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Activities that are good in themselves are good for the economy,
and activities that are bad in themselves are bad for the
economy. The only intelligible meaning of benefit to the
economy is the contribution direct or indirect the activity
makes to the welfare of ordinary citizens.
Many people underestimate the contribution disease makes to the
economy. In Britain, more than a million people are employed to diagnose
and treat disease and care for the ill. Thousands of people build hospitals
and surgeries, and many small and medium-size enterprises manufacture
hospital supplies. Illness contributes about 10 per cent of the UKs
economy: the government does not do enough to promote disease.
Such reasoning is identical to that of studies sitting on my desk that purport
to measure the economic contribution of sport, tourism and the arts. These
studies point to the number of jobs created, and the ancillary activities
needed to make the activities possible. They add up the incomes that result.
Reporting the total with pride, the sponsors hope to persuade us not just
that sport, tourism and the arts make life better, but that they contribute to
something called the economy.
The analogy illustrates the obvious fallacy. What the exercises measure is
not the benefits of the activities they applaud, but their cost; and the value
of an activity is not what it costs, but the amount by which its benefit
exceeds its costs. The economic contribution of sport is in the pleasure
participants and spectators derive, and the resulting gains in health and
longevity. That value is diminished, not increased, by the resources that
need to be diverted from other purposes.
Similarly, the economic value of the arts is in the commercial and cultural
value of the performance, not the costs of cleaning the theatre. The
economic perspective does not differ from the commonsense perspective.
Good economics here, as so often, is a matter of giving precision to our
common sense. Bad economics here, as so often, involves inventing bogus
numbers to answer badly formulated questions.
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