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Answers to Suggested Problems Lecture 1
Chapter 2:
8.
a. At t = 0, the value of the index is: (90 + 50 + 100)/3 = 80
At t = 1, the value of the index is: (95 + 45 + 110)/3 = 83.3333
The rate of return is: (83.3333/80) 1 = 4.167%
b. In the absence of a split, stock C would sell for 110, and the value of the index
would be: (95 + 45 + 110)/3 = 83.3333
After the split, stock C sells at 55. Therefore, we need to set the divisor (D) such
that:
83.3333 = (95 + 45 + 55)/D
or
D = 2.340
c. The rate of return is zero. The index remains unchanged, as it should, since the
return on each stock equals zero.
9.
a. Total market value at t = 0 is: (9,000 + 10,000 + 20,000) = 39,000
Total market value at t = 1 is: (9,500 + 9,000 + 22,000) = 40,500
The return on the value-weighted index equals:
(40,500/39,000) 1 = 3.85%
b. The return on each stock is as follows:
Ra = (95/90) 1 = 0.0556
Rb = (45/50) 1 = 0.10
Rc = (110/100) 1 = 0.10
The return on the equally-weighted index equals:
[0.0556 + (-0.10) + 0.10]/3 = 0.0185 = 1.85%
10.
The after-tax yield on the corporate bonds is: [0.09 x (1 0.30)] = 0.0630 = 6.30%
Therefore, municipal bonds must offer a yield of at least 6.30%.
12.
Chapter 3:
1.
a. The underwriter charges a gross spread of 7% (and there are no other fees listed).
The total fees are therefore 1,000,000 x $50 x 7% = $3.5 million.
b. The firm raised $50 per share less the gross spread, or:
1,000,000 x $50 x (1-0.07) = $46.5 million.
c. The underpricing is $3 per share, or (53-50)/50 = 6.0%.
d. The firm paid $3.5 million in explicit fees to the underwriter. The implicit cost
associated with underpricing was $3 per share. The total explicit and implicit costs
were therefore $3.5 million + (1,000,000 x $3) = $6.5 million.
7.
a. You buy 200 shares of Telecom ($10,000/$50 per share). These shares increase in
value by 10%, or $1,000. You pay interest of: 0.08 x 5,000 = $400
The rate of return will be:
$1,000 $400
= 0.12 = 12%
$5,000
b. The value of the 200 shares is 200P. The equity in the account is (200P $5,000).
You will receive a margin call when:
200P $5,000
= 0.30 when P = $35.71 or lower
200P
c. The value of the 200 shares is 200P. After one year, the equity in the account is
(200P $5,000(1.08)). You will receive a margin call when:
200 P $5,000(1.08)
= 0.30 when P = $38.57 or lower
200 P
8.
a. Initial margin is 50% of $30,000 or $15,000.
b. Total assets are $45,000 ($30,000 from the sale of the stock and $15,000 put up for
margin). Liabilities are 500P because you must pay back the borrowed shares. The
equity in the account is ($45,000 500P). A margin call will be issued when:
$45,000 500 P
= 0.30 when P = $69.23 or higher
500 P
18.
19.
d. If the stock never traded at or below $55, your stop loss order would never be
executed. In this case, your stop loss order would trigger a market sell order as soon
as a transaction occurs at or below $55. After this transaction occurs, your broker
will sell your shares at the best available market price. This price should be close to
$55, but could be slightly above or below this price.
Chapter 4:
13.
19.
a. After two years, each dollar invested in a fund with a 4% load and a portfolio return
equal to r will grow to:
$0.96 (1 + r 0.005)2
Each dollar invested in the bank CD will grow to:
$1 (1.06)2
If the mutual fund is to be the better investment, then the portfolio return, r, must
satisfy:
0.96 (1 + r 0.005)2 > (1.06)2
0.96 (1 + r 0.005)2 > 1.1236
(1 + r 0.005)2 > 1.1704
(1 + r 0.005) > 1.0819
1 + r > 1.0869
Therefore, r > 0.0869 = 8.69%
b. If you invest for six years, then the portfolio return must satisfy:
0.96 (1 + r 0.005)6 > (1.06)6 = 1.4185
(1 + r 0.005)6 > 1.4776
1 + r 0.005 > 1.0672
1 + r > 1.0722
r > 7.22%
The cutoff rate of return is lower for the six year investment because the "fixed
cost" (i.e., the one-time front-end load) is spread out over a greater number of years.
c. With a 12b-1 fee instead of a front-end load, the portfolio must earn a rate of return
(r) that satisfies:
(1 + r 0.005 0.0075) > 1.06
In this case, r must exceed 7.25% regardless of the investment horizon.
20.
The turnover rate is 50%. This means that, on average, 50% of the portfolio is sold and
replaced with other securities each year. Trading costs on the sell orders are 0.4%; and
the buy orders to replace those securities entail another 0.4% in trading costs. Total
trading costs will reduce portfolio returns by: 2 0.4% 0.50 = 0.4%
#3
E(r)
0.12
0.15
0.21
0.24
0.30
0.50
0.16
0.21
U
-0.0600
-0.3500
0.1588
0.1518
9.
#4
When an investor is risk neutral, A = 0, so that the portfolio with the highest utility is
the portfolio with the highest expected return. This is investment #4, with 24%.
10.
X2 = [0.2 (.20 .20)2] + [0.5 (.18 .20)2] + [0.3 (.50 .20)2] = .0592
X = 24.33%
Y = [0.2 (.15 .10)2] + [0.5 (.20 .10)2] + [0.3 (.10 .10)2] = .0175
Y = 13.23%
15.
18.
P0 = $86,956.52
P0 = $83,333.00
d) There is an inverse relationship: price decreases as the risk premium increases. In order
to earn a higher risk-premium (assuming the cash flows stay the same), you must be
able to buy the security at a lower price. The investor requiring the 15% risk premium
(20% HPR) is requiring a larger discount as compensation for risk.
P = 0.7(27%) = 18.9%
18.00%
Risky Portfolio
16.00%
14.00%
Expected Return
19.
w=0.7
12.00%
10.00%
8.00%
6.00%
Risk-Free
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
Standard Deviation
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
20.
= 20.0%
= 21.6%
= 26.4%
= 32.0%
y = 0.80
(0.8*27%)
(0.8*33%)
(0.8*40%)
21.
a.
22.
b.
a.
13 7
25 = .24
20
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
CAL (slope=.3704)
CML (slope=.24)
10
20
30
(%)
b.
Chapter 6:
6.
Weight B
0%
20
29.25
40
60
68.58
80
100
E(R)
15.0%
13.8%
13.25
12.6%
11.4%
10.89
10.2%
9.0%
Std.Dev.
32.00%
26.68
24.57
22.50
20.18
19.94
20.37
23.00
16.00%
Optimal Risky Portfolio
(70.75% Stocks, 29.25% Bonds)
14.00%
15.0%
13.8%
12.6%
12.00%
11.4%
10.2%
10.00%
9.0%
CAL
8.00%
CAL
6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
35.00%
Of these six possible portfolios, the minimum variance portfolio is the combination with
40% in stocks and 60% in bonds.
Note: The true minimum variance portfolio is actually between the 40% stock and 20%
stock choices - the exact minimum variance portfolio has a weight of 31.42% in stocks and
68.58% in bonds. The result can be found by minimizing the variance formula, Rule 2*, as
we discussed in class. The minimum-variance portfolio proportions are:
w Min (S) =
2B Cov(rS , rB )
0.0529 0.01104
=
= 0.3142
2
2
S + B 2Cov(rS , rB ) 0.1024 + 0.0529 (2 0.01104)
7.
If you consider only the six portfolios you created at 20% increments, the optimal risky
portfolio is the portfolio that includes 60% stocks and 40% bonds. This portfolio has an
expected return of 12.6% and a standard deviation of 22.5%. You can use this portfolio to
answer questions 8 through 10.
(Note: The true optimal risky portfolio (P) is somewhere between the 60% stock and 80%
stock choices. The portfolio with 70% stocks and 30% bonds is close to the optimal risky
portfolio. This portfolio has an expected return of 13.2% and a standard deviation of
approximately 24.41%. Although I will not require you to do this calculation, you can solve
for the exact weights in the optimal portfolio using the formula in footnote 3 on page 185 of
the text: the weights are 70.75% stock and 29.25% bonds. This portfolio has an expected
return of 13.25% and a standard deviation of 24.57%.)
8.
The reward-to-variability ratio of the optimal CAL (using the 60/40 portfolio) is:
E (r p ) r f
p
9.
a)
12.6 5.5
= 0.3156
22.5
The equation for the CAL (using the 60/40 portfolio) is:
E (rC ) = r f +
E (r p ) r f
C = 5.5% + 0.3156 C
b.
The mean of the complete portfolio as a function of the proportion invested in the
risky portfolio (y) is:
E(rC) = (l y)rf + yE(rP) = rf + y[E(rP) rf] = 5.5 + y(12.6 5.5)
Setting E(rC) = 12% y = 0.9155 (91.55% in the risky portfolio)
1 y = 0.0845 (8.45% in T-bills)
From the composition of the optimal risky portfolio:
Proportion of stocks in complete portfolio = 0.9155 0.60 = 0.5493
Proportion of bonds in complete portfolio = 0.9155 0.40 = 0.4507
10. Using only the stock and bond funds to achieve a mean of 12% we solve:
12 = 15wS + 9(1 wS ) = 9 + 6wS wS = 0.5
Investing 50% in stocks and 50% in bonds yields a mean of 12% and standard deviation of:
P = [(0.502 1024) + (0.502 529) + (2 0.50 0.50 110.4)] 1/2 = 21.06%
The efficient portfolio with a mean of 12% has a standard deviation of only 20.6%. Using
the CAL reduces the SD by 46 basis points (0.46%).
12. If = -1, a zero-risk portfolio can be created:
To find the answer, substitute = -1 into Rule 2* and then set the equation equal to zero.
This gives the minimum variance portfolio when = -1. We discussed the solution to this
equation in class. Here, the weight in stock A that gives a perfect hedge (zero risk) equals
B/(A+B)=0.6/(0.4+0.6) = 60%. In other words, a portfolio with wA = 0.60 and wB = 0.40
would have = 0.
This portfolio has a return of: E(R) = 0.6(.08) + 0.4(0.13) = 10%
Since this portfolio is riskless, the risk-free rate must be exactly equal to the expected
return on this portfolio or 10%.
14. All investors will have the same optimal risky portfolio, since the optimal risky portfolio is
independent of investor preferences. However, investors will adjust portfolios to obtain the
appropriate levels of risk by combining the risky portfolio with a risk-free asset such as TBills. (Note: This answer assumes that there is a risk-free security in the economy and
investors can borrow and lend at this risk-free rate. If there is no risk-free security, then
the optimal risky portfolio may depend on the risk-aversion level of the individual).
15. No. It isnt possible to get such a diagram. With a correlation between 1.0 and +1.0, the
graph should be a smooth curve passing through points A and B and bowing toward the Yaxis. (Even if the correlation between A and B were exactly +1.0, the frontier would be a
straight line connecting A and B.)
16. The two measures are equal if =+1. Otherwise, the portfolio standard deviation will be
less than the weighted average of the standard deviations of the component assets. In other
words, for any <1, you can reduce the portfolio variance by diversifying.
In the regression of the excess return of Stock ABC on the market, the square of the correlation
coefficient is 0.296 (this is the R2 of the regression). This indicates that 29.6% of the variance of the
excess return of ABC is explained by the market (systematic risk).
Chapter 7:
3.
6.
8.
Not possible. Portfolio A has a higher beta than B, but a lower expected return.
9.
Possible. If the CAPM is valid, the expected rate of return compensates only for market risk (beta),
rather than for nonsystematic risk. Part of As risk may be nonsystematic.
10.
Not possible. If the CAPM is valid, the market portfolio is the most efficient and a higher rewardto-variability ratio than any other security. In other words, the CML must be better than the CAL
for any other security. Here, the slope of the CAL for A is 0.5 while the slope of the CML is 0.33.
11.
Not possible. Portfolio A clearly dominates the market portfolio with a lower standard deviation
and a higher expected return. The CML must be better than the CAL for security A.
12.
Not possible. Security A has an expected return of 22% based on CAPM and an actual return of
16%. Security A is below the SML and is therefore overpriced. It is also clear that security A has a
higher beta than the market, but a lower return which is not consistent with CAPM.
13.
Not possible. Security A has an expected return of 17.2% and an actual return of 16%. Security A is
below the SML and is therefore overpriced.
14.
Possible. Portfolio A has a lower expected return and lower standard deviation than the market and
thus plots below the CML.
18.
23.
The expected return of portfolio F equals the risk-free rate since its beta equals 0. Portfolio As
ratio of risk premium to beta is: (10-4)/1 = 6.0%. You can think of this as the slope of the pricing
line for Security A. Portfolio Es ratio of risk premium to beta is: (9-4)/(2/3) = 7.5%, suggesting
that Portfolio E is not on the same pricing line as security A. In other words, there is an arbitrage
opportunity here.
For example, if you created a new portfolio by investing 1/3 in the risk-free security and 2/3 in
security A, you would have a portfolio with a beta of 2/3 and an expected return equal to (1/3)*4%
+ (2/3)*10% = 8%. Since this new portfolio has the same beta as security E (2/3) but a lower
expected return (8% vs. 9%) there is clearly an arbitrage opportunity.
27.
The APT factors must correlate with major sources of uncertainty in the economy. These factors
would correlate with unexpected changes in consumption and investment opportunities. DNP, the
rate of inflation, and interest rates are candidates for factors that can be expected to determine risk
premia. Industrial production varies with the business cycle, and thus is a candidate for a factor that
is correlated with uncertainties related to investment opportunities in the economy.
28.
A revised estimate of the rate of return on this stock would be the old estimate plus the sum of the expected
changes in the factors multiplied by the sensitivity coefficients to each factor:
revised Ri = 14% + 1.0(1%) + 0.4(1%) = 15.4%
29.
33.
d.
34.
d.
You need to know the risk-free rate. For example, if we assume a risk-free rate of 4%, then the alpha
of security R is 2.0% and it lies above the SML. If we assume a risk-free rate of 8%, then the alpha of
security R is zero and it lies on the SML.
Chapter 5:
14b. Time
0
1
2
3
Date:
Cash flow
300
208
110
396
1/1/96
|
|
-300
Explanation
Purchase of three shares at $100 each.
Purchase of two shares at $110 less dividend income on three shares held.
Dividends on five shares plus sale of one share at price of $90 each.
Dividends on four shares plus sale of four shares at price of $95 each.
1/1/97
|
|
-208
+110
|
|
1/1/98
+396
|
|
1/1/99
The Dollar-weighted return can be determined by doing an internal rate of return (IRR)
calculation. In other words, set the present value of the outflows equal to the present
value of the inflows (or the net present value to zero):
300 +
208
110
396
=
+
R = 0.001661 = 0.1661%
1
2
(1 + R )
(1 + R)
(1 + R) 3
Chapter 18:
5.
We need to distinguish between timing and selection abilities. The intercept of the scatter
diagram is a measure of stock selection ability. If the manager tends to have a positive
excess return even when the markets performance is merely neutral (i.e., has zero excess
return), then we conclude that the manager has on average made good stock picks stock
selection must be the source of the positive excess returns.
Timing ability is indicated by curvature in the plotted line. Lines that become steeper as
you move to the right of the graph show good timing ability. An upward curved
relationship indicates that the portfolio was more sensitive to market moves when the
market was doing well and less sensitive to market moves when the market was doing
poorly -- this indicates good market timing skill. A downward curvature would indicate
poor market timing skill.
We can therefore classify performance ability for the four managers as follows:
a.
b.
c.
d.
9.
Selection Ability
Bad
Good
Good
Bad
Timing Ability
Good
Good
Bad
Bad
Chapter 8:
1.
Zero. If not, one could use returns from one period to predict returns in later periods and
make abnormal profits.
2.
c. The January Effect implies that one can predict January prices based on past January
prices. This is a predictable pattern in returns which should not occur if weak-form EMH is
valid.
3.
c. This is a classic filter rule which should not be profitable in an efficient market.
5.
c. The P/E ratio is public information and should not predict abnormal security returns.
13.
a) The grandson is referring to the small-firm effect (which can also be described as the
January effect).
b) 1 - Building a portfolio of only small firms results in increased risk, as the portfolio is
less diversified.
2 - Because the anomaly has existed in the past is not a predictor that the anomaly will
exist in the future.
3 - After the results of these studies became publicly known, investors may bid up the
prices of these securities to reflect the now-known opportunity.
14.
No, this is not a violation of the EMH. Microsofts continuing large profits do not imply
that stock market investors who purchased Microsoft shares after its success already was
evident would have earned a high return on their investments.
15.
No, this is not a violation of the EMH. This empirical tendency does not provide investors
with a tool that will enable them to earn abnormal returns; in other words, it does not
suggest that investors are failing to use all available information. An investor could not
use this phenomenon to choose undervalued stocks today. The phenomenon instead
reflects the fact that dividends occur as a response to good performance. After the fact, the
stocks that happen to have performed the best will pay higher dividends, but this does not
imply that you can identify the best performers early enough to earn abnormal returns.
17.
a. Consistent. Half of managers should beat the market based on pure luck in any year.
b. Inconsistent. This would be the basis of an "easy money" rule: simply invest with last
year's best managers.
c. Consistent. Predictable volatility does not convey a means to earn abnormal returns.
d. Inconsistent. The abnormal performance ought to occur in January when earnings are
announced.
e. Inconsistent. Reversals offer a means to earn easy money: just buy last week's losers.
24.
You should buy the stock. In your view, the firms management is not as bad as everyone
else believes it to be. Therefore, you view the firm as undervalued by the market. You are
less pessimistic about the firms prospects than the beliefs built into the stock price.
26.
The market may have anticipated even greater earnings. Compared to prior expectations,
the announcement was a disappointment.
The bond callable at 105 should sell at a lower price because the call provision is more
valuable to the firm when the call price is lower. Because the call feature is more valuable
to the firm (and more costly to investors), investors will require a higher yield to maturity,
resulting in a lower price.
4.
Lower. Interest rates have fallen since the bond was issued. Thus, the bond is selling at a
premium and the price will decrease (toward par value) as the bond approaches maturity.
5.
True. Under the Expectations Hypothesis, there are no risk premia built into bond prices.
The only reason for an upward sloping yield curve is the expectation of increased shortterm rates in the future.
8.
If the yield curve is upward sloping, you cannot conclude that investors expect short-term
interest rates to rise because the rising slope could either be due to expectations of future
increases in rates or due to a liquidity premium. In fact, with a liquidity premium, the yield
curve can be upward sloping even if future short-term rates are expected to remain flat or
even decrease.
9.
35.
a) The forward rate, f, is the rate that makes rolling over one-year bonds equally attractive
as investing in the two-year maturity bond and holding until maturity:
(1.08)(1 + f) = (1.09)2
b) According to the expectations hypothesis, the forward rate equals the expected short
rate next year, so the best guess would be 10.01%.
c) According to the liquidity preference (liquidity premium) hypothesis, the forward rate
exceeds the expected short-term rate for next year (by the amount of the liquidity
premium), so the best guess would be less than 10.01%.
37.
Maturity
(years)
1
2
3
YTM
10.0%
11.0%
12.0%
Forward rate
12.01% [(1.112/1.10) 1]
14.03% [(1.123/1.112) 1]
b. We obtain next years prices and yields by discounting each zeros face value at the
forward rates derived in part (a):
Maturity
(years)
1
2
Price
$892.78
$782.93
[ = 1000/1.1201]
[ = 1000/(1.1201 x 1.1403)]
YTM
12.01%
13.02%
Note that this years upward sloping yield curve implies, according to the
expectations hypothesis, a shift upward in next years curve.
c. Next year, the two-year zero will be a one-year zero, and it will therefore sell at:
$1000/1.1201 = $892.78
Similarly, the current three-year zero will be a two-year zero, and it will sell for:
$782.93
Expected total rate of return:
two-year bond:
$892.78
1 = 0.1000 = 10.00%
$811.62
three-year bond:
$782.93
1 = 0.1000 = 10.00%
$711.78
Chapter 11:
Solutions to the concept checks are provided at the end of the chapter.
1.
2.
B
B
= D
y
1+ y
6.
a) Bond B has a higher yield since it is selling at a discount (perhaps because it has lower
credit quality). Thus, the duration of bond B is lower (it is less sensitive to interest rate
changes).
b) Bond B is callable, has a higher coupon, and has a higher yield (both because it is
callable and because Y=C when the bond is selling for par value). Thus, the duration of
bond B is therefore lower (it is less sensitive to interest rate changes).
9.
11.
a) The duration of the perpetuity is 1.05/.05 = 21 years. Let w be the weight of the zerocoupon bond. Then we find w by solving:
w 5 + (1 w) 21 = 10
21 16w = 10
w = 11/16 or .6875
Therefore, your portfolio would be 11/16 invested in the zero and 5/16 in the
perpetuity.
b) The zero-coupon bond now will have a duration of 4 years while the perpetuity will
still have a 21-year duration. To get a portfolio duration of 9 years, which is now the
duration of the obligation, we again solve for w:
w 4 + (1 w) 21 = 9
21 17w = 9
w = 12/17 or .7059
So the proportion invested in the zero has to increase to 12/17 and the proportion in the
perpetuity has to fall to 5/17.
24.
a)
b)
c)
d)
4
4
4
2
29.
Handout: Answers to the options handout are provided at the back of the handout.
Supplemental Problems:
I)
II) The payoffs and profits on each of these positions is shown in the course notes. See the associated page
numbers below:
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
Page 7-3
Page 7-6
Page 7-9
Page 7-11
Page 7-12
III) Using the Google option prices provided in your notes, calculate the payoff and profit for investments in
each of the following June maturity options. Assume the stock price on Google at the maturity date is
$590.
a)
This option would not be exercised, since S>X. The payoff is zero and the profit is 0-13.70 or a loss
of $13.70, the cost of the option.
c)
This option would be exercised, since S<X. The payoff is 600-590=$10 and the profit is
10-69.80=-59.80 (loss), where $69.80 is the cost of the option.
e)
f)
Chapter 15:
1.
C is false. This is the description of the payoff to a put, not a call. (Note the book uses the term value.
It is actually more appropriate to think of these statements as the payoffs to the various option positions.)
6.
a.
Purchase a straddle, i.e., both a put and a call on the stock. The total cost of the straddle would be $10 + $7 = $17.
b.
Since the straddle cost $17, this is the amount by which the stock would have to move in either direction for
the profit on either the call or put to cover the investment cost (not including time value of money
considerations).
9.
a. Butterfly Spread
S < X1
Position
X 1 < S < X2
X 2 < S < X3
X3 < S
S X1
S X1
S X1
2(S X2)
2(S X2)
S X3
Total
S X1
2X2 X1 S
(X2X1 ) (X3X2) = 0
Payoff
X2 X1
ST
X1
X2
X3
b. Vertical combination
Position
S < X1
X 1 < S < X2
S >X2
S X2
X1 S
Total
X1 S
S X2
Payoff
X1
ST
X1
X2