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I. INTRODUCTION
Utility deregulation and rise of competitive electricity
market has significantly scaled up the interest in Distributed
Generation (DG) in the recent past [1]. The performance
benefits that come with the integration of DG into the
distribution system especially solar and wind energy sources
has been well studied and analyzed [2]. The renewable
distributed sources of power are both cost-effective and
environmentally viable [3].
Uncertainty and intermittency of wind power source means
that the prediction of wind speed and the power produced by
the wind turbine can be implemented in a probabilistic manner
[4]. Since the loads connected to a distribution system may also
vary with time, weather and other factors, it can also be
modeled as a probabilistic variable [5]. Correlation or
dependence between wind power sources integrated at various
nodes in a distribution system may be included in the analysis
of the system for obtaining more realistic results [6]. Moments
and Cornish-Fisher expansion were used in [7] for probabilistic
load flow with correlated wind power. In [8], correlation
between generation, wind power and loads were considered for
the probabilistic load flow procedure. Uncertainty of wind
power and load correlation was considered for probabilistic
optimal load flow in [9]. In order to solve probabilistic load
flow with load correlation using DC load flow, an analytical
method was proposed in [10]. Hybrid Latin Hypercube
Sampling along with Cholesky Decomposition was used in
(1)
(2)
where
is the substation bus voltage and , are the mean
and standard deviation values of substation voltage
respectively.
C. Wind Power Modeling
The real power output from a wind turbine is given by the
following equation [14].
0,
,
(5)
(3)
,
0,
(4)
is
where
is the symmetric covariance matrix. The matrix of
can be
correlated random numbers as its columns (
obtained by the following transformation:
(6)
IV. COMPUTATIONAL PROCEDURE
Monte-Carlo Simulation is used to generate wind speed
samples from the Weibull parameters of the site. A large
sample size of 10000 or 20000 is normally required for
convergence of PLF using MCS. From the wind speed samples
obtained, wind power samples are also obtained from Equation
3. The MCS is also used to generate normally distributed
samples of nodal power demands with the respective mean and
variance. A wind farm with suitable Weibull parameters is
selected along with a wind turbine. The candidate nodes where
the wind turbine is to be placed are the farthest nodes in the
system. Then, the correlated wind speed and power samples,
along with the correlated load power samples, are generated
using Cholesky Factorization. Various scenarios are introduced
and PLF is carried out for the required number of MCS
samples in order to investigate the impacts of correlation on
voltage profile and power losses.
V. SIMULATION CASE STUDIES AND RESULTS
The studies were conducted on an IEEE 33 bus radial
distribution test system [14]. The base power of the system is
100 MVA and the base voltage is 12.66 KV. The total
connected active power load is 3.72 MW and reactive power
load is 2.30 MVAR. The wind turbines are placed at the
candidate nodes 18, 25 and 33, since these nodes are the
farthest nodes in the system and hence is bound to experience
severe voltage deviations [15]. A wind farm having the
Weibull parameters =1.75 and =8.78 [12] is selected for the
3
study. The wind turbine selected has the parameters
=20 m/s and =2.0 MW [16]. The same
m/s, =11.5 m/s,
wind turbine is placed on all the three candidate nodes. For the
PLF, the values of power demand at each bus are assumed to
be their respective mean values. A standard deviation of 10% is
set for every node. The mean and standard deviation of
substation voltage is set to 1.0 pu and 1.5% respectively [13].
The sample size of MCS is taken as 15000. A correlation factor
of 0.98 is taken for both wind power correlation and nodal load
power correlation. Four cases are included in the study, apart
from the base scenario. The base case is the scenario where no
wind power is injected and basic PLF is carried out. The total
active power losses in the system for the base case are
210.9824 MW.
Fig 4. Scatter diagram of correlated real power demand at the candidate nodes
Fig 6. Scatter diagram of correlated wind power output at the candidate node
0.95
0.9
0.85
13 10
22 19 16
25
28
31
Bus Number
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Case 4
Voltage (pu)
40
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Case 4
30
20
10
0
1 3 5
7 9 11
13 15 17
19 21 23
25 27 29
31
Branch number
Fig 11. Comparison of branch reactive power losses for various cases
185
180
175
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Case 4
126
VI. CONC
CLUSIONS
124
122
120
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Case 4
Case 1
Case 2
Case 3
Case 4
1 3 5
7 9 11
13 15 17
19 21 23
5 27 29
25
Branch Number
31
Fig 10. Comparison of branch real power losses for variious cases
[9]
REFERENCES
[10]
[1]
[2]
[3]
[4]
[5]
[6]
[7]
[8]
[11]
[12]
[13]
[14]
[15]
[16]
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Yu.H, Chung. C.Y., Wong. K.P., Lee. H.W. and Zhang, J.H.,
"Probabilistic Load Flow Evaluation With Hybrid Latin Hypercube
Sampling and Cholesky Decomposition," IEEE Transactions on Power
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modeling of photo voltaic modules and wind power generation impact
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Nimpitiwan, Optimal sizing of photovoltaic distributed generators in a
distribution system with consideration of solar radiation and harmonic
distortion, Int. J. Electr. Power Energy Syst., vol. 39, pp. 36-47, July
2012.
Rakesh Ranjan and Das, Simple and Efficient Computer Algorithm to
Solve Radial Distribution Networks, Electric Power Components and
Systems, 31:1, pp. 95-107, June 2010
Emingolu U. and Hocaoglu M.H., A voltage stability index for radial
distribution networks, Universities Power Engineering Conference,
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