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

30%

11%

59%

157

Independent

14%

22%

64%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

18%

6%

77%

69

Conservative GOP

6%

4%

90%

379

Yes / strongly

7%

3%

89%

93

Yes

3%

2%

95%

68

No / unsure

30%

11%

59%

840

Less than high school

28%

18%

54%

53

High school graduate

19%

13%

68%

227

Some college

25%

9%

66%

219

College graduate

29%

8%

63%

503

Male college graduates

27%

8%

65%

248

Male non-college
graduates

21%

12%

67%

232

Female college graduates

30%

8%

61%

254

Female non-college
graduates

24%

12%

64%

266

(cont.)

Page 3

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS IN
COUNTRY ARE GOING/C

RDIRECT

Right
direction

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

Unsure

TOTAL

Wrong track

White non-college
graduate

16%

10%

74%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

38%

16%

46%

149

Others

29%

8%

63%

503

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

30%

8%

63%

127

Non-union household

25%

10%

65%

874

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

32%

14%

54%

215

Married

25%

7%

67%

607

No longer married

21%

12%

67%

179

Dad

25%

9%

67%

171

Mom

30%

9%

61%

203

Married / children

28%

9%

64%

299

Married / no children

23%

6%

71%

308

Divorced / children

14%

19%

67%

22

Divorced / no children

29%

8%

63%

60

Single / children

34%

6%

60%

42

Single / no children

31%

16%

53%

173

Other / mixed

18%

13%

69%

97

Single women

34%

16%

49%

98

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

Married women

27%

7%

66%

304

No longer married women

20%

12%

68%

118

Single men

29%

12%

58%

117

Married men

23%

8%

69%

302

No longer married men

22%

12%

66%

61

White single men

23%

8%

70%

75

White single women

27%

15%

58%

46

White married men

21%

6%

72%

244

White married women

23%

8%

69%

243

White no longer married


men

22%

10%

68%

49

White no longer married


women

16%

11%

73%

93

Other

38%

14%

48%

250

Single mothers

38%

8%

54%

30

Married mothers

30%

9%

61%

150

No longer married
mothers

21%

12%

67%

23

Non-mothers

25%

10%

65%

798

(cont.)

Page 4

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS IN
COUNTRY ARE GOING/C

RDIRECT

Right
direction

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

Unsure

TOTAL

Wrong track

Upper class

42%

4%

54%

73

Middle class

26%

8%

66%

696

Low income

22%

16%

62%

205

Working class

11%

22%

68%

Refused

16%

21%

63%

20

Middle class whites

22%

7%

71%

551

Middle class African


Americans

50%

6%

44%

63

Middle class Hispanics

30%

15%

55%

57

Middle class other races

28%

17%

55%

25

Other

26%

13%

60%

305

Roman Catholic

28%

8%

64%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

17%

8%

75%

185

Mainline Protestant

20%

9%

71%

280

Other

30%

17%

53%

45

None

36%

11%

53%

262

At least once a week

18%

8%

74%

336

At least once a month

24%

8%

68%

157

Infrequently

30%

7%

63%

191

Never

19%

21%

60%

44

Active Roman Catholics

28%

11%

61%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

11%

6%

83%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

16%

8%

76%

131

Active other

26%

10%

64%

17

Other

30%

11%

60%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

19%

5%

76%

133

Male not evangelical

26%

11%

62%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

21%

7%

72%

179

Female not evangelical

30%

11%

58%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

12%

6%

82%

222

Non-white Evangelical

40%

7%

53%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

7%

4%

88%

166

69%

51

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

Non-white conservative
Christians

31%

White non-conservative
Christians

25%

11%

64%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

53%

16%

31%

39

(cont.)

Page 5

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS IN
COUNTRY ARE GOING/C

RDIRECT

Right
direction

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

51%

13%

36%

453

Unsure

20%

30%

50%

62

3%

5%

93%

487

Jobs

37%

12%

51%

135

Economy

30%

5%

65%

228

Health care

46%

10%

45%

99

Illegal immigration

15%

4%

81%

78

Foreign threats

16%

11%

73%

116

Deficit

16%

17%

67%

76

Other

19%

12%

69%

268

Cutting taxes

11%

7%

82%

71

Reducing deficit

15%

6%

79%

126

Creating jobs

28%

12%

60%

203

Increase wages

42%

10%

48%

132

Healthcare costs

25%

11%

64%

98

Retirement

21%

20%

59%

41

Higher education

42%

15%

43%

101

9%

5%

86%

65

Regulations
Combination

21%

6%

72%

141

None

42%

2%

56%

11

6%

17%

78%

12

Views close to own

31%

5%

63%

352

Most effective person

22%

11%

67%

571

Both

27%

12%

61%

48

Unsure

21%

37%

42%

30

Very worried

10%

6%

84%

318

Somewhat worried

25%

10%

65%

405

Not too worried

45%

13%

41%

214

Not at all worried

43%

13%

44%

56

42%

58%

Unsure
CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Wrong track

Approve

Disapprove
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Unsure

TOTAL

Combination
Unsure

36%

34%

30%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

48%

10%

42%

245

Unsure

29%

30%

42%

63

No

18%

8%

75%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

36%

12%

52%

510

Unsure

23%

20%

57%

85

Disapprove

14%

5%

82%

406

(cont.)

Page 6

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS IN
COUNTRY ARE GOING/C

RDIRECT

Right
direction

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Very worried

6%

86%

112

Somewhat worried

14%

7%

79%

283

Not too worried

31%

10%

59%

341

Not at all worried

40%

13%

47%

258

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

100%

Unsure

49%

15%

37%

Yes

27%

6%

67%

645

No

23%

16%

61%

356

Approve

48%

9%

43%

295

Unsure

15%

19%

66%

45

9%

2%

89%

306

Yes

33%

10%

57%

628

No

12%

8%

81%

245

Not sure

17%

10%

73%

128

4 of 4

70%

6%

24%

26

3 of 4

64%

11%

25%

112

2 of 4

46%

11%

43%

221

1 of 4

20%

14%

65%

214

0 of 4

5%

7%

88%

427

5-7 of 7

7%

2%

91%

150

4 of 7

12%

3%

84%

96

3 of 7

11%

6%

84%

91

2 of 7

20%

8%

72%

87

Disapprove
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

Wrong track

8%

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

Unsure

TOTAL

1 of 7

24%

15%

61%

164

0 of 7

41%

13%

46%

413

26%

10%

65%

1001

Page 7

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

RBHOJA

Approve

TOTAL

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

45%

6%

49%

1001

Northeast

53%

4%

42%

195

Midwest

46%

5%

49%

181

South

40%

6%

54%

235

South Central

45%

6%

49%

96

Central Plains

39%

13%

48%

83

Mountain States

30%

4%

66%

70

West

53%

7%

40%

141

California

52%

6%

42%

89

Florida

49%

3%

48%

58

Texas

50%

4%

45%

71

New York

61%

3%

36%

56

Rest of country

42%

7%

51%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

41%

8%

51%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

45%

6%

49%

320

No Senate election

47%

5%

47%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

42%

7%

51%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

50%

6%

44%

366

No Gubernatorial election

43%

5%

52%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

41%

5%

53%

241

Other

47%

6%

47%

760

Male

40%

6%

54%

480

Female

50%

6%

44%

521

Male / employed

39%

6%

55%

324

Male / not employed

43%

6%

52%

157

Female / employed

50%

6%

44%

281

Female / not employed

50%

7%

44%

240

Not employed

54%

6%

40%

133

Employed

44%

6%

50%

605

Retired

44%

5%

51%

252

Refused

24%

34%

43%

11

18-34

52%

11%

37%

200

35-44

44%

5%

51%

280

45-64

48%

5%

47%

310

65 or over

36%

5%

59%

200

Unsure / refused

20%

11%

68%

10

18-44

47%

7%

45%

480

45-64

48%

5%

47%

310

65+

36%

5%

59%

200

Unsure / refused

20%

11%

68%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 8

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

RBHOJA

Approve

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

Male / under 55

42%

6%

51%

302

Male / 55+

37%

5%

58%

179

Female / under 55

53%

7%

40%

315

Female / 55+

44%

6%

50%

205

White

37%

6%

57%

751

Black / African American

90%

3%

7%

120

Hispanic / Latino

57%

12%

32%

90

Other

46%

8%

46%

40

White millenials 18-34

43%

10%

47%

128

White older voters 35+

35%

5%

60%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

84%

10%

6%

24

African American older


voters 35+

92%

1%

7%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

57%

16%

27%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

56%

8%

36%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

63%

6%

31%

Other races older voters


35+

42%

8%

50%

32

White seniors

34%

6%

61%

255

Other

49%

6%

45%

746

White men

34%

5%

61%

368

White women

39%

6%

54%

382

Black men

86%

14%

50

Black women

93%

5%

2%

70

Hispanic men

47%

14%

39%

42

Hispanic women

64%

10%

26%

48

Republican

9%

6%

85%

390

Independent

35%

8%

57%

190

Democrat

84%

5%

11%

420

Male / GOP

10%

6%

85%

214

8%

7%

85%

176

Male / DEM

87%

5%

9%

161

Female / DEM

82%

5%

13%

259

Male / IND

32%

8%

60%

105

Female / IND

39%

9%

52%

85

Under 55 / GOP

11%

8%

82%

223

55 & over / GOP

6%

4%

89%

168

Under 55 / DEM

85%

5%

11%

269

55 & over / DEM

82%

6%

12%

151

Under 55 / IND

35%

9%

56%

125

55 & over / IND

34%

8%

58%

65

Female / GOP

(cont.)

Page 9

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

RBHOJA

Approve

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

Republican

RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Disapprove

9%

5%

86%

448

Ticket splitter

25%

18%

56%

61

Democrat

80%

6%

14%

492

Hard GOP

8%

5%

87%

360

Soft GOP

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

Unsure

TOTAL

8%

8%

84%

92

Ticket splitter

31%

18%

50%

64

Soft DEM

66%

5%

29%

84

Hard DEM

85%

5%

10%

401

Conservative

22%

5%

73%

536

Moderate

38%

12%

50%

76

Liberal

79%

6%

15%

389

Very conservative

17%

3%

80%

187

Somewhat conservative

25%

6%

69%

348

Moderate / liberal

72%

7%

21%

465

Republican

9%

6%

85%

390

Independent

35%

8%

57%

190

Conservative DEM

74%

5%

21%

103

Mod / lib DEM

87%

5%

8%

318

Liberal DEM

86%

5%

9%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

68%

8%

25%

157

Independent

25%

18%

56%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

23%

10%

68%

69

Conservative GOP

7%

4%

89%

379

Yes / strongly

8%

4%

88%

93

Yes

6%

2%

91%

68

No / unsure

52%

7%

41%

840

Less than high school

42%

12%

46%

53

High school graduate

41%

7%

52%

227

Some college

45%

6%

50%

219

College graduate

48%

5%

47%

503

Male college graduates

42%

6%

52%

248

Male non-college
graduates

38%

6%

56%

232

Female college graduates

53%

5%

42%

254

Female non-college
graduates

47%

8%

46%

266

White non-college
graduate

29%

7%

64%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

75%

6%

19%

149

Others

48%

5%

47%

503

Union household

57%

6%

38%

127

Non-union household

44%

6%

50%

874

(cont.)

Page 10

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

RBHOJA

Approve

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

Single

63%

9%

28%

215

Married

38%

6%

57%

607

No longer married

50%

5%

46%

179

Dad

31%

9%

60%

171

Mom

51%

6%

43%

203

Married / children

40%

8%

53%

299

Married / no children

36%

4%

61%

308

Divorced / children

39%

61%

22

Divorced / no children

59%

1%

40%

60

Single / children

62%

5%

33%

42

Single / no children

63%

10%

27%

173

Other / mixed

46%

8%

46%

97

Single women

68%

13%

19%

98

Married women

44%

5%

52%

304

No longer married women

49%

6%

45%

118

Single men

59%

5%

36%

117

Married men

31%

7%

62%

302

No longer married men

50%

2%

48%

61

White single men

52%

4%

44%

75

White single women

50%

15%

34%

46

White married men

26%

6%

67%

244

White married women

37%

4%

59%

243

White no longer married


men

45%

3%

52%

49

White no longer married


women

39%

7%

54%

93

Other

71%

7%

22%

250

Single mothers

73%

3%

23%

30

Married mothers

49%

6%

44%

150

No longer married
mothers

36%

3%

62%

23

Non-mothers

44%

6%

50%

798

Upper class

54%

1%

45%

73

Middle class

43%

5%

52%

696

Low income

51%

8%

41%

205

Working class

38%

22%

40%

Refused

39%

29%

32%

20

Middle class whites

35%

5%

60%

551

Middle class African


Americans

92%

2%

6%

63

Middle class Hispanics

57%

9%

34%

57

Middle class other races

59%

3%

38%

25

Other

50%

8%

41%

305

(cont.)

Page 11

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

RBHOJA

Approve

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

Roman Catholic

43%

7%

50%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

33%

6%

60%

185

Mainline Protestant

36%

5%

58%

280

Other

50%

1%

49%

45

None

64%

6%

29%

262

At least once a week

34%

6%

60%

336

At least once a month

41%

5%

55%

157

Infrequently

46%

6%

48%

191

Never

44%

6%

50%

44

Active Roman Catholics

45%

9%

46%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

25%

6%

69%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

33%

5%

61%

131

Active other

35%

65%

17

Other

51%

6%

43%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

27%

2%

71%

133

Male not evangelical

45%

7%

47%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

36%

7%

57%

179

Female not evangelical

57%

6%

37%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

16%

5%

79%

222

Non-white Evangelical

73%

5%

22%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

7%

4%

89%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

66%

1%

33%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

44%

8%

48%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

81%

10%

8%

39

Jobs

62%

8%

30%

135

Economy

54%

5%

41%

228

Health care

68%

3%

29%

99

Illegal immigration

20%

5%

75%

78

RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Foreign threats

32%

6%

62%

116

Deficit

22%

13%

65%

76

Other

40%

6%

54%

268

(cont.)

Page 12

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

RBHOJA

Approve

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Disapprove

Cutting taxes

35%

3%

62%

71

Reducing deficit

20%

10%

70%

126

Creating jobs

51%

7%

42%

203

Increase wages

79%

5%

16%

132

Healthcare costs

35%

6%

59%

98

Retirement

53%

4%

42%

41

Higher education

72%

2%

26%

101

Regulations

12%

4%

85%

65

Combination

36%

9%

55%

141

None

63%

37%

11

Unsure
CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Unsure

TOTAL

5%

10%

85%

12

Views close to own

46%

4%

49%

352

Most effective person

45%

7%

48%

571

Both

43%

4%

52%

48

Unsure

39%

17%

44%

30

Very worried

26%

6%

68%

318

Somewhat worried

45%

5%

50%

405

Not too worried

69%

9%

22%

214

61%

3%

36%

56

Not at all worried


Combination

100%

Unsure

65%

5%

30%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

69%

7%

25%

245

Unsure

53%

12%

35%

63

No

36%

5%

58%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

59%

7%

34%

510

Unsure

57%

15%

28%

85

Disapprove

25%

3%

72%

406

Very worried

25%

4%

71%

112

Somewhat worried

34%

7%

58%

283

Not too worried

46%

4%

50%

341

Not at all worried

65%

7%

28%

258

100%

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

Unsure

49%

21%

31%

Yes

44%

4%

51%

645

No

47%

10%

44%

356

Approve

76%

6%

18%

295

Unsure

40%

6%

54%

45

Disapprove

14%

2%

84%

306

(cont.)

Page 13

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RBHOJA BARACK OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

RBHOJA

Approve

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

Yes

55%

7%

38%

628

No

25%

4%

71%

245

Not sure

37%

6%

57%

128

4 of 4

96%

4%

3 of 4

94%

5%

1%

112

2 of 4

79%

5%

16%

221

1 of 4

52%

9%

39%

214

0 of 4

8%

5%

86%

427

5-7 of 7

8%

2%

90%

150

4 of 7

8%

7%

85%

96

3 of 7

18%

2%

80%

91

2 of 7

37%

6%

57%

87

1 of 7

48%

8%

44%

164

0 of 7

74%

8%

18%

413

45%

6%

49%

1001

26

Page 14

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C

RMIIP
Jobs

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

Economy

Health care

Illegal
immigration

Foreign
threats

Deficit

TOTAL
Other

13%

23%

10%

8%

12%

8%

27%

1001

Northeast

11%

24%

12%

4%

11%

9%

30%

195

Midwest

14%

22%

8%

7%

12%

8%

30%

181

South

16%

18%

14%

6%

14%

9%

24%

235

South Central

6%

31%

7%

11%

10%

3%

33%

96

Central Plains

18%

25%

9%

8%

14%

2%

23%

83

Mountain States

20%

28%

1%

14%

7%

10%

20%

70

West

11%

22%

9%

12%

11%

10%

25%

141

California

15%

18%

5%

17%

11%

11%

22%

89

Florida

20%

18%

11%

2%

11%

9%

29%

58

Texas

1%

37%

6%

11%

8%

4%

33%

71

New York

10%

36%

6%

1%

17%

4%

26%

56

Rest of country

14%

21%

11%

7%

12%

8%

27%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

10%

24%

11%

9%

11%

8%

26%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

13%

26%

12%

7%

13%

5%

24%

320

No Senate election

16%

20%

8%

8%

11%

9%

29%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

13%

23%

9%

10%

11%

8%

26%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

13%

25%

8%

7%

13%

7%

28%

366

No Gubernatorial election

15%

20%

15%

5%

11%

7%

27%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

14%

20%

11%

5%

15%

7%

28%

241

Other

13%

24%

9%

9%

11%

8%

26%

760

Male

14%

22%

8%

8%

10%

9%

29%

480

Female

13%

23%

12%

8%

13%

6%

25%

521

Male / employed

13%

23%

8%

7%

10%

10%

28%

324

Male / not employed

15%

20%

7%

10%

9%

8%

30%

157

Female / employed

14%

25%

13%

6%

13%

8%

21%

281

Female / not employed

12%

21%

12%

10%

13%

4%

29%

240

Not employed

13%

25%

13%

8%

10%

4%

27%

133

Employed

14%

24%

10%

7%

12%

9%

25%

605

Retired

14%

18%

8%

11%

13%

6%

31%

252

Refused

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

6%

25%

16%

5%

5%

18%

25%

11

18-34

12%

26%

7%

5%

12%

13%

23%

200

35-44

13%

29%

12%

5%

10%

6%

25%

280

45-64

15%

20%

11%

9%

13%

6%

27%

310

65 or over

13%

17%

8%

12%

12%

6%

32%

200

Unsure / refused

30%

7%

18%

6%

40%

10

18-44

13%

28%

10%

5%

11%

9%

24%

480

45-64

15%

20%

11%

9%

13%

6%

27%

310

65+

13%

17%

8%

12%

12%

6%

32%

200

Unsure / refused

30%

7%

18%

6%

40%

10

(cont.)

Page 15

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C

RMIIP
Jobs

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

TOTAL
Other

6%

10%

10%

27%

302

Male / 55+

13%

17%

8%

11%

10%

9%

32%

179

Female / under 55

13%

28%

14%

6%

13%

8%

18%

315

Female / 55+

14%

16%

9%

10%

13%

4%

35%

205

White

12%

21%

10%

8%

13%

8%

27%

751

Black / African American

20%

33%

13%

3%

3%

5%

23%

120

Hispanic / Latino

15%

20%

7%

8%

14%

8%

28%

90

9%

34%

9%

10%

5%

3%

29%

40

White millenials 18-34

11%

25%

9%

4%

17%

15%

19%

128

White older voters 35+

13%

20%

10%

9%

12%

7%

29%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

20%

43%

16%

20%

24

African American older


voters 35+

20%

30%

16%

4%

4%

2%

24%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

13%

18%

4%

12%

5%

9%

38%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

16%

21%

9%

4%

22%

7%

20%

49

6%

45%

15%

6%

29%

Other races older voters


35+

10%

32%

8%

12%

7%

2%

29%

32

White seniors

13%

16%

8%

12%

13%

6%

32%

255

Other

14%

25%

11%

6%

11%

8%

25%

746

White men

14%

21%

7%

8%

10%

10%

30%

368

White women

11%

21%

13%

9%

16%

6%

24%

382

Black men

22%

30%

12%

6%

6%

4%

20%

50

Black women

19%

34%

13%

1%

2%

5%

25%

70

6%

25%

10%

2%

17%

10%

30%

42

23%

15%

4%

13%

12%

6%

27%

48

Republican

9%

19%

6%

12%

18%

9%

26%

390

Independent

10%

23%

7%

7%

11%

12%

32%

190

Democrat

19%

26%

15%

4%

6%

4%

26%

420

Male / GOP

12%

19%

3%

12%

15%

11%

28%

214

7%

19%

9%

13%

23%

7%

23%

176

Male / DEM

21%

26%

14%

3%

4%

4%

28%

161

Female / DEM

18%

26%

16%

5%

7%

4%

24%

259

Female / GOP

Male / IND

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

Deficit

7%

Hispanic women

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

Foreign
threats

26%

Hispanic men

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

Illegal
immigration

14%

Other races millenials


18-34

WHITE SENIORS

Health care

Male / under 55

Other
AGE AND RACE

Economy

8%

23%

7%

7%

10%

13%

33%

105

Female / IND

12%

23%

6%

7%

11%

10%

30%

85

Under 55 / GOP

10%

24%

6%

9%

19%

11%

22%

223

55 & over / GOP

9%

13%

6%

17%

18%

7%

31%

168

Under 55 / DEM

18%

30%

16%

4%

6%

6%

20%

269

55 & over / DEM

20%

19%

15%

4%

5%

2%

35%

151

Under 55 / IND

10%

25%

9%

6%

10%

11%

29%

125

55 & over / IND

9%

20%

2%

8%

12%

13%

36%

65

(cont.)

Page 16

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C

RMIIP
Jobs

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Health care

Illegal
immigration

8%

20%

5%

13%

17%

11%

26%

448

Ticket splitter

15%

14%

6%

6%

10%

4%

45%

61

Democrat

18%

27%

15%

4%

7%

5%

25%

492

Hard GOP

8%

19%

6%

13%

19%

9%

26%

360

Soft GOP

10%

16%

4%

10%

15%

15%

31%

92

Ticket splitter

17%

29%

2%

7%

8%

6%

32%

64

Soft DEM

10%

26%

12%

2%

8%

13%

29%

84

Hard DEM

19%

26%

16%

4%

6%

4%

25%

401

Conservative

12%

21%

7%

10%

15%

9%

26%

536

Moderate

16%

18%

8%

7%

6%

9%

36%

76

Liberal

15%

26%

15%

4%

8%

6%

26%

389

Very conservative

13%

13%

7%

12%

15%

11%

29%

187

Somewhat conservative

11%

25%

6%

10%

15%

8%

24%

348

Moderate / liberal

Republican

Foreign
threats

Deficit

TOTAL

Economy

Other

15%

25%

14%

5%

7%

6%

28%

465

Republican

9%

19%

6%

12%

18%

9%

26%

390

Independent

10%

23%

7%

7%

11%

12%

32%

190

Conservative DEM

22%

24%

15%

8%

5%

4%

23%

103

Mod / lib DEM

18%

27%

15%

3%

6%

4%

27%

318

Liberal DEM

16%

28%

16%

3%

7%

5%

26%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

23%

24%

12%

6%

7%

5%

23%

157

Independent

15%

14%

6%

6%

10%

4%

45%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

9%

25%

5%

15%

11%

9%

27%

69

Conservative GOP

8%

19%

5%

12%

18%

11%

26%

379

Yes / strongly

13%

19%

1%

15%

15%

6%

32%

93

Yes

10%

23%

10%

19%

15%

23%

68

No / unsure

14%

23%

12%

7%

11%

7%

26%

840

Less than high school

27%

19%

7%

7%

13%

4%

22%

53

High school graduate

13%

15%

10%

10%

15%

7%

30%

227

Some college

13%

24%

9%

10%

12%

8%

24%

219

College graduate

12%

26%

11%

6%

10%

8%

27%

503

Male college graduates

13%

22%

12%

6%

8%

10%

29%

248

Male non-college
graduates

15%

22%

3%

11%

13%

8%

29%

232

Female college graduates

12%

29%

9%

6%

13%

6%

24%

254

Female non-college
graduates

14%

17%

15%

9%

13%

6%

25%

266

White non-college
graduate

12%

18%

9%

11%

15%

8%

27%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

21%

24%

9%

7%

9%

4%

26%

149

Others

12%

26%

11%

6%

10%

8%

27%

503

Union household

18%

17%

6%

6%

15%

6%

33%

127

Non-union household

13%

24%

11%

8%

11%

8%

26%

874

(cont.)

Page 17

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C

RMIIP
Jobs

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

Economy

Health care

Illegal
immigration

Foreign
threats

Deficit

TOTAL
Other

Single

17%

30%

8%

5%

8%

7%

25%

215

Married

13%

22%

10%

8%

13%

8%

26%

607

No longer married

13%

18%

11%

9%

11%

7%

31%

179

Dad

12%

19%

7%

8%

10%

10%

34%

171

Mom

11%

27%

15%

6%

15%

7%

19%

203

Married / children

11%

22%

11%

8%

14%

8%

26%

299

Married / no children

14%

21%

10%

9%

12%

8%

27%

308

Divorced / children

13%

10%

35%

21%

22%

22

Divorced / no children

17%

17%

8%

12%

13%

3%

30%

60

Single / children

12%

33%

7%

3%

9%

4%

32%

42

Single / no children

18%

30%

8%

5%

8%

8%

23%

173

Other / mixed

10%

20%

8%

10%

13%

6%

33%

97

Single women

21%

30%

8%

5%

7%

5%

24%

98

Married women

11%

24%

12%

8%

16%

7%

23%

304

No longer married women

12%

16%

15%

9%

12%

5%

31%

118

Single men

13%

31%

8%

5%

9%

9%

25%

117

Married men

14%

19%

8%

9%

10%

9%

30%

302

No longer married men

14%

21%

4%

10%

10%

10%

31%

61

White single men

13%

26%

10%

5%

6%

10%

31%

75

White single women

23%

34%

6%

4%

9%

2%

21%

46

White married men

14%

18%

8%

9%

11%

10%

30%

244

White married women

11%

22%

12%

8%

17%

7%

22%

243

White no longer married


men

14%

23%

11%

12%

12%

27%

49

White no longer married


women

7%

12%

18%

11%

14%

6%

32%

93

Other

17%

28%

10%

6%

8%

6%

26%

250

Single mothers

13%

33%

10%

4%

7%

5%

29%

30

Married mothers

11%

26%

14%

7%

18%

7%

17%

150

No longer married
mothers

8%

23%

33%

4%

3%

9%

21%

23

Non-mothers

14%

22%

9%

8%

11%

8%

29%

798

Upper class

5%

41%

17%

6%

4%

3%

24%

73

Middle class

13%

23%

9%

8%

12%

9%

26%

696

Low income

17%

18%

13%

6%

13%

4%

29%

205

Working class

22%

11%

68%

Refused

18%

14%

2%

14%

7%

13%

32%

20

Middle class whites

13%

21%

9%

9%

14%

10%

25%

551

Middle class African


Americans

14%

36%

13%

4%

2%

4%

27%

63

Middle class Hispanics

12%

19%

4%

11%

14%

12%

28%

57

Middle class other races

7%

35%

12%

4%

5%

3%

34%

25

14%

23%

13%

7%

10%

4%

29%

305

Other
(cont.)

Page 18

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C

RMIIP
Jobs

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

Health care

Illegal
immigration

15%

18%

11%

11%

14%

9%

22%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

9%

18%

8%

9%

15%

6%

35%

185

Mainline Protestant

14%

22%

10%

8%

13%

10%

22%

280

Other

14%

27%

7%

10%

6%

36%

45

None

16%

30%

11%

6%

5%

5%

26%

262

At least once a week

13%

19%

10%

10%

16%

8%

25%

336

At least once a month

9%

25%

9%

4%

14%

10%

30%

157

Infrequently

13%

22%

10%

10%

11%

8%

26%

191

Never

24%

9%

15%

7%

5%

2%

38%

44

Active Roman Catholics

15%

13%

10%

13%

21%

10%

17%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

10%

19%

7%

9%

18%

7%

31%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

14%

21%

12%

10%

12%

8%

24%

131

Active other

10%

26%

12%

10%

14%

27%

17

Other

14%

25%

10%

7%

10%

7%

28%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

10%

19%

5%

12%

14%

12%

29%

133

Male not evangelical

15%

24%

9%

7%

9%

8%

29%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

10%

19%

13%

10%

13%

6%

28%

179

Female not evangelical

15%

26%

11%

6%

13%

6%

23%

342

7%

17%

10%

11%

17%

9%

29%

222

19%

23%

9%

10%

6%

7%

27%

90

5%

16%

8%

12%

18%

12%

29%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

19%

19%

11%

13%

4%

2%

32%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

12%

22%

17%

8%

12%

2%

28%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

18%

28%

6%

7%

9%

13%

20%

39

Approve

18%

27%

15%

4%

8%

4%

24%

453

Unsure

17%

19%

4%

6%

12%

17%

26%

62

8%

19%

6%

12%

15%

10%

30%

487

Roman Catholic

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

Non-white Evangelical

Disapprove

Foreign
threats

Deficit

TOTAL

Economy

Other

(cont.)

Page 19

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C

RMIIP
Jobs

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Health care

Illegal
immigration

14%

25%

4%

11%

18%

2%

26%

71

7%

17%

3%

11%

19%

26%

17%

126

Creating jobs

24%

30%

10%

8%

9%

3%

17%

203

Increase wages

23%

28%

16%

3%

5%

4%

22%

132

Healthcare costs

5%

15%

25%

14%

13%

4%

24%

98

Retirement

8%

17%

10%

9%

30%

1%

25%

41

Higher education

11%

26%

14%

4%

15%

11%

19%

101

Regulations

13%

20%

9%

12%

12%

14%

20%

65

Combination

7%

17%

2%

4%

3%

4%

63%

141

None

2%

41%

39%

11

Unsure

3%

12%

2%

16%

17%

5%

46%

12

Views close to own

13%

22%

11%

9%

13%

8%

24%

352

Most effective person

14%

23%

10%

8%

11%

7%

27%

571

Cutting taxes
Reducing deficit

Both

Foreign
threats

18%

6%

34%

3%

2%

9%

5%

41%

48

15%

10%

15%

3%

11%

6%

40%

30

Very worried

13%

19%

8%

9%

12%

8%

31%

318

Somewhat worried

12%

24%

9%

8%

14%

7%

25%

405

Not too worried

17%

24%

14%

6%

9%

7%

23%

214

8%

31%

13%

6%

6%

14%

22%

56

42%

96%

8
245

Combination
Unsure

58%
3%

2%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

No

12%

21%

10%

9%

13%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

14%

27%

13%

6%

9%

Unsure

15%

26%

10%

3%

Disapprove

12%

17%

6%

11%

Very worried

13%

12%

11%

Somewhat worried

11%

19%

7%

Not too worried

15%

26%

Not at all worried

15%

29%

Unsure

18%

26%

11%

7%

10%

6%

22%

9%

29%

3%

4%

9%

4%

42%

63

9%

27%

693

8%

22%

510

6%

8%

32%

85

16%

7%

31%

406

13%

9%

8%

34%

112

10%

18%

6%

29%

283

10%

7%

12%

8%

23%

341

13%

5%

6%

9%

24%

258

100%

91%

Combination
Unsure
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT
IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

Other

Unsure

Not at all worried

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Deficit

TOTAL

Economy

9%

Yes

14%

24%

8%

8%

14%

7%

25%

645

No

12%

21%

14%

7%

7%

9%

30%

356

Approve

18%

28%

11%

3%

9%

6%

24%

295

Unsure

27%

12%

9%

4%

9%

7%

33%

45

9%

21%

5%

14%

20%

8%

25%

306

Disapprove
(cont.)

Page 20

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMIIP MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE FOR NEXT PRESIDENT/C

RMIIP
Jobs

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

Economy

Health care

Illegal
immigration

Foreign
threats

Deficit

TOTAL
Other

Yes

13%

28%

11%

6%

11%

7%

23%

628

No

12%

13%

8%

13%

13%

7%

34%

245

Not sure

17%

15%

9%

7%

12%

10%

30%

128

4 of 4

21%

42%

15%

5%

17%

26

3 of 4

20%

23%

22%

2%

4%

6%

23%

112

2 of 4

15%

33%

14%

4%

6%

4%

25%

221

1 of 4

19%

16%

9%

8%

15%

9%

25%

214

0 of 4

7%

20%

5%

12%

16%

10%

30%

427

5-7 of 7

9%

16%

2%

12%

22%

11%

27%

150

4 of 7

4%

20%

6%

11%

10%

15%

34%

96

3 of 7

10%

21%

10%

11%

17%

10%

22%

91

2 of 7

12%

17%

9%

14%

11%

5%

32%

87

1 of 7

18%

22%

11%

8%

13%

10%

19%

164

0 of 7

17%

28%

13%

4%

6%

4%

28%

413

13%

23%

10%

8%

12%

8%

27%

1001

Page 21

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON

MEIP
Cutting taxes

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

Reducing
deficit

Creating jobs

Increase
wages

Healthcare
costs

Retirement

Higher
education

Regulations Combination

7%

13%

20%

13%

10%

4%

10%

7%

14%

Northeast

9%

15%

16%

15%

10%

3%

10%

4%

17%

Midwest

7%

12%

22%

7%

9%

6%

10%

8%

16%

South

7%

8%

23%

14%

9%

4%

7%

10%

15%

South Central

11%

17%

15%

13%

11%

2%

13%

1%

12%

Central Plains

2%

10%

27%

18%

13%

2%

8%

4%

14%

Mountain States

9%

18%

16%

15%

12%

7%

7%

4%

11%

West

4%

15%

20%

13%

8%

4%

17%

9%

10%

California

5%

18%

22%

10%

8%

4%

14%

7%

11%

Florida

9%

4%

18%

8%

8%

9%

9%

10%

22%

Texas

9%

13%

13%

12%

12%

3%

14%

2%

16%

15%

13%

12%

12%

10%

3%

11%

Rest of country

6%

13%

22%

14%

10%

4%

9%

7%

13%

GOP held seat up in 2014

8%

13%

19%

16%

9%

3%

9%

6%

14%

DEM held seat up in 2014

6%

12%

27%

12%

11%

4%

10%

7%

10%

No Senate election

8%

13%

16%

13%

9%

5%

11%

6%

17%

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

9%

11%

18%

14%

11%

4%

9%

5%

15%

DEM held seat up in 2014

6%

13%

23%

11%

8%

4%

10%

8%

16%

No Gubernatorial election

5%

14%

20%

15%

10%

4%

11%

8%

10%

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

8%

11%

24%

14%

9%

5%

6%

8%

14%

Other

7%

13%

19%

13%

10%

4%

11%

6%

14%

Male

8%

16%

20%

10%

8%

4%

9%

8%

14%

Female

6%

10%

20%

16%

11%

4%

11%

5%

14%

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

New York

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

Male / employed

22%

10%

17%

18%

13%

8%

4%

6%

9%

12%

Male / not employed

6%

13%

25%

6%

7%

3%

14%

7%

19%

Female / employed

5%

10%

18%

20%

12%

5%

10%

6%

11%

Female / not employed

7%

9%

22%

11%

11%

4%

13%

3%

17%

Not employed

8%

7%

18%

9%

2%

4%

25%

7%

19%

Employed

7%

14%

18%

16%

10%

5%

8%

8%

12%

Retired

6%

13%

26%

9%

13%

3%

7%

4%

17%

Refused

5%

1%

13%

4%

22%

34%

5%

15%

18-34

4%

16%

18%

12%

8%

5%

22%

4%

9%

35-44

10%

9%

17%

18%

9%

4%

8%

8%

15%

45-64

7%

12%

20%

13%

10%

4%

8%

8%

15%

65 or over

5%

16%

26%

9%

12%

3%

6%

4%

16%

Unsure / refused

4%

5%

16%

10%

11%

5%

5%

14%

22%

18-44

8%

12%

18%

15%

9%

4%

14%

6%

12%

45-64

7%

12%

20%

13%

10%

4%

8%

8%

15%

65+

5%

16%

26%

9%

12%

3%

6%

4%

16%

Unsure / refused

4%

5%

16%

10%

11%

5%

5%

14%

22%

(cont.)

Page 22

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON

MEIP
Cutting taxes

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

Male / under 55

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

Retirement

Higher
education

Regulations Combination

16%

17%

12%

8%

3%

10%

9%

13%

15%

26%

8%

8%

4%

7%

8%

17%

Female / under 55

6%

8%

19%

19%

9%

5%

15%

6%

11%

Female / 55+

6%

12%

21%

11%

15%

3%

7%

3%

19%

White

7%

15%

19%

12%

11%

4%

8%

7%

14%

Black / African American

6%

4%

29%

23%

2%

2%

17%

4%

11%

Hispanic / Latino

8%

7%

19%

13%

9%

6%

16%

2%

19%

10%

4%

19%

13%

9%

5%

8%

7%

17%

White millenials 18-34

4%

21%

17%

12%

12%

7%

18%

4%

3%

White older voters 35+

8%

14%

19%

12%

11%

3%

7%

8%

16%

10%

20%

11%

39%

10%

11%

3%

11%

African American older


voters 35+

8%

2%

31%

26%

2%

3%

11%

Hispanic millenials 18-34

7%

8%

17%

11%

4%

4%

24%

Hispanic older voters 35+

9%

6%

22%

14%

13%

8%

10%

4%

15%

24%

11%

27%

6%

11%

24%

Other races millenials


18-34

10%

Other races older voters


35+

10%

5%

17%

13%

11%

6%

4%

7%

19%

White seniors

5%

14%

23%

9%

12%

4%

7%

6%

17%

Other

8%

12%

19%

15%

9%

4%

11%

7%

13%

White men

7%

19%

19%

10%

9%

3%

7%

10%

14%

White women

7%

12%

19%

13%

13%

5%

10%

5%

13%

12%

3%

31%

11%

6%

12%

3%

16%

Black women

2%

5%

27%

31%

3%

20%

5%

7%

Hispanic men

10%

12%

18%

14%

9%

9%

22%

6%

3%

21%

12%

9%

4%

11%

4%

30%

Republican

10%

20%

16%

4%

12%

3%

6%

12%

15%

Independent

7%

14%

17%

9%

13%

5%

12%

5%

15%

Democrat

5%

5%

26%

24%

6%

5%

13%

2%

13%

Hispanic women

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

Healthcare
costs

5%

Black men

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

Increase
wages

10%

African American
millenials 18-34

WHITE SENIORS

Creating jobs

Male / 55+

Other
AGE AND RACE

Reducing
deficit

Male / GOP

7%

11%

21%

16%

4%

9%

4%

4%

15%

15%

Female / GOP

8%

18%

16%

4%

16%

3%

9%

9%

14%

Male / DEM

6%

8%

30%

21%

4%

4%

11%

2%

12%

Female / DEM

4%

3%

23%

26%

8%

5%

13%

3%

13%

Male / IND

7%

16%

15%

7%

13%

4%

13%

5%

16%

Female / IND

6%

12%

19%

11%

13%

5%

11%

4%

15%

Under 55 / GOP

12%

18%

11%

6%

11%

3%

8%

14%

13%

55 & over / GOP

6%

22%

22%

2%

13%

3%

4%

9%

17%

Under 55 / DEM

6%

6%

25%

26%

4%

5%

14%

3%

10%

55 & over / DEM

4%

4%

27%

19%

10%

5%

11%

1%

17%

Under 55 / IND

5%

16%

15%

10%

13%

6%

17%

5%

12%

55 & over / IND

9%

11%

21%

7%

14%

3%

4%

4%

23%

(cont.)

Page 23

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON

MEIP
Cutting taxes

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

Republican

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

Increase
wages

Healthcare
costs

Retirement

4%

11%

20%

15%

4%

11%

2%

12%

20%

5%

15%

Democrat

5%

6%

25%

23%

8%

Hard GOP

10%

19%

14%

4%

Soft GOP

Higher
education

Regulations Combination

6%

12%

14%

15%

1%

24%

5%

13%

2%

13%

12%

3%

6%

13%

15%

4%

8%

9%

13%

13%

1%

19%

11%

22%

17%

3%

7%

Ticket splitter

6%

16%

28%

5%

10%

Soft DEM

4%

7%

17%

15%

18%

6%

19%

Hard DEM

4%

5%

26%

25%

6%

5%

12%

2%

13%

7%

10%

14%

Conservative

11%

10%

18%

18%

7%

9%

4%

Moderate

6%

9%

24%

13%

12%

2%

6%

3%

21%

Liberal

3%

6%

22%

22%

10%

5%

15%

2%

13%

13%

21%

17%

6%

6%

1%

3%

14%

18%

Somewhat conservative

9%

17%

19%

7%

11%

5%

10%

8%

12%

Moderate / liberal

13%

2%

14%

Very conservative

4%

6%

22%

21%

10%

4%

Republican

10%

20%

16%

4%

12%

3%

6%

12%

15%

Independent

7%

14%

17%

9%

13%

5%

12%

5%

15%

Conservative DEM

8%

9%

27%

16%

6%

6%

13%

1%

12%

Mod / lib DEM

4%

4%

25%

26%

6%

4%

12%

3%

13%

Liberal DEM

3%

5%

23%

25%

9%

5%

14%

2%

12%

Mod / conservative DEM

8%

7%

29%

17%

7%

6%

12%

1%

13%

Independent

2%

12%

20%

5%

15%

15%

1%

24%

Mod / liberal GOP

7%

9%

20%

4%

16%

6%

16%

3%

14%

Conservative GOP

11%

22%

14%

4%

10%

3%

5%

14%

14%

Yes / strongly

14%

13%

12%

3%

11%

3%

4%

19%

19%

Yes

13%

22%

11%

9%

22%

16%

6%

12%

22%

15%

10%

5%

11%

4%

13%

Less than high school

15%

4%

24%

9%

9%

6%

15%

0%

13%

High school graduate

9%

7%

19%

12%

11%

7%

8%

5%

19%

Some college

3%

16%

20%

11%

11%

1%

16%

6%

14%

College graduate

7%

15%

21%

15%

9%

4%

8%

8%

12%

Male college graduates

7%

19%

19%

12%

7%

4%

7%

10%

13%

10%

12%

22%

8%

8%

3%

10%

7%

16%

Female college graduates

7%

11%

22%

18%

10%

4%

9%

7%

12%

Female non-college
graduates

5%

9%

18%

14%

13%

5%

14%

3%

16%

White non-college
graduate

7%

13%

19%

9%

13%

4%

11%

6%

15%

Minority non-college
graduate

8%

5%

22%

16%

5%

5%

16%

3%

17%

Male non-college
graduates

Others
RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Creating jobs

Ticket splitter

No / unsure
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

Reducing
deficit

Union household
Non-union household

4%

7%

15%

21%

15%

9%

4%

8%

8%

12%

11%

10%

17%

16%

7%

5%

10%

5%

14%

7%

13%

21%

13%

10%

4%

10%

7%

14%

(cont.)

Page 24

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON

MEIP
Cutting taxes

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

Retirement

Higher
education

Regulations Combination

10%

22%

15%

5%

4%

20%

5%

11%

9%

13%

20%

12%

11%

4%

6%

8%

15%

No longer married

6%

14%

18%

14%

13%

5%

10%

4%

14%

11%

17%

18%

10%

9%

4%

4%

9%

13%

Dad

7%

7%

19%

18%

8%

6%

11%

8%

14%

11%

12%

19%

15%

10%

4%

5%

8%

14%

Married / no children

7%

14%

22%

9%

11%

3%

8%

7%

16%

Divorced / children

5%

21%

3%

36%

6%

10%

5%

14%

Divorced / no children

7%

7%

16%

17%

12%

5%

15%

1%

18%

Single / children

2%

4%

19%

3%

3%

6%

30%

6%

12%

Single / no children

5%

11%

23%

18%

5%

4%

18%

5%

11%

Other / mixed

6%

16%

22%

8%

15%

3%

10%

6%

12%

Single women

5%

6%

25%

15%

6%

4%

27%

1%

12%

Married women

8%

10%

20%

15%

11%

4%

8%

7%

14%

No longer married women

2%

13%

16%

18%

17%

5%

9%

4%

13%

Single men

4%

13%

20%

16%

4%

5%

15%

9%

10%

Married men

9%

17%

20%

9%

10%

4%

5%

9%

15%

5%

4%

13%

5%

17%

12%

11%

Married / children

13%

15%

21%

7%

White single men

3%

16%

17%

17%

6%

3%

12%

White single women

3%

7%

18%

16%

11%

7%

19%

White married men

8%

19%

20%

8%

11%

3%

4%

10%

16%

White married women

17%

9%

11%

21%

13%

13%

4%

8%

6%

11%

White no longer married


men

10%

18%

18%

9%

5%

3%

16%

6%

13%

White no longer married


women

3%

16%

14%

14%

16%

7%

9%

5%

16%

Other

7%

5%

24%

17%

5%

4%

15%

4%

15%

9%

42%

Single mothers
Married mothers

27%
10%

18%

7%

19%

20%

11%

5%

6%

7%

14%

18%

4%

30%

6%

9%

6%

18%

9%

4%

10%

6%

14%

17%

9%

9%

Non-mothers

7%

14%

21%

12%

10%

Upper class

7%

7%

23%

19%

8%

Middle class

7%

14%

21%

11%

9%

4%

10%

8%

14%

Low income

8%

8%

17%

18%

12%

7%

10%

3%

15%

Working class

8%

Refused
CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

Healthcare
costs

4%

No longer married
mothers
ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

Increase
wages

Married

No longer married men


GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

Creating jobs

Single

Mom
BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

Reducing
deficit

32%

60%

20%

29%

10%

10%

10%

3%

1%

17%

Middle class whites

7%

17%

21%

10%

10%

4%

7%

8%

14%

Middle class African


Americans

7%

2%

26%

18%

3%

2%

22%

8%

7%

Middle class Hispanics

2%

8%

20%

13%

8%

Middle class other races

6%

4%

17%

16%

9%

4%

20%

2%

23%

12%

8%

19%

Other

8%

9%

19%

17%

11%

11%

4%

14%

5%

(cont.)

Page 25

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON

MEIP
Cutting taxes

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

Roman Catholic

Increase
wages

Healthcare
costs

Retirement

Higher
education

Regulations Combination

10%

11%

25%

10%

10%

4%

10%

7%

12%

6%

12%

21%

11%

7%

5%

11%

7%

20%

Mainline Protestant

8%

16%

21%

10%

14%

4%

7%

8%

12%

Other

9%

16%

15%

19%

3%

8%

5%

2%

18%

None

5%

11%

17%

20%

9%

2%

15%

4%

12%

At least once a week

7%

15%

23%

10%

8%

5%

9%

9%

13%

At least once a month

9%

11%

18%

12%

13%

3%

10%

7%

16%

10%

12%

21%

12%

10%

5%

8%

5%

15%

Never

1%

6%

24%

18%

16%

4%

3%

1%

22%

Active Roman Catholics

6%

13%

29%

9%

8%

9%

13%

7%

6%

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

9%

14%

19%

11%

7%

3%

11%

9%

15%

Active Mainline
Protestants

6%

16%

25%

8%

10%

3%

4%

12%

14%

14%

24%

1%

11%

10%

10%

7%

11%

19%

15%

10%

4%

11%

5%

14%

17%

14%

18%

8%

4%

5%

7%

13%

14%

Male not evangelical

5%

16%

21%

11%

9%

3%

9%

7%

15%

Female born again /


evangelicals

5%

12%

22%

13%

13%

4%

8%

6%

16%

Female not evangelical

6%

8%

19%

17%

11%

5%

13%

4%

13%

12%

16%

18%

6%

11%

5%

5%

10%

16%

6%

5%

26%

22%

4%

3%

14%

7%

13%

Active other
Other
SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

Creating jobs

Baptist / Evangelical

Infrequently

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

Reducing
deficit

Male born again /


evangelicals

25%

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

14%

20%

16%

5%

9%

4%

4%

12%

15%

Non-white conservative
Christians

10%

5%

30%

19%

3%

4%

9%

7%

13%

White non-conservative
Christians

5%

4%

26%

12%

18%

6%

8%

2%

18%

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

2%

6%

20%

26%

6%

1%

19%

6%

14%

Approve

5%

6%

23%

23%

8%

5%

16%

2%

11%

Unsure

4%

21%

22%

11%

10%

3%

3%

4%

20%

Disapprove

9%

18%

18%

4%

12%

4%

5%

11%

16%

Jobs

7%

7%

35%

22%

4%

2%

8%

6%

7%

Economy

8%

10%

27%

16%

6%

3%

11%

6%

11%

Health care

3%

4%

20%

21%

24%

4%

14%

6%

3%

Illegal immigration

10%

17%

20%

4%

18%

5%

5%

10%

7%

Foreign threats

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Non-white Evangelical

11%

20%

15%

6%

11%

10%

13%

7%

3%

Deficit

2%

43%

9%

7%

5%

1%

15%

12%

7%

Other

7%

8%

13%

11%

9%

4%

7%

5%

33%

(cont.)

Page 26

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON

MEIP
Cutting taxes

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Reducing
deficit

Creating jobs

Increase
wages

Healthcare
costs

Retirement

Higher
education

Regulations Combination

Views close to own

7%

14%

17%

19%

9%

4%

7%

10%

11%

Most effective person

7%

11%

23%

11%

11%

4%

12%

5%

15%

13%

15%

14%

8%

3%

7%

8%

30%

Unsure

1%

20%

7%

21%

8%

13%

4%

15%

Very worried

8%

13%

20%

10%

9%

3%

6%

7%

17%

Somewhat worried

8%

14%

21%

11%

9%

6%

12%

7%

12%

Not too worried

5%

8%

20%

21%

12%

3%

12%

4%

13%

Not at all worried

1%

21%

18%

18%

9%

2%

11%

9%

8%

Both

Combination

100%

Unsure

24%

2%

38%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

8%

8%

20%

21%

7%

6%

13%

4%

12%

Unsure

9%

7%

22%

3%

11%

2%

16%

6%

18%

No

7%

15%

20%

11%

11%

4%

8%

7%

15%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

7%

12%

20%

16%

10%

5%

12%

4%

13%

Unsure

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

8%

28%

13%

4%

22%

7%

10%

4%

16%

4%

18%

Disapprove

6%

15%

20%

11%

10%

3%

7%

10%

15%

Very worried

10%

11%

20%

8%

12%

5%

5%

7%

19%

Somewhat worried

8%

14%

21%

8%

11%

5%

8%

8%

14%

Not too worried

9%

10%

23%

9%

9%

5%

10%

8%

15%

Not at all worried

3%

15%

17%

27%

8%

2%

14%

3%

10%

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

Unsure

9%

Yes

6%

No
Approve
Unsure
Disapprove

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

60%

15%

21%

15%

10%

3%

8%

8%

13%

8%

9%

20%

10%

10%

5%

14%

5%

16%

2%

11%

21%

27%

9%

5%

11%

1%

11%

7%

11%

28%

1%

6%

1%

9%

7%

29%

11%

18%

19%

5%

11%

3%

6%

14%

12%

Yes

6%

11%

21%

15%

10%

4%

14%

5%

12%

No

8%

17%

22%

10%

10%

3%

4%

9%

15%

10%

12%

16%

9%

8%

5%

3%

11%

24%

10%

13%

49%

4%
9%

2%

14%

1%

9%

Not sure
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

31%

4 of 4

8%

17%

3 of 4

2%

6%

20%

36%

2 of 4

7%

5%

28%

14%

8%

4%

18%

2%

12%

1 of 4

5%

9%

27%

11%

10%

7%

11%

3%

15%

0 of 4

10%

20%

14%

6%

11%

3%

5%

12%

16%

(cont.)

Page 27

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE NEXT PRESIDENT SHOULD FOCUS ON

MEIP
Cutting taxes

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

5-7 of 7

Reducing
deficit

Creating jobs

Increase
wages

Healthcare
costs

Retirement

Higher
education

Regulations Combination

14%

20%

14%

0%

11%

4%

3%

16%

16%

4 of 7

9%

29%

12%

2%

4%

3%

3%

15%

18%

3 of 7

6%

24%

23%

3%

13%

3%

6%

9%

10%

2 of 7

8%

14%

21%

7%

15%

2%

11%

4%

16%

1 of 7

6%

8%

24%

11%

8%

5%

17%

5%

11%

0 of 7

5%

5%

22%

25%

10%

5%

12%

2%

14%

7%

13%

20%

13%

10%

4%

10%

7%

14%

(cont.)

Page 28

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE
NEXT PRESIDENT
None
Unsure

MEIP

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

1%

1%

1001

Northeast

1%

1%

195

Midwest

2%

1%

181

South

0%

1%

235

South Central

4%

1%

96

Central Plains

1%

1%

83

2%

70

0%

141

Mountain States
West
RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

TOTAL

0%

California

89

Florida
Texas

5%

New York

2%

58

1%

71

2%

56

Rest of country

1%

1%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

2%

1%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

1%

1%

320

No Senate election

1%

1%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

2%

1%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

1%

1%

366

No Gubernatorial election

1%

2%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

1%

241

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

Other

1%

1%

760

Male

2%

1%

480

Female

1%

2%

521

Male / employed

2%

1%

324

Male / not employed

0%

1%

157

Female / employed

0%

2%

281

Female / not employed

1%

2%

240

Not employed

1%

0%

133

Employed

1%

1%

605

Retired

1%

2%

252

Refused

2%

11

18-34

1%

200

35-44

1%

1%

280

45-64

1%

2%

310

65 or over

1%

2%

200

8%

10

Unsure / refused
RAGEBG2 AGE/C

18-44

1%

0%

480

45-64

1%

2%

310

65+

1%

2%

200

8%

10

Unsure / refused
(cont.)

Page 29

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE
NEXT PRESIDENT
None
Unsure

MEIP

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

Male / under 55

2%

1%

302

Male / 55+

1%

1%

179

Female / under 55

1%

1%

315

Female / 55+

1%

2%

205

White

1%

1%

751

Black / African American

3%

120

Hispanic / Latino

AGE AND RACE

90

Other

5%

White millenials 18-34

1%

White older voters 35+

1%

3%

African American older


voters 35+

2%

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

623
24

3%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

49

Other races millenials


18-34

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

40
128

African American
millenials 18-34

WHITE SENIORS

TOTAL

10%

Other races older voters


35+

3%

4%

32

White seniors

1%

2%

255

Other

1%

1%

746

White men

1%

1%

368

White women

1%

2%

382

Black men

6%

50

Black women

70

Hispanic men

42

Hispanic women

48

Republican

1%

2%

390

Independent

1%

2%

190

Democrat

1%

0%

420

Male / GOP

1%

0%

214

Female / GOP

1%

3%

176

Male / DEM

2%

0%

161

Female / DEM

1%

0%

259

Male / IND

1%

2%

105

Female / IND

1%

3%

85

Under 55 / GOP

1%

1%

223

55 & over / GOP

0%

2%

168

Under 55 / DEM

2%

55 & over / DEM

1%

1%

151

Under 55 / IND

1%

2%

125

55 & over / IND

2%

3%

65

269

(cont.)

Page 30

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE
NEXT PRESIDENT
None
Unsure

MEIP

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

Republican

0%

2%

448

Ticket splitter

4%

1%

61

Democrat

1%

0%

492

Hard GOP

0%

2%

360

Soft GOP

2%

3%

92

Ticket splitter

1%

Soft DEM

1%

2%

84

Hard DEM

1%

0%

401

Conservative

0%

1%

536

Moderate

2%

2%

76

Liberal

2%

1%

389

Very conservative

0%

2%

187

Somewhat conservative

0%

1%

348

Moderate / liberal

2%

1%

465

Republican

1%

2%

390

Independent

1%

2%

190

0%

103

Conservative DEM

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

2%

0%

318

Liberal DEM

2%

0%

335

0%

157

1%

61

4%

69

Mod / conservative DEM


4%

Mod / liberal GOP


Conservative GOP

0%

2%

379

Yes / strongly

1%

2%

93

3%

68

1%

840

5%

53

Yes
No / unsure

REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

64

Mod / lib DEM

Independent

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

TOTAL

1%

Less than high school


High school graduate

2%

2%

227

Some college

1%

1%

219

College graduate

1%

0%

503

Male college graduates

2%

0%

248

Male non-college
graduates

1%

1%

232

Female college graduates

0%

1%

254

Female non-college
graduates

1%

2%

266

White non-college
graduate

1%

2%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

1%

1%

149

Others

1%

0%

503

Union household

2%

3%

127

Non-union household

1%

1%

874

(cont.)

Page 31

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE
NEXT PRESIDENT
None
Unsure

MEIP

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

Single

3%

1%

215

Married

1%

2%

607

No longer married

1%

1%

179

Dad

3%

1%

171

Mom

0%

2%

203

Married / children

0%

1%

299

Married / no children

1%

2%

308

Divorced / children
Divorced / no children
Single / children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

22
60

2%
12%

Single / no children

1%

Other / mixed

0%

Single women

3%

1%

97

1%

98

Married women

1%

2%

304

No longer married women

1%

1%

118

Single men

5%

Married men

0%

No longer married men

1%

White single men

3%

White single women

117
1%

302
61
75

3%

46

White married men

0%

1%

244

White married women

1%

2%

243

White no longer married


men

1%

White no longer married


women

0%

1%

93

Other

2%

0%

250

4%

30

2%

150

Single mothers
Married mothers

Non-mothers

1%

49

23
1%

Upper class

1%

798

1%

73

Middle class

1%

1%

696

Low income

1%

2%

205

Working class

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

42
173

No longer married
mothers
ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

TOTAL

Refused

1%

Middle class whites

1%

Middle class African


Americans

5%

20
1%

551
63

Middle class Hispanics

57

Middle class other races

6%

4%

25

Other

1%

1%

305

(cont.)

Page 32

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE
NEXT PRESIDENT
None
Unsure

MEIP

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

Roman Catholic

1%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

1%

185

Mainline Protestant

0%

1%

280

Other

3%

0%

45

None

3%

1%

262

At least once a week

1%

1%

336

At least once a month

0%

0%

157

Infrequently

1%

2%

191

4%

44

Never
ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Active Roman Catholics

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals
Active Mainline
Protestants

1%

Active other

4%

Other

1%

Male born again /


evangelicals
Male not evangelical

2%

Female born again /


evangelicals
Female not evangelical

1%

106

1%

131
17

1%

667

1%

133

1%

348

1%

179

2%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

1%

222

Non-white Evangelical

0%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

1%

166

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

1%

Non-white conservative
Christians

51

White non-conservative
Christians

2%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

1%

39

0%

453

2%

62

Approve

2%

Unsure
Disapprove

1%

2%

487

Jobs

0%

0%

135

Economy

2%

1%

228

Health care

0%

99

Illegal immigration

2%

78

2%

116

Foreign threats

2%

Deficit
Other

2%

1%

76

2%

268

(cont.)

Page 33

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE
NEXT PRESIDENT
None
Unsure

MEIP

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Views close to own

1%

1%

352

Most effective person

1%

1%

571

Both

2%

1%

48

Unsure

2%

9%

30

Very worried

3%

2%

318

Somewhat worried

0%

1%

405

Not too worried

1%

1%

214

Not at all worried

2%

1%

56

Combination

Unsure

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

0%

1%

245

Unsure

5%

2%

63

No

1%

1%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

1%

1%

510

Unsure

2%

0%

85

Disapprove

1%

2%

406

Very worried

2%

2%

112

Somewhat worried

2%

1%

283

Not too worried

0%

1%

341

Not at all worried

1%

0%

258

100%

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination
Unsure
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT
IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

Yes

1%

1%

645

No

1%

1%

356

Approve

2%

0%

295

Unsure

1%

1%

45

Disapprove

0%

2%

306

Yes

1%

1%

628

No

1%

1%

245

2%

128

Not sure
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

4 of 4

26

3 of 4

2%

2 of 4

2%

0%

221

1 of 4

2%

0%

214

0 of 4

0%

2%

427

112

(cont.)

Page 34

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
MEIP ECONOMIC ISSUE
NEXT PRESIDENT
None
Unsure

MEIP

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

5-7 of 7
4 of 7

1%

3 of 7

TOTAL

2%

150

3%

96

3%

91

2 of 7

0%

1%

87

1 of 7

3%

2%

164

0 of 7

1%

0%

413

1%

1%

1001

Page 35

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RHRCID HILLARY CLINTON NAME ID/C

RHRCID

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

47%

48%

4%

1%

1001

Northeast

56%

41%

3%

1%

195

Midwest

45%

51%

4%

1%

181

South

46%

50%

2%

1%

235

South Central

38%

59%

3%

96

Central Plains

43%

47%

10%

83

Mountain States

42%

57%

1%

70

West

52%

42%

5%

California

54%

41%

5%

Florida

45%

51%

Texas

41%

57%

3%

New York

54%

42%

3%

1%

56

Rest of country

47%

49%

4%

0%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

45%

53%

2%

0%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

48%

46%

5%

1%

320

No Senate election

48%

48%

3%

1%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

44%

53%

2%

1%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

51%

45%

5%

0%

366

No Gubernatorial election

49%

46%

4%

0%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

45%

51%

3%

1%

241

Other

48%

48%

4%

0%

760

Male

41%

54%

4%

1%

480

Female

54%

43%

3%

0%

521

Male / employed

39%

56%

5%

1%

324

Male / not employed

45%

50%

3%

2%

157

Female / employed

53%

43%

4%

Female / not employed

54%

43%

3%

0%

240

Not employed

58%

38%

3%

1%

133

Employed

45%

50%

4%

0%

605

Retired

46%

50%

2%

1%

252

Refused

55%

34%

11%

18-34

56%

38%

5%

35-44

49%

47%

4%

45-64

47%

49%

3%

1%

310

65 or over

37%

59%

3%

1%

200

Unsure / refused

18%

70%

9%

3%

10

18-44

52%

43%

4%

0%

480

45-64

47%

49%

3%

1%

310

65+

37%

59%

3%

1%

200

Unsure / refused

18%

70%

9%

3%

10

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

0%

141
89

4%

58
71

281

11
1%

200
280

(cont.)

Page 36

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RHRCID HILLARY CLINTON NAME ID/C

RHRCID

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Male / under 55

43%

52%

5%

1%

302

Male / 55+

37%

58%

3%

2%

179

Female / under 55

59%

38%

3%

Female / 55+

45%

51%

3%

0%

205

White

40%

57%

3%

1%

751

Black / African American

82%

13%

4%

1%

120

Hispanic / Latino

61%

28%

12%

90

Other

48%

48%

4%

40

White millenials 18-34

48%

51%

1%

1%

128

White older voters 35+

39%

58%

3%

1%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

80%

10%

11%

African American older


voters 35+

83%

13%

2%

Hispanic millenials 18-34

65%

18%

17%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

57%

36%

8%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

79%

21%

Other races older voters


35+

40%

55%

5%

White seniors

34%

62%

3%

1%

255

Other

52%

44%

4%

0%

746

White men

36%

61%

3%

1%

368

White women

44%

53%

3%

0%

382

Black men

76%

14%

8%

3%

50

Black women

87%

12%

1%

70

Hispanic men

46%

39%

15%

42

Hispanic women

73%

18%

9%

48

Republican

11%

86%

2%

0%

390

Independent

39%

51%

8%

1%

190

Democrat

84%

12%

3%

0%

420

Male / GOP

12%

85%

2%

1%

214

Female / GOP

11%

87%

2%

Male / DEM

83%

11%

5%

1%

161

Female / DEM

85%

13%

2%

0%

259

Male / IND

34%

56%

7%

2%

105

Female / IND

45%

46%

9%

85

Under 55 / GOP

14%

83%

2%

223

55 & over / GOP

7%

90%

2%

1%

168

Under 55 / DEM

84%

12%

3%

1%

269

55 & over / DEM

85%

12%

3%

0%

151

Under 55 / IND

44%

46%

9%

1%

125

55 & over / IND

29%

62%

7%

2%

65

315

24
1%

96

8
32

176

(cont.)

Page 37

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RHRCID HILLARY CLINTON NAME ID/C

RHRCID

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Republican

11%

86%

3%

0%

448

Ticket splitter

35%

49%

12%

3%

61

Democrat

82%

14%

4%

1%

492

Hard GOP

9%

88%

2%

0%

360

Soft GOP

14%

82%

3%

0%

92

Ticket splitter

41%

46%

9%

4%

64

Soft DEM

66%

23%

10%

0%

84

Hard DEM

86%

11%

3%

1%

401

Conservative

25%

72%

3%

1%

536

Moderate

46%

48%

6%

Liberal

79%

16%

4%

0%

389

Very conservative

15%

81%

4%

1%

187

Somewhat conservative

30%

66%

3%

1%

348

Moderate / liberal

74%

22%

4%

0%

465

Republican

11%

86%

2%

0%

390

Independent

39%

51%

8%

1%

190

Conservative DEM

74%

19%

6%

1%

103

Mod / lib DEM

88%

10%

2%

0%

318

Liberal DEM

87%

10%

3%

0%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

72%

21%

5%

1%

157

Independent

35%

49%

12%

3%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

20%

74%

5%

1%

69

Conservative GOP

9%

89%

2%

0%

379

19%

76%

4%

1%

93

7%

91%

2%

No / unsure

54%

42%

4%

1%

840

Less than high school

52%

36%

10%

3%

53

High school graduate

45%

47%

7%

1%

227

Some college

45%

52%

2%

1%

219

College graduate

49%

49%

2%

0%

503

Male college graduates

42%

55%

3%

1%

248

Male non-college
graduates

39%

53%

6%

1%

232

Female college graduates

56%

43%

1%

Female non-college
graduates

51%

44%

5%

0%

266

White non-college
graduate

36%

60%

3%

1%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

68%

20%

11%

1%

149

Others

49%

49%

2%

0%

503

Union household

55%

41%

4%

Non-union household

46%

49%

4%

Yes / strongly
Yes

76

68

254

127
1%

874

(cont.)

Page 38

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RHRCID HILLARY CLINTON NAME ID/C

RHRCID

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Single

62%

31%

5%

2%

215

Married

41%

55%

3%

0%

607

No longer married

51%

46%

3%

179

Dad

36%

59%

5%

171

Mom

58%

38%

4%

203

Married / children

44%

51%

4%

299

Married / no children

38%

59%

2%

Divorced / children

73%

21%

6%

22

Divorced / no children

54%

42%

4%

60

Single / children

63%

33%

5%

42

Single / no children

62%

31%

5%

Other / mixed

44%

54%

3%

Single women

71%

26%

3%

Married women

49%

49%

3%

304

No longer married women

52%

43%

5%

118

Single men

55%

36%

7%

3%

117

Married men

34%

62%

4%

1%

302

No longer married men

48%

51%

1%

White single men

51%

45%

2%

2%

75

White single women

56%

41%

2%

1%

46

White married men

29%

67%

3%

1%

244

White married women

42%

56%

2%

243

White no longer married


men

46%

53%

1%

49

White no longer married


women

44%

51%

5%

93

Other

69%

24%

7%

Single mothers

68%

25%

7%

30

Married mothers

55%

41%

3%

150

No longer married
mothers

61%

33%

6%

23

Non-mothers

45%

51%

4%

Upper class

56%

42%

2%

Middle class

45%

52%

2%

1%

696

Low income

52%

39%

8%

1%

205

Working class

60%

40%

Refused

45%

44%

11%

Middle class whites

37%

60%

2%

1%

551

Middle class African


Americans

86%

10%

1%

2%

63

Middle class Hispanics

66%

27%

7%

57

Middle class other races

60%

38%

2%

25

Other

53%

40%

7%

1%

2%

308

173
97

1%

98

61

1%

1%

250

798
73

8
20

0%

305

(cont.)

Page 39

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RHRCID HILLARY CLINTON NAME ID/C

RHRCID

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Roman Catholic

43%

53%

3%

0%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

41%

56%

2%

1%

185

Mainline Protestant

38%

59%

2%

1%

280

Other

52%

43%

5%

None

66%

28%

5%

1%

262

At least once a week

34%

62%

2%

1%

336

At least once a month

41%

56%

3%

0%

157

Infrequently

55%

41%

4%

0%

191

Never

40%

56%

4%

44

Active Roman Catholics

38%

57%

4%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

32%

65%

2%

1%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

33%

63%

3%

1%

131

Active other

35%

65%

Other

54%

41%

4%

0%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

25%

70%

3%

2%

133

Male not evangelical

47%

48%

5%

1%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

40%

58%

2%

45

17

179

Female not evangelical

61%

36%

4%

0%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

21%

77%

2%

0%

222

Non-white Evangelical

66%

29%

3%

2%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

10%

88%

1%

0%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

61%

34%

2%

3%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

51%

43%

6%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

72%

22%

5%

39

Approve

83%

12%

4%

1%

453

Unsure

45%

35%

18%

2%

62

Disapprove

14%

84%

2%

0%

487

Jobs

65%

30%

3%

1%

135

Economy

57%

41%

2%

Health care

75%

23%

1%

Illegal immigration

26%

73%

2%

78

Foreign threats

24%

71%

5%

116

Deficit

34%

64%

2%

76

7%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

40%

52%

228
1%

1%

99

(cont.)

Page 40

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RHRCID HILLARY CLINTON NAME ID/C

RHRCID

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Cutting taxes

32%

60%

8%

Reducing deficit

23%

74%

2%

Creating jobs

62%

36%

2%

203

Increase wages

77%

21%

2%

132

Healthcare costs

42%

51%

5%

2%

98

Retirement

36%

49%

11%

4%

41

Higher education

66%

31%

2%

101

Regulations

11%

88%

1%

65

Combination

38%

55%

6%

None

74%

17%

9%

Unsure

13%

82%

2%

3%

12

Views close to own

48%

50%

2%

1%

352

Most effective person

48%

47%

5%

1%

571

Both

40%

57%

2%

Unsure

36%

49%

11%

3%

30

Very worried

30%

64%

6%

1%

318

Somewhat worried

50%

47%

2%

1%

405

Not too worried

69%

28%

3%

1%

214

46%

52%

2%

Not at all worried


Combination

Never heard
of

71
1%

0%

126

141
11

48

56
1

100%

Unsure

41%

30%

29%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

63%

32%

4%

1%

Unsure

63%

33%

3%

1%

63

No

41%

56%

4%

0%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

60%

36%

4%

1%

510

Unsure

60%

30%

9%

1%

85

Disapprove

29%

68%

2%

0%

406

Very worried

34%

58%

7%

0%

112

Somewhat worried

38%

59%

2%

1%

283

Not too worried

47%

47%

5%

1%

341

Not at all worried

63%

34%

2%

1%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

8
245

100%

Unsure

55%

40%

6%

Yes

43%

54%

3%

0%

645

No

55%

39%

5%

1%

356

Approve

70%

26%

3%

0%

295

Unsure

38%

58%

4%

Disapprove

18%

79%

2%

0%

306

45

(cont.)

Page 41

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RHRCID HILLARY CLINTON NAME ID/C

RHRCID

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Yes

57%

40%

2%

0%

628

No

30%

66%

4%

1%

245

Not sure

32%

55%

11%

2%

128

4 of 4

89%

11%

3 of 4

97%

1%

2%

2 of 4

88%

9%

3%

0%

221

1 of 4

61%

33%

5%

1%

214

0 of 4

4%

91%

4%

1%

427

5-7 of 7

7%

92%

1%

0%

150

4 of 7

7%

91%

2%

96

3 of 7

25%

73%

3%

2 of 7

39%

57%

4%

1%

87

1 of 7

53%

43%

4%

0%

164

0 of 7

76%

18%

5%

1%

413

47%

48%

4%

1%

1001

26
112

91

Page 42

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJOEBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID/C

RJOEBID

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

39%

43%

12%

6%

1001

Northeast

49%

34%

12%

4%

195

Midwest

42%

42%

11%

5%

181

South

34%

48%

11%

7%

235

South Central

28%

55%

14%

3%

96

Central Plains

37%

37%

19%

7%

83

Mountain States

25%

54%

12%

10%

70

West

44%

40%

11%

5%

141

California

42%

40%

11%

6%

89

Florida

29%

52%

12%

7%

58

Texas

32%

52%

13%

3%

71

New York

58%

33%

8%

1%

56

Rest of country

38%

43%

13%

6%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

34%

47%

12%

7%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

39%

41%

15%

4%

320

No Senate election

40%

43%

10%

6%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

34%

47%

11%

8%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

45%

39%

12%

3%

366

No Gubernatorial election

37%

44%

14%

6%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

33%

51%

10%

6%

241

Other

41%

41%

13%

5%

760

Male

34%

50%

11%

5%

480

Female

43%

37%

13%

7%

521

Male / employed

35%

50%

12%

4%

324

Male / not employed

33%

50%

10%

7%

157

Female / employed

42%

37%

16%

6%

281

Female / not employed

44%

38%

10%

8%

240

Not employed

42%

33%

12%

13%

133

Employed

38%

44%

14%

5%

605

Retired

38%

49%

9%

4%

252

Refused

48%

35%

15%

2%

11

18-34

41%

31%

20%

8%

200

35-44

38%

44%

12%

7%

280

45-64

40%

46%

9%

5%

310

65 or over

36%

51%

9%

3%

200

Unsure / refused

29%

60%

9%

2%

10

18-44

39%

38%

15%

7%

480

45-64

40%

46%

9%

5%

310

65+

36%

51%

9%

3%

200

Unsure / refused

29%

60%

9%

2%

10

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 43

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJOEBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID/C

RJOEBID

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Male / under 55

34%

47%

13%

5%

302

Male / 55+

34%

54%

8%

4%

179

Female / under 55

43%

33%

16%

9%

315

Female / 55+

43%

45%

9%

3%

205

White

34%

50%

11%

5%

751

Black / African American

65%

15%

13%

7%

120

Hispanic / Latino

41%

28%

21%

11%

90

Other

41%

47%

8%

4%

40

White millenials 18-34

38%

36%

17%

10%

128

White older voters 35+

33%

53%

10%

4%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

46%

6%

37%

11%

24

African American older


voters 35+

70%

17%

6%

7%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

42%

29%

25%

4%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

40%

26%

17%

17%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

63%

31%

6%

Other races older voters


35+

36%

51%

10%

3%

32

White seniors

34%

55%

9%

3%

255

Other

40%

40%

13%

7%

746

White men

32%

55%

9%

4%

368

White women

37%

44%

14%

5%

382

Black men

52%

17%

20%

11%

50

Black women

75%

13%

7%

5%

70

Hispanic men

38%

33%

23%

5%

42

Hispanic women

43%

23%

18%

16%

48

Republican

10%

73%

14%

3%

390

Independent

34%

48%

12%

6%

190

Democrat

68%

14%

11%

7%

420

Male / GOP

11%

75%

11%

3%

214

8%

70%

18%

4%

176

Male / DEM

65%

16%

12%

7%

161

Female / DEM

69%

13%

10%

7%

259

Male / IND

34%

51%

10%

5%

105

Female / IND

34%

44%

13%

9%

85

Under 55 / GOP

9%

70%

16%

5%

223

55 & over / GOP

11%

76%

11%

2%

168

Under 55 / DEM

65%

13%

14%

8%

269

55 & over / DEM

72%

16%

6%

6%

151

Under 55 / IND

35%

44%

12%

8%

125

55 & over / IND

32%

54%

10%

3%

65

Female / GOP

(cont.)

Page 44

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJOEBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID/C

RJOEBID

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Republican

11%

74%

12%

3%

448

Ticket splitter

22%

36%

25%

17%

61

Democrat

66%

16%

11%

7%

492

Hard GOP

8%

74%

14%

3%

360

Soft GOP

16%

75%

6%

4%

92

Ticket splitter

34%

36%

19%

12%

64

Soft DEM

56%

28%

12%

4%

84

Hard DEM

68%

13%

11%

8%

401

Conservative

20%

65%

10%

5%

536

Moderate

27%

37%

23%

14%

76

Liberal

67%

15%

13%

6%

389

Very conservative

12%

72%

11%

5%

187

Somewhat conservative

24%

61%

10%

4%

348

Moderate / liberal

60%

19%

14%

7%

465

Republican

10%

73%

14%

3%

390

Independent

34%

48%

12%

6%

190

Conservative DEM

50%

27%

12%

11%

103

Mod / lib DEM

73%

10%

11%

6%

318

Liberal DEM

73%

11%

11%

5%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

50%

28%

10%

12%

157

Independent

22%

36%

25%

17%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

24%

45%

24%

7%

69

Conservative GOP

9%

79%

10%

2%

379

Yes / strongly

11%

77%

5%

7%

93

Yes

10%

86%

3%

1%

68

No / unsure

44%

36%

14%

6%

840

Less than high school

32%

33%

16%

19%

53

High school graduate

33%

42%

14%

11%

227

Some college

38%

48%

9%

5%

219

College graduate

43%

43%

12%

2%

503

Male college graduates

37%

49%

12%

2%

248

Male non-college
graduates

31%

51%

11%

7%

232

Female college graduates

48%

37%

13%

2%

254

Female non-college
graduates

38%

38%

14%

11%

266

White non-college
graduate

28%

52%

11%

8%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

50%

24%

14%

12%

149

Others

43%

43%

12%

2%

503

Union household

46%

35%

11%

7%

127

Non-union household

38%

45%

12%

5%

874

(cont.)

Page 45

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJOEBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID/C

RJOEBID

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Single

51%

27%

14%

8%

215

Married

34%

48%

13%

5%

607

No longer married

39%

46%

8%

6%

179

Dad

27%

59%

9%

5%

171

Mom

43%

32%

16%

10%

203

Married / children

35%

46%

13%

6%

299

Married / no children

34%

51%

12%

3%

308

Divorced / children

26%

50%

10%

14%

22

Divorced / no children

40%

42%

10%

8%

60

Single / children

43%

26%

16%

14%

42

Single / no children

53%

27%

14%

6%

173

Other / mixed

41%

48%

7%

4%

97

Single women

54%

23%

14%

9%

98

Married women

39%

41%

15%

5%

304

No longer married women

44%

41%

8%

7%

118

Single men

48%

30%

15%

6%

117

Married men

30%

56%

10%

4%

302

No longer married men

29%

57%

9%

6%

61

White single men

50%

35%

9%

6%

75

White single women

42%

41%

7%

10%

46

White married men

27%

61%

9%

4%

244

White married women

35%

44%

17%

5%

243

White no longer married


men

28%

58%

10%

4%

49

White no longer married


women

39%

46%

10%

5%

93

Other

53%

25%

15%

8%

250

Single mothers

42%

20%

23%

14%

30

Married mothers

44%

32%

16%

9%

150

No longer married
mothers

35%

47%

9%

9%

23

Non-mothers

38%

46%

11%

5%

798

Upper class

52%

37%

10%

1%

73

Middle class

39%

47%

9%

4%

696

Low income

34%

33%

20%

13%

205

Working class

11%

8%

54%

27%

Refused

27%

40%

31%

1%

20

Middle class whites

34%

53%

9%

4%

551

Middle class African


Americans

81%

13%

5%

1%

63

Middle class Hispanics

46%

34%

12%

8%

57

Middle class other races

53%

35%

9%

3%

25

Other

37%

34%

19%

10%

305

(cont.)

Page 46

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJOEBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID/C

RJOEBID

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Roman Catholic

34%

49%

11%

6%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

33%

49%

11%

7%

185

Mainline Protestant

31%

52%

13%

4%

280

Other

39%

37%

18%

5%

45

None

55%

25%

13%

7%

262

At least once a week

27%

53%

14%

6%

336

At least once a month

36%

52%

8%

4%

157

Infrequently

43%

40%

11%

6%

191

Never

28%

46%

22%

4%

44

Active Roman Catholics

29%

50%

15%

6%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

28%

56%

12%

4%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

26%

51%

16%

7%

131

Active other

14%

58%

17%

10%

17

Other

45%

39%

11%

5%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

21%

62%

12%

5%

133

Male not evangelical

39%

45%

11%

5%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

32%

46%

16%

6%

179

Female not evangelical

48%

33%

12%

7%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

19%

63%

14%

5%

222

Non-white Evangelical

50%

27%

15%

8%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

12%

75%

10%

2%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

46%

36%

7%

11%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

40%

25%

23%

12%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

55%

16%

26%

3%

39

Approve

73%

11%

10%

6%

453

Unsure

28%

32%

31%

10%

62

9%

75%

12%

5%

487

Jobs

53%

27%

11%

9%

135

Economy

49%

37%

9%

5%

228

Health care

49%

26%

19%

6%

99

Illegal immigration

16%

71%

7%

6%

78

Foreign threats

23%

59%

16%

2%

116

Deficit

24%

56%

17%

3%

76

7%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

Disapprove
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

36%

45%

12%

(cont.)

Page 47

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJOEBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID/C

RJOEBID

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Cutting taxes

27%

57%

9%

7%

71

Reducing deficit

17%

66%

14%

3%

126

Creating jobs

45%

34%

12%

9%

203

Increase wages

66%

21%

9%

4%

132

Healthcare costs

33%

50%

10%

7%

98

Retirement

46%

36%

9%

9%

41

Higher education

56%

21%

19%

3%

101

Regulations

16%

80%

4%

Combination

29%

47%

17%

7%

141

None

68%

11%

4%

17%

11

Unsure

15%

78%

6%

2%

12

Views close to own

43%

44%

10%

3%

352

Most effective person

37%

43%

13%

7%

571

Both

36%

46%

12%

6%

48

Unsure

31%

45%

21%

3%

30

Very worried

21%

60%

11%

8%

318

Somewhat worried

39%

43%

13%

6%

405

Not too worried

62%

25%

12%

2%

214

55%

34%

9%

2%

56

Not at all worried


Combination
Unsure

65

100%
8%

2%

57%

33%

8
245

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

60%

27%

11%

2%

Unsure

38%

22%

25%

15%

63

No

31%

51%

12%

6%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

51%

33%

12%

4%

510

Unsure

46%

22%

12%

20%

85

Disapprove

22%

61%

13%

5%

406

Very worried

18%

59%

10%

13%

112

Somewhat worried

30%

55%

11%

5%

283

Not too worried

41%

40%

15%

5%

341

Not at all worried

56%

30%

10%

4%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

100%

Unsure

13%

Yes

41%

No

51%

36%

49%

9%

2%

645

35%

34%

18%

13%

356

Approve

68%

20%

9%

2%

295

Unsure

33%

52%

13%

2%

45

Disapprove

15%

75%

8%

2%

306

(cont.)

Page 48

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJOEBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID/C

RJOEBID

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Yes

47%

37%

11%

5%

628

No

25%

54%

13%

8%

245

Not sure

26%

52%

17%

5%

128

4 of 4

92%

3 of 4

90%

4%

7%

2 of 4

75%

12%

11%

1%

221

1 of 4

33%

31%

17%

18%

214

0 of 4

6%

79%

12%

3%

427

5-7 of 7

26

8%

112

7%

88%

5%

150

4 of 7

15%

76%

9%

96

3 of 7

18%

68%

12%

2%

91

2 of 7

25%

56%

16%

2%

87

1 of 7

48%

30%

15%

8%

164

0 of 7

60%

17%

14%

10%

413

39%

43%

12%

6%

1001

Page 49

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMOMID MARTIN O'MALLEY NAME ID/C

RMOMID

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

5%

10%

14%

71%

1001

Northeast

11%

12%

15%

62%

195

Midwest

3%

4%

8%

85%

181

South

4%

15%

13%

68%

235

South Central

3%

5%

14%

78%

96

Central Plains

6%

10%

15%

70%

83

10%

10%

22%

57%

70

West

1%

6%

17%

75%

141

California

2%

9%

23%

67%

89

Florida

5%

23%

9%

63%

58

Texas

4%

6%

15%

75%

71

New York

8%

4%

13%

75%

56

Rest of country

6%

9%

13%

72%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

3%

8%

13%

76%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

8%

8%

14%

70%

320

No Senate election

5%

12%

14%

69%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

3%

9%

14%

73%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

8%

10%

14%

69%

366

No Gubernatorial election

5%

9%

14%

71%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

4%

11%

14%

71%

241

Other

6%

9%

14%

71%

760

Male

5%

11%

14%

69%

480

Female

6%

8%

14%

73%

521

Male / employed

5%

9%

15%

71%

324

Male / not employed

5%

16%

14%

66%

157

Female / employed

5%

6%

16%

72%

281

Female / not employed

6%

11%

11%

73%

240

Not employed

7%

9%

4%

80%

133

Employed

5%

7%

15%

72%

605

Retired

5%

16%

15%

64%

252

23%

77%

11

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

Mountain States

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

Refused
RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

18-34

6%

6%

10%

78%

200

35-44

4%

6%

20%

71%

280

45-64

6%

13%

9%

72%

310

65 or over

6%

13%

17%

64%

200

Unsure / refused

3%

22%

13%

62%

10

18-44

5%

6%

16%

74%

480

45-64

6%

13%

9%

72%

310

65+

6%

13%

17%

64%

200

Unsure / refused

3%

22%

13%

62%

10

(cont.)

Page 50

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMOMID MARTIN O'MALLEY NAME ID/C

RMOMID

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Male / under 55

4%

8%

14%

74%

302

Male / 55+

8%

16%

14%

61%

179

Female / under 55

5%

8%

13%

74%

315

Female / 55+

6%

9%

14%

71%

205

White

6%

9%

15%

71%

751

Black / African American

4%

16%

12%

69%

120

Hispanic / Latino

7%

7%

12%

73%

90

Other

2%

14%

9%

74%

40

White millenials 18-34

6%

4%

12%

78%

128

White older voters 35+

6%

9%

15%

70%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

6%

10%

84%

24

African American older


voters 35+

3%

18%

15%

65%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

4%

7%

13%

76%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

9%

7%

12%

71%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

9%

6%

9%

76%

Other races older voters


35+

1%

16%

9%

74%

32

White seniors

8%

12%

16%

64%

255

Other

5%

9%

13%

73%

746

White men

6%

9%

15%

70%

368

White women

6%

8%

14%

72%

382

Black men

6%

20%

8%

65%

50

Black women

2%

13%

14%

71%

70

Hispanic men

4%

13%

14%

69%

42

10%

2%

11%

77%

48

Republican

4%

11%

17%

69%

390

Independent

5%

14%

10%

71%

190

Democrat

7%

7%

13%

73%

420

Male / GOP

2%

12%

18%

68%

214

Female / GOP

5%

10%

14%

71%

176

Male / DEM

9%

8%

13%

70%

161

Female / DEM

6%

6%

14%

75%

259

Male / IND

6%

14%

8%

71%

105

Female / IND

4%

13%

13%

70%

85

Under 55 / GOP

4%

7%

18%

70%

223

55 & over / GOP

2%

15%

15%

68%

168

Under 55 / DEM

4%

7%

13%

76%

269

55 & over / DEM

12%

7%

14%

66%

151

Under 55 / IND

5%

11%

9%

75%

125

55 & over / IND

5%

19%

13%

63%

65

Hispanic women
RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL

Favorable

(cont.)

Page 51

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMOMID MARTIN O'MALLEY NAME ID/C

RMOMID

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Republican

4%

12%

15%

69%

448

Ticket splitter

5%

7%

12%

77%

61

Democrat

7%

7%

13%

72%

492

Hard GOP

4%

11%

17%

68%

360

Soft GOP

2%

18%

6%

73%

92

Ticket splitter

6%

6%

12%

77%

64

Soft DEM

7%

9%

15%

68%

84

Hard DEM

7%

7%

13%

73%

401

Conservative

4%

12%

13%

71%

536

Moderate

4%

9%

19%

68%

76

Liberal

8%

6%

15%

72%

389

Very conservative

5%

17%

14%

64%

187

Somewhat conservative

4%

9%

12%

75%

348

Moderate / liberal

7%

7%

15%

71%

465

Republican

4%

11%

17%

69%

390

Independent

5%

14%

10%

71%

190

Conservative DEM

5%

11%

11%

73%

103

Mod / lib DEM

8%

5%

14%

73%

318

Liberal DEM

8%

6%

15%

70%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

5%

10%

9%

76%

157

Independent

5%

7%

12%

77%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

5%

6%

19%

70%

69

Conservative GOP

3%

14%

14%

69%

379

Yes / strongly

3%

22%

11%

65%

93

Yes

5%

15%

12%

69%

68

No / unsure

6%

8%

15%

72%

840

13%

8%

78%

53

Less than high school


High school graduate

6%

8%

8%

78%

227

Some college

5%

7%

13%

76%

219

College graduate

6%

11%

18%

65%

503

Male college graduates

5%

11%

18%

65%

248

Male non-college
graduates

5%

11%

10%

74%

232

Female college graduates

7%

11%

18%

65%

254

Female non-college
graduates

4%

6%

10%

80%

266

White non-college
graduate

5%

7%

10%

79%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

5%

10%

11%

73%

149

Others

6%

11%

18%

65%

503

Union household

4%

7%

10%

79%

127

Non-union household

6%

10%

15%

70%

874

(cont.)

Page 52

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMOMID MARTIN O'MALLEY NAME ID/C

RMOMID

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Single

5%

7%

10%

78%

215

Married

6%

10%

16%

68%

607

No longer married

5%

9%

12%

74%

179

Dad

3%

6%

19%

72%

171

Mom

5%

5%

15%

75%

203

Married / children

5%

6%

17%

72%

299

Married / no children

7%

14%

15%

64%

308

5%

16%

80%

22

Divorced / children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

Divorced / no children

4%

16%

11%

69%

60

Single / children

2%

1%

20%

78%

42

Single / no children

5%

9%

8%

78%

173

Other / mixed

7%

6%

12%

75%

97

Single women

5%

5%

14%

75%

98

Married women

6%

9%

13%

72%

304

No longer married women

6%

8%

14%

72%

118

Single men

5%

9%

7%

80%

117

Married men

6%

12%

18%

64%

302

No longer married men

5%

11%

9%

76%

61

White single men

5%

6%

7%

82%

75

White single women

9%

8%

13%

70%

46

White married men

6%

10%

19%

65%

244

White married women

6%

8%

15%

71%

243

White no longer married


men

5%

12%

10%

73%

49

White no longer married


women

4%

7%

14%

76%

93

Other

5%

13%

12%

71%

250

Single mothers

2%

28%

69%

30

Married mothers

7%

12%

74%

150

15%

85%

23

7%

No longer married
mothers
ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

Non-mothers

5%

11%

14%

70%

798

Upper class

5%

16%

11%

68%

73

Middle class

6%

10%

15%

70%

696

Low income

4%

8%

11%

77%

205

51%

49%

Working class

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

TOTAL

Favorable

Refused

6%

3%

17%

74%

20

Middle class whites

6%

9%

16%

70%

551

Middle class African


Americans

4%

20%

10%

65%

63

Middle class Hispanics

4%

7%

12%

77%

57

Middle class other races

3%

15%

8%

73%

25

Other

5%

9%

13%

74%

305

(cont.)

Page 53

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMOMID MARTIN O'MALLEY NAME ID/C

RMOMID

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Roman Catholic

5%

10%

12%

74%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

5%

8%

12%

75%

185

Mainline Protestant

4%

14%

15%

68%

280

Other

14%

6%

23%

57%

45

None

6%

6%

16%

72%

262

At least once a week

4%

12%

15%

69%

336

At least once a month

3%

12%

11%

74%

157

Infrequently

8%

9%

13%

70%

191

Never

6%

11%

6%

76%

44

Active Roman Catholics

6%

9%

16%

69%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

2%

8%

15%

75%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

3%

15%

16%

65%

131

Active other

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Favorable

17%

11%

10%

61%

17

Other

6%

9%

13%

72%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

3%

12%

17%

68%

133

Male not evangelical

6%

11%

13%

70%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

4%

11%

11%

74%

179

Female not evangelical

6%

7%

15%

72%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

2%

8%

14%

76%

222

Non-white Evangelical

6%

19%

14%

61%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

2%

10%

14%

74%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

4%

23%

13%

59%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

5%

4%

11%

81%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

9%

13%

15%

63%

39

Approve

8%

8%

14%

70%

453

Unsure

4%

2%

14%

80%

62

Disapprove

3%

12%

14%

71%

487

Jobs

6%

10%

13%

71%

135

Economy

7%

10%

12%

70%

228

Health care

7%

6%

20%

67%

99

Illegal immigration

2%

15%

14%

69%

78

Foreign threats

5%

8%

14%

74%

116

Deficit

2%

15%

17%

65%

76

75%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

5%

7%

13%

(cont.)

Page 54

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMOMID MARTIN O'MALLEY NAME ID/C

RMOMID

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Cutting taxes

3%

17%

5%

75%

71

Reducing deficit

5%

11%

10%

74%

126

Creating jobs

4%

9%

17%

70%

203

Increase wages

10%

10%

15%

65%

132

Healthcare costs

5%

4%

22%

69%

98

Retirement

7%

1%

18%

74%

41

Higher education

7%

5%

8%

80%

101

Regulations

3%

18%

19%

60%

65

Combination

5%

10%

14%

71%

141

89%

11

None

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Favorable

11%

Unsure

6%

17%

6%

72%

12

Views close to own

7%

10%

15%

68%

352

Most effective person

5%

8%

13%

74%

571

Both

3%

15%

14%

68%

48

Unsure

9%

16%

20%

56%

30

Very worried

3%

13%

11%

72%

318

Somewhat worried

4%

7%

15%

73%

405

Not too worried

10%

8%

15%

67%

214

Not at all worried

9%

13%

15%

Combination
Unsure

63%

56

100%

8%

28%

64%

8
245

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

11%

7%

11%

71%

Unsure

10%

6%

19%

66%

63

No

3%

11%

15%

72%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

7%

8%

16%

70%

510

3%

8%

89%

85

13%

69%

406

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Unsure
Disapprove

5%

13%

Very worried

4%

19%

8%

69%

112

Somewhat worried

4%

11%

12%

73%

283

Not too worried

4%

7%

16%

73%

341

Not at all worried

9%

7%

16%

68%

258

100%

Combination
Unsure
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT
IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

6%

31%

63%

Yes

7%

12%

16%

66%

645

No

3%

5%

11%

81%

356

Approve

10%

8%

17%

65%

295

Unsure

8%

5%

21%

67%

45

Disapprove

4%

17%

13%

66%

306

(cont.)

Page 55

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMOMID MARTIN O'MALLEY NAME ID/C

RMOMID

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Yes

6%

8%

15%

71%

628

No

5%

11%

11%

73%

245

Not sure

4%

14%

14%

69%

128

4 of 4

87%

8%

5%

3 of 4

7%

7%

22%

63%

112

2 of 4

6%

7%

14%

72%

221

1 of 4

1%

9%

10%

80%

214

0 of 4

2%

12%

14%

72%

427

5-7 of 7

3%

20%

18%

59%

150

4 of 7

2%

13%

16%

69%

96

3 of 7

8%

13%

17%

62%

91

2 of 7

6%

10%

17%

67%

87

1 of 7

4%

5%

11%

80%

164

0 of 7

7%

6%

12%

75%

413

5%

10%

14%

71%

1001

26

Page 56

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REWID ELIZABETH WARREN NAME ID/C

REWID

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

24%

19%

16%

40%

1001

Northeast

38%

19%

14%

29%

195

Midwest

22%

17%

18%

43%

181

South

20%

23%

16%

40%

235

South Central

21%

13%

16%

49%

96

Central Plains

17%

18%

21%

44%

83

Mountain States

14%

18%

16%

51%

70

West

27%

22%

12%

40%

141

California

30%

22%

9%

39%

89

Florida

18%

28%

18%

36%

58

Texas

26%

10%

15%

49%

71

New York

30%

21%

14%

35%

56

Rest of country

24%

19%

17%

40%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

20%

17%

15%

48%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

23%

20%

20%

37%

320

No Senate election

27%

20%

14%

39%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

20%

20%

17%

43%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

30%

21%

16%

33%

366

No Gubernatorial election

23%

16%

13%

48%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

19%

22%

17%

42%

241

Other

26%

19%

15%

40%

760

Male

22%

24%

16%

38%

480

Female

26%

16%

16%

42%

521

Male / employed

22%

22%

17%

39%

324

Male / not employed

23%

27%

13%

37%

157

Female / employed

26%

13%

17%

44%

281

Female / not employed

27%

18%

14%

40%

240

Not employed

24%

12%

8%

56%

133

Employed

24%

18%

17%

41%

605

Retired

27%

28%

15%

30%

252

Refused

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

6%

8%

45%

41%

11

18-34

18%

10%

16%

57%

200

35-44

23%

16%

19%

42%

280

45-64

28%

23%

12%

37%

310

65 or over

29%

27%

17%

27%

200

Unsure / refused

20%

31%

16%

33%

10

18-44

21%

13%

18%

48%

480

45-64

28%

23%

12%

37%

310

65+

29%

27%

17%

27%

200

Unsure / refused

20%

31%

16%

33%

10

(cont.)

Page 57

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REWID ELIZABETH WARREN NAME ID/C

REWID

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Male / under 55

18%

19%

17%

46%

302

Male / 55+

29%

32%

13%

26%

179

Female / under 55

26%

11%

15%

48%

315

Female / 55+

27%

22%

17%

33%

205

White

26%

21%

15%

37%

751

Black / African American

19%

12%

17%

52%

120

Hispanic / Latino

15%

12%

17%

56%

90

Other

25%

28%

14%

32%

40

White millenials 18-34

23%

10%

16%

51%

128

White older voters 35+

27%

23%

15%

34%

623

10%

10%

80%

24

24%

12%

19%

44%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

9%

7%

20%

65%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

20%

17%

14%

49%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

30%

19%

6%

46%

Other races older voters


35+

24%

30%

16%

29%

32

White seniors

29%

29%

16%

26%

255

Other

23%

16%

16%

45%

746

White men

24%

25%

16%

36%

368

White women

29%

17%

15%

39%

382

Black men

20%

13%

13%

54%

50

Black women

19%

11%

21%

50%

70

Hispanic men

14%

20%

21%

45%

42

Hispanic women

16%

5%

13%

66%

48

Republican

11%

31%

20%

39%

390

Independent

21%

25%

13%

41%

190

Democrat

39%

7%

14%

41%

420

9%

34%

19%

37%

214

Female / GOP

12%

26%

20%

42%

176

Male / DEM

40%

6%

13%

40%

161

Female / DEM

38%

7%

14%

42%

259

Male / IND

21%

27%

12%

39%

105

Female / IND

22%

21%

13%

44%

85

Under 55 / GOP

9%

23%

19%

49%

223

55 & over / GOP

12%

41%

20%

26%

168

Under 55 / DEM

33%

6%

15%

46%

269

55 & over / DEM

49%

7%

12%

33%

151

Under 55 / IND

21%

19%

13%

47%

125

55 & over / IND

22%

36%

12%

31%

65

African American
millenials 18-34
African American older
voters 35+

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL

Favorable

Male / GOP

(cont.)

Page 58

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REWID ELIZABETH WARREN NAME ID/C

REWID

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Republican

11%

33%

17%

39%

448

Ticket splitter

13%

15%

15%

57%

61

Democrat

39%

7%

15%

39%

492

Hard GOP

10%

31%

19%

41%

360

Soft GOP

16%

45%

12%

27%

92

Ticket splitter

10%

13%

14%

63%

64

Soft DEM

33%

9%

19%

39%

84

Hard DEM

40%

6%

14%

40%

401

Conservative

11%

30%

16%

44%

536

Moderate

20%

9%

20%

52%

76

Liberal

44%

7%

15%

34%

389

9%

38%

17%

35%

187

Somewhat conservative

11%

25%

15%

48%

348

Moderate / liberal

40%

7%

16%

37%

465

Republican

11%

31%

20%

39%

390

Independent

21%

25%

13%

41%

190

9%

5%

17%

69%

103

Mod / lib DEM

48%

7%

13%

32%

318

Liberal DEM

50%

7%

14%

30%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

14%

8%

17%

60%

157

Independent

13%

15%

15%

57%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

12%

12%

23%

53%

69

Conservative GOP

10%

37%

16%

37%

379

8%

52%

11%

29%

93

Yes

14%

37%

13%

35%

68

No / unsure

27%

14%

17%

42%

840

Less than high school

14%

16%

9%

61%

53

High school graduate

16%

15%

13%

56%

227

Some college

17%

20%

17%

45%

219

College graduate

33%

21%

17%

29%

503

Male college graduates

29%

27%

17%

27%

248

Male non-college
graduates

16%

20%

14%

50%

232

Female college graduates

36%

16%

17%

31%

254

Female non-college
graduates

17%

15%

15%

53%

266

White non-college
graduate

18%

19%

14%

49%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

12%

13%

17%

59%

149

Others

33%

21%

17%

29%

503

Union household

29%

24%

17%

30%

127

Non-union household

24%

19%

16%

42%

874

Very conservative

Conservative DEM

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

Favorable

Yes / strongly

(cont.)

Page 59

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REWID ELIZABETH WARREN NAME ID/C

REWID

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Single

23%

11%

17%

49%

215

Married

25%

23%

16%

36%

607

No longer married

25%

17%

13%

46%

179

Dad

20%

22%

21%

37%

171

Mom

23%

10%

16%

51%

203

Married / children

24%

19%

17%

40%

299

Married / no children

25%

27%

16%

32%

308

5%

2%

21%

72%

22

Divorced / no children

28%

20%

8%

43%

60

Single / children

17%

3%

27%

53%

42

Single / no children

25%

14%

14%

47%

173

Other / mixed

27%

18%

14%

41%

97

Single women

22%

6%

21%

51%

98

Married women

29%

19%

16%

37%

304

No longer married women

24%

15%

11%

49%

118

Single men

25%

16%

13%

47%

117

Married men

21%

28%

17%

35%

302

No longer married men

25%

19%

17%

39%

61

White single men

31%

17%

13%

39%

75

White single women

36%

8%

8%

48%

46

White married men

22%

28%

17%

34%

244

White married women

29%

19%

18%

34%

243

White no longer married


men

24%

21%

16%

40%

49

White no longer married


women

24%

17%

12%

47%

93

Other

19%

15%

17%

50%

250

32%

65%

30

Divorced / children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

TOTAL

Favorable

Single mothers

3%

Married mothers

30%

14%

12%

44%

150

No longer married
mothers

7%

2%

16%

76%

23

Non-mothers

25%

22%

16%

38%

798

Upper class

31%

25%

7%

36%

73

Middle class

26%

21%

16%

37%

696

Low income

17%

12%

17%

54%

205

Working class

29%

35%

35%

Refused

23%

30%

15%

33%

20

Middle class whites

28%

22%

16%

34%

551

Middle class African


Americans

20%

15%

21%

44%

63

Middle class Hispanics

14%

14%

13%

60%

57

Middle class other races

32%

29%

6%

33%

25

Other

21%

16%

15%

48%

305

(cont.)

Page 60

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REWID ELIZABETH WARREN NAME ID/C

REWID

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Roman Catholic

21%

23%

18%

39%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

13%

27%

17%

42%

185

Mainline Protestant

20%

23%

18%

39%

280

Other

30%

14%

17%

40%

45

None

38%

8%

10%

43%

262

At least once a week

18%

23%

20%

39%

336

At least once a month

18%

32%

10%

41%

157

Infrequently

22%

19%

19%

39%

191

Never

31%

14%

18%

37%

44

Active Roman Catholics

21%

16%

20%

43%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

11%

30%

19%

40%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

21%

22%

22%

35%

131

Active other

22%

14%

12%

52%

17

Other

28%

18%

14%

41%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

12%

37%

14%

38%

133

Male not evangelical

26%

19%

17%

39%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

16%

18%

19%

47%

179

Female not evangelical

32%

14%

14%

40%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

16%

28%

17%

39%

222

Non-white Evangelical

12%

21%

15%

52%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

14%

35%

17%

34%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

7%

27%

11%

54%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

20%

9%

17%

55%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

18%

13%

20%

49%

39

Approve

40%

8%

15%

38%

453

Unsure

16%

4%

24%

56%

62

Disapprove

11%

32%

16%

41%

487

Jobs

29%

15%

14%

43%

135

Economy

31%

17%

10%

43%

228

Health care

34%

5%

19%

42%

99

Illegal immigration

18%

24%

15%

43%

78

Foreign threats

16%

32%

23%

29%

116

Deficit

14%

24%

16%

45%

76

40%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

21%

21%

18%

(cont.)

Page 61

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REWID ELIZABETH WARREN NAME ID/C

REWID

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Cutting taxes

18%

34%

9%

38%

71

Reducing deficit

14%

23%

22%

41%

126

Creating jobs

23%

19%

19%

39%

203

Increase wages

50%

8%

8%

35%

132

Healthcare costs

18%

15%

22%

45%

98

Retirement

18%

9%

13%

60%

41

Higher education

31%

6%

13%

50%

101

Regulations

10%

53%

11%

26%

65

Combination

22%

19%

17%

42%

141

None

68%

17%

15%

11

45%

20%

35%

12

Unsure
CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Favorable

Views close to own

33%

21%

16%

30%

352

Most effective person

19%

18%

16%

48%

571

Both

17%

27%

20%

35%

48

Unsure

38%

16%

11%

35%

30

Very worried

15%

29%

16%

40%

318

Somewhat worried

23%

15%

17%

45%

405

Not too worried

40%

14%

15%

31%

214

Not at all worried

28%

15%

5%

52%

56

Combination

42%

Unsure

58%

3%

5%

54%

38%

8
245

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

35%

11%

11%

43%

Unsure

21%

14%

21%

45%

63

No

21%

23%

17%

39%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

33%

10%

18%

39%

510

Unsure

7%

8%

19%

67%

85

Disapprove

17%

33%

13%

37%

406

Very worried

13%

29%

17%

42%

112

Somewhat worried

14%

25%

22%

39%

283

Not too worried

28%

18%

11%

42%

341

Not at all worried

37%

11%

14%

38%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

100%

Unsure

6%

31%

63%

Yes

29%

26%

17%

28%

645

No

16%

7%

13%

64%

356

Approve

48%

10%

20%

23%

295

Unsure

17%

21%

28%

34%

45

Disapprove

12%

43%

14%

31%

306

(cont.)

Page 62

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REWID ELIZABETH WARREN NAME ID/C

REWID

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Yes

32%

16%

14%

38%

628

No

11%

25%

17%

47%

245

Not sure

15%

25%

21%

39%

128

4 of 4

82%

3 of 4

90%

3%

5%

1%

112

2 of 4

24%

10%

20%

46%

221

1 of 4

16%

10%

14%

60%

214

0 of 4

8%

34%

17%

40%

427

5-7 of 7

26

18%

9%

60%

13%

18%

150

4 of 7

15%

32%

20%

34%

96

3 of 7

12%

23%

22%

43%

91

2 of 7

26%

12%

19%

43%

87

1 of 7

22%

9%

18%

51%

164

0 of 7

36%

7%

13%

45%

413

24%

19%

16%

40%

1001

Page 63

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJEBID JEB BUSH NAME ID/C

RJEBID

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

35%

48%

11%

6%

1001

Northeast

28%

57%

12%

3%

195

Midwest

32%

48%

13%

6%

181

South

42%

44%

9%

5%

235

South Central

43%

34%

16%

7%

96

Central Plains

34%

55%

4%

7%

83

Mountain States

35%

37%

18%

10%

70

West

31%

53%

7%

10%

141

California

34%

54%

3%

8%

89

Florida

50%

39%

5%

5%

58

Texas

46%

26%

19%

9%

71

New York

35%

53%

10%

1%

56

Rest of country

33%

49%

12%

6%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

39%

40%

13%

8%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

31%

52%

12%

5%

320

No Senate election

36%

48%

10%

6%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

37%

42%

13%

8%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

31%

57%

8%

4%

366

No Gubernatorial election

37%

44%

13%

6%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

38%

45%

11%

6%

241

Other

34%

49%

11%

6%

760

Male

40%

45%

10%

5%

480

Female

30%

51%

12%

7%

521

Male / employed

39%

46%

11%

5%

324

Male / not employed

43%

44%

8%

5%

157

Female / employed

25%

52%

16%

7%

281

Female / not employed

36%

49%

8%

7%

240

Not employed

27%

52%

6%

14%

133

Employed

32%

49%

13%

6%

605

Retired

46%

44%

8%

1%

252

Refused

12%

56%

16%

16%

11

18-34

26%

43%

14%

17%

200

35-44

31%

52%

13%

3%

280

45-64

35%

52%

10%

3%

310

65 or over

47%

42%

7%

4%

200

Unsure / refused

53%

27%

18%

2%

10

18-44

29%

48%

14%

9%

480

45-64

35%

52%

10%

3%

310

65+

47%

42%

7%

4%

200

Unsure / refused

53%

27%

18%

2%

10

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 64

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJEBID JEB BUSH NAME ID/C

RJEBID

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Male / under 55

38%

44%

10%

7%

302

Male / 55+

43%

46%

10%

1%

179

Female / under 55

23%

54%

14%

10%

315

Female / 55+

42%

46%

9%

3%

205

White

40%

45%

11%

4%

751

Black / African American

16%

68%

12%

5%

120

Hispanic / Latino

27%

38%

12%

23%

90

Other

17%

70%

11%

3%

40

White millenials 18-34

33%

38%

16%

12%

128

White older voters 35+

41%

46%

10%

3%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

11%

63%

6%

20%

24

African American older


voters 35+

17%

69%

13%

1%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

17%

38%

13%

32%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

36%

37%

12%

15%

49

6%

83%

6%

6%

Other races older voters


35+

19%

67%

12%

2%

32

White seniors

49%

42%

7%

3%

255

Other

30%

50%

13%

7%

746

White men

44%

44%

9%

3%

368

White women

36%

46%

12%

6%

382

Black men

29%

54%

12%

5%

50

Black women

6%

78%

11%

5%

70

Hispanic men

30%

37%

11%

22%

42

Hispanic women

25%

38%

13%

24%

48

Republican

57%

26%

12%

4%

390

Independent

33%

48%

10%

9%

190

Democrat

15%

68%

11%

7%

420

Male / GOP

59%

28%

10%

4%

214

Female / GOP

55%

25%

16%

5%

176

Male / DEM

17%

66%

11%

5%

161

Female / DEM

13%

69%

11%

8%

259

Male / IND

37%

47%

9%

7%

105

Female / IND

29%

50%

10%

11%

85

Under 55 / GOP

52%

30%

13%

6%

223

55 & over / GOP

64%

22%

12%

1%

168

Under 55 / DEM

14%

65%

13%

9%

269

55 & over / DEM

16%

73%

8%

3%

151

Under 55 / IND

28%

50%

10%

12%

125

55 & over / IND

44%

44%

8%

3%

65

Other races millenials


18-34

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL

Favorable

(cont.)

Page 65

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJEBID JEB BUSH NAME ID/C

RJEBID

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Republican

55%

29%

12%

4%

448

Ticket splitter

33%

34%

10%

23%

61

Democrat

16%

67%

11%

6%

492

Hard GOP

58%

26%

12%

4%

360

Soft GOP

45%

38%

10%

8%

92

Ticket splitter

34%

35%

12%

19%

64

Soft DEM

25%

61%

9%

5%

84

Hard DEM

14%

69%

11%

6%

401

Conservative

49%

34%

11%

6%

536

Moderate

27%

44%

13%

17%

76

Liberal

17%

68%

11%

4%

389

Very conservative

49%

35%

9%

7%

187

Somewhat conservative

49%

33%

13%

6%

348

Moderate / liberal

19%

64%

11%

6%

465

Republican

57%

26%

12%

4%

390

Independent

33%

48%

10%

9%

190

Conservative DEM

20%

54%

14%

12%

103

Mod / lib DEM

13%

72%

10%

5%

318

Liberal DEM

14%

74%

10%

3%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

22%

53%

13%

12%

157

Independent

33%

34%

10%

23%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

39%

33%

16%

12%

69

Conservative GOP

58%

28%

11%

3%

379

Yes / strongly

38%

50%

8%

4%

93

Yes

61%

30%

5%

3%

68

No / unsure

32%

49%

12%

7%

840

Less than high school

38%

31%

7%

24%

53

High school graduate

33%

45%

10%

12%

227

Some college

35%

43%

16%

6%

219

College graduate

35%

53%

10%

2%

503

Male college graduates

39%

49%

10%

2%

248

Male non-college
graduates

41%

41%

10%

8%

232

Female college graduates

32%

57%

10%

1%

254

Female non-college
graduates

29%

44%

14%

13%

266

White non-college
graduate

41%

38%

13%

8%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

20%

53%

11%

16%

149

Others

35%

53%

10%

2%

503

Union household

27%

55%

12%

5%

127

Non-union household

36%

47%

11%

6%

874

(cont.)

Page 66

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJEBID JEB BUSH NAME ID/C

RJEBID

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Single

25%

48%

12%

15%

215

Married

38%

47%

10%

4%

607

No longer married

35%

49%

13%

3%

179

Dad

41%

44%

11%

4%

171

Mom

24%

53%

14%

10%

203

Married / children

34%

51%

10%

5%

299

Married / no children

43%

44%

11%

3%

308

Divorced / children

10%

47%

38%

5%

22

Divorced / no children

29%

58%

10%

3%

60

Single / children

21%

35%

22%

22%

42

Single / no children

26%

51%

10%

13%

173

Other / mixed

44%

44%

8%

3%

97

Single women

18%

50%

14%

17%

98

Married women

32%

51%

11%

5%

304

No longer married women

34%

49%

14%

3%

118

Single men

31%

46%

10%

13%

117

Married men

44%

44%

10%

2%

302

No longer married men

37%

49%

11%

4%

61

White single men

30%

49%

14%

7%

75

White single women

34%

37%

16%

13%

46

White married men

49%

41%

8%

2%

244

White married women

36%

49%

11%

5%

243

White no longer married


men

39%

48%

8%

4%

49

White no longer married


women

38%

42%

16%

4%

93

Other

20%

57%

12%

11%

250

Single mothers

10%

35%

29%

26%

30

Married mothers

26%

57%

9%

8%

150

No longer married
mothers

25%

47%

27%

Non-mothers

38%

47%

10%

5%

798

Upper class

40%

52%

5%

3%

73

Middle class

38%

46%

12%

5%

696

Low income

26%

50%

11%

12%

205

Working class

11%

67%

22%

Refused

23%

56%

20%

2%

20

Middle class whites

42%

43%

12%

3%

551

Middle class African


Americans

13%

69%

13%

5%

63

Middle class Hispanics

30%

41%

11%

18%

57

Middle class other races

15%

74%

9%

2%

25

Other

29%

52%

10%

10%

305

23

(cont.)

Page 67

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJEBID JEB BUSH NAME ID/C

RJEBID

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Roman Catholic

38%

43%

12%

7%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

38%

45%

11%

6%

185

Mainline Protestant

41%

44%

11%

4%

280

Other

30%

49%

14%

7%

45

None

24%

58%

10%

8%

262

At least once a week

38%

42%

14%

6%

336

At least once a month

41%

45%

7%

7%

157

Infrequently

37%

47%

11%

5%

191

Never

28%

69%

2%

1%

44

Active Roman Catholics

37%

41%

15%

7%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

41%

40%

12%

7%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

38%

45%

13%

4%

131

Active other

36%

26%

22%

16%

17

Other

33%

51%

10%

6%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

39%

46%

9%

6%

133

Male not evangelical

41%

45%

10%

5%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

40%

44%

11%

5%

179

Female not evangelical

25%

54%

13%

8%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

47%

38%

9%

6%

222

Non-white Evangelical

22%

61%

12%

5%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

54%

34%

9%

4%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

27%

59%

11%

3%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

25%

51%

12%

12%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

14%

65%

14%

7%

39

Approve

18%

65%

11%

6%

453

Unsure

35%

28%

14%

22%

62

Disapprove

50%

35%

11%

4%

487

Jobs

28%

59%

4%

9%

135

Economy

30%

56%

7%

7%

228

Health care

22%

55%

18%

5%

99

Illegal immigration

41%

47%

10%

2%

78

Foreign threats

51%

33%

12%

4%

116

Deficit

45%

28%

22%

5%

76

7%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

35%

45%

12%

(cont.)

Page 68

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJEBID JEB BUSH NAME ID/C

RJEBID

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Cutting taxes

35%

50%

8%

6%

71

Reducing deficit

51%

34%

13%

2%

126

Creating jobs

39%

45%

9%

7%

203

Increase wages

11%

69%

12%

8%

132

Healthcare costs

46%

43%

7%

4%

98

Retirement

30%

47%

15%

7%

41

Higher education

20%

56%

11%

13%

101

Regulations

43%

52%

5%

Combination

35%

42%

18%

5%

141

None

34%

47%

2%

17%

11

Unsure

62%

24%

11%

2%

12

Views close to own

26%

61%

9%

4%

352

Most effective person

41%

40%

12%

8%

571

Both

36%

50%

12%

2%

48

Unsure

24%

44%

24%

9%

30

Very worried

38%

45%

10%

7%

318

Somewhat worried

33%

48%

12%

7%

405

Not too worried

34%

52%

11%

3%

214

Not at all worried

33%

53%

9%

5%

56

Combination

65

100%

Unsure

33%

8%

35%

24%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

30%

50%

14%

5%

245

Unsure

28%

43%

16%

13%

63

No

37%

47%

10%

6%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

29%

55%

13%

4%

510

Unsure

20%

43%

15%

22%

85

Disapprove

46%

40%

8%

6%

406

Very worried

42%

40%

9%

10%

112

Somewhat worried

40%

39%

15%

6%

283

Not too worried

34%

52%

10%

4%

341

Not at all worried

27%

57%

9%

7%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

100%

Unsure

45%

19%

36%

Yes

38%

52%

9%

2%

645

No

30%

40%

16%

14%

356

Approve

26%

64%

9%

1%

295

Unsure

33%

55%

12%

Disapprove

49%

40%

8%

3%

306

45

(cont.)

Page 69

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJEBID JEB BUSH NAME ID/C

RJEBID

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Yes

31%

54%

9%

5%

628

No

40%

42%

11%

7%

245

Not sure

43%

27%

21%

8%

128

4 of 4

23%

69%

8%

3 of 4

11%

79%

8%

2%

112

2 of 4

23%

64%

10%

3%

221

1 of 4

27%

46%

11%

15%

214

0 of 4

52%

31%

13%

5%

427

5-7 of 7

72%

20%

8%

150

4 of 7

65%

27%

8%

96

3 of 7

53%

37%

10%

91

2 of 7

49%

34%

13%

4%

87

1 of 7

32%

44%

15%

9%

164

9%

70%

11%

10%

413

35%

48%

11%

6%

1001

0 of 7
TOTAL

TOTAL

Favorable

26

Page 70

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTCID TED CRUZ NAME ID/C

RTCID

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

25%

33%

16%

26%

1001

Northeast

18%

41%

20%

21%

195

Midwest

25%

29%

14%

32%

181

South

27%

27%

17%

29%

235

South Central

41%

34%

14%

11%

96

Central Plains

23%

27%

14%

36%

83

Mountain States

24%

28%

18%

30%

70

West

20%

43%

12%

25%

141

California

24%

45%

9%

22%

89

Florida

34%

26%

7%

33%

58

Texas

42%

38%

9%

11%

71

New York

17%

40%

18%

25%

56

Rest of country

23%

31%

18%

28%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

30%

27%

15%

27%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

24%

35%

18%

23%

320

No Senate election

23%

34%

15%

28%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

28%

28%

13%

30%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

20%

42%

17%

22%

366

No Gubernatorial election

25%

28%

20%

26%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

25%

29%

18%

28%

241

Other

25%

34%

15%

26%

760

Male

28%

36%

15%

21%

480

Female

21%

31%

17%

31%

521

Male / employed

28%

37%

15%

21%

324

Male / not employed

30%

33%

15%

21%

157

Female / employed

18%

31%

17%

34%

281

Female / not employed

25%

30%

17%

28%

240

Not employed

21%

27%

15%

38%

133

Employed

23%

34%

16%

27%

605

Retired

32%

34%

16%

18%

252

Refused

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

5%

21%

26%

47%

11

18-34

14%

25%

23%

37%

200

35-44

26%

34%

16%

25%

280

45-64

24%

38%

12%

26%

310

65 or over

34%

33%

16%

18%

200

Unsure / refused

42%

31%

10%

17%

10

18-44

21%

30%

19%

30%

480

45-64

24%

38%

12%

26%

310

65+

34%

33%

16%

18%

200

Unsure / refused

42%

31%

10%

17%

10

(cont.)

Page 71

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTCID TED CRUZ NAME ID/C

RTCID

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Male / under 55

25%

35%

16%

24%

302

Male / 55+

34%

37%

13%

16%

179

Female / under 55

18%

29%

18%

36%

315

Female / 55+

26%

34%

15%

24%

205

White

28%

32%

16%

24%

751

Black / African American

13%

37%

15%

35%

120

Hispanic / Latino

12%

35%

15%

37%

90

Other

29%

30%

22%

20%

40

White millenials 18-34

19%

26%

21%

34%

128

White older voters 35+

30%

34%

15%

22%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

10%

10%

46%

34%

24

African American older


voters 35+

13%

44%

8%

35%

96

31%

16%

53%

41

Hispanic millenials 18-34

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

Hispanic older voters 35+

22%

38%

15%

24%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

21%

30%

28%

21%

Other races older voters


35+

31%

30%

20%

19%

32

White seniors

32%

34%

17%

17%

255

Other

22%

33%

16%

29%

746

White men

31%

37%

14%

18%

368

White women

24%

28%

18%

30%

382

Black men

15%

34%

12%

39%

50

Black women

11%

40%

18%

31%

70

Hispanic men

16%

38%

20%

25%

42

9%

32%

11%

48%

48

Republican

45%

15%

20%

21%

390

Independent

26%

31%

14%

29%

190

Hispanic women
RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

Democrat
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL

Favorable

5%

52%

13%

30%

420

Male / GOP

48%

18%

18%

16%

214

Female / GOP

42%

10%

21%

27%

176

Male / DEM

3%

61%

11%

25%

161

Female / DEM

6%

46%

15%

34%

259

Male / IND

27%

33%

14%

25%

105

Female / IND

25%

28%

14%

33%

85

Under 55 / GOP

40%

15%

20%

25%

223

55 & over / GOP

52%

14%

18%

15%

168

Under 55 / DEM

5%

47%

15%

32%

269

55 & over / DEM

4%

59%

10%

27%

151

Under 55 / IND

22%

28%

15%

34%

125

55 & over / IND

33%

35%

13%

18%

65

(cont.)

Page 72

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTCID TED CRUZ NAME ID/C

RTCID

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Republican

47%

15%

18%

20%

448

Ticket splitter

11%

21%

19%

49%

61

Democrat

6%

51%

14%

29%

492

Hard GOP

47%

14%

19%

20%

360

Soft GOP

51%

15%

13%

21%

92

Ticket splitter

9%

37%

14%

40%

64

Soft DEM

6%

44%

18%

32%

84

Hard DEM

5%

52%

13%

30%

401

Conservative

41%

18%

15%

26%

536

Moderate

6%

27%

33%

34%

76

Liberal

6%

56%

13%

25%

389

Very conservative

55%

15%

13%

17%

187

Somewhat conservative

34%

19%

17%

30%

348

Moderate / liberal
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

Favorable

6%

51%

17%

27%

465

Republican

45%

15%

20%

21%

390

Independent

26%

31%

14%

29%

190

Conservative DEM

8%

24%

15%

52%

103

Mod / lib DEM

4%

60%

13%

23%

318

Liberal DEM

4%

62%

11%

23%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

9%

28%

20%

43%

157

Independent

11%

21%

19%

49%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

15%

15%

33%

36%

69

Conservative GOP

53%

15%

15%

17%

379

Yes / strongly

67%

6%

8%

19%

93

Yes

61%

11%

15%

14%

68

No / unsure

17%

38%

17%

28%

840

Less than high school

23%

11%

13%

52%

53

High school graduate

23%

19%

17%

41%

227

Some college

26%

31%

19%

25%

219

College graduate

25%

43%

15%

17%

503

Male college graduates

30%

44%

13%

12%

248

Male non-college
graduates

27%

27%

17%

30%

232

Female college graduates

20%

41%

16%

22%

254

Female non-college
graduates

22%

21%

18%

40%

266

White non-college
graduate

29%

22%

16%

33%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

12%

26%

21%

41%

149

Others

25%

43%

15%

17%

503

Union household

21%

41%

15%

23%

127

Non-union household

25%

32%

16%

27%

874

(cont.)

Page 73

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTCID TED CRUZ NAME ID/C

RTCID

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Single

14%

39%

18%

30%

215

Married

30%

33%

15%

22%

607

No longer married

20%

28%

17%

35%

179

Dad

36%

30%

18%

16%

171

Mom

19%

21%

19%

42%

203

Married / children

29%

28%

16%

27%

299

Married / no children

30%

37%

15%

18%

308

5%

7%

40%

48%

22

Divorced / no children

18%

34%

13%

34%

60

Single / children

21%

12%

27%

39%

42

Single / no children

12%

45%

15%

28%

173

Other / mixed

25%

29%

14%

32%

97

Single women

11%

31%

24%

34%

98

Married women

25%

32%

14%

29%

304

No longer married women

20%

27%

18%

34%

118

Single men

16%

45%

13%

26%

117

Married men

35%

33%

16%

16%

302

No longer married men

21%

29%

14%

37%

61

White single men

21%

53%

10%

16%

75

White single women

16%

33%

19%

32%

46

White married men

36%

33%

15%

15%

244

White married women

27%

31%

15%

27%

243

White no longer married


men

23%

29%

14%

34%

49

White no longer married


women

23%

20%

22%

35%

93

Other

15%

35%

16%

33%

250

Single mothers

17%

3%

35%

44%

30

Married mothers

21%

26%

13%

40%

150

No longer married
mothers

7%

10%

33%

50%

23

Non-mothers

26%

36%

15%

22%

798

Upper class

23%

55%

8%

14%

73

Middle class

28%

33%

15%

24%

696

Low income

15%

25%

21%

39%

205

3%

40%

57%

Refused

17%

43%

20%

20%

20

Middle class whites

31%

32%

15%

22%

551

Middle class African


Americans

17%

40%

15%

28%

63

Middle class Hispanics

13%

36%

14%

37%

57

Middle class other races

26%

40%

16%

18%

25

Other

17%

34%

18%

32%

305

Divorced / children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

Working class

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

TOTAL

Favorable

(cont.)

Page 74

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTCID TED CRUZ NAME ID/C

RTCID

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Roman Catholic

26%

31%

15%

29%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

36%

19%

18%

27%

185

Mainline Protestant

32%

30%

17%

21%

280

Other

20%

42%

13%

25%

45

None
RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Favorable

9%

45%

16%

30%

262

At least once a week

36%

23%

17%

24%

336

At least once a month

32%

26%

16%

26%

157

Infrequently

20%

40%

15%

25%

191

Never

25%

36%

14%

26%

44

Active Roman Catholics

25%

30%

18%

27%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

42%

21%

17%

20%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

37%

21%

18%

24%

131

Active other

40%

15%

18%

26%

17

Other

19%

38%

15%

27%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

44%

20%

12%

24%

133

Male not evangelical

23%

42%

16%

20%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

27%

20%

22%

31%

179

Female not evangelical

18%

36%

14%

31%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

41%

13%

19%

27%

222

Non-white Evangelical

18%

37%

14%

30%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

51%

10%

17%

22%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

24%

30%

14%

33%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

8%

23%

25%

43%

55

12%

46%

15%

28%

39

Approve

7%

54%

13%

27%

453

Unsure

7%

17%

24%

52%

62

Disapprove

43%

16%

18%

23%

487

Jobs

18%

41%

8%

33%

135

Economy

18%

47%

9%

26%

228

Health care

13%

43%

16%

28%

99

Illegal immigration

39%

20%

20%

21%

78

Foreign threats

39%

13%

23%

25%

116

Deficit

30%

23%

23%

24%

76

25%

268

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians
RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

26%

29%

20%

(cont.)

Page 75

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTCID TED CRUZ NAME ID/C

RTCID

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Cutting taxes

43%

17%

7%

32%

71

Reducing deficit

44%

18%

18%

21%

126

Creating jobs

19%

39%

15%

27%

203

Increase wages

3%

62%

11%

24%

132

Healthcare costs

24%

29%

21%

27%

98

Retirement

10%

14%

26%

50%

41

Higher education

11%

43%

18%

28%

101

Regulations

56%

14%

18%

12%

65

Combination

26%

31%

17%

26%

141

9%

53%

8%

30%

11

Unsure

52%

3%

20%

25%

12

Views close to own

30%

40%

10%

20%

352

Most effective person

21%

29%

19%

30%

571

Both

25%

33%

18%

24%

48

Unsure

29%

23%

23%

26%

30

Very worried

38%

19%

14%

29%

318

Somewhat worried

21%

32%

18%

28%

405

Not too worried

15%

54%

14%

17%

214

Not at all worried

13%

45%

12%

30%

56

None

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Favorable

Combination

100%

Unsure

3%

87%

10%

8
245

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

15%

47%

7%

30%

Unsure

14%

30%

24%

32%

63

No

29%

29%

18%

24%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

14%

43%

16%

27%

510

Unsure

8%

23%

26%

42%

85

Disapprove

41%

23%

13%

22%

406

Very worried

34%

19%

12%

35%

112

Somewhat worried

37%

21%

17%

24%

283

Not too worried

19%

35%

18%

28%

341

Not at all worried

14%

50%

13%

23%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

100%

Unsure

19%

66%

15%

Yes

30%

42%

14%

13%

645

No

14%

17%

19%

50%

356

Approve

7%

69%

11%

12%

295

Unsure

26%

30%

12%

33%

45

Disapprove

53%

18%

17%

11%

306

(cont.)

Page 76

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTCID TED CRUZ NAME ID/C

RTCID

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Yes

18%

43%

13%

25%

628

No

32%

17%

19%

32%

245

Not sure

41%

15%

23%

21%

128

4 of 4

8%

87%

5%

3 of 4

3%

88%

6%

3%

112

2 of 4

5%

47%

15%

32%

221

1 of 4

14%

21%

17%

48%

214

0 of 4

47%

14%

19%

20%

427

5-7 of 7

78%

11%

8%

4%

150

4 of 7

48%

22%

19%

11%

96

3 of 7

49%

14%

22%

15%

91

2 of 7

18%

28%

27%

27%

87

1 of 7

10%

32%

19%

39%

164

2%

49%

13%

35%

413

25%

33%

16%

26%

1001

0 of 7
TOTAL

TOTAL

Favorable

26

Page 77

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSWID SCOTT WALKER NAME ID/C

RSWID

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

22%

19%

12%

47%

1001

Northeast

14%

27%

17%

41%

195

Midwest

24%

22%

9%

46%

181

South

26%

14%

10%

51%

235

South Central

20%

15%

10%

56%

96

Central Plains

22%

21%

20%

37%

83

Mountain States

26%

15%

6%

53%

70

West

20%

17%

14%

48%

141

California

23%

17%

13%

48%

89

Florida

38%

17%

6%

40%

58

Texas

15%

16%

12%

57%

71

New York

13%

29%

15%

44%

56

Rest of country

22%

19%

13%

47%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

19%

13%

10%

58%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

25%

19%

15%

41%

320

No Senate election

21%

22%

11%

46%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

25%

17%

11%

47%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

19%

24%

15%

41%

366

No Gubernatorial election

19%

15%

11%

55%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

28%

19%

11%

42%

241

Other

20%

19%

13%

49%

760

Male

28%

17%

13%

41%

480

Female

16%

20%

12%

52%

521

Male / employed

28%

18%

14%

40%

324

Male / not employed

27%

17%

12%

43%

157

Female / employed

13%

21%

12%

54%

281

Female / not employed

19%

20%

11%

50%

240

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

Not employed

9%

17%

8%

66%

133

Employed

21%

19%

13%

47%

605

Retired

30%

20%

14%

36%

252

Refused

7%

4%

13%

76%

11

18-34

8%

15%

14%

63%

200

35-44

19%

17%

14%

50%

280

45-64

24%

21%

9%

45%

310

65 or over

34%

22%

13%

31%

200

Unsure / refused

48%

9%

16%

27%

10

18-44

15%

16%

14%

55%

480

45-64

24%

21%

9%

45%

310

65+

34%

22%

13%

31%

200

Unsure / refused

48%

9%

16%

27%

10

(cont.)

Page 78

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSWID SCOTT WALKER NAME ID/C

RSWID

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Male / under 55

22%

15%

13%

50%

302

Male / 55+

38%

21%

13%

28%

179

Female / under 55

10%

19%

13%

58%

315

Female / 55+

25%

22%

10%

43%

205

White

25%

19%

14%

42%

751

7%

22%

6%

66%

120

Hispanic / Latino

12%

17%

10%

61%

90

Other

20%

13%

13%

54%

40

White millenials 18-34

10%

18%

15%

58%

128

White older voters 35+

29%

19%

13%

39%

623

10%

16%

74%

24

Black / African American

African American
millenials 18-34

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

African American older


voters 35+

9%

25%

3%

64%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

3%

14%

10%

74%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

19%

20%

11%

50%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

29%

6%

15%

51%

Other races older voters


35+

17%

15%

13%

54%

32

White seniors

34%

24%

11%

30%

255

Other

17%

17%

13%

53%

746

White men

32%

18%

14%

36%

368

White women

19%

20%

13%

48%

382

Black men

13%

13%

5%

69%

50

Black women

2%

28%

7%

63%

70

Hispanic men

13%

19%

17%

51%

42

Hispanic women

10%

16%

4%

70%

48

Republican

39%

6%

13%

42%

390

Independent

26%

14%

10%

50%

190

Democrat
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL

Favorable

3%

34%

13%

50%

420

Male / GOP

46%

6%

15%

33%

214

Female / GOP

31%

5%

10%

54%

176

Male / DEM

4%

35%

13%

48%

161

Female / DEM

13%

51%

259

3%

33%

Male / IND

28%

14%

9%

48%

105

Female / IND

23%

14%

12%

52%

85

Under 55 / GOP

29%

6%

13%

52%

223

55 & over / GOP

54%

4%

12%

30%

168

Under 55 / DEM

4%

29%

14%

54%

269

55 & over / DEM

2%

43%

11%

43%

151

Under 55 / IND

18%

12%

11%

58%

125

55 & over / IND

40%

18%

9%

34%

65

(cont.)

Page 79

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSWID SCOTT WALKER NAME ID/C

RSWID

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

42%

5%

11%

42%

448

Ticket splitter

7%

10%

15%

68%

61

Democrat

5%

33%

13%

49%

492

Hard GOP

41%

5%

12%

42%

360

Soft GOP

43%

4%

11%

41%

92

Ticket splitter

14%

11%

9%

67%

64

Soft DEM

10%

24%

14%

52%

84

Hard DEM

3%

35%

13%

49%

401

Republican

Conservative

36%

7%

10%

47%

536

Moderate

8%

17%

17%

58%

76

Liberal

4%

37%

15%

45%

389

Very conservative

50%

5%

8%

37%

187

Somewhat conservative

29%

8%

11%

53%

348

Moderate / liberal
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

5%

33%

15%

47%

465

Republican

39%

6%

13%

42%

390

Independent

26%

14%

10%

50%

190

Conservative DEM

6%

13%

8%

73%

103

Mod / lib DEM

3%

40%

14%

43%

318

Liberal DEM

3%

41%

16%

40%

335

10%

14%

8%

68%

157

7%

10%

15%

68%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

12%

7%

18%

63%

69

Conservative GOP

47%

5%

10%

38%

379

Yes / strongly

62%

2%

8%

27%

93

Yes

53%

2%

6%

39%

68

No / unsure

15%

22%

13%

50%

840

Less than high school

17%

7%

16%

60%

53

High school graduate

18%

10%

9%

63%

227

Some college

24%

19%

10%

47%

219

College graduate

23%

24%

14%

39%

503

Male college graduates

32%

22%

15%

31%

248

Male non-college
graduates

24%

12%

11%

53%

232

Female college graduates

13%

27%

14%

46%

254

Female non-college
graduates

18%

15%

9%

58%

266

White non-college
graduate

25%

13%

10%

52%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

10%

15%

11%

64%

149

Others

23%

24%

14%

39%

503

Union household

20%

27%

16%

37%

127

Non-union household

22%

18%

12%

48%

874

Mod / conservative DEM


Independent

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

Favorable

(cont.)

Page 80

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSWID SCOTT WALKER NAME ID/C

RSWID

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Single

11%

20%

10%

60%

215

Married

26%

19%

14%

41%

607

No longer married

19%

18%

11%

51%

179

Dad

28%

12%

17%

43%

171

Mom

10%

19%

13%

59%

203

Married / children

21%

17%

16%

46%

299

Married / no children

31%

21%

11%

36%

308

8%

10%

11%

72%

22

22%

22%

6%

50%

60

7%

14%

10%

70%

42

Single / no children

12%

21%

10%

58%

173

Other / mixed

20%

18%

15%

47%

97

Single women

5%

21%

10%

64%

98

Married women

20%

21%

13%

46%

304

No longer married women

14%

19%

10%

57%

118

Single men

15%

19%

10%

56%

117

Married men

33%

17%

14%

36%

302

No longer married men

28%

18%

13%

41%

61

White single men

17%

24%

13%

46%

75

White single women

10%

26%

5%

60%

46

White married men

37%

17%

14%

32%

244

White married women

22%

20%

15%

43%

243

White no longer married


men

32%

16%

13%

39%

49

White no longer married


women

16%

17%

13%

53%

93

Other

11%

19%

9%

62%

250

Single mothers

2%

20%

11%

67%

30

Married mothers

13%

20%

14%

54%

150

No longer married
mothers

3%

9%

10%

78%

23

Non-mothers

25%

19%

12%

44%

798

Upper class

28%

35%

7%

29%

73

Middle class

24%

18%

13%

45%

696

Low income

12%

14%

15%

60%

205

3%

57%

40%

Refused

16%

29%

3%

51%

20

Middle class whites

28%

18%

14%

40%

551

Middle class African


Americans

9%

20%

9%

61%

63

Middle class Hispanics

8%

19%

7%

66%

57

Middle class other races

18%

13%

13%

57%

25

Other

16%

21%

12%

51%

305

Divorced / children
Divorced / no children
Single / children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

Working class

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

TOTAL

Favorable

(cont.)

Page 81

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSWID SCOTT WALKER NAME ID/C

RSWID

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Roman Catholic

27%

18%

11%

44%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

27%

8%

13%

52%

185

Mainline Protestant

27%

15%

13%

45%

280

Other

17%

27%

11%

45%

45

None
RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Favorable

8%

31%

13%

49%

262

At least once a week

28%

13%

11%

47%

336

At least once a month

28%

12%

13%

47%

157

Infrequently

20%

20%

14%

45%

191

Never

26%

20%

10%

44%

44

Active Roman Catholics

22%

24%

8%

46%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

33%

7%

12%

48%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

28%

11%

15%

46%

131

Active other

29%

15%

56%

17

Other

18%

22%

13%

47%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

41%

7%

10%

41%

133

Male not evangelical

23%

21%

14%

41%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

19%

12%

9%

60%

179

Female not evangelical

14%

25%

13%

48%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

35%

6%

12%

48%

222

Non-white Evangelical

12%

22%

3%

63%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

45%

4%

11%

40%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

20%

11%

3%

66%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

5%

9%

16%

70%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

3%

36%

2%

59%

39

Approve

5%

35%

14%

47%

453

Unsure

10%

12%

15%

64%

62

Disapprove

39%

5%

11%

45%

487

Jobs

13%

30%

14%

43%

135

Economy

18%

25%

10%

48%

228

5%

24%

16%

56%

99

Illegal immigration

39%

7%

6%

49%

78

Foreign threats

38%

9%

18%

36%

116

Deficit

36%

10%

12%

42%

76

51%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Health care

Other

19%

18%

12%

(cont.)

Page 82

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSWID SCOTT WALKER NAME ID/C

RSWID

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Cutting taxes

43%

5%

7%

46%

71

Reducing deficit

37%

8%

16%

39%

126

Creating jobs

18%

20%

15%

47%

203

Increase wages

3%

49%

11%

36%

132

Healthcare costs

18%

14%

15%

53%

98

Retirement

9%

20%

9%

62%

41

Higher education

5%

21%

11%

63%

101

Regulations

58%

6%

5%

31%

65

Combination

21%

16%

13%

50%

141

None

12%

12%

6%

70%

11

Unsure

40%

1%

11%

48%

12

Views close to own

25%

25%

12%

38%

352

Most effective person

20%

15%

11%

54%

571

Both

18%

24%

22%

36%

48

Unsure

11%

13%

28%

47%

30

Very worried

31%

8%

11%

51%

318

Somewhat worried

19%

20%

12%

50%

405

Not too worried

17%

31%

17%

34%

214

Not at all worried

11%

33%

7%

48%

56

58%

Combination

42%

Unsure

8%

30%

62%

8
245

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

14%

27%

11%

48%

Unsure

13%

18%

25%

44%

63

No

25%

16%

12%

47%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

13%

28%

13%

47%

510

Unsure

5%

9%

16%

70%

85

Disapprove

36%

11%

11%

43%

406

Very worried

28%

8%

7%

57%

112

Somewhat worried

31%

11%

12%

47%

283

Not too worried

20%

19%

14%

46%

341

Not at all worried

11%

33%

12%

44%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

100%

Unsure

6%

31%

63%

Yes

29%

24%

13%

34%

645

No

9%

10%

11%

70%

356

Approve

9%

43%

16%

32%

295

Unsure

24%

18%

12%

46%

45

Disapprove

48%

7%

11%

35%

306

(cont.)

Page 83

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSWID SCOTT WALKER NAME ID/C

RSWID

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Yes

17%

26%

12%

45%

628

No

29%

4%

13%

54%

245

Not sure

33%

11%

13%

43%

128

4 of 4

8%

84%

5%

3%

26

3 of 4

5%

65%

15%

15%

112

2 of 4

5%

23%

11%

62%

221

1 of 4

12%

13%

16%

59%

214

0 of 4

41%

4%

11%

44%

427

5-7 of 7

79%

2%

7%

12%

150

4 of 7

43%

6%

8%

43%

96

3 of 7

29%

15%

15%

42%

91

2 of 7

13%

12%

19%

57%

87

1 of 7

5%

16%

13%

65%

164

3%

32%

13%

52%

413

22%

19%

12%

47%

1001

0 of 7
TOTAL

TOTAL

Favorable

Page 84

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMRID MARCO RUBIO NAME ID/C

RMRID

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

31%

30%

13%

26%

1001

Northeast

24%

39%

14%

23%

195

Midwest

29%

28%

14%

30%

181

South

38%

24%

12%

26%

235

South Central

33%

30%

18%

19%

96

Central Plains

28%

28%

17%

28%

83

Mountain States

36%

22%

12%

31%

70

West

31%

35%

10%

25%

141

California

34%

34%

9%

23%

89

Florida

55%

29%

4%

12%

58

Texas

26%

35%

21%

18%

71

New York

23%

40%

14%

23%

56

Rest of country

30%

28%

14%

28%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

27%

25%

18%

30%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

31%

32%

13%

24%

320

No Senate election

33%

30%

12%

25%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

34%

27%

14%

25%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

28%

38%

13%

22%

366

No Gubernatorial election

31%

22%

14%

33%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

38%

26%

10%

26%

241

Other

29%

31%

15%

26%

760

Male

38%

29%

14%

19%

480

Female

24%

30%

13%

32%

521

Male / employed

38%

29%

14%

19%

324

Male / not employed

37%

30%

13%

20%

157

Female / employed

22%

30%

14%

34%

281

Female / not employed

27%

31%

12%

30%

240

Not employed

20%

30%

8%

42%

133

Employed

31%

30%

14%

26%

605

Retired

38%

31%

13%

18%

252

Refused

16%

18%

54%

12%

11

18-34

21%

23%

20%

37%

200

35-44

28%

29%

15%

27%

280

45-64

34%

36%

8%

22%

310

65 or over

39%

30%

13%

18%

200

Unsure / refused

54%

15%

8%

23%

10

18-44

25%

27%

17%

31%

480

45-64

34%

36%

8%

22%

310

65+

39%

30%

13%

18%

200

Unsure / refused

54%

15%

8%

23%

10

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 85

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMRID MARCO RUBIO NAME ID/C

RMRID

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Male / under 55

34%

28%

16%

22%

302

Male / 55+

45%

31%

10%

13%

179

Female / under 55

19%

29%

16%

36%

315

Female / 55+

33%

32%

9%

26%

205

White

35%

28%

14%

23%

751

8%

44%

7%

42%

120

Hispanic / Latino

25%

31%

15%

29%

90

Other

39%

25%

20%

16%

40

White millenials 18-34

25%

23%

22%

31%

128

White older voters 35+

37%

29%

12%

22%

623

20%

6%

74%

24

Black / African American

African American
millenials 18-34

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

African American older


voters 35+

10%

50%

7%

33%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

16%

24%

21%

39%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

33%

37%

9%

21%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

44%

15%

35%

6%

Other races older voters


35+

37%

28%

17%

18%

32

White seniors

43%

30%

11%

15%

255

Other

27%

30%

14%

29%

746

White men

41%

29%

15%

15%

368

White women

29%

27%

13%

31%

382

Black men

16%

39%

2%

43%

50

Black women

2%

48%

10%

40%

70

Hispanic men

30%

31%

20%

20%

42

Hispanic women

21%

31%

10%

38%

48

Republican

56%

10%

16%

17%

390

Independent

34%

23%

10%

33%

190

Democrat
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL

Favorable

6%

51%

12%

30%

420

Male / GOP

61%

11%

16%

11%

214

Female / GOP

50%

9%

17%

25%

176

Male / DEM

6%

56%

14%

23%

161

Female / DEM

11%

35%

259

6%

48%

Male / IND

39%

24%

9%

28%

105

Female / IND

27%

22%

11%

40%

85

Under 55 / GOP

49%

10%

20%

20%

223

55 & over / GOP

65%

10%

11%

13%

168

Under 55 / DEM

6%

48%

14%

32%

269

55 & over / DEM

6%

57%

10%

27%

151

Under 55 / IND

27%

20%

12%

40%

125

55 & over / IND

47%

28%

6%

20%

65

(cont.)

Page 86

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMRID MARCO RUBIO NAME ID/C

RMRID

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Republican

57%

11%

15%

18%

448

Ticket splitter

23%

19%

17%

41%

61

Democrat

8%

49%

12%

31%

492

Hard GOP

57%

11%

16%

17%

360

Soft GOP

58%

10%

12%

20%

92

Ticket splitter

27%

18%

15%

41%

64

Soft DEM

15%

33%

16%

36%

84

Hard DEM

5%

53%

11%

30%

401

Conservative

49%

15%

12%

25%

536

Moderate

23%

20%

21%

36%

76

8%

53%

14%

25%

389

Very conservative

57%

14%

10%

19%

187

Somewhat conservative

45%

15%

12%

28%

348

Moderate / liberal

10%

47%

16%

27%

465

Republican

56%

10%

16%

17%

390

Independent

34%

23%

10%

33%

190

Conservative DEM

11%

30%

9%

50%

103

5%

58%

13%

24%

318

Liberal
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

Mod / lib DEM


PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

Favorable

Liberal DEM

6%

58%

12%

23%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

13%

28%

12%

47%

157

Independent

23%

19%

17%

41%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

25%

11%

30%

34%

69

Conservative GOP

63%

11%

12%

15%

379

Yes / strongly

67%

13%

5%

15%

93

Yes

67%

11%

8%

14%

68

No / unsure

24%

33%

15%

28%

840

Less than high school

27%

12%

7%

53%

53

High school graduate

24%

23%

14%

39%

227

Some college

32%

29%

13%

26%

219

College graduate

34%

35%

14%

17%

503

Male college graduates

42%

33%

14%

11%

248

Male non-college
graduates

34%

25%

13%

28%

232

Female college graduates

26%

37%

14%

23%

254

Female non-college
graduates

23%

24%

12%

41%

266

White non-college
graduate

34%

22%

12%

32%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

15%

31%

14%

41%

149

Others

34%

35%

14%

17%

503

Union household

25%

39%

18%

18%

127

Non-union household

32%

29%

13%

27%

874

(cont.)

Page 87

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMRID MARCO RUBIO NAME ID/C

RMRID

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Single

18%

38%

15%

29%

215

Married

36%

27%

14%

23%

607

No longer married

28%

28%

11%

32%

179

Dad

47%

25%

15%

13%

171

Mom

22%

28%

15%

35%

203

Married / children

37%

26%

15%

22%

299

Married / no children

36%

29%

12%

23%

308

Divorced / children

22%

17%

16%

45%

22

Divorced / no children

29%

34%

10%

27%

60

Single / children

11%

40%

18%

31%

42

Single / no children

19%

38%

14%

29%

173

Other / mixed

29%

28%

11%

32%

97

Single women

14%

36%

14%

36%

98

Married women

28%

30%

13%

30%

304

No longer married women

24%

29%

13%

35%

118

Single men

21%

41%

15%

24%

117

Married men

45%

25%

14%

16%

302

No longer married men

37%

28%

8%

27%

61

White single men

22%

45%

17%

17%

75

White single women

23%

28%

15%

34%

46

White married men

48%

23%

15%

14%

244

White married women

30%

28%

13%

28%

243

White no longer married


men

38%

30%

8%

23%

49

White no longer married


women

28%

24%

13%

36%

93

Other

19%

36%

12%

33%

250

Single mothers

9%

32%

18%

40%

30

Married mothers

25%

28%

14%

33%

150

No longer married
mothers

21%

19%

19%

41%

23

Non-mothers

33%

30%

13%

23%

798

Upper class

32%

43%

6%

18%

73

Middle class

35%

30%

14%

21%

696

Low income

17%

25%

15%

44%

205

3%

40%

57%

Refused

33%

26%

17%

24%

20

Middle class whites

39%

27%

14%

20%

551

Middle class African


Americans

9%

51%

12%

28%

63

Middle class Hispanics

31%

33%

12%

24%

57

Middle class other races

36%

31%

19%

14%

25

Other

21%

29%

12%

37%

305

Working class

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

TOTAL

Favorable

(cont.)

Page 88

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMRID MARCO RUBIO NAME ID/C

RMRID

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Roman Catholic

40%

25%

10%

26%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

36%

23%

12%

28%

185

Mainline Protestant

34%

24%

18%

25%

280

Other

41%

33%

6%

21%

45

None

16%

43%

14%

26%

262

At least once a week

40%

22%

13%

25%

336

At least once a month

38%

21%

17%

24%

157

Infrequently

29%

32%

12%

26%

191

Never

35%

35%

7%

23%

44

Active Roman Catholics

41%

25%

12%

22%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

43%

19%

11%

26%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

33%

22%

17%

28%

131

Active other

64%

15%

1%

20%

17

Other

27%

34%

14%

26%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

48%

20%

12%

20%

133

Male not evangelical

34%

33%

14%

19%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

30%

21%

15%

34%

179

Female not evangelical

21%

36%

12%

31%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

44%

13%

17%

26%

222

Non-white Evangelical

22%

37%

7%

34%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

56%

11%

13%

20%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

30%

29%

4%

37%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

10%

18%

28%

43%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

11%

48%

10%

31%

39

Approve

10%

51%

12%

26%

453

Unsure

17%

16%

16%

51%

62

Disapprove

52%

12%

14%

22%

487

Jobs

17%

42%

10%

32%

135

Economy

29%

34%

11%

26%

228

Health care

14%

39%

21%

26%

99

Illegal immigration

44%

26%

11%

19%

78

Foreign threats

50%

13%

17%

20%

116

Deficit

43%

13%

16%

28%

76

26%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

31%

31%

13%

(cont.)

Page 89

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMRID MARCO RUBIO NAME ID/C

RMRID

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Cutting taxes

50%

13%

15%

22%

71

Reducing deficit

46%

19%

14%

21%

126

Creating jobs

28%

34%

12%

26%

203

Increase wages

9%

56%

7%

28%

132

Healthcare costs

29%

18%

28%

25%

98

Retirement

21%

18%

18%

43%

41

Higher education

16%

38%

14%

32%

101

Regulations

62%

16%

13%

9%

65

Combination

35%

29%

8%

29%

141

7%

62%

23%

8%

11

17%

32%

12

None

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Favorable

Unsure

52%

Views close to own

33%

35%

13%

18%

352

Most effective person

30%

26%

13%

31%

571

Both

28%

34%

20%

18%

48

Unsure

31%

27%

13%

29%

30

Very worried

44%

17%

12%

27%

318

Somewhat worried

26%

32%

15%

28%

405

Not too worried

25%

42%

12%

22%

214

Not at all worried

20%

45%

16%

20%

56

Combination

100%

Unsure

8%

54%

38%

8
245

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

22%

40%

13%

25%

Unsure

13%

36%

15%

35%

63

No

36%

26%

13%

25%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

21%

39%

16%

24%

510

Unsure

6%

23%

18%

53%

85

Disapprove

48%

20%

9%

22%

406

Very worried

39%

19%

10%

32%

112

Somewhat worried

40%

23%

14%

23%

283

Not too worried

31%

29%

14%

26%

341

Not at all worried

19%

43%

13%

25%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

100%

Unsure

6%

31%

63%

Yes

38%

37%

13%

12%

645

No

17%

17%

14%

51%

356

Approve

17%

58%

14%

11%

295

Unsure

36%

21%

22%

22%

45

Disapprove

59%

19%

12%

10%

306

(cont.)

Page 90

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMRID MARCO RUBIO NAME ID/C

RMRID

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Yes

26%

38%

13%

23%

628

No

36%

16%

15%

33%

245

Not sure

44%

17%

13%

26%

128

4 of 4

3%

26

21%

76%

3 of 4

7%

78%

9%

6%

112

2 of 4

10%

44%

18%

29%

221

1 of 4

20%

23%

11%

46%

214

0 of 4

54%

11%

14%

21%

427

5-7 of 7

91%

2%

6%

4 of 7

67%

11%

12%

9%

96

3 of 7

51%

18%

20%

11%

91

2 of 7

36%

26%

20%

18%

87

1 of 7

12%

33%

12%

44%

164

3%

47%

14%

36%

413

31%

30%

13%

26%

1001

0 of 7
TOTAL

TOTAL

Favorable

150

Page 91

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RRPID RAND PAUL NAME ID/C

RRPID

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

32%

37%

13%

18%

1001

Northeast

27%

48%

11%

14%

195

Midwest

34%

31%

16%

19%

181

South

35%

38%

9%

18%

235

South Central

32%

23%

17%

28%

96

Central Plains

32%

30%

15%

23%

83

Mountain States

40%

23%

16%

21%

70

West

28%

48%

9%

15%

141

California

30%

47%

6%

17%

89

Florida

32%

39%

10%

19%

58

Texas

26%

26%

15%

33%

71

New York

29%

47%

10%

14%

56

Rest of country

33%

36%

14%

17%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

32%

31%

12%

25%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

34%

38%

14%

14%

320

No Senate election

31%

39%

12%

18%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

32%

31%

13%

24%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

31%

45%

12%

13%

366

No Gubernatorial election

33%

36%

14%

17%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

36%

37%

12%

15%

241

Other

31%

37%

13%

19%

760

Male

38%

34%

15%

14%

480

Female

27%

40%

11%

22%

521

Male / employed

38%

35%

18%

10%

324

Male / not employed

37%

33%

8%

22%

157

Female / employed

28%

41%

10%

21%

281

Female / not employed

26%

38%

11%

24%

240

Not employed

28%

26%

8%

38%

133

Employed

33%

38%

14%

15%

605

Retired

33%

40%

12%

16%

252

Refused

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

7%

54%

11%

28%

11

18-34

23%

32%

16%

28%

200

35-44

35%

33%

14%

18%

280

45-64

32%

42%

10%

15%

310

65 or over

36%

40%

10%

14%

200

Unsure / refused

44%

20%

19%

17%

10

18-44

30%

33%

15%

22%

480

45-64

32%

42%

10%

15%

310

65+

36%

40%

10%

14%

200

Unsure / refused

44%

20%

19%

17%

10

(cont.)

Page 92

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RRPID RAND PAUL NAME ID/C

RRPID

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Male / under 55

37%

30%

17%

16%

302

Male / 55+

38%

41%

10%

11%

179

Female / under 55

26%

38%

11%

26%

315

Female / 55+

29%

43%

11%

18%

205

White

36%

37%

13%

14%

751

Black / African American

11%

43%

11%

35%

120

Hispanic / Latino

20%

30%

16%

33%

90

Other

40%

36%

9%

15%

40

White millenials 18-34

25%

35%

19%

21%

128

White older voters 35+

39%

37%

11%

13%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

16%

10%

10%

64%

24

African American older


voters 35+

10%

51%

11%

28%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

17%

34%

14%

36%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

24%

27%

18%

31%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

43%

45%

6%

6%

Other races older voters


35+

39%

34%

10%

17%

32

White seniors

36%

42%

11%

12%

255

Other

31%

35%

13%

21%

746

White men

40%

36%

14%

10%

368

White women

33%

38%

11%

18%

382

Black men

17%

32%

8%

42%

50

Black women

6%

51%

12%

30%

70

Hispanic men

36%

23%

25%

16%

42

7%

36%

9%

49%

48

Republican

53%

20%

15%

11%

390

Independent

39%

30%

12%

19%

190

Hispanic women
RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

Democrat
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL

Favorable

9%

56%

11%

25%

420

Male / GOP

56%

20%

16%

7%

214

Female / GOP

50%

21%

13%

17%

176

Male / DEM

8%

57%

12%

22%

161

Female / DEM

9%

55%

10%

26%

259

Male / IND

44%

27%

14%

15%

105

Female / IND

33%

34%

10%

24%

85

Under 55 / GOP

51%

18%

17%

14%

223

55 & over / GOP

56%

24%

12%

8%

168

Under 55 / DEM

11%

50%

12%

26%

269

55 & over / DEM

5%

65%

8%

22%

151

Under 55 / IND

38%

27%

12%

23%

125

55 & over / IND

41%

35%

13%

11%

65

(cont.)

Page 93

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RRPID RAND PAUL NAME ID/C

RRPID

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Republican

55%

22%

13%

10%

448

Ticket splitter

25%

16%

13%

47%

61

Democrat

12%

53%

12%

22%

492

Hard GOP

55%

20%

14%

11%

360

Soft GOP

54%

22%

12%

12%

92

Ticket splitter

30%

33%

11%

26%

64

Soft DEM

22%

41%

12%

25%

84

Hard DEM

9%

56%

11%

24%

401

Conservative

46%

24%

13%

17%

536

Moderate

24%

25%

17%

34%

76

Liberal

14%

58%

11%

17%

389

Very conservative

58%

15%

12%

15%

187

Somewhat conservative

40%

29%

13%

18%

348

Moderate / liberal

16%

52%

12%

20%

465

Republican

53%

20%

15%

11%

390

Independent

39%

30%

12%

19%

190

Conservative DEM

9%

32%

14%

45%

103

Mod / lib DEM

9%

63%

10%

18%

318

Liberal DEM

12%

62%

11%

15%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

14%

34%

13%

39%

157

Independent

25%

16%

13%

47%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

32%

21%

22%

26%

69

Conservative GOP

59%

22%

12%

7%

379

Yes / strongly

65%

13%

9%

14%

93

Yes

72%

13%

8%

7%

68

No / unsure

25%

42%

13%

20%

840

Less than high school

34%

13%

7%

46%

53

High school graduate

25%

31%

14%

30%

227

Some college

35%

32%

13%

19%

219

College graduate

33%

44%

12%

10%

503

Male college graduates

37%

41%

16%

5%

248

Male non-college
graduates

38%

26%

13%

23%

232

Female college graduates

29%

47%

9%

15%

254

Female non-college
graduates

25%

33%

13%

30%

266

White non-college
graduate

37%

30%

12%

21%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

15%

29%

15%

40%

149

Others

33%

44%

12%

10%

503

Union household

23%

42%

19%

15%

127

Non-union household

33%

36%

12%

19%

874

(cont.)

Page 94

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RRPID RAND PAUL NAME ID/C

RRPID

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Single

23%

40%

12%

26%

215

Married

37%

36%

13%

14%

607

No longer married

27%

36%

11%

26%

179

Dad

42%

24%

21%

12%

171

Mom

30%

34%

8%

28%

203

Married / children

39%

28%

16%

17%

299

Married / no children

35%

44%

11%

10%

308

Divorced / children

19%

48%

34%

22

Divorced / no children

26%

38%

10%

26%

60

Single / children

19%

33%

10%

38%

42

Single / no children

24%

41%

12%

23%

173

Other / mixed

29%

32%

15%

24%

97

Single women

13%

43%

12%

31%

98

Married women

33%

39%

10%

18%

304

No longer married women

23%

38%

12%

27%

118

Single men

31%

37%

11%

21%

117

Married men

41%

33%

17%

9%

302

No longer married men

34%

32%

11%

23%

61

White single men

34%

38%

15%

13%

75

White single women

22%

41%

10%

27%

46

White married men

43%

35%

15%

7%

244

White married women

36%

38%

10%

15%

243

White no longer married


men

35%

34%

11%

20%

49

White no longer married


women

28%

36%

13%

22%

93

Other

19%

37%

12%

31%

250

Single mothers

14%

32%

10%

44%

30

Married mothers

34%

33%

9%

24%

150

No longer married
mothers

25%

43%

32%

23

Non-mothers

32%

38%

14%

16%

798

Upper class

34%

47%

5%

14%

73

Middle class

35%

38%

12%

14%

696

Low income

21%

26%

16%

37%

205

Working class

11%

67%

22%

Refused

26%

52%

5%

16%

20

Middle class whites

40%

37%

13%

10%

551

Middle class African


Americans

15%

50%

5%

30%

63

Middle class Hispanics

18%

33%

15%

33%

57

Middle class other races

38%

43%

4%

14%

25

Other

24%

34%

13%

29%

305

(cont.)

Page 95

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RRPID RAND PAUL NAME ID/C

RRPID

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Roman Catholic

33%

31%

14%

21%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

37%

33%

10%

20%

185

Mainline Protestant

38%

32%

15%

15%

280

Other

36%

43%

7%

14%

45

None

19%

49%

12%

21%

262

At least once a week

40%

31%

14%

15%

336

At least once a month

37%

31%

15%

17%

157

Infrequently

29%

37%

10%

24%

191

Never

29%

43%

14%

14%

44

Active Roman Catholics

33%

35%

15%

17%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

42%

32%

9%

17%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

38%

29%

18%

15%

131

Active other

72%

23%

5%

Other

28%

40%

12%

20%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

46%

27%

12%

15%

133

Male not evangelical

34%

37%

16%

14%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

29%

35%

15%

21%

179

17

Female not evangelical

26%

42%

8%

23%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

42%

28%

15%

14%

222

Non-white Evangelical

21%

39%

11%

29%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

50%

26%

16%

8%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

30%

36%

11%

23%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

18%

33%

15%

33%

55

8%

44%

11%

37%

39

Approve

12%

55%

11%

21%

453

Unsure

16%

23%

27%

34%

62

Disapprove

52%

22%

12%

14%

487

Jobs

25%

46%

9%

21%

135

Economy

28%

43%

11%

18%

228

Health care

18%

46%

13%

22%

99

Illegal immigration

49%

26%

8%

17%

78

Foreign threats

42%

29%

16%

12%

116

Deficit

46%

24%

21%

9%

76

22%

268

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians
RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

31%

34%

13%

(cont.)

Page 96

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RRPID RAND PAUL NAME ID/C

RRPID

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Cutting taxes

46%

24%

6%

24%

71

Reducing deficit

56%

21%

14%

8%

126

Creating jobs

26%

47%

9%

18%

203

Increase wages

11%

59%

11%

19%

132

Healthcare costs

29%

28%

19%

25%

98

Retirement

24%

32%

16%

29%

41

Higher education

14%

46%

13%

27%

101

Regulations

66%

21%

12%

Combination

32%

32%

17%

19%

141

None

21%

56%

4%

19%

11

Unsure

72%

10%

5%

14%

12

Views close to own

39%

40%

11%

10%

352

Most effective person

27%

36%

13%

24%

571

Both

34%

38%

16%

12%

48

Unsure

43%

21%

18%

18%

30

Very worried

41%

24%

12%

23%

318

Somewhat worried

31%

40%

14%

15%

405

Not too worried

24%

50%

11%

14%

214

Not at all worried

24%

37%

9%

29%

56

58%

Combination

42%

Unsure

65

8%

30%

62%

8
245

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

22%

44%

11%

23%

Unsure

18%

35%

15%

32%

63

No

37%

35%

13%

15%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

27%

45%

14%

14%

510

Unsure

9%

28%

16%

48%

85

Disapprove

43%

29%

10%

17%

406

Very worried

40%

22%

9%

29%

112

Somewhat worried

34%

33%

16%

17%

283

Not too worried

34%

36%

13%

17%

341

Not at all worried

23%

50%

10%

17%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination
Unsure
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT
IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

100%
6%

31%

63%

Yes

37%

44%

11%

8%

645

No

24%

25%

15%

36%

356

Approve

19%

62%

11%

8%

295

Unsure

37%

39%

14%

10%

45

Disapprove

54%

27%

11%

8%

306

(cont.)

Page 97

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RRPID RAND PAUL NAME ID/C

RRPID

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Yes

28%

44%

11%

17%

628

No

38%

26%

15%

22%

245

Not sure

40%

25%

16%

19%

128

4 of 4

26

20%

72%

8%

3 of 4

8%

80%

10%

2%

112

2 of 4

13%

51%

13%

23%

221

1 of 4

22%

28%

12%

37%

214

0 of 4

53%

20%

14%

12%

427

5-7 of 7

77%

14%

7%

1%

150

4 of 7

72%

13%

12%

4%

96

3 of 7

56%

26%

12%

6%

91

2 of 7

30%

42%

17%

11%

87

1 of 7

23%

34%

17%

26%

164

5%

53%

12%

29%

413

32%

37%

13%

18%

1001

0 of 7
TOTAL

TOTAL

Favorable

Page 98

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMHID MIKE HUCKABEE NAME ID/C

RMHID

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

34%

33%

17%

16%

1001

Northeast

24%

44%

18%

14%

195

Midwest

31%

29%

21%

19%

181

South

42%

30%

11%

16%

235

South Central

48%

22%

18%

11%

96

Central Plains

36%

28%

21%

15%

83

Mountain States

29%

34%

14%

23%

70

West

26%

40%

20%

14%

141

California

24%

46%

16%

14%

89

Florida

48%

23%

4%

26%

58

Texas

49%

25%

15%

11%

71

New York

29%

40%

18%

13%

56

Rest of country

33%

33%

18%

16%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

41%

29%

15%

15%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

33%

32%

20%

15%

320

No Senate election

31%

36%

16%

17%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

39%

27%

16%

19%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

26%

44%

17%

12%

366

No Gubernatorial election

36%

27%

19%

17%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

39%

27%

14%

21%

241

Other

32%

35%

18%

14%

760

Male

39%

32%

17%

12%

480

Female

28%

34%

17%

20%

521

Male / employed

38%

32%

19%

10%

324

Male / not employed

41%

32%

12%

15%

157

Female / employed

23%

38%

21%

18%

281

Female / not employed

35%

31%

13%

21%

240

Not employed

25%

29%

15%

31%

133

Employed

31%

35%

20%

14%

605

Retired

44%

33%

10%

12%

252

Refused

30%

15%

33%

22%

11

18-34

23%

25%

28%

24%

200

35-44

27%

39%

21%

13%

280

45-64

36%

35%

12%

17%

310

65 or over

48%

33%

9%

10%

200

Unsure / refused

63%

16%

15%

6%

10

18-44

25%

33%

24%

18%

480

45-64

36%

35%

12%

17%

310

65+

48%

33%

9%

10%

200

Unsure / refused

63%

16%

15%

6%

10

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 99

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMHID MIKE HUCKABEE NAME ID/C

RMHID

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Male / under 55

34%

31%

22%

13%

302

Male / 55+

48%

35%

7%

10%

179

Female / under 55

20%

36%

22%

22%

315

Female / 55+

41%

33%

11%

15%

205

White

39%

33%

17%

11%

751

Black / African American

11%

36%

19%

34%

120

Hispanic / Latino

24%

25%

16%

35%

90

Other

27%

47%

19%

8%

40

White millenials 18-34

27%

28%

28%

18%

128

White older voters 35+

41%

34%

15%

10%

623

6%

20%

47%

27%

24

African American older


voters 35+

13%

40%

12%

35%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

21%

16%

20%

44%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

27%

33%

14%

27%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

31%

44%

10%

15%

Other races older voters


35+

26%

47%

21%

6%

32

White seniors

50%

34%

8%

8%

255

Other

28%

33%

20%

19%

746

White men

43%

32%

17%

8%

368

White women

34%

34%

17%

15%

382

Black men

18%

28%

16%

37%

50

Black women

7%

41%

21%

31%

70

Hispanic men

31%

35%

16%

19%

42

Hispanic women

18%

16%

17%

49%

48

Republican

58%

16%

17%

9%

390

Independent

38%

31%

15%

17%

190

African American
millenials 18-34

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

Democrat
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

9%

50%

19%

22%

420

Male / GOP

59%

18%

19%

5%

214

Female / GOP

58%

14%

14%

13%

176

Male / DEM

12%

52%

15%

21%

161

Female / DEM

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL

Favorable

6%

50%

21%

23%

259

Male / IND

41%

31%

16%

12%

105

Female / IND

34%

30%

13%

23%

85

Under 55 / GOP

46%

20%

23%

11%

223

55 & over / GOP

75%

11%

8%

5%

168

Under 55 / DEM

9%

45%

24%

21%

269

55 & over / DEM

8%

60%

9%

23%

151

Under 55 / IND

31%

31%

16%

21%

125

55 & over / IND

50%

30%

11%

9%

65

(cont.)

Page 100

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMHID MIKE HUCKABEE NAME ID/C

RMHID

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Republican

59%

17%

16%

8%

448

Ticket splitter

30%

14%

20%

36%

61

Democrat

11%

51%

17%

21%

492

Hard GOP

60%

16%

16%

8%

360

Soft GOP

56%

19%

19%

6%

92

Ticket splitter

27%

23%

17%

33%

64

Soft DEM

18%

47%

13%

21%

84

Hard DEM

9%

51%

18%

21%

401

Conservative

54%

18%

13%

15%

536

Moderate

16%

24%

38%

22%

76

Liberal

10%

56%

18%

16%

389

Very conservative

63%

14%

10%

13%

187

Somewhat conservative

48%

20%

15%

16%

348

Moderate / liberal

11%

51%

21%

17%

465

Republican

58%

16%

17%

9%

390

Independent

38%

31%

15%

17%

190

Conservative DEM

17%

27%

14%

42%

103

6%

58%

20%

16%

318

Mod / lib DEM


PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

Favorable

Liberal DEM

6%

62%

18%

14%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

22%

27%

17%

34%

157

Independent

30%

14%

20%

36%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

28%

17%

36%

19%

69

Conservative GOP

64%

17%

13%

6%

379

Yes / strongly

67%

13%

7%

13%

93

Yes

66%

15%

18%

1%

68

No / unsure

27%

37%

18%

17%

840

Less than high school

32%

11%

16%

41%

53

High school graduate

32%

20%

18%

30%

227

Some college

37%

28%

20%

16%

219

College graduate

33%

45%

16%

7%

503

Male college graduates

40%

40%

15%

5%

248

Male non-college
graduates

38%

24%

19%

19%

232

Female college graduates

26%

49%

17%

8%

254

Female non-college
graduates

31%

20%

18%

31%

266

White non-college
graduate

41%

22%

19%

19%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

19%

24%

17%

40%

149

Others

33%

45%

16%

7%

503

Union household

28%

43%

21%

9%

127

Non-union household

34%

32%

17%

17%

874

(cont.)

Page 101

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMHID MIKE HUCKABEE NAME ID/C

RMHID

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Single

18%

36%

22%

24%

215

Married

38%

34%

16%

12%

607

No longer married

38%

27%

14%

20%

179

Dad

39%

30%

22%

8%

171

Mom

24%

33%

22%

21%

203

Married / children

34%

32%

20%

14%

299

Married / no children

41%

36%

13%

10%

308

Divorced / children

15%

21%

47%

17%

22

Divorced / no children

43%

28%

13%

16%

60

Single / children

15%

33%

31%

22%

42

Single / no children

19%

37%

20%

25%

173

Other / mixed

41%

28%

8%

23%

97

Single women

8%

33%

28%

31%

98

Married women

32%

37%

15%

16%

304

No longer married women

36%

29%

16%

20%

118

Single men

27%

38%

16%

18%

117

Married men

43%

32%

18%

7%

302

No longer married men

44%

24%

12%

20%

61

White single men

29%

42%

18%

11%

75

White single women

6%

41%

28%

25%

46

White married men

47%

31%

18%

5%

244

White married women

37%

36%

14%

13%

243

White no longer married


men

46%

26%

11%

17%

49

White no longer married


women

40%

27%

19%

14%

93

Other

18%

34%

18%

30%

250

Single mothers

7%

24%

44%

25%

30

Married mothers

28%

37%

14%

21%

150

No longer married
mothers

17%

22%

43%

17%

23

Non-mothers

36%

33%

16%

15%

798

Upper class

30%

48%

14%

9%

73

Middle class

37%

36%

16%

11%

696

Low income

24%

20%

22%

34%

205

Working class

11%

40%

49%

Refused

44%

40%

14%

1%

20

Middle class whites

42%

34%

16%

8%

551

Middle class African


Americans

11%

49%

20%

20%

63

Middle class Hispanics

21%

24%

17%

39%

57

Middle class other races

27%

53%

13%

7%

25

Other

26%

28%

19%

26%

305

(cont.)

Page 102

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMHID MIKE HUCKABEE NAME ID/C

RMHID

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Roman Catholic

38%

31%

16%

15%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

44%

24%

18%

15%

185

Mainline Protestant

40%

30%

18%

12%

280

Other

31%

39%

7%

23%

45

None

16%

46%

18%

20%

262

At least once a week

46%

22%

19%

14%

336

At least once a month

40%

35%

8%

16%

157

Infrequently

28%

37%

21%

14%

191

Never

33%

38%

12%

18%

44

Active Roman Catholics

42%

26%

15%

17%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

52%

19%

20%

10%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

43%

20%

22%

15%

131

Active other

51%

30%

3%

16%

17

Other

27%

39%

16%

17%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

50%

22%

15%

13%

133

Male not evangelical

35%

36%

18%

11%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

42%

20%

15%

23%

179

Female not evangelical

21%

42%

19%

18%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

55%

18%

14%

13%

222

Non-white Evangelical

22%

28%

18%

33%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

69%

15%

8%

7%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

33%

19%

9%

39%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

14%

27%

30%

30%

55

7%

38%

29%

26%

39

Approve

13%

50%

16%

21%

453

Unsure

15%

23%

26%

36%

62

Disapprove

55%

19%

17%

9%

487

Jobs

25%

39%

15%

22%

135

Economy

24%

43%

16%

17%

228

Health care

19%

40%

24%

16%

99

Illegal immigration

44%

33%

14%

8%

78

Foreign threats

57%

13%

15%

15%

116

Deficit

35%

30%

28%

6%

76

17%

268

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians
RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

38%

30%

15%

(cont.)

Page 103

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMHID MIKE HUCKABEE NAME ID/C

RMHID

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Cutting taxes

51%

25%

10%

14%

71

Reducing deficit

51%

23%

21%

5%

126

Creating jobs

28%

35%

15%

21%

203

Increase wages

11%

59%

12%

17%

132

Healthcare costs

41%

30%

15%

15%

98

Retirement

21%

26%

27%

26%

41

Higher education

15%

37%

27%

21%

101

Regulations

56%

33%

8%

4%

65

Combination

38%

23%

21%

18%

141

None

14%

53%

9%

24%

11

Unsure

64%

7%

18%

11%

12

Views close to own

36%

39%

14%

11%

352

Most effective person

31%

31%

19%

19%

571

Both

31%

27%

28%

14%

48

Unsure

51%

22%

12%

15%

30

Very worried

45%

21%

14%

20%

318

Somewhat worried

32%

32%

22%

14%

405

Not too worried

22%

52%

13%

13%

214

Not at all worried

30%

45%

11%

14%

56

42%

58%

8%

68%

24%

8
245

Combination
Unsure

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

23%

44%

12%

21%

Unsure

18%

25%

29%

27%

63

No

39%

30%

18%

13%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

23%

44%

20%

13%

510

Unsure

16%

22%

27%

36%

85

Disapprove

51%

23%

12%

15%

406

Very worried

49%

17%

10%

25%

112

Somewhat worried

47%

21%

18%

13%

283

Not too worried

27%

36%

20%

16%

341

Not at all worried

21%

51%

14%

14%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination
Unsure
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT
IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

100%

6%

13%

81%

Yes

39%

41%

13%

7%

645

No

24%

20%

26%

31%

356

Approve

15%

63%

14%

8%

295

Unsure

46%

25%

14%

15%

45

Disapprove

62%

22%

11%

6%

306

(cont.)

Page 104

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMHID MIKE HUCKABEE NAME ID/C

RMHID

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Yes

25%

44%

17%

14%

628

No

48%

16%

17%

19%

245

Not sure

51%

14%

17%

18%

128

4 of 4

3%

26

12%

85%

3 of 4

5%

84%

8%

3%

112

2 of 4

14%

41%

22%

22%

221

1 of 4

24%

24%

21%

31%

214

0 of 4

58%

17%

16%

9%

427

5-7 of 7

90%

6%

4%

150

4 of 7

57%

23%

20%

96

3 of 7

53%

28%

18%

1%

91

2 of 7

42%

34%

14%

9%

87

1 of 7

24%

34%

19%

23%

164

5%

46%

21%

27%

413

34%

33%

17%

16%

1001

0 of 7
TOTAL

TOTAL

Favorable

Page 105

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCFID CARLY FIORINA NAME ID/C

RCFID

TOTAL

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

13%

15%

13%

60%

1001

Northeast

9%

21%

15%

55%

195

Midwest

9%

9%

11%

70%

181

South

14%

11%

14%

60%

235

South Central

11%

10%

15%

64%

96

Central Plains

10%

12%

12%

65%

83

Mountain States

17%

11%

11%

62%

70

West

20%

27%

9%

44%

141

California

26%

32%

10%

32%

89

Florida

24%

12%

13%

51%

58

Texas

11%

12%

13%

65%

71

New York

11%

28%

10%

51%

56

Rest of country

10%

12%

13%

64%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

11%

11%

10%

68%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

12%

13%

18%

58%

320

No Senate election

14%

18%

11%

57%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

12%

9%

13%

66%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

14%

22%

14%

50%

366

No Gubernatorial election

12%

13%

12%

63%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

15%

11%

16%

58%

241

Other

12%

16%

12%

60%

760

Male

15%

16%

14%

55%

480

Female

10%

14%

12%

64%

521

Male / employed

15%

16%

14%

56%

324

Male / not employed

17%

16%

15%

52%

157

Female / employed

8%

15%

14%

63%

281

12%

12%

10%

66%

240

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

Female / not employed


EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

Not employed

6%

10%

9%

75%

133

Employed

12%

15%

14%

59%

605

Retired

19%

16%

13%

52%

252

Refused

5%

14%

81%

11

18-34

7%

7%

8%

78%

200

35-44

11%

13%

17%

59%

280

45-64

15%

18%

13%

55%

310

65 or over

18%

20%

12%

50%

200

Unsure / refused

31%

16%

12%

41%

10

18-44

9%

11%

13%

67%

480

45-64

15%

18%

13%

55%

310

65+

18%

20%

12%

50%

200

Unsure / refused

31%

16%

12%

41%

10

(cont.)

Page 106

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCFID CARLY FIORINA NAME ID/C

RCFID

RR96FL AGE / SEX

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Male / under 55

12%

12%

14%

62%

302

Male / 55+

21%

23%

15%

42%

179

7%

13%

13%

68%

315

Female / 55+

16%

15%

11%

59%

205

White

14%

15%

14%

57%

751

Black / African American

10%

13%

9%

68%

120

9%

17%

7%

67%

90

13%

14%

9%

64%

40

White millenials 18-34

7%

4%

11%

79%

128

White older voters 35+

15%

17%

15%

53%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

12%

10%

78%

24

African American older


voters 35+

10%

14%

11%

65%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

3%

15%

4%

78%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

14%

19%

10%

57%

49

9%

6%

9%

76%

Other races older voters


35+

14%

16%

8%

61%

32

White seniors

18%

20%

13%

49%

255

Other

11%

13%

13%

63%

746

White men

16%

16%

16%

52%

368

White women

11%

14%

13%

62%

382

Black men

13%

14%

6%

67%

50

Black women

8%

13%

11%

68%

70

Hispanic men

11%

20%

14%

55%

42

6%

15%

2%

77%

48

Republican

20%

9%

13%

57%

390

Independent

17%

11%

13%

59%

190

Female / under 55

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

Hispanic / Latino
Other
AGE AND RACE

Other races millenials


18-34

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

Hispanic women
RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

Democrat
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL

Favorable

4%

22%

13%

62%

420

Male / GOP

24%

9%

14%

53%

214

Female / GOP

16%

9%

12%

63%

176

Male / DEM

3%

28%

14%

55%

161

Female / DEM

4%

18%

12%

66%

259

Male / IND

18%

11%

13%

58%

105

Female / IND

16%

10%

12%

61%

85

Under 55 / GOP

15%

7%

15%

63%

223

55 & over / GOP

28%

12%

11%

50%

168

Under 55 / DEM

3%

19%

13%

65%

269

55 & over / DEM

4%

28%

12%

56%

151

Under 55 / IND

14%

8%

10%

69%

125

55 & over / IND

23%

16%

19%

42%

65

(cont.)

Page 107

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCFID CARLY FIORINA NAME ID/C

RCFID

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

23%

9%

14%

54%

448

Ticket splitter

9%

5%

7%

79%

61

Democrat

4%

22%

13%

62%

492

Hard GOP

21%

9%

14%

56%

360

Soft GOP

29%

7%

14%

50%

92

6%

9%

10%

75%

64

Soft DEM

11%

14%

10%

66%

84

Hard DEM

3%

23%

13%

61%

401

Republican

Ticket splitter

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

Conservative

20%

8%

12%

60%

536

Moderate

6%

15%

11%

68%

76

Liberal

4%

24%

15%

57%

389

Very conservative

26%

7%

11%

56%

187

Somewhat conservative

17%

9%

12%

62%

348

Moderate / liberal
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

4%

22%

14%

59%

465

Republican

20%

9%

13%

57%

390

Independent

17%

11%

13%

59%

190

Conservative DEM

7%

7%

9%

77%

103

Mod / lib DEM

2%

27%

14%

57%

318

Liberal DEM

3%

27%

16%

55%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

6%

10%

7%

77%

157

Independent

9%

5%

7%

79%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

12%

8%

14%

66%

69

Conservative GOP

25%

9%

14%

52%

379

Yes / strongly

39%

5%

15%

41%

93

Yes

29%

8%

12%

52%

68

9%

16%

13%

62%

840

Less than high school

13%

10%

7%

71%

53

High school graduate

10%

8%

7%

75%

227

Some college

14%

11%

11%

64%

219

College graduate

13%

20%

17%

49%

503

Male college graduates

14%

19%

19%

48%

248

Male non-college
graduates

17%

12%

9%

62%

232

Female college graduates

12%

21%

16%

51%

254

8%

7%

8%

77%

266

White non-college
graduate

13%

10%

8%

69%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

11%

9%

9%

72%

149

Others

13%

20%

17%

49%

503

Union household

11%

20%

15%

54%

127

Non-union household

13%

14%

13%

60%

874

No / unsure
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

Female non-college
graduates
SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

Favorable

(cont.)

Page 108

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCFID CARLY FIORINA NAME ID/C

RCFID

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Single

10%

11%

10%

68%

215

Married

14%

16%

15%

54%

607

No longer married

10%

14%

9%

66%

179

Dad

14%

13%

19%

54%

171

Mom
BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

9%

15%

15%

61%

203

Married / children

11%

16%

17%

57%

299

Married / no children

17%

16%

14%

52%

308

Divorced / children

10%

6%

84%

22

Divorced / no children

8%

14%

12%

67%

60

19%

5%

25%

52%

42

8%

13%

6%

72%

173

Other / mixed

12%

18%

8%

62%

97

Single women

7%

7%

12%

74%

98

Married women

11%

16%

13%

60%

304

No longer married women

10%

14%

9%

67%

118

Single men

13%

15%

9%

63%

117

Married men

17%

16%

17%

49%

302

No longer married men

12%

15%

8%

65%

61

White single men

Single / children
Single / no children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

TOTAL

Favorable

15%

16%

10%

59%

75

White single women

6%

9%

9%

76%

46

White married men

17%

16%

19%

48%

244

White married women

12%

14%

16%

59%

243

White no longer married


men

13%

15%

8%

64%

49

White no longer married


women

10%

16%

10%

64%

93

Other

10%

15%

8%

67%

250

Single mothers

20%

6%

28%

45%

30

Married mothers

7%

17%

13%

62%

150

No longer married
mothers

12%

9%

6%

73%

23

Non-mothers

14%

15%

12%

59%

798

Upper class

29%

24%

4%

44%

73

Middle class

14%

15%

15%

56%

696

Low income

4%

11%

11%

75%

205

Working class

3%

29%

68%

Refused

11%

15%

7%

66%

20

Middle class whites

15%

14%

17%

54%

551

Middle class African


Americans

9%

17%

8%

66%

63

Middle class Hispanics

11%

20%

4%

65%

57

Middle class other races

10%

13%

9%

68%

25

Other

10%

14%

9%

67%

305

(cont.)

Page 109

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCFID CARLY FIORINA NAME ID/C

RCFID

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Roman Catholic

16%

12%

13%

59%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

16%

11%

11%

61%

185

Mainline Protestant

14%

13%

15%

58%

280

Other

12%

29%

14%

44%

45

None
RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

7%

18%

12%

62%

262

At least once a week

17%

12%

13%

58%

336

At least once a month

14%

13%

12%

61%

157

Infrequently

13%

16%

15%

57%

191

Never
ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Favorable

6%

17%

15%

63%

44

Active Roman Catholics

18%

13%

15%

53%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

21%

8%

10%

60%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

15%

13%

13%

59%

131

Active other

14%

14%

12%

61%

17

Other

10%

16%

13%

60%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

23%

10%

14%

53%

133

Male not evangelical

13%

18%

14%

55%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

10%

10%

10%

71%

179

Female not evangelical

10%

16%

13%

61%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

16%

7%

13%

64%

222

Non-white Evangelical

13%

18%

9%

60%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

21%

7%

14%

59%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

14%

9%

11%

65%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

4%

7%

9%

80%

55

12%

30%

6%

53%

39

Approve

6%

21%

13%

61%

453

Unsure

6%

7%

9%

78%

62

20%

10%

13%

56%

487

9%

18%

7%

66%

135

12%

19%

13%

56%

228

1%

12%

18%

69%

99

Illegal immigration

19%

15%

15%

51%

78

Foreign threats

22%

12%

14%

51%

116

Deficit

21%

11%

10%

58%

76

62%

268

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians
RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

Disapprove
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Jobs
Economy
Health care

Other

11%

13%

14%

(cont.)

Page 110

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCFID CARLY FIORINA NAME ID/C

RCFID

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Cutting taxes

25%

7%

20%

48%

71

Reducing deficit

24%

12%

12%

53%

126

Creating jobs

10%

17%

16%

58%

203

Increase wages

2%

28%

10%

59%

132

Healthcare costs

6%

13%

21%

60%

98

Retirement

1%

19%

9%

71%

41

Higher education

10%

10%

4%

76%

101

Regulations

33%

15%

10%

42%

65

Combination

12%

12%

12%

65%

141

92%

11

18%

65%

12

None

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Favorable

8%

Unsure

17%

Views close to own

15%

20%

12%

53%

352

Most effective person

11%

12%

13%

63%

571

Both

12%

10%

20%

58%

48

Unsure

18%

9%

9%

65%

30

Very worried

17%

10%

11%

63%

318

Somewhat worried

12%

16%

12%

60%

405

Not too worried

8%

18%

19%

55%

214

Not at all worried

13%

23%

7%

57%

56

58%

Combination

42%

Unsure

8%

28%

64%

9%

18%

12%

61%

245

12%

10%

21%

58%

63

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

14%

14%

13%

59%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

8%

19%

14%

59%

510

Unsure

4%

5%

11%

81%

85

Disapprove

20%

12%

13%

55%

406

Very worried

15%

11%

11%

63%

112

Somewhat worried

18%

7%

11%

64%

283

Not too worried

12%

18%

13%

57%

341

Not at all worried

7%

21%

14%

57%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Unsure
No

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

100%

Unsure

31%

69%

Yes

17%

20%

14%

49%

645

No

5%

5%

10%

79%

356

Approve

8%

29%

15%

47%

295

6%

13%

21%

61%

45

27%

12%

12%

48%

306

Unsure
Disapprove

(cont.)

Page 111

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCFID CARLY FIORINA NAME ID/C

RCFID

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Unfavorable

No opinion

Never heard
of

Yes

11%

18%

13%

57%

628

No

14%

9%

11%

65%

245

Not sure

17%

10%

14%

59%

128

4 of 4

7%

60%

15%

19%

26

3 of 4

6%

39%

19%

37%

112

2 of 4

8%

12%

14%

67%

221

1 of 4

7%

12%

6%

75%

214

0 of 4

20%

8%

15%

57%

427

5-7 of 7

50%

10%

15%

25%

150

4 of 7

17%

10%

18%

56%

96

3 of 7

11%

17%

21%

52%

91

2 of 7

8%

12%

11%

68%

87

1 of 7

8%

12%

8%

73%

164

2%

19%

12%

68%

413

13%

15%

13%

60%

1001

0 of 7
TOTAL

TOTAL

Favorable

Page 112

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RHRCYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
HILLARY CLINTON/C

RHRCYN

Yes

TOTAL

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

47%

51%

2%

995

Northeast

56%

43%

1%

194

Midwest

43%

56%

1%

180

South

45%

53%

2%

232

South Central

44%

54%

2%

96

Central Plains

42%

50%

8%

83

Mountain States

37%

62%

1%

70

West

54%

46%

140

California

57%

43%

89

Florida

40%

57%

3%

56

Texas

49%

49%

3%

71

New York

53%

46%

1%

56

Rest of country

46%

52%

2%

724

GOP held seat up in 2014

49%

49%

2%

216

DEM held seat up in 2014

46%

52%

2%

318

No Senate election

47%

51%

1%

460

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

46%

53%

2%

401

DEM held seat up in 2014

51%

48%

1%

365

No Gubernatorial election

45%

53%

2%

229

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

44%

54%

2%

239

Other

48%

50%

2%

757

Male

40%

57%

3%

475

Female

53%

46%

1%

520

Male / employed

39%

59%

3%

322

Male / not employed

44%

54%

3%

153

Female / employed

53%

46%

1%

281

Female / not employed

54%

45%

1%

239

Not employed

54%

43%

2%

132

Employed

45%

53%

2%

603

Retired

47%

51%

1%

249

Refused

66%

33%

1%

11

18-34

55%

43%

2%

199

35-44

46%

52%

2%

280

45-64

49%

50%

1%

308

65 or over

39%

60%

1%

198

Unsure / refused

19%

68%

13%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 113

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RHRCYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
HILLARY CLINTON/C

RHRCYN

Yes

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

18-44

50%

48%

2%

479

45-64

49%

50%

1%

308

65+

39%

60%

1%

198

Unsure / refused

19%

68%

13%

10

Male / under 55

42%

56%

3%

299

Male / 55+

38%

59%

2%

176

Female / under 55

57%

42%

1%

315

Female / 55+

48%

51%

1%

205

White

40%

58%

2%

746

Black / African American

80%

20%

Hispanic / Latino

66%

31%

4%

90

Other

47%

51%

2%

40

White millenials 18-34

49%

50%

1%

126

White older voters 35+

38%

60%

2%

620

African American
millenials 18-34

63%

37%

24

African American older


voters 35+

85%

15%

95

Hispanic millenials 18-34

67%

26%

7%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

65%

34%

1%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

73%

27%

Other races older voters


35+

41%

57%

3%

32

White seniors

36%

62%

2%

252

Other

51%

47%

2%

743

White men

37%

61%

3%

364

White women

43%

56%

1%

382

Black men

72%

28%

49

Black women

86%

14%

70

Hispanic men

43%

51%

6%

42

Hispanic women

85%

13%

2%

48

Republican

11%

87%

2%

389

Independent

37%

59%

3%

188

Democrat

85%

14%

1%

418

Male / GOP

11%

86%

3%

213

Female / GOP

12%

88%

0%

176

Male / DEM

84%

13%

3%

160

Female / DEM

85%

15%

Male / IND

33%

65%

2%

103

Female / IND

43%

52%

5%

85

119

258

(cont.)

Page 114

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RHRCYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
HILLARY CLINTON/C

RHRCYN

Yes

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Under 55 / GOP

15%

83%

2%

223

55 & over / GOP

6%

93%

1%

166

Under 55 / DEM

82%

16%

2%

268

55 & over / DEM

90%

9%

1%

150

Under 55 / IND

40%

57%

3%

124

55 & over / IND

32%

63%

5%

64

Republican

11%

88%

2%

447

Ticket splitter

31%

60%

9%

59

Democrat

83%

16%

1%

489

Hard GOP

9%

89%

2%

359

Soft GOP

12%

86%

1%

92

Ticket splitter

39%

55%

6%

61

Soft DEM

67%

28%

4%

84

Hard DEM

86%

13%

1%

399

Conservative

24%

74%

2%

531

Moderate

44%

55%

1%

76

Liberal

80%

18%

2%

387

Very conservative

15%

83%

2%

186

Somewhat conservative

28%

70%

2%

345

Moderate / liberal

74%

24%

2%

464

Republican

11%

87%

2%

389

Independent

37%

59%

3%

188

Conservative DEM

79%

19%

2%

101

Mod / lib DEM

87%

12%

1%

317

Liberal DEM

87%

12%

1%

334

Mod / conservative DEM

74%

25%

2%

154

Independent

31%

60%

9%

59

Mod / liberal GOP

28%

71%

1%

69

Conservative GOP

7%

91%

2%

378

15%

83%

1%

92

Yes / strongly
Yes

5%

94%

1%

68

No / unsure

54%

44%

2%

835

Less than high school

56%

39%

5%

52

High school graduate

46%

52%

2%

225

Some college

42%

55%

3%

217

College graduate

49%

50%

1%

500

Male college graduates

45%

53%

2%

246

Male non-college
graduates

35%

61%

4%

229

Female college graduates

53%

47%

0%

254

Female non-college
graduates

54%

44%

2%

266

(cont.)

Page 115

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RHRCYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
HILLARY CLINTON/C

RHRCYN

Yes

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

White non-college
graduate

35%

62%

3%

347

Minority non-college
graduate

71%

27%

2%

148

Others

49%

50%

1%

500

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

57%

41%

2%

127

Non-union household

46%

53%

2%

868

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

63%

36%

2%

212

Married

40%

58%

2%

604

No longer married

52%

46%

2%

179

Dad

36%

61%

3%

171

Mom

58%

41%

1%

203

Married / children

43%

55%

2%

299

Married / no children

38%

61%

1%

305

Divorced / children

73%

27%

Divorced / no children

52%

44%

Single / children

76%

24%

Single / no children

59%

39%

2%

169

Other / mixed

47%

52%

1%

97

Single women

73%

26%

1%

97

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

22
4%

60
42

Married women

46%

53%

1%

304

No longer married women

55%

44%

1%

118

Single men

54%

44%

2%

114

Married men

34%

63%

3%

300

No longer married men

46%

51%

4%

61

White single men

54%

45%

1%

73

White single women

57%

43%

White married men

30%

67%

3%

242

White married women

39%

60%

1%

243

White no longer married


men

42%

53%

5%

49

White no longer married


women

45%

53%

1%

93

Other

70%

29%

2%

249

Single mothers

85%

15%

Married mothers

51%

47%

No longer married
mothers

64%

36%

Non-mothers

45%

54%

46

30
2%

150
23

2%

792

(cont.)

Page 116

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RHRCYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
HILLARY CLINTON/C

RHRCYN

Yes

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Upper class

55%

43%

2%

73

Middle class

44%

54%

2%

691

Low income

54%

45%

1%

204

Working class

60%

40%

Refused

45%

49%

6%

20

Middle class whites

37%

62%

2%

547

Middle class African


Americans

86%

14%

Middle class Hispanics

68%

27%

5%

Middle class other races

59%

39%

2%

25

2%

304

61
57

Other

54%

44%

Roman Catholic

45%

55%

Baptist / Evangelical

41%

57%

2%

184

Mainline Protestant

37%

62%

1%

278

Other

49%

50%

1%

45

None

64%

32%

4%

260

At least once a week

36%

63%

1%

333

At least once a month

43%

57%

1%

156

Infrequently

52%

46%

2%

191

Never

45%

55%

44

Active Roman Catholics

46%

54%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

32%

68%

105

Active Mainline
Protestants

33%

66%

Active other

35%

65%

Other

53%

Male born again /


evangelicals

197

2%

130

45%

2%

665

26%

72%

2%

131

Male not evangelical

46%

51%

3%

344

Female born again /


evangelicals

43%

57%

0%

179

Female not evangelical

59%

40%

1%

341

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

21%

79%

1%

221

Non-white Evangelical

73%

25%

2%

88

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

11%

89%

0%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

66%

34%

White non-conservative
Christians

50%

49%

1%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

82%

13%

5%

39

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

17

50

(cont.)

Page 117

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RHRCYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
HILLARY CLINTON/C

RHRCYN

Yes

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Don't know /
refused

Approve

83%

14%

2%

449

Unsure

51%

40%

9%

61

Disapprove

13%

86%

0%

486

Jobs

64%

32%

4%

133

Economy

56%

43%

1%

228

Health care

75%

24%

1%

98

Illegal immigration

27%

73%

Foreign threats

22%

77%

1%

Deficit

34%

66%

1%

76

3%

264

78
116

Other

42%

56%

Cutting taxes

32%

68%

Reducing deficit

23%

75%

Creating jobs

60%

40%

Increase wages

75%

24%

1%

132

Healthcare costs

42%

55%

2%

96

Retirement

48%

50%

2%

39

Higher education

64%

32%

4%

101

Regulations

11%

87%

2%

65

4%

140

71
2%

125
203

Combination

41%

55%

None

74%

26%

11

7%

93%

11

Views close to own

46%

54%

1%

351

Most effective person

49%

48%

2%

567

Both

39%

60%

1%

48

Unsure

35%

58%

7%

29

Very worried

32%

66%

2%

316

Somewhat worried

49%

50%

1%

403

Not too worried

65%

33%

2%

212

Not at all worried

49%

47%

3%

56

Unsure
CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

No

TOTAL

Combination

100%

Unsure

41%

30%

29%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

63%

35%

2%

241

Unsure

59%

39%

1%

62

No

41%

58%

2%

692

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

61%

37%

2%

507

Unsure

64%

33%

3%

84

Disapprove

26%

73%

1%

404

(cont.)

Page 118

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RHRCYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
HILLARY CLINTON/C

RHRCYN

Yes

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

36%

62%

2%

111

Somewhat worried

38%

61%

1%

281

Not too worried

48%

50%

2%

338

Not at all worried

60%

37%

3%

256

55%

40%

6%

Yes

44%

55%

1%

643

No

52%

45%

3%

352

Approve

73%

26%

1%

294

Unsure

47%

48%

4%

45

Disapprove

16%

83%

0%

304

Yes

56%

42%

2%

626

No

32%

67%

0%

243

31%

65%

4%

126

4 of 4

100%

3 of 4

99%

1%

2 of 4

90%

9%

1%

220

1 of 4

63%

36%

1%

213

97%

3%

424

0 of 4
GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

100%

Unsure

Not sure
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Don't know /
refused

Very worried

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

No

TOTAL

26
112

5-7 of 7

7%

93%

150

4 of 7

6%

94%

94

3 of 7

23%

77%

91

2 of 7

39%

61%

86

1 of 7

53%

44%

3%

164

0 of 7

76%

21%

3%

411

47%

51%

2%

995

Page 119

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJOEBYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR JOE
BIDEN/C

RJOEBYN

Yes

TOTAL

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

38%

59%

3%

944

Northeast

47%

50%

3%

186

Midwest

39%

58%

2%

172

South

35%

62%

3%

220

South Central

33%

65%

3%

93

Central Plains

35%

61%

4%

78

Mountain States

24%

72%

4%

63

West

42%

55%

3%

133

California

39%

56%

5%

84

Florida

32%

65%

4%

54

Texas

37%

60%

4%

69

New York

58%

41%

1%

56

Rest of country

37%

60%

3%

682

GOP held seat up in 2014

35%

62%

3%

202

DEM held seat up in 2014

41%

57%

3%

307

No Senate election

38%

59%

3%

435

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

33%

64%

3%

374

DEM held seat up in 2014

43%

54%

3%

354

No Gubernatorial election

39%

58%

3%

217

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

34%

65%

1%

226

Other

40%

57%

3%

719

Male

34%

63%

3%

458

Female

43%

55%

3%

487

Male / employed

36%

60%

4%

311

Male / not employed

29%

69%

2%

146

Female / employed

41%

56%

3%

265

Female / not employed

44%

53%

3%

222

Not employed

47%

50%

3%

116

Employed

38%

58%

3%

576

Retired

35%

63%

2%

241

Refused

33%

67%

18-34

41%

56%

3%

183

35-44

42%

55%

3%

261

45-64

38%

60%

2%

296

65 or over

33%

65%

2%

194

Unsure / refused

16%

70%

15%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

11

(cont.)

Page 120

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJOEBYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR JOE
BIDEN/C

RJOEBYN

Yes

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

18-44

41%

55%

3%

445

45-64

38%

60%

2%

296

65+

33%

65%

2%

194

Unsure / refused

16%

70%

15%

10

Male / under 55

36%

60%

4%

286

Male / 55+

30%

67%

2%

172

Female / under 55

45%

52%

2%

288

Female / 55+

39%

58%

3%

199

White

32%

65%

3%

715

Black / African American

73%

27%

Hispanic / Latino

45%

50%

5%

80

Other

35%

61%

5%

39

White millenials 18-34

34%

63%

3%

115

White older voters 35+

32%

65%

3%

600

African American
millenials 18-34

63%

37%

21

African American older


voters 35+

75%

25%

90

Hispanic millenials 18-34

48%

45%

7%

39

Hispanic older voters 35+

43%

55%

2%

41

Other races millenials


18-34

45%

55%

Other races older voters


35+

32%

62%

6%

31

White seniors

31%

67%

3%

248

Other

41%

56%

3%

697

White men

31%

66%

3%

353

White women

34%

63%

3%

361

Black men

64%

36%

45

Black women

78%

22%

67

Hispanic men

32%

63%

5%

40

Hispanic women

58%

37%

5%

40

Republican

11%

87%

3%

377

Independent

26%

70%

5%

178

Democrat

71%

27%

2%

390

Male / GOP

11%

87%

3%

208

Female / GOP

11%

86%

3%

169

Male / DEM

71%

26%

4%

150

Female / DEM

71%

28%

2%

240

Male / IND

26%

70%

4%

100

Female / IND

25%

69%

5%

78

111

(cont.)

Page 121

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJOEBYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR JOE
BIDEN/C

RJOEBYN

Yes

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Under 55 / GOP

13%

84%

3%

212

55 & over / GOP

8%

90%

2%

165

Under 55 / DEM

70%

27%

2%

247

55 & over / DEM

71%

26%

2%

143

Under 55 / IND

27%

68%

4%

115

55 & over / IND

24%

72%

5%

63

Republican

10%

87%

3%

436

Ticket splitter

35%

57%

8%

51

Democrat

65%

32%

3%

458

Hard GOP

10%

88%

3%

349

Soft GOP

6%

93%

1%

88

Ticket splitter

44%

52%

4%

56

Soft DEM

45%

48%

8%

81

Hard DEM

71%

27%

2%

370

Conservative

20%

78%

2%

511

Moderate

36%

56%

8%

66

Liberal

64%

33%

4%

367

Very conservative

11%

86%

3%

178

Somewhat conservative

26%

74%

1%

333

Moderate / liberal

60%

36%

4%

433

Republican

11%

87%

3%

377

Independent

26%

70%

5%

178

Conservative DEM

65%

33%

2%

92

Mod / lib DEM

72%

25%

3%

298

Liberal DEM

69%

28%

3%

320

Mod / conservative DEM

57%

41%

2%

138

Independent

35%

57%

8%

51

Mod / liberal GOP

29%

63%

9%

64

Conservative GOP

7%

91%

1%

371

11%

86%

3%

86

Yes / strongly
Yes

67

6%

94%

No / unsure

44%

53%

3%

791

Less than high school

40%

54%

6%

43

High school graduate

40%

58%

3%

202

Some college

33%

65%

2%

208

College graduate

40%

57%

3%

492

Male college graduates

37%

60%

3%

243

Male non-college
graduates

30%

67%

3%

215

Female college graduates

42%

54%

3%

249

Female non-college
graduates

43%

55%

2%

237

(cont.)

Page 122

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJOEBYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR JOE
BIDEN/C

RJOEBYN

Yes

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

White non-college
graduate

28%

69%

3%

321

Minority non-college
graduate

58%

40%

3%

132

Others

40%

57%

3%

492

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

50%

48%

2%

118

Non-union household

37%

60%

3%

827

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

53%

44%

3%

198

Married

34%

63%

3%

578

No longer married

35%

63%

2%

168

Dad

28%

69%

3%

161

Mom

46%

52%

2%

184

Married / children

36%

61%

3%

281

Married / no children

32%

64%

3%

297

Divorced / children

39%

61%

Divorced / no children

34%

62%

Single / children

52%

48%

Single / no children

54%

43%

3%

162

Other / mixed

35%

64%

1%

94

Single women

57%

41%

1%

89

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

19
4%

55
36

Married women

39%

58%

3%

287

No longer married women

41%

56%

3%

110

Single men

50%

46%

4%

110

Married men

30%

67%

4%

291

No longer married men

23%

77%

White single men

49%

49%

3%

70

White single women

40%

58%

2%

41

White married men

26%

69%

4%

236

White married women

33%

65%

3%

232

White no longer married


men

25%

75%

White no longer married


women

35%

61%

4%

88

Other

57%

41%

2%

230

Single mothers

58%

42%

Married mothers

44%

54%

No longer married
mothers

42%

58%

Non-mothers

37%

60%

57

47

25
2%

137
21

3%

761

(cont.)

Page 123

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJOEBYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR JOE
BIDEN/C

RJOEBYN

Yes

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Upper class

40%

56%

4%

72

Middle class

37%

60%

3%

669

Low income

42%

55%

3%

178

Working class

45%

51%

4%

Refused

37%

53%

10%

20

Middle class whites

32%

66%

2%

530

Middle class African


Americans

77%

23%

Middle class Hispanics

43%

52%

5%

Middle class other races

48%

49%

3%

24

62
52

Other

41%

55%

4%

276

Roman Catholic

35%

64%

1%

186

Baptist / Evangelical

35%

64%

2%

173

Mainline Protestant

29%

66%

4%

269

Other

37%

54%

8%

43

None

54%

44%

2%

243

At least once a week

29%

68%

3%

316

At least once a month

34%

64%

1%

150

Infrequently

39%

57%

4%

180

Never

43%

50%

7%

42

Active Roman Catholics

28%

72%

74

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

31%

69%

102

Active Mainline
Protestants

28%

64%

Active other

24%

76%

Other

43%

Male born again /


evangelicals

7%

122

54%

3%

631

25%

72%

4%

127

Male not evangelical

37%

60%

3%

331

Female born again /


evangelicals

32%

65%

3%

167

Female not evangelical

48%

50%

2%

319

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

19%

77%

3%

211

Non-white Evangelical

54%

43%

3%

83

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

11%

88%

1%

162

Non-white conservative
Christians

51%

49%

White non-conservative
Christians

47%

43%

10%

49

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

57%

36%

7%

38

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

16

45

(cont.)

Page 124

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJOEBYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR JOE
BIDEN/C

RJOEBYN

Yes

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Don't know /
refused

Approve

70%

27%

3%

425

Unsure

38%

56%

6%

55

Disapprove

10%

88%

2%

464

Jobs

57%

39%

4%

122

Economy

46%

51%

3%

217

Health care

62%

35%

3%

93

Illegal immigration

16%

84%

Foreign threats

20%

79%

1%

Deficit

18%

81%

1%

74

73
114

Other

34%

61%

5%

250

Cutting taxes

27%

72%

1%

67

Reducing deficit

13%

85%

1%

123

Creating jobs

48%

50%

2%

185

Increase wages

67%

33%

1%

127

Healthcare costs

31%

65%

5%

91

Retirement

41%

53%

6%

37

Higher education

55%

43%

2%

99

Regulations

13%

85%

2%

65

7%

131

Combination

31%

61%

None

69%

31%

6%

91%

3%

12

Views close to own

41%

57%

2%

340

Most effective person

37%

60%

3%

530

Both

38%

56%

6%

45

Unsure

31%

61%

8%

29

Very worried

21%

76%

3%

292

Somewhat worried

37%

60%

3%

383

Not too worried

60%

38%

2%

209

Not at all worried

58%

41%

1%

54

Unsure
CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

No

TOTAL

Combination
Unsure

100%
4%

10%

86%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

54%

43%

3%

241

Unsure

51%

39%

10%

53

No

31%

66%

2%

650

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

49%

48%

2%

490

Unsure

54%

34%

12%

68

Disapprove

21%

76%

2%

386

(cont.)

Page 125

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJOEBYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR JOE
BIDEN/C

RJOEBYN

Yes

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

20%

78%

2%

97

Somewhat worried

28%

70%

2%

270

Not too worried

40%

56%

4%

325

Not at all worried

54%

43%

2%

247

29%

Yes

38%

No

71%

60%

2%

633

39%

57%

4%

311

Approve

64%

33%

4%

289

Unsure

36%

56%

8%

44

Disapprove

13%

86%

1%

300

Yes

45%

53%

2%

597

No

28%

68%

4%

226

26%

68%

5%

122

4 of 4

100%

3 of 4

96%

4%

2 of 4

84%

15%

1%

218

1 of 4

26%

70%

4%

175

96%

4%

413

8%

92%

0%

150

4 of 7

12%

87%

1%

96

3 of 7

19%

81%

2 of 7

24%

73%

0 of 4
GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

100%

Unsure

Not sure
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Don't know /
refused

Very worried

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

No

TOTAL

5-7 of 7

1 of 7

46%

0 of 7

62%
38%

26
112

89
3%

85

50%

4%

152

33%

5%

373

59%

3%

944

Page 126

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMOMYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
MARTIN O'MALLEY/C

RMOMYN

Yes

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

18%

57%

25%

290

Northeast

27%

57%

16%

75

Midwest

13%

63%

24%

28

25%

76

South

9%

66%

South Central

27%

68%

5%

21

Central Plains

16%

49%

34%

25

Mountain States

20%

28%

51%

30

West

18%

53%

29%

35

California

15%

58%

28%

30

Florida

17%

65%

18%

22

Texas

29%

65%

6%

17

New York

30%

46%

24%

14

Rest of country

17%

56%

27%

207

GOP held seat up in 2014

21%

56%

23%

52

DEM held seat up in 2014

20%

57%

23%

96

No Senate election

16%

57%

27%

142

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

16%

55%

28%

108

DEM held seat up in 2014

24%

56%

20%

115

No Gubernatorial election

11%

61%

28%

66

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

13%

59%

28%

71

Other

20%

56%

24%

219

Male

17%

56%

27%

147

Female

19%

58%

23%

143

Male / employed

20%

55%

25%

93

Male / not employed

12%

58%

30%

54

Female / employed

23%

52%

25%

77

Female / not employed

15%

64%

21%

65

Not employed

22%

60%

19%

27

Employed

21%

53%

25%

170

Retired

12%

64%

24%

90

100%

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

Refused
RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

18-34

27%

51%

22%

43

35-44

14%

51%

35%

82

45-64

21%

61%

18%

87

65 or over

14%

61%

25%

73

Unsure / refused

14%

71%

15%

(cont.)

Page 127

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMOMYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
MARTIN O'MALLEY/C

RMOMYN

Yes

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

19%

51%

30%

126

45-64

21%

61%

18%

87

65+

14%

61%

25%

73

Unsure / refused

14%

71%

15%

Male / under 55

16%

53%

31%

78

Male / 55+

19%

59%

22%

69

Female / under 55

20%

56%

24%

83

Female / 55+

18%

60%

22%

60

White

18%

55%

27%

218

Black / African American

11%

68%

20%

38

Hispanic / Latino

36%

42%

21%

24

7%

80%

13%

10

White millenials 18-34

24%

55%

21%

28

White older voters 35+

17%

55%

28%

190

African American
millenials 18-34

39%

61%

8%

69%

23%

34

Hispanic millenials 18-34

35%

29%

35%

10

Hispanic older voters 35+

37%

52%

11%

14

African American older


voters 35+

Other races millenials


18-34
Other races older voters
35+
WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

Don't know /
refused

18-44

Other
AGE AND RACE

No

TOTAL

100%

8%

76%

16%

White seniors

19%

58%

24%

91

Other

18%

56%

26%

199

White men

16%

53%

31%

112

White women

20%

58%

23%

106

Black men

17%

75%

8%

17

Black women

6%

63%

31%

20

Hispanic men

31%

50%

19%

13

Hispanic women

43%

33%

24%

11

Republican

9%

59%

32%

120

Independent

22%

65%

14%

55

Democrat

26%

51%

23%

114

Male / GOP

6%

54%

39%

69

Female / GOP

13%

64%

23%

51

Male / DEM

30%

48%

22%

48

Female / DEM

23%

53%

24%

66

Male / IND

22%

72%

7%

30

Female / IND

21%

57%

22%

25

(cont.)

Page 128

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMOMYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
MARTIN O'MALLEY/C

RMOMYN

Yes

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Under 55 / GOP

12%

51%

38%

66

55 & over / GOP

6%

68%

26%

54

Under 55 / DEM

20%

57%

23%

63

55 & over / DEM

34%

43%

24%

51

Under 55 / IND

29%

57%

14%

31

55 & over / IND

12%

75%

13%

24

9%

62%

29%

139

Ticket splitter

37%

48%

15%

14

Democrat

26%

52%

22%

137

Hard GOP

9%

58%

33%

114

Soft GOP

7%

83%

10%

24

Ticket splitter

24%

61%

15%

15

Soft DEM

40%

45%

16%

27

Hard DEM

24%

52%

24%

109

Conservative

11%

64%

25%

154

Moderate

13%

52%

35%

25

Liberal

29%

48%

23%

111

Republican

Very conservative

7%

77%

16%

67

Somewhat conservative

15%

54%

31%

88

Moderate / liberal

26%

48%

26%

135

Republican

9%

59%

32%

120

Independent

22%

65%

14%

55

Conservative DEM

20%

60%

20%

28

Mod / lib DEM

28%

48%

24%

87

Liberal DEM

29%

48%

23%

99

Mod / conservative DEM

17%

65%

19%

38

Independent

37%

48%

15%

14

Mod / liberal GOP

21%

35%

43%

21

Conservative GOP

7%

67%

27%

118

Yes / strongly

5%

82%

14%

33

Yes

9%

68%

23%

21

No / unsure

21%

52%

27%

236

Less than high school

36%

41%

23%

12

High school graduate

21%

52%

28%

50

Some college

18%

63%

19%

53

College graduate

16%

57%

26%

175

Male college graduates

15%

55%

29%

86

Male non-college
graduates

20%

57%

23%

61

Female college graduates

18%

59%

23%

89

Female non-college
graduates

22%

55%

24%

54

(cont.)

Page 129

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMOMYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
MARTIN O'MALLEY/C

RMOMYN

Yes

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

White non-college
graduate

18%

53%

28%

75

Minority non-college
graduate

25%

61%

14%

40

Others

16%

57%

26%

175

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

23%

55%

22%

27

Non-union household

18%

57%

25%

263

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

21%

60%

19%

48

Married

17%

56%

27%

194

No longer married

21%

56%

23%

47

Dad

7%

56%

37%

47

Mom

16%

58%

26%

51

Married / children

11%

55%

34%

85

Married / no children

22%

56%

22%

110

Divorced / children

48%

23%

29%

Divorced / no children

14%

71%

15%

19

91%

9%

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

Single / children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

Single / no children

26%

53%

21%

39

Other / mixed

22%

51%

27%

24

Single women

21%

54%

25%

24

Married women

17%

58%

25%

86

No longer married women

22%

59%

19%

33

Single men

21%

66%

13%

24

Married men

16%

54%

29%

108

No longer married men

18%

51%

31%

15

White single men

13%

65%

23%

14

White single women

37%

38%

25%

14

White married men

17%

51%

32%

85

White married women

17%

60%

23%

70

White no longer married


men

15%

53%

32%

13

White no longer married


women

18%

61%

20%

23

Other

19%

61%

20%

72

91%

9%

56%

28%

38

38%

25%

239

Single mothers
Married mothers

16%

No longer married
mothers

62%

Non-mothers

19%

56%

(cont.)

Page 130

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMOMYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
MARTIN O'MALLEY/C

RMOMYN

Yes

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

Don't know /
refused

Upper class

19%

64%

17%

23

Middle class

18%

54%

28%

209

Low income

19%

65%

16%

48

57%

43%

Working class

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

No

TOTAL

Refused

23%

42%

35%

Middle class whites

18%

54%

29%

167

Middle class African


Americans

12%

58%

29%

22

Middle class Hispanics

37%

42%

20%

13

Middle class other races

7%

83%

10%

Other

18%

63%

19%

81

Roman Catholic

14%

67%

19%

52

Baptist / Evangelical

11%

56%

33%

46

Mainline Protestant

12%

71%

17%

91

Other

40%

37%

22%

19

None

25%

39%

36%

73

At least once a week

12%

63%

25%

105

At least once a month

12%

73%

15%

41

Infrequently

23%

56%

21%

58

Never

36%

57%

7%

10

Active Roman Catholics

18%

61%

21%

24

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

13%

46%

41%

27

Active Mainline
Protestants

3%

79%

18%

46

Active other

45%

28%

27%

Other

22%

53%

25%

186

Male born again /


evangelicals

12%

64%

24%

42

Male not evangelical

19%

53%

28%

105

Female born again /


evangelicals

13%

68%

19%

46

Female not evangelical

22%

53%

25%

97

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

11%

57%

32%

53

Non-white Evangelical

14%

80%

6%

35

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

8%

64%

29%

43

Non-white conservative
Christians

10%

83%

6%

21

White non-conservative
Christians

25%

30%

46%

11

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

20%

74%

6%

14

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

(cont.)

Page 131

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMOMYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
MARTIN O'MALLEY/C

RMOMYN

Yes

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Don't know /
refused

Approve

27%

51%

22%

134

Unsure

18%

34%

47%

12

Disapprove

10%

64%

26%

144

Jobs

20%

54%

26%

40

Economy

24%

55%

21%

69

Health care

15%

59%

26%

33

Illegal immigration

5%

72%

23%

24

Foreign threats

7%

75%

17%

31

Deficit

26%

57%

17%

26

Other

19%

45%

36%

67

Cutting taxes

10%

82%

8%

18

Reducing deficit

30%

59%

11%

32

Creating jobs

8%

69%

23%

61

Increase wages

29%

44%

27%

46

Healthcare costs

12%

50%

38%

30

Retirement

28%

55%

17%

11

Higher education

38%

46%

16%

21

Regulations

7%

59%

33%

26

Combination

14%

48%

38%

41

None

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

No

TOTAL

100%

Unsure

20%

50%

30%

Views close to own

21%

55%

24%

112

Most effective person

16%

60%

25%

149

Both

17%

48%

34%

16

Unsure

26%

43%

31%

13

Very worried

13%

66%

21%

89

Somewhat worried

16%

58%

26%

108

Not too worried

25%

45%

30%

70

Not at all worried

32%

56%

13%

21

8%

14%

79%

3
71

Unsure
RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

35%

42%

24%

Unsure

24%

37%

40%

22

No

12%

64%

24%

197

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

21%

51%

28%

155

Unsure

7%

37%

56%

10

Disapprove

16%

65%

20%

126

Very worried

12%

74%

13%

35

Somewhat worried

13%

69%

18%

78

Not too worried

14%

59%

27%

93

Not at all worried

31%

36%

32%

81

16%

84%

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Unsure
(cont.)

Page 132

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMOMYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
MARTIN O'MALLEY/C

RMOMYN

Yes

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

18%

59%

22%

222

No

18%

48%

34%

67

Approve

30%

49%

22%

103

Unsure

11%

48%

42%

15

9%

72%

20%

105

Yes

24%

51%

25%

184

No

8%

66%

25%

65

Not sure

7%

66%

27%

40

4 of 4

100%

3 of 4

22%

44%

34%

41

2 of 4

23%

56%

22%

61

1 of 4

8%

71%

21%

44

69%

31%

118

0 of 4
GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

5-7 of 7

26

4%

76%

20%

62

4 of 7

24%

61%

14%

30

3 of 7

20%

43%

36%

34

2 of 7

22%

51%

26%

29

1 of 7

15%

53%

31%

33

0 of 7
TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Yes

Disapprove
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

No

TOTAL

24%

51%

25%

102

18%

57%

25%

290

Page 133

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REWYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
ELIZABETH WARREN/C

REWYN

Yes

TOTAL

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

36%

51%

13%

596

Northeast

48%

43%

9%

138

Midwest

29%

54%

17%

104

South

29%

59%

13%

140

South Central

38%

46%

15%

49

Central Plains

32%

45%

23%

47

Mountain States

32%

54%

15%

34

West

39%

54%

8%

85

California

42%

52%

7%

54

Florida

30%

69%

2%

37

Texas

48%

36%

16%

36

New York

49%

38%

13%

37

Rest of country

33%

52%

15%

433

GOP held seat up in 2014

36%

46%

18%

112

DEM held seat up in 2014

33%

51%

17%

201

No Senate election

38%

53%

9%

283

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

33%

53%

13%

232

DEM held seat up in 2014

40%

47%

13%

246

No Gubernatorial election

32%

55%

13%

119

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

30%

60%

11%

139

Other

38%

49%

14%

457

Male

31%

58%

11%

296

Female

40%

45%

15%

300

Male / employed

29%

58%

13%

198

Male / not employed

36%

57%

7%

99

Female / employed

43%

39%

18%

157

Female / not employed

37%

51%

12%

143

Not employed

39%

49%

11%

58

Employed

35%

50%

15%

355

Retired

36%

55%

9%

177

Refused

12%

60%

27%

18-34

42%

42%

16%

86

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

35-44

30%

52%

18%

164

45-64

40%

51%

8%

194

65 or over

33%

56%

12%

146

Unsure / refused

23%

54%

23%

(cont.)

Page 134

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REWYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
ELIZABETH WARREN/C

REWYN

Yes

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

Don't know /
refused

18-44

34%

49%

17%

250

45-64

40%

51%

8%

194

65+

33%

56%

12%

146

Unsure / refused

23%

54%

23%

Male / under 55

28%

58%

14%

164

Male / 55+

35%

57%

7%

133

Female / under 55

44%

39%

17%

162

Female / 55+

36%

52%

13%

138

White

36%

52%

13%

472

Black / African American

33%

45%

21%

58

Hispanic / Latino

44%

48%

8%

40

Other

31%

57%

11%

27

White millenials 18-34

46%

38%

15%

63

White older voters 35+

34%

54%

12%

409

50%

50%

African American
millenials 18-34

WHITE SENIORS

No

TOTAL

African American older


voters 35+

36%

45%

19%

53

Hispanic millenials 18-34

36%

52%

12%

15

Hispanic older voters 35+

49%

46%

5%

25

Other races millenials


18-34

38%

52%

10%

Other races older voters


35+

30%

58%

12%

23

White seniors

35%

54%

11%

188

Other

36%

50%

14%

408

White men

33%

56%

11%

238

White women

38%

47%

15%

234

Black men

26%

64%

10%

23

Black women

38%

33%

29%

35

Hispanic men

26%

60%

13%

23

Hispanic women

69%

31%

Republican

10%

73%

17%

237

Independent

34%

55%

11%

111

Democrat

61%

29%

10%

248

Male / GOP

16

9%

77%

14%

136

Female / GOP

12%

67%

21%

102

Male / DEM

62%

30%

8%

97

Female / DEM

60%

28%

12%

151

Male / IND

33%

58%

9%

64

Female / IND

35%

51%

14%

47

(cont.)

Page 135

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REWYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
ELIZABETH WARREN/C

REWYN

Yes

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Under 55 / GOP

6%

73%

21%

114

55 & over / GOP

14%

73%

14%

124

Under 55 / DEM

59%

29%

12%

146

55 & over / DEM

65%

29%

7%

102

Under 55 / IND

36%

50%

13%

66

55 & over / IND

30%

62%

8%

45

Republican

10%

75%

15%

272

Ticket splitter

28%

60%

13%

26

Democrat

60%

29%

11%

298

Hard GOP

9%

73%

18%

214

Soft GOP

15%

78%

7%

67

Ticket splitter

28%

60%

12%

24

Soft DEM

56%

26%

18%

52

Hard DEM

62%

28%

10%

240

Conservative

12%

75%

13%

301

Moderate

37%

43%

21%

37

Liberal

63%

25%

12%

258

Very conservative

7%

80%

13%

121

Somewhat conservative

15%

72%

13%

180

Moderate / liberal

60%

27%

13%

295

Republican

10%

73%

17%

237

Independent

34%

55%

11%

111

Conservative DEM

32%

60%

8%

32

Mod / lib DEM

65%

24%

10%

216

Liberal DEM

67%

22%

11%

236

Mod / conservative DEM

34%

56%

10%

62

Independent

28%

60%

13%

26

Mod / liberal GOP

30%

43%

27%

33

Conservative GOP

7%

79%

14%

239

Yes / strongly

5%

84%

11%

66

Yes

10%

77%

13%

44

No / unsure

42%

44%

13%

486

Less than high school

25%

56%

20%

21

High school graduate

25%

59%

16%

99

Some college

30%

60%

10%

120

College graduate

41%

46%

13%

357

Male college graduates

36%

55%

10%

181

Male non-college
graduates

25%

62%

13%

116

Female college graduates

47%

37%

16%

176

Female non-college
graduates

30%

56%

14%

124

(cont.)

Page 136

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REWYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
ELIZABETH WARREN/C

REWYN

Yes

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

White non-college
graduate

28%

58%

14%

177

Minority non-college
graduate

27%

60%

13%

62

Others

41%

46%

13%

357

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

42%

47%

11%

89

Non-union household

35%

52%

14%

507

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

42%

40%

18%

111

Married

34%

55%

11%

389

No longer married

37%

48%

15%

97

Dad

23%

64%

13%

108

Mom

42%

38%

20%

100

Married / children

32%

52%

16%

179

Married / no children

35%

58%

7%

210

Divorced / children

46%

23%

31%

Divorced / no children

44%

52%

4%

34

Single / children

28%

53%

19%

20

Single / no children

45%

37%

18%

91

Other / mixed

31%

48%

21%

57

Single women

45%

25%

29%

48

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

Married women

38%

50%

12%

192

No longer married women

42%

43%

15%

60

Single men

40%

51%

10%

62

Married men

29%

60%

10%

197

No longer married men

29%

55%

16%

37

White single men

47%

46%

7%

46

White single women

58%

20%

22%

24

White married men

29%

60%

10%

162

White married women

35%

51%

13%

161

White no longer married


men

31%

51%

18%

30

White no longer married


women

37%

47%

15%

49

Other

36%

49%

15%

125

Single mothers

29%

35%

36%

10

Married mothers

43%

41%

16%

84

No longer married
mothers

48%

7%

45%

Non-mothers

34%

54%

12%

497

(cont.)

Page 137

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REWYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
ELIZABETH WARREN/C

REWYN

Yes

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Upper class

45%

47%

8%

46

Middle class

35%

51%

14%

436

Low income

32%

58%

10%

95

Working class

79%

5%

16%

Refused

42%

45%

14%

14

Middle class whites

34%

53%

13%

362

Middle class African


Americans

34%

37%

29%

35

Middle class Hispanics

42%

47%

10%

23

Middle class other races

39%

50%

12%

17

Other

38%

52%

10%

160

Roman Catholic

31%

58%

11%

121

Baptist / Evangelical

20%

59%

20%

108

Mainline Protestant

23%

61%

16%

172

Other

52%

37%

12%

27

None

62%

32%

6%

149

At least once a week

24%

58%

18%

204

At least once a month

23%

67%

10%

93

Infrequently

34%

50%

16%

116

Never

45%

45%

10%

27

Active Roman Catholics

44%

50%

6%

45

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

21%

59%

21%

63

Active Mainline
Protestants

13%

64%

23%

86

Active other

56%

44%

Other

42%

48%

11%

394

Male born again /


evangelicals

16%

68%

16%

83

Male not evangelical

38%

54%

9%

214

Female born again /


evangelicals

23%

60%

17%

95

Female not evangelical

48%

38%

14%

205

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

17%

64%

19%

135

Non-white Evangelical

28%

62%

11%

43

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

12%

73%

16%

110

Non-white conservative
Christians

17%

83%

White non-conservative
Christians

39%

29%

33%

25

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

40%

37%

23%

20

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

23

(cont.)

Page 138

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REWYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
ELIZABETH WARREN/C

REWYN

Yes

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Don't know /
refused

Approve

61%

27%

12%

282

Unsure

38%

54%

8%

27

Disapprove

11%

75%

15%

287

Jobs

46%

38%

15%

77

Economy

43%

46%

12%

131

Health care

58%

36%

6%

58

Illegal immigration

24%

62%

14%

45

Foreign threats

21%

63%

16%

83

Deficit

24%

64%

12%

42

Other

31%

55%

14%

162

Cutting taxes

10%

86%

4%

44

Reducing deficit

21%

65%

15%

75

Creating jobs

36%

47%

18%

124

Increase wages

72%

19%

9%

86

Healthcare costs

34%

48%

18%

54

Retirement

21%

56%

24%

17

Higher education

61%

28%

10%

51

Regulations

4%

92%

4%

48

Combination

36%

50%

15%

82

None

30%

59%

10%

70%

30%

Unsure
CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

No

TOTAL

Views close to own

44%

46%

11%

248

Most effective person

29%

56%

15%

298

Both

28%

58%

14%

31

Unsure

43%

44%

13%

19

Very worried

17%

70%

12%

192

Somewhat worried

38%

46%

16%

224

Not too worried

55%

37%

8%

148

Not at all worried

49%

40%

11%

27

Combination

42%

58%

Unsure

4%

8%

87%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

56%

35%

9%

141

Unsure

42%

40%

18%

35

No

28%

58%

14%

421

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

49%

37%

14%

312

Unsure

27%

42%

30%

28

Disapprove

20%

70%

10%

256

(cont.)

Page 139

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REWYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
ELIZABETH WARREN/C

REWYN

Yes

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

10%

74%

16%

65

Somewhat worried

15%

68%

17%

172

Not too worried

44%

45%

10%

196

Not at all worried

59%

31%

10%

160

51%

13%

468

No

36%

51%

13%

129

Approve

61%

24%

15%

228

Unsure

25%

42%

33%

29

9%

82%

9%

210

Yes

47%

43%

10%

387

No

12%

68%

20%

130

19%

64%

18%

79

4 of 4

100%

3 of 4

98%

2%

2 of 4

39%

41%

20%

1 of 4

37%

49%

14%

86

0 of 4

TOTAL

84%

36%

Not sure

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

16%

Yes

Disapprove

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

100%

Unsure

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

Don't know /
refused

Very worried

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

No

TOTAL

26
110
119

83%

17%

255

8%

86%

7%

124

4 of 7

13%

79%

8%

64

3 of 7

26%

57%

17%

51

2 of 7

34%

54%

12%

49

1 of 7

40%

40%

20%

81

0 of 7

58%

27%

15%

227

36%

51%

13%

596

5-7 of 7

Page 140

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
DEMCON WILLING TO CONSIDER DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

DEMCON

4 of 4

TOTAL

3 of 4

2 of 4

1 of 4

TOTAL

0 of 4

3%

11%

22%

21%

43%

1001

Northeast

5%

18%

24%

22%

30%

195

Midwest

1%

7%

25%

23%

44%

181

South

1%

9%

22%

22%

46%

235

South Central

4%

9%

22%

15%

50%

96

Central Plains

4%

7%

20%

22%

48%

83

Mountain States

4%

9%

12%

15%

60%

70

West

2%

16%

22%

24%

37%

141

California

2%

17%

20%

23%

38%

89

Florida

5%

7%

16%

19%

52%

58

Texas

4%

11%

27%

13%

45%

71

New York

6%

19%

25%

17%

33%

56

Rest of country

2%

10%

22%

23%

43%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

2%

9%

24%

21%

43%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

3%

10%

25%

21%

42%

320

No Senate election

3%

13%

19%

22%

43%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

2%

10%

20%

20%

48%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

4%

14%

25%

21%

37%

366

No Gubernatorial election

1%

9%

22%

24%

43%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

2%

9%

19%

22%

47%

241

Other

3%

12%

23%

21%

41%

760

Male

3%

9%

18%

19%

50%

480

Female

2%

13%

26%

24%

36%

521

Male / employed

4%

8%

20%

17%

51%

324

Male / not employed

2%

13%

14%

23%

49%

157

Female / employed

1%

14%

26%

22%

36%

281

Female / not employed

3%

12%

25%

25%

36%

240

Not employed

4%

7%

26%

29%

35%

133

Employed

3%

11%

23%

20%

44%

605

Retired

2%

15%

17%

21%

45%

252

33%

40%

27%

11

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

Refused
RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

18-34

2%

10%

24%

29%

35%

200

35-44

2%

9%

27%

19%

43%

280

45-64

4%

13%

22%

21%

41%

310

65 or over

3%

13%

14%

19%

50%

200

Unsure / refused

2%

9%

1%

17%

70%

10

18-44

2%

9%

26%

23%

40%

480

45-64

4%

13%

22%

21%

41%

310

65+

3%

13%

14%

19%

50%

200

Unsure / refused

2%

9%

1%

17%

70%

10

(cont.)

Page 141

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
DEMCON WILLING TO CONSIDER DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

DEMCON

4 of 4

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

3 of 4

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

0 of 4

2%

7%

22%

21%

48%

302

Male / 55+

5%

14%

12%

16%

53%

179

Female / under 55

1%

13%

29%

25%

32%

315

Female / 55+

4%

13%

20%

21%

42%

205

White

2%

11%

17%

19%

50%

751

Black / African American

2%

12%

48%

28%

11%

120

Hispanic / Latino

6%

9%

26%

31%

28%

90

Other

1%

10%

25%

22%

43%

40

White millenials 18-34

1%

13%

18%

26%

42%

128

White older voters 35+

3%

11%

17%

18%

51%

623

36%

53%

11%

24

African American older


voters 35+

2%

15%

51%

22%

11%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

4%

8%

35%

22%

31%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

8%

10%

19%

38%

26%

49

9%

34%

42%

16%

Other races millenials


18-34

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

1 of 4

Male / under 55

African American
millenials 18-34

WHITE SENIORS

2 of 4

TOTAL

Other races older voters


35+

1%

10%

23%

17%

50%

32

White seniors

5%

13%

12%

17%

54%

255

Other

2%

11%

26%

23%

39%

746

White men

3%

10%

16%

16%

55%

368

White women

2%

12%

18%

23%

45%

382

Black men

1%

11%

36%

35%

16%

50

Black women

2%

13%

56%

23%

7%

70

Hispanic men

8%

2%

16%

26%

48%

42

Hispanic women

4%

15%

35%

35%

11%

48

Republican

0%

1%

7%

13%

79%

390

Independent

2%

8%

15%

26%

49%

190

Democrat

5%

22%

39%

27%

6%

420

Male / GOP

0%

1%

6%

14%

79%

214

1%

9%

12%

78%

176

Female / GOP
Male / DEM

8%

23%

36%

24%

10%

161

Female / DEM

4%

22%

41%

29%

4%

259

Male / IND

2%

7%

16%

23%

53%

105

Female / IND

2%

9%

14%

31%

44%

85

1%

10%

12%

77%

223

Under 55 / GOP
55 & over / GOP

0%

1%

3%

14%

81%

168

Under 55 / DEM

3%

19%

42%

30%

6%

269

55 & over / DEM

9%

28%

33%

23%

7%

151

Under 55 / IND

2%

6%

18%

28%

45%

125

55 & over / IND

1%

11%

9%

23%

56%

65

(cont.)

Page 142

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
DEMCON WILLING TO CONSIDER DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

DEMCON

4 of 4

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

Republican

0%

Ticket splitter

RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

1 of 4

0 of 4

1%

6%

14%

79%

448

6%

20%

24%

51%

61

5%

22%

37%

28%

8%

492

Hard GOP

0%

1%

6%

13%

81%

360

1%

5%

16%

77%

92

Ticket splitter

2%

4%

23%

26%

45%

64

Soft DEM

4%

17%

28%

33%

18%

84

Hard DEM

5%

23%

39%

27%

5%

401

Conservative

1%

2%

14%

16%

67%

536

Moderate

2%

8%

15%

35%

40%

76

Liberal

5%

25%

34%

26%

9%

389

Very conservative

1%

6%

15%

78%

187

Somewhat conservative

1%

3%

18%

16%

62%

348

Moderate / liberal

5%

22%

31%

28%

14%

465

Republican

0%

1%

7%

13%

79%

390

Independent

2%

8%

15%

26%

49%

190

Conservative DEM

3%

5%

48%

28%

16%

103

Mod / lib DEM

6%

28%

36%

27%

3%

318

Liberal DEM

6%

29%

36%

26%

3%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

3%

7%

38%

33%

19%

157

6%

20%

24%

51%

61

Independent

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

2 of 4

Democrat

Soft GOP

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

3 of 4

TOTAL

Mod / liberal GOP

1%

2%

17%

28%

52%

69

Conservative GOP

0%

0%

4%

11%

84%

379

Yes / strongly

8%

15%

77%

93

Yes

3%

14%

83%

68

No / unsure

3%

13%

25%

23%

36%

840

Less than high school

3%

4%

25%

31%

38%

53

High school graduate

1%

5%

23%

31%

40%

227

Some college

3%

9%

19%

17%

52%

219

College graduate

3%

16%

23%

18%

41%

503

Male college graduates

4%

14%

19%

16%

47%

248

Male non-college
graduates

2%

5%

17%

23%

53%

232

Female college graduates

2%

18%

26%

20%

35%

254

Female non-college
graduates

2%

8%

25%

27%

37%

266

White non-college
graduate

2%

7%

14%

22%

55%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

3%

5%

39%

32%

21%

149

Others

3%

16%

23%

18%

41%

503

Union household

2%

19%

24%

24%

31%

127

Non-union household

3%

10%

22%

21%

44%

874

(cont.)

Page 143

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
DEMCON WILLING TO CONSIDER DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

DEMCON

4 of 4

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

36%

21%

29%

215

Married

3%

11%

18%

19%

49%

607

No longer married

2%

11%

20%

29%

38%

179

Dad

2%

6%

17%

18%

56%

171

Mom

1%

12%

28%

28%

31%

203

Married / children

2%

10%

20%

22%

47%

299

Married / no children

4%

12%

16%

17%

51%

308

8%

30%

45%

17%

22

12%

16%

33%

36%

60

5%

47%

25%

23%

42

3%

Single / no children

3%

13%

33%

20%

31%

173

Other / mixed

2%

11%

20%

24%

43%

97

Single women

2%

9%

46%

22%

20%

98

Married women

2%

14%

20%

20%

43%

304

No longer married women

2%

12%

22%

33%

31%

118

Single men

3%

13%

27%

20%

37%

117

Married men

3%

8%

15%

18%

55%

302

No longer married men

3%

9%

15%

22%

51%

61

White single men

2%

19%

25%

13%

40%

75

White single women

5%

14%

24%

22%

35%

46

White married men

4%

8%

13%

16%

59%

244

White married women

2%

13%

17%

19%

49%

243

White no longer married


men

2%

9%

19%

16%

54%

49

White no longer married


women

1%

10%

19%

33%

38%

93

Other

3%

11%

36%

28%

22%

250

3%

53%

29%

15%

30

14%

23%

26%

36%

150

8%

31%

39%

23%

23

Single mothers
Married mothers

1%

No longer married
mothers
ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

Non-mothers

3%

11%

20%

20%

46%

798

Upper class

1%

17%

25%

22%

35%

73

Middle class

3%

12%

21%

18%

47%

696

Low income

2%

Working class

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

0 of 4

11%

Single / children

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

1 of 4

3%

Divorced / no children

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

2 of 4

Single

Divorced / children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

3 of 4

TOTAL

6%

26%

33%

34%

205

22%

11%

57%

11%

Refused

5%

11%

19%

24%

41%

20

Middle class whites

3%

12%

16%

16%

53%

551

Middle class African


Americans

3%

16%

52%

21%

9%

63

Middle class Hispanics

6%

8%

28%

29%

29%

57

Middle class other races

1%

14%

32%

24%

30%

25

Other

2%

9%

25%

30%

34%

305

(cont.)

Page 144

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
DEMCON WILLING TO CONSIDER DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

DEMCON

4 of 4

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

2 of 4

1 of 4

0 of 4

Roman Catholic

1%

8%

24%

22%

44%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

1%

6%

22%

22%

49%

185

Mainline Protestant

1%

6%

19%

22%

52%

280

Other

11%

18%

6%

22%

42%

45

None

4%

21%

28%

20%

27%

262

At least once a week

2%

7%

17%

20%

55%

336

At least once a month

1%

7%

22%

25%

46%

157

Infrequently

3%

8%

27%

25%

37%

191

Never

8%

14%

13%

25%

41%

44

Active Roman Catholics

3%

12%

14%

28%

44%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

7%

20%

17%

57%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

5%

17%

18%

59%

131

20%

59%

17

Active other

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

3 of 4

TOTAL

17%

4%

Other

3%

13%

25%

22%

37%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

1%

4%

14%

19%

62%

133

Male not evangelical

4%

12%

20%

19%

45%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

1%

3%

21%

31%

43%

179

Female not evangelical

2%

18%

28%

20%

32%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

1%

1%

10%

23%

64%

222

Non-white Evangelical

1%

9%

38%

32%

20%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

0%

7%

15%

77%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

3%

4%

33%

32%

28%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

4%

5%

20%

45%

27%

55

15%

44%

32%

9%

39

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians
RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

Approve

6%

23%

39%

25%

8%

453

Unsure

2%

9%

20%

33%

37%

62

0%

7%

17%

76%

487

Disapprove
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Jobs

4%

17%

25%

30%

24%

135

Economy

5%

11%

32%

15%

37%

228

Health care

4%

25%

30%

19%

21%

99

Illegal immigration

2%

3%

11%

21%

64%

78

Foreign threats

4%

10%

27%

59%

116

Deficit

9%

11%

24%

56%

76

48%

268

Other

2%

9%

21%

20%

(cont.)

Page 145

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
DEMCON WILLING TO CONSIDER DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

DEMCON

4 of 4

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

Cutting taxes

3 of 4

3%

20%

16%

61%

71

5%

8%

16%

69%

126

Creating jobs

2%

11%

31%

28%

29%

203

Increase wages

10%

31%

24%

17%

18%

132

Healthcare costs

1%

10%

19%

21%

49%

98

7%

20%

39%

34%

41

15%

39%

23%

20%

101

2%

8%

10%

81%

65

7%

19%

22%

48%

141

16%

34%

38%

11%

11

6%

7%

87%

12

2%

Regulations
Combination

3%

None
Unsure
Views close to own

4%

17%

18%

18%

42%

352

Most effective person

2%

8%

25%

24%

42%

571

Both

3%

8%

24%

14%

51%

48

Unsure

2%

18%

11%

16%

52%

30

Very worried

2%

3%

11%

25%

58%

318

Somewhat worried

2%

10%

25%

21%

42%

405

Not too worried

4%

26%

30%

16%

24%

214

Not at all worried

5%

10%

35%

22%

28%

56

42%

58%

Combination
Unsure

3%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

6%

19%

Unsure

2%

18%

No

1%

8%

20%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

3%

18%

27%

Unsure

1%

7%

Disapprove

2%

Very worried
Somewhat worried

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

1
38%

59%

29%

18%

28%

245

22%

29%

30%

63

22%

49%

693

22%

29%

510

27%

38%

27%

85

3%

15%

17%

63%

406

2%

1%

12%

27%

58%

112

1%

5%

19%

20%

54%

283

Not too worried

1%

15%

23%

22%

40%

341

Not at all worried

7%

18%

29%

19%

27%

258

100%

Combination
Unsure
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT
IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

0 of 4

2%

Higher education

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

1 of 4

Reducing deficit

Retirement

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

2 of 4

TOTAL

19%

36%

45%

Yes

4%

14%

21%

14%

47%

645

No

0%

6%

25%

34%

35%

356

Approve

8%

29%

29%

16%

18%

295

Unsure

3%

4%

31%

16%

46%

45

Disapprove

0%

1%

11%

12%

75%

306

(cont.)

Page 146

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
DEMCON WILLING TO CONSIDER DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

DEMCON

4 of 4

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

3 of 4

2 of 4

1 of 4

TOTAL

0 of 4

Yes

4%

16%

25%

22%

33%

628

No

1%

2%

18%

21%

58%

245

Not sure

2%

5%

15%

19%

60%

128

5-7 of 7

0%

2%

4%

9%

85%

150

4 of 7

1%

1%

8%

8%

81%

96

3 of 7

4%

2%

9%

23%

62%

91

2 of 7

2%

8%

22%

16%

53%

87

1 of 7

1%

11%

28%

25%

35%

164

0 of 7

4%

20%

32%

29%

15%

413

3%

11%

22%

21%

43%

1001

Page 147

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJEBYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR JEB
BUSH/C

RJEBYN

Yes

TOTAL

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

36%

60%

4%

940

Northeast

27%

68%

5%

189

Midwest

34%

64%

2%

170

South

41%

54%

6%

224

South Central

46%

53%

1%

90

Central Plains

33%

60%

7%

78

Mountain States

43%

53%

4%

63

West

34%

64%

1%

127

California

38%

61%

1%

82

Florida

47%

49%

4%

55

Texas

50%

48%

2%

65

New York

38%

53%

9%

56

Rest of country

33%

63%

4%

683

GOP held seat up in 2014

42%

55%

4%

200

DEM held seat up in 2014

31%

65%

4%

305

No Senate election

37%

60%

4%

435

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

39%

58%

4%

372

DEM held seat up in 2014

31%

65%

4%

352

No Gubernatorial election

38%

58%

4%

216

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

38%

58%

3%

228

Other

35%

61%

4%

713

Male

42%

55%

4%

457

Female

30%

66%

4%

483

Male / employed

41%

55%

4%

308

Male / not employed

43%

54%

4%

149

Female / employed

24%

71%

5%

260

Female / not employed

37%

60%

3%

223

Not employed

27%

70%

3%

114

Employed

33%

62%

5%

568

Retired

45%

52%

3%

248

Refused

39%

49%

12%

10

18-34

24%

70%

6%

166

35-44

33%

62%

5%

271

45-64

36%

62%

2%

300

65 or over

48%

48%

3%

193

Unsure / refused

52%

25%

23%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 148

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJEBYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR JEB
BUSH/C

RJEBYN

Yes

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

29%

65%

5%

437

45-64

36%

62%

2%

300

65+

48%

48%

3%

193

Unsure / refused

52%

25%

23%

10

Male / under 55

40%

57%

4%

280

Male / 55+

45%

51%

4%

176

Female / under 55

23%

73%

5%

285

Female / 55+

41%

56%

3%

199

White

41%

55%

5%

717

Black / African American

14%

85%

1%

114

Hispanic / Latino

31%

66%

3%

69

Other

18%

77%

6%

39

White millenials 18-34

29%

64%

7%

112

White older voters 35+

43%

53%

4%

606

8%

92%

African American older


voters 35+

15%

84%

1%

95

Hispanic millenials 18-34

19%

75%

6%

28

Hispanic older voters 35+

39%

59%

1%

41

6%

94%

Other races older voters


35+

20%

73%

7%

32

White seniors

49%

48%

3%

248

Other

31%

65%

4%

692

White men

45%

51%

5%

357

White women

37%

59%

5%

361

Black men

26%

72%

2%

47

Black women

5%

95%

67

Hispanic men

38%

62%

33

Hispanic women

25%

69%

6%

37

Republican

59%

36%

5%

375

Independent

35%

60%

5%

173

Democrat

14%

84%

2%

392

Male / GOP

60%

35%

5%

206

Female / GOP

59%

36%

5%

168

Male / DEM

19%

79%

2%

152

Female / DEM

10%

87%

3%

239

Male / IND

38%

58%

4%

98

Female / IND

32%

63%

5%

76

Other races millenials


18-34

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

Don't know /
refused

18-44

African American
millenials 18-34

WHITE SENIORS

No

TOTAL

19

(cont.)

Page 149

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJEBYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR JEB
BUSH/C

RJEBYN

Yes

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Under 55 / GOP

52%

41%

7%

209

55 & over / GOP

68%

28%

4%

166

Under 55 / DEM

13%

84%

2%

246

55 & over / DEM

14%

83%

3%

146

Under 55 / IND

30%

65%

4%

110

55 & over / IND

44%

51%

5%

63

Republican

56%

38%

5%

428

Ticket splitter

47%

44%

9%

47

Democrat

16%

82%

2%

465

Hard GOP

59%

35%

6%

347

Soft GOP

48%

50%

2%

85

Ticket splitter

46%

45%

8%

52

Soft DEM

25%

70%

5%

80

Hard DEM

12%

86%

2%

376

Conservative

51%

45%

4%

504

Moderate

25%

62%

13%

64

Liberal

17%

80%

3%

372

Very conservative

48%

47%

5%

175

Somewhat conservative

53%

44%

3%

329

Moderate / liberal

18%

78%

4%

436

Republican

59%

36%

5%

375

Independent

35%

60%

5%

173

Conservative DEM

21%

78%

1%

90

Mod / lib DEM

11%

86%

3%

302

Liberal DEM

13%

84%

2%

327

Mod / conservative DEM

21%

77%

2%

138

Independent

47%

44%

9%

47

Mod / liberal GOP

42%

52%

6%

61

Conservative GOP

59%

36%

5%

367

Yes / strongly

44%

54%

2%

90

Yes

55%

38%

6%

66

No / unsure

33%

63%

4%

785

Less than high school

57%

38%

5%

40

High school graduate

37%

59%

4%

199

Some college

35%

62%

3%

206

College graduate

34%

62%

4%

494

Male college graduates

40%

55%

5%

243

Male non-college
graduates

43%

54%

3%

213

Female college graduates

28%

68%

4%

251

Female non-college
graduates

33%

63%

4%

233

(cont.)

Page 150

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJEBYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR JEB
BUSH/C

RJEBYN

Yes

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

White non-college
graduate

44%

52%

4%

320

Minority non-college
graduate

22%

76%

1%

126

Others

34%

62%

4%

494

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

28%

65%

7%

120

Non-union household

37%

60%

4%

820

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

28%

71%

2%

183

Married

38%

57%

5%

583

No longer married

37%

59%

4%

173

Dad

44%

52%

4%

164

Mom

22%

71%

7%

184

Married / children

32%

62%

6%

284

Married / no children

43%

53%

4%

300

Divorced / children

21%

69%

10%

21

Divorced / no children

33%

63%

4%

58

Single / children

34%

66%

Single / no children

26%

72%

2%

151

Other / mixed

43%

54%

2%

94

Single women

20%

79%

1%

81

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

33

Married women

32%

63%

5%

287

No longer married women

34%

63%

4%

115

Single men

34%

64%

2%

102

Married men

44%

52%

5%

296

No longer married men

44%

52%

4%

59

White single men

34%

62%

4%

70

White single women

35%

65%

White married men

47%

47%

5%

240

White married women

36%

59%

5%

231

White no longer married


men

47%

52%

1%

47

White no longer married


women

39%

56%

5%

90

Other

20%

78%

2%

223

Single mothers

19%

81%

Married mothers

21%

71%

7%

138

No longer married
mothers

31%

60%

9%

23

Non-mothers

39%

58%

3%

756

40

22

(cont.)

Page 151

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJEBYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR JEB
BUSH/C

RJEBYN

Yes

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Upper class

39%

60%

1%

70

Middle class

38%

57%

5%

664

Low income

28%

71%

1%

180

Working class

14%

86%

Refused

34%

56%

9%

20

Middle class whites

43%

52%

5%

533

Middle class African


Americans

11%

87%

2%

60

Middle class Hispanics

30%

65%

5%

47

Middle class other races

9%

84%

8%

24

Other

31%

68%

2%

276

Roman Catholic

43%

53%

3%

184

Baptist / Evangelical

41%

53%

6%

174

Mainline Protestant

36%

60%

4%

268

Other

35%

64%

1%

42

None

24%

72%

3%

242

At least once a week

41%

55%

4%

314

At least once a month

39%

57%

4%

146

Infrequently

37%

58%

5%

182

Never

27%

71%

1%

43

Active Roman Catholics

41%

57%

2%

73

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

52%

44%

4%

99

Active Mainline
Protestants

35%

59%

6%

126

Active other

30%

70%

Other

33%

63%

4%

628

Male born again /


evangelicals

41%

55%

4%

125

Male not evangelical

42%

54%

4%

332

Female born again /


evangelicals

36%

59%

5%

169

Female not evangelical

27%

69%

4%

314

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

47%

47%

6%

208

Non-white Evangelical

18%

82%

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

54%

42%

Non-white conservative
Christians

23%

77%

White non-conservative
Christians

21%

64%

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

11%

89%

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

15

85
4%

160
50

14%

49

36

(cont.)

Page 152

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJEBYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR JEB
BUSH/C

RJEBYN

Yes

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Approve

17%

81%

2%

427

Unsure

41%

49%

11%

48

Disapprove

52%

43%

5%

465

Jobs

30%

67%

2%

123

Economy

28%

70%

3%

212

Health care

21%

75%

4%

94

Illegal immigration

48%

51%

1%

76

Foreign threats

49%

47%

4%

112

Deficit

51%

41%

7%

73

Other

37%

58%

6%

249

Cutting taxes

43%

56%

1%

67

Reducing deficit

55%

41%

5%

123

Creating jobs

38%

60%

2%

189

Increase wages

12%

85%

3%

122

Healthcare costs

39%

54%

7%

93

Retirement

32%

66%

1%

38

Higher education

31%

68%

2%

88

Regulations

35%

60%

5%

65

9%

134

Combination

32%

59%

None

43%

57%

Unsure

67%

29%

4%

12

Views close to own

30%

68%

2%

338

Most effective person

40%

55%

5%

528

Both

34%

58%

8%

47

Unsure

25%

63%

12%

27

Very worried

40%

55%

5%

296

Somewhat worried

36%

60%

4%

378

Not too worried

33%

65%

2%

207

Not at all worried

25%

70%

5%

53

Combination

100%

Unsure

54%

46%

31%

67%

3%

232

33%

57%

9%

54

No

38%

58%

4%

654

Approve

28%

68%

4%

490

Unsure

31%

63%

6%

67

Disapprove

47%

50%

3%

383

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes
Unsure

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

(cont.)

Page 153

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RJEBYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR JEB
BUSH/C

RJEBYN

Yes

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

43%

54%

3%

101

Somewhat worried

44%

52%

5%

265

Not too worried

33%

62%

5%

327

Not at all worried

29%

70%

1%

240

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

55%

45%

Yes

37%

60%

3%

634

No

33%

62%

6%

306

Approve

24%

74%

2%

291

Unsure

24%

59%

17%

45

Disapprove

52%

46%

2%

298

Yes

30%

67%

3%

593

No

45%

51%

4%

229

Not sure

45%

46%

9%

118

4 of 4

21%

77%

3%

26

3 of 4

9%

89%

1%

110

2 of 4

24%

74%

2%

214

1 of 4

27%

69%

5%

182

0 of 4

54%

41%

5%

408

5-7 of 7

80%

18%

2%

150

4 of 7

66%

33%

2%

96

3 of 7

53%

45%

2%

91

2 of 7

55%

45%

84

56%

5%

149

93%

7%

371

60%

4%

940

1 of 7

39%

0 of 7
TOTAL

100%

Unsure

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

Don't know /
refused

Very worried

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

No

TOTAL

36%

Page 154

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTCYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR TED
CRUZ/C

RTCYN

Yes

TOTAL

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

35%

55%

10%

738

Northeast

24%

63%

13%

154

Midwest

37%

54%

8%

123

South

35%

50%

15%

168

South Central

53%

42%

5%

86

Central Plains

37%

51%

12%

53

Mountain States

35%

53%

12%

48

West

35%

61%

4%

106

California

36%

62%

2%

70

Florida

49%

38%

12%

39

Texas

49%

47%

4%

63

New York

31%

58%

11%

42

Rest of country

33%

55%

12%

525

GOP held seat up in 2014

38%

49%

13%

157

DEM held seat up in 2014

35%

58%

7%

246

No Senate election

34%

55%

11%

335

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

40%

49%

11%

282

DEM held seat up in 2014

30%

62%

8%

287

No Gubernatorial election

36%

52%

12%

170

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

36%

52%

12%

174

Other

35%

55%

10%

564

Male

38%

54%

8%

380

Female

32%

55%

13%

358

Male / employed

37%

55%

8%

257

Male / not employed

40%

51%

9%

123

Female / employed

29%

58%

13%

186

Female / not employed

36%

52%

12%

172

Not employed

32%

57%

11%

83

Employed

34%

56%

10%

443

Retired

41%

50%

10%

206

Refused

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

9%

43%

48%

18-34

24%

57%

19%

126

35-44

38%

53%

9%

210

45-64

33%

60%

7%

230

65 or over

43%

47%

9%

164

Unsure / refused

33%

56%

11%

(cont.)

Page 155

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTCYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR TED
CRUZ/C

RTCYN

Yes

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

33%

54%

13%

336

45-64

33%

60%

7%

230

65+

43%

47%

9%

164

Unsure / refused

33%

56%

11%

Male / under 55

37%

54%

9%

229

Male / 55+

39%

54%

7%

151

Female / under 55

29%

57%

15%

203

Female / 55+

37%

53%

10%

156

White

39%

51%

10%

571

Black / African American

18%

67%

15%

79

Hispanic / Latino

24%

69%

7%

56

Other

32%

56%

12%

32

White millenials 18-34

30%

57%

13%

85

White older voters 35+

40%

50%

9%

487

African American
millenials 18-34

15%

30%

55%

16

African American older


voters 35+

19%

76%

5%

63

82%

18%

19

Hispanic older voters 35+

36%

62%

2%

37

Other races millenials


18-34

27%

61%

12%

Other races older voters


35+

34%

55%

12%

26

White seniors

41%

50%

9%

210

Other

33%

56%

11%

528

White men

41%

52%

7%

302

White women

37%

51%

12%

269

Black men

26%

61%

13%

30

Black women

13%

71%

16%

48

Hispanic men

23%

71%

6%

31

Hispanic women

25%

66%

9%

25

Republican

61%

27%

11%

310

Independent

36%

54%

10%

135

Democrat
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

Don't know /
refused

18-44

Hispanic millenials 18-34

WHITE SENIORS

No

TOTAL

7%

84%

9%

293

Male / GOP

62%

28%

10%

181

Female / GOP

61%

27%

12%

129

3%

90%

6%

121

Female / DEM

10%

79%

12%

172

Male / IND

37%

58%

5%

78

Female / IND

36%

48%

16%

57

Male / DEM

(cont.)

Page 156

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTCYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR TED
CRUZ/C

RTCYN

Yes

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

60%

28%

12%

167

55 & over / GOP

63%

27%

10%

143

Under 55 / DEM

8%

82%

11%

183

55 & over / DEM

6%

87%

7%

110

Under 55 / IND

36%

52%

12%

82

55 & over / IND

37%

56%

7%

54

Republican

62%

28%

10%

358

Ticket splitter

26%

59%

14%

31

Democrat

9%

81%

10%

349

Hard GOP

63%

26%

11%

288

Soft GOP

59%

34%

6%

73

Ticket splitter

25%

61%

14%

38

9%

77%

14%

57

Hard DEM

7%

84%

9%

282

Conservative

58%

33%

9%

398

Moderate

10%

63%

27%

51

9%

83%

9%

290

Very conservative

66%

25%

9%

155

Somewhat conservative

53%

38%

9%

242

9%

80%

11%

341

Republican

61%

27%

11%

310

Independent

36%

54%

10%

135

Conservative DEM

14%

76%

10%

49

Liberal
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

Moderate / liberal
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

Don't know /
refused

Under 55 / GOP

Soft DEM

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

No

TOTAL

Mod / lib DEM

6%

85%

9%

244

Liberal DEM

6%

86%

8%

260

Mod / conservative DEM

17%

66%

17%

89

Independent

26%

59%

14%

31

Mod / liberal GOP

26%

53%

21%

44

Conservative GOP

67%

25%

9%

314

Yes / strongly

80%

12%

8%

75

Yes

66%

27%

7%

59

No / unsure

27%

62%

11%

605

Less than high school

52%

44%

4%

25

High school graduate

35%

48%

17%

134

Some college

36%

54%

10%

164

College graduate

34%

57%

9%

415

Male college graduates

39%

55%

6%

218

Male non-college
graduates

37%

52%

11%

163

Female college graduates

28%

60%

12%

198

Female non-college
graduates

37%

49%

13%

160

(cont.)

Page 157

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTCYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR TED
CRUZ/C

RTCYN

Yes

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

White non-college
graduate

43%

46%

11%

236

Minority non-college
graduate

21%

64%

15%

88

Others

34%

57%

9%

415

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

33%

57%

10%

98

Non-union household

36%

54%

10%

640

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

17%

68%

14%

151

Married

42%

50%

8%

471

No longer married

31%

57%

13%

116

Dad

46%

48%

7%

143

Mom

33%

50%

17%

118

Married / children

43%

47%

10%

219

Married / no children

41%

51%

7%

252

Divorced / children

25%

39%

37%

11

Divorced / no children

24%

66%

9%

39

Single / children

22%

66%

12%

26

Single / no children

16%

69%

15%

125

Other / mixed

35%

54%

11%

66

Single women

13%

68%

19%

64

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

Married women

39%

51%

10%

216

No longer married women

30%

55%

16%

78

Single men

20%

68%

11%

86

Married men

45%

48%

7%

256

No longer married men

32%

61%

7%

39

White single men

23%

69%

8%

63

White single women

25%

63%

11%

31

White married men

47%

46%

7%

207

White married women

41%

49%

11%

177

White no longer married


men

34%

59%

7%

32

White no longer married


women

32%

50%

18%

60

Other

23%

65%

12%

167

Single mothers

21%

59%

19%

16

Married mothers

36%

51%

14%

90

No longer married
mothers

32%

30%

38%

12

Non-mothers

36%

55%

9%

620

(cont.)

Page 158

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTCYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR TED
CRUZ/C

RTCYN

Yes

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

Don't know /
refused

Upper class

32%

67%

2%

63

Middle class

39%

51%

10%

531

Low income

23%

64%

13%

125

Working class

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

No

TOTAL

7%

93%

Refused

16%

55%

29%

16

Middle class whites

42%

48%

10%

430

Middle class African


Americans

23%

64%

12%

45

Middle class Hispanics

26%

63%

12%

36

Middle class other races

32%

58%

10%

20

Other

25%

65%

10%

207

Roman Catholic

44%

48%

8%

141

Baptist / Evangelical

47%

39%

14%

136

Mainline Protestant

39%

47%

14%

222

Other

31%

68%

1%

34

None

17%

77%

7%

184

At least once a week

48%

39%

12%

257

At least once a month

45%

46%

10%

116

Infrequently

28%

59%

13%

144

Never

32%

64%

3%

32

Active Roman Catholics

48%

45%

7%

57

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

56%

35%

10%

85

Active Mainline
Protestants

43%

37%

20%

99

Active other

42%

58%

Other

28%

63%

9%

484

Male born again /


evangelicals

56%

34%

10%

101

Male not evangelical

31%

61%

7%

280

Female born again /


evangelicals

39%

43%

18%

123

Female not evangelical

29%

61%

10%

235

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

54%

30%

15%

161

Non-white Evangelical

27%

61%

12%

62

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

65%

24%

11%

130

Non-white conservative
Christians

39%

55%

6%

34

White non-conservative
Christians

12%

58%

31%

31

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

13%

68%

19%

28

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

13

(cont.)

Page 159

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTCYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR TED
CRUZ/C

RTCYN

Yes

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Approve

9%

83%

8%

332

Unsure

28%

53%

19%

30

Disapprove

59%

30%

11%

377

Jobs

27%

64%

9%

90

Economy

26%

67%

6%

169

Health care

18%

74%

8%

72

Illegal immigration

50%

36%

14%

61

Foreign threats

55%

36%

9%

87

Deficit

38%

43%

19%

58

Other

39%

50%

12%

201

Cutting taxes

70%

27%

3%

48

Reducing deficit

54%

34%

12%

100

Creating jobs

12%

148

26%

63%

Increase wages

6%

87%

7%

100

Healthcare costs

31%

54%

15%

72

Retirement

33%

55%

12%

20

Higher education

17%

74%

9%

73

Regulations

67%

25%

9%

57

Combination

41%

47%

12%

104

None

13%

84%

3%

Unsure

63%

31%

7%

Views close to own

37%

57%

6%

281

Most effective person

35%

52%

13%

398

Both

32%

61%

7%

37

Unsure

30%

51%

20%

22

Very worried

54%

35%

11%

225

Somewhat worried

35%

57%

9%

290

Not too worried

18%

73%

9%

176

Not at all worried

12%

76%

12%

39

Combination
Unsure

100%
2%

3%

95%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

22%

73%

5%

170

Unsure

24%

57%

20%

43

No

40%

48%

11%

525

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

20%

70%

10%

374

Unsure

23%

51%

26%

49

Disapprove

55%

37%

8%

315

(cont.)

Page 160

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTCYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR TED
CRUZ/C

RTCYN

Yes

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

53%

36%

10%

73

Somewhat worried

50%

40%

10%

214

Not too worried

33%

58%

9%

246

Not at all worried

17%

73%

9%

198

22%

78%

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Yes

37%

55%

8%

561

No

31%

52%

17%

177

Approve

9%

84%

7%

259

Unsure

43%

46%

12%

30

Disapprove

62%

29%

9%

272

Yes

27%

65%

7%

470

No

49%

32%

19%

167

Not sure

9%

101

50%

42%

4 of 4

5%

95%

3 of 4

6%

92%

2%

109

2 of 4

8%

80%

11%

150

1 of 4

26%

55%

19%

111

0 of 4

62%

28%

10%

342

5-7 of 7

89%

8%

2%

145

4 of 7

75%

22%

3%

85

3 of 7

55%

30%

15%

77

2 of 7

20%

66%

15%

63

66%

22%

101

90%

10%

267

55%

10%

738

1 of 7

12%

0 of 7
TOTAL

100%

Unsure

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

Don't know /
refused

Very worried

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

No

TOTAL

35%

26

Page 161

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSWYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
SCOTT WALKER/C

RSWYN

Yes

TOTAL

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

37%

50%

13%

531

Northeast

24%

57%

19%

115

Midwest

39%

54%

7%

98

South

50%

43%

8%

116

South Central

40%

50%

11%

43

Central Plains

30%

49%

21%

53

Mountain States

50%

37%

13%

33

West

34%

49%

17%

73

California

40%

42%

18%

47

Florida

58%

37%

5%

35

Texas

32%

53%

15%

31

New York

22%

60%

18%

32

Rest of country

37%

51%

13%

387

GOP held seat up in 2014

41%

47%

12%

90

DEM held seat up in 2014

39%

48%

14%

188

No Senate election

35%

52%

13%

252

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

43%

46%

10%

213

DEM held seat up in 2014

29%

54%

17%

215

No Gubernatorial election

41%

49%

10%

103

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

46%

45%

9%

140

Other

34%

51%

14%

391

Male

44%

42%

14%

281

Female

30%

58%

12%

249

Male / employed

43%

44%

13%

193

Male / not employed

46%

40%

15%

89

Female / employed

24%

66%

10%

130

Female / not employed

35%

50%

15%

120

Not employed

25%

63%

13%

45

Employed

36%

53%

12%

322

Retired

44%

41%

15%

161

Refused

27%

16%

58%

18-34

21%

60%

19%

74

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

35-44

37%

50%

13%

142

45-64

37%

55%

9%

169

65 or over

47%

40%

14%

139

Unsure / refused

54%

13%

33%

(cont.)

Page 162

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSWYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
SCOTT WALKER/C

RSWYN

Yes

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

31%

53%

15%

215

45-64

37%

55%

9%

169

65+

47%

40%

14%

139

Unsure / refused

54%

13%

33%

Male / under 55

42%

44%

15%

152

Male / 55+

47%

41%

13%

129

Female / under 55

21%

65%

14%

131

Female / 55+

39%

50%

11%

118

White

40%

46%

14%

436

Black / African American

14%

78%

8%

41

Hispanic / Latino

21%

66%

13%

35

Other

46%

45%

9%

18

White millenials 18-34

26%

53%

22%

53

White older voters 35+

42%

45%

13%

383

62%

38%

81%

2%

35

African American older


voters 35+

17%

Hispanic millenials 18-34

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

11

100%

Hispanic older voters 35+

30%

52%

19%

25

Other races millenials


18-34

40%

49%

11%

Other races older voters


35+

48%

44%

8%

15

White seniors

46%

42%

12%

178

Other

33%

53%

14%

353

White men

47%

38%

14%

236

White women

32%

55%

13%

200

Black men

33%

67%

Black women

3%

84%

13%

26

Hispanic men

15

9%

73%

17%

21

Hispanic women

37%

56%

6%

15

Republican

66%

21%

13%

225

Independent

45%

40%

14%

95

Democrat
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

Don't know /
refused

18-44

African American
millenials 18-34

WHITE SENIORS

No

TOTAL

3%

85%

12%

210

Male / GOP

67%

17%

16%

143

Female / GOP

65%

26%

9%

82

Male / DEM

2%

84%

14%

84

Female / DEM

3%

86%

11%

126

Male / IND

48%

44%

8%

54

Female / IND

42%

35%

23%

41

(cont.)

Page 163

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSWYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
SCOTT WALKER/C

RSWYN

Yes

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

62%

22%

16%

107

55 & over / GOP

70%

19%

11%

118

Under 55 / DEM

3%

84%

13%

125

55 & over / DEM

2%

87%

11%

85

Under 55 / IND

40%

47%

13%

52

55 & over / IND

51%

33%

16%

43

Republican

69%

19%

12%

260

Ticket splitter

22%

70%

9%

20

Democrat

5%

80%

15%

252

Hard GOP

68%

19%

13%

210

Soft GOP

71%

21%

8%

54

Ticket splitter

30%

53%

17%

21

Soft DEM

15%

63%

22%

40

2%

85%

13%

205

Conservative

64%

26%

10%

283

Moderate

17%

53%

31%

32

5%

80%

15%

216

Very conservative

74%

18%

8%

118

Somewhat conservative

57%

32%

11%

165

7%

76%

17%

248

Republican

66%

21%

13%

225

Independent

45%

40%

14%

95

Conservative DEM

12%

74%

14%

28

Liberal
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

Moderate / liberal
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

Don't know /
refused

Under 55 / GOP

Hard DEM
RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

No

TOTAL

Mod / lib DEM

1%

87%

12%

183

Liberal DEM

2%

83%

15%

202

Mod / conservative DEM

18%

68%

14%

50

Independent

22%

70%

9%

20

Mod / liberal GOP

33%

24%

43%

25

Conservative GOP

73%

18%

8%

234

Yes / strongly

77%

12%

10%

68

Yes

83%

8%

9%

42

No / unsure

26%

60%

14%

421

Less than high school

33%

45%

22%

21

High school graduate

44%

42%

14%

85

Some college

43%

46%

11%

116

College graduate

33%

54%

13%

309

Male college graduates

41%

46%

13%

171

Male non-college
graduates

48%

37%

15%

110

Female college graduates

23%

64%

13%

137

Female non-college
graduates

37%

51%

12%

112

(cont.)

Page 164

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSWYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
SCOTT WALKER/C

RSWYN

Yes

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

White non-college
graduate

50%

36%

14%

168

Minority non-college
graduate

20%

68%

11%

54

Others

33%

54%

13%

309

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

24%

63%

12%

79

Non-union household

40%

47%

13%

451

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

20%

66%

13%

86

Married

42%

46%

13%

357

No longer married

36%

50%

14%

87

Dad

50%

37%

14%

97

Mom

24%

60%

15%

84

Married / children

38%

47%

14%

161

Married / no children

44%

44%

12%

197

Divorced / children

28%

51%

21%

Divorced / no children

45%

53%

3%

30

Single / children

39%

54%

7%

13

Single / no children

17%

69%

14%

73

Other / mixed

33%

48%

19%

51

Single women

16%

69%

15%

35

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

Married women

33%

55%

11%

163

No longer married women

27%

59%

14%

51

Single men

23%

65%

12%

51

Married men

48%

37%

14%

195

No longer married men

50%

37%

13%

36

White single men

23%

62%

15%

40

White single women

14%

76%

10%

18

White married men

52%

34%

15%

165

White married women

36%

52%

12%

138

White no longer married


men

53%

34%

13%

30

White no longer married


women

30%

54%

16%

44

Other

23%

67%

10%

95

Single mothers

30%

61%

9%

10

Married mothers

24%

61%

14%

69

No longer married
mothers

13%

42%

45%

Non-mothers

40%

48%

13%

447

(cont.)

Page 165

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSWYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
SCOTT WALKER/C

RSWYN

Yes

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

Don't know /
refused

Upper class

35%

56%

9%

51

Middle class

41%

47%

12%

383

Low income

26%

54%

21%

83

Working class

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

No

TOTAL

5%

95%

Refused

32%

60%

8%

10

Middle class whites

44%

44%

12%

328

Middle class African


Americans

15%

72%

13%

24

Middle class Hispanics

21%

70%

10%

19

Middle class other races

39%

51%

9%

11

Other

29%

56%

15%

148

Roman Catholic

48%

44%

8%

110

Baptist / Evangelical

49%

38%

13%

89

Mainline Protestant

45%

41%

14%

155

Other

30%

55%

16%

25

None

14%

71%

15%

133

At least once a week

52%

37%

12%

178

At least once a month

43%

48%

10%

83

Infrequently

36%

48%

15%

104

Never

33%

58%

9%

24

Active Roman Catholics

48%

47%

5%

43

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

58%

27%

14%

55

Active Mainline
Protestants

49%

36%

15%

71

Active other

58%

42%

Other

30%

56%

14%

354

Male born again /


evangelicals

68%

20%

12%

78

Male not evangelical

35%

51%

14%

204

Female born again /


evangelicals

42%

43%

14%

71

Female not evangelical

25%

64%

11%

178

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

62%

22%

16%

116

Non-white Evangelical

32%

65%

3%

33

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

70%

19%

11%

100

Non-white conservative
Christians

48%

52%

White non-conservative
Christians

16%

39%

45%

17

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

15%

79%

6%

16

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

17

(cont.)

Page 166

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSWYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
SCOTT WALKER/C

RSWYN

Yes

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Approve

7%

79%

14%

241

Unsure

21%

57%

22%

22

Disapprove

65%

23%

12%

268

Jobs

17%

66%

16%

77

Economy

31%

55%

14%

120

Health care

10%

75%

15%

44

Illegal immigration

69%

24%

7%

40

Foreign threats

55%

36%

9%

75

Deficit

65%

20%

16%

44

Other

35%

53%

13%

132

Cutting taxes

74%

19%

7%

39

Reducing deficit

55%

21%

23%

77

Creating jobs

16%

108

25%

58%

Increase wages

1%

92%

7%

84

Healthcare costs

35%

47%

19%

46

Retirement

22%

74%

4%

15

Higher education

14%

76%

10%

38

Regulations

83%

13%

4%

45

Combination

43%

42%

15%

70

None

21%

79%

Unsure

84%

11%

6%

Views close to own

38%

52%

9%

219

Most effective person

40%

47%

13%

265

Both

20%

47%

33%

31

Unsure

18%

65%

17%

16

Very worried

59%

29%

11%

157

Somewhat worried

31%

52%

16%

202

Not too worried

26%

64%

11%

140

Not at all worried

19%

77%

5%

29

Combination

100%

Unsure

20%

80%

24%

66%

10%

127

20%

45%

35%

35

No

43%

45%

12%

369

Approve

22%

63%

15%

273

Unsure

14%

47%

39%

25

Disapprove

57%

35%

8%

233

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes
Unsure

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

(cont.)

Page 167

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSWYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
SCOTT WALKER/C

RSWYN

Yes

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

53%

32%

14%

48

Somewhat worried

55%

33%

13%

151

Not too worried

32%

52%

16%

183

Not at all worried

20%

72%

8%

145

16%

84%

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Yes

41%

48%

11%

423

No

22%

57%

21%

107

Approve

13%

74%

13%

199

Unsure

39%

42%

19%

24

Disapprove

69%

23%

8%

200

Yes

28%

60%

11%

344

No

54%

28%

18%

114

Not sure

53%

33%

14%

73

4 of 4

8%

89%

3%

26

3 of 4

2%

88%

9%

96

2 of 4

12%

69%

19%

84

1 of 4

24%

55%

21%

88

0 of 4

68%

21%

11%

238

5-7 of 7

95%

4%

1%

132

4 of 7

62%

28%

9%

55

3 of 7

40%

36%

23%

53

2 of 7

24%

51%

24%

38

1 of 7

13%

64%

23%

57

86%

14%

197

50%

13%

531

0 of 7
TOTAL

100%

Unsure

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

Don't know /
refused

Very worried

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

No

TOTAL

37%

Page 168

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMRYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
MARCO RUBIO/C

RMRYN

Yes

TOTAL

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

42%

50%

8%

743

Northeast

33%

57%

11%

150

Midwest

39%

54%

7%

127

South

47%

44%

9%

174

South Central

44%

52%

4%

78

Central Plains

37%

47%

16%

60

Mountain States

63%

27%

10%

48

West

40%

58%

2%

106

California

45%

54%

1%

69

Florida

55%

37%

8%

51

Texas

34%

62%

4%

58

New York

32%

53%

15%

43

Rest of country

42%

49%

9%

522

GOP held seat up in 2014

40%

53%

7%

153

DEM held seat up in 2014

39%

54%

7%

243

No Senate election

44%

46%

10%

347

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

45%

49%

6%

302

DEM held seat up in 2014

37%

56%

8%

287

No Gubernatorial election

45%

42%

13%

154

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

50%

43%

7%

179

Other

39%

52%

8%

564

Male

47%

45%

8%

389

Female

36%

56%

8%

354

Male / employed

47%

45%

8%

264

Male / not employed

46%

45%

9%

126

Female / employed

33%

58%

9%

187

Female / not employed

40%

53%

7%

167

Not employed

40%

57%

3%

78

Employed

41%

50%

8%

450

Retired

45%

48%

7%

205

Refused

11%

25%

64%

10

18-34

31%

53%

15%

127

35-44

42%

49%

10%

204

45-64

43%

54%

3%

241

65 or over

48%

46%

7%

164

Unsure / refused

65%

18%

17%

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 169

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMRYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
MARCO RUBIO/C

RMRYN

Yes

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

Don't know /
refused

18-44

38%

50%

12%

331

45-64

43%

54%

3%

241

65+

48%

46%

7%

164

Unsure / refused

65%

18%

17%

Male / under 55

45%

46%

10%

235

Male / 55+

50%

44%

5%

155

Female / under 55

32%

59%

9%

201

Female / 55+

42%

51%

6%

153

White

46%

45%

9%

576

Black / African American

12%

88%

Hispanic / Latino

35%

58%

8%

64

Other

42%

45%

13%

34

White millenials 18-34

36%

47%

16%

89

White older voters 35+

48%

45%

7%

487

African American
millenials 18-34

WHITE SENIORS

No

TOTAL

70

100%

6
64

African American older


voters 35+

14%

86%

Hispanic millenials 18-34

21%

65%

14%

25

Hispanic older voters 35+

44%

53%

3%

39

Other races millenials


18-34

33%

45%

22%

Other races older voters


35+

44%

45%

11%

27

White seniors

49%

43%

7%

217

Other

39%

53%

8%

527

White men

50%

42%

8%

311

White women

42%

48%

10%

264

Black men

28%

72%

28

Black women

2%

98%

42

Hispanic men

34%

53%

13%

34

Hispanic women

36%

62%

2%

30

Republican

68%

23%

9%

323

Independent

48%

42%

10%

127

Democrat

10%

83%

6%

293

Male / GOP

70%

21%

9%

190

Female / GOP

66%

27%

8%

133

Male / DEM

10%

84%

6%

124

Female / DEM

10%

83%

7%

170

Male / IND

50%

42%

8%

76

Female / IND

44%

42%

14%

51

(cont.)

Page 170

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMRYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
MARCO RUBIO/C

RMRYN

Yes

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

64%

26%

10%

177

55 & over / GOP

73%

21%

7%

145

Under 55 / DEM

12%

80%

8%

183

55 & over / DEM

7%

88%

4%

110

Under 55 / IND

43%

45%

13%

75

55 & over / IND

55%

37%

7%

52

Republican

68%

23%

9%

368

Ticket splitter

37%

51%

12%

36

Democrat

14%

80%

7%

339

Hard GOP

69%

23%

9%

299

Soft GOP

67%

25%

8%

73

Ticket splitter

44%

40%

17%

38

Soft DEM

26%

61%

13%

54

9%

85%

5%

279

Conservative

65%

28%

8%

402

Moderate

29%

49%

21%

49

Liberal

13%

81%

6%

292

Very conservative

69%

25%

5%

152

Somewhat conservative

62%

29%

9%

250

Moderate / liberal

15%

77%

8%

341

Republican

68%

23%

9%

323

Independent

48%

42%

10%

127

Conservative DEM

26%

67%

7%

51

Mod / lib DEM


PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

Don't know /
refused

Under 55 / GOP

Hard DEM
RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

No

TOTAL

7%

87%

6%

242

Liberal DEM

10%

85%

5%

257

Mod / conservative DEM

25%

63%

11%

82

Independent

37%

51%

12%

36

Mod / liberal GOP

38%

45%

17%

46

Conservative GOP

72%

20%

8%

322

Yes / strongly

75%

22%

3%

79

Yes

76%

21%

3%

58

No / unsure

34%

57%

9%

606

Less than high school

57%

42%

1%

25

High school graduate

41%

49%

10%

138

Some college

39%

52%

8%

163

College graduate

42%

50%

8%

418

Male college graduates

49%

45%

6%

222

Male non-college
graduates

44%

46%

10%

168

Female college graduates

34%

56%

9%

196

Female non-college
graduates

38%

55%

7%

158

(cont.)

Page 171

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMRYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
MARCO RUBIO/C

RMRYN

Yes

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

White non-college
graduate

47%

44%

9%

237

Minority non-college
graduate

25%

67%

8%

88

Others

42%

50%

8%

418

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

32%

60%

8%

105

Non-union household

43%

49%

8%

639

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

22%

68%

10%

152

Married

49%

44%

7%

469

No longer married

40%

50%

10%

122

Dad

54%

40%

7%

149

Mom

36%

53%

11%

132

Married / children

49%

42%

8%

232

Married / no children

48%

47%

5%

237

Divorced / children

41%

28%

31%

12

Divorced / no children

36%

54%

10%

43

Single / children

17%

82%

2%

29

Single / no children

24%

65%

12%

123

Other / mixed

42%

51%

7%

66

Single women

18%

77%

4%

63

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

Married women

41%

51%

8%

214

No longer married women

37%

51%

12%

77

Single men

25%

61%

13%

89

Married men

55%

39%

6%

256

No longer married men

45%

48%

7%

44

White single men

28%

60%

12%

62

White single women

36%

59%

5%

30

White married men

57%

36%

7%

211

White married women

43%

48%

9%

174

White no longer married


men

45%

47%

8%

38

White no longer married


women

41%

44%

15%

60

Other

27%

68%

6%

168

Single mothers

18%

82%

Married mothers

39%

50%

10%

100

No longer married
mothers

36%

36%

28%

14

Non-mothers

43%

49%

7%

612

18

(cont.)

Page 172

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMRYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
MARCO RUBIO/C

RMRYN

Yes

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

Don't know /
refused

Upper class

37%

61%

2%

59

Middle class

45%

46%

9%

551

Low income

31%

62%

6%

115

Working class

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

No

TOTAL

7%

93%

Refused

35%

64%

2%

15

Middle class whites

50%

40%

10%

440

Middle class African


Americans

11%

89%

Middle class Hispanics

34%

56%

10%

Middle class other races

38%

47%

15%

21

45
44

Other

33%

62%

5%

193

Roman Catholic

55%

38%

7%

147

Baptist / Evangelical

47%

45%

9%

133

Mainline Protestant

45%

44%

10%

211

Other

48%

49%

3%

36

None

24%

69%

7%

193

At least once a week

54%

38%

8%

250

At least once a month

46%

48%

7%

119

Infrequently

41%

46%

12%

141

Never

33%

67%

Active Roman Catholics

55%

41%

4%

61

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

58%

35%

7%

78

Active Mainline
Protestants

48%

40%

12%

95

Active other

80%

20%

Other

35%

56%

8%

495

Male born again /


evangelicals

56%

38%

6%

107

Male not evangelical

44%

48%

9%

283

Female born again /


evangelicals

43%

47%

10%

117

Female not evangelical

33%

60%

7%

237

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

56%

34%

10%

165

Non-white Evangelical

30%

67%

3%

59

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

67%

27%

6%

133

Non-white conservative
Christians

44%

56%

White non-conservative
Christians

11%

63%

26%

32

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

11%

81%

8%

27

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

33

14

32

(cont.)

Page 173

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMRYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
MARCO RUBIO/C

RMRYN

Yes

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

14%

79%

6%

334

Unsure

41%

42%

18%

30

Disapprove

66%

25%

9%

379

Jobs

23%

65%

12%

92

Economy

37%

55%

8%

169

Health care

23%

69%

8%

73

Illegal immigration

57%

36%

7%

63

Foreign threats

60%

31%

9%

94

Deficit

62%

26%

12%

55

Other

42%

52%

5%

198

Cutting taxes

60%

36%

4%

56

Reducing deficit

60%

30%

10%

99

Creating jobs

35%

59%

6%

150

Increase wages

10%

81%

9%

95

Healthcare costs

43%

45%

12%

73

Retirement

53%

47%

Higher education

22%

67%

12%

Regulations

66%

24%

10%

59

42%

7%

100

93%

7%

10

52%

None

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Don't know /
refused

Approve

Combination

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

No

TOTAL

23
69

Unsure

76%

20%

4%

Views close to own

40%

55%

6%

287

Most effective person

44%

47%

10%

395

Both

39%

56%

5%

39

Unsure

40%

45%

15%

21

Very worried

58%

34%

8%

232

Somewhat worried

37%

54%

8%

294

Not too worried

34%

62%

5%

167

Not at all worried

26%

65%

9%

44

Combination

100%

Unsure

13%

87%

32%

65%

3%

183

21%

68%

11%

40

No

47%

43%

10%

519

Approve

30%

59%

11%

388

Unsure

19%

68%

13%

40

Disapprove

59%

37%

4%

315

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes
Unsure

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

(cont.)

Page 174

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMRYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR
MARCO RUBIO/C

RMRYN

Yes

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

55%

42%

3%

76

Somewhat worried

52%

42%

6%

217

Not too worried

40%

50%

11%

253

Not at all worried

29%

63%

8%

194

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

16%

84%

Yes

43%

50%

7%

571

No

38%

50%

12%

173

Approve

19%

75%

6%

262

Unsure

38%

37%

25%

35

Disapprove

67%

28%

5%

274

Yes

35%

59%

6%

483

No

52%

33%

15%

164

Not sure

58%

35%

6%

95

4 of 4

17%

81%

3%

26

3 of 4

10%

90%

1%

105

2 of 4

18%

74%

8%

157

1 of 4

34%

51%

15%

116

0 of 4

67%

24%

9%

340

5-7 of 7

96%

4%

0%

150

4 of 7

83%

14%

2%

87

3 of 7

57%

32%

11%

81

2 of 7

51%

42%

7%

71

1 of 7

13%

71%

16%

92

89%

11%

263

50%

8%

743

0 of 7
TOTAL

100%

Unsure

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

Don't know /
refused

Very worried

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

No

TOTAL

42%

Page 175

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RRPYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR RAND
PAUL/C

RRPYN

Yes

TOTAL

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

39%

55%

6%

817

Northeast

28%

66%

6%

169

Midwest

42%

51%

7%

147

South

40%

54%

6%

194

South Central

51%

40%

9%

69

Central Plains

44%

40%

16%

64

Mountain States

53%

45%

2%

55

West

32%

66%

2%

120

California

36%

64%

0%

74

Florida

43%

48%

9%

47

Texas

45%

49%

6%

47

New York

36%

60%

3%

49

Rest of country

38%

54%

7%

600

GOP held seat up in 2014

45%

50%

6%

163

DEM held seat up in 2014

37%

55%

8%

274

No Senate election

37%

57%

5%

380

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

44%

50%

6%

307

DEM held seat up in 2014

33%

61%

6%

320

No Gubernatorial election

40%

54%

6%

190

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

42%

52%

5%

206

Other

37%

56%

7%

612

Male

43%

51%

6%

414

Female

34%

59%

7%

403

Male / employed

42%

52%

6%

291

Male / not employed

47%

47%

6%

122

Female / employed

34%

58%

7%

222

Female / not employed

34%

60%

6%

181

Not employed

41%

53%

6%

83

Employed

38%

55%

7%

514

Retired

39%

55%

6%

213

Refused

26%

58%

16%

18-34

34%

61%

6%

143

35-44

42%

49%

9%

230

45-64

36%

59%

5%

263

65 or over

42%

52%

5%

172

Unsure / refused

47%

41%

13%

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 176

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RRPYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR RAND
PAUL/C

RRPYN

Yes

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

18-44

39%

53%

8%

373

45-64

36%

59%

5%

263

65+

42%

52%

5%

172

Unsure / refused

47%

41%

13%

Male / under 55

44%

49%

8%

254

Male / 55+

42%

54%

3%

160

Female / under 55

33%

60%

7%

234

Female / 55+

35%

58%

7%

169

White

43%

51%

6%

645

Black / African American

18%

78%

4%

78

Hispanic / Latino

28%

63%

9%

60

Other

32%

64%

4%

34

White millenials 18-34

29%

63%

8%

101

White older voters 35+

45%

49%

6%

544

African American
millenials 18-34

73%

27%

African American older


voters 35+

11%

84%

Hispanic millenials 18-34

39%

61%

Hispanic older voters 35+

19%

65%

17%

34

Other races millenials


18-34

27%

67%

6%

Other races older voters


35+

34%

63%

3%

27

White seniors

43%

52%

5%

225

Other

37%

56%

7%

592

White men

45%

49%

6%

332

White women

40%

53%

7%

313

Black men

28%

65%

8%

29

Black women

13%

86%

2%

49

Hispanic men

36%

58%

6%

35

Hispanic women

15%

70%

15%

25

Republican

62%

31%

7%

346

Independent

45%

50%

5%

154

Democrat

10%

84%

6%

317

Male / GOP

63%

29%

8%

199

Female / GOP

61%

32%

7%

147

8%

88%

4%

125

Female / DEM

12%

81%

7%

192

Male / IND

50%

46%

5%

89

Female / IND

38%

56%

6%

65

Male / DEM

9
4%

69
26

(cont.)

Page 177

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RRPYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR RAND
PAUL/C

RRPYN

Yes

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Under 55 / GOP

63%

27%

10%

192

55 & over / GOP

60%

36%

4%

154

Under 55 / DEM

12%

82%

6%

200

55 & over / DEM

8%

87%

5%

118

Under 55 / IND

45%

51%

4%

96

55 & over / IND

44%

49%

7%

58

Republican

61%

32%

7%

403

Ticket splitter

50%

42%

8%

33

Democrat

14%

81%

5%

382

Hard GOP

63%

29%

8%

321

Soft GOP

58%

38%

4%

81

Ticket splitter

41%

51%

8%

47

Soft DEM

28%

69%

3%

64

Hard DEM

10%

84%

6%

305

Conservative

56%

37%

7%

444

Moderate

31%

58%

11%

50

Liberal

16%

79%

5%

323

Very conservative

67%

28%

5%

159

Somewhat conservative

50%

42%

8%

285

Moderate / liberal

18%

76%

6%

374

Republican

62%

31%

7%

346

Independent

45%

50%

5%

154

Conservative DEM

12%

74%

13%

56

Mod / lib DEM

10%

86%

4%

261

Liberal DEM

13%

83%

4%

287

Mod / conservative DEM

19%

73%

8%

95

Independent

50%

42%

8%

33

Mod / liberal GOP

40%

45%

15%

52

Conservative GOP

64%

30%

6%

351

Yes / strongly

75%

18%

6%

80

Yes

73%

22%

5%

63

No / unsure

31%

62%

6%

673

Less than high school

60%

35%

5%

29

High school graduate

36%

53%

11%

159

Some college

40%

56%

3%

176

College graduate

38%

56%

6%

453

Male college graduates

43%

51%

6%

236

Male non-college
graduates

44%

51%

5%

178

Female college graduates

32%

62%

6%

217

Female non-college
graduates

36%

56%

8%

186

(cont.)

Page 178

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RRPYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR RAND
PAUL/C

RRPYN

Yes

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

White non-college
graduate

46%

48%

6%

275

Minority non-college
graduate

21%

71%

8%

89

Others

38%

56%

6%

453

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

29%

65%

6%

108

Non-union household

40%

53%

6%

709

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

30%

65%

5%

160

Married

42%

52%

6%

524

No longer married

37%

53%

10%

133

Dad

49%

46%

5%

149

Mom

36%

56%

8%

146

Married / children

45%

48%

7%

248

Married / no children

39%

56%

5%

277

Divorced / children

14%

67%

19%

15

Divorced / no children

42%

54%

4%

44

Single / children

27%

71%

2%

26

Single / no children

30%

64%

6%

134

Other / mixed

39%

49%

12%

74

Single women

20%

79%

1%

67

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

Married women

38%

56%

6%

250

No longer married women

34%

52%

14%

86

Single men

37%

55%

8%

93

Married men

46%

49%

6%

274

No longer married men

43%

54%

2%

47

White single men

38%

56%

6%

65

White single women

25%

75%

White married men

47%

46%

6%

228

White married women

42%

52%

5%

207

White no longer married


men

46%

51%

3%

39

White no longer married


women

39%

45%

16%

73

Other

24%

70%

6%

172

Single mothers

21%

79%

Married mothers

38%

54%

8%

114

No longer married
mothers

39%

44%

17%

16

Non-mothers

39%

55%

6%

671

34

17

(cont.)

Page 179

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RRPYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR RAND
PAUL/C

RRPYN

Yes

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Upper class

40%

60%

Middle class

40%

53%

6%

600

Low income

29%

63%

8%

130

Working class

33%

29%

38%

Refused

51%

48%

1%

17

Middle class whites

44%

49%

7%

497

Middle class African


Americans

18%

80%

2%

44

Middle class Hispanics

22%

71%

7%

38

Middle class other races

27%

68%

5%

21

62

Other

34%

60%

6%

217

Roman Catholic

44%

52%

4%

156

Baptist / Evangelical

46%

48%

6%

149

Mainline Protestant

43%

49%

9%

238

Other

31%

60%

9%

39

None

26%

69%

5%

208

At least once a week

48%

45%

7%

284

At least once a month

46%

47%

7%

130

Infrequently

31%

61%

8%

146

Never

24%

72%

4%

37

Active Roman Catholics

45%

52%

3%

65

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

60%

38%

3%

88

Active Mainline
Protestants

41%

48%

11%

111

Active other

53%

35%

12%

17

Other

34%

60%

6%

535

Male born again /


evangelicals

58%

36%

6%

113

Male not evangelical

38%

56%

6%

301

Female born again /


evangelicals

37%

56%

7%

140

Female not evangelical

32%

61%

7%

263

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

51%

40%

8%

190

Non-white Evangelical

31%

67%

2%

64

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

56%

37%

7%

153

Non-white conservative
Christians

38%

62%

White non-conservative
Christians

30%

55%

15%

37

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

20%

76%

4%

24

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

39

(cont.)

Page 180

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RRPYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR RAND
PAUL/C

RRPYN

Yes

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Approve

14%

81%

6%

356

Unsure

39%

49%

12%

40

Disapprove

60%

34%

6%

421

Jobs

30%

67%

3%

107

Economy

32%

63%

5%

187

Health care

27%

64%

9%

77

Illegal immigration

52%

45%

3%

64

Foreign threats

50%

40%

10%

102

Deficit

54%

38%

8%

69

7%

210

Other

39%

55%

Cutting taxes

58%

42%

Reducing deficit

61%

35%

4%

115

Creating jobs

27%

71%

2%

165

Increase wages

10%

84%

6%

107

Healthcare costs

38%

51%

11%

74

Retirement

44%

45%

11%

29

Higher education

26%

66%

8%

74

Regulations

72%

20%

7%

65

13%

114

54

Combination

37%

51%

None

15%

85%

Unsure

74%

22%

3%

10

Views close to own

42%

55%

3%

317

Most effective person

36%

56%

7%

433

Both

32%

55%

13%

43

Unsure

47%

29%

24%

24

Very worried

50%

44%

5%

246

Somewhat worried

38%

55%

7%

346

Not too worried

29%

66%

5%

183

Not at all worried

19%

75%

6%

39

Combination

100%

Unsure

20%

80%

27%

68%

5%

189

36%

58%

7%

42

No

43%

51%

7%

586

Approve

31%

63%

6%

436

Unsure

14%

67%

19%

45

Disapprove

52%

43%

5%

336

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes
Unsure

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

(cont.)

Page 181

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RRPYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR RAND
PAUL/C

RRPYN

Yes

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

55%

39%

6%

79

Somewhat worried

44%

49%

7%

236

Not too worried

40%

54%

6%

284

Not at all worried

27%

68%

5%

215
1

100%

Unsure

16%

Yes

40%

No

84%

56%

4%

591

36%

52%

12%

227

Approve

20%

77%

3%

270

Unsure

44%

41%

15%

40

Disapprove

58%

38%

4%

280

Yes

35%

60%

5%

521

No

47%

44%

9%

192

Not sure

41%

50%

9%

104

4 of 4

19%

70%

10%

26

3 of 4

13%

86%

1%

110

2 of 4

15%

81%

5%

171

1 of 4

34%

56%

9%

134

0 of 4

60%

32%

7%

375

5-7 of 7

86%

11%

2%

148

4 of 7

73%

26%

1%

92

3 of 7

61%

34%

5%

85

2 of 7

38%

57%

4%

77

57%

10%

121

90%

10%

293

55%

6%

817

1 of 7

33%

0 of 7
TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Very worried

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

No

TOTAL

39%

Page 182

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMHYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR MIKE
HUCKABEE/C

RMHYN

Yes

TOTAL

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

37%

54%

8%

842

Northeast

22%

67%

10%

169

Midwest

39%

53%

8%

146

South

45%

46%

9%

197

South Central

55%

38%

7%

85

Central Plains

39%

51%

10%

71

Mountain States

38%

60%

2%

53

West

32%

63%

6%

121

California

33%

62%

5%

77

Florida

63%

33%

4%

43

Texas

52%

42%

5%

63

New York

22%

63%

15%

49

Rest of country

36%

56%

9%

610

GOP held seat up in 2014

45%

46%

9%

185

DEM held seat up in 2014

36%

54%

10%

273

No Senate election

35%

59%

6%

385

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

45%

48%

7%

329

DEM held seat up in 2014

26%

65%

9%

322

No Gubernatorial election

44%

47%

9%

191

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

48%

43%

8%

191

Other

34%

58%

8%

651

Male

43%

50%

7%

424

Female

32%

59%

9%

418

Male / employed

42%

51%

7%

291

Male / not employed

45%

47%

8%

133

Female / employed

25%

63%

11%

229

Female / not employed

40%

54%

6%

189

Not employed

32%

66%

1%

92

Employed

35%

56%

9%

520

Retired

46%

45%

9%

221

Refused

38%

40%

21%

18-34

25%

62%

12%

152

35-44

33%

57%

10%

244

45-64

40%

55%

5%

256

65 or over

49%

45%

6%

180

Unsure / refused

47%

34%

19%

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 183

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMHYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR MIKE
HUCKABEE/C

RMHYN

Yes

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

Don't know /
refused

18-44

30%

59%

11%

396

45-64

40%

55%

5%

256

65+

49%

45%

6%

180

Unsure / refused

47%

34%

19%

Male / under 55

39%

53%

9%

263

Male / 55+

49%

45%

5%

161

Female / under 55

24%

65%

11%

244

Female / 55+

43%

51%

5%

174

White

41%

52%

8%

667

Black / African American

17%

73%

11%

80

Hispanic / Latino

36%

53%

12%

59

Other

26%

67%

7%

37

White millenials 18-34

26%

63%

11%

105

White older voters 35+

43%

50%

7%

562

African American
millenials 18-34

14%

58%

28%

17

African American older


voters 35+

18%

77%

6%

62

Hispanic millenials 18-34

28%

65%

7%

23

Hispanic older voters 35+

41%

45%

14%

36

Other races millenials


18-34

25%

63%

11%

Other races older voters


35+

26%

68%

6%

30

White seniors

49%

46%

5%

235

Other

33%

58%

9%

608

White men

45%

48%

7%

340

White women

36%

55%

8%

327

Black men

25%

63%

12%

31

Black women

11%

79%

9%

48

Hispanic men

39%

51%

10%

34

Hispanic women

31%

55%

14%

25

Republican

62%

29%

9%

356

Independent

40%

52%

8%

158

Democrat
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

No

TOTAL

9%

83%

8%

328

Male / GOP

65%

26%

9%

204

Female / GOP

58%

34%

8%

153

8%

86%

5%

128

Female / DEM

10%

81%

9%

200

Male / IND

42%

52%

6%

93

Female / IND

38%

53%

9%

66

Male / DEM

(cont.)

Page 184

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMHYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR MIKE
HUCKABEE/C

RMHYN

Yes

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

Don't know /
refused

Under 55 / GOP

53%

35%

12%

197

55 & over / GOP

73%

22%

5%

159

Under 55 / DEM

10%

81%

10%

212

55 & over / DEM

9%

87%

4%

116

Under 55 / IND

36%

58%

7%

99

55 & over / IND

48%

43%

9%

60

Republican

62%

30%

8%

412

Ticket splitter

38%

49%

13%

39

Democrat

12%

81%

8%

391

Hard GOP

64%

27%

8%

331

Soft GOP

52%

41%

7%

87

Ticket splitter

35%

50%

14%

42

Soft DEM

24%

70%

6%

66

Hard DEM
RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

No

TOTAL

8%

84%

8%

316

Conservative

58%

35%

7%

456

Moderate

25%

52%

23%

59

Liberal

11%

82%

7%

327

Very conservative

67%

28%

5%

164

Somewhat conservative

53%

39%

8%

293

Moderate / liberal

13%

77%

9%

386

Republican

62%

29%

9%

356

Independent

40%

52%

8%

158

Conservative DEM

26%

66%

8%

60

Mod / lib DEM

6%

87%

8%

268

Liberal DEM

7%

87%

6%

288

Mod / conservative DEM

24%

64%

12%

103

Independent

38%

49%

13%

39

Mod / liberal GOP

43%

40%

18%

56

Conservative GOP

65%

29%

7%

356

Yes / strongly

65%

28%

7%

81

Yes

63%

27%

9%

68

No / unsure

32%

60%

8%

694

Less than high school

48%

42%

10%

31

High school graduate

41%

48%

11%

158

Some college

41%

51%

8%

184

College graduate

34%

59%

7%

469

Male college graduates

42%

53%

5%

236

Male non-college
graduates

44%

46%

10%

189

Female college graduates

26%

65%

9%

233

Female non-college
graduates

39%

52%

9%

185

(cont.)

Page 185

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMHYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR MIKE
HUCKABEE/C

RMHYN

Yes

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

White non-college
graduate

47%

44%

9%

284

Minority non-college
graduate

25%

65%

10%

89

Others

34%

59%

7%

469

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

30%

58%

12%

116

Non-union household

39%

54%

7%

727

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

23%

69%

8%

164

Married

40%

53%

7%

535

No longer married

43%

45%

12%

143

Dad

45%

48%

7%

156

Mom

26%

59%

15%

161

Married / children

37%

53%

9%

257

Married / no children

43%

52%

6%

278

Divorced / children

30%

40%

30%

18

Divorced / no children

41%

55%

4%

50

Single / children

20%

73%

7%

33

Single / no children

24%

68%

8%

130

Other / mixed

49%

39%

12%

75

Single women

12%

81%

8%

68

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

Married women

34%

59%

7%

255

No longer married women

40%

45%

14%

95

Single men

31%

61%

8%

96

Married men

45%

47%

8%

280

No longer married men

49%

44%

6%

48

White single men

32%

62%

6%

67

White single women

14%

75%

11%

34

White married men

47%

45%

8%

233

White married women

38%

57%

6%

212

White no longer married


men

51%

46%

3%

41

White no longer married


women

43%

43%

15%

80

Other

25%

65%

10%

175

Single mothers

16%

74%

10%

22

Married mothers

27%

62%

12%

119

No longer married
mothers

32%

28%

40%

19

Non-mothers

40%

53%

7%

682

(cont.)

Page 186

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMHYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR MIKE
HUCKABEE/C

RMHYN

Yes

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Upper class

37%

58%

5%

66

Middle class

39%

54%

7%

617

Low income

32%

56%

12%

135

Working class

22%

78%

Refused

39%

50%

11%

20

Middle class whites

42%

51%

7%

509

Middle class African


Americans

16%

74%

11%

50

Middle class Hispanics

35%

55%

10%

35

Middle class other races

22%

68%

9%

23

Other

34%

56%

10%

225

Roman Catholic

46%

45%

9%

168

Baptist / Evangelical

53%

37%

10%

158

Mainline Protestant

39%

54%

8%

246

Other

32%

68%

None

18%

74%

7%

210

At least once a week

53%

40%

7%

290

At least once a month

41%

52%

7%

132

Infrequently

30%

58%

12%

164

Never

35%

65%

Active Roman Catholics

50%

44%

6%

66

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

63%

30%

7%

96

Active Mainline
Protestants

47%

44%

9%

111

Active other

51%

49%

Other

29%

62%

9%

555

Male born again /


evangelicals

60%

33%

7%

116

Male not evangelical

36%

56%

8%

309

Female born again /


evangelicals

46%

45%

9%

138

Female not evangelical

25%

66%

9%

280

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

59%

33%

8%

194

Non-white Evangelical

32%

58%

10%

60

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

67%

28%

5%

155

Non-white conservative
Christians

47%

51%

2%

31

White non-conservative
Christians

26%

53%

21%

39

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

15%

67%

18%

29

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

35

36

15

(cont.)

Page 187

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMHYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR MIKE
HUCKABEE/C

RMHYN

Yes

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Approve

13%

80%

7%

360

Unsure

26%

56%

19%

39

Disapprove

58%

33%

8%

443

Jobs

29%

65%

5%

106

Economy

26%

65%

9%

189

Health care

29%

64%

7%

83

Illegal immigration

46%

48%

6%

71

Foreign threats

56%

35%

9%

99

Deficit

39%

54%

6%

72

Other

42%

48%

10%

222

Cutting taxes

47%

44%

9%

62

Reducing deficit

57%

37%

6%

120

Creating jobs

4%

160

33%

62%

Increase wages

9%

83%

8%

109

Healthcare costs

43%

45%

12%

83

Retirement

38%

58%

4%

30

Higher education

14%

80%

6%

80

Regulations

60%

29%

10%

63

14%

116

Combination

44%

42%

None

11%

89%

Unsure

54%

27%

18%

10

Views close to own

40%

57%

4%

313

Most effective person

36%

54%

10%

463

Both

33%

53%

14%

42

Unsure

48%

40%

11%

25

Very worried

51%

42%

7%

254

Somewhat worried

36%

54%

10%

348

Not too worried

22%

73%

5%

186

Not at all worried

38%

58%

4%

48

Combination

100%

Unsure

10%

90%

23%

74%

3%

194

32%

45%

23%

46

No

43%

49%

8%

603

Approve

24%

66%

10%

442

Unsure

22%

64%

14%

55

Disapprove

57%

38%

5%

345

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes
Unsure

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

(cont.)

Page 188

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMHYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR MIKE
HUCKABEE/C

RMHYN

Yes

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

56%

42%

2%

84

Somewhat worried

51%

42%

7%

245

Not too worried

31%

57%

12%

284

Not at all worried

25%

71%

4%

221

Unsure

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

100%
6%

13%

81%

Yes

39%

56%

5%

597

No

34%

50%

17%

245

Approve

15%

81%

4%

272

Unsure

51%

38%

11%

38

Disapprove

60%

36%

4%

288

Yes

26%

67%

7%

538

No

57%

32%

11%

199

Not sure

58%

32%

10%

105

4 of 4

17%

83%

3 of 4

5%

94%

2%

109

2 of 4

15%

77%

8%

171

1 of 4

29%

58%

14%

147

0 of 4

61%

30%

9%

388

5-7 of 7

93%

7%

0%

150

4 of 7

67%

30%

3%

96

3 of 7

54%

41%

5%

89

2 of 7

43%

51%

6%

79

65%

12%

127

87%

13%

301

54%

8%

842

1 of 7

23%

0 of 7
TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Very worried

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

No

TOTAL

37%

26

Page 189

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCFYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR CARLY
FIORINA/C

RCFYN

Yes

TOTAL

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

32%

51%

17%

405

Northeast

23%

52%

26%

88

Midwest

32%

47%

21%

54

South

37%

47%

16%

93

South Central

39%

55%

7%

35

Central Plains

27%

48%

25%

29

Mountain States

34%

61%

6%

26

West

34%

53%

13%

79

California

37%

52%

12%

61

Florida

40%

44%

16%

29

Texas

41%

57%

3%

25

New York

21%

53%

25%

27

Rest of country

30%

51%

19%

263

GOP held seat up in 2014

35%

54%

10%

70

DEM held seat up in 2014

32%

50%

18%

134

No Senate election

31%

50%

19%

201

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

33%

49%

18%

139

DEM held seat up in 2014

28%

52%

19%

182

No Gubernatorial election

38%

51%

11%

84

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

36%

46%

18%

101

Other

30%

53%

17%

304

Male

37%

45%

18%

218

Female

25%

58%

16%

187

Male / employed

36%

46%

17%

143

Male / not employed

40%

41%

19%

75

Female / employed

19%

65%

16%

105

Female / not employed

34%

49%

17%

82

Not employed

38%

46%

17%

34

Employed

29%

55%

17%

248

Retired

36%

46%

17%

121

Refused

26%

74%

18-34

15%

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

22%

44

48%

18%

116

50%

16%

139

34%

51%

15%

100

32%

51%

17%

35-44

34%

45-64

34%

65 or over
Unsure / refused

63%

(cont.)

Page 190

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCFYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR CARLY
FIORINA/C

RCFYN

Yes

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

29%

52%

19%

160

45-64

34%

50%

16%

139

65+

34%

51%

15%

100

Unsure / refused

32%

51%

17%

Male / under 55

40%

41%

20%

114

Male / 55+

35%

49%

16%

104

Female / under 55

18%

65%

17%

102

Female / 55+

34%

50%

16%

85

White

34%

47%

19%

321

Black / African American

26%

64%

9%

39

Hispanic / Latino

12%

76%

12%

30

Other

32%

55%

13%

15

White millenials 18-34

13%

55%

32%

27

White older voters 35+

36%

46%

18%

294

African American
millenials 18-34

56%

44%

African American older


voters 35+

22%

68%

Hispanic older voters 35+

17%

34
9

66%

17%

21

62%

38%

37%

54%

9%

13

White seniors

33%

51%

16%

131

Other

31%

51%

18%

274

White men

39%

41%

20%

176

White women

28%

54%

18%

145

Black men

41%

50%

8%

16

Black women

16%

75%

10%

23

Hispanic men

14%

72%

14%

19

9%

83%

8%

11

Republican

50%

36%

14%

167

Independent

43%

39%

18%

77

Democrat
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

11%

Other races older voters


35+

Hispanic women
RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

100%

Other races millenials


18-34

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

Don't know /
refused

18-44

Hispanic millenials 18-34

WHITE SENIORS

No

TOTAL

8%

72%

21%

161

Male / GOP

56%

31%

13%

101

Female / GOP

40%

44%

15%

66

4%

71%

25%

73

Female / DEM

10%

72%

17%

89

Male / IND

49%

32%

19%

44

Female / IND

35%

48%

17%

33

Male / DEM

(cont.)

Page 191

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCFYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR CARLY
FIORINA/C

RCFYN

Yes

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

Don't know /
refused

Under 55 / GOP

47%

37%

16%

82

55 & over / GOP

52%

36%

12%

85

Under 55 / DEM

8%

71%

21%

95

55 & over / DEM

8%

73%

19%

66

Under 55 / IND

46%

38%

16%

39

55 & over / IND

39%

40%

20%

38

Republican

51%

34%

15%

204

Ticket splitter

53%

40%

7%

13

Democrat

9%

70%

20%

188

Hard GOP

51%

35%

14%

158

Soft GOP

53%

32%

15%

46

Ticket splitter

30%

57%

12%

16

Soft DEM

31%

49%

20%

29

Hard DEM
RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

No

TOTAL

6%

73%

21%

156

Conservative

49%

35%

16%

215

Moderate

23%

59%

17%

24

Liberal

11%

71%

19%

166

Very conservative

59%

29%

12%

82

Somewhat conservative

43%

39%

18%

132

Moderate / liberal

12%

69%

19%

190

Republican

50%

36%

14%

167

Independent

43%

39%

18%

77

Conservative DEM

20%

58%

23%

24

Mod / lib DEM

6%

74%

20%

137

Liberal DEM

8%

71%

21%

152

Mod / conservative DEM

14%

67%

19%

36

Independent

53%

40%

7%

13

Mod / liberal GOP

34%

56%

9%

23

Conservative GOP

53%

31%

16%

181

Yes / strongly

67%

19%

14%

55

Yes

57%

21%

22%

33

No / unsure

23%

60%

17%

317

Less than high school

35%

58%

7%

15

High school graduate

29%

57%

14%

56

Some college

43%

41%

16%

78

College graduate

29%

52%

19%

255

Male college graduates

34%

45%

21%

130

Male non-college
graduates

42%

45%

13%

88

Female college graduates

24%

60%

16%

125

Female non-college
graduates

29%

55%

17%

62

(cont.)

Page 192

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCFYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR CARLY
FIORINA/C

RCFYN

Yes

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

No

TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

White non-college
graduate

39%

46%

15%

107

Minority non-college
graduate

31%

57%

12%

42

Others

29%

52%

19%

255

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

26%

61%

13%

58

Non-union household

33%

49%

18%

347

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

27%

56%

17%

68

Married

34%

50%

16%

276

No longer married

29%

49%

22%

60

Dad

37%

45%

17%

78

Mom

23%

60%

17%

79

Married / children

32%

51%

17%

130

Married / no children

35%

50%

15%

147

Divorced / children

62%

38%

Divorced / no children

26%

49%

25%

20

Single / children

16%

70%

14%

20

Single / no children

31%

50%

18%

48

Other / mixed

28%

53%

18%

37

Single women

14%

70%

15%

25

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

Married women

27%

58%

15%

123

No longer married women

26%

52%

22%

39

Single men

34%

48%

18%

43

Married men

39%

44%

17%

154

No longer married men

36%

43%

21%

21

White single men

37%

41%

22%

31

White single women

20%

60%

20%

11

White married men

40%

42%

19%

128

White married women

30%

54%

16%

101

White no longer married


men

39%

36%

25%

18

White no longer married


women

27%

51%

22%

34

Other

22%

67%

11%

84

Single mothers

20%

75%

5%

16

Married mothers

22%

58%

19%

57

No longer married
mothers

45%

34%

21%

Non-mothers

34%

49%

17%

326

(cont.)

Page 193

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCFYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR CARLY
FIORINA/C

RCFYN

Yes

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

Don't know /
refused

Upper class

42%

52%

6%

41

Middle class

33%

48%

19%

303

Low income

17%

67%

16%

51

Working class

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

No

TOTAL

100%

Refused

37%

51%

13%

Middle class whites

36%

44%

20%

254

Middle class African


Americans

20%

63%

17%

21

Middle class Hispanics

16%

75%

10%

20

Middle class other races

27%

54%

19%

Other

28%

61%

12%

102

Roman Catholic

37%

56%

8%

81

Baptist / Evangelical

45%

36%

19%

71

Mainline Protestant

35%

45%

21%

117

Other

12%

77%

10%

25

None

22%

57%

21%

99

At least once a week

34%

48%

18%

141

At least once a month

43%

47%

10%

62

Infrequently

32%

53%

15%

83

Never

25%

47%

28%

16

Active Roman Catholics

27%

65%

8%

37

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

51%

22%

27%

42

Active Mainline
Protestants

30%

52%

18%

54

Active other

9%

71%

20%

Other

30%

53%

17%

265

Male born again /


evangelicals

46%

35%

19%

63

Male not evangelical

34%

49%

18%

155

Female born again /


evangelicals

22%

63%

15%

53

Female not evangelical

26%

57%

17%

134

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

41%

35%

24%

79

Non-white Evangelical

22%

75%

2%

36

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

46%

30%

24%

68

Non-white conservative
Christians

40%

60%

White non-conservative
Christians

13%

64%

23%

11

5%

90%

5%

18

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

18

(cont.)

Page 194

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCFYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR CARLY
FIORINA/C

RCFYN

Yes

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Don't know /
refused

Approve

13%

68%

19%

179

Unsure

36%

47%

17%

14

Disapprove

47%

37%

16%

213

Jobs

22%

61%

17%

46

Economy

28%

51%

21%

99

7%

67%

26%

30

Illegal immigration

36%

55%

9%

38

Foreign threats

38%

51%

11%

57

Deficit

56%

23%

21%

32

Health care

Other

34%

49%

16%

102

Cutting taxes

45%

45%

10%

37

Reducing deficit

49%

35%

16%

60

Creating jobs

21%

63%

16%

86

Increase wages

2%

83%

14%

54

Healthcare costs

21%

43%

36%

39

Retirement

20%

69%

11%

12

Higher education

30%

58%

12%

25

Regulations

58%

29%

13%

38

Combination

42%

37%

22%

50

None

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

No

TOTAL

100%

Unsure

64%

8%

28%

Views close to own

36%

49%

15%

165

Most effective person

26%

55%

19%

209

Both

41%

40%

18%

20

Unsure

56%

24%

20%

11

Very worried

47%

42%

11%

118

Somewhat worried

29%

54%

18%

163

Not too worried

23%

51%

26%

97

Not at all worried

19%

81%

24

100%

Combination
Unsure

21%

79%

17%

65%

17%

96

47%

27%

26%

26

No

35%

48%

16%

282

Approve

20%

62%

19%

207

Unsure

22%

49%

29%

17

Disapprove

46%

39%

15%

181

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes
Unsure

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

(cont.)

Page 195

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCFYN CONSIDER VOTING FOR CARLY
FIORINA/C

RCFYN

Yes

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

No

38%

49%

13%

41

Somewhat worried

45%

41%

14%

103

Not too worried

32%

51%

18%

147

Not at all worried

17%

63%

19%

110
1

100%

Unsure

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

100%

Yes

32%

51%

17%

331

No

30%

51%

19%

74

Approve

15%

65%

20%

155

Unsure

18%

41%

41%

18

Disapprove

51%

38%

11%

158

Yes

28%

55%

17%

267

No

40%

42%

18%

85

Not sure

36%

45%

19%

53

4 of 4

10%

81%

9%

21

3 of 4

10%

67%

24%

71

2 of 4

27%

53%

20%

73

1 of 4

16%

72%

12%

54

0 of 4

49%

35%

16%

186

5-7 of 7

76%

18%

6%

113

4 of 7

45%

41%

14%

42

3 of 7

29%

52%

19%

44

2 of 7

22%

59%

19%

28

1 of 7

12%

64%

24%

44

75%

25%

134

51%

17%

405

0 of 7
TOTAL

Don't know /
refused

Very worried

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

TOTAL

32%

Page 196

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
GOPCON WILLING TO CONSIDER DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE

GOPCON

5-7 of 7

TOTAL

4 of 7

3 of 7

2 of 7

1 of 7

TOTAL

0 of 7

15%

10%

9%

9%

16%

41%

1001

Northeast

9%

8%

8%

8%

15%

52%

195

Midwest

15%

9%

9%

9%

17%

42%

181

South

19%

8%

9%

9%

21%

35%

235

South Central

22%

16%

9%

10%

9%

34%

96

Central Plains

12%

7%

13%

12%

16%

41%

83

Mountain States

19%

6%

14%

8%

23%

30%

70

West

13%

15%

5%

5%

13%

48%

141

California

18%

13%

7%

5%

15%

42%

89

Florida

30%

8%

9%

8%

10%

35%

58

Texas

19%

14%

12%

10%

9%

37%

71

New York

16%

3%

3%

13%

21%

43%

56

Rest of country

13%

9%

10%

9%

17%

42%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

16%

10%

9%

11%

21%

35%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

15%

10%

8%

9%

16%

43%

320

No Senate election

15%

9%

10%

8%

15%

43%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

19%

9%

8%

9%

16%

39%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

12%

10%

7%

8%

15%

47%

366

No Gubernatorial election

13%

10%

13%

8%

20%

36%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

21%

8%

8%

9%

17%

36%

241

Other

13%

10%

9%

9%

16%

43%

760

Male

21%

11%

10%

8%

16%

34%

480

Female

10%

8%

8%

9%

17%

48%

521

Male / employed

20%

13%

10%

7%

18%

33%

324

Male / not employed

23%

8%

9%

11%

13%

37%

157

Female / employed

8%

7%

7%

9%

18%

51%

281

12%

9%

10%

9%

15%

45%

240

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

Female / not employed


EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

Not employed

6%

11%

7%

8%

15%

53%

133

Employed

14%

10%

9%

8%

18%

41%

605

Retired

22%

8%

11%

11%

14%

34%

252

Refused

5%

1%

15%

10%

2%

66%

11

18-34

5%

5%

9%

9%

18%

54%

200

35-44

15%

14%

8%

4%

19%

41%

280

45-64

16%

9%

8%

11%

15%

41%

310

65 or over

24%

8%

12%

13%

14%

30%

200

Unsure / refused

23%

14%

17%

5%

19%

23%

10

18-44

11%

10%

8%

6%

19%

46%

480

45-64

16%

9%

8%

11%

15%

41%

310

65+

24%

8%

12%

13%

14%

30%

200

Unsure / refused

23%

14%

17%

5%

19%

23%

10

(cont.)

Page 197

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
GOPCON WILLING TO CONSIDER DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE

GOPCON

5-7 of 7

RR96FL AGE / SEX

5%

18%

36%

302

Male / 55+

27%

8%

8%

13%

13%

31%

179

5%

9%

6%

9%

18%

53%

315

Female / 55+

17%

7%

12%

10%

14%

40%

205

White

18%

12%

10%

9%

16%

36%

751

Black / African American

5%

1%

4%

3%

16%

71%

120

Hispanic / Latino

5%

3%

9%

13%

25%

45%

90

11%

6%

11%

14%

13%

45%

40

White millenials 18-34

7%

9%

8%

9%

17%

50%

128

White older voters 35+

20%

13%

10%

9%

15%

33%

623

16%

68%

24

16%
6%

1%

Hispanic millenials 18-34

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

1%

4%

17%

71%

96

4%

13%

28%

55%

41

13%

13%

22%

37%

49

21%

6%

63%

Hispanic older voters 35+

10%

Other races millenials


18-34

10%

Other races older voters


35+

12%

7%

8%

16%

16%

41%

32

White seniors

25%

9%

11%

11%

13%

30%

255

Other

11%

10%

8%

8%

18%

45%

746

White men

24%

13%

10%

8%

15%

30%

368

White women

12%

11%

9%

10%

16%

42%

382

Black men

10%

3%

3%

6%

19%

60%

50

4%

1%

15%

79%

70

10%

14%

22%

39%

42

8%

12%

27%

50%

48

Black women

1%

Hispanic men

8%

Hispanic women

3%

5%

6%

Republican

31%

18%

16%

10%

14%

11%

390

Independent

16%

8%

10%

13%

19%

34%

190

2%

2%

6%

17%

73%

420

Democrat
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

TOTAL

0 of 7

11%

African American older


voters 35+

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

1 of 7

13%

African American
millenials 18-34

WHITE SENIORS

2 of 7

17%

Other
AGE AND RACE

3 of 7

Male / under 55

Female / under 55

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

4 of 7

Male / GOP

37%

20%

16%

7%

12%

9%

214

Female / GOP

24%

17%

15%

14%

17%

15%

176

Male / DEM

1%

1%

7%

20%

70%

161

Female / DEM

2%

3%

4%

16%

74%

259

Male / IND

21%

9%

9%

11%

20%

30%

105

Female / IND

10%

8%

11%

15%

19%

38%

85

Under 55 / GOP

23%

22%

16%

8%

15%

16%

223

55 & over / GOP

41%

13%

15%

13%

12%

5%

168

Under 55 / DEM

3%

2%

5%

19%

71%

269

55 & over / DEM

0%

3%

7%

15%

74%

151

Under 55 / IND

12%

8%

9%

11%

22%

38%

125

55 & over / IND

23%

10%

11%

16%

14%

26%

65

(cont.)

Page 198

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
GOPCON WILLING TO CONSIDER DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE

GOPCON

5-7 of 7

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

Republican

RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

1 of 7

TOTAL

0 of 7

15%

10%

13%

12%

448

Ticket splitter

4%

8%

8%

20%

18%

42%

61

Democrat

1%

3%

4%

6%

19%

68%

492

Hard GOP

33%

18%

16%

10%

13%

11%

360

Soft GOP

29%

15%

13%

13%

16%

13%

92

Ticket splitter

6%

11%

6%

18%

22%

39%

64

Soft DEM

2%

4%

8%

12%

25%

48%

84

2%

3%

5%

17%

74%

401
536

Conservative

27%

15%

13%

9%

15%

21%

Moderate

1%

8%

8%

9%

18%

55%

76

Liberal

2%

2%

4%

8%

18%

67%

389

Very conservative

36%

16%

14%

7%

7%

20%

187

Somewhat conservative

22%

14%

12%

11%

20%

21%

348

1%

3%

5%

8%

18%

65%

465

Republican

31%

18%

16%

10%

14%

11%

390

Independent

16%

8%

10%

13%

19%

34%

190

Conservative DEM

4%

4%

7%

23%

61%

103

Mod / lib DEM

1%

2%

5%

16%

76%

318

Liberal DEM

0%

2%

4%

6%

16%

72%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

2%

5%

4%

5%

26%

59%

157

Independent

4%

8%

8%

20%

18%

42%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

7%

9%

14%

14%

26%

31%

69

Conservative GOP

37%

19%

15%

10%

11%

9%

379

Yes / strongly

46%

11%

14%

7%

11%

10%

93

Yes

36%

28%

9%

12%

7%

8%

68

No / unsure

10%

8%

8%

9%

18%

47%

840

Less than high school

14%

6%

12%

8%

26%

34%

53

High school graduate

10%

10%

7%

10%

16%

47%

227

Some college

18%

7%

9%

10%

15%

41%

219

College graduate

16%

11%

10%

8%

16%

39%

503

Male college graduates

24%

11%

12%

7%

16%

30%

248

Male non-college
graduates

18%

11%

7%

9%

16%

38%

232

9%

10%

8%

9%

16%

48%

254

Female non-college
graduates

10%

6%

9%

10%

17%

48%

266

White non-college
graduate

18%

11%

10%

10%

16%

35%

349

5%

3%

5%

9%

17%

61%

149

Others

16%

11%

10%

8%

16%

39%

503

Union household

11%

11%

6%

6%

15%

51%

127

Non-union household

16%

9%

9%

9%

17%

40%

874

Female college graduates

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

2 of 7

17%

Moderate / liberal
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

3 of 7

32%

Hard DEM
RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

4 of 7

Minority non-college
graduate

(cont.)

Page 199

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
GOPCON WILLING TO CONSIDER DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE

GOPCON

5-7 of 7

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

2 of 7

1 of 7

TOTAL

0 of 7

7%

4%

6%

8%

20%

55%

215

Married

18%

12%

10%

8%

15%

36%

607

No longer married

14%

7%

8%

11%

18%

42%

179

Dad

23%

14%

16%

5%

18%

25%

171

Mom

7%

10%

7%

7%

19%

51%

203

Married / children

16%

13%

12%

6%

17%

36%

299

Married / no children

20%

12%

9%

10%

13%

36%

308

5%

10%

9%

5%

8%

64%

22
60

Divorced / no children

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

3 of 7

Single

Divorced / children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

4 of 7

18%

2%

7%

9%

19%

45%

Single / children

6%

2%

9%

5%

25%

52%

42

Single / no children

7%

4%

6%

9%

18%

56%

173

Other / mixed

13%

10%

9%

13%

19%

36%

97

Single women

2%

6%

10%

19%

63%

98

Married women

12%

11%

9%

9%

15%

44%

304

No longer married women

10%

9%

8%

9%

19%

45%

118

Single men

10%

7%

7%

7%

21%

48%

117

Married men

25%

14%

11%

7%

15%

28%

302

No longer married men

22%

5%

8%

14%

15%

37%

61

White single men

13%

10%

7%

5%

22%

44%

75

11%

19%

16%

49%

46

16%

12%

7%

13%

25%

244

14%

13%

9%

9%

14%

41%

243

White no longer married


men

25%

5%

7%

13%

15%

34%

49

White no longer married


women

11%

11%

9%

8%

22%

38%

93

Other

6%

3%

7%

8%

19%

57%

250

Single mothers

6%

6%

6%

21%

61%

30

Married mothers

7%

10%

7%

8%

18%

50%

150

No longer married
mothers

3%

18%

6%

26%

47%

23

Non-mothers

17%

10%

10%

9%

16%

39%

798

Upper class

19%

10%

10%

5%

14%

41%

73

Middle class

17%

12%

9%

8%

15%

38%

696

Low income

6%

3%

8%

12%

20%

52%

205

Working class

3%

22%

67%

White single women

5%

White married men

27%

White married women

8%

Refused

15%

10%

7%

8%

21%

40%

20

Middle class whites

20%

14%

10%

9%

15%

32%

551

Middle class African


Americans

6%

2%

5%

4%

11%

73%

63

Middle class Hispanics

7%

3%

9%

9%

23%

49%

57

Middle class other races

11%

3%

12%

10%

10%

54%

25

Other

10%

5%

8%

10%

18%

49%

305

(cont.)

Page 200

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
GOPCON WILLING TO CONSIDER DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE

GOPCON

5-7 of 7

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

4 of 7

3 of 7

2 of 7

1 of 7

TOTAL

0 of 7

Roman Catholic

20%

12%

9%

9%

19%

31%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

21%

11%

11%

8%

15%

35%

185

Mainline Protestant

17%

10%

11%

10%

16%

35%

280

Other

8%

10%

22%

19%

41%

45

None

6%

5%

4%

9%

16%

60%

262

At least once a week

19%

12%

16%

9%

18%

27%

336

At least once a month

18%

15%

8%

9%

15%

35%

157

Infrequently

16%

7%

5%

8%

16%

47%

191

Never

15%

1%

13%

10%

8%

53%

44

Active Roman Catholics

19%

9%

15%

8%

23%

26%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

27%

15%

13%

7%

18%

20%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

15%

11%

15%

11%

16%

33%

131

Active other

14%

6%

44%

15%

21%

17

Other

13%

8%

6%

9%

16%

49%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

29%

13%

10%

6%

22%

20%

133

Male not evangelical

18%

10%

10%

9%

14%

39%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

11%

9%

12%

13%

16%

39%

179

9%

8%

6%

7%

17%

53%

342

22%

15%

13%

11%

17%

22%

222

9%

2%

7%

7%

22%

52%

90

Female not evangelical


RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

29%

19%

15%

12%

15%

10%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

17%

4%

7%

6%

21%

45%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

2%

2%

6%

9%

24%

58%

55

7%

7%

24%

62%

39

Non-white Evangelical

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians
RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Approve

3%

2%

4%

7%

18%

67%

453

Unsure

5%

11%

3%

9%

20%

52%

62

Disapprove

28%

17%

15%

10%

15%

16%

487

Jobs

10%

3%

7%

8%

22%

51%

135

Economy

11%

8%

8%

6%

16%

51%

228

3%

6%

9%

8%

17%

56%

99

Illegal immigration

24%

13%

12%

15%

16%

19%

78

Foreign threats

29%

8%

13%

8%

19%

23%

116

Deficit

22%

19%

12%

6%

21%

20%

76

43%

268

Health care

Other

15%

12%

7%

10%

12%

(cont.)

Page 201

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
GOPCON WILLING TO CONSIDER DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE

GOPCON

5-7 of 7

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

2 of 7

1 of 7

13%

8%

10%

14%

26%

71

Reducing deficit

23%

22%

18%

10%

10%

17%

126

Creating jobs

11%

6%

10%

9%

19%

46%

203

Increase wages

0%

2%

2%

5%

14%

77%

132

Healthcare costs

17%

4%

12%

13%

14%

40%

98

Retirement

15%

7%

6%

5%

20%

47%

41

4%

3%

6%

9%

28%

50%

101

Regulations

37%

22%

13%

6%

12%

10%

65

Combination

17%

12%

6%

10%

13%

41%

141

2%

42%

50%

11

Unsure

26%

22%

20%

8%

21%

2%

12

Views close to own

20%

11%

7%

6%

15%

42%

352

Most effective person

13%

8%

10%

11%

18%

41%

571

Both

10%

13%

16%

5%

7%

49%

48

Unsure

10%

14%

8%

11%

29%

29%

30

Very worried

22%

13%

12%

7%

18%

29%

318

Somewhat worried

13%

10%

9%

9%

14%

45%

405

Not too worried

12%

5%

7%

9%

20%

47%

214

Not at all worried

2%

9%

7%

15%

17%

6%

50%

56

100%

2%

98%

8
245

Combination
Unsure
RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

18%

11%

10%

9%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

7%

8%

8%

9%

Unsure

3%

1%

6%

Disapprove

28%

13%

11%

Very worried

16%

16%

Somewhat worried

26%

9%

Not too worried

13%

Not at all worried

6%

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Unsure
No

7%

6%

7%

9%

20%

50%

15%

5%

2%

8%

12%

58%

63

16%

37%

693

17%

51%

510

4%

28%

58%

85

9%

14%

26%

406

13%

5%

18%

31%

112

9%

11%

13%

32%

283

10%

7%

9%

17%

44%

341

7%

9%

7%

20%

51%

258

Combination

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

100%

Unsure
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT
IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

TOTAL

0 of 7

29%

None

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

3 of 7

Cutting taxes

Higher education

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

4 of 7

6%

94%

Yes

21%

10%

10%

8%

14%

37%

645

No

5%

9%

7%

9%

21%

50%

356

Approve

4%

6%

7%

7%

16%

60%

295

Unsure

18%

8%

8%

13%

16%

38%

45

Disapprove

37%

14%

14%

10%

11%

14%

306

Yes

11%

9%

7%

7%

16%

49%

628

No

19%

11%

13%

11%

20%

27%

245

Not sure

26%

9%

10%

10%

12%

32%

128

(cont.)

Page 202

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
GOPCON WILLING TO CONSIDER DEMOCRATIC PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE

GOPCON

5-7 of 7

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

4 of 7

3 of 7

2 of 7

1 of 7

TOTAL

0 of 7

4 of 4

3%

5%

14%

5%

8%

65%

26

3 of 4

2%

1%

2%

6%

15%

73%

112

2 of 4

3%

4%

4%

8%

21%

60%

221

1 of 4

6%

3%

10%

6%

19%

55%

214

0 of 4

30%

18%

13%

11%

13%

14%

427

15%

10%

9%

9%

16%

41%

1001

Page 203

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Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
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CANDIDATE

CAND2016

Views close
to own

TOTAL

Most
effective
person

Both

TOTAL

Unsure

35%

57%

5%

3%

1001

Northeast

37%

55%

4%

4%

195

Midwest

39%

51%

8%

3%

181

South

36%

57%

5%

2%

235

South Central

31%

61%

4%

3%

96

Central Plains

35%

57%

5%

3%

83

Mountain States

19%

69%

4%

8%

70

West

38%

59%

3%

0%

141

California

43%

55%

3%

Florida

31%

62%

5%

1%

58

Texas

27%

65%

5%

3%

71

New York

36%

57%

3%

4%

56

Rest of country

35%

56%

5%

3%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

35%

57%

5%

3%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

36%

56%

6%

2%

320

No Senate election

35%

58%

4%

3%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

36%

56%

5%

3%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

36%

57%

5%

2%

366

No Gubernatorial election

32%

60%

4%

4%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

40%

52%

7%

2%

241

Other

34%

59%

4%

3%

760

Male

37%

55%

5%

3%

480

Female

34%

59%

4%

3%

521

Male / employed

41%

52%

5%

2%

324

Male / not employed

28%

62%

5%

5%

157

Female / employed

38%

56%

3%

3%

281

Female / not employed

29%

62%

5%

4%

240

Not employed

35%

56%

7%

2%

133

Employed

40%

54%

4%

2%

605

Retired

25%

66%

5%

5%

252

Refused

40%

46%

2%

12%

11

18-34

34%

60%

1%

4%

200

35-44

43%

51%

6%

1%

280

45-64

36%

56%

6%

2%

310

65 or over

24%

65%

4%

6%

200

Unsure / refused

28%

56%

5%

10%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

89

(cont.)

Page 204

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
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CAND2016 VIEW ON VOTE FOR PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

CAND2016

Views close
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RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

Most
effective
person

Both

TOTAL

Unsure

18-44

39%

55%

4%

2%

480

45-64

36%

56%

6%

2%

310

65+

24%

65%

4%

6%

200

Unsure / refused

28%

56%

5%

10%

10

Male / under 55

37%

54%

6%

3%

302

Male / 55+

35%

57%

4%

3%

179

Female / under 55

40%

55%

3%

2%

315

Female / 55+

25%

64%

6%

5%

205

White

38%

54%

5%

3%

751

Black / African American

26%

69%

3%

1%

120

Hispanic / Latino

25%

66%

5%

4%

90

Other

28%

61%

6%

5%

40

White millenials 18-34

37%

58%

1%

3%

128

White older voters 35+

39%

53%

6%

3%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

27%

73%

African American older


voters 35+

26%

68%

4%

2%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

31%

57%

3%

10%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

19%

74%

7%

Other races millenials


18-34

21%

74%

Other races older voters


35+

30%

58%

White seniors

31%

Other
White men
White women

24

49
6%

8%

5%

32

60%

4%

5%

255

37%

56%

5%

2%

746

39%

52%

6%

2%

368

37%

55%

4%

3%

382

Black men

30%

68%

2%

50

Black women

23%

70%

6%

1%

70

Hispanic men

22%

61%

10%

7%

42

Hispanic women

27%

70%

1%

2%

48

Republican

34%

58%

5%

3%

390

Independent

36%

54%

5%

5%

190

Democrat

37%

57%

4%

2%

420

Male / GOP

37%

56%

6%

2%

214

Female / GOP

29%

62%

5%

4%

176

Male / DEM

36%

57%

5%

2%

161

Female / DEM

37%

57%

3%

3%

259

Male / IND

37%

51%

5%

6%

105

Female / IND

34%

57%

6%

3%

85

(cont.)

Page 205

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Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
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CANDIDATE

CAND2016

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RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

Most
effective
person

Both

TOTAL

Unsure

Under 55 / GOP

35%

59%

5%

1%

223

55 & over / GOP

32%

58%

6%

5%

168

Under 55 / DEM

40%

54%

5%

2%

269

55 & over / DEM

31%

63%

3%

3%

151

Under 55 / IND

42%

48%

4%

6%

125

55 & over / IND

23%

65%

8%

4%

65

Republican

36%

56%

6%

2%

448

Ticket splitter

30%

50%

6%

14%

61

Democrat

35%

59%

4%

2%

492

Hard GOP

34%

57%

6%

2%

360

Soft GOP

42%

50%

4%

4%

92

Ticket splitter

25%

57%

9%

9%

64

Soft DEM

30%

62%

3%

4%

84

Hard DEM

37%

57%

4%

2%

401

Conservative

32%

61%

5%

2%

536

Moderate

28%

55%

9%

8%

76

Liberal

41%

52%

4%

3%

389

Very conservative

39%

53%

8%

1%

187

Somewhat conservative

29%

65%

3%

3%

348

Moderate / liberal

38%

52%

5%

4%

465

Republican

34%

58%

5%

3%

390

Independent

36%

54%

5%

5%

190

Conservative DEM

15%

79%

5%

1%

103

Mod / lib DEM

43%

50%

4%

3%

318

Liberal DEM

43%

50%

3%

3%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

18%

78%

4%

1%

157

Independent

30%

50%

6%

14%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

26%

58%

13%

2%

69

Conservative GOP

38%

55%

5%

2%

379

Yes / strongly

44%

44%

10%

2%

93

Yes

43%

50%

4%

3%

68

No / unsure

34%

59%

4%

3%

840

Less than high school

19%

65%

7%

9%

53

High school graduate

29%

63%

6%

2%

227

Some college

31%

62%

4%

3%

219

College graduate

41%

51%

5%

3%

503

(cont.)

Page 206

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Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
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CANDIDATE

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SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

Most
effective
person

Both

TOTAL

Unsure

Male college graduates

42%

49%

6%

3%

248

Male non-college
graduates

31%

62%

5%

3%

232

Female college graduates

41%

53%

3%

3%

254

Female non-college
graduates

27%

64%

5%

4%

266

White non-college
graduate

31%

61%

5%

3%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

23%

68%

6%

3%

149

Others

41%

51%

5%

3%

503

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

43%

48%

6%

2%

127

Non-union household

34%

58%

5%

3%

874

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

30%

63%

4%

3%

215

Married

41%

52%

6%

2%

607

No longer married

24%

67%

4%

6%

179

Dad

39%

53%

6%

2%

171

Mom

44%

51%

3%

2%

203

Married / children

46%

47%

4%

2%

299

Married / no children

35%

56%

7%

2%

308

Divorced / children

30%

61%

10%

Divorced / no children

27%

69%

1%

Single / children

22%

78%

Single / no children

32%

60%

5%

3%

173

Other / mixed

20%

68%

4%

8%

97

Single women

23%

71%

5%

2%

98

Married women

44%

50%

4%

2%

304

No longer married women

18%

71%

4%

7%

118

Single men

36%

57%

3%

3%

117

Married men

37%

54%

7%

2%

302

No longer married men

35%

60%

3%

3%

61

White single men

42%

50%

4%

4%

75

White single women

29%

67%

1%

3%

46

White married men

38%

53%

7%

2%

244

White married women

47%

47%

4%

2%

243

White no longer married


men

39%

54%

3%

3%

49

White no longer married


women

17%

70%

5%

8%

93

Other

26%

67%

4%

3%

250

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

22
3%

60
42

(cont.)

Page 207

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MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

Most
effective
person

Both

TOTAL

Unsure

Single mothers

16%

84%

Married mothers

52%

43%

2%

No longer married
mothers

28%

62%

11%

Non-mothers

33%

58%

5%

3%

Upper class

49%

48%

3%

1%

73

Middle class

36%

56%

4%

3%

696

Low income

27%

66%

5%

2%

205

Working class

43%

22%

35%

Refused

31%

42%

15%

30
2%

150
23
798

8
13%

20

5%

3%

551

74%

2%

1%

63

26%

64%

3%

7%

57

Middle class other races

21%

66%

7%

6%

25

Other

33%

59%

6%

2%

305

Roman Catholic

34%

59%

4%

2%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

34%

58%

5%

4%

185

Mainline Protestant

32%

62%

4%

1%

280

Other

49%

41%

3%

7%

45

Middle class whites

39%

53%

Middle class African


Americans

23%

Middle class Hispanics

None

38%

53%

5%

4%

262

At least once a week

35%

57%

6%

3%

336

At least once a month

33%

60%

4%

2%

157

Infrequently

35%

62%

2%

2%

191

Never

45%

43%

5%

7%

44

Active Roman Catholics

28%

61%

9%

2%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

43%

49%

5%

3%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

29%

64%

5%

2%

131

Active other

54%

32%

3%

10%

17

Other

36%

57%

4%

3%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

40%

48%

9%

3%

133

Male not evangelical

35%

58%

4%

3%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

31%

62%

4%

3%

179

Female not evangelical

35%

57%

4%

4%

342

White Evangelical

39%

50%

8%

4%

222

Non-white Evangelical

25%

71%

3%

1%

90

(cont.)

Page 208

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
CAND2016 VIEW ON VOTE FOR PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

CAND2016

Views close
to own

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Both

Unsure

White conservative
Christians

39%

52%

6%

Non-white conservative
Christians

25%

71%

4%

White non-conservative
Christians

37%

43%

12%

8%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

25%

72%

1%

2%

39

Approve

36%

57%

5%

3%

453

Unsure

25%

63%

4%

8%

62

Disapprove

36%

56%

5%

3%

487

Jobs

35%

60%

2%

3%

135

Economy

34%

58%

7%

1%

228

Health care

38%

56%

2%

5%

99

Illegal immigration

40%

58%

1%

1%

78

Foreign threats

38%

55%

4%

3%

116

Deficit

39%

55%

3%

2%

76

Other

32%

57%

7%

4%

268

Cutting taxes

34%

57%

9%

0%

71

2%

166
51

Reducing deficit

40%

50%

6%

5%

126

Creating jobs

30%

66%

3%

1%

203

Increase wages

50%

48%

3%

Healthcare costs

32%

62%

Retirement

34%

57%

3%

6%

41

Higher education

26%

67%

4%

4%

101

Regulations

52%

41%

6%

2%

65

Combination

27%

59%

10%

3%

141

None

38%

48%

9%

6%

11

Unsure

35%

40%

4%

22%

12

Very worried

34%

58%

5%

3%

318

Somewhat worried

36%

56%

5%

3%

405

Not too worried

38%

57%

2%

2%

214

Not at all worried

29%

56%

12%

3%

56

Combination

42%

Unsure
RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Most
effective
person

TOTAL

132
6%

98

58%
88%

5%

7%

8
245

Yes

33%

60%

5%

3%

Unsure

35%

50%

6%

8%

63

3%

693

No

36%

57%

5%

(cont.)

Page 209

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
CAND2016 VIEW ON VOTE FOR PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

CAND2016

Views close
to own

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

Unsure

35%

58%

5%

2%

510

Unsure

23%

63%

9%

5%

85

Disapprove

38%

54%

4%

3%

406

Very worried

28%

63%

5%

4%

112

Somewhat worried

33%

60%

4%

3%

283

Not too worried

39%

55%

4%

2%

341

Not at all worried

37%

53%

6%

4%

258
1

100%

Unsure

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

Both

Approve

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

Most
effective
person

TOTAL

6%

4%

2%

645

7%

5%

356

50%

3%

1%

295

24%

64%

8%

4%

45

37%

58%

4%

2%

306

37%

56%

5%

3%

628

No

38%

54%

6%

2%

245

Not sure

22%

70%

3%

4%

128

4 of 4

56%

35%

6%

3%

26

88%

Yes

40%

55%

No

27%

61%

Approve

45%

Unsure
Disapprove
Yes

6%

3 of 4

53%

38%

3%

5%

112

2 of 4

29%

64%

5%

1%

221

1 of 4

30%

65%

3%

2%

214

0 of 4

35%

56%

6%

4%

427

5-7 of 7

46%

49%

3%

2%

150

4 of 7

41%

48%

7%

4%

96

3 of 7

26%

62%

9%

3%

91

2 of 7

23%

71%

3%

4%

87

1 of 7

31%

62%

2%

5%

164

0 of 7

36%

56%

6%

2%

413

35%

57%

5%

3%

1001

Page 210

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR1 BETTER DEALING / ECONOMY

IHPAR1
GOP

TOTAL

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

49%

44%

1%

4%

2%

1001

Northeast

41%

50%

2%

4%

3%

195

Midwest

46%

48%

2%

2%

2%

181

South

53%

40%

0%

3%

3%

235

South Central

60%

35%

5%

0%

96

Central Plains

49%

39%

4%

8%

83

Mountain States

57%

34%

1%

7%

1%

70

West

41%

52%

0%

6%

2%

141

California

40%

52%

0%

6%

2%

89

Florida

53%

40%

1%

1%

5%

58

Texas

55%

39%

New York

44%

44%

2%

5%

5%

56

Rest of country

49%

44%

1%

4%

2%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

53%

41%

5%

2%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

48%

45%

2%

3%

2%

320

No Senate election

47%

45%

1%

4%

3%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

52%

41%

0%

4%

2%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

41%

51%

1%

5%

3%

366

No Gubernatorial election

53%

40%

2%

3%

3%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

50%

43%

1%

4%

3%

241

Other

48%

44%

1%

4%

2%

760

Male

55%

37%

1%

5%

2%

480

Female

42%

51%

1%

4%

3%

521

Male / employed

57%

36%

1%

6%

1%

324

Male / not employed

53%

40%

1%

2%

4%

157

Female / employed

42%

51%

1%

4%

3%

281

Female / not employed

43%

50%

1%

3%

2%

240

Not employed

39%

55%

2%

2%

2%

133

Employed

50%

43%

1%

5%

2%

605

Retired

52%

41%

0%

3%

3%

252

Refused

19%

56%

11%

14%

11

18-34

41%

52%

1%

4%

2%

200

35-44

49%

43%

1%

6%

1%

280

45-64

48%

47%

1%

3%

2%

310

65 or over

56%

36%

1%

3%

5%

200

Unsure / refused

66%

17%

5%

9%

3%

10

18-44

45%

47%

1%

5%

2%

480

45-64

48%

47%

1%

3%

2%

310

65+

56%

36%

1%

3%

5%

200

Unsure / refused

66%

17%

5%

9%

3%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

71

6%

(cont.)

Page 211

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR1 BETTER DEALING / ECONOMY

IHPAR1
GOP

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

Male / under 55

54%

38%

1%

6%

2%

302

Male / 55+

57%

36%

2%

2%

3%

179

Female / under 55

38%

55%

1%

3%

2%

315

Female / 55+

48%

43%

1%

4%

4%

205

White

55%

37%

1%

4%

3%

751

Black / African American

16%

80%

Hispanic / Latino

38%

54%

2%

3%

2%

90

Other

43%

45%

3%

5%

4%

40

White millenials 18-34

50%

44%

1%

4%

2%

128

White older voters 35+

56%

36%

1%

4%

3%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

10%

84%

6%

24

African American older


voters 35+

18%

79%

3%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

32%

54%

3%

5%

Hispanic older voters 35+

43%

53%

2%

1%

Other races millenials


18-34

31%

69%

Other races older voters


35+

45%

39%

4%

7%

4%

32

White seniors

57%

35%

1%

3%

4%

255

Other

45%

47%

1%

4%

2%

746

White men

61%

32%

1%

3%

3%

368

White women

50%

42%

1%

5%

3%

382

Black men

25%

66%

Black women

10%

90%

Hispanic men

41%

47%

Hispanic women

36%

59%

Republican

90%

5%

1%

Independent

43%

36%

Democrat

12%

Male / GOP

120

4%

5%

41
49
8

50

9%

70
5%

42

7%
4%

48

4%

1%

390

3%

10%

8%

190

84%

0%

2%

1%

420

92%

3%

1%

3%

1%

214

Female / GOP

87%

7%

0%

4%

2%

176

Male / DEM

11%

84%

0%

3%

2%

161

Female / DEM

13%

84%

1%

1%

1%

259

Male / IND

48%

34%

3%

10%

5%

105

Female / IND

38%

39%

2%

10%

11%

85

Under 55 / GOP

88%

7%

55 & over / GOP

92%

2%

1%

2%

3%

168

Under 55 / DEM

14%

83%

0%

2%

1%

269

55 & over / DEM

9%

86%

1%

1%

2%

151

Under 55 / IND

40%

40%

3%

10%

8%

125

55 & over / IND

51%

29%

3%

9%

8%

65

223

5%

(cont.)

Page 212

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR1 BETTER DEALING / ECONOMY

IHPAR1
GOP

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

Republican

89%

6%

1%

3%

1%

448

Ticket splitter

33%

29%

1%

21%

16%

61

Democrat

14%

81%

1%

3%

2%

492

Hard GOP

92%

4%

0%

2%

1%

360

Soft GOP

78%

8%

3%

5%

5%

92

Ticket splitter

35%

28%

21%

15%

64

Soft DEM

19%

66%

4%

9%

3%

84

Hard DEM

11%

86%

0%

1%

1%

401

Conservative

72%

22%

1%

4%

2%

536

Moderate

39%

43%

3%

9%

6%

76

Liberal

18%

75%

1%

4%

2%

389

Very conservative

81%

17%

1%

1%

187

Somewhat conservative

67%

24%

1%

5%

3%

348

Moderate / liberal

22%

70%

1%

5%

2%

465

Republican

90%

5%

1%

4%

1%

390

Independent

43%

36%

3%

10%

8%

190

Conservative DEM

16%

78%

2%

3%

103

Mod / lib DEM

11%

86%

1%

2%

1%

318

Liberal DEM

12%

84%

1%

3%

1%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

18%

73%

2%

5%

3%

157

Independent

33%

29%

1%

21%

16%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

75%

17%

4%

2%

2%

69

Conservative GOP

91%

4%

0%

3%

1%

379

Yes / strongly

84%

11%

4%

1%

93

Yes

95%

5%

0%

No / unsure

41%

51%

1%

4%

3%

840

Less than high school

55%

30%

7%

2%

7%

53

High school graduate

47%

44%

1%

5%

3%

227

Some college

47%

45%

1%

4%

3%

219

College graduate

49%

45%

0%

4%

1%

503

Male college graduates

57%

37%

0%

4%

1%

248

Male non-college
graduates

53%

37%

2%

5%

3%

232

Female college graduates

41%

53%

0%

3%

2%

254

Female non-college
graduates

43%

49%

1%

4%

4%

266

White non-college
graduate

58%

32%

1%

4%

4%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

24%

69%

2%

4%

2%

149

Others

49%

45%

0%

4%

1%

503

Union household

39%

54%

0%

3%

3%

127

Non-union household

50%

43%

1%

4%

2%

874

68

(cont.)

Page 213

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR1 BETTER DEALING / ECONOMY

IHPAR1
GOP

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

Single

34%

57%

2%

5%

1%

215

Married

54%

39%

0%

4%

3%

607

No longer married

46%

47%

1%

3%

3%

179

Dad

65%

29%

0%

6%

0%

171

Mom

39%

54%

1%

4%

2%

203

Married / children

53%

41%

0%

4%

2%

299

Married / no children

56%

37%

1%

4%

3%

308

Divorced / children

29%

62%

3%

6%

Divorced / no children

39%

54%

Single / children

40%

46%

Single / no children

33%

60%

Other / mixed

54%

Single women
Married women
No longer married women

22
60

3%

4%

5%

7%

2%

42

2%

5%

1%

173

39%

1%

2%

4%

97

25%

69%

2%

2%

3%

98

47%

46%

0%

4%

3%

304

44%

48%

1%

4%

3%

118

Single men

42%

47%

2%

8%

Married men

62%

32%

1%

4%

2%

302

No longer married men

49%

45%

1%

1%

4%

61

White single men

51%

44%

2%

3%

White single women

36%

55%

3%

4%

3%

46

White married men

66%

27%

0%

4%

3%

244

White married women

52%

40%

0%

5%

3%

243

White no longer married


men

52%

40%

1%

1%

5%

49

White no longer married


women

50%

40%

1%

5%

3%

93

Other

28%

65%

1%

4%

1%

250

Single mothers

27%

62%

7%

3%

30

Married mothers

41%

53%

3%

150

No longer married
mothers

42%

50%

3%

6%

Non-mothers

51%

42%

1%

4%

Upper class

45%

52%

0%

2%

Middle class

54%

39%

1%

4%

3%

696

Low income

33%

56%

2%

6%

3%

205

Working class

11%

89%

Refused

47%

43%

Middle class whites

60%

33%

Middle class African


Americans

18%

77%

Middle class Hispanics

43%

52%

Middle class other races

36%

59%

Other

36%

55%

4%

117

75

23
2%

798
73

1%

5%

5%

20

4%

3%

551

5%
2%

2%

63

2%

2%

57

1%

4%

25

5%

2%

305

(cont.)

Page 214

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR1 BETTER DEALING / ECONOMY

IHPAR1
GOP

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

Roman Catholic

50%

41%

1%

5%

2%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

60%

33%

0%

5%

1%

185

Mainline Protestant

54%

39%

1%

2%

3%

280

Other

46%

52%

2%

1%

None

34%

58%

1%

4%

3%

262

At least once a week

60%

34%

1%

3%

2%

336

At least once a month

56%

40%

0%

3%

1%

157

Infrequently

43%

48%

2%

5%

2%

191

Never

44%

47%

5%

4%

44

Active Roman Catholics

54%

41%

2%

2%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

66%

28%

5%

0%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

58%

35%

2%

4%

131

Active other

67%

30%

Other

43%

49%

1%

4%

2%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

71%

22%

1%

3%

3%

133

Male not evangelical

49%

43%

1%

5%

2%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

57%

38%

0%

2%

2%

179

1%

1%

45

17

2%

Female not evangelical

34%

57%

1%

4%

3%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

74%

19%

1%

3%

3%

222

Non-white Evangelical

36%

62%

1%

1%

0%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

84%

10%

0%

3%

2%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

38%

58%

2%

2%

White non-conservative
Christians

44%

46%

1%

4%

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

33%

66%

Approve

15%

80%

1%

Unsure

41%

37%

Disapprove

81%

Jobs
Economy
Health care

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

51
6%

55

1%

39

2%

2%

453

0%

11%

10%

62

12%

1%

5%

2%

487

32%

61%

1%

3%

4%

135

43%

51%

6%

1%

228

28%

67%

1%

2%

2%

99

Illegal immigration

70%

19%

2%

8%

1%

78

Foreign threats

68%

26%

1%

3%

2%

116

Deficit

68%

23%

5%

4%

76

3%

268

Other

49%

43%

2%

3%

(cont.)

Page 215

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR1 BETTER DEALING / ECONOMY

IHPAR1
GOP

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

DEM

Both equal

68%

28%

2%

2%

1%

71

Reducing deficit

78%

15%

1%

5%

1%

126

Creating jobs

40%

54%

1%

4%

2%

203

Increase wages

19%

75%

1%

5%

Healthcare costs

49%

39%

Retirement

38%

58%

5%

Higher education

35%

60%

0%

Regulations

83%

15%

Combination

48%

41%

None

38%

32%

Unsure

71%

2%

11%

Views close to own

45%

48%

1%

Most effective person

50%

43%

1%

Both

53%

41%

Unsure

57%

20%

Very worried

64%

Somewhat worried

7%

0%

5%

98

2%

4%

101

2%

1%

65

5%

5%

141

2%

11

16%

12

5%

1%

352

4%

2%

571

3%

4%

48

2%

4%

18%

30

28%

1%

4%

2%

318

48%

45%

1%

4%

2%

405

Not too worried

31%

61%

1%

4%

3%

214

Not at all worried

31%

59%

1%

4%

5%

56
1

100%
59%

36%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

32%

60%

1%

Unsure

40%

51%

1%

No

55%

38%

1%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

38%

55%

1%

Unsure

26%

63%

Disapprove

66%

27%

Very worried

63%

Somewhat worried

61%

Not too worried


Not at all worried
Combination

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

132

41

28%

Unsure

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

TOTAL
Unsure

Cutting taxes

Combination

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Neither

5%

3%

3%

245

5%

3%

63

4%

2%

693

4%

2%

510

3%

7%

85

1%

4%

2%

406

30%

1%

3%

3%

112

31%

1%

5%

2%

283

46%

47%

1%

3%

2%

341

32%

60%

1%

4%

3%

258
1

100%

Unsure

31%

55%

Yes

52%

41%

1%

No

42%

50%

Approve

24%

68%

Unsure

46%

45%

Disapprove

80%

14%

0%

Yes

40%

52%

No

64%

Not sure

60%

15%

5%

1%

645

1%

2%

5%

356

2%

5%

1%

295

6%

3%

45

5%

1%

306

1%

5%

3%

628

29%

1%

4%

2%

245

35%

1%

2%

3%

128

(cont.)

Page 216

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR1 BETTER DEALING / ECONOMY

IHPAR1
GOP

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

4 of 4

3%

96%

2%

3 of 4

10%

89%

0%

1%

1%

112

2 of 4

17%

77%

0%

5%

0%

221

1 of 4

41%

52%

1%

3%

2%

214

0 of 4

81%

9%

1%

5%

4%

427

5-7 of 7

97%

1%

2%

4 of 7

86%

8%

5%

3 of 7

73%

20%

1%

6%

2 of 7

59%

31%

3%

5%

2%

87

1 of 7

37%

47%

2%

8%

6%

164

0 of 7

19%

75%

1%

2%

3%

413

49%

44%

1%

4%

2%

1001

26

150
1%

96
91

Page 217

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR2 BETTER DEALING / TAXES

IHPAR2
GOP

TOTAL

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

47%

44%

0%

5%

4%

1001

Northeast

36%

52%

0%

7%

5%

195

Midwest

44%

49%

1%

3%

2%

181

South

53%

40%

0%

4%

3%

235

South Central

50%

41%

1%

6%

2%

96

Central Plains

48%

41%

2%

9%

83

Mountain States

61%

29%

10%

West

46%

47%

0%

4%

3%

141

California

49%

43%

0%

4%

4%

89

Florida

61%

37%

2%

58

Texas

47%

43%

1%

6%

2%

71

New York

37%

48%

4%

11%

56

Rest of country

46%

45%

1%

5%

3%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

51%

39%

1%

5%

3%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

43%

47%

0%

6%

3%

320

No Senate election

47%

45%

0%

4%

4%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

49%

42%

1%

5%

4%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

44%

47%

0%

4%

4%

366

No Gubernatorial election

46%

44%

1%

5%

3%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

53%

40%

3%

3%

241

Other

45%

46%

1%

5%

4%

760

Male

53%

39%

0%

5%

3%

480

Female

41%

49%

1%

4%

5%

521

Male / employed

53%

38%

0%

7%

2%

324

Male / not employed

53%

40%

0%

3%

4%

157

Female / employed

42%

47%

0%

5%

5%

281

Female / not employed

41%

52%

1%

3%

3%

240

Not employed

40%

53%

0%

3%

4%

133

Employed

48%

42%

0%

6%

3%

605

Retired

51%

43%

0%

3%

3%

252

Refused

18%

66%

4%

12%

11

18-34

39%

53%

4%

4%

200

35-44

45%

45%

0%

6%

4%

280

45-64

47%

44%

0%

6%

3%

310

65 or over

56%

36%

1%

3%

4%

200

Unsure / refused

63%

20%

5%

12%

18-44

43%

48%

0%

5%

4%

480

45-64

47%

44%

0%

6%

3%

310

65+

56%

36%

1%

3%

4%

200

Unsure / refused

63%

20%

5%

12%

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

70

10

10

(cont.)

Page 218

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR2 BETTER DEALING / TAXES

IHPAR2
GOP

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

Male / under 55

49%

42%

0%

6%

3%

302

Male / 55+

60%

33%

1%

4%

2%

179

Female / under 55

39%

52%

0%

4%

5%

315

Female / 55+

45%

46%

1%

5%

4%

205

White

52%

38%

0%

5%

4%

751

Black / African American

21%

76%

0%

3%

Hispanic / Latino

39%

55%

Other

40%

50%

White millenials 18-34

44%

47%

White older voters 35+

54%

36%

African American
millenials 18-34

27%

73%

African American older


voters 35+

20%

76%

Hispanic millenials 18-34

32%

57%

5%

Hispanic older voters 35+

46%

53%

2%

Other races millenials


18-34

31%

69%

Other races older voters


35+

42%

46%

2%

7%

4%

32

White seniors

57%

34%

1%

4%

4%

255

Other

43%

48%

0%

5%

3%

746

White men

56%

35%

0%

5%

3%

368

White women

48%

40%

1%

5%

5%

382

Black men

35%

57%

1%

7%

Black women

11%

89%

Hispanic men

41%

54%

5%

Hispanic women

38%

56%

2%

4%

48

Republican

82%

8%

1%

7%

2%

390

Independent

47%

37%

1%

6%

9%

190

Democrat

14%

81%

0%

2%

2%

420

Male / GOP

84%

8%

0%

6%

1%

214

Female / GOP

80%

9%

1%

7%

3%

176

Male / DEM

15%

79%

0%

3%

3%

161

Female / DEM

13%

82%

2%

2%

259

Male / IND

48%

39%

1%

8%

5%

105

Female / IND

47%

34%

2%

4%

13%

85

Under 55 / GOP

77%

12%

9%

2%

223

55 & over / GOP

89%

4%

3%

3%

168

Under 55 / DEM

16%

79%

2%

3%

269

55 & over / DEM

11%

85%

0%

3%

2%

151

Under 55 / IND

45%

41%

1%

4%

9%

125

55 & over / IND

52%

28%

1%

12%

8%

65

1%

1%

120

3%

2%

90

5%

3%

40

4%

4%

128

5%

4%

623
24

0%

4%

96
5%

41
49
8

50
70

1%

42

(cont.)

Page 219

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR2 BETTER DEALING / TAXES

IHPAR2
GOP

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

Republican

82%

10%

1%

5%

2%

448

Ticket splitter

38%

26%

2%

13%

21%

61

Democrat

16%

78%

0%

3%

2%

492

Hard GOP

83%

9%

0%

5%

2%

360

Soft GOP

78%

8%

2%

7%

5%

92

Ticket splitter

38%

25%

1%

15%

21%

64

Soft DEM

25%

67%

3%

6%

84

Hard DEM

13%

83%

0%

2%

2%

401

Conservative

68%

22%

0%

5%

4%

536

Moderate

36%

45%

1%

11%

7%

76

Liberal

19%

75%

0%

3%

3%

389

Very conservative

81%

16%

1%

2%

2%

187

Somewhat conservative

62%

26%

0%

7%

5%

348

Moderate / liberal

22%

70%

1%

4%

4%

465

Republican

82%

8%

1%

7%

2%

390

Independent

47%

37%

1%

6%

9%

190

Conservative DEM

17%

76%

1%

6%

103

Mod / lib DEM

13%

83%

0%

3%

1%

318

Liberal DEM

13%

82%

0%

3%

2%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

22%

69%

4%

4%

157

Independent

38%

26%

2%

13%

21%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

69%

20%

2%

3%

6%

69

Conservative GOP

84%

8%

1%

6%

2%

379

Yes / strongly

87%

8%

0%

1%

4%

93

Yes

89%

7%

3%

1%

68

No / unsure

39%

51%

1%

5%

4%

840

Less than high school

50%

38%

4%

2%

6%

53

High school graduate

48%

47%

2%

3%

227

Some college

45%

43%

0%

7%

5%

219

College graduate

47%

44%

0%

5%

3%

503

Male college graduates

53%

38%

1%

6%

2%

248

Male non-college
graduates

53%

39%

5%

3%

232

Female college graduates

42%

50%

5%

4%

254

Female non-college
graduates

41%

49%

1%

3%

6%

266

White non-college
graduate

55%

34%

1%

5%

5%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

28%

68%

2%

2%

149

Others

47%

44%

0%

5%

3%

503

Union household

38%

54%

0%

5%

2%

127

Non-union household

48%

43%

0%

5%

4%

874

(cont.)

Page 220

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR2 BETTER DEALING / TAXES

IHPAR2
GOP

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

Single

34%

57%

1%

7%

2%

215

Married

53%

39%

0%

4%

3%

607

No longer married

41%

48%

1%

4%

7%

179

Dad

61%

31%

0%

6%

1%

171

Mom

40%

50%

1%

3%

6%

203

Married / children

51%

40%

0%

5%

3%

299

Married / no children

55%

37%

1%

4%

3%

308

Divorced / children

32%

49%

19%

22

Divorced / no children

37%

52%

5%

6%

60

Single / children

40%

47%

7%

2%

42

Single / no children

33%

59%

7%

2%

173

Other / mixed

46%

45%

1%

4%

4%

97

Single women

31%

63%

1%

2%

3%

98

Married women

47%

44%

4%

4%

304

No longer married women

36%

52%

4%

7%

118

Single men

37%

52%

10%

1%

117

Married men

59%

34%

4%

2%

302

No longer married men

52%

40%

2%

7%

61

White single men

40%

51%

8%

2%

75

White single women

45%

44%

3%

5%

3%

46

White married men

62%

30%

0%

5%

3%

244

White married women

51%

39%

5%

5%

243

White no longer married


men

53%

37%

2%

8%

49

White no longer married


women

44%

42%

1%

5%

8%

93

Other

31%

64%

0%

4%

1%

250

Single mothers

37%

55%

4%

3%

30

Married mothers

41%

50%

5%

150

No longer married
mothers

39%

43%

18%

23

Non-mothers

49%

43%

0%

5%

3%

798

Upper class

49%

46%

0%

4%

1%

73

Middle class

50%

41%

0%

5%

3%

696

Low income

37%

54%

1%

3%

5%

205

Working class

33%

67%

Refused

54%

30%

2%

12%

1%

20

Middle class whites

55%

36%

0%

5%

4%

551

Middle class African


Americans

18%

76%

6%

Middle class Hispanics

42%

52%

4%

2%

57

Middle class other races

34%

60%

1%

1%

5%

25

Other

40%

51%

1%

4%

4%

305

3%

1%

1%

5%

63

(cont.)

Page 221

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR2 BETTER DEALING / TAXES

IHPAR2
GOP

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

Roman Catholic

50%

40%

0%

7%

3%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

57%

38%

1%

2%

2%

185

Mainline Protestant

53%

38%

1%

4%

4%

280

Other

39%

51%

None

33%

58%

0%

4%

5%

262

At least once a week

59%

35%

1%

3%

2%

336

At least once a month

52%

39%

0%

5%

4%

157

Infrequently

41%

48%

1%

8%

3%

191

Never

35%

52%

8%

5%

44

Active Roman Catholics

59%

39%

1%

1%

1%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

64%

30%

2%

3%

1%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

55%

38%

2%

5%

131

Active other

60%

27%

13%

Other

41%

49%

0%

6%

4%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

67%

27%

1%

4%

1%

133

Male not evangelical

47%

43%

0%

6%

3%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

53%

41%

1%

2%

4%

179

45

10%

17

Female not evangelical

36%

54%

0%

5%

5%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

70%

22%

1%

3%

4%

222

Non-white Evangelical

31%

67%

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

78%

14%

Non-white conservative
Christians

42%

55%

White non-conservative
Christians

47%

44%

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

17%

83%

Approve

16%

78%

0%

3%

2%

453

Unsure

38%

42%

1%

9%

10%

62

Disapprove

76%

13%

1%

6%

4%

487

Jobs

37%

54%

1%

3%

6%

135

Economy

41%

51%

6%

1%

228

Health care

25%

69%

1%

1%

4%

99

Illegal immigration

61%

26%

2%

8%

3%

78

Foreign threats

62%

28%

1%

5%

4%

116

Deficit

62%

28%

5%

5%

76

4%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

49%

42%

90

2%
1%

4%

2%

4%
1%

1%

166
51

8%

55

39

0%

5%

(cont.)

Page 222

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR2 BETTER DEALING / TAXES

IHPAR2
GOP

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

DEM

Cutting taxes

63%

33%

Reducing deficit

67%

18%

Creating jobs

44%

49%

Increase wages

20%

Healthcare costs
Retirement

Both equal

3%

71

1%

11%

4%

126

1%

4%

2%

203

73%

5%

2%

132

46%

43%

5%

7%

98

41%

55%

4%

41

Higher education

32%

64%

3%

101

Regulations

84%

12%

2%

2%

65

Combination

46%

43%

5%

7%

141

None

35%

27%

36%

2%

11

Unsure

60%

14%

11%

8%

7%

12

Views close to own

47%

45%

0%

5%

2%

352

Most effective person

47%

44%

0%

4%

4%

571

Both

47%

48%

4%

1%

48

Unsure

42%

32%

2%

6%

17%

30

Very worried

63%

27%

1%

6%

3%

318

Somewhat worried

45%

47%

0%

4%

3%

405

Not too worried

31%

60%

0%

5%

4%

214

Not at all worried

30%

4%

10%

56

0%

56%

100%

Unsure

35%

60%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

34%

59%

Unsure

39%

53%

No

52%

38%

1%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

36%

57%

0%

Unsure

33%

56%

Disapprove

64%

Very worried
Somewhat worried

5%

3%

3%

245

4%

3%

63

5%

4%

693

4%

3%

510

1%

3%

7%

85

26%

1%

6%

3%

406

67%

26%

1%

3%

3%

112

59%

33%

0%

6%

2%

283

Not too worried

42%

48%

1%

4%

4%

341

Not at all worried

31%

60%

5%

4%

258

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

TOTAL
Unsure

1%

Combination

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Neither

0%

100%

Unsure

31%

49%

Yes

49%

42%

No

43%

Approve
Unsure
Disapprove

6%

15%

1%

6%

2%

645

49%

0%

2%

6%

356

24%

68%

0%

6%

2%

295

39%

48%

7%

6%

45

75%

15%

1%

7%

2%

306

Yes

40%

52%

0%

5%

3%

628

No

58%

31%

1%

6%

3%

245

Not sure

60%

33%

0%

2%

5%

128

(cont.)

Page 223

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR2 BETTER DEALING / TAXES

IHPAR2
GOP

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

DEM

4 of 4

8%

86%

3 of 4

9%

88%

2 of 4

22%

1 of 4
0 of 4
5-7 of 7

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

26

6%
1%

2%

112

71%

5%

1%

221

39%

55%

3%

3%

214

76%

11%

1%

6%

6%

427

92%

3%

0%

4%

1%

150

4 of 7

77%

11%

1%

6%

4%

96

3 of 7

76%

16%

2%

6%

2 of 7

52%

37%

0%

5%

5%

87

1 of 7

40%

46%

0%

8%

6%

164

0 of 7

19%

74%

0%

3%

4%

413

47%

44%

0%

5%

4%

1001

0%

91

Page 224

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR3 BETTER DEALING / HEALTH CARE

IHPAR3
GOP

TOTAL

DEM

1001

61%

4%

3%

195

38%

53%

5%

4%

181

South

43%

48%

5%

4%

235

South Central

50%

44%

5%

0%

96

Central Plains

41%

49%

2%

8%

83

Mountain States

53%

39%

8%

West

31%

62%

6%

1%

141

California

33%

61%

5%

1%

89

Florida

39%

54%

4%

3%

58

Texas

46%

49%

5%

New York

32%

57%

2%

9%

56

Rest of country

40%

51%

0%

5%

3%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

45%

46%

0%

6%

3%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

39%

54%

0%

4%

3%

320

No Senate election

37%

54%

5%

3%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

42%

49%

6%

3%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

32%

59%

5%

4%

366

No Gubernatorial election

46%

48%

4%

2%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

45%

48%

5%

2%

241

Other

37%

54%

0%

5%

4%

760

Male

43%

49%

0%

6%

2%

480

Female

36%

56%

0%

4%

4%

521

Male / employed

42%

49%

7%

2%

324

Male / not employed

45%

48%

4%

3%

157

Female / employed

37%

55%

5%

4%

281

Female / not employed

35%

57%

3%

4%

240

Not employed

29%

62%

3%

6%

133

Employed

39%

51%

6%

3%

605

Retired

45%

49%

3%

3%

252

Refused

29%

56%

13%

2%

11

18-34

32%

61%

3%

4%

200

35-44

37%

51%

8%

4%

280

45-64

37%

56%

4%

2%

310

65 or over

51%

41%

0%

3%

4%

200

Unsure / refused

68%

20%

3%

6%

3%

10

18-44

35%

55%

6%

4%

480

45-64

37%

56%

4%

2%

310

65+

51%

41%

0%

3%

4%

200

Unsure / refused

68%

20%

3%

6%

3%

10

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

Northeast

31%

Midwest

0%

TOTAL
Unsure

3%

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

52%

Neither

5%

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

39%

Both equal

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

70

71

(cont.)

Page 225

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR3 BETTER DEALING / HEALTH CARE

IHPAR3
GOP

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

Male / under 55

39%

51%

Male / 55+

49%

45%

Female / under 55

32%

60%

Female / 55+

42%

50%

White

46%

45%

7%

91%

3%

Hispanic / Latino

28%

62%

6%

4%

90

Other

33%

54%

9%

4%

40

White millenials 18-34

42%

52%

2%

4%

128

White older voters 35+

6%

4%

623

Black / African American

7%

4%

302

5%

1%

179

5%

4%

315

0%

3%

4%

205

0%

5%

4%

751

0%

0%

120

47%

44%

African American
millenials 18-34

6%

94%

African American older


voters 35+

7%

90%

3%

Hispanic millenials 18-34

21%

64%

8%

7%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

34%

59%

5%

2%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

21%

73%

6%

Other races older voters


35+

35%

50%

11%

4%

32

White seniors

53%

40%

4%

3%

255

Other

35%

57%

5%

3%

746

White men

48%

44%

0%

5%

3%

368

White women

44%

47%

0%

5%

4%

382

Black men

14%

80%

Black women

2%

98%

Hispanic men

29%

60%

11%

Hispanic women

27%

63%

2%

8%

48

Republican

77%

13%

0%

7%

3%

390

Independent

38%

47%

0%

9%

6%

190

Democrat
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

DEM

24

0%

96

50

6%

70
42

5%

92%

1%

2%

420

Male / GOP

74%

16%

7%

3%

214

Female / GOP

79%

8%

8%

4%

176

Male / DEM

4%

92%

2%

2%

161

Female / DEM

0%

2%

259

0%

6%

92%

Male / IND

38%

48%

11%

3%

105

Female / IND

37%

46%

7%

10%

85

Under 55 / GOP

72%

14%

9%

4%

223

55 & over / GOP

83%

10%

4%

3%

168

Under 55 / DEM

6%

91%

1%

2%

269

55 & over / DEM

5%

93%

1%

1%

151

Under 55 / IND

35%

51%

8%

6%

125

55 & over / IND

43%

40%

11%

6%

65

0%

0%

1%

(cont.)

Page 226

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR3 BETTER DEALING / HEALTH CARE

IHPAR3
GOP

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

DEM

Republican

76%

14%

Ticket splitter

24%

Democrat

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

7%

3%

448

47%

16%

13%

61

8%

88%

2%

2%

492

Hard GOP

79%

11%

0%

6%

3%

360

Soft GOP

64%

24%

0%

8%

4%

92

Ticket splitter

23%

43%

20%

15%

64

Soft DEM

20%

73%

4%

3%

84

Hard DEM

4%

93%

1%

2%

401

Conservative

60%

30%

6%

3%

536

Moderate

32%

46%

13%

8%

76

Liberal

12%

85%

2%

2%

389

Very conservative

74%

20%

3%

3%

187

Somewhat conservative

53%

35%

8%

4%

348

Moderate / liberal

15%

78%

4%

3%

465

Republican

77%

13%

0%

7%

3%

390

Independent

38%

47%

0%

9%

6%

190

Conservative DEM

9%

88%

1%

2%

103

Mod / lib DEM

4%

93%

1%

2%

318

Liberal DEM

0%

0%

0%

6%

92%

1%

1%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

13%

78%

4%

5%

157

Independent

24%

47%

16%

13%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

62%

28%

4%

7%

69

Conservative GOP

79%

12%

7%

2%

379

Yes / strongly

81%

15%

3%

2%

93

Yes

81%

12%

6%

1%

68

No / unsure

31%

60%

5%

4%

840

Less than high school

49%

43%

2%

6%

53

High school graduate

40%

52%

4%

4%

227

Some college

41%

49%

8%

3%

219

College graduate

37%

55%

0%

5%

3%

503

Male college graduates

41%

49%

0%

6%

3%

248

Male non-college
graduates

44%

48%

6%

2%

232

Female college graduates

33%

61%

3%

2%

254

Female non-college
graduates

39%

51%

5%

5%

266

White non-college
graduate

52%

39%

6%

4%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

17%

76%

4%

3%

149

Others

37%

55%

5%

3%

503

Union household

27%

66%

4%

2%

127

Non-union household

41%

50%

5%

3%

874

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

(cont.)

Page 227

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR3 BETTER DEALING / HEALTH CARE

IHPAR3
GOP

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

DEM

Single

25%

67%

Married

44%

47%

No longer married

39%

Dad
Mom
Married / children

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

6%

1%

215

5%

3%

607

52%

4%

5%

179

49%

41%

7%

3%

171

33%

57%

5%

5%

203

42%

49%

5%

5%

299

Married / no children

47%

46%

5%

2%

308

Divorced / children

32%

62%

6%

Divorced / no children

32%

60%

3%

5%

Single / children

35%

54%

10%

1%

42

Single / no children

23%

70%

6%

1%

173

Other / mixed

45%

45%

3%

6%

97

Single women

23%

71%

4%

2%

98

Married women

40%

51%

4%

4%

304

No longer married women

36%

55%

4%

5%

118

Single men

27%

64%

8%

Married men

48%

43%

No longer married men

45%

White single men


White single women

0%

0%

0%

22
60

117

6%

3%

302

46%

2%

6%

61

33%

62%

5%

36%

55%

6%

3%

46

White married men

53%

39%

0%

5%

3%

244

White married women

46%

45%

0%

5%

4%

243

White no longer married


men

49%

40%

3%

8%

49

White no longer married


women

43%

47%

5%

5%

93

Other

19%

74%

5%

2%

250

Single mothers

32%

64%

3%

1%

30

Married mothers

34%

56%

4%

7%

150

No longer married
mothers

27%

58%

15%

Non-mothers

41%

51%

0%

5%

Upper class

37%

58%

1%

4%

Middle class

43%

49%

0%

5%

3%

696

Low income

29%

61%

6%

4%

205

Working class

11%

89%

Refused

37%

52%

Middle class whites

49%

43%

Middle class African


Americans

11%

84%

5%

Middle class Hispanics

30%

61%

3%

6%

57

Middle class other races

29%

65%

3%

3%

25

Other

31%

60%

6%

3%

305

0%

75

23
3%

798
73

0%

0%

8%

3%

20

5%

3%

551
63

(cont.)

Page 228

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR3 BETTER DEALING / HEALTH CARE

IHPAR3
GOP

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

DEM

Both equal

Neither

Roman Catholic

46%

48%

3%

3%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

48%

44%

5%

4%

185

Mainline Protestant

46%

45%

4%

5%

280

Other

33%

60%

6%

1%

45

None

24%

69%

5%

2%

262

At least once a week

53%

40%

4%

4%

336

At least once a month

44%

50%

3%

4%

157

Infrequently

35%

58%

6%

1%

191

Never

35%

51%

6%

8%

44

Active Roman Catholics

49%

48%

2%

1%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

58%

33%

7%

3%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

50%

40%

3%

6%

131

Active other

56%

41%

2%

Other

33%

59%

6%

3%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

55%

33%

7%

4%

133

Male not evangelical

38%

54%

0%

6%

2%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

47%

45%

0%

3%

4%

179

4%

4%

342

6%

6%

222

2%

0%

90

7%

5%

166

0%

0%

1%

Female not evangelical

30%

62%

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

61%

26%

Non-white Evangelical

24%

74%

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

71%

17%

Non-white conservative
Christians

30%

67%

3%

White non-conservative
Christians

33%

54%

5%

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

15%

84%

Approve

6%

91%

0%

Unsure

24%

50%

1%

Disapprove

72%

17%

Jobs

24%

67%

Economy

30%

62%

Health care

25%

70%

Illegal immigration

66%

27%

8%

Foreign threats

60%

34%

2%

Deficit

54%

38%

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

TOTAL
Unsure

Other

39%

50%

0%

0%

0%

1%

17

51
8%

55

1%

39

1%

2%

453

14%

11%

62

8%

4%

487

3%

6%

135

5%

2%

228

1%

3%

99
78

5%

116

8%

76

7%

4%

268

(cont.)

Page 229

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR3 BETTER DEALING / HEALTH CARE

IHPAR3
GOP

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Both equal

41%

5%

2%

71

Reducing deficit

52%

35%

12%

2%

126

Creating jobs

28%

63%

3%

5%

203

Increase wages

13%

84%

3%

Healthcare costs

56%

36%

5%

Retirement

35%

62%

3%

Higher education

29%

65%

2%

4%

101

Regulations

76%

19%

5%

1%

65

Combination

41%

47%

5%

8%

141

28%

2%

11

9%

12

5%

1%

352

5%

4%

571

5%

6%

48

7%

13%

30

6%

2%

318

0%

3%

98
41

9%

61%

78%

10%

Views close to own

39%

55%

Most effective person

39%

52%

Both

40%

49%

Unsure

45%

34%

Very worried

57%

35%

Somewhat worried

36%

55%

0%

5%

4%

405

Not too worried

23%

70%

0%

4%

4%

214

Not at all worried

23%

6%

3%

56

3%

0%

1%

68%

100%
30%

65%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

24%

69%

Unsure

26%

58%

No

46%

46%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

28%

65%

Unsure

26%

62%

Disapprove

56%

34%

Very worried

59%

34%

Somewhat worried

52%

40%

0%

Not too worried

37%

53%

0%

Not at all worried

20%

73%

Combination

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

132

Unsure

Unsure

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

TOTAL
Unsure

52%

Combination

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Neither

Cutting taxes

None

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

DEM

5%

3%

4%

245

7%

9%

63

6%

2%

693

4%

3%

510

0%

6%

6%

85

0%

6%

3%

406

3%

4%

112

5%

3%

283

6%

3%

341

5%

3%

258

0%

100%

Unsure

31%

49%

Yes

42%

50%

No

34%

56%

Approve

14%

81%

Unsure

43%

46%

Disapprove

69%

21%

Yes

31%

62%

No

54%

32%

Not sure

49%

42%

0%

0%

0%

0%

6%

15%

6%

2%

645

4%

6%

356

4%

1%

295

8%

3%

45

7%

2%

306

4%

2%

628

7%

6%

245

5%

4%

128

(cont.)

Page 230

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR3 BETTER DEALING / HEALTH CARE

IHPAR3
GOP

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

DEM

4 of 4

3%

97%

3 of 4

2%

98%

2 of 4

11%

83%

1 of 4

27%

67%

0 of 4

72%

5-7 of 7

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

26
1%

112

5%

1%

221

0%

3%

2%

214

15%

0%

7%

6%

427

87%

9%

0%

3%

0%

150

4 of 7

64%

20%

13%

2%

96

3 of 7

64%

30%

4%

2%

91

2 of 7

51%

42%

4%

2%

87

1 of 7

33%

50%

9%

8%

164

0 of 7

11%

84%

3%

3%

413

39%

52%

5%

3%

1001

0%

0%

Page 231

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR4 BETTER DEALING / JOBS

IHPAR4
GOP

TOTAL

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

42%

49%

2%

4%

3%

1001

Northeast

34%

59%

1%

3%

2%

195

Midwest

44%

46%

3%

5%

2%

181

South

48%

43%

2%

4%

4%

235

South Central

47%

44%

2%

6%

1%

96

Central Plains

39%

46%

3%

6%

5%

83

Mountain States

58%

35%

6%

1%

70

West

33%

60%

0%

3%

3%

141

California

30%

60%

0%

5%

4%

89

Florida

49%

42%

3%

1%

6%

58

Texas

41%

49%

3%

6%

1%

71

New York

38%

53%

3%

2%

3%

56

Rest of country

44%

48%

2%

5%

3%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

45%

46%

1%

5%

3%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

44%

47%

3%

4%

2%

320

No Senate election

40%

52%

1%

4%

3%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

45%

44%

2%

6%

3%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

34%

57%

2%

4%

3%

366

No Gubernatorial election

51%

43%

2%

3%

2%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

46%

46%

1%

4%

3%

241

Other

41%

50%

2%

4%

3%

760

Male

50%

41%

3%

5%

1%

480

Female

35%

56%

1%

3%

4%

521

Male / employed

52%

38%

3%

7%

1%

324

Male / not employed

46%

48%

2%

3%

1%

157

Female / employed

34%

58%

0%

3%

4%

281

Female / not employed

37%

54%

2%

3%

4%

240

Not employed

34%

61%

1%

3%

1%

133

Employed

43%

47%

2%

5%

3%

605

Retired

45%

46%

2%

3%

4%

252

Refused

23%

55%

4%

13%

5%

11

18-34

36%

58%

1%

3%

2%

200

35-44

39%

48%

2%

8%

2%

280

45-64

43%

50%

2%

3%

2%

310

65 or over

51%

39%

2%

2%

6%

200

Unsure / refused

66%

15%

10%

6%

3%

10

18-44

38%

53%

1%

6%

2%

480

45-64

43%

50%

2%

3%

2%

310

65+

51%

39%

2%

2%

6%

200

Unsure / refused

66%

15%

10%

6%

3%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 232

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR4 BETTER DEALING / JOBS

IHPAR4
GOP

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

49%

41%

3%

7%

1%

302

Male / 55+

52%

41%

3%

3%

2%

179

Female / under 55

30%

62%

0%

4%

4%

315

Female / 55+

43%

47%

2%

3%

5%

205

White

49%

42%

2%

4%

3%

751

Black / African American

13%

82%

1%

4%

0%

120

Hispanic / Latino

30%

64%

1%

3%

3%

90

Other

36%

49%

1%

9%

5%

40

White millenials 18-34

47%

48%

1%

2%

2%

128

White older voters 35+

49%

40%

2%

5%

3%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

11%

83%

African American older


voters 35+

13%

81%

Hispanic millenials 18-34

17%

73%

Hispanic older voters 35+

40%

56%

Other races millenials


18-34

25%

75%

Other races older voters


35+

39%

43%

2%

11%

6%

32

White seniors

53%

38%

2%

3%

4%

255

Other

39%

52%

2%

5%

2%

746

White men

54%

37%

3%

4%

1%

368

White women

44%

46%

1%

5%

4%

382

Black men

29%

61%

1%

9%

Black women

1%

96%

2%

Hispanic men

39%

53%

2%

Hispanic women

22%

73%

Republican

79%

11%

3%

Independent

41%

38%

6%
2%

1%

24

3%

1%

96

5%

5%

41

1%

1%

49
8

50
1%

70
42

7%
6%

48

5%

1%

390

3%

10%

9%

190

8%

89%

0%

1%

1%

420

Male / GOP

80%

10%

4%

5%

0%

214

Female / GOP

79%

12%

2%

5%

2%

176

Male / DEM

13%

84%

3%

0%

161

2%

259

Female / DEM

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

Both equal

Male / under 55

Democrat
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

DEM

6%

92%

1%

0%

Male / IND

45%

37%

4%

10%

4%

105

Female / IND

35%

38%

1%

10%

16%

85

Under 55 / GOP

76%

14%

2%

8%

55 & over / GOP

85%

7%

3%

2%

3%

168

Under 55 / DEM

10%

88%

1%

1%

269

55 & over / DEM

5%

90%

1%

1%

2%

151

Under 55 / IND

36%

41%

3%

10%

10%

125

55 & over / IND

49%

31%

3%

9%

9%

65

223

(cont.)

Page 233

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR4 BETTER DEALING / JOBS

IHPAR4
GOP

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

Republican

79%

12%

3%

4%

1%

448

Ticket splitter

25%

28%

3%

20%

24%

61

Democrat

11%

84%

1%

2%

1%

492

Hard GOP

81%

11%

2%

4%

1%

360

Soft GOP

71%

14%

5%

6%

4%

92

Ticket splitter

30%

31%

2%

19%

17%

64

Soft DEM

20%

64%

2%

6%

8%

84

Hard DEM

7%

90%

0%

1%

1%

401

Conservative

63%

27%

2%

5%

3%

536

Moderate

36%

46%

5%

9%

4%

76

Liberal

14%

79%

0%

3%

3%

389

Very conservative

76%

19%

2%

2%

2%

187

Somewhat conservative

57%

32%

3%

6%

3%

348

Moderate / liberal

18%

74%

1%

4%

3%

465

Republican

79%

11%

3%

5%

1%

390

Independent

41%

38%

3%

10%

9%

190

Conservative DEM

14%

81%

1%

1%

2%

103

7%

91%

0%

1%

1%

318

Mod / lib DEM


PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

DEM

Liberal DEM

8%

87%

0%

2%

2%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

17%

79%

2%

2%

0%

157

Independent

25%

28%

3%

20%

24%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

71%

22%

4%

1%

2%

69

Conservative GOP

80%

11%

2%

5%

1%

379

Yes / strongly

79%

12%

4%

5%

0%

93

Yes

83%

14%

1%

2%

No / unsure

35%

56%

2%

4%

3%

840

Less than high school

49%

39%

4%

2%

7%

53

High school graduate

42%

49%

1%

5%

4%

227

Some college

41%

51%

2%

4%

3%

219

College graduate

43%

49%

2%

5%

2%

503

Male college graduates

51%

39%

3%

6%

0%

248

Male non-college
graduates

49%

43%

2%

4%

2%

232

Female college graduates

34%

59%

1%

3%

3%

254

Female non-college
graduates

36%

54%

1%

3%

5%

266

White non-college
graduate

52%

39%

2%

4%

4%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

20%

73%

1%

4%

3%

149

Others

43%

49%

2%

5%

2%

503

Union household

27%

62%

6%

4%

1%

127

Non-union household

45%

47%

1%

4%

3%

874

68

(cont.)

Page 234

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR4 BETTER DEALING / JOBS

IHPAR4
GOP

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

Single

33%

59%

1%

6%

2%

215

Married

47%

44%

2%

5%

2%

607

No longer married

39%

52%

2%

2%

5%

179

Dad

58%

29%

4%

8%

1%

171

Mom

29%

63%

0%

4%

4%

203

Married / children

44%

46%

3%

5%

2%

299

Married / no children

49%

43%

2%

4%

3%

308

Divorced / children

14%

71%

6%

10%

22

Divorced / no children

39%

55%

2%

5%

60

Single / children

42%

48%

7%

2%

42

Single / no children

31%

62%

1%

5%

1%

173

Other / mixed

45%

46%

4%

1%

5%

97

Single women

26%

68%

3%

3%

98

Married women

39%

53%

1%

4%

3%

304

No longer married women

33%

54%

2%

3%

7%

118

Single men

39%

52%

2%

8%

Married men

54%

35%

3%

5%

No longer married men

49%

48%

1%

White single men

41%

54%

2%

White single women

44%

47%

White married men

59%

31%

White married women

45%

White no longer married


men

117
2%

302

1%

61
75

3%
6%

3%

46

4%

5%

2%

244

47%

1%

4%

3%

243

51%

45%

1%

2%

49

White no longer married


women

42%

44%

1%

4%

9%

93

Other

23%

70%

1%

4%

2%

250

Single mothers

31%

65%

3%

30

Married mothers

29%

62%

4%

4%

150

No longer married
mothers

25%

60%

6%

9%

23

Non-mothers

46%

45%

2%

5%

2%

798

Upper class

41%

54%

1%

4%

Middle class

45%

46%

2%

4%

3%

696

Low income

34%

55%

1%

6%

3%

205

Working class

11%

89%

Refused

33%

54%

2%

10%

1%

20

Middle class whites

51%

39%

2%

4%

3%

551

Middle class African


Americans

8%

84%

2%

5%

1%

63

Middle class Hispanics

33%

62%

2%

3%

57

Middle class other races

32%

60%

1%

2%

5%

25

Other

35%

56%

1%

6%

2%

305

1%

73

(cont.)

Page 235

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR4 BETTER DEALING / JOBS

IHPAR4
GOP

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

Roman Catholic

44%

46%

3%

4%

4%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

47%

42%

2%

7%

3%

185

Mainline Protestant

47%

45%

1%

4%

3%

280

Other

49%

48%

3%

1%

None

31%

60%

2%

4%

2%

262

At least once a week

53%

38%

2%

4%

3%

336

At least once a month

44%

47%

0%

6%

2%

157

Infrequently

36%

55%

2%

4%

3%

191

Never

40%

49%

3%

2%

5%

44

Active Roman Catholics

47%

43%

4%

2%

3%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

54%

35%

2%

8%

2%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

54%

39%

1%

2%

4%

131

Active other

66%

30%

1%

2%

Other

37%

54%

2%

5%

3%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

58%

30%

3%

6%

2%

133

Male not evangelical

47%

45%

2%

5%

1%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

47%

47%

1%

2%

4%

179

45

17

Female not evangelical

29%

61%

1%

4%

4%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

62%

27%

3%

5%

4%

222

Non-white Evangelical

25%

72%

1%

1%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

72%

18%

5%

2%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

34%

63%

2%

1%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

34%

52%

3%

9%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

14%

85%

1%

39

Approve

13%

83%

1%

2%

2%

453

Unsure

28%

42%

5%

14%

10%

62

Disapprove

71%

18%

2%

5%

3%

487

Jobs

28%

64%

4%

2%

2%

135

Economy

39%

54%

1%

5%

1%

228

Health care

28%

66%

1%

4%

2%

99

Illegal immigration

56%

30%

5%

7%

2%

78

Foreign threats

58%

34%

5%

3%

116

Deficit

50%

37%

5%

7%

76

4%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

44%

45%

3%

2%

1%
2%

4%

(cont.)

Page 236

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR4 BETTER DEALING / JOBS

IHPAR4
GOP

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

DEM

Both equal

44%

43%

5%

6%

1%

71

Reducing deficit

63%

24%

3%

6%

3%

126

Creating jobs

39%

55%

2%

2%

2%

203

Increase wages

17%

79%

0%

4%

0%

132

Healthcare costs

44%

38%

4%

10%

5%

98

Retirement

39%

58%

3%

Higher education

27%

68%

Regulations

79%

18%

Combination

42%

47%

None

39%

31%

Unsure

77%

8%

Views close to own

42%

51%

0%

Most effective person

42%

49%

Both

43%

Unsure

3%

101

2%

1%

1%

65

0%

4%

6%

141

2%

11

15%

12

4%

2%

352

2%

5%

2%

571

42%

7%

1%

6%

48

48%

31%

4%

4%

12%

30

Very worried

59%

30%

2%

6%

3%

318

Somewhat worried

40%

52%

2%

4%

2%

405

Not too worried

26%

67%

1%

3%

3%

214

Not at all worried

24%

64%

1%

2%

9%

56

28%

100%
30%

65%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

24%

70%

2%

Unsure

31%

55%

2%

No

50%

41%

2%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

29%

62%

2%

Unsure

28%

59%

Disapprove

62%

Very worried
Somewhat worried

5%

3%

2%

245

6%

6%

63

5%

3%

693

5%

2%

510

3%

2%

7%

85

29%

1%

5%

2%

406

64%

27%

3%

2%

5%

112

52%

38%

2%

5%

3%

283

Not too worried

38%

54%

1%

5%

2%

341

Not at all worried

27%

63%

2%

5%

3%

258

Combination

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

41
3%

Unsure

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

TOTAL
Unsure

Cutting taxes

Combination

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Neither

100%

Unsure

31%

55%

Yes

46%

46%

1%

No

36%

54%

Approve

19%

Unsure
Disapprove

15%

6%

2%

645

3%

2%

5%

356

74%

1%

4%

1%

295

36%

42%

5%

11%

6%

45

73%

19%

0%

6%

1%

306

Yes

34%

57%

1%

5%

3%

628

No

58%

34%

2%

4%

3%

245

Not sure

53%

37%

4%

2%

4%

128

(cont.)

Page 237

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR4 BETTER DEALING / JOBS

IHPAR4
GOP

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

DEM

4 of 4

5%

95%

3 of 4

6%

90%

2 of 4

15%

77%

1 of 4

31%

0 of 4
5-7 of 7

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

26
2%

2%

112

1%

6%

2%

221

61%

3%

2%

3%

214

73%

14%

3%

6%

4%

427

90%

6%

1%

3%

0%

150

4 of 7

69%

18%

2%

8%

3%

96

3 of 7

63%

25%

5%

4%

2%

91

2 of 7

51%

36%

2%

4%

7%

87

1 of 7

36%

51%

2%

8%

3%

164

0 of 7

15%

78%

1%

3%

3%

413

42%

49%

2%

4%

3%

1001

Page 238

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR5 BETTER DEALING / FOREIGN AFFAIRS

IHPAR5
GOP

TOTAL

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

50%

40%

1%

4%

5%

1001

Northeast

41%

48%

0%

4%

7%

195

Midwest

52%

38%

4%

6%

181

South

57%

33%

3%

4%

235

South Central

59%

33%

5%

3%

96

Central Plains

46%

38%

2%

11%

83

Mountain States

57%

32%

7%

4%

70

West

40%

49%

7%

4%

141

California

39%

52%

6%

3%

89

Florida

55%

36%

Texas

54%

38%

New York

38%

45%

Rest of country

51%

38%

GOP held seat up in 2014

53%

37%

DEM held seat up in 2014

55%

36%

No Senate election

45%

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

2%

3%

3%

58

5%

4%

71

1%

3%

13%

56

1%

4%

5%

727

5%

6%

217

1%

4%

4%

320

43%

1%

4%

6%

464

53%

37%

1%

4%

5%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

41%

47%

1%

4%

6%

366

No Gubernatorial election

58%

33%

1%

4%

5%

230

Competitive statewide
race

54%

38%

2%

3%

4%

241

Other

48%

40%

1%

5%

6%

760

Male

55%

34%

1%

5%

5%

480

Female

45%

45%

0%

4%

6%

521

Male / employed

57%

33%

1%

5%

4%

324

Male / not employed

52%

36%

2%

4%

6%

157

Female / employed

45%

44%

4%

7%

281

Female / not employed

44%

46%

1%

4%

5%

240

Not employed

40%

50%

2%

3%

6%

133

Employed

51%

38%

1%

4%

5%

605

Retired

52%

38%

1%

4%

5%

252

Refused

28%

46%

13%

13%

11

18-34

42%

46%

1%

4%

8%

200

35-44

50%

39%

1%

5%

4%

280

45-64

51%

40%

1%

4%

4%

310

65 or over

55%

35%

0%

3%

7%

200

Unsure / refused

69%

17%

6%

8%

10

18-44

47%

42%

1%

5%

6%

480

45-64

51%

40%

1%

4%

4%

310

65+

55%

35%

0%

3%

7%

200

Unsure / refused

69%

17%

6%

8%

10

6%

(cont.)

Page 239

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR5 BETTER DEALING / FOREIGN AFFAIRS

IHPAR5
GOP

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

Male / under 55

54%

35%

1%

5%

5%

302

Male / 55+

57%

33%

2%

4%

4%

179

Female / under 55

43%

47%

0%

4%

6%

315

Female / 55+

48%

41%

0%

3%

7%

205

White

55%

35%

1%

4%

6%

751

Black / African American

26%

64%

2%

5%

3%

120

Hispanic / Latino

41%

49%

6%

4%

90

Other

48%

40%

1%

6%

5%

40

White millenials 18-34

43%

46%

1%

2%

8%

128

White older voters 35+

57%

32%

1%

4%

6%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

26%

57%

6%

11%

24

African American older


voters 35+

26%

66%

4%

1%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

44%

41%

8%

7%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

39%

55%

4%

1%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

51%

43%

6%

Other races older voters


35+

47%

40%

1%

8%

4%

32

White seniors

56%

35%

0%

3%

5%

255

Other

48%

41%

1%

5%

5%

746

White men

58%

33%

1%

3%

5%

368

White women

51%

37%

0%

5%

7%

382

Black men

35%

43%

6%

11%

5%

50

Black women

20%

80%

1%

70

Hispanic men

50%

42%

8%

Hispanic women

34%

55%

4%

7%

48

Republican

86%

8%

1%

3%

3%

390

Independent

47%

29%

1%

11%

11%

190

Democrat

18%

74%

1%

2%

5%

420

Male / GOP

86%

9%

1%

2%

2%

214

Female / GOP

85%

7%

4%

4%

176

Male / DEM

17%

71%

4%

7%

161

Female / DEM

18%

76%

1%

5%

259

Male / IND

51%

29%

1%

12%

7%

105

Female / IND

43%

28%

2%

11%

16%

85

Under 55 / GOP

83%

11%

1%

4%

1%

223

55 & over / GOP

89%

5%

2%

4%

168

Under 55 / DEM

21%

72%

1%

6%

269

55 & over / DEM

12%

77%

2%

4%

5%

151

Under 55 / IND

46%

29%

1%

12%

12%

125

55 & over / IND

51%

28%

2%

9%

11%

65

3%

2%

42

(cont.)

Page 240

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR5 BETTER DEALING / FOREIGN AFFAIRS

IHPAR5
GOP

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

DEM

Republican

84%

10%

Ticket splitter

37%

20%

Democrat

20%

69%

Hard GOP

87%

8%

Soft GOP

72%

Ticket splitter

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

3%

3%

448

19%

24%

61

1%

4%

5%

492

1%

2%

2%

360

16%

4%

8%

92

42%

18%

18%

22%

64

Soft DEM

27%

50%

3%

12%

8%

84

Hard DEM

17%

75%

1%

2%

5%

401

Conservative

71%

19%

1%

4%

5%

536

Moderate

42%

39%

8%

11%

76

Liberal

23%

68%

1%

4%

5%

389

Very conservative

80%

15%

1%

1%

3%

187

Somewhat conservative

66%

22%

1%

6%

6%

348

Moderate / liberal

26%

63%

1%

4%

6%

465

Republican

86%

8%

1%

3%

3%

390

Independent

47%

29%

1%

11%

11%

190

Conservative DEM

26%

60%

3%

2%

9%

103

Mod / lib DEM

15%

78%

0%

2%

4%

318

Liberal DEM

16%

76%

1%

3%

4%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

30%

55%

2%

5%

8%

157

Independent

37%

20%

19%

24%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

70%

21%

2%

6%

69

Conservative GOP

87%

8%

1%

3%

2%

379

Yes / strongly

83%

9%

1%

4%

3%

93

Yes

89%

9%

No / unsure

43%

46%

1%

4%

6%

840

Less than high school

47%

36%

1%

3%

13%

53

High school graduate

48%

39%

1%

5%

7%

227

Some college

56%

36%

1%

4%

4%

219

College graduate

48%

42%

1%

4%

5%

503

Male college graduates

52%

37%

1%

5%

5%

248

Male non-college
graduates

58%

31%

2%

4%

4%

232

Female college graduates

45%

47%

0%

3%

5%

254

Female non-college
graduates

45%

42%

0%

5%

7%

266

White non-college
graduate

58%

30%

1%

4%

7%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

35%

55%

2%

5%

4%

149

Others

48%

42%

1%

4%

5%

503

Union household

41%

46%

3%

3%

7%

127

Non-union household

51%

39%

1%

4%

5%

874

1%

68

2%

(cont.)

Page 241

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR5 BETTER DEALING / FOREIGN AFFAIRS

IHPAR5
GOP

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

DEM

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

Single

34%

54%

0%

7%

5%

215

Married

56%

34%

1%

3%

5%

607

No longer married

47%

42%

1%

4%

6%

179

Dad

63%

26%

2%

3%

6%

171

Mom

45%

44%

4%

7%

203

Married / children

58%

32%

1%

3%

6%

299

Married / no children

55%

36%

1%

4%

5%

308

Divorced / children

35%

49%

6%

10%

22

Divorced / no children

42%

48%

4%

6%

60

Single / children

28%

54%

10%

8%

42

Single / no children

36%

54%

0%

6%

4%

173

Other / mixed

53%

37%

1%

3%

6%

97

Single women

26%

62%

1%

4%

7%

98

Married women

52%

39%

0%

3%

6%

304

No longer married women

43%

46%

5%

6%

118

Single men

42%

47%

9%

3%

117

Married men

60%

29%

2%

4%

5%

302

No longer married men

54%

35%

2%

1%

7%

61

White single men

41%

55%

3%

1%

75

White single women

31%

48%

1%

7%

13%

46

White married men

64%

25%

1%

3%

6%

244

White married women

57%

33%

0%

4%

6%

243

White no longer married


men

55%

35%

2%

8%

49

White no longer married


women

47%

39%

6%

7%

93

Other

35%

55%

5%

3%

250

Single mothers

25%

60%

3%

11%

30

Married mothers

51%

39%

4%

5%

150

No longer married
mothers

31%

54%

6%

9%

23

Non-mothers

51%

39%

4%

5%

798

Upper class

39%

54%

6%

1%

73

Middle class

54%

37%

1%

3%

5%

696

Low income

41%

44%

2%

6%

7%

205

Working class

25%

57%

19%

Refused

39%

38%

17%

6%

20

Middle class whites

59%

31%

3%

6%

551

Middle class African


Americans

32%

63%

5%

1%

63

Middle class Hispanics

35%

55%

4%

6%

57

Middle class other races

39%

53%

2%

1%

6%

25

Other

40%

47%

1%

7%

6%

305

1%

1%

1%

(cont.)

Page 242

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR5 BETTER DEALING / FOREIGN AFFAIRS

IHPAR5
GOP

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

DEM

Roman Catholic

56%

35%

Baptist / Evangelical

60%

30%

Mainline Protestant

60%

Other
None
At least once a week

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

3%

6%

198

0%

5%

5%

185

30%

1%

3%

6%

280

39%

57%

1%

1%

2%

45

30%

57%

1%

6%

6%

262

64%

28%

1%

4%

4%

336

At least once a month

55%

36%

1%

3%

6%

157

Infrequently

50%

41%

0%

3%

6%

191

Never

38%

43%

9%

11%

44

Active Roman Catholics

59%

37%

2%

2%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

67%

25%

5%

3%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

65%

22%

4%

7%

131

Active other

58%

39%

Other

43%

46%

1%

4%

6%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

71%

18%

3%

5%

3%

133

Male not evangelical

49%

40%

1%

5%

5%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

55%

37%

3%

5%

179

2%

17

2%

Female not evangelical

40%

49%

0%

4%

7%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

73%

17%

0%

5%

5%

222

Non-white Evangelical

34%

60%

4%

2%

1%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

83%

9%

5%

3%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

40%

50%

5%

3%

1%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

42%

42%

1%

5%

10%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

25%

73%

1%

1%

39

Approve

21%

71%

1%

3%

5%

453

Unsure

43%

34%

4%

10%

10%

62

Disapprove

78%

12%

0%

5%

5%

487

Jobs

36%

51%

3%

2%

8%

135

Economy

43%

46%

1%

7%

3%

228

Health care

32%

57%

3%

8%

99

Illegal immigration

75%

18%

6%

2%

78

Foreign threats

78%

17%

1%

4%

116

Deficit

61%

30%

3%

6%

76

7%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

46%

41%

0%

5%

(cont.)

Page 243

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR5 BETTER DEALING / FOREIGN AFFAIRS

IHPAR5
GOP

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

DEM

Both equal

66%

30%

2%

2%

1%

71

Reducing deficit

69%

20%

2%

4%

6%

126

Creating jobs

47%

43%

2%

3%

5%

203

Increase wages

19%

76%

0%

4%

1%

132

Healthcare costs

59%

24%

7%

9%

98

Retirement

46%

50%

3%

Higher education

31%

58%

2%

9%

101

Regulations

82%

16%

2%

1%

65

Combination

51%

32%

7%

10%

141

None

21%

50%

Unsure

74%

2%

Views close to own

48%

44%

Most effective person

51%

38%

Both

52%

38%

Unsure

41%

30%

Very worried

68%

23%

Somewhat worried

47%

Not too worried

32%

Not at all worried

34%

1%

2%

11
12

4%

4%

352

1%

4%

6%

571

3%

4%

2%

48

7%

23%

30

1%

4%

4%

318

44%

1%

4%

5%

405

56%

0%

5%

6%

214

6%

10%

56

50%

100%
54%

8%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

34%

58%

Unsure

34%

46%

No

57%

33%

1%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

40%

50%

1%

Unsure

30%

50%

Disapprove

66%

Very worried
Somewhat worried

38%

3%

5%

245

4%

16%

63

5%

5%

693

4%

5%

510

1%

6%

13%

85

25%

0%

5%

5%

406

66%

24%

1%

3%

5%

112

63%

27%

1%

5%

5%

283

Not too worried

48%

42%

1%

4%

5%

341

Not at all worried

31%

59%

4%

6%

258

Combination

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

41

24%

28%

Unsure

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

TOTAL
Unsure

Cutting taxes

Combination

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Neither

1%

100%

Unsure

31%

13%

Yes

55%

37%

No

40%

Approve
Unsure
Disapprove

6%

51%

0%

4%

3%

645

44%

2%

4%

10%

356

28%

65%

0%

4%

3%

295

48%

37%

4%

10%

45

83%

11%

0%

5%

2%

306

Yes

41%

49%

1%

4%

5%

628

No

65%

23%

2%

5%

6%

245

Not sure

65%

26%

3%

5%

128

(cont.)

Page 244

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHPAR5 BETTER DEALING / FOREIGN AFFAIRS

IHPAR5
GOP

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

DEM

4 of 4

16%

84%

3 of 4

9%

85%

2 of 4

25%

64%

1 of 4

39%

0 of 4
5-7 of 7

Both equal

Neither

TOTAL
Unsure

26
3%

3%

112

1%

5%

5%

221

48%

2%

3%

7%

214

81%

8%

0%

5%

6%

427

95%

3%

1%

1%

150

4 of 7

82%

12%

3%

4%

96

3 of 7

77%

13%

5%

5%

91

2 of 7

66%

25%

3%

6%

87

1 of 7

39%

40%

1%

9%

11%

164

0 of 7

21%

68%

1%

4%

5%

413

50%

40%

1%

4%

5%

1001

1%

Page 245

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHGOP PREFER GOP ON ISSUE HANDLING

IHGOP

TOTAL

GOP on 4 of GOP on 3 of GOP on 2 of GOP on 1 of GOP on 0 of


4
4
4
4
4

TOTAL

29%

10%

10%

12%

39%

1001

Northeast

22%

8%

10%

12%

48%

195

Midwest

28%

8%

10%

17%

37%

181

South

31%

13%

10%

11%

34%

235

South Central

36%

15%

5%

6%

37%

96

Central Plains

31%

5%

13%

13%

38%

83

Mountain States

45%

8%

9%

9%

29%

70

West

21%

12%

9%

10%

47%

141

California

21%

14%

8%

8%

49%

89

Florida

36%

9%

11%

7%

36%

58

Texas

29%

18%

6%

6%

41%

71

New York

22%

7%

15%

12%

44%

56

Rest of country

30%

9%

10%

13%

38%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

32%

14%

8%

10%

37%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

28%

10%

11%

13%

39%

320

No Senate election

28%

9%

10%

12%

41%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

32%

11%

9%

11%

38%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

23%

9%

10%

13%

45%

366

No Gubernatorial election

32%

11%

12%

11%

34%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

34%

10%

9%

11%

37%

241

Other

27%

10%

10%

12%

40%

760

Male

33%

11%

11%

11%

33%

480

Female

25%

9%

8%

13%

45%

521

Male / employed

33%

13%

12%

10%

32%

324

Male / not employed

35%

9%

9%

11%

35%

157

Female / employed

23%

9%

9%

16%

43%

281

Female / not employed

26%

9%

8%

9%

48%

240

Not employed

19%

12%

8%

13%

48%

133

Employed

28%

11%

11%

13%

37%

605

Retired

36%

8%

8%

9%

39%

252

Refused

12%

3%

15%

1%

68%

11

18-34

17%

11%

13%

21%

38%

200

35-44

26%

9%

13%

10%

41%

280

45-64

29%

11%

8%

10%

42%

310

65 or over

41%

10%

6%

7%

36%

200

Unsure / refused

57%

5%

9%

3%

26%

10

18-44

23%

10%

13%

15%

40%

480

45-64

29%

11%

8%

10%

42%

310

65+

41%

10%

6%

7%

36%

200

Unsure / refused

57%

5%

9%

3%

26%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 246

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHGOP PREFER GOP ON ISSUE HANDLING

IHGOP

TOTAL

GOP on 4 of GOP on 3 of GOP on 2 of GOP on 1 of GOP on 0 of


4
4
4
4
4

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

Male / under 55

30%

12%

13%

9%

36%

302

Male / 55+

38%

11%

8%

14%

29%

179

Female / under 55

18%

9%

10%

18%

45%

315

Female / 55+

34%

8%

6%

6%

46%

205

White

35%

11%

10%

10%

34%

751

4%

2%

7%

19%

67%

120

Hispanic / Latino

13%

15%

12%

16%

45%

90

Other

28%

5%

9%

8%

51%

40

White millenials 18-34

24%

14%

15%

17%

30%

128

White older voters 35+

37%

11%

9%

9%

34%

623

11%

32%

57%

24

Black / African American

African American
millenials 18-34

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

African American older


voters 35+

5%

3%

6%

16%

70%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

9%

9%

8%

27%

48%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

17%

20%

15%

7%

42%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

16%

15%

15%

54%

Other races older voters


35+

31%

6%

7%

6%

50%

32

White seniors

44%

9%

6%

8%

34%

255

Other

24%

11%

11%

13%

41%

746

White men

38%

11%

11%

10%

29%

368

White women

31%

11%

9%

11%

38%

382

Black men

10%

6%

17%

11%

56%

50

24%

76%

70

Black women

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

Hispanic men

14%

20%

8%

15%

42%

42

Hispanic women

12%

10%

15%

16%

47%

48

Republican

62%

16%

14%

4%

4%

390

Independent

21%

15%

13%

16%

35%

190

Democrat
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

2%

2%

5%

17%

74%

420

Male / GOP

63%

16%

15%

3%

4%

214

Female / GOP

61%

18%

12%

6%

4%

176

Male / DEM

1%

2%

9%

16%

73%

161

Female / DEM

2%

18%

75%

259

2%

3%

Male / IND

22%

18%

9%

19%

32%

105

Female / IND

19%

11%

18%

13%

39%

85

Under 55 / GOP

55%

17%

18%

5%

5%

223

55 & over / GOP

71%

16%

8%

3%

3%

168

Under 55 / DEM

2%

3%

5%

18%

71%

269

55 & over / DEM

2%

1%

4%

14%

80%

151

Under 55 / IND

17%

14%

14%

17%

38%

125

55 & over / IND

28%

16%

11%

14%

31%

65

(cont.)

Page 247

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHGOP PREFER GOP ON ISSUE HANDLING

IHGOP

TOTAL

GOP on 4 of GOP on 3 of GOP on 2 of GOP on 1 of GOP on 0 of


4
4
4
4
4

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

Republican

61%

17%

12%

4%

5%

448

Ticket splitter

7%

14%

15%

16%

47%

61

Democrat

2%

3%

7%

18%

70%

492

Hard GOP

65%

16%

13%

3%

3%

360

Soft GOP

46%

26%

12%

7%

9%

92

Ticket splitter

11%

10%

16%

19%

44%

64

Soft DEM

2%

8%

14%

25%

51%

84

Hard DEM

1%

2%

5%

17%

76%

401

Conservative

47%

15%

11%

10%

18%

536

Moderate

20%

12%

9%

8%

51%

76

5%

3%

9%

15%

67%

389

Very conservative

66%

11%

6%

3%

14%

187

Somewhat conservative

37%

17%

13%

13%

19%

348

Liberal
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

Moderate / liberal
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

8%

5%

9%

14%

65%

465

Republican

62%

16%

14%

4%

4%

390

Independent

21%

15%

13%

16%

35%

190

Conservative DEM

2%

5%

7%

20%

66%

103

Mod / lib DEM

1%

2%

4%

16%

77%

318

Liberal DEM

1%

2%

7%

16%

75%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

3%

6%

8%

23%

60%

157

Independent

7%

14%

15%

16%

47%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

44%

18%

21%

6%

12%

69

Conservative GOP

64%

17%

11%

4%

4%

379

Yes / strongly

74%

8%

5%

4%

10%

93

Yes

70%

16%

9%

1%

4%

68

No / unsure

20%

10%

10%

14%

46%

840

Less than high school

35%

8%

12%

12%

33%

53

High school graduate

32%

8%

7%

10%

43%

227

Some college

26%

13%

10%

12%

40%

219

College graduate

28%

10%

11%

13%

38%

503

Male college graduates

34%

11%

13%

9%

34%

248

Male non-college
graduates

33%

12%

10%

12%

33%

232

Female college graduates

22%

10%

8%

17%

43%

254

Female non-college
graduates

27%

8%

8%

9%

47%

266

White non-college
graduate

38%

12%

9%

10%

31%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

10%

6%

8%

13%

62%

149

Others

28%

10%

11%

13%

38%

503

Union household

17%

8%

12%

12%

50%

127

Non-union household

30%

11%

9%

12%

38%

874

(cont.)

Page 248

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHGOP PREFER GOP ON ISSUE HANDLING

IHGOP

TOTAL

GOP on 4 of GOP on 3 of GOP on 2 of GOP on 1 of GOP on 0 of


4
4
4
4
4

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

Single

14%

12%

8%

17%

49%

215

Married

34%

10%

11%

11%

35%

607

No longer married

28%

9%

9%

10%

45%

179

Dad

42%

11%

14%

6%

28%

171

Mom

18%

10%

10%

18%

44%

203

Married / children

31%

9%

12%

13%

34%

299

Married / no children

37%

11%

9%

8%

35%

308

Divorced / children

11%

15%

6%

6%

62%

22

Divorced / no children

28%

6%

2%

12%

52%

60

Single / children

20%

13%

11%

14%

42%

42

Single / no children

13%

12%

7%

18%

50%

173

Other / mixed

31%

9%

14%

9%

37%

97

Single women

12%

7%

8%

21%

53%

98

Married women

29%

9%

9%

12%

41%

304

No longer married women

23%

12%

7%

8%

51%

118

Single men

16%

17%

9%

14%

45%

117

Married men

39%

11%

12%

9%

29%

302

No longer married men

37%

3%

13%

14%

34%

61

White single men

19%

20%

8%

10%

42%

75

White single women

21%

10%

15%

19%

35%

46

White married men

44%

10%

12%

8%

25%

244

White married women

34%

10%

9%

11%

37%

243

White no longer married


men

39%

3%

12%

17%

29%

49

White no longer married


women

29%

15%

7%

6%

44%

93

Other

11%

7%

9%

16%

57%

250

Single mothers

15%

7%

12%

20%

46%

30

Married mothers

19%

9%

11%

19%

41%

150

No longer married
mothers

14%

23%

3%

6%

55%

23

Non-mothers

31%

10%

10%

10%

38%

798

Upper class

29%

10%

6%

15%

41%

73

Middle class

32%

11%

10%

10%

37%

696

Low income

17%

8%

12%

15%

47%

205

Working class

11%

22%

67%

Refused

29%

3%

7%

29%

32%

20

Middle class whites

37%

12%

10%

9%

32%

551

Middle class African


Americans

7%

1%

4%

16%

72%

63

Middle class Hispanics

14%

17%

12%

16%

41%

57

Middle class other races

24%

5%

5%

10%

56%

25

Other

21%

8%

10%

16%

45%

305

(cont.)

Page 249

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHGOP PREFER GOP ON ISSUE HANDLING

IHGOP

TOTAL

GOP on 4 of GOP on 3 of GOP on 2 of GOP on 1 of GOP on 0 of


4
4
4
4
4

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

Roman Catholic

33%

12%

5%

11%

39%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

37%

11%

11%

9%

32%

185

Mainline Protestant

33%

10%

10%

16%

30%

280

Other

32%

3%

11%

8%

46%

45

None

15%

9%

13%

10%

54%

262

At least once a week

41%

10%

10%

9%

30%

336

At least once a month

33%

12%

5%

19%

31%

157

Infrequently

22%

11%

10%

14%

44%

191

Never

24%

8%

11%

12%

45%

44

Active Roman Catholics

36%

15%

5%

9%

34%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

46%

10%

11%

6%

27%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

40%

8%

12%

12%

29%

131

Active other

55%

1%

11%

4%

29%

17

Other

22%

10%

10%

13%

44%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

43%

14%

13%

11%

19%

133

Male not evangelical

30%

10%

11%

10%

39%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

34%

14%

8%

9%

35%

179

Female not evangelical

20%

6%

9%

15%

51%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

48%

16%

11%

7%

18%

222

Non-white Evangelical

12%

11%

8%

16%

52%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

56%

18%

10%

6%

10%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

21%

13%

5%

11%

50%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

23%

8%

15%

11%

43%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

1%

10%

12%

23%

55%

39

Approve

3%

3%

7%

16%

71%

453

Unsure

13%

10%

15%

20%

42%

62

Disapprove

55%

17%

12%

7%

10%

487

Jobs

19%

4%

8%

14%

54%

135

Economy

24%

7%

12%

14%

44%

228

Health care

12%

10%

9%

9%

59%

99

Illegal immigration

48%

15%

5%

9%

24%

78

Foreign threats

38%

20%

12%

11%

19%

116

Deficit

38%

13%

13%

15%

20%

76

40%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

31%

9%

9%

10%

(cont.)

Page 250

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHGOP PREFER GOP ON ISSUE HANDLING

IHGOP

TOTAL

GOP on 4 of GOP on 3 of GOP on 2 of GOP on 1 of GOP on 0 of


4
4
4
4
4

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

Cutting taxes

38%

14%

10%

12%

25%

71

Reducing deficit

41%

15%

18%

11%

14%

126

Creating jobs

21%

11%

9%

16%

43%

203

Increase wages

9%

3%

6%

11%

71%

132

Healthcare costs

30%

12%

13%

12%

33%

98

Retirement

31%

2%

3%

19%

46%

41

Higher education

11%

16%

8%

14%

50%

101

Regulations

69%

10%

4%

8%

9%

65

Combination

35%

5%

9%

5%

46%

141

32%

6%

12%

50%

11

None

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Unsure

50%

9%

26%

6%

9%

12

Views close to own

33%

6%

7%

8%

46%

352

Most effective person

26%

13%

11%

14%

36%

571

Both

29%

9%

14%

9%

38%

48

Unsure

32%

10%

12%

11%

35%

30

Very worried

46%

9%

12%

9%

24%

318

Somewhat worried

26%

11%

10%

11%

41%

405

Not too worried

13%

11%

6%

14%

56%

214

Not at all worried

9%

7%

16%

20%

Combination
Unsure

30%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

14%

Unsure

23%

No

34%

11%

10%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

18%

9%

10%

Unsure

17%

6%

Disapprove

45%

Very worried
Somewhat worried

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

56
1

5%

24%

41%

8%

10%

13%

54%

245

7%

6%

12%

52%

63

11%

33%

693

14%

50%

510

8%

11%

58%

85

13%

10%

9%

23%

406

49%

8%

11%

9%

23%

112

40%

13%

8%

9%

30%

283

Not too worried

24%

10%

12%

14%

40%

341

Not at all worried

13%

9%

8%

14%

55%

258

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

48%
100%

100%

Unsure

31%

Yes

33%

10%

9%

No

21%

11%

Approve

8%

Unsure
Disapprove

69%

10%

38%

645

11%

15%

42%

356

6%

9%

12%

65%

295

26%

7%

14%

13%

41%

45

57%

14%

9%

8%

12%

306

(cont.)

Page 251

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHGOP PREFER GOP ON ISSUE HANDLING

IHGOP

TOTAL

GOP on 4 of GOP on 3 of GOP on 2 of GOP on 1 of GOP on 0 of


4
4
4
4
4

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Yes

21%

10%

9%

13%

47%

628

No

43%

12%

9%

9%

27%

245

Not sure

39%

9%

14%

10%

28%

128

8%

89%

26

4 of 4

3%

3 of 4

1%

1%

6%

10%

83%

112

2 of 4

4%

6%

7%

18%

65%

221

1 of 4

17%

9%

13%

18%

43%

214

0 of 4

57%

16%

12%

6%

10%

427

5-7 of 7

81%

10%

4%

4%

1%

150

4 of 7

52%

21%

10%

5%

12%

96

3 of 7

48%

13%

17%

11%

11%

91

2 of 7

27%

22%

14%

14%

24%

87

1 of 7

17%

11%

12%

20%

40%

164

0 of 7
TOTAL

5%

4%

9%

13%

69%

413

29%

10%

10%

12%

39%

1001

Page 252

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHDEM PREFER DEM ON ISSUE HANDLING

IHDEM

TOTAL

DEM on 4 of DEM on 3 of DEM on 2 of DEM on 1 of DEM on 0 of


4
4
4
4
4

TOTAL

32%

12%

8%

10%

38%

1001

Northeast

40%

13%

8%

7%

32%

195

Midwest

32%

16%

5%

11%

36%

181

South

27%

12%

8%

11%

42%

235

South Central

30%

6%

7%

11%

46%

96

Central Plains

28%

12%

11%

9%

41%

83

Mountain States

20%

12%

5%

9%

54%

70

West

41%

7%

11%

11%

29%

141

California

40%

7%

11%

14%

29%

89

Florida

32%

6%

8%

10%

43%

58

Texas

33%

6%

8%

12%

40%

71

New York

38%

6%

15%

2%

39%

56

Rest of country

31%

14%

7%

10%

39%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

27%

12%

7%

12%

42%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

33%

13%

6%

10%

38%

320

No Senate election

34%

11%

10%

9%

37%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

29%

12%

7%

10%

42%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

39%

12%

8%

9%

33%

366

No Gubernatorial election

27%

12%

11%

11%

40%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

31%

9%

8%

9%

43%

241

Other

32%

13%

8%

10%

37%

760

Male

27%

9%

8%

12%

43%

480

Female

37%

14%

8%

8%

34%

521

Male / employed

26%

8%

9%

13%

44%

324

Male / not employed

29%

12%

5%

12%

41%

157

Female / employed

36%

15%

8%

8%

33%

281

Female / not employed

38%

13%

8%

7%

34%

240

Not employed

37%

19%

7%

13%

24%

133

Employed

31%

11%

9%

10%

39%

605

Retired

32%

9%

7%

7%

44%

252

Refused

55%

1%

11%

33%

11

18-34

32%

19%

14%

12%

24%

200

35-44

32%

12%

8%

10%

38%

280

45-64

36%

10%

7%

11%

37%

310

65 or over

28%

8%

5%

7%

52%

200

Unsure / refused

12%

10%

5%

74%

10

18-44

32%

15%

10%

11%

32%

480

45-64

36%

10%

7%

11%

37%

310

65+

28%

8%

5%

7%

52%

200

Unsure / refused

12%

10%

5%

74%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 253

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHDEM PREFER DEM ON ISSUE HANDLING

IHDEM

TOTAL

DEM on 4 of DEM on 3 of DEM on 2 of DEM on 1 of DEM on 0 of


4
4
4
4
4

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

Male / under 55

29%

8%

9%

14%

40%

302

Male / 55+

25%

12%

5%

10%

48%

179

Female / under 55

37%

18%

10%

9%

27%

315

Female / 55+

37%

7%

5%

6%

45%

205

White

26%

10%

8%

11%

45%

751

Black / African American

63%

19%

7%

4%

7%

120

Hispanic / Latino

38%

15%

13%

12%

23%

90

Other

36%

10%

9%

5%

39%

40

White millenials 18-34

25%

16%

14%

14%

30%

128

White older voters 35+

26%

9%

6%

10%

48%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

57%

26%

11%

6%

African American older


voters 35+

65%

17%

6%

3%

9%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

35%

25%

12%

9%

19%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

41%

6%

13%

15%

26%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

54%

10%

21%

16%

Other races older voters


35+

32%

10%

7%

7%

45%

32

White seniors

26%

9%

4%

6%

54%

255

Other

34%

13%

9%

11%

33%

746

White men

24%

8%

7%

13%

48%

368

White women

29%

12%

8%

9%

42%

382

Black men

49%

9%

16%

9%

17%

50

Black women

74%

26%

1%

Hispanic men

34%

18%

3%

17%

28%

42

Hispanic women

41%

12%

21%

8%

18%

48

Republican

1%

2%

7%

13%

76%

390

Independent

18%

14%

13%

17%

38%

190

Democrat

24

70

68%

20%

6%

3%

3%

420

Male / GOP

1%

1%

7%

16%

75%

214

Female / GOP

1%

2%

8%

11%

78%

176

Male / DEM

67%

17%

8%

4%

4%

161

Female / DEM

68%

21%

5%

3%

2%

259

Male / IND

19%

14%

10%

20%

37%

105

Female / IND

16%

15%

17%

14%

38%

85

Under 55 / GOP

1%

2%

10%

16%

70%

223

55 & over / GOP

1%

1%

4%

9%

84%

168

Under 55 / DEM

65%

21%

7%

4%

3%

269

55 & over / DEM

73%

18%

4%

2%

3%

151

Under 55 / IND

20%

16%

14%

17%

33%

125

55 & over / IND

14%

11%

11%

18%

46%

65

(cont.)

Page 254

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHDEM PREFER DEM ON ISSUE HANDLING

IHDEM

TOTAL

DEM on 4 of DEM on 3 of DEM on 2 of DEM on 1 of DEM on 0 of


4
4
4
4
4

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

Republican

2%

3%

6%

15%

74%

448

Ticket splitter

14%

7%

20%

14%

45%

61

Democrat

62%

20%

8%

5%

4%

492

Hard GOP

1%

2%

7%

13%

77%

360

Soft GOP

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

2%

4%

6%

22%

66%

92

Ticket splitter

15%

9%

15%

12%

50%

64

Soft DEM

33%

28%

20%

14%

5%

84

Hard DEM

70%

19%

6%

3%

2%

401

Conservative

13%

8%

7%

13%

60%

536

Moderate

31%

10%

5%

16%

38%

76

Liberal

59%

17%

10%

4%

9%

389

Very conservative

11%

4%

3%

8%

74%

187

Somewhat conservative

13%

10%

9%

16%

52%

348

Moderate / liberal

55%

16%

9%

6%

14%

465

Republican

1%

2%

7%

13%

76%

390

Independent

18%

14%

13%

17%

38%

190

Conservative DEM

58%

21%

10%

8%

3%

103

Mod / lib DEM

71%

19%

5%

2%

3%

318

Liberal DEM

67%

19%

9%

3%

3%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

51%

24%

7%

9%

9%

157

Independent

14%

7%

20%

14%

45%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

7%

5%

12%

19%

57%

69

Conservative GOP

1%

2%

5%

14%

77%

379

Yes / strongly

6%

3%

3%

6%

82%

93

Yes

3%

6%

12%

79%

68

No / unsure

37%

14%

9%

10%

30%

840

Less than high school

16%

17%

11%

12%

44%

53

High school graduate

36%

8%

7%

9%

40%

227

Some college

31%

11%

8%

14%

36%

219

College graduate

32%

13%

8%

9%

38%

503

Male college graduates

28%

8%

8%

10%

46%

248

Male non-college
graduates

26%

11%

8%

15%

40%

232

Female college graduates

36%

17%

8%

7%

30%

254

Female non-college
graduates

37%

10%

8%

8%

37%

266

White non-college
graduate

22%

9%

7%

14%

48%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

55%

13%

9%

6%

17%

149

Others

32%

13%

8%

9%

38%

503

Union household

44%

12%

8%

9%

27%

127

Non-union household

30%

12%

8%

10%

40%

874

(cont.)

Page 255

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHDEM PREFER DEM ON ISSUE HANDLING

IHDEM

TOTAL

DEM on 4 of DEM on 3 of DEM on 2 of DEM on 1 of DEM on 0 of


4
4
4
4
4

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

Single

41%

16%

9%

12%

23%

215

Married

29%

10%

7%

9%

45%

607

No longer married

33%

12%

10%

10%

35%

179

Dad

21%

6%

9%

11%

53%

171

Mom

35%

19%

9%

10%

28%

203

Married / children

28%

12%

8%

10%

42%

299

Married / no children

29%

8%

7%

9%

47%

308

Divorced / children

37%

16%

13%

23%

11%

22

Divorced / no children

41%

14%

4%

8%

33%

60

Single / children

30%

15%

9%

13%

33%

42

Single / no children

43%

17%

8%

11%

20%

173

Other / mixed

28%

10%

13%

9%

41%

97

Single women

47%

20%

9%

6%

19%

98

Married women

33%

13%

8%

7%

39%

304

No longer married women

37%

11%

8%

10%

33%

118

Single men

36%

13%

8%

16%

26%

117

Married men

24%

7%

7%

12%

50%

302

No longer married men

26%

13%

14%

9%

38%

61

White single men

36%

11%

7%

18%

28%

75

White single women

28%

16%

16%

8%

32%

46

White married men

21%

6%

6%

11%

55%

244

White married women

29%

12%

6%

8%

45%

243

White no longer married


men

20%

15%

13%

12%

40%

49

White no longer married


women

29%

10%

7%

13%

41%

93

Other

50%

16%

9%

7%

18%

250

Single mothers

39%

21%

10%

7%

23%

30

Married mothers

34%

19%

9%

8%

29%

150

No longer married
mothers

31%

15%

9%

22%

23%

23

Non-mothers

32%

10%

8%

10%

41%

798

Upper class

38%

13%

4%

10%

35%

73

Middle class

30%

9%

8%

10%

42%

696

Low income

37%

16%

9%

11%

27%

205

Working class

67%

22%

11%

Refused

12%

39%

7%

1%

41%

20

Middle class whites

25%

8%

8%

11%

48%

551

Middle class African


Americans

64%

18%

5%

1%

11%

63

Middle class Hispanics

36%

12%

17%

13%

22%

57

Middle class other races

47%

12%

7%

5%

29%

25

Other

36%

17%

8%

9%

29%

305

(cont.)

Page 256

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHDEM PREFER DEM ON ISSUE HANDLING

IHDEM

TOTAL

DEM on 4 of DEM on 3 of DEM on 2 of DEM on 1 of DEM on 0 of


4
4
4
4
4

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

Roman Catholic

30%

10%

7%

9%

43%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

24%

11%

8%

12%

45%

185

Mainline Protestant

25%

14%

8%

8%

45%

280

Other

43%

9%

1%

9%

38%

45

None

44%

12%

11%

12%

21%

262

At least once a week

24%

9%

8%

8%

51%

336

At least once a month

26%

17%

6%

10%

42%

157

Infrequently

35%

13%

8%

13%

30%

191

Never

37%

9%

11%

4%

40%

44

Active Roman Catholics

29%

11%

5%

12%

43%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

19%

8%

9%

9%

55%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

24%

10%

9%

4%

52%

131

Active other

27%

4%

11%

59%

17

Other

36%

13%

8%

11%

32%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

14%

10%

8%

12%

56%

133

Male not evangelical

32%

9%

8%

13%

38%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

29%

10%

7%

11%

43%

179

Female not evangelical

41%

16%

9%

6%

29%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

11%

8%

6%

12%

62%

222

Non-white Evangelical

51%

15%

10%

10%

15%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

5%

6%

5%

11%

73%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

49%

8%

8%

10%

26%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

30%

13%

10%

16%

31%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

53%

24%

12%

10%

1%

39

Approve

64%

18%

9%

4%

6%

453

Unsure

19%

18%

14%

15%

35%

62

4%

5%

7%

15%

69%

487

Jobs

45%

17%

3%

8%

27%

135

Economy

38%

12%

11%

8%

31%

228

Health care

52%

12%

9%

11%

16%

99

Illegal immigration

14%

6%

6%

13%

60%

78

Foreign threats

13%

10%

11%

17%

49%

116

Deficit

11%

15%

11%

16%

47%

76

44%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

Disapprove
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

32%

11%

6%

7%

(cont.)

Page 257

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHDEM PREFER DEM ON ISSUE HANDLING

IHDEM

TOTAL

DEM on 4 of DEM on 3 of DEM on 2 of DEM on 1 of DEM on 0 of


4
4
4
4
4

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

Cutting taxes

21%

14%

6%

8%

52%

71

8%

8%

9%

20%

55%

126

Creating jobs

37%

17%

8%

7%

31%

203

Increase wages

63%

13%

7%

5%

12%

132

Healthcare costs

24%

8%

14%

11%

44%

98

Retirement

41%

21%

3%

35%

41

Higher education

44%

14%

8%

20%

13%

101

Regulations

8%

7%

3%

7%

76%

65

Combination

33%

6%

10%

4%

46%

141

None

20%

12%

6%

23%

39%

11

28%

70%

12

Reducing deficit

Unsure
CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

2%

Views close to own

39%

8%

6%

8%

39%

352

Most effective person

29%

14%

9%

12%

36%

571

Both

33%

10%

4%

7%

45%

48

Unsure

17%

6%

10%

10%

56%

30

Very worried

16%

9%

9%

10%

56%

318

Somewhat worried

35%

12%

7%

10%

36%

405

Not too worried

49%

13%

6%

12%

20%

214

37%

18%

21%

5%

20%

56

Not at all worried


Combination

100%

Unsure

36%

24%

5%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

48%

13%

9%

Unsure

40%

13%

8%

No

26%

11%

8%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

42%

14%

9%

Unsure

45%

15%

Disapprove

17%

Very worried
Somewhat worried

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

35%

9%

21%

245

5%

35%

63

11%

45%

693

10%

25%

510

6%

3%

31%

85

8%

8%

12%

56%

406

17%

9%

6%

9%

59%

112

22%

9%

8%

10%

50%

283

Not too worried

33%

14%

9%

9%

34%

341

Not at all worried

48%

13%

7%

11%

21%

258

100%

45%

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

Unsure

49%

Yes

31%

10%

8%

9%

42%

645

No

34%

15%

9%

12%

31%

356

Approve

56%

14%

9%

7%

14%

295

Unsure

31%

14%

8%

2%

46%

45

7%

6%

6%

12%

69%

306

Disapprove

6%

(cont.)

Page 258

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
IHDEM PREFER DEM ON ISSUE HANDLING

IHDEM

TOTAL

DEM on 4 of DEM on 3 of DEM on 2 of DEM on 1 of DEM on 0 of


4
4
4
4
4

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

Yes

39%

13%

9%

11%

29%

628

No

20%

9%

4%

11%

56%

245

Not sure

21%

12%

10%

5%

51%

128

4 of 4

84%

12%

2%

3%

26

3 of 4

77%

13%

8%

1%

1%

112

2 of 4

57%

18%

10%

7%

8%

221

1 of 4

35%

20%

12%

12%

22%

214

0 of 4

3%

4%

6%

14%

74%

427

2%

3%

7%

88%

150

5-7 of 7
4 of 7

6%

2%

5%

19%

68%

96

3 of 7

9%

6%

13%

14%

59%

91

2 of 7

15%

14%

14%

16%

41%

87

1 of 7

28%

17%

10%

13%

33%

164

0 of 7

60%

16%

7%

6%

10%

413

32%

12%

8%

10%

38%

1001

Page 259

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
ECONW WORRY ABOUT US ECONOMY SUFFERING DOWNTURN

ECONW

Very worried

Somewhat
worried

32%

40%

21%

6%

Northeast

31%

42%

23%

Midwest

30%

42%

South

37%

South Central
Central Plains

TOTAL

Not too
worried

Not at all
worried

Combination

1%

1001

3%

1%

195

21%

7%

0%

181

37%

17%

7%

1%

235

39%

41%

12%

7%

2%

96

31%

37%

28%

4%

Mountain States

28%

36%

31%

4%

1%

West

25%

46%

24%

5%

0%

0%

141

California

27%

44%

24%

5%

0%

0%

89

Florida

36%

38%

18%

8%

Texas

36%

41%

13%

7%

New York

21%

54%

25%

Rest of country

32%

39%

22%

6%

GOP held seat up in 2014

35%

42%

16%

6%

DEM held seat up in 2014

33%

37%

24%

6%

No Senate election

30%

43%

22%

5%

0%

1%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

31%

43%

19%

5%

0%

1%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

29%

42%

24%

5%

0%

1%

366

No Gubernatorial election

37%

34%

21%

7%

0%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

32%

43%

19%

5%

0%

241

Other

32%

40%

22%

6%

0%

1%

760

Male

33%

40%

19%

7%

0%

1%

480

Female

31%

41%

23%

4%

0%

1%

521

Male / employed

32%

40%

20%

6%

0%

1%

324

Male / not employed

33%

40%

18%

7%

2%

157

Female / employed

27%

39%

28%

4%

1%

281

Female / not employed

36%

42%

17%

5%

0%

240

Not employed

33%

43%

18%

5%

Employed

30%

40%

24%

5%

Retired

35%

40%

17%

6%

Refused

43%

53%

18-34

23%

46%

22%

7%

2%

200

35-44

29%

39%

27%

4%

1%

280

45-64

37%

38%

17%

6%

0%

310

65 or over

35%

40%

19%

6%

0%

200

Unsure / refused

45%

34%

11%

7%

3%

10

18-44

27%

42%

25%

5%

1%

480

45-64

37%

38%

17%

6%

0%

310

65+

35%

40%

19%

6%

0%

200

Unsure / refused

45%

34%

11%

7%

3%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

0%

TOTAL

Unsure

83
70

58

0%

3%

71

1%

56

1%

727

2%

217
320

0%

133
0%

1%

605

1%

252
11

5%

0%

0%

(cont.)

Page 260

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
ECONW WORRY ABOUT US ECONOMY SUFFERING DOWNTURN

ECONW

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

Very worried

Somewhat
worried

Not too
worried

Not at all
worried

Male / under 55

30%

42%

20%

6%

Male / 55+

37%

37%

19%

7%

Female / under 55

27%

41%

27%

4%

Female / 55+

37%

40%

17%

White

32%

42%

Black / African American

27%

42%

Hispanic / Latino

33%

Other

Combination

TOTAL

Unsure

1%

302

0%

179

1%

315

5%

0%

205

21%

5%

0%

751

21%

8%

2%

120

34%

21%

9%

1%

2%

90

36%

23%

29%

9%

1%

2%

40

White millenials 18-34

23%

52%

21%

3%

White older voters 35+

34%

40%

21%

5%

0%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

21%

42%

16%

10%

11%

24

African American older


voters 35+

28%

42%

22%

8%

Hispanic millenials 18-34

27%

32%

22%

14%

Hispanic older voters 35+

38%

36%

20%

4%

Other races millenials


18-34

17%

36%

38%

10%

Other races older voters


35+

41%

20%

27%

9%

White seniors

34%

41%

18%

6%

Other

31%

40%

22%

5%

White men

31%

43%

21%

6%

White women

34%

41%

22%

3%

1%

382

Black men

41%

33%

12%

8%

5%

50

Black women

16%

48%

27%

9%

Hispanic men

36%

31%

16%

13%

Hispanic women

31%

37%

25%

5%

Republican

39%

43%

14%

3%

Independent

42%

33%

18%

6%

Democrat

20%

42%

29%

7%

Male / GOP

38%

42%

17%

3%

Female / GOP

40%

44%

12%

3%

Male / DEM

19%

44%

24%

10%

Female / DEM

21%

40%

32%

6%

Male / IND

44%

30%

18%

8%

Female / IND

41%

36%

19%

3%

Under 55 / GOP

34%

46%

16%

3%

55 & over / GOP

45%

40%

13%

3%

Under 55 / DEM

18%

43%

31%

6%

55 & over / DEM

25%

39%

26%

10%

Under 55 / IND

41%

32%

20%

7%

55 & over / IND

46%

34%

14%

5%

0%

0%

128

96
4%

41
49

1%

8
1%

0%

2%

32

0%

255

1%

746
368

70
4%

42
48

1%
1%

390

0%

0%

190

0%

1%

420
214

0%

1%

1%

176

3%

161

0%

259

0%

105

0%

85

1%

223
168

0%

2%

269

0%

151
125

0%
1%

65

(cont.)

Page 261

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
ECONW WORRY ABOUT US ECONOMY SUFFERING DOWNTURN

ECONW

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Not too
worried

Not at all
worried

Combination

TOTAL

Very worried

Somewhat
worried

Republican

41%

42%

12%

4%

1%

448

Ticket splitter

39%

24%

20%

12%

4%

61

Democrat

22%

41%

30%

6%

1%

492

Hard GOP

39%

45%

13%

3%

1%

360

Soft GOP

57%

28%

12%

3%

0%

92

Ticket splitter

31%

35%

21%

12%

1%

64

Soft DEM

30%

33%

28%

6%

1%

3%

84

Hard DEM

21%

42%

30%

7%

0%

1%

401

Conservative

39%

40%

16%

5%

0%

536

Moderate

34%

39%

11%

9%

1%

6%

76

Liberal

22%

42%

30%

6%

0%

1%

389

Very conservative

47%

35%

11%

6%

0%

187

Somewhat conservative

34%

43%

19%

4%

0%

348

Moderate / liberal

24%

41%

27%

7%

2%

465

Republican

39%

43%

14%

3%

1%

390

Independent

42%

33%

18%

6%

0%

190

Conservative DEM

31%

30%

26%

13%

Mod / lib DEM

17%

45%

30%

6%

0%

2%

318

Liberal DEM

19%

42%

32%

6%

0%

0%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

29%

38%

24%

8%

0%

2%

157

Independent

39%

24%

20%

12%

4%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

38%

39%

9%

11%

3%

69

Conservative GOP

42%

43%

13%

2%

0%

379

Yes / strongly

64%

29%

8%

Yes

35%

48%

12%

4%

No / unsure

28%

41%

24%

6%

Less than high school

53%

32%

14%

High school graduate

39%

42%

Some college

31%

39%

College graduate

27%

Male college graduates

0%

0%

0%

Unsure

103

93
1%

68

1%

840

1%

0%

53

12%

6%

1%

227

22%

7%

1%

219

42%

26%

5%

0%

0%

503

30%

41%

24%

6%

0%

Male non-college
graduates

36%

40%

15%

8%

Female college graduates

24%

43%

28%

4%

Female non-college
graduates

38%

39%

18%

White non-college
graduate

39%

41%

Minority non-college
graduate

33%

Others

0%

248
2%

232

1%

254

5%

0%

266

15%

4%

0%

349

34%

19%

11%

3%

149

27%

42%

26%

5%

0%

503

Union household

35%

40%

21%

4%

Non-union household

31%

41%

21%

6%

0%

0%

127
0%

1%

874

(cont.)

Page 262

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
ECONW WORRY ABOUT US ECONOMY SUFFERING DOWNTURN

ECONW

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

Very worried

Somewhat
worried

Single

22%

46%

23%

7%

Not at all
worried

Married

34%

40%

22%

No longer married

37%

36%

Dad

38%

Mom
Married / children

Combination

TOTAL

Unsure

2%

215

4%

0%

607

18%

8%

0%

179

40%

18%

4%

29%

43%

24%

3%

1%

203

33%

40%

23%

3%

1%

299

Married / no children

34%

40%

21%

5%

0%

308

Divorced / children

50%

28%

8%

13%

Divorced / no children

26%

45%

23%

6%

Single / children

27%

54%

19%

Single / no children

21%

44%

23%

9%

Other / mixed

42%

32%

17%

9%

Single women

19%

49%

26%

5%

Married women

33%

39%

24%

4%

1%

304

No longer married women

36%

38%

19%

6%

0%

118

Single men

25%

43%

19%

9%

4%

117

Married men

35%

41%

20%

5%

No longer married men

40%

31%

16%

13%

White single men

18%

52%

21%

9%

White single women

26%

44%

30%

White married men

33%

42%

21%

4%

White married women

34%

41%

20%

4%

White no longer married


men

38%

34%

18%

10%

White no longer married


women

36%

38%

20%

5%

Other

30%

36%

22%

9%

Single mothers

17%

61%

22%

Married mothers

31%

39%

26%

2%

No longer married
mothers

33%

48%

10%

9%

Non-mothers

32%

40%

21%

6%

Upper class

28%

38%

25%

9%

Middle class

30%

42%

23%

5%

Low income

39%

37%

14%

8%

3%

86%

11%

Refused

52%

24%

21%

3%

1%

20

Middle class whites

30%

42%

24%

4%

0%

551

Middle class African


Americans

24%

53%

17%

6%

Middle class Hispanics

39%

34%

16%

7%

1%

3%

57

Middle class other races

19%

25%

42%

9%

2%

2%

25

Other

37%

38%

17%

7%

1%

305

Working class

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

Not too
worried

0%

171

22
1%

60
42

1%

3%

173

0%

97
98

1%

0%

302
0%

61
75
46
244

1%

243
49

0%

0%

93

2%

250
30

2%

150
23

0%

1%

798
73

0%

1%

696

1%

205
8

63

(cont.)

Page 263

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
ECONW WORRY ABOUT US ECONOMY SUFFERING DOWNTURN

ECONW

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

Not too
worried

Not at all
worried

Combination

TOTAL

Very worried

Somewhat
worried

Unsure

Roman Catholic

32%

40%

22%

6%

Baptist / Evangelical

40%

45%

11%

3%

1%

185

Mainline Protestant

31%

40%

22%

6%

2%

280

Other

32%

52%

13%

3%

None

28%

37%

28%

7%

0%

0%

262

At least once a week

31%

45%

18%

5%

0%

1%

336

At least once a month

40%

35%

22%

3%

0%

157

Infrequently

31%

44%

17%

7%

1%

191

Never

40%

38%

14%

9%

Active Roman Catholics

32%

44%

19%

4%

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

36%

51%

11%

2%

Active Mainline
Protestants

26%

40%

23%

8%

Active other

31%

45%

22%

1%

Other

32%

38%

23%

6%

Male born again /


evangelicals

35%

45%

11%

7%

Male not evangelical

32%

38%

22%

6%

Female born again /


evangelicals

35%

42%

18%

4%

198

0%

45

44
79

1%

106
3%

131
17

0%

0%

1%

667

1%

133

1%

348

1%

179

0%

342

Female not evangelical

29%

40%

26%

5%

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

39%

46%

11%

4%

1%

222

Non-white Evangelical

27%

37%

25%

9%

2%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

37%

48%

12%

3%

0%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

34%

28%

29%

9%

White non-conservative
Christians

43%

40%

9%

5%

4%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

17%

48%

20%

11%

5%

39

Approve

18%

40%

33%

7%

1%

453

Unsure

32%

35%

30%

3%

1%

62

Disapprove

44%

41%

10%

4%

0%

487

Jobs

31%

37%

28%

3%

0%

135

Economy

27%

43%

22%

8%

228

Health care

25%

39%

29%

7%

99

Illegal immigration

38%

42%

16%

4%

Foreign threats

32%

48%

17%

3%

Deficit

33%

37%

20%

10%

76

5%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

37%

37%

18%

0%

51

0%

0%

0%

78
116

0%

3%

(cont.)

Page 264

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
ECONW WORRY ABOUT US ECONOMY SUFFERING DOWNTURN

ECONW

Somewhat
worried

Cutting taxes

37%

46%

16%

1%

71

Reducing deficit

34%

44%

14%

9%

126

Creating jobs

32%

41%

21%

5%

Increase wages

24%

34%

34%

8%

Healthcare costs

30%

37%

26%

5%

Retirement

25%

56%

16%

3%

Higher education

17%

49%

26%

6%

2%

101

Regulations

36%

42%

14%

7%

0%

65

Combination

39%

36%

19%

3%

2%

141

None

73%

4%

14%

9%

11

Unsure

61%

19%

14%

7%

12

Views close to own

31%

42%

23%

5%

Most effective person

32%

40%

21%

5%

Both

30%

44%

10%

14%

Unsure

36%

40%

17%

5%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

19%

30%

42%

9%

0%

Unsure

21%

46%

23%

2%

1%

No

37%

44%

14%

5%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

23%

43%

27%

6%

Unsure

29%

47%

14%

4%

Disapprove

44%

35%

16%

5%

Very worried

78%

17%

2%

3%

Somewhat worried

41%

47%

9%

2%

0%

Not too worried

23%

50%

24%

3%

0%

Not at all worried

14%

32%

40%

14%

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination
Unsure
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT
IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Not too
worried

Not at all
worried

Combination

TOTAL

Very worried

0%

Unsure

0%

203
132

2%

98
41

352

0%

1%

1%

571

1%

48

2%

30
245

9%

63

0%

693

0%

0%

510

0%

6%

85

0%

406
112

0%

283
341

1%

258
1

100%
9%

6%

13%

Yes

33%

38%

23%

5%

No

29%

45%

18%

6%

Approve

17%

39%

38%

6%

0%

Unsure

41%

39%

16%

3%

1%

Disapprove

48%

37%

10%

5%

Yes

29%

41%

25%

5%

No

38%

41%

13%

Not sure

34%

37%

4 of 4

23%

3 of 4
2 of 4

0%

72%

0%

645

2%

356

1%

295
45

0%

306

0%

628

7%

2%

245

21%

6%

1%

128

33%

33%

10%

1%

26

10%

36%

49%

5%

0%

112

16%

46%

29%

9%

0%

221

1 of 4

38%

39%

16%

6%

1%

214

0 of 4

43%

40%

12%

4%

1%

427

0%

(cont.)

Page 265

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
ECONW WORRY ABOUT US ECONOMY SUFFERING DOWNTURN

ECONW

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

Not too
worried

Not at all
worried

Combination

TOTAL

Very worried

Somewhat
worried

Unsure

5-7 of 7

46%

36%

17%

1%

150

4 of 7

42%

41%

12%

5%

96

3 of 7

41%

39%

15%

4%

91

2 of 7

26%

43%

22%

9%

87

1 of 7

34%

34%

26%

6%

0%

164

0 of 7

22%

44%

25%

7%

0%

2%

413

32%

40%

21%

6%

0%

1%

1001

Page 266

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RECONFUT NEXT GENERATION
BETTER OFF ECONOMICALLY/C

RECONFUT

Yes

TOTAL

Unsure

TOTAL

No

24%

6%

69%

1001

Northeast

29%

9%

62%

195

Midwest

21%

7%

73%

181

South

19%

4%

77%

235

South Central

24%

4%

71%

96

Central Plains

34%

5%

61%

83

Mountain States

20%

10%

70%

70

West

29%

6%

65%

141

California

30%

6%

64%

89

Florida

28%

2%

70%

58

Texas

27%

6%

67%

71

New York

24%

15%

61%

56

Rest of country

23%

6%

71%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

20%

7%

73%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

25%

5%

69%

320

No Senate election

26%

7%

68%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

21%

7%

72%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

29%

8%

63%

366

No Gubernatorial election

24%

3%

73%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

22%

2%

76%

241

Other

25%

7%

67%

760

Male

25%

6%

69%

480

Female

24%

7%

69%

521

Male / employed

24%

6%

70%

324

Male / not employed

28%

4%

67%

157

Female / employed

23%

5%

72%

281

Female / not employed

24%

9%

67%

240

Not employed

33%

7%

60%

133

Employed

23%

6%

71%

605

Retired

24%

7%

69%

252

Refused

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

5%

2%

93%

11

18-34

32%

8%

60%

200

35-44

21%

8%

71%

280

45-64

25%

3%

72%

310

65 or over

22%

7%

72%

200

Unsure / refused
RAGEBG2 AGE/C

7%

9%

84%

10

18-44

26%

8%

66%

480

45-64

25%

3%

72%

310

65+

22%

7%

72%

200

7%

9%

84%

10

Unsure / refused
(cont.)

Page 267

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RECONFUT NEXT GENERATION
BETTER OFF ECONOMICALLY/C

RECONFUT

Yes

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

Unsure

TOTAL

No

Male / under 55

26%

7%

67%

302

Male / 55+

25%

3%

72%

179

Female / under 55

27%

7%

66%

315

Female / 55+

18%

7%

75%

205

White

21%

5%

74%

751

Black / African American

38%

10%

52%

120

Hispanic / Latino

33%

9%

58%

90

Other

29%

8%

63%

40

White millenials 18-34

30%

7%

63%

128

White older voters 35+

19%

5%

76%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

17%

21%

62%

24

African American older


voters 35+

43%

7%

50%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

44%

7%

49%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

24%

10%

66%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

45%

6%

49%

Other races older voters


35+

25%

9%

66%

32

White seniors

18%

5%

77%

255

Other

27%

7%

67%

746

White men

23%

4%

72%

368

White women

19%

6%

75%

382

Black men

39%

16%

45%

50

Black women

37%

5%

57%

70

Hispanic men

26%

4%

70%

42

Hispanic women

39%

12%

48%

48

Republican

16%

5%

78%

390

Independent

20%

5%

75%

190

Democrat

34%

8%

58%

420

Male / GOP

16%

4%

80%

214

Female / GOP

17%

7%

76%

176

Male / DEM

41%

8%

51%

161

Female / DEM

30%

8%

62%

259

Male / IND

21%

6%

74%

105

Female / IND

19%

4%

77%

85

Under 55 / GOP

17%

7%

76%

223

55 & over / GOP

15%

3%

82%

168

Under 55 / DEM

36%

8%

55%

269

55 & over / DEM

30%

7%

63%

151

Under 55 / IND

22%

4%

74%

125

55 & over / IND

17%

5%

78%

65

(cont.)

Page 268

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RECONFUT NEXT GENERATION
BETTER OFF ECONOMICALLY/C

RECONFUT

Yes

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Unsure

TOTAL

No

Republican

15%

5%

81%

448

Ticket splitter

25%

10%

65%

61

Democrat

33%

7%

59%

492

Hard GOP

15%

5%

80%

360

Soft GOP

12%

4%

83%

92

Ticket splitter

34%

6%

60%

64

Soft DEM

26%

4%

70%

84

Hard DEM

34%

8%

58%

401

Conservative

20%

4%

76%

536

Moderate

21%

17%

62%

76

Liberal

32%

7%

62%

389

Very conservative

16%

6%

78%

187

Somewhat conservative

22%

3%

74%

348

Moderate / liberal

30%

8%

62%

465

Republican

16%

5%

78%

390

Independent

20%

5%

75%

190

Conservative DEM

39%

4%

57%

103

Mod / lib DEM

32%

9%

59%

318

Liberal DEM

33%

7%

60%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

34%

8%

59%

157

Independent

25%

10%

65%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

19%

6%

75%

69

Conservative GOP

14%

4%

82%

379

Yes / strongly

19%

6%

75%

93

9%

4%

87%

68

No / unsure

26%

6%

67%

840

Less than high school

39%

10%

51%

53

High school graduate

29%

8%

63%

227

Some college

24%

5%

71%

219

College graduate

21%

6%

73%

503

Male college graduates

22%

5%

73%

248

Male non-college
graduates

29%

6%

65%

232

Female college graduates

20%

6%

73%

254

Female non-college
graduates

27%

7%

66%

266

White non-college
graduate

20%

5%

75%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

45%

11%

44%

149

Others

21%

6%

73%

503

Union household

23%

10%

68%

127

Non-union household

25%

6%

70%

874

Yes

(cont.)

Page 269

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RECONFUT NEXT GENERATION
BETTER OFF ECONOMICALLY/C

RECONFUT

Yes

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

Unsure

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

35%

8%

57%

215

Married

21%

6%

72%

607

No longer married

23%

4%

73%

179

Dad

21%

9%

70%

171

Mom

22%

8%

70%

203

Married / children

22%

9%

69%

299

Married / no children

20%

4%

76%

308

100%

22

Divorced / no children

31%

3%

65%

60

Single / children

26%

13%

61%

42

Single / no children

37%

6%

56%

173

Other / mixed

23%

5%

71%

97

Single women

38%

9%

54%

98

Married women

19%

7%

73%

304

No longer married women

23%

5%

73%

118

Single men

33%

7%

60%

117

Married men

23%

6%

72%

302

No longer married men

24%

3%

73%

61

White single men

33%

3%

64%

75

White single women

36%

5%

58%

46

White married men

21%

5%

74%

244

White married women

16%

7%

77%

243

White no longer married


men

20%

3%

77%

49

White no longer married


women

16%

5%

79%

93

Other

35%

9%

56%

250

Single mothers

34%

13%

54%

30

Married mothers

21%

8%

70%

150

No longer married
mothers

12%

88%

23

Non-mothers

25%

6%

69%

798

Upper class

28%

6%

65%

73

Middle class

24%

6%

70%

696

Low income

28%

7%

Working class
Refused
CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

No

Single

Divorced / children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

TOTAL

65%

205

100%

9%

9%

82%

20

Middle class whites

21%

6%

73%

551

Middle class African


Americans

33%

8%

58%

63

Middle class Hispanics

34%

7%

58%

57

Middle class other races

32%

8%

60%

25

Other

26%

7%

67%

305

(cont.)

Page 270

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RECONFUT NEXT GENERATION
BETTER OFF ECONOMICALLY/C

RECONFUT

Yes

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

Unsure

TOTAL

No

Roman Catholic

28%

3%

69%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

18%

8%

73%

185

Mainline Protestant

22%

6%

72%

280

Other

33%

67%

45

None

25%

9%

66%

262

At least once a week

22%

5%

73%

336

At least once a month

22%

7%

71%

157

Infrequently

28%

4%

68%

191

Never

15%

7%

78%

44

Active Roman Catholics

34%

66%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

17%

7%

76%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

19%

7%

74%

131

Active other

24%

76%

17

Other

26%

7%

67%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

22%

4%

74%

133

Male not evangelical

27%

6%

67%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

23%

5%

72%

179

Female not evangelical

24%

8%

68%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

14%

4%

81%

222

Non-white Evangelical

43%

7%

51%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

14%

3%

83%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

41%

3%

55%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

17%

6%

77%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

45%

11%

44%

39

Approve

37%

7%

56%

453

Unsure

26%

12%

62%

62

Disapprove

12%

4%

83%

487

Jobs

33%

4%

63%

135

Economy

28%

8%

64%

228

Health care

27%

2%

71%

99

Illegal immigration

21%

3%

76%

78

Foreign threats

20%

5%

75%

116

Deficit

19%

3%

78%

76

70%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

20%

10%

(cont.)

Page 271

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RECONFUT NEXT GENERATION
BETTER OFF ECONOMICALLY/C

RECONFUT

Yes

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

28%

8%

64%

71

Reducing deficit

15%

4%

82%

126

Creating jobs

24%

7%

69%

203

Increase wages

38%

1%

60%

132

Healthcare costs

18%

7%

75%

98

Retirement

34%

3%

63%

41

Higher education

32%

10%

58%

101

Regulations

15%

6%

80%

65

Combination

20%

8%

71%

141

7%

26%

67%

11

Unsure

21%

9%

70%

12

Views close to own

23%

6%

71%

352

Most effective person

26%

6%

69%

571

Both

26%

8%

66%

48

Unsure

21%

17%

62%

30

Very worried

14%

4%

81%

318

Somewhat worried

18%

7%

75%

405

Not too worried

48%

7%

46%

214

Not at all worried

42%

2%

57%

56

Combination

58%

42%

Unsure
RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

73%

27%

8
510

Approve

31%

6%

64%

Unsure

21%

15%

64%

85

Disapprove

18%

5%

77%

406

Very worried

20%

6%

74%

112

Somewhat worried

18%

8%

74%

283

Not too worried

22%

5%

73%

341

Not at all worried

37%

4%

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

No

Cutting taxes

None

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Unsure

TOTAL

59%

258

100%

Unsure

13%

81%

6%

Yes

25%

4%

71%

645

No

23%

10%

67%

356

Approve

39%

4%

57%

295

Unsure

17%

4%

79%

45

Disapprove

13%

4%

83%

306

Yes

26%

5%

69%

628

No

18%

7%

75%

245

Not sure

30%

8%

62%

128

(cont.)

Page 272

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RECONFUT NEXT GENERATION
BETTER OFF ECONOMICALLY/C

RECONFUT

Yes

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

Unsure

TOTAL

No

4 of 4

56%

5%

39%

26

3 of 4

43%

10%

48%

112

2 of 4

32%

6%

62%

221

1 of 4

21%

8%

71%

214

0 of 4

16%

4%

80%

427

5-7 of 7

12%

6%

82%

150

4 of 7

16%

3%

81%

96

3 of 7

19%

2%

79%

91

2 of 7

26%

6%

68%

87

1 of 7

30%

5%

66%

164

0 of 7

30%

9%

62%

413

24%

6%

69%

1001

Page 273

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RISAPP US EFFORTS AGAINST ISIS/C

RISAPP

Approve

TOTAL

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

51%

9%

41%

1001

Northeast

64%

6%

30%

195

Midwest

45%

8%

47%

181

South

47%

8%

45%

235

South Central

47%

10%

43%

96

Central Plains

61%

5%

34%

83

Mountain States

47%

4%

49%

70

West

46%

17%

37%

141

California

49%

16%

35%

89

Florida

51%

0%

48%

58

Texas

49%

12%

38%

71

New York

71%

3%

26%

56

Rest of country

50%

8%

42%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

49%

13%

37%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

50%

6%

44%

320

No Senate election

53%

8%

40%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

47%

10%

42%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

56%

8%

36%

366

No Gubernatorial election

49%

6%

45%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

49%

8%

43%

241

Other

52%

9%

40%

760

Male

50%

7%

43%

480

Female

52%

10%

38%

521

Male / employed

50%

6%

44%

324

Male / not employed

50%

8%

41%

157

Female / employed

54%

9%

36%

281

Female / not employed

49%

11%

40%

240

Not employed

52%

14%

34%

133

Employed

52%

8%

40%

605

Retired

48%

8%

44%

252

Refused

44%

7%

49%

11

18-34

52%

12%

36%

200

35-44

49%

10%

40%

280

45-64

57%

5%

39%

310

65 or over

44%

8%

49%

200

Unsure / refused

47%

11%

41%

10

18-44

50%

11%

38%

480

45-64

57%

5%

39%

310

65+

44%

8%

49%

200

Unsure / refused

47%

11%

41%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 274

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RISAPP US EFFORTS AGAINST ISIS/C

RISAPP

Approve

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

Male / under 55

49%

8%

43%

302

Male / 55+

51%

5%

44%

179

Female / under 55

53%

12%

35%

315

Female / 55+

50%

7%

43%

205

White

49%

8%

43%

751

Black / African American

61%

9%

31%

120

Hispanic / Latino

60%

9%

31%

90

Other

45%

9%

46%

40

White millenials 18-34

52%

10%

38%

128

White older voters 35+

48%

8%

44%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

36%

36%

27%

24

African American older


voters 35+

67%

2%

31%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

57%

8%

35%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

62%

10%

28%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

70%

30%

Other races older voters


35+

39%

11%

50%

32

White seniors

46%

7%

47%

255

Other

53%

9%

38%

746

White men

49%

7%

44%

368

White women

49%

10%

42%

382

Black men

55%

9%

36%

50

Black women

65%

9%

27%

70

Hispanic men

60%

40%

42

Hispanic women

59%

16%

24%

48

Republican

38%

5%

57%

390

Independent

46%

7%

47%

190

Democrat

65%

13%

23%

420

Male / GOP

41%

4%

54%

214

Female / GOP

35%

6%

60%

176

Male / DEM

63%

12%

25%

161

Female / DEM

66%

13%

21%

259

Male / IND

48%

4%

48%

105

Female / IND

44%

11%

45%

85

Under 55 / GOP

44%

6%

51%

223

55 & over / GOP

31%

4%

64%

168

Under 55 / DEM

60%

16%

24%

269

55 & over / DEM

73%

7%

20%

151

Under 55 / IND

46%

6%

48%

125

55 & over / IND

47%

8%

44%

65

(cont.)

Page 275

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RISAPP US EFFORTS AGAINST ISIS/C

RISAPP

Approve

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

Republican

37%

5%

57%

448

Ticket splitter

44%

10%

45%

61

Democrat

64%

11%

25%

492

Hard GOP

38%

5%

57%

360

Soft GOP

34%

2%

64%

92

Ticket splitter

50%

19%

31%

64

Soft DEM

57%

7%

35%

84

Hard DEM

66%

12%

22%

401

Conservative

41%

5%

53%

536

Moderate

45%

19%

36%

76

Liberal

65%

11%

24%

389

Very conservative

30%

6%

64%

187

Somewhat conservative

47%

5%

48%

348

Moderate / liberal

62%

12%

26%

465

Republican

38%

5%

57%

390

Independent

46%

7%

47%

190

Conservative DEM

60%

11%

29%

103

Mod / lib DEM

66%

13%

21%

318

Liberal DEM

67%

10%

23%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

58%

13%

29%

157

Independent

44%

10%

45%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

45%

16%

40%

69

Conservative GOP

36%

3%

61%

379

Yes / strongly

28%

6%

65%

93

Yes

25%

4%

70%

68

No / unsure

56%

9%

35%

840

Less than high school

42%

12%

46%

53

High school graduate

46%

11%

42%

227

Some college

51%

7%

42%

219

College graduate

54%

7%

39%

503

Male college graduates

53%

8%

38%

248

Male non-college
graduates

47%

5%

48%

232

Female college graduates

55%

6%

39%

254

Female non-college
graduates

49%

13%

38%

266

White non-college
graduate

45%

9%

46%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

53%

11%

35%

149

Others

54%

7%

39%

503

Union household

61%

12%

28%

127

Non-union household

50%

8%

42%

874

(cont.)

Page 276

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RISAPP US EFFORTS AGAINST ISIS/C

RISAPP

Approve

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

Single

51%

10%

39%

215

Married

52%

7%

40%

607

No longer married

46%

11%

44%

179

Dad

51%

8%

41%

171

Mom

51%

13%

35%

203

Married / children

54%

10%

37%

299

Married / no children

51%

5%

44%

308

Divorced / children

25%

22%

52%

22

Divorced / no children

50%

7%

42%

60

Single / children

48%

11%

41%

42

Single / no children

52%

10%

38%

173

Other / mixed

48%

10%

42%

97

Single women

49%

13%

39%

98

Married women

56%

8%

36%

304

No longer married women

44%

12%

44%

118

Single men

53%

8%

39%

117

Married men

49%

6%

45%

302

No longer married men

50%

8%

42%

61

White single men

59%

8%

33%

75

White single women

39%

9%

52%

46

White married men

46%

7%

47%

244

White married women

54%

8%

38%

243

White no longer married


men

44%

6%

49%

49

White no longer married


women

40%

14%

46%

93

Other

58%

9%

33%

250

Single mothers

47%

16%

37%

30

Married mothers

55%

12%

34%

150

No longer married
mothers

38%

17%

45%

23

Non-mothers

51%

7%

42%

798

Upper class

62%

9%

29%

73

Middle class

53%

7%

40%

696

Low income

42%

12%

46%

205

Working class

22%

35%

43%

Refused

57%

15%

28%

20

Middle class whites

51%

7%

42%

551

Middle class African


Americans

66%

10%

24%

63

Middle class Hispanics

54%

6%

39%

57

Middle class other races

53%

7%

40%

25

Other

47%

12%

41%

305

(cont.)

Page 277

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RISAPP US EFFORTS AGAINST ISIS/C

RISAPP

Approve

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

Roman Catholic

53%

10%

37%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

45%

9%

46%

185

Mainline Protestant

48%

6%

46%

280

Other

48%

11%

41%

45

None

56%

10%

34%

262

At least once a week

50%

7%

43%

336

At least once a month

52%

8%

40%

157

Infrequently

46%

9%

45%

191

Never

33%

7%

60%

44

Active Roman Catholics

52%

13%

35%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

45%

7%

48%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

52%

4%

44%

131

Active other

56%

44%

17

Other

51%

9%

39%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

43%

6%

52%

133

Male not evangelical

53%

8%

40%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

53%

7%

40%

179

Female not evangelical

51%

11%

37%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

40%

9%

51%

222

Non-white Evangelical

69%

1%

31%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

38%

6%

55%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

56%

44%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

47%

16%

38%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

85%

2%

14%

39

Approve

67%

11%

22%

453

Unsure

57%

20%

22%

62

Disapprove

35%

5%

60%

487

Jobs

54%

10%

36%

135

Economy

59%

10%

31%

228

Health care

67%

9%

25%

99

Illegal immigration

42%

3%

55%

78

Foreign threats

40%

4%

56%

116

Deficit

54%

9%

37%

76

47%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

43%

10%

(cont.)

Page 278

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RISAPP US EFFORTS AGAINST ISIS/C

RISAPP

Approve

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

Cutting taxes

49%

15%

36%

71

Reducing deficit

47%

3%

50%

126

Creating jobs

50%

9%

40%

203

Increase wages

63%

5%

32%

132

Healthcare costs

51%

8%

40%

98

Retirement

64%

8%

27%

41

Higher education

59%

14%

28%

101

Regulations

32%

5%

63%

65

Combination

46%

11%

43%

141

None

56%

12%

32%

11

Unsure

25%

3%

72%

12

Views close to own

51%

6%

44%

352

Most effective person

52%

9%

39%

571

Both

49%

17%

35%

48

Unsure

39%

15%

46%

30

Very worried

36%

8%

56%

318

Somewhat worried

55%

10%

35%

405

Not too worried

64%

5%

30%

214

Not at all worried

59%

6%

35%

56

Combination

58%

42%

Unsure

27%

67%

7%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

64%

7%

29%

245

Unsure

47%

20%

33%

63

No

47%

8%

45%

693

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Very worried

32%

8%

60%

112

Somewhat worried

43%

9%

49%

283

Not too worried

60%

6%

34%

341

Not at all worried

57%

10%

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

33%

258

100%

Unsure

19%

72%

9%

Yes

52%

3%

45%

645

No

49%

18%

33%

356

Approve

74%

4%

22%

295

Unsure

54%

7%

39%

45

Disapprove

31%

2%

67%

306

Yes

56%

9%

35%

628

No

40%

9%

51%

245

Not sure

44%

8%

48%

128

(cont.)

Page 279

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RISAPP US EFFORTS AGAINST ISIS/C

RISAPP

Approve

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

4 of 4

63%

3%

35%

26

3 of 4

84%

5%

11%

112

2 of 4

63%

10%

27%

221

1 of 4

53%

15%

32%

214

0 of 4

34%

5%

60%

427

5-7 of 7

24%

2%

74%

150

4 of 7

42%

1%

57%

96

3 of 7

47%

6%

48%

91

2 of 7

56%

4%

40%

87

1 of 7

52%

14%

34%

164

0 of 7

62%

12%

26%

413

51%

9%

41%

1001

Page 280

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
TERRW WORRY ABOUT TERRORIST ATTACK

TERRW
Very worried

Somewhat
worried

11%

28%

34%

26%

Northeast

11%

27%

38%

Midwest

9%

33%

South

14%

South Central
Central Plains

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

Mountain States
West
RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

California

Not too
worried

Not at all
worried

Combination

0%

TOTAL
Unsure

1%

1001

22%

2%

195

34%

24%

0%

181

30%

33%

21%

1%

235

13%

38%

27%

21%

0%

96

10%

23%

38%

29%

83

6%

19%

36%

39%

70

11%

22%

33%

34%

141

0%

7%

23%

39%

31%

89

Florida

12%

43%

28%

17%

58

Texas

12%

40%

29%

20%

71

5%

27%

43%

23%

Rest of country

12%

27%

34%

27%

GOP held seat up in 2014

12%

30%

34%

23%

DEM held seat up in 2014

12%

28%

35%

25%

No Senate election

10%

28%

33%

28%

1%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

10%

33%

32%

24%

1%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

9%

26%

39%

26%

1%

366

No Gubernatorial election

17%

24%

30%

29%

0%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

10%

34%

35%

21%

Other

11%

27%

34%

27%

Male

8%

29%

33%

30%

14%

28%

35%

22%

8%

26%

33%

32%

Male / not employed

10%

33%

31%

24%

2%

157

Female / employed

11%

22%

41%

25%

1%

281

Female / not employed

16%

35%

29%

18%

0%

240

Not employed

12%

29%

32%

27%

1%

133

9%

24%

37%

29%

0%

605

Retired

15%

38%

28%

17%

2%

252

Refused

8%

19%

44%

29%

18-34

9%

24%

33%

33%

1%

200

35-44

8%

17%

42%

32%

1%

280

45-64

14%

34%

30%

22%

65 or over

14%

39%

30%

17%

Unsure / refused

New York

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

Female
RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

Male / employed

Employed

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

24%

48%

18%

11%

18-44

8%

20%

38%

32%

45-64

14%

34%

30%

22%

65+

14%

39%

30%

17%

Unsure / refused

24%

48%

18%

11%

0%

2%

56

1%

727

2%

217
320

0%

0%

241
0%

0%

1%

760

1%

480

1%

521
324

0%

0%

11

310

0%
1%

200
10

1%

480
310

0%
1%

200
10

(cont.)

Page 281

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
TERRW WORRY ABOUT TERRORIST ATTACK

TERRW

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

Somewhat
worried

7%

27%

31%

34%

1%

302

Male / 55+

12%

32%

35%

22%

0%

179

Female / under 55

10%

22%

41%

27%

1%

315

Female / 55+

19%

38%

28%

15%

0%

1%

205

White

10%

27%

36%

26%

0%

0%

751

Black / African American

13%

34%

26%

24%

2%

120

Hispanic / Latino

14%

29%

35%

22%

Other

15%

29%

28%

26%

White millenials 18-34

6%

25%

31%

38%

White older voters 35+

11%

28%

36%

24%

African American
millenials 18-34

11%

26%

36%

16%

African American older


voters 35+

14%

37%

24%

26%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

13%

24%

34%

28%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

14%

33%

35%

18%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

21%

18%

45%

15%

Other races older voters


35+

14%

32%

24%

28%

White seniors

14%

34%

32%

19%

Other

10%

26%

35%

7%

26%

White women

14%

Black men

Male / under 55

Not too
worried

Not at all
worried

Combination

TOTAL

Very worried

Unsure

90
2%

40
128

0%

1%

623

11%

24

3%

32

1%

255

28%

1%

746

35%

32%

0%

368

28%

36%

21%

1%

382

20%

40%

22%

13%

5%

50

Black women

8%

30%

29%

32%

70

Hispanic men

10%

31%

24%

35%

42

Hispanic women

17%

27%

44%

12%

48

Republican

15%

35%

34%

16%

Independent

14%

28%

30%

Democrat

7%

22%

Male / GOP

8%

White men

0%

0%

1%

390

27%

0%

190

36%

34%

1%

420

35%

35%

22%

23%

35%

32%

9%

Male / DEM

7%

19%

32%

40%

Female / DEM

Female / GOP

0%

214
1%

2%

176

2%

161
259

7%

24%

39%

31%

Male / IND

12%

31%

28%

29%

0%

105

Female / IND

17%

26%

33%

24%

0%

85

Under 55 / GOP

12%

30%

37%

20%

1%

223

55 & over / GOP

18%

41%

29%

10%

0%

168

Under 55 / DEM

5%

18%

38%

38%

1%

269

55 & over / DEM

10%

29%

32%

28%

151

Under 55 / IND

10%

27%

30%

33%

125

55 & over / IND

23%

31%

32%

14%

1%

1%

65

(cont.)

Page 282

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
TERRW WORRY ABOUT TERRORIST ATTACK

TERRW

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

Very worried

Somewhat
worried

Republican

15%

34%

34%

16%

Ticket splitter

14%

24%

29%

Democrat

7%

23%

Hard GOP

15%

Soft GOP
Ticket splitter

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

1%

61

35%

34%

1%

492

35%

35%

15%

1%

360

18%

32%

30%

20%

11%

23%

28%

36%

Soft DEM

10%

28%

28%

35%

Hard DEM

7%

22%

37%

34%

Conservative

14%

35%

31%

19%

Moderate

10%

19%

36%

29%

8%

21%

37%

34%

Very conservative

22%

41%

23%

13%

Somewhat conservative

10%

32%

36%

22%

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

92
1%

64
84

0%

1%

401

0%

536

7%

76
389

1%

1%

187
348

1%

390

27%

0%

190

23%

34%

1%

103

19%

40%

34%

1%

318

37%

33%

15%

35%

34%

16%

Independent

14%

28%

30%

Conservative DEM

11%

31%

5%

0%

335

6%

19%

40%

35%

Mod / conservative DEM

10%

32%

25%

30%

2%

157

Independent

14%

24%

29%

32%

1%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

12%

24%

32%

28%

3%

69

Conservative GOP

16%

36%

34%

14%

0%

0%

379

Yes / strongly

27%

46%

16%

10%

1%

Yes

11%

36%

43%

10%

9%

26%

35%

29%

1%

840

Less than high school

21%

34%

28%

17%

1%

53

High school graduate

2%

227

0%

219

1%

503

93
68

19%

32%

27%

21%

Some college

7%

34%

32%

27%

College graduate

9%

24%

39%

29%

Male college graduates

7%

25%

33%

35%

Male non-college
graduates

10%

33%

32%

24%

2%

232

Female college graduates

10%

22%

45%

22%

1%

254

Female non-college
graduates

17%

33%

26%

22%

0%

0%

266

White non-college
graduate

12%

34%

30%

23%

0%

0%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

19%

30%

26%

22%

2%

149

9%

24%

39%

29%

1%

503

Union household

12%

30%

34%

23%

0%

127

Non-union household

11%

28%

34%

26%

1%

874

Others
RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

0%

465

20%

Liberal DEM

0%

1%

8%

Republican

No / unsure
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

TOTAL
Unsure

32%

Mod / lib DEM


PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

Combination

448

Moderate / liberal
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

Not at all
worried

1%

Liberal
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

Not too
worried

0%

248

0%

(cont.)

Page 283

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
TERRW WORRY ABOUT TERRORIST ATTACK

TERRW

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

Very worried

Somewhat
worried

Single

10%

24%

30%

34%

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

Married

11%

27%

37%

24%

No longer married

12%

36%

28%

Dad

9%

30%

Mom

9%

Married / children

9%

Married / no children
Divorced / children

Combination

TOTAL
Unsure

215

1%

607

23%

1%

179

28%

33%

1%

171

21%

48%

22%

1%

203

23%

39%

28%

1%

299

14%

32%

36%

19%

10%

31%

22%

37%

Divorced / no children

8%

38%

30%

23%

Single / children

7%

38%

41%

15%

Single / no children

11%

21%

28%

39%

1%

173

Other / mixed

16%

36%

28%

19%

1%

97

Single women

8%

23%

37%

31%

Married women

15%

27%

38%

20%

No longer married women

16%

35%

27%

Single men

11%

25%

Married men

8%

No longer married men


White single men
White single women
White married men

0%

308

0%

22
1%

60
42

98
1%

304

22%

1%

118

25%

37%

2%

117

28%

36%

28%

0%

302

6%

38%

30%

25%

1%

61

7%

23%

24%

45%

75

5%

14%

47%

34%

46

6%

25%

39%

29%

244
243

24%

1%

49

26%

22%

1%

93

32%

30%

24%

1%

250

30%

53%

17%

28%

37%

19%

7%

36%

33%

White no longer married


women

17%

34%

Other

14%

Single mothers

0%

1%

15%

White no longer married


men

0%

30

Married mothers

10%

19%

47%

22%

No longer married
mothers

9%

20%

43%

28%

Non-mothers

12%

30%

31%

27%

Upper class

15%

25%

40%

20%

Middle class

9%

29%

35%

26%

Low income

17%

27%

28%

27%

3%

11%

59%

27%

17%

27%

25%

29%

2%

20

Middle class whites

9%

28%

36%

27%

1%

551

Middle class African


Americans

8%

43%

26%

23%

63

Middle class Hispanics

11%

26%

40%

23%

57

Middle class other races

16%

21%

31%

28%

Other

16%

26%

31%

25%

Working class
Refused
CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

Not at all
worried

1%

White married women

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

Not too
worried

1%

150
23

0%

1%

798
73

0%

1%

696

1%

205
8

0%

4%

25

1%

305

(cont.)

Page 284

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
TERRW WORRY ABOUT TERRORIST ATTACK

TERRW

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

Very worried

Somewhat
worried

Roman Catholic

14%

33%

33%

20%

Baptist / Evangelical

15%

37%

30%

17%

Mainline Protestant

10%

28%

39%

22%

Other

11%

21%

37%

31%

None
RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

Not at all
worried

Combination

TOTAL
Unsure

198
1%

2%

185

1%

280
45

7%

20%

33%

39%

0%

262

At least once a week

14%

31%

33%

21%

1%

336

At least once a month

10%

31%

40%

20%

0%

157

Infrequently

12%

31%

33%

22%

1%

191

Never

14%

29%

34%

21%

1%

44

Active Roman Catholics

20%

30%

32%

18%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

13%

38%

32%

17%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

12%

27%

36%

23%

Active other

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

Not too
worried

7%

17%

36%

39%

Other

10%

27%

34%

28%

Male born again /


evangelicals

10%

32%

35%

Male not evangelical

8%

27%

Female born again /


evangelicals

17%

2%

2%

131
17

1%

667

22%

0%

133

31%

32%

1%

348

32%

33%

17%

1%

179

0%

342

1%

222

0%

Female not evangelical

12%

26%

37%

25%

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

14%

34%

34%

17%

Non-white Evangelical

14%

29%

33%

24%

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

13%

37%

35%

14%

Non-white conservative
Christians

21%

27%

27%

25%

White non-conservative
Christians

15%

22%

32%

26%

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

5%

31%

42%

23%

Approve

6%

21%

35%

37%

1%

453

Unsure

8%

34%

25%

31%

2%

62

Disapprove

16%

34%

35%

15%

0%

487

Jobs

10%

23%

37%

29%

6%

23%

39%

32%

Health care

13%

20%

35%

32%

99

Illegal immigration

18%

36%

30%

16%

78

9%

45%

34%

13%

116

12%

22%

37%

29%

76

23%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Economy

Foreign threats
Deficit
Other

14%

31%

29%

0%

90
0%

166
51

5%

55

39

0%

135
0%

0%

2%

228

(cont.)

Page 285

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
TERRW WORRY ABOUT TERRORIST ATTACK

TERRW

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

Somewhat
worried

Cutting taxes

15%

33%

41%

10%

Reducing deficit

10%

32%

28%

30%

126

Creating jobs

11%

29%

39%

21%

203

Increase wages

7%

16%

24%

53%

132

Healthcare costs

13%

32%

33%

20%

Retirement

13%

33%

38%

15%

41

6%

23%

34%

36%

101

Regulations

12%

34%

43%

12%

65

Combination

15%

28%

36%

18%

None

23%

39%

7%

32%

Unsure

19%

33%

34%

6%

9%

26%

38%

27%

Most effective person

12%

30%

33%

24%

Both

12%

23%

31%

Unsure

14%

32%

Very worried

27%

Somewhat worried

Higher education

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Views close to own

Not too
worried

Not at all
worried

2%

3%

71

98

141
11
12

8%

352

34%

1%

48

18%

34%

1%

30

37%

25%

11%

0%

318

5%

33%

42%

20%

0%

405

Not too worried

1%

12%

38%

48%

0%

214

Not at all worried

6%

10%

19%

65%

58%

42%

7%

56

67%

8
245

12%

30%

36%

22%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

7%

24%

40%

29%

Unsure

10%

28%

25%

31%

Disapprove

17%

34%

28%

21%

Yes

11%

32%

32%

25%

No

12%

22%

37%

27%

Approve

4%

22%

34%

Unsure

12%

32%

Disapprove

No

0%

27%

Yes
Unsure

0%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

1%

571

Unsure

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

Unsure

1%

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

Combination

TOTAL

Very worried

9%

21%

31%

38%

0%

11%

34%

27%

18%

9%

63

0%

693

0%

510

6%

85

0%

406

0%

645

2%

356

39%

0%

295

40%

14%

1%

45

0%

0%

0%

17%

41%

30%

13%

306

Yes

8%

25%

36%

31%

628

No

17%

34%

28%

17%

Not sure

13%

33%

37%

16%

4 of 4

9%

10%

10%

71%

3 of 4

1%

13%

46%

40%

2 of 4

6%

24%

35%

34%

1%

221

1 of 4

14%

27%

35%

23%

1%

214

0 of 4

15%

36%

32%

16%

1%

427

0%

3%

245

0%

128
26
112

0%

(cont.)

Page 286

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
TERRW WORRY ABOUT TERRORIST ATTACK

TERRW

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

Not too
worried

Not at all
worried

Combination

TOTAL

Very worried

Somewhat
worried

Unsure

5-7 of 7

12%

49%

30%

10%

150

4 of 7

19%

25%

37%

19%

96

3 of 7

16%

28%

28%

26%

2 of 7

7%

37%

34%

21%

1 of 7

12%

22%

34%

31%

0 of 7

8%

22%

36%

32%

11%

28%

34%

26%

91

1%
0%

87
164

0%

2%

413

1%

1001

Page 287

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT IRAN
NUCLEAR AGREEMENT/C

RIDEAL

Yes

TOTAL

TOTAL

No

64%

36%

1001

Northeast

69%

31%

195

Midwest

58%

42%

181

South

65%

35%

235

South Central

66%

34%

96

Central Plains

67%

33%

83

Mountain States

59%

41%

70

West

66%

34%

141

California

67%

33%

89

Florida

61%

39%

58

Texas

65%

35%

71

New York

71%

29%

56

Rest of country

64%

36%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

62%

38%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

68%

32%

320

No Senate election

63%

37%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

61%

39%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

68%

32%

366

No Gubernatorial election

64%

36%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

62%

38%

241

Other

65%

35%

760

Male

72%

28%

480

Female

58%

42%

521

Male / employed

75%

25%

324

Male / not employed

66%

34%

157

Female / employed

55%

45%

281

Female / not employed

61%

39%

240

Not employed

46%

54%

133

Employed

65%

35%

605

Retired

73%

27%

252

Refused

45%

55%

11

18-34

54%

46%

200

35-44

60%

40%

280

45-64

70%

30%

310

65 or over

73%

27%

200

Unsure / refused

65%

35%

10

18-44

57%

43%

480

45-64

70%

30%

310

65+

73%

27%

200

Unsure / refused

65%

35%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 288

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT IRAN
NUCLEAR AGREEMENT/C

RIDEAL

Yes

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL

No

Male / under 55

68%

32%

302

Male / 55+

78%

22%

179

Female / under 55

50%

50%

315

Female / 55+

69%

31%

205

White

67%

33%

751

Black / African American

53%

47%

120

Hispanic / Latino

51%

49%

90

Other

73%

27%

40

White millenials 18-34

63%

37%

128

White older voters 35+

68%

32%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

26%

74%

24

African American older


voters 35+

60%

40%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

38%

62%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

61%

39%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

71%

29%

Other races older voters


35+

74%

26%

32

White seniors

76%

24%

255

Other

61%

39%

746

White men

75%

25%

368

White women

60%

40%

382

Black men

52%

48%

50

Black women

54%

46%

70

Hispanic men

65%

35%

42

Hispanic women

38%

62%

48

Republican

70%

30%

390

Independent

68%

32%

190

Democrat

57%

43%

420

Male / GOP

75%

25%

214

Female / GOP

64%

36%

176

Male / DEM

66%

34%

161

Female / DEM

52%

48%

259

Male / IND

74%

26%

105

Female / IND

61%

39%

85

Under 55 / GOP

64%

36%

223

55 & over / GOP

78%

22%

168

Under 55 / DEM

53%

47%

269

55 & over / DEM

66%

34%

151

Under 55 / IND

63%

37%

125

55 & over / IND

79%

21%

65

(cont.)

Page 289

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT IRAN
NUCLEAR AGREEMENT/C

RIDEAL

Yes

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

No

Republican

70%

30%

448

Ticket splitter

52%

48%

61

Democrat

61%

39%

492

Hard GOP

70%

30%

360

Soft GOP

74%

26%

92

Ticket splitter

55%

45%

64

Soft DEM

66%

34%

84

Hard DEM

59%

41%

401

Conservative

67%

33%

536

Moderate

43%

57%

76

Liberal

66%

34%

389

Very conservative

70%

30%

187

Somewhat conservative

65%

35%

348

Moderate / liberal

62%

38%

465

Republican

70%

30%

390

Independent

68%

32%

190

Conservative DEM

41%

59%

103

Mod / lib DEM

63%

37%

318

Liberal DEM

67%

33%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

48%

52%

157

Independent

52%

48%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

50%

50%

69

Conservative GOP

74%

26%

379

Yes / strongly

74%

26%

93

Yes

75%

25%

68

No / unsure

63%

37%

840

Less than high school

38%

62%

53

High school graduate

54%

46%

227

Some college

66%

34%

219

College graduate

71%

29%

503

Male college graduates

77%

23%

248

Male non-college
graduates

66%

34%

232

Female college graduates

65%

35%

254

Female non-college
graduates

51%

49%

266

White non-college
graduate

61%

39%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

50%

50%

149

Others

71%

29%

503

Union household

62%

38%

127

Non-union household

65%

35%

874

(cont.)

Page 290

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT IRAN
NUCLEAR AGREEMENT/C

RIDEAL

Yes

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

TOTAL

No

Single

61%

39%

215

Married

68%

32%

607

No longer married

58%

42%

179

Dad

72%

28%

171

Mom

48%

52%

203

Married / children

63%

37%

299

Married / no children

72%

28%

308

Divorced / children

36%

64%

22

Divorced / no children

71%

29%

60

Single / children

54%

46%

42

Single / no children

63%

37%

173

Other / mixed

55%

45%

97

Single women

53%

47%

98

Married women

60%

40%

304

No longer married women

56%

44%

118

Single men

68%

32%

117

Married men

75%

25%

302

No longer married men

62%

38%

61

White single men

72%

28%

75

White single women

68%

32%

46

White married men

78%

22%

244

White married women

61%

39%

243

White no longer married


men

66%

34%

49

White no longer married


women

55%

45%

93

Other

56%

44%

250

Single mothers

44%

56%

30

Married mothers

53%

47%

150

No longer married
mothers

26%

74%

23

Non-mothers

69%

31%

798

Upper class

73%

27%

73

Middle class

69%

31%

696

Low income

47%

53%

205

Working class

40%

60%

Refused

59%

41%

20

Middle class whites

72%

28%

551

Middle class African


Americans

64%

36%

63

Middle class Hispanics

51%

49%

57

Middle class other races

69%

31%

25

Other

54%

46%

305

(cont.)

Page 291

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT IRAN
NUCLEAR AGREEMENT/C

RIDEAL

Yes

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

No

Roman Catholic

61%

39%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

63%

37%

185

Mainline Protestant

65%

35%

280

Other

71%

29%

45

None

65%

35%

262

At least once a week

61%

39%

336

At least once a month

67%

33%

157

Infrequently

68%

32%

191

Never

59%

41%

44

Active Roman Catholics

55%

45%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

64%

36%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

63%

37%

131

Active other

58%

42%

17

Other

66%

34%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

70%

30%

133

Male not evangelical

73%

27%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

54%

46%

179

Female not evangelical

59%

41%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

61%

39%

222

Non-white Evangelical

60%

40%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

70%

30%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

62%

38%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

35%

65%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

59%

41%

39

Approve

63%

37%

453

Unsure

44%

56%

62

Disapprove

68%

32%

487

Jobs

67%

33%

135

Economy

67%

33%

228

Health care

51%

49%

99

Illegal immigration

69%

31%

78

Foreign threats

78%

22%

116

Deficit

56%

44%

76

39%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

61%

(cont.)

Page 292

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT IRAN
NUCLEAR AGREEMENT/C

RIDEAL

Yes

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

No

Cutting taxes

58%

42%

71

Reducing deficit

74%

26%

126

Creating jobs

66%

34%

203

Increase wages

73%

27%

132

Healthcare costs

63%

37%

98

Retirement

53%

47%

41

Higher education

52%

48%

101

Regulations

75%

25%

65

Combination

58%

42%

141

None

63%

37%

11

Unsure

59%

41%

12

Views close to own

73%

27%

352

Most effective person

62%

38%

571

Both

49%

51%

48

Unsure

38%

62%

30

Very worried

67%

33%

318

Somewhat worried

60%

40%

405

Not too worried

70%

30%

214

62%

38%

56

Not at all worried


Combination

100%

Unsure

28%

72%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

66%

34%

245

Unsure

41%

59%

63

No

66%

34%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

66%

34%

510

Unsure

26%

74%

85

Disapprove

71%

29%

406

Very worried

62%

38%

112

Somewhat worried

72%

28%

283

Not too worried

61%

39%

341

Not at all worried

63%

37%

258

100%

81%

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

Unsure

19%

Approve

100%

295

Unsure

100%

45

Disapprove

100%

306

Yes

65%

35%

628

No

66%

34%

245

Not sure

58%

42%

128

(cont.)

Page 293

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT IRAN
NUCLEAR AGREEMENT/C

RIDEAL

Yes

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

TOTAL

No

4 of 4

96%

4%

26

3 of 4

81%

19%

112

2 of 4

60%

40%

221

1 of 4

43%

57%

214

0 of 4

71%

29%

427

5-7 of 7

89%

11%

150

4 of 7

68%

32%

96

3 of 7

72%

28%

91

2 of 7

63%

37%

87

1 of 7

55%

45%

164

0 of 7

57%

43%

413

64%

36%

1001

Page 294

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RAPPR US SENATE VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

RAPPR

Approve

TOTAL

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

46%

7%

47%

645

Northeast

56%

3%

40%

135

Midwest

43%

9%

49%

105

South

38%

9%

53%

153

South Central

46%

3%

51%

64

Central Plains

42%

15%

43%

55

Mountain States

39%

6%

55%

41

West

51%

5%

44%

93

California

47%

7%

46%

60

Florida

41%

8%

51%

35

Texas

46%

1%

52%

46

New York

64%

3%

33%

40

Rest of country

44%

8%

48%

464

GOP held seat up in 2014

41%

8%

50%

134

DEM held seat up in 2014

44%

6%

50%

219

No Senate election

49%

7%

44%

292

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

41%

8%

51%

248

DEM held seat up in 2014

52%

5%

43%

248

No Gubernatorial election

44%

7%

48%

148

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

45%

8%

47%

150

Other

46%

7%

48%

495

Male

43%

8%

49%

345

Female

49%

5%

46%

300

Male / employed

44%

9%

47%

242

Male / not employed

41%

7%

52%

103

Female / employed

56%

5%

39%

154

Female / not employed

40%

6%

54%

146

Not employed

43%

11%

46%

61

Employed

49%

7%

44%

396

Retired

39%

5%

56%

182

Refused

64%

36%

18-34

54%

8%

38%

108

35-44

49%

8%

43%

168

45-64

45%

6%

49%

216

65 or over

38%

7%

55%

147

Unsure / refused

36%

64%

18-44

51%

8%

41%

275

45-64

45%

6%

49%

216

65+

38%

7%

55%

147

Unsure / refused

36%

64%

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 295

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RAPPR US SENATE VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

RAPPR

Approve

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

Male / under 55

47%

9%

44%

206

Male / 55+

38%

7%

55%

139

Female / under 55

55%

7%

38%

158

Female / 55+

41%

4%

55%

142

White

42%

8%

50%

506

Black / African American

63%

2%

35%

64

Hispanic / Latino

62%

9%

29%

46

Other

46%

3%

52%

29

White millenials 18-34

53%

7%

40%

80

52%

426

38%

White older voters 35+

40%

African American
millenials 18-34

62%

African American older


voters 35+

63%

2%

34%

58

Hispanic millenials 18-34

57%

18%

25%

16

Hispanic older voters 35+

64%

4%

32%

30

Other races millenials


18-34

50%

50%

Other races older voters


35+

45%

3%

52%

24

White seniors

39%

6%

55%

193

Other

49%

7%

44%

453

White men

41%

10%

49%

276

White women

43%

5%

51%

230

Black men

57%

43%

26

Black women

67%

3%

29%

38

Hispanic men

55%

4%

41%

27

Hispanic women

72%

16%

12%

18

Republican

20%

7%

74%

274

Independent

42%

8%

50%

130

Democrat

77%

7%

16%

241

Male / GOP

20%

8%

73%

161

Female / GOP

20%

5%

75%

113

Male / DEM

80%

7%

13%

106

Female / DEM

75%

7%

18%

135

Male / IND

42%

11%

47%

78

Female / IND

42%

3%

55%

52

Under 55 / GOP

26%

9%

65%

143

55 & over / GOP

13%

4%

83%

131

Under 55 / DEM

79%

7%

15%

142

55 & over / DEM

75%

7%

18%

99

Under 55 / IND

45%

8%

47%

79

55 & over / IND

38%

8%

54%

51

8%

(cont.)

Page 296

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RAPPR US SENATE VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

RAPPR

Approve

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

Republican

19%

6%

75%

314

Ticket splitter

42%

14%

43%

32

Democrat

74%

7%

19%

299

Hard GOP

19%

7%

75%

253

Soft GOP

16%

4%

80%

68

Ticket splitter

48%

16%

35%

35

Soft DEM

70%

8%

22%

55

Hard DEM

77%

7%

16%

235

Conservative

22%

8%

70%

357

Moderate

49%

17%

34%

33

Liberal

78%

4%

18%

255

Very conservative

12%

9%

79%

130

Somewhat conservative

28%

8%

65%

226

Moderate / liberal

75%

6%

20%

288

Republican

20%

7%

74%

274

Independent

42%

8%

50%

130

Conservative DEM

46%

19%

35%

42

Mod / lib DEM

84%

4%

12%

199

Liberal DEM

82%

5%

13%

224

Mod / conservative DEM

50%

14%

36%

75

Independent

42%

14%

43%

32

Mod / liberal GOP

36%

3%

61%

35

Conservative GOP

17%

6%

77%

280

Yes / strongly

14%

3%

83%

69

Yes

14%

8%

79%

51

No / unsure

53%

7%

40%

525

Less than high school

18%

7%

75%

20

High school graduate

33%

9%

58%

123

Some college

44%

7%

49%

145

College graduate

52%

6%

42%

357

Male college graduates

48%

8%

44%

192

Male non-college
graduates

37%

9%

55%

153

Female college graduates

56%

5%

39%

165

Female non-college
graduates

39%

6%

55%

135

White non-college
graduate

32%

8%

60%

213

Minority non-college
graduate

54%

7%

39%

74

Others

52%

6%

42%

357

Union household

56%

8%

36%

79

Non-union household

44%

7%

49%

566

(cont.)

Page 297

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RAPPR US SENATE VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

RAPPR

Approve

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

Disapprove

Single

64%

3%

34%

131

Married

40%

9%

50%

410

No longer married

44%

4%

53%

104

Dad

39%

9%

51%

123

Mom

48%

9%

44%

98

Married / children

41%

10%

48%

188

Married / no children

40%

8%

52%

222

Divorced / children

30%

70%

Divorced / no children

46%

5%

49%

42

Single / children

56%

4%

40%

23

Single / no children

65%

3%

32%

108

Other / mixed

44%

3%

53%

54

Single women

66%

3%

31%

52

Married women

44%

7%

48%

182

No longer married women

46%

2%

51%

66

Single men

62%

3%

35%

79

Married men

37%

10%

52%

228

No longer married men

39%

6%

55%

38

White single men

66%

2%

32%

54

White single women

60%

3%

37%

31

White married men

34%

12%

53%

190

White married women

40%

7%

53%

147

White no longer married


men

38%

7%

55%

33

White no longer married


women

42%

3%

55%

51

Other

59%

4%

37%

139

Single mothers

57%

7%

35%

13

Married mothers

45%

10%

45%

79

No longer married
mothers

55%

45%

Non-mothers

45%

7%

48%

547

Upper class

50%

1%

48%

53

Middle class

45%

8%

47%

481

44%

4%

52%

96

Low income
Working class

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

Unsure

TOTAL

100%

Refused

45%

15%

40%

12

Middle class whites

42%

9%

50%

395

Middle class African


Americans

67%

3%

29%

40

Middle class Hispanics

56%

10%

34%

29

Middle class other races

55%

45%

17

Other

47%

49%

164

4%

(cont.)

Page 298

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RAPPR US SENATE VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

RAPPR

Approve

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

Roman Catholic

41%

5%

54%

121

Baptist / Evangelical

34%

12%

55%

117

Mainline Protestant

34%

6%

60%

183

Other

53%

5%

41%

32

None

66%

7%

27%

169

At least once a week

33%

9%

58%

206

At least once a month

30%

4%

66%

106

Infrequently

51%

4%

45%

129

Never

50%

20%

30%

26

Active Roman Catholics

41%

7%

52%

43

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

31%

12%

57%

68

Active Mainline
Protestants

29%

7%

64%

82

Active other

46%

10%

43%

10

Other

52%

6%

42%

441

Male born again /


evangelicals

22%

11%

67%

93

Male not evangelical

51%

7%

42%

252

Female born again /


evangelicals

32%

3%

64%

97

Female not evangelical

56%

7%

37%

203

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

18%

9%

73%

136

Non-white Evangelical

50%

3%

47%

54

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

11%

10%

79%

116

Non-white conservative
Christians

38%

4%

57%

31

White non-conservative
Christians

58%

2%

40%

20

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

66%

2%

32%

23

Approve

79%

6%

15%

286

Unsure

66%

10%

24%

27

Disapprove

16%

7%

77%

332

Jobs

58%

13%

29%

91

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Economy

55%

3%

42%

153

Health care

63%

8%

29%

51

Illegal immigration

18%

3%

79%

54

Foreign threats

30%

4%

65%

91

Deficit

39%

7%

54%

43

47%

163

Other

44%

9%

(cont.)

Page 299

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RAPPR US SENATE VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

RAPPR

Approve

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

Cutting taxes

15%

7%

78%

41

Reducing deficit

34%

5%

60%

94

Creating jobs

47%

9%

44%

133

Increase wages

83%

1%

16%

96

Healthcare costs

41%

5%

54%

62

Retirement

63%

1%

36%

22

Higher education

60%

8%

32%

53

Regulations

9%

6%

85%

49

Combination

41%

16%

44%

82

None

77%

9%

14%

7%

4%

90%

Views close to own

52%

4%

44%

257

Most effective person

42%

8%

50%

353

Both

36%

15%

49%

24

Unsure

32%

17%

51%

11

Very worried

23%

9%

68%

213

Somewhat worried

47%

7%

46%

244

Not too worried

75%

5%

20%

150

Not at all worried

49%

4%

47%

35

Combination

42%

58%

Unsure

94%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

71%

Unsure

48%

No

37%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

65%

Unsure

Unsure
CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

1
6%

5%

25%

163

7%

45%

26

8%

56%

456

7%

28%

336

58%

13%

29%

22

Disapprove

22%

6%

72%

287

Very worried

19%

8%

73%

69

Somewhat worried

32%

7%

61%

204

Not too worried

48%

9%

44%

209

Not at all worried

72%

4%

24%

161

Unsure

68%

32%

Yes

46%

7%

47%

645

Yes

58%

5%

37%

409

No

26%

8%

66%

161

Not sure

23%

16%

61%

75

(cont.)

Page 300

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RAPPR US SENATE VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

RAPPR

Approve

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

Unsure

TOTAL

Disapprove

4 of 4

90%

5%

5%

25

3 of 4

94%

2%

4%

91

2 of 4

65%

10%

25%

132

1 of 4

51%

8%

41%

93

0 of 4

17%

7%

76%

303

5-7 of 7

10%

6%

85%

134

4 of 7

27%

6%

67%

65

3 of 7

30%

5%

65%

65

2 of 7

35%

10%

54%

54

1 of 7

54%

8%

39%

90

0 of 7

75%

7%

18%

236

46%

7%

47%

645

Page 301

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
SAMEA ATTEND SAME SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

SAMEA

Yes

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

No

TOTAL

Not sure

63%

24%

13%

1001

Northeast

73%

15%

12%

195

Midwest

63%

28%

9%

181

South

47%

37%

16%

235

South Central

68%

24%

8%

96

Central Plains

66%

25%

9%

83

Mountain States

57%

18%

25%

70

West

72%

15%

12%

141

California

71%

16%

13%

89

Florida

63%

20%

17%

58

Texas

71%

20%

9%

71

New York

75%

19%

7%

56

Rest of country

60%

27%

13%

727

SENEL U.S. SENATE


GOP held seat up in 2014
ELECTION STATUS BY
DEM held seat up in 2014
STATE
No Senate election

52%

34%

14%

217

63%

25%

12%

320

68%

20%

13%

464

GOVEL
GOP held seat up in 2014
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY DEM held seat up in 2014
STATE
No Gubernatorial election

59%

27%

14%

405

70%

18%

12%

366

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE
RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

58%

30%

12%

230

Competitive statewide
race

60%

27%

13%

241

Other

64%

24%

13%

760

Male

58%

28%

14%

480

Female

67%

21%

12%

521

Male / employed

61%

26%

13%

324

Male / not employed

53%

31%

16%

157

Female / employed

73%

20%

8%

281

Female / not employed

60%

24%

16%

240

Not employed

68%

20%

12%

133

Employed

66%

23%

11%

605

Retired

51%

30%

19%

252

Refused

72%

28%

18-34

74%

17%

9%

200

35-44

71%

18%

11%

280

45-64

57%

30%

12%

310

65 or over

49%

31%

20%

200

Unsure / refused

35%

35%

30%

10

18-44

72%

18%

10%

480

45-64

57%

30%

12%

310

65+

49%

31%

20%

200

Unsure / refused

35%

35%

30%

10

11

(cont.)

Page 302

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
SAMEA ATTEND SAME SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

SAMEA

Yes

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

No

TOTAL

Not sure

Male / under 55

62%

25%

13%

302

Male / 55+

51%

32%

17%

179

Female / under 55

73%

17%

9%

315

Female / 55+

57%

28%

15%

205

White

64%

25%

11%

751

Black / African American

51%

29%

20%

120

Hispanic / Latino

67%

16%

18%

90

Other

57%

31%

12%

40

White millenials 18-34

73%

19%

7%

128

White older voters 35+

63%

26%

12%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

69%

11%

20%

24

African American older


voters 35+

47%

33%

20%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

80%

12%

7%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

55%

18%

27%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

73%

21%

6%

Other races older voters


35+

54%

33%

13%

32

White seniors

55%

27%

18%

255

Other

65%

23%

11%

746

White men

61%

26%

13%

368

White women

68%

23%

9%

382

Black men

36%

41%

23%

50

Black women

62%

20%

18%

70

Hispanic men

68%

17%

15%

42

Hispanic women

66%

14%

20%

48

Republican

49%

35%

16%

390

Independent

66%

25%

10%

190

Democrat

74%

15%

11%

420

Male / GOP

50%

33%

17%

214

Female / GOP

48%

36%

16%

176

Male / DEM

68%

20%

12%

161

Female / DEM

78%

12%

10%

259

Male / IND

59%

29%

12%

105

Female / IND

73%

19%

8%

85

Under 55 / GOP

56%

31%

12%

223

55 & over / GOP

40%

39%

22%

168

Under 55 / DEM

78%

12%

10%

269

55 & over / DEM

67%

20%

12%

151

Under 55 / IND

67%

22%

10%

125

55 & over / IND

62%

29%

9%

65

(cont.)

Page 303

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
SAMEA ATTEND SAME SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

SAMEA

Yes

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER
AND EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

No

TOTAL

Not sure

Republican

50%

35%

15%

448

Ticket splitter

66%

17%

17%

61

Democrat

74%

15%

10%

492

Hard GOP

48%

36%

16%

360

Soft GOP

56%

30%

14%

92

Ticket splitter

61%

26%

13%

64

Soft DEM

74%

17%

9%

84

Hard DEM

75%

15%

11%

401

Conservative

48%

34%

18%

536

Moderate

51%

40%

9%

76

Liberal

85%

9%

7%

389

Very conservative

29%

47%

25%

187

Somewhat conservative

59%

27%

14%

348

Moderate / liberal

79%

14%

7%

465

Republican

49%

35%

16%

390

Independent

66%

25%

10%

190

Conservative DEM

47%

31%

23%

103

Mod / lib DEM

83%

10%

7%

318

Liberal DEM

87%

7%

6%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

47%

35%

18%

157

Independent

66%

17%

17%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

59%

34%

7%

69

Conservative GOP

48%

36%

17%

379

Yes / strongly

34%

46%

20%

93

Yes

58%

27%

16%

68

No / unsure

66%

22%

12%

840

Less than high school

50%

29%

21%

53

High school graduate

47%

36%

17%

227

Some college

59%

24%

17%

219

College graduate

73%

19%

8%

503

Male college graduates

69%

23%

9%

248

Male non-college
graduates

47%

33%

20%

232

Female college graduates

77%

15%

8%

254

Female non-college
graduates

57%

28%

15%

266

White non-college
graduate

54%

31%

15%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

49%

29%

23%

149

Others

73%

19%

8%

503

Union household

69%

19%

12%

127

Non-union household

62%

25%

13%

874

(cont.)

Page 304

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
SAMEA ATTEND SAME SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

SAMEA

Yes

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

No

TOTAL

Not sure

Single

73%

16%

11%

215

Married

61%

27%

13%

607

No longer married

57%

27%

16%

179

Dad

61%

28%

11%

171

Mom

74%

18%

8%

203

Married / children

66%

24%

10%

299

Married / no children

55%

30%

15%

308

Divorced / children

56%

38%

6%

22

Divorced / no children

61%

19%

21%

60

Single / children

83%

6%

11%

42

Single / no children

71%

19%

11%

173

Other / mixed

54%

30%

16%

97

Single women

80%

7%

13%

98

Married women

64%

25%

11%

304

No longer married women

64%

24%

13%

118

Single men

68%

23%

9%

117

Married men

57%

28%

14%

302

No longer married men

43%

35%

23%

61

White single men

68%

26%

6%

75

White single women

88%

2%

9%

46

White married men

62%

25%

14%

244

White married women

66%

26%

8%

243

White no longer married


men

47%

34%

19%

49

White no longer married


women

61%

25%

14%

93

Other

58%

24%

18%

250

Single mothers

84%

16%

30

Married mothers

71%

21%

8%

150

No longer married
mothers

80%

20%

Non-mothers

60%

26%

14%

798

Upper class

77%

17%

6%

73

Middle class

65%

24%

11%

696

Low income

48%

31%

21%

205

Working class

81%

19%

Refused

62%

16%

21%

20

Middle class whites

66%

24%

10%

551

Middle class African


Americans

57%

20%

23%

63

Middle class Hispanics

71%

18%

10%

57

Middle class other races

56%

32%

13%

25

Other

57%

26%

17%

305

23

(cont.)

Page 305

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
SAMEA ATTEND SAME SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

SAMEA

Yes

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

No

TOTAL

Not sure

Roman Catholic

71%

17%

11%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

37%

45%

19%

185

Mainline Protestant

57%

28%

16%

280

Other

59%

26%

15%

45

None

82%

11%

7%

262

At least once a week

40%

42%

18%

336

At least once a month

66%

22%

12%

157

Infrequently

76%

13%

12%

191

Never

71%

13%

16%

44

Active Roman Catholics

63%

23%

14%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

24%

55%

21%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

38%

46%

16%

131

Active other

45%

31%

24%

17

Other

74%

15%

10%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

33%

50%

17%

133

Male not evangelical

68%

19%

13%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

40%

42%

18%

179

Female not evangelical

81%

11%

8%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

34%

49%

18%

222

Non-white Evangelical

45%

37%

18%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

31%

49%

20%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

30%

52%

18%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

42%

48%

10%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

66%

17%

18%

39

Approve

76%

13%

11%

453

Unsure

71%

17%

12%

62

Disapprove

49%

36%

15%

487

Jobs

62%

21%

16%

135

Economy

77%

14%

9%

228

Health care

69%

20%

12%

99

Illegal immigration

48%

41%

11%

78

Foreign threats

59%

28%

14%

116

Deficit

61%

22%

16%

76

14%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

55%

31%

(cont.)

Page 306

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
SAMEA ATTEND SAME SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

SAMEA

Yes

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

No

TOTAL

Not sure

Cutting taxes

52%

29%

19%

71

Reducing deficit

55%

33%

12%

126

Creating jobs

64%

26%

10%

203

Increase wages

73%

18%

9%

132

Healthcare costs

66%

24%

10%

98

Retirement

63%

20%

17%

41

Higher education

86%

10%

4%

101

Regulations

45%

34%

21%

65

Combination

52%

26%

22%

141

None

79%

21%

Unsure

65%

15%

21%

12

Views close to own

65%

27%

8%

352

Most effective person

61%

23%

16%

571

Both

62%

29%

9%

48

Unsure

64%

18%

18%

30

Very worried

57%

29%

14%

318

Somewhat worried

64%

25%

12%

405

Not too worried

72%

15%

13%

214

55%

30%

15%

56

Not at all worried


Combination

11

100%

Unsure

27%

63%

10%

RECONFUT NEXT
Yes
GENERATION BETTER
Unsure
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C
No

67%

18%

16%

245

55%

29%

16%

63

62%

26%

12%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

69%

19%

11%

510

Unsure

63%

25%

12%

85

Disapprove

54%

31%

15%

406

Very worried

47%

38%

15%

112

Somewhat worried

56%

29%

15%

283

Not too worried

66%

20%

14%

341

Not at all worried

76%

16%

8%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

100%

Unsure

94%

6%

Yes

63%

25%

12%

645

No

61%

24%

15%

356

Approve

80%

14%

6%

295

Unsure

45%

28%

26%

45

Disapprove

50%

35%

15%

306

(cont.)

Page 307

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
SAMEA ATTEND SAME SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

SAMEA

Yes

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

No

TOTAL

Not sure

4 of 4

86%

6%

8%

26

3 of 4

90%

5%

5%

112

2 of 4

71%

20%

8%

221

1 of 4

64%

24%

12%

214

0 of 4

49%

33%

18%

427

5-7 of 7

47%

31%

22%

150

4 of 7

61%

27%

12%

96

3 of 7

50%

36%

14%

91

2 of 7

54%

31%

15%

87

1 of 7

61%

29%

10%

164

0 of 7

74%

16%

10%

413

63%

24%

13%

1001

Page 308

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RAGEBG2
18-44

TOTAL

45-64

65+

TOTAL
Unsure /
refused

48%

31%

20%

1%

1001

Northeast

49%

30%

20%

1%

195

Midwest

53%

29%

16%

1%

181

South

40%

37%

22%

1%

235

South Central

48%

32%

19%

1%

96

Central Plains

59%

26%

15%

Mountain States

47%

26%

25%

2%

70

West

48%

29%

22%

1%

141

California

39%

32%

28%

1%

89

Florida

28%

48%

20%

3%

58

Texas

50%

31%

18%

2%

71

New York

56%

20%

23%

1%

56

Rest of country

50%

30%

19%

1%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

49%

31%

19%

1%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

47%

33%

20%

0%

320

No Senate election

48%

30%

20%

1%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

46%

33%

19%

2%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

48%

30%

21%

1%

366

No Gubernatorial election

50%

29%

21%

0%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

45%

34%

20%

1%

241

Other

49%

30%

20%

1%

760

Male

48%

34%

18%

1%

480

Female

48%

29%

22%

1%

521

Male / employed

62%

33%

4%

0%

324

Male / not employed

19%

34%

45%

2%

157

Female / employed

66%

30%

4%

0%

281

Female / not employed

28%

28%

43%

2%

240

Not employed

64%

28%

7%

1%

133

Employed

63%

32%

4%

0%

605

Retired

1%

31%

65%

2%

252

Refused

63%

19%

7%

11%

11

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

18-34

100%

200

35-44

100%

280

45-64

310

100%

65 or over

Male / under 55

100%
76%

Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+

200

100%

Unsure / refused
RR96FL AGE / SEX

83

80%

302

24%
50%

48%

3%

179
315

20%
42%

10

56%

2%

205

(cont.)

Page 309

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RAGEBG2
18-44

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

29%

23%

1%

751

Black / African American

43%

45%

12%

0%

120

Hispanic / Latino

64%

28%

8%

0%

90

Other

59%

25%

12%

3%

40

35%

28%

1%

White millenials 18-34

100%

White older voters 35+

35%

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

29%
100%

Hispanic older voters 35+

33%

Other races older voters


35+

50%

623
24

56%

15%

0%

96
41

51%

15%

1%

100%

White seniors

49
8

31%

15%

4%

32

29%

68%

3%

255

Other

64%

32%

3%

0%

746

White men

49%

30%

20%

1%

368

White women

44%

29%

27%

1%

382

Black men

27%

60%

11%

1%

50

Black women

54%

34%

12%

Hispanic men

55%

32%

12%

Hispanic women

71%

24%

5%

Republican

43%

30%

26%

1%

390

Independent

52%

29%

17%

2%

190

Democrat

51%

33%

16%

1%

420

Male / GOP

50%

29%

21%

1%

214

Female / GOP

35%

32%

32%

1%

176

Male / DEM

41%

42%

16%

1%

161

Female / DEM

57%

27%

16%

0%

259

Male / IND

53%

30%

15%

2%

105

Female / IND

51%

27%

20%

2%

85

Under 55 / GOP

76%

24%

55 & over / GOP


Under 55 / DEM

38%
79%

55 & over / DEM


Under 55 / IND

80%

70
1%

42
48

223
60%

3%

45%

2%

168
269

21%
54%

55 & over / IND


RPARTY USUAL VOTE
BEHAVIOR/C

128

100%

Hispanic millenials 18-34

Other races millenials


18-34

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

TOTAL
Unsure /
refused

46%

African American older


voters 35+

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

65+

White

African American
millenials 18-34

WHITE SENIORS

45-64

151
125

20%
45%

49%

5%

65

Republican

43%

32%

24%

1%

448

Ticket splitter

57%

14%

26%

3%

61

Democrat

52%

32%

16%

0%

492

(cont.)

Page 310

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RAGEBG2
18-44

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

45-64

65+

TOTAL
Unsure /
refused

Hard GOP

42%

32%

25%

1%

360

Soft GOP

44%

29%

25%

2%

92

Ticket splitter

62%

20%

16%

2%

64

Soft DEM

57%

26%

16%

1%

84

Hard DEM

50%

34%

16%

0%

401

Conservative

43%

31%

25%

1%

536

Moderate

53%

31%

14%

2%

76

Liberal

54%

31%

15%

0%

389

Very conservative

37%

28%

34%

2%

187

Somewhat conservative

46%

33%

20%

1%

348

Moderate / liberal

54%

31%

15%

1%

465

Republican

43%

30%

26%

1%

390

Independent

52%

29%

17%

2%

190

Conservative DEM

40%

40%

18%

1%

103

Mod / lib DEM

54%

30%

15%

0%

318

Liberal DEM

55%

30%

15%

0%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

45%

37%

17%

1%

157

Independent

57%

14%

26%

3%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

51%

36%

12%

0%

69

Conservative GOP

41%

31%

26%

2%

379

Yes / strongly

25%

47%

26%

2%

93

Yes

47%

29%

24%

1%

68

No / unsure

51%

29%

19%

1%

840

Less than high school

41%

26%

29%

5%

53

High school graduate

44%

36%

20%

0%

227

Some college

39%

38%

23%

0%

219

College graduate

54%

27%

18%

1%

503

Male college graduates

52%

30%

16%

1%

248

Male non-college
graduates

43%

37%

19%

1%

232

Female college graduates

56%

23%

19%

1%

254

Female non-college
graduates

41%

34%

25%

1%

266

White non-college
graduate

38%

34%

27%

1%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

50%

39%

10%

1%

149

Others

54%

27%

18%

1%

503

Union household

40%

43%

15%

1%

127

Non-union household

49%

29%

21%

1%

874

(cont.)

Page 311

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RAGEBG2
18-44

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

45-64

65+

TOTAL
Unsure /
refused

Single

72%

22%

5%

1%

215

Married

48%

33%

17%

1%

607

No longer married

19%

34%

46%

1%

179

Dad

72%

27%

1%

1%

171

Mom

83%

16%

1%

Married / children

78%

21%

0%

0%

299

Married / no children

19%

45%

34%

2%

308

Divorced / children

77%

23%

Divorced / no children

11%

49%

39%

1%

60

Single / children

85%

12%

2%

1%

42

Single / no children

69%

25%

6%

1%

173

Other / mixed

11%

27%

61%

1%

97

Single women

75%

18%

7%

0%

98

Married women

50%

33%

17%

1%

304

No longer married women

23%

27%

49%

1%

118

Single men

70%

26%

3%

1%

117

Married men

46%

34%

18%

1%

302

No longer married men

12%

46%

42%

0%

61

White single men

69%

26%

5%

1%

75

White single women

67%

23%

10%

White married men

50%

30%

18%

1%

244

White married women

47%

33%

19%

1%

243

White no longer married


men

12%

41%

47%

White no longer married


women

24%

21%

54%

1%

93

Other

53%

36%

10%

1%

250

Single mothers

87%

10%

3%

Married mothers

83%

17%

No longer married
mothers

82%

15%

3%

Non-mothers

39%

35%

25%

1%

798

Upper class

41%

31%

27%

1%

73

Middle class

49%

30%

20%

1%

696

Low income

46%

33%

20%

0%

205

Working class

78%

22%

Refused

31%

47%

203

22

46

49

30
150
23

8
13%

9%

20

(cont.)

Page 312

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RAGEBG2
18-44

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

45-64

65+

TOTAL
Unsure /
refused

Middle class whites

48%

29%

22%

Middle class African


Americans

48%

39%

13%

63

Middle class Hispanics

61%

31%

7%

57

Middle class other races

63%

26%

8%

4%

25

Other

45%

33%

21%

1%

305

Roman Catholic

47%

29%

22%

1%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

34%

40%

25%

0%

185

Mainline Protestant

45%

30%

23%

1%

280

Other

57%

25%

18%

0%

45

1%

551

None

61%

27%

12%

0%

262

At least once a week

40%

32%

26%

1%

336

At least once a month

50%

33%

17%

1%

157

Infrequently

49%

31%

20%

0%

191

Never

31%

37%

33%

Active Roman Catholics

41%

27%

29%

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

34%

40%

26%

Active Mainline
Protestants

42%

29%

27%

Active other

65%

27%

44
3%

79
106

1%

131

8%

17

Other

52%

30%

17%

1%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

42%

35%

22%

1%

133

Male not evangelical

50%

33%

16%

1%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

34%

37%

29%

1%

179

Female not evangelical

56%

24%

18%

1%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

37%

30%

32%

1%

222

Non-white Evangelical

38%

50%

11%

1%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

35%

29%

35%

1%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

34%

57%

9%

0%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

44%

33%

23%

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

42%

42%

15%

1%

39

Approve

50%

33%

16%

0%

453

Unsure

58%

23%

17%

2%

62

Disapprove

44%

30%

24%

1%

487

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

55

(cont.)

Page 313

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RAGEBG2
18-44

RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

45-64

65+

TOTAL
Unsure /
refused

Jobs

45%

34%

19%

Economy

58%

27%

15%

Health care

50%

34%

16%

1%

99

Illegal immigration

32%

36%

30%

2%

78

Foreign threats

44%

34%

21%

0%

116

Deficit

57%

26%

17%

Other

44%

31%

24%

2%

268

Cutting taxes

53%

32%

15%

1%

71

Reducing deficit

45%

29%

25%

0%

126

Creating jobs

42%

31%

26%

1%

203

Increase wages

55%

31%

13%

1%

132

Healthcare costs

43%

31%

25%

1%

98

Retirement

52%

33%

13%

1%

41

Higher education

65%

23%

11%

0%

101

Regulations

47%

38%

13%

2%

65

Combination

42%

33%

23%

2%

141

None

59%

31%

10%

Unsure

16%

41%

37%

7%

12

Views close to own

53%

32%

14%

1%

352

Most effective person

46%

30%

23%

1%

571

Both

40%

40%

19%

1%

48

Unsure

37%

16%

43%

3%

30

Very worried

40%

37%

22%

1%

318

Somewhat worried

50%

29%

20%

1%

405

Not too worried

56%

25%

18%

1%

214

Not at all worried

42%

36%

21%

1%

56

Combination

2%

135
228

76

11

100%

Unsure

85%

5%

5%

4%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

50%

32%

18%

0%

245

Unsure

61%

16%

21%

1%

63

No

46%

32%

21%

1%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

47%

34%

17%

1%

510

Unsure

64%

17%

18%

1%

85

Disapprove

45%

30%

24%

1%

406

Very worried

35%

38%

25%

2%

112

Somewhat worried

34%

37%

27%

2%

283

Not too worried

54%

28%

18%

1%

341

Not at all worried

61%

26%

13%

0%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination
Unsure

100%
79%

21%

(cont.)

Page 314

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RAGEBG2
18-44

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

45-64

65+

TOTAL
Unsure /
refused

Yes

43%

34%

23%

1%

645

No

58%

26%

15%

1%

356

Approve

48%

33%

19%

1%

295

Unsure

48%

28%

24%

Disapprove

37%

35%

27%

1%

306

Yes

55%

28%

16%

1%

628

No

35%

38%

26%

1%

245

Not sure

37%

30%

31%

2%

128

4 of 4

32%

43%

24%

1%

26

45

3 of 4

41%

35%

23%

1%

112

2 of 4

57%

31%

13%

0%

221

1 of 4

52%

30%

18%

1%

214

0 of 4

45%

30%

24%

2%

427

5-7 of 7

34%

33%

32%

2%

150

4 of 7

51%

31%

17%

1%

96

3 of 7

45%

28%

26%

2%

91

2 of 7

32%

38%

30%

1%

87

1 of 7

55%

27%

17%

1%

164

0 of 7

54%

31%

14%

1%

413

48%

31%

20%

1%

1001

Page 315

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION/C

REDUC

High school
graduate

5%

23%

22%

50%

1001

Northeast

5%

22%

18%

56%

195

Midwest

4%

26%

25%

44%

181

South

7%

26%

20%

47%

235

South Central

7%

13%

25%

55%

96

Central Plains

7%

22%

16%

55%

83

Mountain States

9%

16%

30%

45%

70

West

1%

24%

23%

52%

141

California

1%

21%

22%

56%

89

Florida

7%

26%

19%

48%

58

Texas

6%

10%

28%

56%

71

New York

7%

17%

18%

57%

56

Rest of country

5%

24%

22%

49%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

7%

22%

23%

48%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

6%

21%

24%

50%

320

No Senate election

4%

24%

20%

52%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

5%

23%

25%

47%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

4%

22%

19%

56%

366

No Gubernatorial election

7%

24%

21%

48%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

6%

28%

22%

44%

241

Other

5%

21%

22%

52%

760

Male

6%

22%

21%

52%

480

Female

5%

23%

23%

49%

521

Male / employed

3%

21%

17%

58%

324

Male / not employed

11%

23%

28%

39%

157

Female / employed

3%

19%

16%

63%

281

Female / not employed

8%

29%

31%

32%

240

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

Not employed

College
graduate

11%

29%

34%

26%

133

Employed

3%

20%

17%

60%

605

Retired

8%

26%

27%

39%

252

Refused

6%

19%

35%

41%

11

18-34

6%

28%

23%

43%

200

35-44

3%

16%

14%

66%

280

45-64

4%

26%

26%

43%

310

65 or over

8%

23%

25%

44%

200

Unsure / refused
RAGEBG2 AGE/C

Some
college

TOTAL

Less than
high school

24%

7%

3%

66%

10

18-44

5%

21%

18%

57%

480

45-64

4%

26%

26%

43%

310

65+

8%

23%

25%

44%

200

24%

7%

3%

66%

10

Unsure / refused
(cont.)

Page 316

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION/C

REDUC

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

High school
graduate

Male / under 55

5%

23%

19%

54%

302

Male / 55+

7%

20%

24%

48%

179

Female / under 55

5%

21%

19%

55%

315

Female / 55+

5%

27%

28%

39%

205

White

5%

21%

21%

53%

751

Black / African American

5%

27%

32%

36%

120

Hispanic / Latino

8%

35%

17%

39%

90

Other

7%

20%

17%

56%

40

White millenials 18-34

5%

25%

20%

49%

128

White older voters 35+

5%

20%

21%

54%

623

38%

26%

36%

24

6%

24%

34%

36%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

12%

32%

28%

28%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

5%

38%

9%

49%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

6%

15%

31%

48%

Other races older voters


35+

7%

21%

13%

58%

32

White seniors

6%

21%

27%

45%

255

Other

5%

23%

20%

52%

746

White men

5%

19%

21%

56%

368

White women

5%

22%

21%

51%

382

Black men

7%

36%

23%

33%

50

Black women

3%

20%

39%

38%

70

Hispanic men

African American
millenials 18-34
African American older
voters 35+

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

Some
college

TOTAL

Less than
high school

College
graduate

10%

29%

22%

39%

42

Hispanic women

6%

40%

14%

40%

48

Republican

6%

22%

23%

49%

390

Independent

7%

19%

23%

50%

190

Democrat

4%

25%

20%

51%

420

Male / GOP

5%

21%

23%

50%

214

Female / GOP

7%

23%

23%

47%

176

Male / DEM

6%

24%

19%

51%

161

Female / DEM

2%

25%

21%

51%

259

Male / IND

6%

20%

19%

55%

105

Female / IND

9%

18%

29%

44%

85

Under 55 / GOP

7%

20%

18%

55%

223

55 & over / GOP

5%

25%

29%

41%

168

Under 55 / DEM

2%

23%

18%

56%

269

55 & over / DEM

6%

28%

23%

43%

151

Under 55 / IND

7%

22%

22%

49%

125

55 & over / IND

8%

15%

26%

51%

65

(cont.)

Page 317

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION/C

REDUC

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

High school
graduate

5%

21%

23%

51%

448

21%

27%

26%

27%

61

Democrat

4%

24%

20%

52%

492

Hard GOP

5%

22%

23%

50%

360

Republican
Ticket splitter

Soft GOP

RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

9%

19%

22%

50%

92

26%

26%

38%

64

Soft DEM

6%

18%

25%

50%

84

Hard DEM

4%

25%

19%

52%

401

Conservative

6%

23%

25%

45%

536

Moderate

5%

35%

21%

39%

76

Liberal

4%

20%

17%

59%

389

Very conservative

8%

22%

28%

43%

187

Somewhat conservative

6%

24%

24%

47%

348

Moderate / liberal

4%

22%

18%

56%

465

Republican

6%

22%

23%

49%

390

Independent

7%

19%

23%

50%

190

Conservative DEM

8%

37%

30%

26%

103

Mod / lib DEM

2%

21%

17%

60%

318

Liberal DEM

3%

18%

16%

63%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

6%

35%

29%

30%

157

21%

27%

26%

27%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

6%

31%

22%

40%

69

Conservative GOP

4%

19%

24%

53%

379

Yes / strongly

9%

22%

22%

47%

93

Yes

3%

18%

35%

44%

68

No / unsure

5%

23%

21%

51%

840

100%

248

Independent

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
SEXED2 GENDER AND
EDUCATION

Male college graduates


Male non-college
graduates

12%

45%

43%

Female college graduates

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

College
graduate

10%

Ticket splitter

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

Some
college

TOTAL

Less than
high school

232
100%

254

Female non-college
graduates

10%

46%

44%

266

White non-college
graduate

11%

44%

45%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

11%

48%

41%

149

Others

100%

503

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

1%

18%

20%

60%

127

Non-union household

6%

23%

22%

49%

874

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

10%

20%

29%

42%

215

Married

3%

23%

17%

57%

607

No longer married

8%

26%

30%

37%

179

(cont.)

Page 318

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION/C

REDUC

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

High school
graduate

Dad

3%

20%

14%

63%

171

Mom

5%

22%

18%

55%

203

Married / children

3%

21%

10%

65%

299

Married / no children

3%

24%

23%

49%

308

Divorced / children

44%

37%

19%

22

26%

33%

36%

60

13%

13%

39%

34%

42

9%

21%

26%

44%

173

Other / mixed

11%

21%

26%

42%

97

Single women

11%

10%

34%

45%

98

Married women

3%

25%

17%

55%

304

No longer married women

6%

31%

28%

35%

118

Single men

8%

28%

25%

39%

117

Married men

3%

21%

17%

59%

302

11%

15%

33%

40%

61

4%

22%

25%

48%

75

White single women

15%

8%

24%

53%

46

White married men

3%

19%

17%

61%

244

White married women

Single / children
Single / no children

No longer married men


GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

White single men

3%

22%

20%

55%

243

White no longer married


men

12%

12%

32%

44%

49

White no longer married


women

6%

30%

24%

40%

93

Other

6%

29%

24%

40%

250

Single mothers

18%

3%

51%

28%

30

Married mothers

3%

24%

10%

63%

150

37%

25%

38%

23
798

No longer married
mothers
ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

Non-mothers

5%

23%

23%

49%

Upper class

5%

8%

10%

78%

73

Middle class

3%

18%

22%

56%

696

Low income

11%

43%

27%

19%

205

69%

Working class
Refused
CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

College
graduate

5%

Divorced / no children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

Some
college

TOTAL

Less than
high school

31%
11%

20%

19%

50%

20

Middle class whites

3%

18%

21%

58%

551

Middle class African


Americans

6%

8%

34%

52%

63

Middle class Hispanics

7%

33%

17%

43%

57

Middle class other races

6%

13%

18%

63%

25

10%

33%

22%

36%

305

Other
(cont.)

Page 319

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION/C

REDUC

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

High school
graduate

Roman Catholic

4%

19%

18%

59%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

8%

29%

24%

40%

185

Mainline Protestant

4%

21%

22%

52%

280

Other

12%

18%

12%

59%

45

None

5%

24%

24%

48%

262

At least once a week

4%

22%

22%

51%

336

At least once a month

8%

21%

14%

57%

157

Infrequently

5%

23%

24%

49%

191

Never

9%

28%

17%

46%

44

Active Roman Catholics

2%

19%

17%

62%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

6%

27%

28%

40%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

3%

20%

21%

56%

131

21%

21%

20%

38%

17

6%

23%

22%

50%

667

10%

25%

17%

48%

133

Male not evangelical

4%

21%

22%

53%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

5%

29%

26%

40%

179

Active other
Other
SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

Male born again /


evangelicals

Some
college

TOTAL

Less than
high school

College
graduate

Female not evangelical

5%

20%

21%

53%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

6%

28%

20%

45%

222

Non-white Evangelical

8%

26%

27%

39%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

4%

26%

21%

49%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

7%

34%

38%

22%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

12%

35%

18%

35%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

9%

16%

12%

62%

39

Approve

5%

21%

22%

53%

453

Unsure

11%

25%

20%

44%

62

5%

24%

22%

49%

487

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

Disapprove
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Jobs

11%

22%

21%

46%

135

Economy

4%

15%

23%

57%

228

Health care

4%

23%

19%

54%

99

Illegal immigration

5%

29%

29%

37%

78

Foreign threats

6%

28%

22%

44%

116

Deficit

3%

20%

22%

55%

76

50%

268

Other

4%

25%

20%

(cont.)

Page 320

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION/C

REDUC

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

High school
graduate

11%

30%

10%

49%

71

Reducing deficit

2%

12%

27%

59%

126

Creating jobs

6%

21%

22%

51%

203

Increase wages

4%

20%

19%

57%

132

Healthcare costs

5%

26%

24%

45%

98

Retirement

8%

41%

4%

47%

41

Higher education

8%

17%

35%

40%

101

Regulations

0%

17%

20%

63%

65

Combination

5%

30%

21%

44%

141

35%

15%

50%

11

22%

34%

24%

19%

12

Views close to own

3%

18%

20%

59%

352

Most effective person

6%

25%

24%

45%

571

Both

7%

27%

18%

48%

48

17%

18%

20%

46%

30

Very worried

9%

28%

21%

42%

318

Somewhat worried

4%

23%

21%

52%

405

Not too worried

4%

12%

23%

61%

214

Not at all worried

1%

25%

29%

Cutting taxes

None
Unsure
CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Unsure
ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Some
college

TOTAL

Less than
high school

Combination

College
graduate

45%

56

100%

Unsure

2%

38%

29%

31%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

8%

26%

22%

43%

245

Unsure

9%

29%

17%

45%

63

No

4%

21%

22%

53%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

4%

21%

22%

53%

510

Unsure

7%

30%

19%

44%

85

Disapprove

6%

24%

23%

48%

406

Very worried

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

10%

39%

13%

38%

112

Somewhat worried

6%

25%

26%

42%

283

Not too worried

4%

18%

21%

57%

341

Not at all worried

3%

18%

23%

56%

258

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

100%

Unsure

6%

49%

6%

40%

Yes

3%

19%

22%

55%

645

No

9%

29%

21%

41%

356

Approve

1%

14%

22%

63%

295

Unsure

3%

24%

23%

50%

45

Disapprove

5%

23%

23%

49%

306

(cont.)

Page 321

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
REDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION/C

REDUC

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

Some
college

TOTAL

Less than
high school

High school
graduate

College
graduate

Yes

4%

17%

20%

58%

628

No

6%

33%

22%

38%

245

Not sure

9%

30%

29%

32%

128

4 of 4

7%

13%

23%

57%

26

3 of 4

2%

9%

17%

72%

112

2 of 4

6%

23%

19%

51%

221

1 of 4

8%

33%

18%

42%

214

0 of 4

5%

21%

27%

48%

427

5-7 of 7

5%

15%

26%

54%

150

4 of 7

3%

24%

17%

56%

96

3 of 7

7%

17%

22%

54%

91

2 of 7

5%

26%

24%

45%

87

1 of 7

8%

23%

20%

49%

164

0 of 7

4%

26%

22%

48%

413

5%

23%

22%

50%

1001

Page 322

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C

RIDEOL

Conservative

TOTAL

Moderate

TOTAL

Liberal

54%

8%

39%

1001

Northeast

43%

7%

50%

195

Midwest

55%

9%

36%

181

South

61%

9%

30%

235

South Central

61%

5%

34%

96

Central Plains

51%

6%

44%

83

Mountain States

65%

11%

23%

70

West

46%

5%

49%

141

California

47%

8%

45%

89

Florida

64%

3%

33%

58

Texas

57%

3%

40%

71

New York

51%

5%

43%

56

Rest of country

53%

9%

38%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

57%

9%

34%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

51%

7%

42%

320

No Senate election

53%

8%

39%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

59%

8%

33%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

47%

8%

45%

366

No Gubernatorial election

54%

6%

39%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

57%

8%

35%

241

Other

52%

7%

40%

760

Male

59%

11%

30%

480

Female

49%

5%

47%

521

Male / employed

58%

10%

32%

324

Male / not employed

60%

12%

28%

157

Female / employed

42%

6%

52%

281

Female / not employed

56%

4%

40%

240

Not employed

51%

8%

42%

133

Employed

51%

8%

41%

605

Retired

63%

6%

31%

252

Refused

16%

20%

64%

11

18-34

45%

9%

47%

200

35-44

50%

8%

42%

280

45-64

54%

8%

38%

310

65 or over

66%

5%

29%

200

Unsure / refused

74%

15%

12%

10

18-44

48%

8%

44%

480

45-64

54%

8%

38%

310

65+

66%

5%

29%

200

Unsure / refused

74%

15%

12%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 323

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C

RIDEOL

Conservative

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

Moderate

TOTAL

Liberal

Male / under 55

56%

13%

32%

302

Male / 55+

64%

8%

28%

179

Female / under 55

42%

5%

53%

315

Female / 55+

58%

5%

37%

205

White

56%

7%

36%

751

Black / African American

47%

7%

46%

120

Hispanic / Latino

39%

8%

53%

90

Other

50%

11%

39%

40

White millenials 18-34

52%

6%

42%

128

White older voters 35+

57%

8%

35%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

33%

21%

46%

24

African American older


voters 35+

51%

4%

45%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

31%

10%

59%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

46%

6%

48%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

37%

63%

Other races older voters


35+

54%

13%

33%

32

White seniors

64%

6%

31%

255

Other

50%

8%

42%

746

White men

61%

10%

28%

368

White women

52%

5%

44%

382

Black men

46%

16%

38%

50

Black women

48%

1%

51%

70

Hispanic men

46%

8%

46%

42

Hispanic women

33%

7%

59%

48

Republican

87%

7%

7%

390

Independent

50%

14%

36%

190

Democrat

24%

5%

70%

420

Male / GOP

85%

9%

5%

214

Female / GOP

88%

3%

9%

176

Male / DEM

26%

7%

67%

161

Female / DEM

24%

4%

72%

259

Male / IND

56%

19%

26%

105

Female / IND

43%

9%

48%

85

Under 55 / GOP

83%

10%

7%

223

55 & over / GOP

91%

3%

6%

168

Under 55 / DEM

21%

6%

73%

269

55 & over / DEM

30%

5%

65%

151

Under 55 / IND

47%

12%

41%

125

55 & over / IND

55%

19%

26%

65

(cont.)

Page 324

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C

RIDEOL

Conservative

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

85%

6%

9%

448

Ticket splitter

48%

31%

21%

61

Democrat

26%

6%

68%

492

Hard GOP

88%

5%

7%

360

Soft GOP

76%

13%

11%

92

Ticket splitter

49%

25%

26%

64

Soft DEM

29%

11%

60%

84

Hard DEM

24%

5%

71%

401

Very conservative

100%

Somewhat conservative

100%

348
16%

84%

465

87%

7%

7%

390

Independent

50%

14%

36%

190
103

100%

Mod / lib DEM

7%

Liberal DEM

93%

318

100%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

81%

19%

Independent

48%

31%

21%

41%

59%

Mod / liberal GOP


Conservative GOP
RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

187

Republican

Conservative DEM

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

TOTAL

Liberal

Republican

Moderate / liberal
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

Moderate

157
61
69
379

100%

Yes / strongly

90%

2%

8%

93

Yes

93%

3%

4%

68

No / unsure

46%

9%

45%

840

Less than high school

64%

8%

28%

53

High school graduate

54%

12%

34%

227

Some college

62%

7%

31%

219

College graduate

48%

6%

46%

503

Male college graduates

57%

7%

37%

248

Male non-college
graduates

61%

15%

24%

232

Female college graduates

41%

5%

54%

254

Female non-college
graduates

56%

4%

39%

266

White non-college
graduate

60%

10%

30%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

54%

8%

37%

149

Others

48%

6%

46%

503

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

40%

7%

53%

127

Non-union household

55%

8%

37%

874

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

45%

9%

46%

215

Married

56%

7%

37%

607

No longer married

56%

8%

36%

179

REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

(cont.)

Page 325

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C

RIDEOL

Conservative

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

Moderate

TOTAL

Liberal

Dad

62%

13%

25%

171

Mom

42%

6%

52%

203

Married / children

53%

8%

39%

299

Married / no children

59%

6%

35%

308

Divorced / children

22%

27%

51%

22

Divorced / no children

58%

7%

36%

60

Single / children

51%

7%

42%

42

Single / no children

43%

9%

47%

173

Other / mixed

63%

4%

33%

97

Single women

43%

4%

53%

98

Married women

49%

5%

47%

304

No longer married women

53%

5%

42%

118

Single men

47%

13%

40%

117

Married men

63%

10%

28%

302

No longer married men

62%

13%

24%

61

White single men

50%

10%

41%

75

White single women

46%

2%

52%

46

White married men

64%

10%

26%

244

White married women

51%

5%

44%

243

White no longer married


men

66%

13%

22%

49

White no longer married


women

56%

6%

39%

93

Other

45%

8%

47%

250

Single mothers

56%

3%

41%

30

Married mothers

40%

5%

54%

150

No longer married
mothers

40%

11%

49%

23

Non-mothers

56%

8%

36%

798

Upper class

46%

8%

46%

73

Middle class

55%

6%

39%

696

Low income

52%

13%

35%

205

Working class

40%

3%

57%

Refused

36%

20%

44%

20

Middle class whites

59%

6%

35%

551

Middle class African


Americans

46%

2%

51%

63

Middle class Hispanics

32%

7%

61%

57

Middle class other races

45%

6%

49%

25

Other

49%

12%

39%

305

(cont.)

Page 326

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C

RIDEOL

Conservative

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

Moderate

TOTAL

Liberal

Roman Catholic

56%

7%

37%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

70%

9%

21%

185

Mainline Protestant

62%

6%

31%

280

Other

52%

1%

47%

45

None

30%

10%

60%

262

At least once a week

71%

8%

21%

336

At least once a month

62%

2%

36%

157

Infrequently

47%

8%

45%

191

Never

39%

11%

50%

44

Active Roman Catholics

64%

8%

28%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

77%

9%

14%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

69%

9%

22%

131

Active other

80%

1%

19%

17

Other

45%

7%

48%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

78%

8%

14%

133

Male not evangelical

52%

12%

37%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

64%

8%

29%

179

Female not evangelical

41%

3%

56%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

75%

9%

16%

222

Non-white Evangelical

57%

4%

39%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

100%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

100%

51

White non-conservative
Christians
Non-white
non-conservative
Christians
RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

38%

62%

55

9%

91%

39

Approve

26%

6%

68%

453

Unsure

45%

15%

40%

62

Disapprove

80%

8%

12%

487

Jobs

47%

9%

44%

135

Economy

49%

6%

45%

228

Health care

36%

6%

58%

99

Illegal immigration

71%

7%

22%

78

Foreign threats

70%

4%

25%

116

Deficit

63%

9%

28%

76

38%

268

Other

52%

10%

(cont.)

Page 327

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C

RIDEOL

Conservative

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Moderate

TOTAL

Liberal

Cutting taxes

77%

7%

17%

71

Reducing deficit

77%

5%

18%

126

Creating jobs

48%

9%

43%

203

Increase wages

27%

8%

65%

132

Healthcare costs

50%

10%

40%

98

Retirement

51%

3%

46%

41

Higher education

39%

5%

56%

101

Regulations

83%

4%

13%

65

Combination

54%

11%

35%

141

None

17%

17%

66%

11

Unsure

65%

11%

24%

12

Views close to own

49%

6%

45%

352

Most effective person

57%

7%

35%

571

Both

52%

14%

34%

48

Unsure

36%

21%

42%

30

Very worried

66%

8%

26%

318

Somewhat worried

53%

7%

40%

405

Not too worried

41%

4%

55%

214

Not at all worried

45%

13%

42%

56

58%

42%

7%

62%

32%

8
245

Combination
Unsure
RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

43%

7%

50%

Unsure

38%

20%

42%

63

No

58%

7%

35%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

44%

7%

50%

510

Unsure

33%

17%

50%

85

Disapprove

70%

7%

23%

406

Very worried

67%

7%

26%

112

Somewhat worried

66%

5%

29%

283

Not too worried

49%

8%

43%

341

Not at all worried

40%

8%

52%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

100%

Unsure

28%

72%

Yes

55%

5%

40%

645

No

50%

12%

38%

356

Approve

27%

5%

68%

295

Unsure

64%

12%

24%

45

Disapprove

82%

4%

15%

306

Yes

41%

6%

53%

628

No

74%

12%

14%

245

Not sure

75%

5%

20%

128

(cont.)

Page 328

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C

RIDEOL

Conservative

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

Moderate

TOTAL

Liberal

4 of 4

17%

6%

77%

26

3 of 4

9%

5%

86%

112

2 of 4

34%

5%

60%

221

1 of 4

39%

13%

48%

214

0 of 4

84%

7%

8%

427

5-7 of 7

95%

1%

4%

150

4 of 7

84%

6%

10%

96

3 of 7

76%

7%

17%

91

2 of 7

58%

8%

34%

87

1 of 7

50%

8%

41%

164

0 of 7

27%

10%

63%

413

54%

8%

39%

1001

Page 329

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C

RPARTYID

TOTAL

Republican

Independent

Democrat

39%

19%

42%

1001

Northeast

29%

23%

48%

195

Midwest

41%

17%

42%

181

South

40%

20%

39%

235

South Central

49%

14%

37%

96

Central Plains

41%

20%

39%

83

Mountain States

54%

19%

26%

70

West

32%

16%

52%

141

California

32%

18%

50%

89

Florida

36%

22%

42%

58

Texas

48%

10%

43%

71

New York

33%

18%

49%

56

Rest of country

40%

20%

40%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

43%

18%

39%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

40%

20%

40%

320

No Senate election

37%

19%

45%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

43%

18%

38%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

33%

19%

48%

366

No Gubernatorial election

41%

21%

38%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

39%

21%

41%

241

Other

39%

18%

42%

760

Male

45%

22%

34%

480

Female

34%

16%

50%

521

Male / employed

47%

21%

32%

324

Male / not employed

40%

23%

37%

157

Female / employed

35%

15%

50%

281

Female / not employed

33%

17%

50%

240

Not employed

26%

24%

50%

133

Employed

41%

19%

40%

605

Retired

42%

16%

42%

252

Refused

8%

45%

46%

11

18-34

29%

26%

45%

200

35-44

39%

17%

44%

280

45-64

38%

18%

44%

310

65 or over

50%

16%

34%

200

Unsure / refused

43%

34%

23%

10

18-44

35%

21%

44%

480

45-64

38%

18%

44%

310

65+

50%

16%

34%

200

Unsure / refused

43%

34%

23%

10

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 330

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C

RPARTYID
RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

Independent

Democrat

Male / under 55

44%

23%

32%

302

Male / 55+

45%

19%

36%

179

Female / under 55

28%

17%

55%

315

Female / 55+

43%

15%

42%

205

White

47%

19%

34%

751

5%

12%

83%

120

Hispanic / Latino

23%

21%

56%

90

Other

34%

27%

39%

40

White millenials 18-34

39%

28%

33%

128

White older voters 35+

48%

18%

34%

623

19%

81%

24

6%

10%

84%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

17%

24%

59%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

28%

19%

53%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

19%

34%

46%

Other races older voters


35+

37%

26%

37%

32

White seniors

51%

17%

32%

255

Other

35%

20%

45%

746

White men

52%

21%

28%

368

White women

42%

18%

40%

382

Black men

10%

14%

76%

50

Black women

1%

10%

89%

70

Hispanic men

23%

35%

42%

42

Hispanic women

23%

8%

68%

48

Black / African American

African American
millenials 18-34
African American older
voters 35+

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

TOTAL

Republican

Male / GOP

100%

214

Female / GOP

100%

176

Male / DEM

100%

161

Female / DEM

100%

259

Male / IND

100%

105

Female / IND

100%

85

Under 55 / GOP

100%

55 & over / GOP

100%

223
168

Under 55 / DEM

100%

269

55 & over / DEM

100%

151

Under 55 / IND

100%

55 & over / IND

100%

65

125

Republican

80%

17%

2%

448

Ticket splitter

25%

61%

14%

61

3%

15%

81%

492

Democrat
(cont.)

Page 331

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C

RPARTYID

Republican

PARTISAN PARTISAN

Independent

Hard GOP

100%

Soft GOP

17%

83%

Ticket splitter

24%

59%

17%

64

90%

10%

84

100%

401

Soft DEM

360

Hard DEM
RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

92

Conservative

63%

18%

19%

536

Moderate

34%

36%

30%

76

7%

17%

76%

389

Very conservative

68%

17%

14%

187

Somewhat conservative

60%

18%

22%

348

Moderate / liberal

11%

20%

68%

465

Liberal
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

TOTAL

Democrat

Republican

390

100%

Independent

190

100%

Conservative DEM

100%

103

Mod / lib DEM

100%

318

Liberal DEM

0%

15%

85%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

9%

17%

73%

157

Independent

25%

61%

14%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

64%

25%

11%

69

Conservative GOP

83%

16%

1%

379

Yes / strongly

69%

21%

10%

93

Yes

82%

14%

4%

68

No / unsure

32%

19%

49%

840

Less than high school

44%

27%

29%

53

High school graduate

38%

16%

46%

227

Some college

41%

20%

39%

219

College graduate

38%

19%

43%

503

Male college graduates

43%

23%

33%

248

Male non-college
graduates

46%

20%

34%

232

Female college graduates

33%

15%

52%

254

Female non-college
graduates

35%

18%

47%

266

White non-college
graduate

51%

20%

29%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

15%

16%

69%

149

Others

38%

19%

43%

503

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

30%

17%

52%

127

Non-union household

40%

19%

40%

874

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

26%

26%

48%

215

Married

44%

18%

38%

607

No longer married

37%

15%

48%

179

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

(cont.)

Page 332

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C

RPARTYID
MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

Independent

Democrat

Dad

56%

20%

25%

171

Mom

28%

14%

58%

203

Married / children

43%

16%

41%

299

Married / no children

46%

20%

34%

308

Divorced / children

14%

20%

66%

22

Divorced / no children

33%

16%

51%

60

Single / children

29%

25%

46%

42

Single / no children

25%

26%

49%

173

Other / mixed

45%

13%

43%

97

Single women

20%

24%

56%

98

Married women

38%

15%

47%

304

No longer married women

34%

13%

53%

118

Single men

30%

28%

42%

117

Married men

51%

21%

29%

302

No longer married men

42%

17%

40%

61

White single men

42%

28%

30%

75

White single women

34%

31%

35%

46

White married men

56%

19%

25%

244

White married women

44%

17%

39%

243

White no longer married


men

43%

17%

39%

49

White no longer married


women

40%

16%

45%

93

Other

16%

18%

66%

250

Single mothers

22%

26%

52%

30

Married mothers

30%

12%

58%

150

No longer married
mothers

23%

13%

65%

23

Non-mothers

42%

20%

38%

798

Upper class

35%

18%

47%

73

Middle class

43%

18%

39%

696

Low income

29%

23%

48%

205

22%

78%

Working class

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

TOTAL

Republican

Refused

31%

27%

42%

20

Middle class whites

50%

18%

32%

551

Middle class African


Americans

4%

12%

84%

63

Middle class Hispanics

23%

18%

59%

57

Middle class other races

26%

20%

53%

25

Other

30%

22%

48%

305

(cont.)

Page 333

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C

RPARTYID
RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Republican

Independent

Democrat

Roman Catholic

44%

15%

41%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

46%

19%

35%

185

Mainline Protestant

48%

19%

33%

280

Other

41%

12%

47%

45

None

20%

22%

58%

262

At least once a week

52%

18%

30%

336

At least once a month

42%

19%

39%

157

Infrequently

39%

16%

45%

191

Never

29%

24%

47%

44

Active Roman Catholics

49%

16%

34%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

55%

19%

26%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

51%

18%

30%

131

Active other

60%

13%

27%

17

Other

32%

20%

48%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

59%

18%

23%

133

Male not evangelical

39%

23%

38%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

44%

18%

38%

179

Female not evangelical

28%

16%

56%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

64%

20%

16%

222

Non-white Evangelical

18%

13%

69%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

75%

18%

7%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

25%

15%

61%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

29%

27%

44%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

10%

10%

80%

39

Approve

8%

15%

78%

453

Unsure

40%

26%

35%

62

Disapprove

68%

22%

10%

487

Jobs

27%

14%

59%

135

Economy

33%

19%

48%

228

Health care

23%

13%

65%

99

Illegal immigration

62%

16%

22%

78

Foreign threats

62%

17%

21%

116

Deficit

47%

30%

23%

76

40%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

37%

22%

(cont.)

Page 334

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C

RPARTYID
MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Republican

Independent

Democrat

Cutting taxes

53%

18%

29%

71

Reducing deficit

61%

22%

18%

126

Creating jobs

31%

16%

54%

203

Increase wages

12%

13%

76%

132

Healthcare costs

48%

25%

27%

98

Retirement

30%

22%

48%

41

Higher education

24%

23%

52%

101

Regulations

72%

13%

15%

65

Combination

41%

21%

38%

141

None

32%

17%

51%

11

Unsure

55%

36%

8%

12

Views close to own

37%

19%

44%

352

Most effective person

40%

18%

42%

571

Both

43%

22%

36%

48

Unsure

36%

32%

31%

30

Very worried

48%

25%

27%

318

Somewhat worried

41%

15%

43%

405

Not too worried

26%

16%

58%

214

Not at all worried

23%

21%

57%

56

58%

42%

Combination
Unsure

28%

7%

65%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

26%

16%

59%

245

Unsure

34%

14%

52%

63

No

44%

21%

35%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

29%

17%

53%

510

Unsure

23%

15%

62%

85

Disapprove

55%

22%

23%

406

Very worried

51%

24%

25%

112

Somewhat worried

48%

19%

33%

283

Not too worried

39%

17%

44%

341

Not at all worried

24%

20%

56%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

100%

Unsure

40%

12%

49%

Yes

42%

20%

37%

645

No

33%

17%

50%

356

Approve

18%

19%

63%

295

Unsure

41%

23%

36%

45

Disapprove

66%

21%

13%

306

Yes

31%

20%

50%

628

No

55%

19%

26%

245

Not sure

50%

15%

35%

128

(cont.)

Page 335

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C

RPARTYID
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

TOTAL

Republican

Independent

Democrat

4 of 4

3%

14%

83%

26

3 of 4

4%

13%

83%

112

2 of 4

12%

13%

75%

221

1 of 4

23%

23%

53%

214

0 of 4

72%

22%

6%

427

5-7 of 7

80%

20%

4 of 7

74%

17%

9%

96

3 of 7

68%

21%

11%

91

2 of 7

45%

28%

27%

87

1 of 7

33%

22%

45%

164

0 of 7

11%

16%

74%

413

39%

19%

42%

1001

150

Page 336

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTEAMEM IDENTIFY WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

RTEAMEM

Yes

TOTAL

Unsure

TOTAL

No

16%

8%

76%

1001

Northeast

8%

9%

83%

195

Midwest

17%

10%

73%

181

South

23%

8%

69%

235

South Central

23%

7%

71%

96

Central Plains

10%

14%

76%

83

Mountain States

13%

7%

80%

70

West

15%

5%

80%

141

California

16%

6%

78%

89

Florida

28%

7%

65%

58

Texas

22%

8%

70%

71

New York

14%

2%

85%

56

Rest of country

15%

9%

76%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

21%

10%

69%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

14%

8%

78%

320

No Senate election

15%

8%

77%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

20%

9%

70%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

12%

7%

81%

366

No Gubernatorial election

14%

9%

76%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

21%

9%

70%

241

Other

15%

8%

77%

760

Male

19%

8%

73%

480

Female

13%

9%

78%

521

Male / employed

18%

6%

76%

324

Male / not employed

23%

11%

66%

157

Female / employed

11%

5%

84%

281

Female / not employed

16%

14%

71%

240

Not employed

17%

12%

72%

133

Employed

14%

6%

80%

605

Retired

20%

13%

67%

252

Refused

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

16%

14%

70%

11

18-34

8%

5%

87%

200

35-44

14%

8%

78%

280

45-64

20%

7%

73%

310

65 or over

20%

14%

66%

200

Unsure / refused

22%

27%

50%

10

18-44

12%

7%

82%

480

45-64

20%

7%

73%

310

65+

20%

14%

66%

200

Unsure / refused

22%

27%

50%

10

(cont.)

Page 337

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTEAMEM IDENTIFY WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

RTEAMEM

Yes

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

No

Male / under 55

17%

8%

75%

302

Male / 55+

24%

7%

69%

179

Female / under 55

10%

6%

84%

315

Female / 55+

17%

14%

69%

205

White

17%

9%

74%

751

Black / African American

10%

7%

83%

120

Hispanic / Latino

12%

6%

82%

90

Other

20%

10%

70%

40

White millenials 18-34

8%

4%

88%

128

White older voters 35+

19%

10%

71%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

16%

11%

73%

24

African American older


voters 35+

9%

6%

85%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

4%

5%

91%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

19%

7%

75%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

10%

90%

Other races older voters


35+

22%

12%

65%

32

White seniors

21%

11%

68%

255

Other

15%

7%

78%

746

White men

20%

7%

73%

368

White women

14%

11%

75%

382

Black men

18%

11%

71%

50

Black women

5%

3%

92%

70

Hispanic men

13%

9%

78%

42

Hispanic women

12%

3%

85%

48

Republican

31%

9%

60%

390

Independent

15%

9%

75%

190

Democrat
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

Unsure

TOTAL

3%

7%

90%

420

Male / GOP

34%

7%

59%

214

Female / GOP

28%

12%

61%

176

Male / DEM

4%

7%

89%

161

Female / DEM

2%

7%

90%

259

Male / IND

15%

10%

75%

105

Female / IND

15%

9%

76%

85

Under 55 / GOP

27%

7%

66%

223

55 & over / GOP

36%

12%

52%

168

Under 55 / DEM

2%

5%

93%

269

55 & over / DEM

4%

11%

85%

151

Under 55 / IND

13%

10%

77%

125

55 & over / IND

20%

7%

73%

65

(cont.)

Page 338

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTEAMEM IDENTIFY WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

RTEAMEM

Yes

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

Republican

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

9%

59%

448

Ticket splitter

8%

17%

75%

61

Democrat

3%

7%

91%

492

Hard GOP

33%

10%

57%

360

Soft GOP

27%

6%

67%

92

Ticket splitter

7%

14%

79%

64

Soft DEM

2%

5%

93%

84

Hard DEM

3%

7%

90%

401

Conservative

27%

9%

64%

536

Moderate

6%

24%

70%

76

Liberal

3%

5%

93%

389

Very conservative

47%

8%

45%

187

Somewhat conservative

17%

9%

74%

348

3%

8%

89%

465

Republican

31%

9%

60%

390

Independent

15%

9%

75%

190

Conservative DEM

8%

11%

81%

103

Mod / lib DEM

1%

6%

93%

318

Liberal DEM

1%

5%

94%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

6%

11%

83%

157

Independent

8%

17%

75%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

13%

14%

73%

69

Conservative GOP

35%

8%

57%

379

Yes / strongly

100%

93

Yes

100%

68

No / unsure
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

No

32%

Moderate / liberal
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

Unsure

TOTAL

10%

90%

840

Less than high school

19%

18%

63%

53

High school graduate

14%

17%

69%

227

Some college

20%

8%

72%

219

College graduate

15%

4%

81%

503

Male college graduates

16%

4%

80%

248

Male non-college
graduates

23%

12%

65%

232

Female college graduates

13%

4%

83%

254

Female non-college
graduates

13%

14%

74%

266

White non-college
graduate

19%

14%

68%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

15%

11%

75%

149

Others

15%

4%

81%

503

Union household

14%

4%

82%

127

Non-union household

16%

9%

75%

874

(cont.)

Page 339

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTEAMEM IDENTIFY WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

RTEAMEM

Yes

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

12%

4%

84%

215

Married

18%

8%

74%

607

No longer married

13%

15%

72%

179

Dad

18%

7%

74%

171

Mom

11%

6%

83%

203

Married / children

16%

7%

78%

299

Married / no children

21%

9%

70%

308

2%

14%

84%

22

Divorced / no children

12%

13%

75%

60

Single / children

10%

3%

88%

42

Single / no children

13%

4%

83%

173

Other / mixed

17%

16%

67%

97

Single women

8%

2%

90%

98

Married women

15%

8%

77%

304

No longer married women

12%

18%

70%

118

Single men

16%

5%

79%

117

Married men

22%

8%

70%

302

No longer married men

16%

9%

75%

61

White single men

17%

1%

82%

75

White single women

7%

4%

90%

46

White married men

22%

8%

70%

244

White married women

15%

8%

76%

243

White no longer married


men

16%

10%

74%

49

White no longer married


women

15%

21%

64%

93

Other

13%

7%

81%

250

Single mothers

8%

4%

88%

30

Married mothers

11%

6%

83%

150

No longer married
mothers

14%

9%

77%

23

Non-mothers

17%

9%

74%

798

Upper class

23%

2%

74%

73

Middle class

17%

7%

76%

696

Low income

11%

14%

75%

205

97%

Working class

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

No

Single

Divorced / children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

Unsure

TOTAL

3%

Refused

14%

30%

56%

20

Middle class whites

18%

7%

74%

551

Middle class African


Americans

12%

4%

84%

63

Middle class Hispanics

10%

5%

86%

57

Middle class other races

21%

5%

74%

25

Other

14%

12%

74%

305

(cont.)

Page 340

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTEAMEM IDENTIFY WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

RTEAMEM

Yes

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

18%

8%

74%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

27%

14%

59%

185

Mainline Protestant

17%

7%

76%

280

6%

3%

91%

45

None

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

7%

6%

87%

262

At least once a week

24%

11%

66%

336

At least once a month

16%

6%

78%

157

Infrequently

13%

7%

80%

191

Never

15%

14%

71%

44

Active Roman Catholics

19%

7%

74%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

33%

15%

51%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

21%

11%

68%

131

Active other

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

No

Roman Catholic

Other

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

Unsure

TOTAL

3%

1%

95%

17

Other

12%

7%

80%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

34%

11%

55%

133

Male not evangelical

14%

6%

80%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

19%

13%

69%

179

Female not evangelical

10%

7%

83%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

30%

14%

56%

222

Non-white Evangelical

14%

7%

79%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

36%

11%

52%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

21%

5%

74%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

9%

23%

68%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

6%

9%

85%

39

Approve

3%

6%

92%

453

Unsure

9%

17%

74%

62

Disapprove

30%

10%

61%

487

Jobs

14%

6%

80%

135

Economy

15%

5%

80%

228

1%

8%

91%

99

Illegal immigration

26%

12%

62%

78

Foreign threats

23%

7%

71%

116

Deficit

21%

8%

71%

76

71%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Health care

Other

17%

12%

(cont.)

Page 341

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTEAMEM IDENTIFY WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

RTEAMEM

Yes

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

31%

5%

64%

71

Reducing deficit

22%

5%

74%

126

Creating jobs

9%

5%

86%

203

Increase wages

2%

8%

90%

132

Healthcare costs

13%

14%

72%

98

6%

20%

74%

41

Higher education

10%

5%

86%

101

Regulations

50%

6%

44%

65

Combination

20%

14%

66%

141

9%

8%

83%

11

Unsure

33%

17%

50%

12

Views close to own

20%

6%

74%

352

Most effective person

13%

9%

78%

571

Both

24%

17%

59%

48

Unsure

12%

21%

67%

30

Very worried

26%

10%

64%

318

Somewhat worried

15%

8%

77%

405

Not too worried

7%

4%

89%

214

Not at all worried

5%

8%

None

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

No

Cutting taxes

Retirement

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Unsure

TOTAL

Combination
Unsure

87%

56

100%

7%

67%

27%

8
245

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

10%

7%

83%

Unsure

14%

20%

67%

63

19%

8%

74%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

9%

7%

85%

510

Unsure

11%

19%

70%

85

Disapprove

27%

8%

65%

406

Very worried

29%

13%

57%

112

Somewhat worried

24%

11%

66%

283

Not too worried

13%

5%

81%

341

Not at all worried

6%

6%

88%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

No

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

100%

Unsure

81%

19%

Yes

19%

4%

77%

645

No

12%

16%

73%

356

Approve

6%

3%

91%

295

Unsure

14%

10%

76%

45

Disapprove

32%

5%

63%

306

(cont.)

Page 342

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RTEAMEM IDENTIFY WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

RTEAMEM

Yes

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

No

Yes

11%

4%

84%

628

No

25%

17%

59%

245

Not sure

23%

12%

65%

128

3%

97%

26

4 of 4
3 of 4

1%

99%

112

2 of 4

4%

5%

91%

221

1 of 4

11%

11%

78%

214

0 of 4

30%

11%

59%

427

5-7 of 7

45%

9%

46%

150

4 of 7

31%

7%

63%

96

3 of 7

21%

8%

70%

91

2 of 7

17%

6%

76%

87

1 of 7

9%

10%

81%

164

4%

8%

88%

413

16%

8%

76%

1001

0 of 7
TOTAL

Unsure

TOTAL

Page 343

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C

RPARTY

Republican Ticket splitter

TOTAL

TOTAL

Democrat

45%

6%

49%

1001

Northeast

34%

4%

62%

195

Midwest

46%

6%

47%

181

South

48%

7%

45%

235

South Central

55%

7%

39%

96

Central Plains

45%

10%

45%

83

Mountain States

61%

3%

36%

70

West

36%

6%

58%

141

California

36%

7%

57%

89

Florida

45%

10%

46%

58

Texas

51%

6%

42%

71

New York

32%

8%

60%

56

Rest of country

46%

6%

48%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

51%

6%

43%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

44%

6%

51%

320

No Senate election

43%

6%

51%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

50%

7%

43%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

36%

6%

58%

366

No Gubernatorial election

49%

5%

46%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

48%

7%

45%

241

Other

44%

6%

51%

760

Male

52%

7%

41%

480

Female

38%

6%

56%

521

Male / employed

54%

7%

40%

324

Male / not employed

49%

7%

44%

157

Female / employed

39%

4%

57%

281

Female / not employed

37%

7%

56%

240

Not employed

31%

8%

62%

133

Employed

47%

5%

48%

605

Retired

48%

6%

46%

252

Refused

30%

25%

45%

11

18-34

33%

9%

57%

200

35-44

45%

6%

49%

280

45-64

46%

3%

51%

310

65 or over

53%

8%

38%

200

Unsure / refused

60%

19%

20%

10

18-44

40%

7%

53%

480

45-64

46%

3%

51%

310

65+

53%

8%

38%

200

Unsure / refused

60%

19%

20%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 344

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C

RPARTY

Republican Ticket splitter

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

Male / under 55

51%

7%

41%

302

Male / 55+

53%

6%

41%

179

Female / under 55

33%

5%

62%

315

Female / 55+

46%

6%

48%

205

White

53%

6%

41%

751

5%

3%

92%

120

Hispanic / Latino

31%

10%

59%

90

Other

37%

15%

47%

40

White millenials 18-34

45%

6%

49%

128

White older voters 35+

55%

6%

40%

623

6%

94%

24

6%

2%

92%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

21%

20%

59%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

40%

1%

59%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

16%

6%

79%

Other races older voters


35+

43%

17%

40%

32

White seniors

56%

7%

37%

255

Other

41%

6%

53%

746

White men

60%

5%

35%

368

White women

47%

6%

47%

382

Black men

11%

6%

83%

50

1%

99%

70

Black / African American

African American
millenials 18-34
African American older
voters 35+

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

Black women

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

Hispanic men

34%

14%

52%

42

Hispanic women

29%

6%

65%

48

Republican

92%

4%

4%

390

Independent

40%

20%

40%

190

Democrat
RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL

Democrat

3%

2%

95%

420

Male / GOP

91%

4%

5%

214

Female / GOP

93%

4%

3%

176

Male / DEM

4%

3%

93%

161

Female / DEM

2%

1%

97%

259

Male / IND

46%

19%

35%

105

Female / IND

33%

21%

46%

85

Under 55 / GOP

92%

4%

4%

223

55 & over / GOP

93%

4%

3%

168

Under 55 / DEM

3%

2%

95%

269

55 & over / DEM

1%

3%

96%

151

Under 55 / IND

36%

20%

44%

125

55 & over / IND

49%

19%

32%

65

(cont.)

Page 345

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C

RPARTY

Republican Ticket splitter

PARTISAN PARTISAN

Hard GOP

100%

Soft GOP

83%

17%

Ticket splitter

17%

59%

24%

64

10%

90%

84

100%

401

Soft DEM

360

Hard DEM
RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

92

Conservative

71%

6%

24%

536

Moderate

37%

25%

38%

76

Liberal

10%

3%

86%

389

Very conservative

79%

4%

17%

187

Somewhat conservative

66%

7%

27%

348

Moderate / liberal

15%

7%

78%

465

Republican

92%

4%

4%

390

Independent

40%

20%

40%

190

Conservative DEM

4%

4%

92%

103

Mod / lib DEM

2%

1%

96%

318

Liberal DEM

100%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

100%

157

Independent

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

TOTAL

Democrat

61

100%

Mod / liberal GOP

100%

69

Conservative GOP

100%

379

Yes / strongly

85%

3%

11%

93

Yes

94%

2%

4%

68

No / unsure

36%

7%

57%

840

Less than high school

40%

24%

37%

53

High school graduate

41%

7%

51%

227

Some college

48%

7%

45%

219

College graduate

45%

3%

51%

503

Male college graduates

54%

4%

42%

248

Male non-college
graduates

50%

10%

40%

232

Female college graduates

37%

3%

60%

254

Female non-college
graduates

39%

8%

53%

266

White non-college
graduate

55%

9%

36%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

17%

10%

73%

149

Others

45%

3%

51%

503

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

32%

6%

61%

127

Non-union household

47%

6%

47%

874

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

32%

8%

61%

215

Married

51%

5%

43%

607

No longer married

38%

7%

55%

179

REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

(cont.)

Page 346

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C

RPARTY

Republican Ticket splitter

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

TOTAL

Democrat

Dad

59%

7%

34%

171

Mom

32%

7%

61%

203

Married / children

48%

6%

46%

299

Married / no children

55%

5%

41%

308

Divorced / children

11%

10%

79%

22

Divorced / no children

37%

5%

58%

60

Single / children

31%

13%

56%

42

Single / no children

32%

6%

62%

173

Other / mixed

46%

7%

47%

97

Single women

23%

7%

70%

98

Married women

44%

5%

51%

304

No longer married women

35%

7%

58%

118

Single men

39%

8%

53%

117

Married men

58%

6%

35%

302

No longer married men

46%

6%

48%

61

White single men

54%

5%

41%

75

White single women

40%

7%

54%

46

White married men

64%

6%

31%

244

White married women

50%

5%

45%

243

White no longer married


men

49%

4%

46%

49

White no longer married


women

41%

8%

51%

93

Other

20%

7%

73%

250

Single mothers

30%

12%

58%

30

Married mothers

34%

5%

61%

150

No longer married
mothers

23%

9%

68%

23

Non-mothers

48%

6%

46%

798

Upper class

44%

4%

53%

73

Middle class

50%

4%

46%

696

Low income

28%

12%

59%

205

Working class

11%

89%

Refused

48%

17%

35%

20

Middle class whites

57%

4%

38%

551

Middle class African


Americans

4%

2%

93%

63

Middle class Hispanics

35%

9%

57%

57

Middle class other races

35%

5%

61%

25

Other

33%

10%

57%

305

(cont.)

Page 347

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C

RPARTY

Republican Ticket splitter

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Democrat

Roman Catholic

48%

5%

46%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

53%

6%

40%

185

Mainline Protestant

57%

5%

38%

280

Other

46%

54%

45

None

23%

8%

69%

262

At least once a week

62%

5%

34%

336

At least once a month

48%

8%

44%

157

Infrequently

40%

5%

55%

191

Never

37%

3%

60%

44

Active Roman Catholics

61%

4%

35%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

65%

4%

31%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

59%

6%

35%

131

Active other

70%

30%

17

Other

36%

7%

57%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

69%

7%

25%

133

Male not evangelical

46%

7%

47%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

53%

6%

41%

179

Female not evangelical

30%

6%

64%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

75%

7%

18%

222

Non-white Evangelical

22%

5%

73%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

85%

5%

10%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

29%

5%

66%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

45%

12%

43%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

13%

5%

82%

39

Approve

9%

3%

87%

453

Unsure

36%

18%

45%

62

Disapprove

79%

7%

14%

487

Jobs

28%

7%

66%

135

Economy

39%

4%

58%

228

Health care

23%

4%

73%

99

Illegal immigration

73%

4%

23%

78

Foreign threats

66%

5%

29%

116

Deficit

63%

3%

34%

76

46%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

44%

10%

(cont.)

Page 348

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C

RPARTY

Republican Ticket splitter

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Democrat

Cutting taxes

66%

2%

32%

71

Reducing deficit

72%

6%

22%

126

Creating jobs

34%

6%

60%

203

Increase wages

13%

2%

84%

132

Healthcare costs

50%

9%

41%

98

Retirement

39%

61%

41

Higher education

28%

9%

63%

101

Regulations

85%

1%

15%

65

Combination

46%

10%

44%

141

None

15%

25%

60%

11

Unsure

82%

6%

13%

12

Views close to own

46%

5%

49%

352

Most effective person

44%

5%

51%

571

Both

56%

8%

36%

48

Unsure

35%

29%

36%

30

Very worried

58%

7%

35%

318

Somewhat worried

47%

4%

49%

405

Not too worried

26%

6%

68%

214

Not at all worried

29%

14%

Combination

57%

56

100%

Unsure

30%

34%

36%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

27%

6%

67%

245

Unsure

34%

9%

57%

63

No

52%

6%

42%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

33%

5%

62%

510

Unsure

28%

7%

65%

85

Disapprove

63%

7%

30%

406

Very worried

60%

7%

33%

112

Somewhat worried

55%

5%

40%

283

Not too worried

44%

5%

51%

341

Not at all worried

28%

8%

64%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

100%

Unsure

40%

12%

49%

Yes

49%

5%

46%

645

No

37%

8%

54%

356

Approve

20%

5%

75%

295

Unsure

43%

10%

47%

45

Disapprove

77%

4%

18%

306

Yes

35%

6%

58%

628

No

65%

4%

31%

245

Not sure

53%

8%

39%

128

(cont.)

Page 349

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C

RPARTY

Republican Ticket splitter

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

4 of 4

7%

3 of 4

2%

2 of 4

TOTAL

Democrat

93%

26

3%

95%

112

13%

5%

82%

221

1 of 4

28%

7%

65%

214

0 of 4

83%

7%

10%

427

5-7 of 7

96%

2%

2%

150

4 of 7

81%

5%

14%

96

3 of 7

74%

5%

21%

91

2 of 7

53%

14%

33%

87

1 of 7

36%

7%

58%

164

0 of 7

13%

6%

81%

413

45%

6%

49%

1001

Page 350

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

RUNION

Union
household

Non-union
household

13%

87%

1001

Northeast

20%

80%

195

Midwest

14%

86%

181

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

South

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

TOTAL

4%

96%

235

South Central

10%

90%

96

Central Plains

12%

88%

83

Mountain States

10%

90%

70

West

19%

81%

141

California

17%

83%

89

Florida

8%

92%

58

Texas

10%

90%

71

New York

25%

75%

56

Rest of country

12%

88%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

7%

93%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

11%

89%

320

No Senate election

17%

83%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

11%

89%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

17%

83%

366

No Gubernatorial election

9%

91%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

7%

93%

241

Other

15%

85%

760

Male

11%

89%

480

Female

14%

86%

521

Male / employed

13%

87%

324

Male / not employed

8%

92%

157

Female / employed

18%

82%

281

Female / not employed

9%

91%

240

Not employed

4%

96%

133

Employed

15%

85%

605

Retired

11%

89%

252

Refused

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

14%

86%

11

18-34

8%

92%

200

35-44

12%

88%

280

45-64

18%

82%

310

65 or over

10%

90%

200

Unsure / refused

15%

85%

10

(cont.)

Page 351

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

RUNION

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

Union
household

Non-union
household

18-44

11%

89%

480

45-64

18%

82%

310

65+

10%

90%

200

Unsure / refused

15%

85%

10

Male / under 55

10%

90%

302

Male / 55+

13%

87%

179

Female / under 55

12%

88%

315

Female / 55+

16%

84%

205

White

13%

87%

751

Black / African American

13%

87%

120

Hispanic / Latino

17%

83%

90

Other

7%

93%

40

White millenials 18-34

9%

91%

128

White older voters 35+

13%

87%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

10%

90%

24

African American older


voters 35+

13%

87%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

7%

93%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

25%

75%

49

100%

9%

91%

32

White seniors

11%

89%

255

Other

13%

87%

746

White men

12%

88%

368

White women

13%

87%

382

9%

91%

50

Black women

15%

85%

70

Hispanic men

Other races millenials


18-34
Other races older voters
35+
WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

Black men

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

TOTAL

9%

91%

42

Hispanic women

23%

77%

48

Republican

10%

90%

390

Independent

12%

88%

190

Democrat

16%

84%

420

Male / GOP

10%

90%

214

9%

91%

176

Male / DEM

11%

89%

161

Female / DEM

19%

81%

259

Male / IND

14%

86%

105

9%

91%

85

Female / GOP

Female / IND
(cont.)

Page 352

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

RUNION

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

Union
household

Non-union
household

Under 55 / GOP

8%

92%

223

55 & over / GOP

12%

88%

168

Under 55 / DEM

15%

85%

269

55 & over / DEM

18%

82%

151

Under 55 / IND

10%

90%

125

55 & over / IND

14%

86%

65

9%

91%

448

Ticket splitter

13%

87%

61

Democrat

16%

84%

492

Hard GOP

9%

91%

360

Soft GOP

10%

90%

92

9%

91%

64

Soft DEM

15%

85%

84

Hard DEM

16%

84%

401

9%

91%

536

Moderate

12%

88%

76

Liberal

17%

83%

389

Republican

Ticket splitter

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

Conservative

Very conservative

9%

91%

187

Somewhat conservative

10%

90%

348

Moderate / liberal

16%

84%

465

Republican

10%

90%

390

Independent

12%

88%

190

Conservative DEM

10%

90%

103

Mod / lib DEM

18%

82%

318

Liberal DEM

19%

81%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

10%

90%

157

Independent

61

13%

87%

Mod / liberal GOP

8%

92%

69

Conservative GOP

9%

91%

379

13%

87%

93

9%

91%

68

Yes / strongly
Yes
No / unsure

REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

TOTAL

13%

87%

840

Less than high school

3%

97%

53

High school graduate

10%

90%

227

Some college

12%

88%

219

College graduate

15%

85%

503

Male college graduates

12%

88%

248

Male non-college
graduates

11%

89%

232

Female college graduates

18%

82%

254

Female non-college
graduates

10%

90%

266

(cont.)

Page 353

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

RUNION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Union
household

Non-union
household

9%

91%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

14%

86%

149

Others

15%

85%

503

Single

11%

89%

215

Married

15%

85%

607

9%

91%

179

Dad

17%

83%

171

Mom

14%

86%

203

Married / children

17%

83%

299

Married / no children

12%

88%

308

3%

97%

22

Divorced / no children

14%

86%

60

Single / children

White non-college
graduate

No longer married
MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

Divorced / children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

TOTAL

16%

84%

42

Single / no children

9%

91%

173

Other / mixed

7%

93%

97

Single women

16%

84%

98

Married women

15%

85%

304

No longer married women

8%

92%

118

Single men

6%

94%

117

Married men

14%

86%

302

No longer married men

10%

90%

61
75

White single men

9%

91%

White single women

18%

82%

46

White married men

14%

86%

244

White married women

15%

85%

243

White no longer married


men

7%

93%

49

White no longer married


women

5%

95%

93

Other

13%

87%

250

Single mothers

16%

84%

30

Married mothers

16%

84%

150

No longer married
mothers

3%

97%

23

Non-mothers

12%

88%

798

Upper class

10%

90%

73

Middle class

15%

85%

696

Low income

7%

93%

205

Working class
Refused

17%

100%

83%

20

(cont.)

Page 354

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

RUNION

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

Union
household

Non-union
household

Middle class whites

15%

85%

551

Middle class African


Americans

17%

83%

63

Middle class Hispanics

15%

85%

57

Middle class other races

6%

94%

25

Other
RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

8%

92%

305

23%

77%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

7%

93%

185

Mainline Protestant

9%

91%

280

16%

84%

45

Roman Catholic

Other

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

None

13%

87%

262

At least once a week

11%

89%

336

At least once a month

17%

83%

157

Infrequently

13%

87%

191

Never

12%

88%

44

Active Roman Catholics

19%

81%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

6%

94%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

9%

91%

131

11%

89%

17

Active other

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Other

14%

86%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

11%

89%

133

Male not evangelical

11%

89%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

6%

94%

179

Female not evangelical

18%

82%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

9%

91%

222

Non-white Evangelical

7%

93%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

9%

91%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

5%

95%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

8%

92%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

9%

91%

39

Approve

16%

84%

453

Unsure

11%

89%

62

Disapprove

10%

90%

487

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
(cont.)

Page 355

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

RUNION

RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Union
household

Non-union
household

17%

83%

135

Economy

9%

91%

228

Health care

7%

93%

99

Illegal immigration

Jobs

9%

91%

78

Foreign threats

16%

84%

116

Deficit

10%

90%

76

Other

15%

85%

268

Cutting taxes

19%

81%

71

Reducing deficit

11%

89%

126

Creating jobs

11%

89%

203

Increase wages

15%

85%

132

Healthcare costs

9%

91%

98

Retirement

15%

85%

41

Higher education

12%

88%

101

Regulations

10%

90%

65

Combination

13%

87%

141

None

26%

74%

11

Unsure

33%

67%

12

Views close to own

16%

84%

352

Most effective person

11%

89%

571

Both

16%

84%

48

Unsure

10%

90%

30

Very worried

14%

86%

318

Somewhat worried

12%

88%

405

Not too worried

13%

87%

214

Not at all worried

9%

91%

56

100%

Combination
Unsure

100%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

12%

88%

245

Unsure

20%

80%

63

No

12%

88%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

15%

85%

510

Unsure

18%

82%

85

Disapprove

9%

91%

406

Very worried

14%

86%

112

Somewhat worried

14%

86%

283

Not too worried

13%

87%

341

Not at all worried

11%

89%

258

100%

94%

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination
Unsure

6%

(cont.)

Page 356

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

RUNION

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

Union
household

Non-union
household

Yes

12%

88%

645

No

13%

87%

356

Approve

15%

85%

295

Unsure

14%

86%

45

Disapprove
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

TOTAL

9%

91%

306

Yes

14%

86%

628

No

10%

90%

245

Not sure

12%

88%

128

4 of 4

10%

90%

26

3 of 4

22%

78%

112

2 of 4

14%

86%

221

1 of 4

14%

86%

214

0 of 4

9%

91%

427

5-7 of 7

10%

90%

150

4 of 7

14%

86%

96

3 of 7

9%

91%

91

2 of 7

8%

92%

87

1 of 7

11%

89%

164

0 of 7

16%

84%

413

13%

87%

1001

Page 357

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C

RMARITAL

Single

TOTAL

Married

TOTAL

No longer
married

22%

61%

18%

1001

Northeast

19%

64%

16%

195

Midwest

27%

52%

21%

181

South

16%

64%

20%

235

South Central

26%

56%

19%

96

Central Plains

21%

63%

16%

83

Mountain States

18%

65%

18%

70

West

26%

60%

14%

141

California

21%

60%

18%

89

Florida

15%

64%

20%

58

Texas

30%

54%

16%

71

New York

19%

66%

15%

56

Rest of country

21%

60%

18%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

24%

56%

20%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

22%

62%

17%

320

No Senate election

20%

62%

18%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

21%

60%

20%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

23%

61%

16%

366

No Gubernatorial election

20%

62%

18%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

18%

64%

18%

241

Other

23%

59%

18%

760

Male

24%

63%

13%

480

Female

19%

58%

23%

521

Male / employed

26%

68%

6%

324

Male / not employed

21%

52%

27%

157

Female / employed

22%

66%

12%

281

Female / not employed

15%

50%

35%

240

Not employed

30%

57%

13%

133

Employed

24%

67%

9%

605

Retired

9%

49%

42%

252

Refused

40%

32%

29%

11

18-34

51%

46%

3%

200

35-44

19%

71%

10%

280

45-64

15%

65%

19%

310

6%

53%

41%

200

Unsure / refused

12%

77%

11%

10

18-44

32%

61%

7%

480

45-64

15%

65%

19%

310

6%

53%

41%

200

12%

77%

11%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

65 or over

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

65+
Unsure / refused
(cont.)

Page 358

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C

RMARITAL

Single

RR96FL AGE / SEX

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL

No longer
married

Male / under 55

33%

61%

6%

302

Male / 55+

10%

67%

23%

179

Female / under 55

25%

62%

12%

315

Female / 55+
RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

Married

9%

52%

39%

205

White

16%

65%

19%

751

Black / African American

45%

34%

21%

120

Hispanic / Latino

33%

61%

6%

90

Other

25%

59%

16%

40

White millenials 18-34

43%

54%

2%

128

White older voters 35+

11%

67%

22%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

80%

20%

African American older


voters 35+

37%

38%

26%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

54%

42%

4%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

15%

77%

8%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

66%

24%

10%

Other races older voters


35+

15%

68%

17%

32

7%

57%

35%

255

Other

26%

62%

12%

746

White men

20%

66%

13%

368

White women

12%

64%

24%

382

Black men

46%

40%

14%

50

Black women

45%

29%

26%

70

Hispanic men

37%

60%

3%

42

Hispanic women

30%

61%

9%

48

Republican

14%

69%

17%

390

Independent

29%

57%

14%

190

Democrat

25%

55%

21%

420

Male / GOP

17%

71%

12%

214

Female / GOP

11%

66%

23%

176

Male / DEM

31%

54%

15%

161

Female / DEM

21%

55%

24%

259

Male / IND

31%

59%

10%

105

Female / IND

28%

54%

18%

85

Under 55 / GOP

22%

72%

6%

223

55 & over / GOP

3%

65%

31%

168

Under 55 / DEM

30%

56%

14%

269

55 & over / DEM

15%

51%

33%

151

Under 55 / IND

39%

55%

6%

125

55 & over / IND

11%

61%

28%

65

White seniors

24

(cont.)

Page 359

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C

RMARITAL

Single

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Married

TOTAL

No longer
married

Republican

15%

69%

15%

448

Ticket splitter

27%

53%

20%

61

Democrat

27%

54%

20%

492

Hard GOP

14%

69%

17%

360

Soft GOP

18%

70%

12%

92

Ticket splitter

26%

61%

12%

64

Soft DEM

37%

43%

20%

84

Hard DEM

25%

55%

21%

401

Conservative

18%

63%

19%

536

Moderate

25%

57%

19%

76

Liberal

26%

58%

16%

389

Very conservative

15%

63%

22%

187

Somewhat conservative

20%

63%

17%

348

Moderate / liberal

25%

58%

17%

465

Republican

14%

69%

17%

390

Independent

29%

57%

14%

190

Conservative DEM

22%

45%

34%

103

Mod / lib DEM

26%

58%

16%

318

Liberal DEM

26%

57%

16%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

27%

45%

28%

157

Independent

27%

53%

20%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

19%

65%

15%

69

Conservative GOP

15%

70%

15%

379

Yes / strongly

15%

71%

14%

93

Yes

18%

66%

16%

68

No / unsure

22%

59%

18%

840

Less than high school

38%

36%

26%

53

High school graduate

19%

61%

20%

227

Some college

29%

47%

24%

219

College graduate

18%

69%

13%

503

Male college graduates

19%

72%

10%

248

Male non-college
graduates

31%

54%

16%

232

Female college graduates

17%

66%

16%

254

Female non-college
graduates

20%

51%

29%

266

White non-college
graduate

17%

59%

24%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

43%

37%

20%

149

Others

18%

69%

13%

503

Union household

18%

69%

13%

127

Non-union household

22%

59%

19%

874

(cont.)

Page 360

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C

RMARITAL

Single

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

Married

Dad

7%

87%

5%

171

Mom

15%

74%

12%

203

Married / children

100%

299

Married / no children

100%

308

Divorced / children

100%

22

Divorced / no children

100%

60

Single / children

100%

42

Single / no children

100%

173

Other / mixed
GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

Single women

100%

Married women

Single men

100%

100%

61

100%

75

White single women

100%

46

White married men

100%

244

White married women

100%

243

White no longer married


men

100%

49

White no longer married


women

100%

93

15%

250

Single mothers

38%

48%

30

100%

Married mothers

150

100%

No longer married
mothers

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

302

100%

White single men

Other

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

118
117

100%

No longer married men

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

304

100%

Married men

97
98

100%

No longer married women

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

TOTAL

No longer
married

100%

23
798

Non-mothers

23%

57%

20%

Upper class

13%

77%

10%

73

Middle class

18%

67%

15%

696

Low income

34%

35%

31%

205

Working class

32%

40%

27%

Refused

25%

54%

22%

20

Middle class whites

14%

70%

16%

551

Middle class African


Americans

43%

44%

13%

63

Middle class Hispanics

28%

69%

3%

57

Middle class other races

26%

61%

13%

25

Other

28%

46%

25%

305

(cont.)

Page 361

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C

RMARITAL

Single

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

23%

64%

14%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

19%

58%

23%

185

Mainline Protestant

18%

62%

21%

280

Other

14%

81%

4%

45

None

27%

56%

17%

262

At least once a week

17%

66%

17%

336

At least once a month

17%

69%

15%

157

Infrequently

26%

53%

21%

191

Never

30%

49%

21%

44

Active Roman Catholics

18%

69%

12%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

14%

66%

20%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

17%

63%

21%

131

Active other

25%

73%

1%

17

Other

24%

58%

18%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

17%

73%

10%

133

Male not evangelical

27%

59%

14%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

13%

58%

29%

179

Female not evangelical

22%

59%

19%

342

9%

70%

21%

222

29%

50%

21%

90

8%

71%

21%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

26%

53%

22%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

11%

68%

21%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

34%

48%

19%

39

Approve

30%

50%

20%

453

Unsure

30%

57%

13%

62

Disapprove

12%

71%

17%

487

Jobs

26%

56%

17%

135

Economy

29%

57%

14%

228

Health care

17%

62%

20%

99

Illegal immigration

13%

65%

21%

78

Foreign threats

15%

68%

17%

116

Deficit

21%

64%

15%

76

21%

268

White Evangelical

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

TOTAL

No longer
married

Roman Catholic

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

Married

Non-white Evangelical

Other

20%

59%

(cont.)

Page 362

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C

RMARITAL

Single

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

Married

TOTAL

No longer
married

Cutting taxes

13%

72%

15%

71

Reducing deficit

17%

64%

20%

126

Creating jobs

23%

61%

16%

203

Increase wages

25%

56%

19%

132

Healthcare costs

10%

66%

24%

98

Retirement

23%

56%

21%

41

Higher education

43%

39%

18%

101

Regulations

17%

71%

11%

65

Combination

17%

65%

18%

141

None

57%

31%

12%

11

Unsure

11%

80%

9%

12

Views close to own

18%

70%

12%

352

Most effective person

24%

55%

21%

571

Both

17%

69%

13%

48

Unsure

19%

47%

33%

30

Very worried

15%

64%

21%

318

Somewhat worried

24%

60%

16%

405

Not too worried

23%

62%

15%

214

28%

45%

27%

56

Not at all worried


Combination

100%

Unsure

57%

36%

7%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

31%

52%

17%

245

Unsure

26%

62%

12%

63

No

18%

63%

19%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

22%

62%

16%

510

Unsure

25%

52%

22%

85

Disapprove

21%

60%

19%

406

Very worried

19%

61%

20%

112

Somewhat worried

18%

59%

23%

283

Not too worried

19%

66%

15%

341

Not at all worried

29%

55%

16%

258

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

100%

Unsure

36%

43%

21%

Yes

20%

64%

16%

645

No

24%

55%

21%

356

Approve

28%

56%

15%

295

8%

83%

9%

45

14%

68%

18%

306

Unsure
Disapprove

(cont.)

Page 363

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C

RMARITAL

Single

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

Married

TOTAL

No longer
married

Yes

25%

59%

16%

628

No

14%

66%

20%

245

Not sure

18%

59%

23%

128

4 of 4

22%

65%

13%

26

3 of 4

21%

61%

18%

112

2 of 4

35%

49%

16%

221

1 of 4

21%

54%

25%

214

0 of 4

15%

70%

16%

427

5-7 of 7

9%

74%

16%

150

4 of 7

9%

77%

14%

96

3 of 7

15%

69%

16%

91

2 of 7

21%

58%

22%

87

1 of 7

26%

55%

19%

164

0 of 7

29%

53%

18%

413

22%

61%

18%

1001

Page 364

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCHILD HAVE CHILDREN
LIVING AT HOME/C

RCHILD

Yes

TOTAL

TOTAL

No

37%

63%

1001

Northeast

38%

62%

195

Midwest

37%

63%

181

South

36%

64%

235

South Central

39%

61%

96

Central Plains

42%

58%

83

Mountain States

32%

68%

70

West

37%

63%

141

California

36%

64%

89

Florida

29%

71%

58

Texas

39%

61%

71

New York

39%

61%

56

Rest of country

38%

62%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

40%

60%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

36%

64%

320

No Senate election

37%

63%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

39%

61%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

35%

65%

366

No Gubernatorial election

38%

62%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

35%

65%

241

Other

38%

62%

760

Male

36%

64%

480

Female

39%

61%

521

Male / employed

49%

51%

324

Male / not employed

9%

91%

157

Female / employed

52%

48%

281

Female / not employed

23%

77%

240

Not employed

41%

59%

133

Employed

50%

50%

605

Retired

5%

95%

252

Refused

15%

85%

11

18-34

46%

54%

200

35-44

71%

29%

280

45-64

25%

75%

310

1%

99%

200

Unsure / refused

13%

87%

10

18-44

61%

39%

480

45-64

25%

75%

310

1%

99%

200

13%

87%

10

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

65 or over

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

65+
Unsure / refused
(cont.)

Page 365

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCHILD HAVE CHILDREN
LIVING AT HOME/C

RCHILD

Yes

RR96FL AGE / SEX

Male / under 55
Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL

No

52%

48%

302

8%

92%

179

62%

38%

315

4%

96%

205

White

37%

63%

751

Black / African American

31%

69%

120

Hispanic / Latino

41%

59%

90

Other

52%

48%

40

White millenials 18-34

48%

52%

128

White older voters 35+

35%

65%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

36%

64%

24

African American older


voters 35+

30%

70%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

41%

59%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

41%

59%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

64%

36%

Other races older voters


35+

49%

51%

32

2%

98%

255

Other

49%

51%

746

White men

37%

63%

368

White women

37%

63%

382

Black men

22%

78%

50

Black women

38%

62%

70

Hispanic men

28%

72%

42

Hispanic women

53%

47%

48

Republican

39%

61%

390

Independent

33%

67%

190

Democrat

38%

62%

420

Male / GOP

44%

56%

214

Female / GOP

32%

68%

176

Male / DEM

26%

74%

161

Female / DEM

46%

54%

259

Male / IND

32%

68%

105

Female / IND

34%

66%

85

Under 55 / GOP

64%

36%

223

55 & over / GOP

6%

94%

168

Under 55 / DEM

56%

44%

269

55 & over / DEM

7%

93%

151

Under 55 / IND

47%

53%

125

55 & over / IND

6%

94%

65

White seniors

(cont.)

Page 366

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCHILD HAVE CHILDREN
LIVING AT HOME/C

RCHILD

Yes

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

No

Republican

37%

63%

448

Ticket splitter

42%

58%

61

Democrat

37%

63%

492

Hard GOP

38%

62%

360

Soft GOP

36%

64%

92

Ticket splitter

41%

59%

64

Soft DEM

30%

70%

84

Hard DEM

38%

62%

401

Conservative

36%

64%

536

Moderate

44%

56%

76

Liberal

38%

62%

389

Very conservative

32%

68%

187

Somewhat conservative

38%

62%

348

Moderate / liberal

39%

61%

465

Republican

39%

61%

390

Independent

33%

67%

190

Conservative DEM

34%

66%

103

Mod / lib DEM

39%

61%

318

Liberal DEM

38%

62%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

35%

65%

157

Independent

42%

58%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

44%

56%

69

Conservative GOP

36%

64%

379

Yes / strongly

32%

68%

93

Yes

35%

65%

68

No / unsure

38%

62%

840

Less than high school

28%

72%

53

High school graduate

35%

65%

227

Some college

28%

72%

219

College graduate

44%

56%

503

Male college graduates

43%

57%

248

Male non-college
graduates

27%

73%

232

Female college graduates

44%

56%

254

Female non-college
graduates

34%

66%

266

White non-college
graduate

31%

69%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

30%

70%

149

Others

44%

56%

503

Union household

46%

54%

127

Non-union household

36%

64%

874

(cont.)

Page 367

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCHILD HAVE CHILDREN
LIVING AT HOME/C

RCHILD

Yes

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

20%

80%

215

Married

49%

51%

607

No longer married

18%

82%

179

Dad

100%

171

Mom

100%

203

Married / children

100%

299

Married / no children

100%

Single / children

100%

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

60
42

100%

Single / no children

308
22

100%

Divorced / no children

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

No

Single

Divorced / children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

TOTAL

100%

173

Other / mixed

11%

89%

97

Single women

30%

70%

98

Married women

49%

51%

304

No longer married women

20%

80%

118

Single men

11%

89%

117

Married men

49%

51%

302

No longer married men

15%

85%

61

White single men

11%

89%

75

White single women

24%

76%

46

White married men

51%

49%

244

White married women

44%

56%

243

White no longer married


men

13%

87%

49

White no longer married


women

23%

77%

93

Other

38%

62%

250

Single mothers

100%

30

Married mothers

100%

150

No longer married
mothers

100%

23

Non-mothers

21%

79%

798

Upper class

38%

62%

73

Middle class

40%

60%

696

Low income

29%

71%

205

Working class

35%

65%

Refused

17%

83%

20

Middle class whites

39%

61%

551

Middle class African


Americans

44%

56%

63

Middle class Hispanics

45%

55%

57

Middle class other races

56%

44%

25

Other

30%

70%

305

(cont.)

Page 368

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCHILD HAVE CHILDREN
LIVING AT HOME/C

RCHILD

Yes

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

No

Roman Catholic

37%

63%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

36%

64%

185

Mainline Protestant

34%

66%

280

Other

64%

36%

45

None

41%

59%

262

At least once a week

36%

64%

336

At least once a month

41%

59%

157

Infrequently

40%

60%

191

Never

15%

85%

44

Active Roman Catholics

36%

64%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

34%

66%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

35%

65%

131

Active other

65%

35%

17

Other

38%

62%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

36%

64%

133

Male not evangelical

35%

65%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

29%

71%

179

Female not evangelical

44%

56%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

31%

69%

222

Non-white Evangelical

35%

65%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

29%

71%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

39%

61%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

38%

62%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

30%

70%

39

Approve

35%

65%

453

Unsure

43%

57%

62

Disapprove

39%

61%

487

Jobs

31%

69%

135

Economy

38%

62%

228

Health care

44%

56%

99

Illegal immigration

35%

65%

78

Foreign threats

41%

59%

116

Deficit

41%

59%

76

63%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

37%

(cont.)

Page 369

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCHILD HAVE CHILDREN
LIVING AT HOME/C

RCHILD

Yes

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

No

Cutting taxes

47%

53%

71

Reducing deficit

35%

65%

126

Creating jobs

34%

66%

203

Increase wages

41%

59%

132

Healthcare costs

34%

66%

98

Retirement

45%

55%

41

Higher education

29%

71%

101

Regulations

48%

52%

65

Combination

35%

65%

141

None

52%

48%

11

Unsure

48%

52%

12

Views close to own

44%

56%

352

Most effective person

34%

66%

571

Both

32%

68%

48

Unsure

24%

76%

30

Very worried

39%

61%

318

Somewhat worried

38%

62%

405

Not too worried

37%

63%

214

Not at all worried

22%

Combination

78%

56

100%

Unsure

33%

67%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

33%

67%

245

Unsure

50%

50%

63

No

38%

62%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

37%

63%

510

Unsure

47%

53%

85

Disapprove

35%

65%

406

Very worried

29%

71%

112

Somewhat worried

33%

67%

283

Not too worried

42%

58%

341

Not at all worried

39%

61%

258

100%

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

Unsure

43%

57%

Yes

34%

66%

645

No

43%

57%

356

Approve

32%

68%

295

Unsure

44%

56%

45

Disapprove

35%

65%

306

(cont.)

Page 370

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RCHILD HAVE CHILDREN
LIVING AT HOME/C

RCHILD

Yes

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

TOTAL

No

Yes

40%

60%

628

No

34%

66%

245

Not sure

28%

72%

128

4 of 4

20%

80%

26

3 of 4

31%

69%

112

2 of 4

40%

60%

221

1 of 4

41%

59%

214

0 of 4

37%

63%

427

5-7 of 7

35%

65%

150

4 of 7

45%

55%

96

3 of 7

45%

55%

91

2 of 7

25%

75%

87

1 of 7

42%

58%

164

0 of 7

36%

64%

413

37%

63%

1001

Page 371

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDENOM RESPONDENT'S CHURCH/C

RDENOM
Roman
Catholic

Mainline
Protestant

20%

19%

29%

5%

27%

970

Northeast

24%

10%

25%

7%

34%

191

Midwest

20%

13%

34%

2%

31%

173

South

13%

39%

29%

3%

17%

226

South Central

22%

29%

31%

1%

16%

92

Central Plains

27%

7%

38%

2%

26%

82

Mountain States

22%

12%

20%

18%

28%

68

West

21%

11%

25%

5%

37%

137

California

24%

13%

28%

5%

30%

87

Florida

27%

22%

24%

6%

21%

52

Texas

16%

32%

33%

1%

18%

68

New York

25%

2%

16%

12%

45%

56

Rest of country

20%

20%

30%

4%

27%

708

GOP held seat up in 2014

10%

38%

32%

2%

18%

212

DEM held seat up in 2014

24%

18%

29%

4%

25%

308

No Senate election

23%

11%

27%

6%

33%

450

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

19%

25%

28%

3%

24%

388

DEM held seat up in 2014

23%

11%

31%

4%

31%

357

No Gubernatorial election

19%

22%

26%

8%

26%

225

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

24%

23%

28%

3%

22%

232

Other

19%

18%

29%

5%

29%

738

Male

19%

18%

28%

5%

30%

465

Female

22%

20%

29%

4%

24%

505

Male / employed

19%

17%

28%

6%

30%

315

Male / not employed

17%

19%

28%

4%

31%

151

Female / employed

25%

14%

30%

5%

26%

271

Female / not employed

18%

28%

29%

4%

21%

234

Not employed

13%

17%

26%

7%

37%

130

Employed

22%

16%

29%

5%

28%

586

Retired

20%

29%

31%

2%

18%

245

Refused

28%

16%

6%

50%

10

18-34

21%

14%

23%

7%

35%

198

35-44

19%

13%

30%

4%

34%

272

45-64

19%

25%

29%

4%

23%

298

65 or over

23%

24%

34%

4%

16%

195

Unsure / refused

35%

8%

40%

2%

15%

18-44

20%

14%

27%

5%

34%

470

45-64

19%

25%

29%

4%

23%

298

65+

23%

24%

34%

4%

16%

195

Unsure / refused

35%

8%

40%

2%

15%

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

Other

TOTAL

Baptist /
Evangelical

None

(cont.)

Page 372

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDENOM RESPONDENT'S CHURCH/C

RDENOM
Roman
Catholic

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

Other

TOTAL
None

18%

17%

24%

6%

35%

297

Male / 55+

20%

19%

36%

4%

22%

168

Female / under 55

22%

15%

29%

5%

29%

306

Female / 55+

23%

28%

30%

3%

16%

199

White

21%

17%

31%

5%

27%

731

5%

42%

28%

25%

117

Hispanic / Latino

39%

9%

15%

7%

30%

88

Other

20%

19%

31%

5%

25%

34

White millenials 18-34

18%

8%

24%

8%

41%

126

White older voters 35+

21%

18%

32%

4%

24%

605

African American
millenials 18-34

10%

49%

30%

11%

24

3%

40%

28%

29%

93

Hispanic millenials 18-34

39%

7%

13%

9%

33%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

39%

11%

17%

6%

27%

47

Other races millenials


18-34

15%

30%

36%

10%

9%

Other races older voters


35+

21%

16%

30%

3%

29%

27

White seniors

22%

22%

34%

4%

19%

245

Other

20%

18%

27%

5%

30%

726

White men

20%

15%

30%

5%

30%

360

White women

22%

18%

31%

5%

24%

371

47%

25%

28%

49

38%

31%

23%

68

Black / African American

Black men

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

Mainline
Protestant

Male / under 55

African American older


voters 35+

WHITE SENIORS

Baptist /
Evangelical

Black women

8%

Hispanic men

32%

7%

16%

11%

34%

40

Hispanic women

45%

11%

14%

4%

27%

48

Republican

23%

23%

36%

5%

14%

378

Independent

16%

20%

29%

3%

32%

183

Democrat

20%

16%

23%

5%

37%

410

Male / GOP

22%

21%

34%

5%

18%

210

Female / GOP

24%

24%

38%

5%

8%

167

Male / DEM

15%

12%

22%

6%

45%

154

Female / DEM

23%

18%

23%

4%

32%

256

Male / IND

17%

20%

27%

4%

33%

101

Female / IND

16%

20%

30%

1%

32%

82

Under 55 / GOP

22%

20%

32%

8%

18%

215

55 & over / GOP

25%

26%

40%

1%

8%

163

Under 55 / DEM

21%

12%

22%

5%

40%

266

55 & over / DEM

17%

22%

24%

6%

31%

144

Under 55 / IND

14%

19%

27%

2%

38%

122

55 & over / IND

22%

20%

32%

6%

21%

61

(cont.)

Page 373

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDENOM RESPONDENT'S CHURCH/C

RDENOM
Roman
Catholic

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Baptist /
Evangelical

Mainline
Protestant

Republican

22%

23%

37%

Ticket splitter

19%

20%

26%

Democrat

19%

16%

22%

Hard GOP

22%

24%

Soft GOP

20%

Ticket splitter

24%

Soft DEM

Other

TOTAL
None

14%

435

35%

57

5%

38%

478

36%

5%

13%

349

19%

36%

2%

22%

90

18%

23%

35%

58

17%

14%

27%

4%

38%

83

Hard DEM

19%

16%

22%

5%

38%

391

Conservative

22%

25%

34%

5%

15%

518

Moderate

19%

22%

24%

1%

35%

74

Liberal

19%

10%

23%

6%

42%

378

Very conservative

18%

29%

38%

3%

11%

180

Somewhat conservative

23%

23%

31%

5%

18%

339

Moderate / liberal

19%

12%

23%

5%

41%

452

Republican

23%

23%

36%

5%

14%

378

Independent

16%

20%

29%

3%

32%

183

Conservative DEM

21%

27%

24%

3%

25%

101

Mod / lib DEM

19%

12%

22%

6%

41%

309

Liberal DEM

20%

9%

20%

6%

44%

325

Mod / conservative DEM

18%

29%

26%

2%

25%

153

Independent

19%

20%

26%

35%

57

Mod / liberal GOP

18%

11%

39%

0%

32%

69

Conservative GOP

23%

25%

36%

6%

11%

366

Yes / strongly

19%

35%

33%

3%

10%

91

Yes

27%

29%

29%

16%

65

No / unsure

20%

17%

28%

5%

30%

815

Less than high school

15%

28%

24%

10%

23%

51

High school graduate

17%

24%

27%

4%

28%

221

Some college

17%

21%

29%

2%

30%

210

College graduate

24%

15%

30%

5%

26%

488

Male college graduates

21%

16%

27%

6%

30%

241

Male non-college
graduates

16%

20%

30%

4%

31%

224

Female college graduates

26%

15%

33%

5%

22%

247

Female non-college
graduates

18%

26%

26%

4%

26%

258

White non-college
graduate

15%

20%

30%

4%

31%

339

Minority non-college
graduate

22%

30%

22%

3%

23%

143

Others

24%

15%

30%

5%

26%

488

Union household

37%

10%

20%

6%

27%

124

Non-union household

18%

20%

30%

4%

27%

846

5%

(cont.)

Page 374

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDENOM RESPONDENT'S CHURCH/C

RDENOM
Roman
Catholic

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

Mainline
Protestant

Other

TOTAL
None

Single

22%

17%

24%

3%

34%

207

Married

21%

18%

29%

6%

25%

590

No longer married

16%

24%

33%

1%

26%

174

Dad

19%

19%

24%

9%

29%

170

Mom

21%

17%

27%

7%

29%

201

Married / children

22%

17%

27%

9%

26%

299

Married / no children

21%

20%

32%

4%

24%

291

Divorced / children

10%

14%

19%

3%

54%

22

Divorced / no children

16%

18%

42%

1%

24%

60

8%

26%

22%

4%

39%

42

Single / no children

25%

14%

25%

3%

33%

164

Other / mixed

17%

31%

31%

1%

20%

92

Single women

24%

19%

25%

4%

28%

94

Married women

24%

17%

30%

5%

24%

295

No longer married women

17%

29%

32%

1%

21%

116

Single men

20%

15%

24%

2%

39%

113

Married men

19%

20%

29%

7%

26%

295

No longer married men

14%

14%

35%

1%

36%

58

White single men

24%

8%

26%

2%

40%

73

White single women

20%

13%

29%

8%

30%

44

White married men

20%

18%

30%

7%

26%

239

White married women

23%

16%

32%

6%

23%

236

White no longer married


men

14%

13%

33%

1%

39%

49

White no longer married


women

19%

26%

30%

1%

23%

91

Other

19%

27%

24%

3%

27%

239

Single mothers

7%

35%

20%

6%

31%

30

Married mothers

23%

12%

31%

7%

26%

150

No longer married
mothers

23%

21%

12%

3%

41%

21

Non-mothers

20%

20%

29%

4%

27%

769

Upper class

21%

11%

34%

10%

23%

71

Middle class

22%

19%

28%

5%

26%

673

Low income

14%

22%

29%

3%

31%

201

Working class

22%

11%

11%

57%

Refused

17%

15%

40%

28%

17

Middle class whites

22%

16%

30%

26%

534

Middle class African


Americans

7%

54%

17%

22%

61

Middle class Hispanics

39%

12%

18%

4%

26%

56

Middle class other races

22%

14%

31%

5%

28%

22

Other

16%

19%

31%

5%

30%

297

Single / children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

Baptist /
Evangelical

5%

(cont.)

Page 375

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDENOM RESPONDENT'S CHURCH/C

RDENOM
Roman
Catholic

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

Baptist /
Evangelical

Mainline
Protestant

24%

32%

39%

5%

334

At least once a month

27%

23%

44%

6%

156

Infrequently

38%

18%

33%

10%

1%

191

Never

10%

21%

36%

1%

31%

43

Active Roman Catholics

79

100%

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

100%

106
100%

Active other
Other

23%

4%

8%

45%

47%

1%

Male not evangelical

23%

7%

21%

7%

Female born again /


evangelicals

10%

43%

46%

2%

Female not evangelical

29%

8%

20%

6%

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

17

100%
12%

White Evangelical

RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

131

19%

Male born again /


evangelicals

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C

TOTAL
None

At least once a week

Active Mainline
Protestants

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

Other

41%

637
133

42%

333
177

37%

327

8%

42%

48%

2%

222

11%

46%

42%

0%

88

White conservative
Christians

8%

46%

46%

Non-white conservative
Christians

4%

53%

42%

1%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

8%

32%

54%

6%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

20%

37%

43%

Approve

19%

14%

23%

5%

38%

439

Unsure

25%

21%

25%

0%

29%

58

Disapprove

21%

24%

35%

5%

16%

473

Jobs

22%

13%

29%

5%

32%

134

Economy

16%

15%

28%

5%

35%

222

Health care

22%

15%

29%

3%

31%

98

Illegal immigration

29%

21%

30%

19%

76

Foreign threats

25%

25%

34%

4%

12%

112

Deficit

25%

16%

37%

3%

19%

74

27%

254

Non-white Evangelical

Other

17%

25%

24%

166

37

6%

(cont.)

Page 376

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDENOM RESPONDENT'S CHURCH/C

RDENOM
Roman
Catholic

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

Baptist /
Evangelical

Mainline
Protestant

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

29%

16%

32%

6%

17%

70

Reducing deficit

17%

18%

36%

6%

24%

123

Creating jobs

25%

19%

29%

3%

23%

198

Increase wages

15%

16%

21%

7%

41%

126

Healthcare costs

20%

14%

40%

1%

25%

96

Retirement

20%

24%

29%

10%

17%

37

Higher education

20%

20%

19%

2%

39%

101

Regulations

22%

21%

37%

2%

18%

62

Combination

18%

27%

25%

6%

24%

136

9%

14%

78%

10

Unsure

23%

24%

29%

1%

23%

11

Views close to own

20%

18%

26%

6%

29%

342

Most effective person

21%

19%

31%

3%

25%

555

Both

19%

21%

27%

3%

31%

44

Unsure

17%

23%

14%

10%

35%

28

Very worried

20%

24%

28%

5%

24%

310

Somewhat worried

20%

21%

29%

6%

24%

395

Not too worried

22%

10%

30%

3%

36%

203

Not at all worried

21%

11%

30%

3%

35%

53

Combination

58%

42%

5%

28%

233

Unsure

34%

61%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

24%

15%

27%

Unsure

11%

25%

26%

No

20%

20%

30%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

21%

17%

27%

Unsure

23%

20%

Disapprove

19%

Very worried
Somewhat worried

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

6%

38%

61

4%

26%

676

4%

30%

491

19%

6%

32%

82

21%

33%

5%

23%

397

26%

25%

27%

5%

18%

108

24%

25%

28%

4%

19%

273

Not too worried

20%

17%

33%

5%

26%

334

Not at all worried

16%

12%

24%

6%

42%

247

Combination

100%

Unsure
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT
IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

TOTAL
None

Cutting taxes

None

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Other

42%

45%

13%

Yes

19%

19%

29%

5%

27%

623

No

22%

20%

28%

4%

27%

348

Approve

18%

14%

22%

6%

40%

280

Unsure

14%

32%

23%

4%

27%

43

Disapprove

22%

21%

37%

4%

15%

299

(cont.)

Page 377

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDENOM RESPONDENT'S CHURCH/C

RDENOM
Roman
Catholic

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

Baptist /
Evangelical

Mainline
Protestant

Other

TOTAL
None

Yes

23%

11%

26%

4%

35%

610

No

15%

35%

33%

5%

12%

234

Not sure

18%

27%

35%

5%

15%

126

4 of 4

11%

5%

16%

21%

46%

24

3 of 4

15%

11%

16%

7%

51%

108

2 of 4

22%

19%

24%

1%

34%

216

1 of 4

21%

20%

30%

5%

25%

211

0 of 4

21%

22%

35%

5%

17%

412

5-7 of 7

27%

27%

33%

3%

10%

146

4 of 7

26%

22%

31%

5%

16%

90

3 of 7

19%

22%

35%

11%

12%

89

2 of 7

20%

18%

34%

28%

84

1 of 7

24%

17%

28%

5%

26%

161

0 of 7

15%

16%

25%

5%

39%

400

20%

19%

29%

5%

27%

970

Page 378

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR

At least once At least once Infrequently


a week
a month

TOTAL

TOTAL

Never

46%

22%

26%

6%

728

Northeast

31%

25%

38%

6%

129

Midwest

44%

20%

28%

8%

124

South

53%

22%

20%

5%

194

South Central

57%

18%

18%

7%

80

Central Plains

55%

28%

14%

4%

62

Mountain States

54%

11%

33%

1%

49

West

36%

23%

33%

8%

89

California

36%

21%

34%

9%

62

Florida

53%

12%

24%

11%

44

Texas

58%

17%

19%

7%

57

New York

22%

17%

53%

7%

31

Rest of country

47%

23%

25%

5%

533

GOP held seat up in 2014

57%

23%

16%

4%

178

DEM held seat up in 2014

43%

21%

31%

4%

234

No Senate election

42%

21%

29%

8%

316

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

53%

19%

22%

6%

305

DEM held seat up in 2014

37%

22%

34%

7%

249

No Gubernatorial election

48%

25%

23%

5%

173

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

51%

22%

22%

5%

185

Other

44%

21%

28%

6%

542

Male

44%

20%

28%

7%

337

Female

48%

23%

25%

5%

391

Male / employed

47%

21%

24%

7%

231

Male / not employed

37%

19%

36%

8%

106

Female / employed

45%

25%

27%

3%

204

Female / not employed

51%

20%

22%

7%

187

Not employed

42%

27%

24%

7%

86

Employed

46%

23%

26%

5%

434

Retired

48%

17%

28%

7%

202

Refused

20%

47%

33%

18-34

42%

21%

30%

6%

137

35-44

42%

27%

28%

3%

183

45-64

46%

22%

25%

7%

235

65 or over

52%

16%

23%

9%

166

Unsure / refused

74%

15%

11%

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

(cont.)

Page 379

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR

At least once At least once Infrequently


a week
a month

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

TOTAL

Never

18-44

42%

24%

29%

4%

320

45-64

46%

22%

25%

7%

235

65+

52%

16%

23%

9%

166

Unsure / refused

74%

15%

11%

Male / under 55

44%

23%

28%

6%

202

Male / 55+

45%

17%

29%

9%

134

Female / under 55

44%

26%

28%

2%

221

Female / 55+

53%

19%

20%

9%

170

White

44%

22%

28%

6%

546

Black / African American

56%

23%

17%

4%

89

Hispanic / Latino

51%

17%

24%

7%

67

Other

44%

24%

23%

9%

27

White millenials 18-34

45%

22%

30%

3%

78

White older voters 35+

44%

22%

28%

6%

468

African American
millenials 18-34

40%

18%

30%

12%

21

African American older


voters 35+

60%

24%

13%

2%

67

Hispanic millenials 18-34

37%

20%

32%

11%

31

Hispanic older voters 35+

64%

15%

17%

4%

36

Other races millenials


18-34

46%

32%

22%

Other races older voters


35+

43%

22%

24%

11%

20

White seniors

48%

16%

26%

11%

202

Other

46%

24%

26%

4%

526

White men

43%

20%

30%

7%

259

White women

46%

23%

26%

5%

286

Black men

56%

21%

16%

7%

35

Black women

55%

24%

19%

2%

54

Hispanic men

41%

19%

29%

10%

30

Hispanic women

60%

16%

19%

5%

37

Republican

53%

20%

23%

4%

328

Independent

46%

23%

24%

8%

130

Democrat

38%

23%

32%

8%

270

Male / GOP

47%

20%

29%

4%

174

Female / GOP

61%

19%

15%

4%

154

Male / DEM

40%

21%

28%

11%

89

Female / DEM

36%

24%

34%

6%

180

Male / IND

43%

19%

26%

12%

74

Female / IND

49%

27%

20%

3%

56

(cont.)

Page 380

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR

At least once At least once Infrequently


a week
a month

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

TOTAL

Never

Under 55 / GOP

53%

24%

22%

1%

178

55 & over / GOP

54%

15%

23%

8%

150

Under 55 / DEM

36%

23%

36%

5%

164

55 & over / DEM

40%

23%

25%

12%

105

Under 55 / IND

41%

27%

23%

9%

81

55 & over / IND

53%

16%

25%

6%

49

Republican

55%

20%

20%

4%

375

Ticket splitter

39%

31%

26%

3%

39

Democrat

36%

22%

33%

8%

314

Hard GOP

56%

19%

21%

4%

306

Soft GOP

47%

27%

21%

5%

73

Ticket splitter

41%

31%

27%

2%

37

Soft DEM

37%

22%

30%

12%

57

Hard DEM

37%

22%

33%

8%

254

Conservative

54%

22%

20%

4%

442

Moderate

55%

7%

29%

9%

50

Liberal

30%

24%

37%

9%

236

Very conservative

61%

19%

15%

4%

160

Somewhat conservative

50%

23%

23%

4%

281

Moderate / liberal

34%

21%

35%

9%

286

Republican

53%

20%

23%

4%

328

Independent

46%

23%

24%

8%

130

Conservative DEM

54%

24%

18%

4%

77

Mod / lib DEM

31%

23%

38%

9%

193

Liberal DEM

28%

22%

40%

10%

197

Mod / conservative DEM

50%

22%

23%

5%

116

Independent

39%

31%

26%

3%

39

Mod / liberal GOP

58%

21%

16%

6%

47

Conservative GOP

55%

20%

21%

4%

328

Yes / strongly

59%

17%

19%

5%

82

Yes

57%

22%

17%

4%

55

No / unsure

43%

22%

28%

6%

591

Less than high school

37%

31%

22%

10%

41

High school graduate

46%

20%

27%

7%

164

Some college

50%

15%

30%

5%

149

College graduate

46%

24%

25%

5%

374

Male college graduates

47%

24%

22%

6%

174

Male non-college
graduates

41%

16%

35%

9%

163

Female college graduates

45%

23%

27%

5%

200

Female non-college
graduates

51%

22%

22%

5%

191

(cont.)

Page 381

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR

At least once At least once Infrequently


a week
a month

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

TOTAL

Never

White non-college
graduate

44%

18%

30%

8%

241

Minority non-college
graduate

50%

21%

24%

5%

113

Others

46%

24%

25%

5%

374

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

39%

29%

27%

6%

92

Non-union household

47%

21%

26%

6%

635

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

39%

18%

34%

9%

145

Married

49%

24%

22%

5%

452

No longer married

44%

18%

31%

7%

130

Dad

47%

24%

25%

4%

125

Mom

44%

24%

31%

1%

144

Married / children

45%

28%

25%

2%

223

Married / no children

53%

20%

19%

7%

229

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

Divorced / children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

7%

10

93%

Divorced / no children

35%

28%

26%

11%

46

Single / children

47%

10%

35%

7%

29

Single / no children

36%

20%

34%

9%

116

Other / mixed

55%

13%

26%

5%

74

Single women

42%

24%

30%

5%

70

Married women

50%

25%

21%

4%

228

No longer married women

47%

16%

31%

6%

93

Single men

36%

13%

39%

13%

75

Married men

48%

23%

24%

5%

224

No longer married men

38%

21%

32%

9%

37

White single men

34%

14%

42%

10%

49

White single women

33%

33%

29%

5%

31

White married men

46%

23%

26%

6%

181

White married women

48%

24%

24%

4%

184

White no longer married


men

37%

14%

37%

12%

30

White no longer married


women

44%

17%

33%

7%

71

Other

52%

21%

21%

6%

182

Single mothers

49%

11%

36%

5%

20

Married mothers

43%

29%

28%

1%

112

No longer married
mothers

44%

Non-mothers

47%

56%
21%

25%

12
7%

583

(cont.)

Page 382

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR

At least once At least once Infrequently


a week
a month

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

Never

Upper class

38%

25%

33%

3%

55

Middle class

47%

22%

25%

5%

513

Low income

45%

16%

30%

9%

144

Working class

93%

Refused

32%

50%

13%

6%

12

Middle class whites

46%

21%

27%

5%

401

Middle class African


Americans

53%

26%

19%

3%

48

Middle class Hispanics

49%

25%

15%

10%

46

Middle class other races

49%

26%

17%

8%

17

7%

Other

43%

20%

29%

7%

215

Roman Catholic

40%

22%

36%

2%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

57%

19%

19%

5%

185

Mainline Protestant

47%

25%

23%

6%

280

Other

38%

20%

41%

1%

45

15%

85%

16

None
ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

TOTAL

Active Roman Catholics

100%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

100%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

100%

131

Active other

100%

17

Other

1%

40%

49%

11%

394

Male born again /


evangelicals

67%

21%

9%

3%

133

Male not evangelical

29%

20%

41%

11%

204

Female born again /


evangelicals

64%

20%

12%

4%

179

Female not evangelical

35%

25%

36%

5%

212

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

64%

20%

11%

4%

222

Non-white Evangelical

67%

22%

9%

2%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

70%

17%

9%

4%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

64%

31%

4%

1%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

46%

30%

19%

5%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

72%

10%

15%

4%

39

Approve

40%

22%

31%

7%

284

Unsure

48%

17%

28%

6%

42

Disapprove

50%

21%

23%

5%

402

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
(cont.)

Page 383

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR

At least once At least once Infrequently


a week
a month

RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Never

Jobs

46%

16%

28%

11%

93

Economy

42%

26%

29%

3%

147

Health care

46%

19%

26%

9%

71

Illegal immigration

54%

10%

32%

5%

61

Foreign threats

55%

23%

21%

2%

99

Deficit

46%

26%

27%

1%

60

Other

43%

24%

25%

8%

196

Cutting taxes

42%

25%

32%

1%

58

Reducing deficit

54%

18%

25%

3%

94

Creating jobs

49%

18%

26%

7%

154

Increase wages

39%

23%

28%

9%

83

Healthcare costs

37%

27%

26%

10%

75

Retirement

50%

15%

29%

5%

31

Higher education

47%

27%

24%

2%

62

Regulations

60%

21%

18%

1%

51

Combination

41%

24%

26%

9%

107

None

48%

15%

37%

Unsure

36%

3%

39%

5
22%

26%

8%

255

28%

4%

422

21%

11%

7%

33

49%

17%

17%

16%

18

43%

26%

24%

7%

243

49%

18%

27%

5%

304

Not too worried

46%

26%

24%

4%

136

Not at all worried

42%

13%

35%

10%

37

Views close to own

46%

21%

Most effective person

45%

22%

Both

62%

Unsure
Very worried
Somewhat worried

Combination

100%

Unsure

56%

6%

39%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

44%

20%

32%

4%

170

Unsure

42%

29%

21%

8%

39

No

47%

21%

25%

7%

518

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

48%

23%

25%

4%

352

Unsure

42%

23%

30%

5%

56

Disapprove

45%

20%

27%

8%

320

Very worried

51%

17%

25%

7%

92

Somewhat worried

46%

21%

27%

6%

224

Not too worried

45%

25%

25%

6%

252

Not at all worried

46%

20%

28%

6%

152

100%

7%

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination
Unsure

46%

6%

41%

(cont.)

Page 384

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTEND
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR

At least once At least once Infrequently


a week
a month

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

TOTAL

Never

Yes

44%

23%

28%

5%

467

No

50%

20%

24%

7%

261

Approve

38%

18%

37%

7%

179

Unsure

55%

13%

16%

16%

33

Disapprove

47%

27%

23%

3%

255

Yes

32%

25%

35%

7%

413

No

69%

17%

12%

3%

207

Not sure

55%

18%

21%

7%

108

4 of 4

35%

8%

36%

21%

16

3 of 4

42%

19%

28%

11%

55

2 of 4

38%

24%

35%

4%

149

1 of 4

41%

24%

29%

7%

164

0 of 4

53%

21%

21%

5%

344

5-7 of 7

50%

22%

24%

5%

131

4 of 7

52%

31%

17%

1%

76

3 of 7

65%

16%

12%

7%

80

2 of 7

46%

22%

25%

7%

62

1 of 7

51%

19%

26%

3%

120

0 of 7

35%

21%

35%

9%

258

46%

22%

26%

6%

728

Page 385

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
BORN BORN-AGAIN / EVANGELICAL

BORN

TOTAL

Born-again /
evangelical

Not
born-again

43%

51%

6%

728

Northeast

25%

71%

4%

129

Midwest

37%

55%

8%

124

South

61%

35%

4%

194

South Central

52%

41%

7%

80

Central Plains

38%

52%

10%

62

Mountain States

33%

60%

7%

49

West

37%

58%

6%

89

California

40%

55%

5%

62

Florida

43%

50%

8%

44

Texas

58%

36%

6%

57

New York

17%

76%

7%

31

Rest of country

43%

51%

6%

533

GOP held seat up in 2014

65%

28%

6%

178

DEM held seat up in 2014

37%

56%

7%

234

No Senate election

35%

60%

5%

316

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

51%

42%

7%

305

DEM held seat up in 2014

32%

62%

6%

249

No Gubernatorial election

44%

52%

4%

173

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

48%

47%

5%

185

Other

41%

53%

6%

542

Male

39%

54%

7%

337

Female

46%

49%

5%

391

Male / employed

39%

55%

6%

231

Male / not employed

40%

52%

8%

106

Female / employed

39%

57%

4%

204

Female / not employed

53%

40%

7%

187

Not employed

48%

43%

9%

86

Employed

39%

56%

5%

434

Retired

48%

45%

7%

202

Refused

47%

47%

5%

18-34

30%

63%

7%

137

35-44

41%

55%

5%

183

45-64

48%

46%

6%

235

65 or over

49%

45%

7%

166

Unsure / refused

33%

57%

10%

18-44

36%

58%

5%

320

45-64

48%

46%

6%

235

65+

49%

45%

7%

166

Unsure / refused

33%

57%

10%

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

Refused

(cont.)

Page 386

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
BORN BORN-AGAIN / EVANGELICAL

BORN

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL

Born-again /
evangelical

Not
born-again

Refused

Male / under 55

39%

54%

6%

202

Male / 55+

40%

53%

7%

134

Female / under 55

41%

56%

3%

221

Female / 55+

51%

40%

9%

170

White

41%

55%

5%

546

Black / African American

66%

26%

9%

89

Hispanic / Latino

31%

54%

15%

67

Other

41%

55%

4%

27

White millenials 18-34

29%

67%

4%

78

White older voters 35+

43%

53%

5%

468

African American
millenials 18-34

33%

48%

19%

21

African American older


voters 35+

76%

18%

6%

67

Hispanic millenials 18-34

28%

66%

6%

31

Hispanic older voters 35+

34%

44%

22%

36

Other races millenials


18-34

44%

50%

6%

Other races older voters


35+

39%

57%

4%

20

White seniors

45%

50%

5%

202

Other

42%

52%

6%

526

White men

37%

58%

5%

259

White women

44%

52%

4%

286

Black men

64%

22%

14%

35

Black women

67%

28%

5%

54

Hispanic men

27%

60%

14%

30

Hispanic women

35%

50%

15%

37

Republican

48%

48%

4%

328

Independent

43%

48%

8%

130

Democrat

36%

57%

7%

270

Male / GOP

45%

51%

4%

174

Female / GOP

51%

44%

5%

154

Male / DEM

34%

58%

8%

89

Female / DEM

37%

56%

7%

180

Male / IND

33%

55%

12%

74

Female / IND

57%

39%

4%

56

Under 55 / GOP

45%

54%

1%

178

55 & over / GOP

51%

40%

9%

150

Under 55 / DEM

33%

60%

6%

164

55 & over / DEM

40%

51%

8%

105

Under 55 / IND

44%

46%

10%

81

55 & over / IND

43%

51%

6%

49

(cont.)

Page 387

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
BORN BORN-AGAIN / EVANGELICAL

BORN

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

Born-again /
evangelical

Not
born-again

Refused

Republican

50%

46%

5%

375

Ticket splitter

47%

38%

15%

39

Democrat

34%

59%

7%

314

Hard GOP

49%

47%

4%

306

Soft GOP

48%

46%

7%

73

Ticket splitter

51%

38%

11%

37

Soft DEM

36%

56%

8%

57

Hard DEM

34%

59%

7%

254

Conservative

49%

45%

5%

442

Moderate

49%

32%

19%

50

Liberal

30%

66%

5%

236

Very conservative

64%

31%

5%

160

Somewhat conservative

41%

54%

6%

281

Moderate / liberal

33%

60%

7%

286

Republican

48%

48%

4%

328

Independent

43%

48%

8%

130

Conservative DEM

55%

34%

11%

77

Mod / lib DEM

29%

66%

5%

193

Liberal DEM

23%

73%

4%

197

Mod / conservative DEM

52%

37%

11%

116

Independent

47%

38%

15%

39

Mod / liberal GOP

64%

27%

9%

47

Conservative GOP

48%

48%

4%

328

Yes / strongly

60%

32%

9%

82

Yes

53%

45%

2%

55

No / unsure

39%

54%

6%

591

Less than high school

53%

37%

11%

41

High school graduate

52%

36%

12%

164

Some college

46%

49%

5%

149

College graduate

36%

60%

3%

374

Male college graduates

37%

60%

4%

174

Male non-college
graduates

42%

48%

10%

163

Female college graduates

36%

61%

3%

200

Female non-college
graduates

56%

36%

8%

191

White non-college
graduate

50%

44%

6%

241

Minority non-college
graduate

48%

36%

16%

113

Others

36%

60%

3%

374

Union household

27%

64%

9%

92

Non-union household

45%

49%

6%

635

(cont.)

Page 388

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
BORN BORN-AGAIN / EVANGELICAL

BORN

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

TOTAL

Born-again /
evangelical

Not
born-again

Refused

Single

31%

63%

6%

145

Married

44%

50%

6%

452

No longer married

50%

42%

8%

130

Dad

38%

57%

5%

125

Mom

37%

59%

5%

144

Married / children

38%

56%

6%

223

Married / no children

51%

44%

6%

229

Divorced / children

28%

72%

Divorced / no children

52%

40%

Single / children

33%

67%

Single / no children

31%

62%

7%

116

Other / mixed

52%

39%

9%

74

Single women

33%

66%

0%

70

Married women

45%

49%

6%

228

No longer married women

56%

37%

8%

93

Single men

30%

60%

10%

75

Married men

43%

52%

5%

224

No longer married men

36%

55%

9%

37

White single men

26%

70%

4%

49

White single women

22%

78%

White married men

40%

55%

5%

181

White married women

45%

52%

4%

184

White no longer married


men

33%

59%

8%

30

White no longer married


women

52%

41%

7%

71

Other

49%

40%

10%

182

Single mothers

32%

68%

Married mothers

37%

56%

No longer married
mothers

35%

65%

Non-mothers

44%

49%

6%

583

Upper class

38%

55%

7%

55

Middle class

41%

54%

5%

513

Low income

49%

42%

9%

144

Working class

18%

82%

Refused

68%

30%

2%

12

Middle class whites

40%

56%

4%

401

Middle class African


Americans

59%

33%

8%

48

Middle class Hispanics

36%

53%

11%

46

Middle class other races

36%

59%

5%

17

Other

47%

45%

8%

215

10
8%

46
29

31

20
6%

112
12

(cont.)

Page 389

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
BORN BORN-AGAIN / EVANGELICAL

BORN

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

Not
born-again

Roman Catholic

14%

79%

7%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

73%

20%

7%

185

Mainline Protestant

51%

45%

4%

280

8%

82%

10%

45

Other
None
RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

Refused

80%

20%

16

At least once a week

60%

33%

6%

336

At least once a month

41%

54%

5%

157

Infrequently

17%

79%

3%

191

Never

26%

54%

20%

44

Active Roman Catholics

26%

66%

8%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

85%

8%

7%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

68%

27%

4%

131

6%

79%

16%

17

28%

66%

6%

394

Active other
Other
SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Born-again /
evangelical

Male born again /


evangelicals

100%

Male not evangelical


Female born again /
evangelicals

133
89%

11%

100%

Female not evangelical

204
179

90%

10%

212

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

100%

222

Non-white Evangelical

100%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

100%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

100%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

100%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

100%

39

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Approve

35%

58%

7%

284

Unsure

37%

53%

10%

42

Disapprove

49%

46%

5%

402

Jobs

35%

59%

7%

93

Economy

40%

53%

7%

147

Health care

42%

50%

8%

71

Illegal immigration

55%

42%

3%

61

Foreign threats

43%

54%

4%

99

Deficit

45%

53%

2%

60

7%

196

Other

45%

48%

(cont.)

Page 390

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
BORN BORN-AGAIN / EVANGELICAL

BORN

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

Not
born-again

Cutting taxes

55%

41%

5%

58

Reducing deficit

43%

54%

3%

94

Creating jobs

41%

52%

8%

154

Increase wages

41%

55%

4%

83

Healthcare costs

38%

54%

9%

75

Retirement

43%

50%

7%

31

Higher education

38%

58%

4%

62

Regulations

54%

46%

Combination

43%

46%

None

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Born-again /
evangelical

Refused

51
10%

107
5

100%

Unsure

35%

47%

18%

Views close to own

43%

51%

7%

255

Most effective person

42%

53%

5%

422

Both

58%

35%

7%

33

Unsure

47%

39%

14%

18

Very worried

45%

46%

9%

243

Somewhat worried

44%

53%

3%

304

Not too worried

34%

57%

8%

136

Not at all worried

44%

53%

3%

37

Combination

100%

1
7

Unsure

61%

39%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

41%

50%

8%

Unsure

38%

45%

17%

39

No

44%

52%

4%

518

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

43%

51%

6%

352

Unsure

35%

48%

16%

56

Disapprove

44%

51%

5%

320

Very worried

47%

45%

8%

92

Somewhat worried

45%

50%

6%

224

Not too worried

42%

51%

7%

252

Not at all worried

39%

57%

4%

152

100%

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

170

Unsure

48%

52%

Yes

41%

54%

6%

467

No

47%

47%

7%

261

Approve

29%

64%

8%

179

Unsure

42%

46%

12%

33

Disapprove

49%

47%

4%

255

(cont.)

Page 391

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
BORN BORN-AGAIN / EVANGELICAL

BORN

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

TOTAL

Born-again /
evangelical

Not
born-again

Refused

Yes

28%

68%

4%

413

No

68%

25%

7%

207

Not sure

51%

38%

11%

108

4 of 4

24%

48%

28%

16

3 of 4

20%

74%

7%

55

2 of 4

38%

57%

5%

149

1 of 4

49%

44%

7%

164

0 of 4

47%

48%

5%

344

5-7 of 7

44%

52%

4%

131

4 of 7

45%

51%

4%

76

3 of 7

44%

49%

7%

80

2 of 7

50%

43%

7%

62

1 of 7

48%

44%

9%

120

0 of 7

37%

57%

6%

258

43%

51%

6%

728

Page 392

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RACE RESPONDENT'S RACE

RACE
White

Hispanic /
Latino

Asian /
Pacific
American

Native
American

77%

13%

5%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1001

Northeast

80%

9%

4%

2%

1%

2%

3%

195

Midwest

81%

15%

1%

0%

0%

0%

1%

181

South

72%

18%

4%

1%

1%

1%

2%

235

South Central

65%

20%

11%

1%

Central Plains

94%

1%

1%

Mountain States

75%

11%

10%

West

73%

8%

California

67%

Florida

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

TOTAL

Black /
African
American

Other

Unsure /
refused

1%

2%

96

1%

2%

2%

83

1%

0%

1%

2%

70

10%

1%

1%

3%

4%

141

7%

14%

2%

5%

6%

89

67%

14%

11%

4%

2%

2%

58

Texas

62%

22%

15%

1%

New York

79%

6%

5%

3%

2%

1%

3%

56

Rest of country

80%

13%

3%

1%

1%

1%

2%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

70%

20%

7%

0%

1%

0%

2%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

77%

14%

4%

1%

1%

1%

2%

320

No Senate election

80%

8%

5%

2%

1%

2%

2%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

76%

14%

6%

1%

1%

0%

2%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

76%

11%

6%

2%

0%

2%

3%

366

No Gubernatorial election

80%

13%

2%

1%

1%

1%

2%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

76%

13%

5%

1%

1%

2%

2%

241

Other

77%

13%

5%

1%

1%

1%

2%

760

Male

79%

10%

5%

1%

0%

1%

3%

480

Female

75%

15%

5%

1%

1%

1%

2%

521

Male / employed

80%

9%

6%

1%

0%

1%

3%

324

Male / not employed

77%

13%

3%

0%

1%

2%

3%

157

Female / employed

76%

13%

6%

1%

1%

2%

2%

281

Female / not employed

73%

17%

4%

2%

1%

1%

2%

240

Not employed

72%

15%

6%

3%

1%

1%

2%

133

Employed

78%

11%

6%

1%

1%

2%

2%

605

Retired

78%

16%

3%

0%

1%

1%

2%

252

Refused

47%

15%

16%

22%

11

18-34

67%

13%

14%

1%

4%

1%

200

35-44

80%

11%

2%

2%

1%

1%

4%

280

45-64

73%

18%

5%

1%

1%

1%

2%

310

65 or over

88%

7%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

200

Unsure / refused

79%

5%

3%

3%

9%

10

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

1%

71

0%

(cont.)

Page 393

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RACE RESPONDENT'S RACE

RACE
White

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

Hispanic /
Latino

Asian /
Pacific
American

Native
American

12%

7%

2%

1%

2%

3%

480

45-64

73%

18%

5%

1%

1%

1%

2%

310

65+

88%

7%

1%

0%

1%

1%

1%

200

Unsure / refused

79%

5%

3%

3%

9%

10

Male / under 55

77%

11%

6%

1%

0%

2%

3%

302

Male / 55+

82%

10%

3%

0%

1%

1%

3%

179

Female / under 55

69%

17%

7%

2%

1%

2%

2%

315

Female / 55+

83%

11%

3%

0%

1%

0%

1%

205

White

751

100%

Black / African American

120

100%
21%

7%

58%

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

3%
20%

16%

7%

5%

90

19%

44%

40

White millenials 18-34

100%

128

White older voters 35+

100%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

100%

24

African American older


voters 35+

100%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

18%

4%

67%

Hispanic older voters 35+

22%

9%

50%

41

11%
5%

3%

9%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

34%

39%

27%

Other races older voters


35+

17%

14%

48%

32

White seniors
Other

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

Unsure /
refused

75%

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Other

18-44

Hispanic / Latino

AGE AND RACE

TOTAL

Black /
African
American

20%

255

100%
69%

17%

7%

1%

1%

2%

3%

746

White men

100%

368

White women

100%

382

Black men

100%

50

Black women

100%

70

Hispanic men

29%

Hispanic women

13%

Republican

59%

1%

7%

4%

42

13%

56%

4%

7%

6%

48

92%

2%

2%

0%

1%

1%

2%

390

Independent

80%

7%

6%

1%

0%

2%

4%

190

Democrat

62%

24%

7%

2%

1%

2%

2%

420

Male / GOP

92%

2%

1%

0%

0%

1%

3%

214

Female / GOP

91%

3%

4%

0%

2%

0%

0%

176

Male / DEM

63%

23%

9%

1%

0%

1%

2%

161

Female / DEM

61%

25%

6%

3%

1%

2%

2%

259

Male / IND

77%

7%

8%

1%

1%

2%

4%

105

Female / IND

83%

8%

4%

0%

1%

3%

85

(cont.)

Page 394

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RACE RESPONDENT'S RACE

RACE
White

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

TOTAL

Black /
African
American

Hispanic /
Latino

Asian /
Pacific
American

Native
American

Other

Unsure /
refused

Under 55 / GOP

89%

4%

3%

0%

1%

1%

2%

223

55 & over / GOP

95%

1%

2%

0%

0%

1%

1%

168

Under 55 / DEM

58%

25%

9%

3%

0%

3%

2%

269

55 & over / DEM

68%

23%

4%

0%

1%

1%

3%

151

Under 55 / IND

76%

8%

8%

1%

0%

2%

4%

125

55 & over / IND

87%

7%

2%

0%

1%

1%

3%

65

Republican

91%

2%

4%

0%

1%

0%

2%

448

Ticket splitter

73%

6%

12%

1%

2%

7%

61

Democrat

65%

23%

6%

2%

0%

2%

2%

492

Hard GOP

92%

2%

3%

0%

1%

0%

2%

360

Soft GOP

88%

1%

5%

1%

1%

2%

3%

92

Ticket splitter

75%

5%

12%

2%

6%

64

Soft DEM

76%

14%

5%

1%

1%

2%

2%

84

Hard DEM

61%

25%

7%

2%

0%

2%

2%

401

Conservative

81%

11%

4%

1%

1%

1%

2%

536

Moderate

76%

13%

6%

1%

1%

0%

4%

76

Liberal

72%

15%

7%

2%

0%

2%

2%

389

Very conservative

79%

12%

4%

0%

1%

1%

3%

187

Somewhat conservative

82%

10%

4%

1%

1%

1%

1%

348

Moderate / liberal

73%

15%

7%

2%

0%

2%

3%

465

Republican

92%

2%

2%

0%

1%

1%

2%

390

Independent

80%

7%

6%

1%

0%

2%

4%

190

Conservative DEM

42%

42%

10%

2%

1%

2%

2%

103

Mod / lib DEM

68%

19%

7%

2%

0%

2%

2%

318

Liberal DEM

71%

16%

6%

2%

0%

2%

2%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

51%

37%

5%

2%

1%

2%

1%

157

Independent

73%

6%

12%

1%

2%

7%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

87%

5%

6%

1%

1%

0%

69

Conservative GOP

92%

2%

3%

0%

1%

0%

2%

379

Yes / strongly

75%

13%

6%

1%

2%

1%

2%

93

Yes

92%

3%

3%

1%

1%

68

No / unsure

76%

13%

5%

0%

1%

2%

840

Less than high school

72%

11%

12%

1%

2%

3%

53

High school graduate

70%

15%

9%

1%

1%

1%

3%

227

Some college

73%

18%

6%

1%

0%

1%

1%

219

College graduate

82%

9%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

503

Male college graduates

86%

7%

2%

1%

0%

1%

2%

248

Male non-college
graduates

72%

14%

8%

1%

1%

1%

3%

232

Female college graduates

78%

12%

2%

2%

1%

2%

2%

254

Female non-college
graduates

72%

17%

8%

1%

0%

1%

1%

266

1%

(cont.)

Page 395

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RACE RESPONDENT'S RACE

RACE
White

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

White non-college
graduate
Minority non-college
graduate

Black /
African
American

Hispanic /
Latino

Asian /
Pacific
American

TOTAL

Native
American

Other

Unsure /
refused

100%

349

5%

53%

27%

3%

2%

3%

7%

149

Others

82%

9%

2%

1%

1%

2%

2%

503

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

76%

13%

7%

1%

0%

1%

2%

127

Non-union household

77%

13%

5%

1%

1%

1%

2%

874

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

58%

26%

10%

1%

2%

2%

215

Married

82%

7%

4%

1%

1%

1%

2%

607

No longer married

80%

14%

2%

0%

1%

1%

2%

179

Dad

83%

7%

5%

0%

0%

1%

4%

171

Mom

71%

15%

5%

3%

2%

3%

2%

203

Married / children

80%

7%

5%

2%

1%

2%

3%

299

Married / no children

85%

8%

3%

0%

1%

1%

2%

308

Divorced / children

95%

2%

3%

Divorced / no children

78%

20%

Single / children

46%

43%

3%

Single / no children

61%

22%

12%

1%

Other / mixed

78%

14%

4%

0%

Single women

48%

34%

12%

1%

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

60

5%

42

2%

1%

173

1%

1%

3%

97

3%

2%

98

82%

8%

4%

2%

1%

1%

2%

304

No longer married women

79%

16%

3%

0%

1%

1%

1%

118

Single men

67%

19%

9%

1%

1%

2%

117

Married men

83%

7%

5%

0%

1%

3%

302

83%

11%

1%

4%

61

1%

1%

White single men

100%

75

White single women

100%

46

White married men

100%

244

White married women

100%

243

White no longer married


men

100%

49

White no longer married


women

100%

93

Other
MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

1%
3%

0%

Married women

No longer married men


GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

1%

22

7%

50%

21%

Single mothers

38%

52%

3%

Married mothers

75%

9%

6%

No longer married
mothers

91%

6%

Non-mothers

78%

12%

5%

4%

4%

1%

6%

9%

250

4%

3%

30

2%

3%

2%

150

2%

2%

0%

1%

3%

23
2%

798

(cont.)

Page 396

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RACE RESPONDENT'S RACE

RACE
White

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

Hispanic /
Latino

Asian /
Pacific
American

Native
American

10%

2%

0%

1%

0%

1%

73

Middle class

80%

10%

5%

1%

1%

1%

2%

696

Low income

63%

23%

7%

1%

1%

2%

3%

205

Working class

65%

11%

22%

68%

14%

Middle class whites

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

3%
17%

Middle class African


Americans

100%
15%

20
551

100%

11%

63
60%

Middle class other races

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

Unsure /
refused

85%

Middle class Hispanics

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

Other

Upper class

Refused
CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

TOTAL

Black /
African
American

1%
31%

15%

57

7%

6%

22%

32%

25

Other

69%

19%

6%

1%

1%

1%

3%

305

Roman Catholic

78%

4%

12%

1%

1%

2%

2%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

66%

29%

2%

1%

1%

2%

185

Mainline Protestant

81%

12%

3%

1%

1%

2%

1%

280

Other

86%

4%

8%

2%

45

None

79%

11%

5%

1%

1%

1%

2%

262

At least once a week

73%

16%

6%

1%

1%

1%

1%

336

At least once a month

76%

13%

4%

1%

1%

4%

1%

157

Infrequently

82%

9%

6%

1%

0%

1%

2%

191

Never

78%

9%

8%

3%

1%

2%

44

Active Roman Catholics

74%

3%

18%

2%

2%

1%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

69%

29%

1%

1%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

75%

16%

4%

Active other

87%

Other

78%

11%

5%

Male born again /


evangelicals

72%

17%

Male not evangelical

82%

Female born again /


evangelicals
Female not evangelical
RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

Non-white Evangelical

1%
1%

1%

1%

131

1%

1%

2%

3%

667

6%

1%

1%

1%

3%

133

8%

5%

1%

0%

1%

3%

348

71%

23%

4%

0%

0%

1%

1%

179

77%

10%

6%

2%

1%

2%

2%

342

1%

17

13%

222

100%
1%

71%

16%

1%

2%

4%

6%

100%

Non-white conservative
Christians

1%

White non-conservative
Christians

100%

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

0%

90
166

70%

12%

2%

2%

5%

7%

51
55

71%

20%

2%

3%

4%

39

(cont.)

Page 397

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RACE RESPONDENT'S RACE

RACE
White

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL

Black /
African
American

Hispanic /
Latino

Asian /
Pacific
American

Native
American

Approve

62%

25%

7%

2%

0%

Unsure

74%

6%

15%

1%

0%

Disapprove

91%

2%

3%

0%

1%

Jobs

70%

20%

5%

1%

Economy

70%

18%

5%

2%

Health care

78%

15%

1%

3%

Illegal immigration

84%

5%

7%

0%

Foreign threats

86%

5%

5%

1%

Deficit

82%

8%

7%

Unsure /
refused

2%

453

4%

62

1%

2%

487

1%

3%

135

1%

3%

228

2%

1%

99

0%

2%

2%

78

1%

1%

1%

116

2%

1%

76

1%

Other

78%

11%

6%

Cutting taxes

76%

12%

6%

Reducing deficit

93%

4%

2%

0%

1%

Creating jobs

71%

18%

6%

1%

1%

Increase wages

68%

22%

5%

2%

Healthcare costs

88%

2%

6%

0%

Retirement

80%

7%

7%

1%

1%

Higher education

65%

22%

7%

1%

1%

Regulations

87%

8%

1%

0%

1%

1%

Other

2%

1%

2%

2%

268

0%

1%

5%

71

0%

126

1%

2%

203

0%

1%

2%

132

0%

2%

2%

98

4%

41

4%

0%

101

1%

2%

65

4%

141

2%

11

8%

12

Combination

75%

10%

None

56%

28%

Unsure

90%

Views close to own

83%

10%

3%

1%

0%

1%

2%

352

Most effective person

73%

15%

7%

1%

1%

1%

2%

571

Both

81%

9%

4%

2%

4%

2%

48

Unsure

80%

6%

7%

1%

6%

30

Very worried

77%

11%

6%

0%

1%

2%

3%

318

Somewhat worried

79%

13%

5%

1%

0%

1%

1%

405

Not too worried

77%

12%

3%

3%

1%

2%

3%

214

Not at all worried

62%

18%

13%

0%

2%

4%

56

Combination

58%

7%

2%

1%

2%

14%
2%

42%

Unsure

34%

33%

24%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

65%

21%

8%

3%

Unsure

65%

19%

9%

0%

No

82%

9%

4%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

74%

15%

Unsure

74%

Disapprove

81%

4%

2%

2%

245

1%

1%

4%

63

1%

1%

1%

2%

693

6%

1%

0%

2%

2%

510

13%

6%

0%

1%

0%

5%

85

9%

4%

1%

1%

1%

2%

406

5%

(cont.)

Page 398

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RACE RESPONDENT'S RACE

RACE
White

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

Hispanic /
Latino

Asian /
Pacific
American

Native
American

Other

Unsure /
refused

Very worried

72%

16%

7%

0%

1%

1%

3%

112

Somewhat worried

74%

15%

5%

1%

1%

1%

2%

283

Not too worried

80%

10%

5%

1%

0%

2%

2%

341

Not at all worried

78%

11%

5%

2%

1%

1%

2%

258

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

TOTAL

Black /
African
American

100%

Unsure

51%

36%

Yes

80%

11%

4%

1%

1%

No

71%

16%

8%

1%

Approve

73%

16%

5%

2%

Unsure

95%

3%

Disapprove

85%

7%

3%

1%

1%

Yes

79%

10%

5%

1%

No

76%

15%

4%

Not sure

66%

19%

4 of 4

71%

7%

3 of 4

78%

14%

2%

2%

0%

2 of 4

61%

28%

6%

2%

1 of 4

69%

16%

8%

0 of 4

89%

3%

5-7 of 7

90%

4 of 7

13%

1%

3%

645

1%

2%

2%

356

0%

1%

3%

295

1%

45

1%

2%

306

1%

2%

2%

628

1%

1%

1%

3%

245

8%

3%

1%

1%

3%

128

11%

8%

3%

26

3%

2%

112

0%

2%

2%

221

1%

1%

2%

3%

214

4%

0%

1%

0%

2%

427

4%

2%

0%

1%

0%

2%

150

95%

1%

1%

0%

1%

1%

0%

96

3 of 7

86%

5%

2%

3%

1%

1%

2%

91

2 of 7

81%

4%

8%

1%

2%

4%

87

1%

1 of 7

73%

14%

7%

1%

2%

3%

164

0 of 7

67%

21%

7%

1%

1%

2%

2%

413

77%

13%

5%

1%

1%

1%

2%

1001

Page 399

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS

ECONCLA2

Upper class Middle class Low income

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

TOTAL
Refused

7%

69%

20%

1%

2%

1001

Northeast

6%

75%

16%

1%

2%

195

Midwest

10%

60%

26%

1%

2%

181

South

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

Working
class

5%

66%

26%

0%

3%

235

South Central

11%

72%

14%

1%

2%

96

Central Plains

5%

77%

18%

Mountain States

3%

74%

19%

2%

2%

70

West

9%

71%

18%

0%

2%

141

3%

89

California

83

10%

69%

18%

Florida

7%

70%

23%

Texas

11%

76%

11%

New York

7%

82%

11%

Rest of country

7%

68%

22%

1%

2%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

6%

69%

20%

0%

4%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

9%

66%

23%

1%

1%

320

No Senate election

7%

72%

18%

1%

2%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

8%

68%

20%

1%

2%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

7%

71%

20%

1%

2%

366

No Gubernatorial election

7%

69%

21%

0%

2%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

5%

68%

24%

1%

2%

241

Other

8%

70%

19%

1%

2%

760

Male

7%

71%

19%

1%

2%

480

Female

8%

68%

22%

1%

2%

521

Male / employed

7%

73%

17%

1%

2%

324

Male / not employed

7%

67%

23%

3%

157

Female / employed

7%

75%

15%

2%

281

Female / not employed

8%

60%

30%

2%

240

2%

133

2%

605

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

EMPSTAT

Not employed

71
56

1%

10%

58%

30%

7%

74%

16%

Retired

7%

65%

26%

1%

252

59%

20%

21%

11

1%

18-34

2%

69%

26%

1%

2%

200

35-44

9%

73%

15%

2%

1%

280

45-64

7%

67%

22%

1%

3%

310

10%

68%

21%

1%

200

Unsure / refused

5%

67%

10%

18%

10

18-44

6%

72%

20%

1%

1%

480

45-64

7%

67%

22%

1%

3%

310

10%

68%

21%

1%

200

5%

67%

10%

18%

10

65 or over

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

2%

Employed

Refused
RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

58

0%

65+
Unsure / refused
(cont.)

Page 400

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS

ECONCLA2

Upper class Middle class Low income

RR96FL AGE / SEX

Male / under 55

AGE AND RACE

302

3%

179

2%

315

2%

205

1%

2%

751

1%

2%

120

25%

2%

2%

90

62%

25%

1%

6%

40

1%

73%

27%

9%

74%

15%

African American
millenials 18-34

6%

52%

32%

African American older


voters 35+

6%

52%

40%

Hispanic millenials 18-34

4%

65%

23%

Hispanic older voters 35+

10%

62%

27%

83%

17%

8%

57%

27%

10%

70%

18%

Other

6%

69%

21%

White men

6%

77%

White women

9%

Black men

73%

20%

12%

68%

17%

Female / under 55

8%

68%

21%

Female / 55+

7%

68%

23%

White

7%

73%

17%

Black / African American

6%

52%

39%

Hispanic / Latino

7%

63%

Other

6%

White millenials 18-34


White older voters 35+

Other races millenials


18-34
Other races older voters
35+
WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

TOTAL
Refused

2%

4%

Male / 55+

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

Working
class

1%

1%

128
2%

623

10%

24

1%

0%

96

4%

3%

41

2%

49

1%

8
8%

32

2%

255

1%

2%

746

14%

1%

2%

368

70%

19%

1%

2%

382

9%

45%

44%

2%

1%

50

Black women

4%

57%

35%

3%

70

Hispanic men

3%

42

2%

48

2%

390

White seniors

1%

11%

61%

26%

Hispanic women

4%

66%

25%

Republican

7%

77%

15%

Independent

7%

65%

25%

1%

3%

190

Democrat

8%

65%

23%

1%

2%

420

Male / GOP

7%

78%

13%

1%

214

Female / GOP

6%

75%

17%

2%

176

Male / DEM

6%

65%

26%

1%

2%

161

Female / DEM

9%

65%

22%

1%

2%

259

Male / IND

7%

68%

20%

2%

4%

105

Female / IND

7%

61%

31%

2%

85

Under 55 / GOP

4%

78%

17%

1%

223

55 & over / GOP

10%

75%

13%

2%

168

Under 55 / DEM

8%

67%

20%

2%

269

55 & over / DEM

7%

62%

29%

1%

151

Under 55 / IND

5%

65%

27%

2%

125

55 & over / IND

11%

64%

20%

5%

65

4%

2%

1%

(cont.)

Page 401

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS

ECONCLA2

Upper class Middle class Low income

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

Republican

7%

78%

13%

Ticket splitter

5%

49%

41%

Democrat

8%

65%

25%

Hard GOP

7%

78%

13%

Soft GOP

5%

68%

25%

Ticket splitter

6%

58%

27%

Soft DEM

6%

65%

27%

Hard DEM

8%

64%

Conservative

6%

Moderate

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

448

6%

61

1%

492

2%

360

1%

92

9%

64

1%

1%

84

24%

2%

2%

401

72%

20%

1%

1%

536

8%

53%

34%

0%

5%

76

Liberal

8%

69%

19%

1%

2%

389

Very conservative

9%

69%

20%

2%

187

Somewhat conservative

5%

74%

20%

1%

1%

348

Moderate / liberal

8%

67%

21%

1%

3%

465

Republican

7%

77%

15%

2%

390

Independent

7%

65%

25%

1%

3%

190

Conservative DEM

3%

57%

38%

2%

0%

103

1%

1%

10%

68%

19%

1%

3%

318

9%

69%

18%

1%

2%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

4%

55%

39%

2%

0%

157

Independent

5%

49%

41%

6%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

5%

65%

24%

0%

5%

69

Conservative GOP

7%

80%

11%

0%

2%

379

12%

65%

20%

0%

3%

93

Yes

8%

86%

6%

0%

68

No / unsure

7%

69%

22%

2%

840

Less than high school

6%

45%

44%

4%

53

High school graduate

3%

56%

39%

2%

227

Some college

3%

70%

25%

2%

219

College graduate

11%

78%

8%

1%

2%

503

Male college graduates

10%

78%

9%

2%

2%

248

3%

64%

30%

0%

2%

232

12%

78%

7%

1%

2%

254

Female non-college
graduates

3%

58%

36%

1%

2%

266

White non-college
graduate

4%

66%

28%

1%

2%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

3%

48%

47%

0%

2%

149

11%

78%

8%

1%

2%

503

Union household

6%

81%

11%

3%

127

Non-union household

7%

68%

22%

2%

874

Yes / strongly

Male non-college
graduates

Others
RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

0%

Liberal DEM

Female college graduates

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

TOTAL
Refused

2%

Mod / lib DEM


PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

Working
class

1%

1%

1%

(cont.)

Page 402

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS

ECONCLA2

Upper class Middle class Low income

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

4%

60%

32%

1%

2%

215

Married

9%

77%

12%

1%

2%

607

No longer married

4%

57%

35%

1%

2%

179

Dad

3%

80%

15%

0%

1%

171

Mom

11%

71%

17%

1%

1%

203

Married / children

9%

78%

11%

0%

1%

299

Married / no children

9%

75%

12%

1%

2%

308

45%

46%

10%

58%

38%

74%

26%

Divorced / no children

3%

Single / children

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

Single / no children

5%

56%

34%

Other / mixed

6%

59%

32%

Single women

2%

59%

34%

Married women

60
42

1%

2%

3%

173

4%

97

3%

98

2%

304

75%

12%

3%

57%

36%

2%

2%

118

Single men

6%

60%

31%

1%

2%

117

Married men

7%

79%

11%

1%

2%

302

No longer married men

6%

56%

34%

4%

61

White single men

5%

68%

26%

1%

75

White single women

2%

60%

38%

White married men

6%

83%

8%

46
1%

2%

244

12%

75%

11%

2%

243

White no longer married


men

6%

64%

28%

2%

49

White no longer married


women

4%

61%

31%

2%

2%

93

Other

7%

58%

32%

1%

3%

250

70%

30%

73%

11%

57%

34%

9%

69%

21%

1%

Single mothers
Married mothers

Non-mothers

15%

6%

30
1%

150
23

2%

798

Middle class whites

100%

551

Middle class African


Americans

100%

63

Middle class Hispanics

100%

57

Middle class other races

100%

25

Other
RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

1%

11%

No longer married
mothers
CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

22

No longer married women

White married women

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

TOTAL
Refused

Single

Divorced / children

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

Working
class

24%

67%

3%

7%

305

Roman Catholic

8%

75%

15%

1%

1%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

4%

70%

24%

0%

1%

185

Mainline Protestant

9%

68%

21%

0%

2%

280

Other

16%

70%

14%

None

6%

66%

24%

45
2%

2%

262

(cont.)

Page 403

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS

ECONCLA2

Upper class Middle class Low income

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

At least once a week

6%

72%

19%

At least once a month

9%

73%

15%

10%

67%

22%

Never

4%

64%

30%

Active Roman Catholics

5%

73%

18%

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

6%

70%

Active Mainline
Protestants

8%

Active other

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL
Refused

1%

336

4%

157

1%

191

2%

44

2%

1%

79

22%

1%

2%

106

74%

17%

1%

1%

131

4%

70%

26%

Other

8%

68%

21%

1%

2%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

7%

73%

17%

0%

2%

133

Male not evangelical

7%

71%

20%

1%

2%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

7%

64%

26%

3%

179

Infrequently

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

Working
class

1%

0%

17

Female not evangelical

8%

70%

20%

1%

1%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

6%

72%

19%

0%

2%

222

Non-white Evangelical

8%

57%

31%

4%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

6%

76%

16%

1%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

5%

55%

41%

White non-conservative
Christians

8%

59%

26%

7%

55

11%

61%

19%

9%

39

Approve

9%

66%

23%

1%

2%

453

Unsure

1%

59%

28%

3%

9%

62

Disapprove

7%

74%

17%

1%

1%

487

Jobs

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians
RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

0%

51

3%

68%

26%

1%

3%

135

Economy

13%

69%

16%

0%

1%

228

Health care

12%

61%

26%

0%

99

Illegal immigration

6%

74%

17%

4%

78

Foreign threats

2%

73%

23%

1%

116

Deficit

3%

82%

11%

3%

76

2%

268

Other

6%

67%

22%

2%

(cont.)

Page 404

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS

ECONCLA2

Upper class Middle class Low income

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

Cutting taxes

7%

65%

22%

Reducing deficit

4%

78%

13%

Creating jobs

8%

72%

18%

Increase wages

11%

60%

Healthcare costs

6%

Retirement

6%

71

5%

126

1%

203

28%

1%

132

67%

25%

2%

98

66%

33%

1%

41

1%

1%

13%

67%

20%

Regulations

10%

81%

10%

Combination

5%

69%

21%

77%

21%

6%

67%

27%

10%

71%

16%

1%

2%

352

Most effective person

6%

69%

24%

0%

1%

571

Both

4%

62%

22%

6%

6%

48

Unsure

2%

77%

12%

8%

30

Very worried

6%

65%

25%

0%

3%

318

Somewhat worried

7%

71%

19%

2%

1%

405

Not too worried

9%

76%

13%

0%

2%

214

Not at all worried

11%

59%

29%

1%

56

Unsure

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TOTAL
Refused

Higher education

None

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Working
class

Views close to own

Combination

101

3%

0%

65

2%

141

2%

11
12

100%

Unsure

60%

38%

2%

8
245

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

8%

68%

23%

1%

Unsure

7%

67%

23%

3%

63

No

7%

70%

19%

1%

2%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

9%

72%

17%

0%

2%

510

Unsure

7%

57%

29%

3%

4%

85

Disapprove

5%

69%

23%

1%

1%

406

Very worried

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

10%

56%

31%

0%

3%

112

Somewhat worried

6%

72%

19%

0%

2%

283

Not too worried

9%

72%

17%

1%

1%

341

Not at all worried

6%

70%

21%

1%

2%

258

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

100%

Unsure

53%

42%

6%

Yes

8%

75%

15%

0%

2%

645

No

5%

60%

31%

1%

2%

356

Approve

9%

74%

14%

1%

2%

295

Unsure

1%

87%

8%

4%

45

Disapprove

8%

74%

16%

2%

306

(cont.)

Page 405

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS

ECONCLA2

Upper class Middle class Low income

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

Working
class

TOTAL
Refused

Yes

9%

72%

16%

1%

2%

628

No

5%

67%

26%

1%

1%

245

Not sure

3%

60%

33%

3%

128

4 of 4

4%

78%

14%

4%

26

3 of 4

11%

75%

11%

2%

2%

112

2 of 4

8%

66%

24%

0%

2%

221

1 of 4

7%

57%

31%

2%

2%

214

0 of 4

6%

76%

16%

0%

2%

427

5-7 of 7

9%

81%

8%

0%

2%

150

4 of 7

8%

85%

5%

2%

96

3 of 7

8%

72%

18%

2%

91

2 of 7

4%

67%

28%

2%

87

1 of 7

6%

66%

25%

1%

3%

164

0 of 7

7%

64%

26%

1%

2%

413

7%

69%

20%

1%

2%

1001

1%

Page 406

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C

RSEXEMP

TOTAL

Male /
employed

Male / not
employed

Female /
employed

Female / not
employed

32%

16%

28%

24%

1001

Northeast

29%

16%

37%

18%

195

Midwest

33%

14%

26%

27%

181

South

28%

20%

25%

28%

235

South Central

42%

10%

21%

27%

96

Central Plains

33%

14%

34%

18%

83

Mountain States

34%

14%

27%

25%

70

West

36%

15%

25%

24%

141

California

33%

17%

24%

26%

89

Florida

22%

32%

18%

27%

58

Texas

37%

11%

22%

30%

71

New York

31%

21%

38%

10%

56

Rest of country

33%

14%

29%

24%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

31%

13%

28%

28%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

35%

14%

26%

24%

320

No Senate election

31%

18%

29%

22%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

30%

16%

25%

28%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

32%

17%

30%

21%

366

No Gubernatorial election

37%

12%

30%

21%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

30%

18%

25%

27%

241

Other

33%

15%

29%

23%

760

Male

67%

33%

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

Female
EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

54%

521

74%

133
605

46%
45%

55%

252

Refused

63%

37%

11

18-34

39%

9%

38%

14%

200

35-44

43%

4%

39%

14%

280

45-64

35%

17%

27%

21%

310

7%

35%

6%

51%

200

16%

35%

11%

39%

10

Unsure / refused
18-44

42%

6%

38%

14%

480

45-64

35%

17%

27%

21%

310

7%

35%

6%

51%

200

Unsure / refused

16%

35%

11%

39%

10

Male / under 55

86%

14%

302

Male / 55+

37%

63%

179

65+

RR96FL AGE / SEX

26%

46%

Retired

65 or over

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

54%

Not employed
Employed

480

Female / under 55

72%

28%

315

Female / 55+

26%

74%

205

(cont.)

Page 407

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C

RSEXEMP

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

Male / not
employed

Female /
employed

Female / not
employed

White

33%

16%

28%

23%

751

Black / African American

24%

17%

26%

32%

120

Hispanic / Latino

32%

14%

33%

20%

90

Other

36%

14%

22%

27%

40

White millenials 18-34

41%

8%

38%

12%

128

White older voters 35+

32%

17%

26%

25%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

27%

17%

36%

20%

24

African American older


voters 35+

23%

18%

24%

36%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

37%

10%

41%

12%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

28%

18%

27%

26%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

41%

27%

31%

Other races older voters


35+

35%

18%

21%

26%

32

White seniors

14%

31%

11%

45%

255

Other

39%

10%

34%

17%

746

White men

68%

32%

White women
Black men

Hispanic men

58%

70
42

31%
63%

37%

48

39%

16%

25%

20%

390

Independent

36%

19%

23%

22%

190

Democrat

25%

14%

33%

28%

420

Male / GOP

71%

29%

Female / GOP

Male / IND

214
55%

64%

46%

259
105

34%

Female / IND

176
161

54%
66%

45%

36%

Female / DEM

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

56%

Republican

Male / DEM

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

382
50

44%
69%

45%

42%

Hispanic women

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

368
55%

Black women

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

TOTAL

Male /
employed

51%

49%

85

Under 55 / GOP

55%

6%

31%

8%

223

55 & over / GOP

18%

30%

17%

36%

168

Under 55 / DEM

30%

6%

45%

19%

269

55 & over / DEM

15%

27%

11%

46%

151

Under 55 / IND

45%

12%

28%

16%

125

55 & over / IND

20%

33%

13%

34%

65

Republican

39%

17%

25%

20%

448

Ticket splitter

35%

18%

18%

29%

61

Democrat

26%

14%

32%

27%

492

(cont.)

Page 408

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C

RSEXEMP

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

Male /
employed

Male / not
employed

Female /
employed

Female / not
employed

Hard GOP

38%

16%

26%

20%

360

Soft GOP

42%

19%

17%

22%

92

Ticket splitter

39%

18%

21%

22%

64

Soft DEM

31%

19%

28%

23%

84

Hard DEM

24%

13%

34%

29%

401

Conservative

35%

18%

22%

25%

536

Moderate

43%

25%

20%

11%

76

Liberal

26%

11%

38%

25%

389

Very conservative

33%

20%

17%

29%

187

Somewhat conservative

36%

16%

25%

23%

348

Moderate / liberal

29%

13%

35%

23%

465

Republican

39%

16%

25%

20%

390

Independent

36%

19%

23%

22%

190

Conservative DEM

21%

19%

18%

41%

103

Mod / lib DEM

26%

12%

38%

24%

318

Liberal DEM

26%

11%

38%

26%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

27%

21%

21%

31%

157

Independent

35%

18%

18%

29%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

38%

18%

30%

13%

69

Conservative GOP

39%

17%

24%

21%

379

Yes / strongly

34%

26%

20%

21%

93

Yes

38%

18%

17%

27%

68

No / unsure

32%

14%

30%

24%

840

Less than high school

19%

31%

14%

36%

53

High school graduate

31%

16%

23%

31%

227

Some college

26%

20%

20%

34%

219

College graduate

37%

12%

35%

15%

503

Male college graduates

76%

24%

248

Male non-college
graduates

59%

41%

232

Female college graduates

69%

31%

254

Female non-college
graduates

39%

61%

266

White non-college
graduate

27%

20%

22%

31%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

29%

18%

17%

35%

149

Others

37%

12%

35%

15%

503

Union household

33%

10%

40%

16%

127

Non-union household

32%

16%

26%

25%

874

(cont.)

Page 409

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C

RSEXEMP

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

Male / not
employed

Female /
employed

Female / not
employed

Single

39%

15%

29%

17%

215

Married

36%

14%

30%

20%

607

No longer married

10%

24%

19%

47%

179

Dad

92%

8%
72%

28%

203

Married / children

46%

3%

36%

14%

299

Married / no children

27%

23%

25%

25%

308

Divorced / children

19%

9%

64%

8%

22

Mom
BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

Divorced / no children

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

9%

33%

13%

45%

60

29%

1%

49%

21%

42

Single / no children

42%

18%

24%

16%

173

9%

21%

13%

57%

97

Single women

63%

37%

98

Married women

61%

39%

304

No longer married women

29%

71%

118

Single men

72%

28%

117

Married men

73%

27%

302

No longer married men

30%

70%

61

White single men

73%

27%

White single women


White married men

White no longer married


men

75%

46
244

61%
27%

33%

25%
39%

73%

White no longer married


women

243
49

34%

66%

93

28%

27%

250

Single mothers

70%

30%

30

Married mothers

72%

28%

150

No longer married
mothers

80%

20%

23

Other

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

75
67%

White married women

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

171

Single / children

Other / mixed
GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

TOTAL

Male /
employed

29%

16%

Non-mothers

41%

20%

17%

23%

798

Upper class

30%

14%

28%

27%

73

Middle class

34%

15%

30%

21%

696

Low income

27%

18%

20%

35%

205

Working class

51%

Refused

27%

49%
25%

29%

20%

20

(cont.)

Page 410

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C

RSEXEMP

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Male /
employed

Male / not
employed

Female /
employed

Female / not
employed

Middle class whites

36%

16%

29%

20%

551

Middle class African


Americans

19%

17%

37%

27%

63

Middle class Hispanics

35%

10%

34%

21%

57

Middle class other races

29%

11%

35%

25%

25

Other

28%

17%

23%

32%

305

Roman Catholic

31%

13%

35%

21%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

29%

16%

20%

35%

185

Mainline Protestant

32%

15%

29%

24%

280

Other

39%

13%

29%

18%

45

None

36%

18%

27%

19%

262

At least once a week

32%

12%

27%

28%

336

At least once a month

31%

13%

33%

24%

157

Infrequently

29%

20%

29%

22%

191

Never

39%

19%

12%

31%

44

Active Roman Catholics

29%

14%

32%

26%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

34%

12%

18%

36%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

33%

12%

30%

24%

131

Active other

38%

4%

37%

21%

17

22%

667

Other

32%

18%

Male born again /


evangelicals

68%

32%

133

Male not evangelical

67%

33%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals
Female not evangelical

28%

44%

56%

179

59%

41%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

30%

13%

25%

32%

222

Non-white Evangelical

27%

15%

25%

33%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

33%

13%

22%

31%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

33%

19%

15%

33%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

20%

13%

34%

33%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

19%

9%

39%

33%

39

Approve

28%

15%

31%

26%

453

Unsure

31%

14%

29%

26%

62

Disapprove

36%

17%

25%

22%

487

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
(cont.)

Page 411

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C

RSEXEMP

TOTAL

Male /
employed

Male / not
employed

Female /
employed

Female / not
employed

Jobs

32%

17%

29%

22%

135

Economy

33%

14%

31%

22%

228

Health care

25%

11%

35%

28%

99

Illegal immigration

29%

20%

22%

29%

78

Foreign threats

29%

13%

32%

27%

116

Deficit

42%

16%

30%

12%

76

Other

34%

18%

22%

26%

268

Cutting taxes

44%

13%

20%

23%

71

Reducing deficit

44%

16%

23%

18%

126

Creating jobs

29%

19%

25%

27%

203

Increase wages

31%

7%

43%

20%

132

Healthcare costs

27%

11%

35%

26%

98

Retirement

34%

11%

34%

21%

41

Higher education

19%

22%

28%

31%

101

Regulations

44%

18%

27%

12%

65

Combination

28%

21%

22%

29%

141

None

63%

6%

9%

22%

11

Unsure

19%

10%

38%

33%

12

Views close to own

38%

12%

30%

20%

352

Most effective person

30%

17%

27%

26%

571

Both

36%

18%

19%

27%

48

Unsure

19%

25%

27%

29%

30

Very worried

33%

16%

24%

27%

318

Somewhat worried

32%

16%

27%

25%

405

Not too worried

31%

13%

37%

19%

214

Not at all worried

37%

21%

22%

20%

56

Combination

42%

Unsure

26%

33%

33%

8%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

32%

18%

26%

24%

245

Unsure

32%

11%

23%

34%

63

No

33%

15%

29%

23%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

32%

15%

30%

23%

510

Unsure

24%

16%

31%

30%

85

Disapprove

35%

16%

25%

24%

406

Very worried

22%

14%

29%

35%

112

Somewhat worried

30%

18%

21%

30%

283

Not too worried

32%

14%

34%

21%

341

Not at all worried

41%

14%

28%

17%

258

100%

15%

RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination
Unsure

58%

55%

31%

(cont.)

Page 412

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C

RSEXEMP

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

TOTAL

Male /
employed

Male / not
employed

Female /
employed

Female / not
employed

Yes

37%

16%

24%

23%

645

No

23%

15%

35%

26%

356

Approve

36%

14%

30%

20%

295

Unsure

47%

16%

17%

20%

45

Disapprove

37%

18%

19%

26%

306

Yes

31%

13%

33%

23%

628

No

35%

20%

22%

23%

245

Not sure

34%

19%

17%

30%

128

4 of 4

46%

13%

14%

27%

26

3 of 4

23%

17%

34%

25%

112

2 of 4

30%

10%

34%

27%

221

1 of 4

26%

17%

29%

28%

214

0 of 4

39%

18%

24%

20%

427

5-7 of 7

43%

24%

14%

19%

150

4 of 7

43%

13%

21%

23%

96

3 of 7

37%

15%

21%

27%

91

2 of 7

24%

20%

30%

25%

87

1 of 7

35%

12%

31%

22%

164

0 of 7

26%

14%

35%

26%

413

32%

16%

28%

24%

1001

Page 413

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
GENDER GENDER

GENDER

Male

TOTAL

TOTAL

Female

48%

52%

1001

Northeast

45%

55%

195

Midwest

47%

53%

181

South

47%

53%

235

South Central

52%

48%

96

Central Plains

47%

53%

83

Mountain States

48%

52%

70

West

51%

49%

141

California

50%

50%

89

Florida

54%

46%

58

Texas

48%

52%

71

New York

51%

49%

56

Rest of country

47%

53%

727

GOP held seat up in 2014

45%

55%

217

DEM held seat up in 2014

49%

51%

320

No Senate election

49%

51%

464

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

GOP held seat up in 2014

47%

53%

405

DEM held seat up in 2014

49%

51%

366

No Gubernatorial election

49%

51%

230

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

Competitive statewide
race

47%

53%

241

Other

48%

52%

760

RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS TWO

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

EMPSTAT

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

Male / employed

100%

324

Male / not employed

100%

157

Female / employed

100%

281

Female / not employed

100%

240

Not employed

26%

74%

133

Employed

54%

46%

605

Retired

45%

55%

252

Refused

63%

37%

11

18-34

48%

52%

200

35-44

47%

53%

280

45-64

52%

48%

310

65 or over

43%

57%

200

Unsure / refused

51%

49%

10

18-44

48%

52%

480

45-64

52%

48%

310

65+

43%

57%

200

Unsure / refused

51%

49%

10

(cont.)

Page 414

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
GENDER GENDER

GENDER

Male

RR96FL AGE / SEX

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

WHITE SENIORS

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

Male / under 55

100%

302

Male / 55+

100%

179

Female / under 55

100%

315

Female / 55+

100%

205

White

49%

51%

751

Black / African American

42%

58%

120

Hispanic / Latino

47%

53%

90

Other

50%

50%

40

White millenials 18-34

50%

50%

128

White older voters 35+

49%

51%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

44%

56%

24

African American older


voters 35+

41%

59%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

47%

53%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

46%

54%

49

Other races millenials


18-34

41%

59%

Other races older voters


35+

53%

47%

32

White seniors

45%

55%

255

Other

49%

51%

746

White men

100%

100%

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

100%

48

Republican

55%

45%

390

Independent

55%

45%

190

Democrat

38%

62%

420

Male / GOP

100%

100%

259
105

100%

Female / IND

176
161

100%

Female / DEM
Male / IND

214

100%

Female / GOP
Male / DEM

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

70
42

100%

Hispanic women

382
50

100%

Black women
Hispanic men

368

100%

White women
Black men

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

TOTAL

Female

100%

85

Under 55 / GOP

60%

40%

223

55 & over / GOP

48%

52%

168

Under 55 / DEM

36%

64%

269

55 & over / DEM

43%

57%

151

Under 55 / IND

56%

44%

125

55 & over / IND

53%

47%

65

(cont.)

Page 415

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
GENDER GENDER

GENDER

Male

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C
REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

Female

Republican

56%

44%

448

Ticket splitter

53%

47%

61

Democrat

40%

60%

492

Hard GOP

54%

46%

360

Soft GOP

61%

39%

92

Ticket splitter

57%

43%

64

Soft DEM

49%

51%

84

Hard DEM

38%

62%

401

Conservative

53%

47%

536

Moderate

68%

32%

76

Liberal

37%

63%

389

Very conservative

54%

46%

187

Somewhat conservative

52%

48%

348

Moderate / liberal

42%

58%

465

Republican

55%

45%

390

Independent

55%

45%

190

Conservative DEM

40%

60%

103

Mod / lib DEM

38%

62%

318

Liberal DEM

37%

63%

335

Mod / conservative DEM

48%

52%

157

Independent

53%

47%

61

Mod / liberal GOP

57%

43%

69

Conservative GOP

56%

44%

379

Yes / strongly

59%

41%

93

Yes

56%

44%

68

No / unsure

46%

54%

840

Less than high school

50%

50%

53

High school graduate

46%

54%

227

Some college

46%

54%

219

College graduate

49%

51%

503

Male college graduates

100%

248

Male non-college
graduates

100%

232

Female college graduates

100%

254

Female non-college
graduates

100%

266

White non-college
graduate

46%

54%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

47%

53%

149

Others

49%

51%

503

Union household

43%

57%

127

Non-union household

49%

51%

874

(cont.)

Page 416

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
GENDER GENDER

GENDER

Male

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

MOMDAD PARENTS

Single

54%

46%

215

Married

50%

50%

607

No longer married

34%

66%

179

Dad

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

100%

203

50%

50%

299

Married / no children

50%

50%

308

Divorced / children

28%

72%

22

Divorced / no children

42%

58%

60

Single / children

30%

70%

42

Single / no children

60%

40%

173

Other / mixed

30%

70%

97

Single women

100%

98

Married women

100%

304

No longer married women

100%

118

Married / children

Single men

100%

117

Married men

100%

302

No longer married men

100%

61

White single men

100%

White single women


White married men

White no longer married


men

100%
100%

243
49

100%

93

55%

250

Single mothers

100%

30

Married mothers

100%

150

No longer married
mothers

100%

23

Other

CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

46
244

100%

White no longer married


women

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

75
100%

White married women

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

171

100%

Mom
BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

TOTAL

Female

45%

Non-mothers

60%

40%

798

Upper class

44%

56%

73

Middle class

49%

51%

696

Low income

44%

56%

205

Working class

51%

49%

Refused

51%

49%

20

Middle class whites

52%

48%

551

Middle class African


Americans

36%

64%

63

Middle class Hispanics

45%

55%

57

Middle class other races

40%

60%

25

Other

45%

55%

305

(cont.)

Page 417

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
GENDER GENDER

GENDER

Male

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

TOTAL

Female

Roman Catholic

44%

56%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

45%

55%

185

Mainline Protestant

47%

53%

280

Other

53%

47%

45

None

54%

46%

262

At least once a week

44%

56%

336

At least once a month

44%

56%

157

Infrequently

50%

50%

191

Never

57%

43%

44

Active Roman Catholics

42%

58%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

45%

55%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

45%

55%

131

Active other

42%

58%

17

Other

50%

50%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

100%

133

Male not evangelical

100%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

100%

179

Female not evangelical

100%

342

RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

43%

57%

222

Non-white Evangelical

42%

58%

90

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

46%

54%

166

Non-white conservative
Christians

52%

48%

51

White non-conservative
Christians

33%

67%

55

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

29%

71%

39

Approve

43%

57%

453

Unsure

45%

55%

62

Disapprove

53%

47%

487

Jobs

49%

51%

135

Economy

47%

53%

228

Health care

37%

63%

99

Illegal immigration

49%

51%

78

Foreign threats

41%

59%

116

Deficit

59%

41%

76

48%

268

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Other

52%

(cont.)

Page 418

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
GENDER GENDER

GENDER

Male

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

TOTAL

Female

Cutting taxes

57%

43%

71

Reducing deficit

60%

40%

126

Creating jobs

48%

52%

203

Increase wages

37%

63%

132

Healthcare costs

39%

61%

98

Retirement

45%

55%

41

Higher education

41%

59%

101

Regulations

61%

39%

65

Combination

49%

51%

141

None

69%

31%

11

Unsure

29%

71%

12

Views close to own

50%

50%

352

Most effective person

47%

53%

571

Both

54%

46%

48

Unsure

44%

56%

30

Very worried

49%

51%

318

Somewhat worried

48%

52%

405

Not too worried

44%

56%

214

Not at all worried

58%

42%

56

Combination

42%

58%

Unsure

59%

41%

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

50%

50%

245

Unsure

43%

57%

63

No

48%

52%

693

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

47%

53%

510

Unsure

39%

61%

85

Disapprove

51%

49%

406

Very worried

36%

64%

112

Somewhat worried

49%

51%

283

Not too worried

46%

54%

341

Not at all worried

55%

45%

258

100%

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Combination

RIDEAL SRH ABOUT


IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C
SAMEA ATTEND SAME
SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY

Unsure

55%

45%

Yes

53%

47%

645

No

38%

62%

356

Approve

51%

49%

295

Unsure

63%

37%

45

Disapprove

55%

45%

306

Yes

44%

56%

628

No

54%

46%

245

Not sure

53%

47%

128

(cont.)

Page 419

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
GENDER GENDER

GENDER

Male

DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

TOTAL

Female

4 of 4

59%

41%

26

3 of 4

40%

60%

112

2 of 4

40%

60%

221

1 of 4

43%

57%

214

0 of 4

56%

44%

427

5-7 of 7

67%

33%

150

4 of 7

56%

44%

96

3 of 7

52%

48%

91

2 of 7

44%

56%

87

1 of 7

47%

53%

164

0 of 7

40%

60%

413

48%

52%

1001

Page 420

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO

RG2
California

TOTAL
RG1 GEOGRAPHIC
AREAS ONE

9%

Florida

6%

1001

29%

71%

195

100%

181

75%

235

25%

96
83

Mountain States

100%

70

37%

141

67%

217

100%

320

56%

464

68%

405

60%

366

100%

230

76%

241

74%

63%

GOP held seat up in 2014

33%

DEM held seat up in 2014

GOP held seat up in 2014

COMPST STATES
WITH COMPETITIVE
STATEWIDE
ELECTIONS
GENDER GENDER

Competitive statewide
race

DEM held seat up in 2014

19%

12%
14%

12%
18%

24%

15%

No Gubernatorial election
24%

Other

12%

Male

9%

Female
Male / employed

9%

7%

72%

760

7%

7%

6%

71%

480

9%

5%

7%

5%

74%

521

9%

4%

8%

5%

73%

324

Male / not employed

10%

12%

5%

7%

66%

157

Female / employed

8%

4%

6%

8%

75%

281

Female / not employed

RR96FL AGE / SEX

73%

26%

GOVEL
GUBERNATORIAL
ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

RAGEBG2 AGE/C

6%

100%

No Senate election

RAGE RESPONDENT'S
AGE/C

TOTAL
Rest of
country

Central Plains

West

EMPSTAT

New York

Midwest

South Central

RSEXEMP
RESPONDENT'S SEX /
EMPLOYMENT/C

7%

Northeast

South

SENEL U.S. SENATE


ELECTION STATUS BY
STATE

Texas

10%

7%

9%

2%

73%

240

Not employed

7%

7%

9%

4%

73%

133

Employed

8%

4%

7%

6%

74%

605

Retired

11%

9%

7%

5%

69%

252

Refused

11%

16%

10%

63%

11

18-34

7%

3%

8%

7%

76%

200

35-44

7%

4%

7%

7%

75%

280

45-64

9%

9%

7%

4%

71%

310

65 or over

13%

6%

6%

7%

69%

200

Unsure / refused

11%

20%

11%

3%

55%

10

18-44

7%

3%

7%

7%

76%

480

45-64

9%

9%

7%

4%

71%

310

65+

13%

6%

6%

7%

69%

200

Unsure / refused

11%

20%

11%

3%

55%

10

Male / under 55

8%

4%

8%

6%

74%

302

11%

10%

6%

6%

66%

179

7%

5%

6%

6%

77%

315

11%

6%

9%

5%

70%

205

Male / 55+
Female / under 55
Female / 55+
(cont.)

Page 421

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO

RG2
California

RRACE
RESPONDENT'S
RACE/C

AGE AND RACE

GENRACE RACE BY
GENDER

RPARTYID PARTY
IDENTIFICATION/C

RPTYID89 SEX /
PARTY ID

RPARTY USUAL VOTE


BEHAVIOR/C

New York

TOTAL
Rest of
country

8%

5%

6%

6%

75%

751

Black / African American

5%

7%

11%

3%

75%

120

Hispanic / Latino

22%

10%

14%

3%

50%

90

Other

12%

5%

3%

14%

66%

40

White millenials 18-34

3%

1%

5%

8%

82%

128

White older voters 35+

9%

6%

6%

5%

74%

623

African American
millenials 18-34

6%

74%

24

African American older


voters 35+

5%

9%

8%

4%

75%

96

Hispanic millenials 18-34

19%

9%

13%

4%

56%

41

Hispanic older voters 35+

25%

11%

16%

2%

46%

49

9%

85%

20%

6%

Other races older voters


35+

13%

6%

3%

16%

61%

32

White seniors

12%

8%

7%

6%

68%

255

Other

8%

5%

7%

6%

74%

746

White men

9%

5%

6%

7%

74%

368

White women

7%

5%

6%

5%

77%

382

Black men

6%

17%

14%

1%

62%

50

Black women

4%

8%

4%

84%

70

Hispanic men

17%

10%

14%

2%

57%

42

Hispanic women

27%

10%

15%

4%

45%

48

Republican

7%

5%

9%

5%

74%

390

Independent

8%

7%

4%

5%

76%

190

Democrat

11%

6%

7%

7%

70%

420

Male / GOP

10%

6%

5%

5%

74%

214

Female / GOP

5%

4%

13%

4%

74%

176

Male / DEM

9%

8%

11%

7%

65%

161

Female / DEM

RPTY90FL AGE /
PARTY
IDENTIFICATION

Texas

White

Other races millenials


18-34

WHITE SENIORS

Florida

12%

4%

5%

6%

73%

259

Male / IND

9%

5%

6%

6%

75%

105

Female / IND

7%

9%

1%

5%

78%

85

Under 55 / GOP

6%

4%

9%

4%

77%

223

55 & over / GOP

9%

7%

8%

6%

70%

168

Under 55 / DEM

9%

5%

7%

8%

72%

269

55 & over / DEM

14%

8%

7%

4%

67%

151

Under 55 / IND

8%

5%

2%

4%

81%

125

55 & over / IND

8%

10%

7%

8%

67%

65

Republican

7%

6%

8%

4%

75%

448

Ticket splitter

11%

9%

7%

7%

66%

61

Democrat

10%

5%

6%

7%

71%

492

(cont.)

Page 422

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO

RG2
California

PARTISAN PARTISAN

RIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

PARIDEOL PARTY /
IDEOLOGY

REDUC
RESPONDENT'S
EDUCATION/C

SEXED2 GENDER AND


EDUCATION

TOTAL
Rest of
country

6%

9%

4%

74%

360

Soft GOP

7%

6%

4%

5%

78%

92

Ticket splitter

9%

9%

3%

10%

69%

64

Soft DEM

12%

4%

4%

5%

75%

84

Hard DEM

10%

6%

7%

7%

70%

401

Conservative

8%

7%

8%

5%

72%

536

Moderate

9%

2%

2%

4%

83%

76

10%

5%

7%

6%

71%

389

Very conservative

8%

7%

9%

4%

72%

187

Somewhat conservative

8%

7%

7%

6%

72%

348

10%

4%

7%

6%

73%

465

Republican

7%

5%

9%

5%

74%

390

Independent

8%

7%

4%

5%

76%

190

Conservative DEM

11%

10%

9%

7%

64%

103

Mod / lib DEM

11%

4%

7%

7%

72%

318

Liberal DEM

12%

5%

6%

7%

71%

335

8%

7%

7%

7%

71%

157
61

Mod / conservative DEM


Independent

RRTEAMEM IDENTIFY
WITH TEA PARTY
MOVEMENT/C

New York

7%

Moderate / liberal
RPTYID98 TARGET
GROUPS

Texas

Hard GOP

Liberal
RRIDEOL
RESPONDENT'S
IDEOLOGY/C

Florida

11%

9%

7%

7%

66%

Mod / liberal GOP

3%

3%

10%

4%

81%

69

Conservative GOP

8%

6%

8%

4%

74%

379

10%

13%

9%

3%

65%

93

Yes

7%

7%

10%

7%

69%

68

No / unsure

9%

5%

7%

6%

74%

840

Less than high school

2%

8%

8%

8%

74%

53

High school graduate

8%

7%

3%

4%

78%

227

Some college

9%

5%

9%

5%

73%

219

College graduate

10%

6%

8%

6%

70%

503

Male college graduates

Yes / strongly

11%

6%

7%

7%

69%

248

Male non-college
graduates

8%

7%

7%

5%

73%

232

Female college graduates

9%

5%

9%

6%

71%

254

Female non-college
graduates

8%

5%

6%

5%

77%

266

White non-college
graduate

7%

5%

5%

4%

79%

349

Minority non-college
graduate

10%

9%

9%

6%

66%

149

Others

10%

6%

8%

6%

70%

503

RUNION MEMBER OF
LABOR UNION/C

Union household

12%

4%

6%

11%

67%

127

Non-union household

8%

6%

7%

5%

73%

874

RMARITAL MARITAL
STATUS/C

Single

9%

4%

10%

5%

72%

215

Married

9%

6%

6%

6%

72%

607

No longer married

9%

7%

6%

5%

73%

179

SEXEDWH
NON-COLLEGE
GRADUATES

(cont.)

Page 423

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO

RG2
California

MOMDAD PARENTS

BUNDY MARITAL
STATUS / CHILDREN

GENMAR1 GENDER
AND MARITAL

MOMMAR MOTHERS
BY MARITAL STATUS

ECONCLA2
ECONOMIC CLASS

New York

TOTAL
Rest of
country

10%

4%

8%

4%

74%

171

Mom

8%

5%

7%

7%

73%

203

Married / children

8%

4%

6%

6%

75%

299

Married / no children

10%

8%

6%

6%

70%

308

Divorced / children

15%

85%

22

Divorced / no children

4%

10%

5%

2%

79%

60

Single / children

9%

4%

22%

7%

58%

42

Single / no children

9%

4%

7%

4%

76%

173

Other / mixed

11%

6%

8%

8%

67%

97

Single women

8%

4%

8%

4%

76%

98

Married women

8%

5%

6%

6%

75%

304

12%

6%

9%

3%

70%

118

Single men

9%

4%

12%

5%

69%

117

Married men

10%

7%

6%

6%

70%

302

No longer married men

4%

8%

1%

8%

79%

61

White single men

9%

9%

8%

74%

75

White single women

6%

4%

7%

1%

82%

46

White married men

10%

6%

5%

6%

73%

244

White married women

5%

5%

5%

6%

79%

243

White no longer married


men

5%

6%

2%

7%

80%

49

White no longer married


women

13%

7%

8%

4%

68%

93

Other

250

12%

8%

11%

5%

65%

Single mothers

7%

4%

21%

10%

58%

30

Married mothers

7%

5%

5%

8%

76%

150

No longer married
mothers

15%

9%

75%

23

Non-mothers

9%

6%

7%

5%

72%

798

Upper class

13%

6%

11%

6%

65%

73

Middle class

9%

6%

8%

7%

71%

696

Low income

8%

6%

4%

3%

79%

205

97%

79%

20

Working class
Refused
CLARAC ECONOMIC
CLASS AND RACE

Texas

Dad

No longer married women

GENMAR2 GENDER,
MARITAL, AND RACE

Florida

3%
14%

7%

Middle class whites

7%

5%

6%

6%

75%

551

Middle class African


Americans

7%

7%

17%

5%

64%

63

Middle class Hispanics

23%

9%

20%

5%

43%

57

Middle class other races

11%

6%

3%

20%

60%

25

9%

6%

6%

3%

76%

305

Other
(cont.)

Page 424

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO

RG2
California

RDENOM
RESPONDENT'S
CHURCH/C

RDENOMFR HOW
OFTEN DO YOU
ATTEND CHURCH/C

ACTIVE ACTIVE
CHURCH ATTENDEES

SEXBORN GENDER
AND BORN AGAIN

Roman Catholic

Florida

Texas

New York

TOTAL
Rest of
country

11%

7%

5%

7%

70%

198

Baptist / Evangelical

6%

6%

12%

1%

75%

185

Mainline Protestant

9%

4%

8%

3%

76%

280

Other

10%

7%

2%

15%

66%

45

None

10%

4%

5%

9%

72%

262

At least once a week

7%

7%

10%

2%

74%

336

At least once a month

8%

3%

6%

3%

79%

157

Infrequently

11%

6%

6%

9%

69%

191

Never

13%

11%

9%

5%

62%

44

Active Roman Catholics

13%

8%

9%

2%

68%

79

Active Baptists /
Evangelicals

1%

8%

13%

1%

77%

106

Active Mainline
Protestants

8%

6%

8%

2%

77%

131

Active other

5%

12%

6%

14%

63%

17

Other

10%

5%

6%

7%

72%

667

Male born again /


evangelicals

10%

9%

8%

2%

71%

133

Male not evangelical

9%

6%

7%

8%

71%

348

Female born again /


evangelicals

7%

4%

12%

2%

76%

179

10%

6%

4%

7%

73%

342

7%

6%

8%

2%

77%

222

11%

7%

18%

64%

90

75%

166

72%

51

83%

55

54%

39

Female not evangelical


RACEVANG RACE /
EVANGELICAL

White Evangelical

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /
EVANGELICAL
CHRISTIANS

White conservative
Christians

8%

6%

8%

Non-white conservative
Christians

9%

12%

8%

White non-conservative
Christians

4%

4%

8%

Non-white
non-conservative
Christians

14%

1%

30%

Approve

10%

6%

8%

8%

68%

453

Unsure

9%

3%

5%

3%

81%

62

Disapprove

8%

6%

7%

4%

76%

487

RBHOJA BARACK
OBAMA JOB
APPROVAL/C
RMIIP MOST
IMPORTANT ISSUE
FOR NEXT
PRESIDENT/C

Non-white Evangelical

Jobs

3%

1%

10%

9%

1%

4%

76%

135

Economy

7%

5%

12%

9%

68%

228

Health care

5%

6%

4%

4%

81%

99

20%

1%

10%

1%

68%

78

8%

5%

5%

8%

74%

116

13%

7%

3%

3%

74%

76

72%

268

Illegal immigration
Foreign threats
Deficit
Other

7%

6%

9%

6%

(cont.)

Page 425

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO

RG2
California

MEIP ECONOMIC
ISSUE NEXT
PRESIDENT SHOULD
FOCUS ON

Cutting taxes

Florida

9%

12%

65%

71

Reducing deficit

13%

2%

7%

6%

72%

126

Creating jobs

10%

5%

5%

3%

77%

203

Increase wages

7%

4%

7%

5%

78%

132

Healthcare costs

7%

5%

9%

6%

74%

98

Retirement

8%

13%

4%

4%

70%

41

Higher education

13%

5%

10%

6%

66%

101

Regulations

10%

9%

2%

79%

65

Combination

7%

9%

8%

67%

141

65%

11

9%

35%
10%

6%

9%

75%

12

11%

5%

5%

6%

73%

352

Most effective person

9%

6%

8%

6%

71%

571

Both

5%

6%

7%

4%

78%

48

2%

7%

7%

83%

30

7%

7%

8%

4%

74%

318

Somewhat worried

10%

5%

7%

7%

70%

405

Not too worried

10%

5%

4%

7%

75%

214

9%

8%

10%

74%

56

58%

Views close to own

Unsure
Very worried

Not at all worried


Combination
Unsure

42%
3%

24%

5%

68%

8
245

RECONFUT NEXT
GENERATION BETTER
OFF
ECONOMICALLY/C

Yes

No

8%

6%

7%

RISAPP US EFFORTS
AGAINST ISIS/C

Approve

9%

6%

7%

Unsure

17%

0%

Disapprove

8%

7%

Very worried

6%

Somewhat worried

7%

Not too worried


Not at all worried

TERRW WORRY
ABOUT TERRORIST
ATTACK

Unsure

11%

7%

8%

6%

69%

9%

2%

7%

13%

69%

63

5%

74%

693

8%

71%

510

10%

2%

71%

85

7%

4%

75%

406

6%

7%

3%

78%

112

9%

10%

5%

69%

283

10%

5%

6%

7%

72%

341

11%

4%

5%

5%

75%

258

100%

13%

87%

Combination
Unsure
RIDEAL SRH ABOUT
IRAN NUCLEAR
AGREEMENT/C
RAPPR US SENATE
VOTE ON IRAN
NUCLEAR DEAL/C

TOTAL
Rest of
country

7%

Unsure

ECONW WORRY
ABOUT US ECONOMY
SUFFERING
DOWNTURN

New York

7%

None

CAND2016 VIEW ON
VOTE FOR
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

Texas

Yes

9%

5%

7%

6%

72%

645

No

8%

6%

7%

5%

74%

356

Approve

10%

5%

7%

9%

69%

295

Unsure

10%

7%

1%

3%

80%

45

9%

6%

8%

4%

73%

306

Disapprove
(cont.)

Page 426

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC.


Battleground 57 #14750: Weighted Tables
May 3-6, 2015
RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO

RG2
California

SAMEA ATTEND SAME


SEX MARRIAGE
CEREMONY
DEMCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

GOPCON WILLING TO
CONSIDER
DEMOCRATIC
PRESIDENTIAL
CANDIDATE

TOTAL

Florida

Texas

New York

TOTAL
Rest of
country

Yes

10%

6%

8%

7%

69%

628

No

6%

5%

6%

4%

80%

245

Not sure

9%

7%

5%

3%

75%

128

4 of 4

8%

11%

11%

13%

56%

26

3 of 4

14%

4%

7%

10%

66%

112

2 of 4

8%

4%

9%

6%

73%

221

1 of 4

9%

5%

4%

4%

77%

214

0 of 4

8%

7%

8%

4%

73%

427

5-7 of 7

11%

12%

9%

6%

63%

150

4 of 7

12%

5%

10%

2%

71%

96

3 of 7

6%

6%

9%

2%

77%

91

2 of 7

6%

5%

8%

8%

73%

87

1 of 7

8%

3%

4%

7%

77%

164

0 of 7

9%

5%

6%

6%

74%

413

9%

6%

7%

6%

73%

1001

Page 427

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